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B.Dahlof (Co-chair), P.Sever (Co-chair), N. Poulter (Secretary) H. Wedel (Statistician), G. Beevers, M. Caulfield, R. Collins
S. Kjeldsen, A. Kristinsson, J. Mehlsen, G. McInnes, M. Nieminen E. O’Brien, J. Östergren, on behalf of the ASCOT Investigators
A randomised controlled trial of the prevention of CHD and other vascular events by BP and
cholesterol lowering in a factorial study design
ASCOT- BPLA: Rationale
• Insufficient outcome data on newer types of BP-lowering agents, especially in specific combination treatment regimens
• Less-than-expected CHD prevention using standard therapy
ASCOT- BPLA
To compare the effect on non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI) and fatal
CHD of the standard antihypertensive regimen (-blocker ± diuretic) with a more
contemporary regimen (CCB ± ACE inhibitor)
Primary Objective
Additional objectives include:Secondary end points• Total stroke• All coronary events• Primary end point minus
silent MI• Total cardiovascular (CV)
events and procedures• CV mortality• All-cause mortality• Heart failure
Tertiary end points• Development of diabetes• Impairment of renal function• Pre-specified end points in
pre-specified subgroups• Life-threatening arrhythmias
Other objectives• Interaction between statins
and antihypertensive treatment
• Health economic analyses
Study design
atenolol ± bendroflumethiazide
amlodipine ± perindopril
19,257 hypertensive
patients
PROBE design
ASCOT-BPLA
Investigator-led, multinational randomised controlled trial
placeboatorvastatin 10 mg Double-blind
ASCOT-LLA10,305 patients
TC ≤ 6.5 mmol/L (250 mg/dL)
Treatment algorithm to BP targets < 140/90 mm Hg or < 130/80 mm Hg in patients with diabetes
amlodipine 5-10 mg atenolol 50-100 mg
perindopril 4-8 mgbendroflumethiazide-K
1.25-2.5 mg
doxazosin GITS 4-8 mg
add
add add
additional drugs, eg, moxonidine/spironolactone
add
Patient inclusion criteria
• Screening and baseline BP
160/100 mm Hg untreated
140/90 mm Hg following treatment with 1 or more drugs
• Age 40-79 years
• No previous MI or current clinical CHD
• 3 or more CV risk factors
Study power and recruitment (Feb 1998-May 2000)
15671567
2382238222262226
39843984
90989098
Relative additional benefit (ITT) 16%
Significance level 5%
Power 80%
Estimated sample size 18,000
Persons with events 1150
TOTAL RECRUITED 19,257
POWER: PRIMARY END POINT
Baseline characteristics amlodipine perindopril atenolol thiazide
Demographics and clinical characteristics n = 9639 n = 9618 Woman 2258 (23.4%) 2257 (23.5%) White 9187 (95.3%) 9170 (95.3%) Current smoker 3168 (32.9%) 3110 (32.3%) Age (years) 63.0 (8.5) 63.0 (8.5) SBP (mm Hg) 164.1 (18.1) 163.9 (18.0) DBP (mm Hg) 94.8 (10.4) 94.5 (10.4) Heart rate (bpm) 71.9 (12.7) 71.8 (12.6) BMI (kg/m2) 28.7 (4.6) 28.7 (4.5)
Drug therapy Previous antihypertensive treatments 0 1841 (19.1%) 1825 (19.0%) 1 4280 (44.4%) 4283 (44.5%) ≥ 2 3518 (36.5%) 3510 (36.5%) Lipid-lowering therapy 1046 (10.9%) 1004 (10.4%) Aspirin 1851 (19.2%) 1837 (19.1%)
Values are number of patients, (%) or mean (SD)
Data safety monitoring board (DSMB)
In October 2004 the DSMB recommended that the BP
arm of ASCOT should be stopped on account of
concerns that those patients receiving atenolol
thiazide would continue to be disadvantaged compared
with the comparator group
The Steering Committee endorsed the recommendation
of the DSMB, and trial closure began Dec, 2004 and
ended June 2005.
Statistical methods
• Based on an intention-to-treat analysis
• Time to first primary event
• Log-rank procedure and Cox’s Proportional Hazards were used to calculate confidence intervals
• Cumulative incidence curves were generated using the Kaplan-Meier method
Sever PS, Dahlöf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58
All patients in ASCOT have hypertension plus ≥ 3 risk factors for CHD
Patients with risk factor (%)
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Hypertension
Age ≥ 55 years
Male
Microalbuminuria/proteinuria
Smoker
Family history of CHD
Plasma TC:HDL-C ≥ 6
Type 2 diabetes
Certain ECG abnormalities
LVH
Previous cerebrovascular events
Peripheral vascular disease
84
77
61
30
27
24
24
14
13
11
6
ASCOT patient population risk factor profile
100
trial design19,342 randomised to
antihypertensive therapy
85 excluded before end of study due to irregularities
9,639 assigned and received amlodipine
perindopril
9,618 assigned and received atenolol
thiazide
121 with incomplete information• 81 alive at last visit• 24 withdrawn consent• 16 lost to follow-up
171 with incomplete information• 102 alive at last visit• 36 withdrawn consent• 33 lost to follow-up
• 9639 assessed for primary endpoint on intention-to-treat basis
• 9,518 with complete information (8,780 alive 738 dead)
• 9618 assessed for primary endpoint on an intention-to-treat basis
• 9,447 with complete information ( 8,627 alive 820 dead)
19,257 randomised
Systolic and diastolic blood pressure
mm
Hg
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Time (years)
Baseline 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5
atenolol thiazide amlodipine perindopril
137.7
136.1
79.2
77.4
Mean difference 1.9
Last visit
Mean difference 2.7
SBP
DBP
163.9
164.1
94.8
94.5
Mean proportion of time on antihypertensive medication by treatment group
Year 1 All Study
Randomised to Amlodipine
Amlodipine 88.2 82.5
Perindopril 46.2 58.5
Amlodipine + perindopril 39.1 49.5
Randomised to atenolol
Atenolol 87.4 79.4
Bendroflumethiazide 56.6 65.7
Atenolol + bendroflumethiazide 49.1 54.9
Number at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9475 9337 9168 8966 7863Atenolol thiazide 9618 9470 9290 9083 8858 7743
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0Years0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
HR = 0.90 (0.79 1.02)p = 0.1052
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events =474)
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events = 429)
%
Primary end point: Non-fatal MI, fatal CHD
Endpoints: Non-fatal MI (excl silent) + fatal CHD
Number at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9485 9354 9193 8998 7895Atenolol thiazide 9618 9475 9302 9099 8881 7768
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0Years0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
HR = 0.87 (0.76 1.00)p = 0.0458
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events 444)
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events 390)
%
Primary end point + coronaryrevascularisation procedures
Number at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9458 9288 9086 8857 7732Atenolol thiazide 9618 9447 9236 8986 8719 7590
%
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Years0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
HR = 0.86 (0.77 0.96)p = 0.0058
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events 688)
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events 596)
8.0
Number at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9400 9204 8984 8744 7614Atenolol thiazide 9618 9373 9136 8864 8591 7470
Years0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events 753)
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events 852)
HR = 0.87 (0.79 0.96)p = 0.0070
%
Total coronary end point
Fatal and non-fatal stroke
Number at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9483 9331 9156 8972 7863Atenolol thiazide 9618 9461 9274 9059 8843 7720
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Years0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events 327)
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events 422)
HR = 0.77 (0.66 0.89)p = 0.0003
%
Total CV events and procedures
Number at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9277 8957 8646 8353 7207Atenolol thiazide 9618 9210 8848 8465 8121 6977
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Years
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events 1362)
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events 1602)
HR = 0.84 (0.78 0.90)p < 0.0001
%
CV mortality
Number at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9544 9441 9322 9167 8078Atenolol thiazide 9618 9532 9415 9261 9085 7975
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Years0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events 263)
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events 342)
HR = 0.76 (0.65 0.90)p = 0.0010
%
All-cause mortality
Number at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9544 9441 9332 9167 8078Atenolol thiazide 9618 9532 9415 9261 9085 7975
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Years0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
HR = 0.89 (0.81 0.99)p = 0.0247
%
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events 738)
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events 820)
Fatal and non-fatal heart failure
Number at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9524 9409 9275 9101 8004Atenolol thiazide 9618 9501 9369 9195 9011 7901
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.00.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
HR = 0.84 (0.66 1.05)p = 0.1257
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events 134)
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events 159)
%
Years
1.8
Unstable angina
Number at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9536 9416 9285 9123 8021Atenolol thiazide 9618 9510 9374 9198 9007 7888
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.00.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
HR = 0.68 (0.51 0.92)p = 0.0115
%
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events 73)
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events 106)
Years
Chronic stable angina
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
HR = 0.98 (0.81 1.19)p = 0.8323
%
YearsNumber at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9493 9350 9198 9017 7917Atenolol thiazide 9618 9482 9327 9135 8924 7817
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events = 205)
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events = 208)
Peripheral arterial disease
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.00.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
HR = 0.65 (0.52 0.81)p = 0.0001
Number at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9523 9382 9237 9070 7958 Atenolol thiazide 9618 9495 9348 9163 8958 7828
%
Years
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events = 133)
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events = 202)
Life-threatening arrhythmias
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Years0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
HR = 1.07 (0.62 1.85)p = 0.8009
Number at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9539 9433 9310 9153 8060Atenolol thiazide 9618 9527 9405 9243 9069 7961
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events = 27)
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events = 25)
%
New-onset renal impairment
Number at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9426 9277 9093 8877 7775Atenolol thiazide 9618 9431 9247 9021 8782 7640
HR = 0.85 (0.75 0.97)p = 0.0187
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Years0.0
1.0
3.0
4.0
5.0%
2.0
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events = 403)
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events = 469)
New-onset diabetes mellitus
Number at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9383 9165 8966 8726 7618Atenolol thiazide 9618 9295 9014 8735 8455 7319
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Years0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events = 567)
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events = 799)
HR = 0.70 (0.63 0.78)p < 0.0001
%
CV death + MI + stroke
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Years0.00.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events = 796)
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events = 937)
HR = 0.840 (0.76 0.92)p < 0.0003
Number at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9415 9228 9007 8778 7655Atenolol thiazide 9618 9400 9152 8891 8629 7500
%
Summary of all end points
The area of the blue square is proportional to the amount of statistical information
Amlodipine perindopril better Atenolol thiazide better0.50 0.70 1.00 1.45
Primary Non-fatal MI (incl silent) + fatal CHD
SecondaryNon-fatal MI (exc. Silent) +fatal CHDTotal coronary end pointTotal CV event and proceduresAll-cause mortalityCardiovascular mortalityFatal and non-fatal strokeFatal and non-fatal heart failure
Tertiary Silent MIUnstable anginaChronic stable anginaPeripheral arterial diseaseLife-threatening arrhythmiasNew-onset diabetes mellitusNew-onset renal impairment
Post hoc Primary end point + coronary revasc procsCV death + MI + stroke
2.00
Unadjusted Hazard ratio (95% CI)
0.90 (0.79-1.02)
0.87 (0.76-1.00)0.87 (0.79-0.96)0.84 (0.78-0.90)0.89 (0.81-0.99)0.76 (0.65-0.90)0.77 (0.66-0.89)0.84 (0.66-1.05)
1.27 (0.80-2.00)0.68 (0.51-0.92)0.98 (0.81-1.19)0.65 (0.52-0.81)1.07 (0.62-1.85)0.70 (0.63-.078)0.85 (0.75-0.97)
0.86 (0.77-0.96)0.84 (0.76-0.92)
Total CV events and procedures among subgroups
0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.50
The area of the black square is proportional to the amount of statistical information
Amlodipine perindopril better Atenolol thiazide better
DiabetesNo diabetes
Current smokerNon-current smoker
ObeseNon-obese
Older (>60 years)Younger (≤60 years)
FemaleMale
LVH according to ECG or ECHONo LVH according to ECG or ECHO
Previous vascular diseaseNo previous vascular disease
Renal dysfunctionNo renal dysfunction
With metabolic syndromeWithout metabolic syndrome
All patients
Total CV events and procedures among subgroups
0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.50
The area of the black square is proportional to the amount of statistical information
Amlodipine perindopril better Atenolol thiazide better
DiabetesNo diabetes
Current smokerNon-current smoker
ObeseNon-obese
Older (>60 years)Younger (≤60 years)
FemaleMale
LVH according to ECG or ECHONo LVH according to ECG or ECHO
Previous vascular diseaseNo previous vascular disease
Renal dysfunctionNo renal dysfunction
With metabolic syndromeWithout metabolic syndrome
All patients
p value
0.0283<0.0001
0.00010.0030
0.0162<0.0001
<0.00010.0227
0.00150.0001
0.0056<0.0001
0.00190.0001
<0.00010.0055
0.00150.0002
<0.0001
Heterogeneity p
0.5205
0.1138
0.6753
0.7816
0.2889
0.6364
0.4863
0.7130
0.9417
Adverse events leading to treatment discontinuation
Adverse eventAmlodipine perindopril
(%)
Atenolol thiazide(%)
Total 2358 (24.5) 2402 (25.0)
Serious 162 (1.7) 254 (2.6)*
* p<0.0001
Adverse events
Adverse event* Amlodipine perindopril
n (%)
Atenolol thiazide n
(%)p-value
Bradycardia 34 (0.4) 536 (6) <0.0001
Chest pain 740 (8) 849 (9) 0.0040
Cough 1859 (19) 782 (8) <0.0001
Diarrhoea 377 (4) 548 (6) <0.0001
Dizziness 1183 (12) 1555 (16) <0.0001
Dyspnoea 599 (6) 987 (10) <0.0001
Eczema 493 (5) 383 (4) 0.0002
Erectile dysfunction 556 (6) 707 (7) <0.0001
Fatigue 782 (8) 1556 (16) <0.0001
Joint swelling 1371 (14) 308 (3) <0.0001
Lethargy 202 (2) 525 (6) <0.0001
Oedema peripheral 2188 (23) 588 (6) <0.0001
Peripheral coldness 81 (1) 579 (6) <0.0001
Vertigo 642 (7) 745 (8) 0.0039
* Adverse events with incidence >5% and difference of more than 1%
ASCOT CommitteesExecutive and Writing CommitteeB Dahlöf, Co-Chairman, Gothenburg, P Sever, Co-Chairman, London, N Poulter, Secretary, London, H Wedel, Statistician, Gothenburg.
Steering CommitteeA Adderkin, London, DG Beevers, Birmingham, J Buch, New York (non-voting), M Caulfield, London, R Collins, Oxford, B Dahlöf, Gothenburg, A Jarl, Stockholm (non-voting), SE Kjeldsen, Oslo, A Kristinsson, Reykjavik, J Mehlsen, Copenhagen, G McInnes, Glasgow, M Nieminen, Helsinki, N Poulter, London, E O'Brien, Dublin, P Sever, London, H Wedel, Gothenburg, J Östergren, Stockholm, Servier representative, Paris (non-voting).
Working GroupA Adderkin, London, J Buch, New York, S Cavanaugh (up to 2003), New York, R Chamberlain, New York, B Dahlöf, Gothenburg, S Gee, London, A Holmner, Gothenburg, A Jarl, Stockholm, N Poulter, London, P Sever, London, H Wedel, Gothenburg.
Data Safety Monitoring BoardJ Cohn, Minneapolis, L Erhardt, Malmö, K Fox, London, A Oden, Gothenburg, S Pocock, London, J Tuomilehto, Helsinki. Endpoint CommitteeU Dahlström, Linköping, F Fyhrquist, Helsinki, H Hemingway, London, K Midtbo, Oslo.
Substudy CommitteeM Caulfield, London, B Dahlöf, Gothenburg, T Kahan, Stockholm, J Mehlsen, Copenhagen, M Nieminen, Helsinki, E O'Brien, Dublin, I Os, Oslo, N Poulter, London, P Sever, London, S Thom, London.
Possible explanations for the observed differences in outcomes
• Better BP lowering with amlodipine perindopril
• Non-BP-lowering benefits of amlodipine perindopril
• Non-BP-related disadvantages of atenolol thiazide
• Adverse interaction between atenolol thiazide and statin
• Beneficial interaction between amlodipine perindopril and statin
Variables which differed significantly (baseline - final visit) between treatment regimens
Mean differences (Amlodipine
perindopril - Atenolol thiazide)
Changes baseline to final visit
p-valueSystolic BP (mm Hg) -1.78 <0.0001Diastolic BP (mm Hg) -2.05 <0.0001Heart rate (bpm) 11.12 <0.0001Weight (kg) -0.79 <0.0001HDL-cholesterol (mmol/L) 0.11 <0.0001Triglycerides (mmol/L) -0.23 <0.0001Glucose (mmol/L) -0.20 <0.0001Creatinine (µmol/L) -5.06 <0.0001Potassium (mmol/L) 0.05 <0.0001
Endpoints evaluated
1. Primary endpoint + coronary revascularisation (coronary events)
2. Non-fatal and fatal stroke
Rationale
• Significantly different rates
• Potentially different mechanisms
• Sufficient power
The role of BP differences?Methods
• Temporal association
• Serial mean matching
• Updated Cox regression adjustment
Which BP measure?
• SBP
• DBP
• MBP - [(SBP + DBP) / 2]
• Pulse pressure
When?
• Latest
• One year recurrent average
• Accumulated mean
Differences in coronary event rates and in BP over time
Time interval Accumulated differences (mmHg) Atenolol thiazide - Amlodipine perindopril
SBP DBP
0-6 months 4.95 1.72
0.5 - 1 year 4.03 1.99
1 - 2 years 2.62 1.89
2 - 3 years 2.02 1.76
3 - 4 years 1.85 1.88
4 - 5 years 1.62 1.88
> 5 years 1.55 1.78
All study 2.76 1.91
0.500.25 0.70 1.00 1.45 2.00 2.85Hazard ratio
Amlodipine perindopril better
Atenolol thiazide better
Time interval Accumulated differences (mmHg) Atenolol thiazide - Amlodipine perindopril
SBP DBP
0-6 months 4.95 1.72
0 - 1 year 4.51 1.86
0 - 2 years 3.67 1.89
0 - 3 years 3.24 1.87
0 - 4 years 3.01 1.89
0 - 5 years 2.85 1.91
All study 2.76 1.91
0.500.25 0.70 1.00 1.45 2.00 2.85
Amlodipine perindopril better
Atenolol thiazide better
Hazard ratio
Differences in stroke event rates and in BP over time
Time interval Accumulated differences (mmHg) Atenolol thiazide - Amlodipine perindopril
SBP DBP
0-6 months 4.95 1.72
0.5 - 1 year 4.03 1.99
1 - 2 years 2.62 1.89
2 - 3 years 2.02 1.76
3 - 4 years 1.85 1.88
4 - 5 years 1.62 1.88
> 5 years 1.55 1.77
All study 2.76 1.91
Time intervalAccumulated differences (mmHg)
Atenolol thiazide - Amlodipine perindopril
SBP DBP
0-6 months 4.95 1.72
0 - 1 year 4.51 1.86
0 - 2 years 3.67 1.89
0 - 3 years 3.24 1.87
0 - 4 years 3.01 1.89
0 - 5 years 2.85 1.91
All study 2.76 1.91
0.500.25 0.70 1.00 1.45 2.00 2.85
Amlodipine perindopril better
Atenolol thiazide better
Hazard ratio
0.500.25 0.70 1.00 1.45 2.00 2.85Hazard ratio
Amlodipine perindopril better
Atenolol thiazide better
Serial mean matching: Methods
SBP
%
• Take Amlodipine ± perindopril cohort at each of five time points plus baseline
Amlodipine ± perindopril (all patients)
• Select “atenolol ± thiazide” person closest to mean after randomisation
Mean
• Add others sequentially to maintain group SBP matching
Atenolol ± thiazide matched subsetNB: n> 7500 (86%)
• Maximum mean SBP group difference = 0.02 mm Hg
• 9% of coronary events and 14% of stroke events excluded
• Multiple Cox regression - adjusted HR in 6 periods
• Further adjustment for age and number of risk factors
Serial mean matching: Results
Hazard ratio unadjusted
Pooled hazard ratio SMM adjusted
p-value
for adjusted HR
Primary endpoint + Coronary revascularisation
0.86 (0.77 - 0.96) 0.87 (0.78 - 0.98) 0.0177
Fatal and non-fatal stroke
0.77 (0.66 - 0.89) 0.83 (0.71 - 0.96) 0.0147
Hazard ratios for treatment effect on coronary events adjusted for accumulated mean levels of
variables that differed
Coronary eventsHR p-value
Unadjusted 0.86 0.0058Systolic BP 0.88 0.0258Diastolic BP 0.86 0.0065Mean BP* 0.88 0.0205Pulse pressure 0.87 0.0170Heart rate 0.85 0.0201Glucose 0.85 0.0041HDL cholesterol 0.90 0.0610Triglycerides 0.85 0.0043Creatinine 0.86 0.0091Potassium 0.85 0.0045Weight 0.86 0.0053
* Mean BP = (SBP/DBP)/2
Hazard ratios for treatment effect on stroke events adjusted for accumulated mean levels of
variables that differed
Fatal and non-fatal strokeHR p-value
Unadjusted 0.77 0.0003Systolic BP 0.83 0.0144Diastolic BP 0.80 0.0033Mean BP* 0.84 0.0170Pulse pressure 0.80 0.0026Heart rate 0.74 0.0007Glucose 0.78 0.0007HDL cholesterol 0.76 0.0002Triglycerides 0.78 0.0008Creatinine 0.79 0.0014Potassium 0.76 0.0002Weight 0.76 0.0002
* Mean BP = (SBP/DBP)/2
Impact on the treatment effect on coronary events after adjustment for BP
and all variables that differed
Hazard ratio
95% CI
Unadjusted 0.86 0.77 - 0.96
SBP 0.88 0.79 - 0.98
SBP + covariates 0.93 0.81 - 1.07
SBP + DBP + covariates 0.92 0.80 - 1.06
MBP** + covariates 0.94 0.81 - 1.08
PP + covariates 0.91 0.79 - 1.04
Hazard ratio
95% CI
Unadjusted 0.86 0.77 - 0.96
SBP 0.88 0.79 - 0.98
SBP + covariates 0.93 0.81 - 1.07
SBP + DBP + covariates 0.92 0.80 - 1.06
MBP** + covariates 0.94 0.81 - 1.08
PP + covariates 0.91 0.79 - 1.04
p-value
0.0058
0.0258
0.3276
0.2744
0.3519
0.1791
0.50 0.70 1.00 1.45
Amlodipine perindopril better
Atenolol thiazide better
** MBP = (SBP+DBP)/2
Hazard ratio
Hazard ratio
95% CI
Unadjusted 0.86 0.77 - 0.96
SBP 0.88 0.79 - 0.98
SBP + covariates 0.93 0.81 - 1.07
SBP + DBP + covariates 0.92 0.80 - 1.06
MBP** + covariates 0.94 0.81 - 1.08
PP + covariates 0.91 0.79 - 1.04
Impact on the treatment effect on stroke events after adjustment for BP and all
variables that differedHazard ratio
95% CI
Unadjusted 0.77 0.66 - 0.89
Mean BP 0.84 0.72 - 0.97
SBP + covariates 0.85 0.71 - 1.02
SBP + DBP + covariates 0.87 0.73 - 1.05
MBP** + covariates 0.87 0.73 - 1.05
PP + covariates 0.80 0.67 - 0.96
Hazard ratio
95% CI
Unadjusted 0.77 0.66 - 0.89
Mean BP 0.84 0.72 - 0.97
SBP + covariates 0.85 0.71 - 1.02
SBP + DBP + covariates 0.87 0.73 - 1.05
MBP** + covariates 0.87 0.73 - 1.05
PP + covariates 0.80 0.67 - 0.96
p-value
0.0003
0.0170
0.0836
0.1386
0.1380
0.0164
0.50 0.70 1.00 1.45
Amlodipine perindopril better
Atenolol thiazide better
** MBP = (SBP+DBP)/2
Hazard ratio
Hazard ratio
95% CI
Unadjusted 0.77 0.66 - 0.89
Mean BP 0.84 0.72 - 0.97
SBP + covariates 0.85 0.71 - 1.02
SBP + DBP + covariates 0.87 0.73 - 1.05
MBP** + covariates 0.87 0.73 - 1.05
PP + covariates 0.80 0.67 - 0.96
Summary• Several potentially important variables including BP differed post-
randomisation between 2 treatment groups
• No temporal association between BP differences and event rate differences
• SMM for SBP and updated Cox regression analyses suggested BP accounted for about 15% of coronary differences and 30% of stroke differences
• Full multivariate adjustment accounted for about 50% of coronary differences (mainly HDL-C differences) and 40% of strokes
• Residual differences are large for stroke but non-significant for coronary and stroke events
Conclusions
• These analyses are compatible with the possibility that CV event differences were explained by the variables considered
• BP differences unlikely single explanation
• Residual differences, albeit non-significant, are large especially for stroke
• ASCOT provides implications for optimal CV prevention independent of these analyses
ASCOT: BPLA and LLA combined: Insight into optimal CV prevention (2)
EndpointAmlodipine
perindopril + statin
Atenolol thiazide + placebo
Relative risk reduction
Fatal MI and non-fatal CHD 4.8 9.2 48%
Fatal and non-fatal stroke 4.6 8.2 44%
Rates / 1000 patient years
Final conclusions
• Amlodipine perindopril based therapy confers an advantage over atenolol thiazide based therapy on all major CV end points, all-cause mortality and new-onset diabetes
• Irrespective of the reasons for benefit, the standard regimen of beta-blocker thiazide should not be preferred to the amlodipine perindopril regimen for most patients
• Compared with standard antihypertensive therapy without statin therapy, the amlodipine perindopril regimen plus atorvastatin reduced coronary and stroke events by almost 50%
AHA 2006Results CAFE study, a substudy of ASCOT
Central vs brachial bloodpressure
•Are antihypertensive drugs equal in lowering central bloodpressure?
• What determines central bloodpressure ?
• What are the consequences of lower central bloodpressure?
CAFE study: Rationale
• Brachial blood pressure is a strong predictor of clinical outcomes in people with hypertension
• It is assumed that brachial blood pressure accurately reflects pressures in the central aorta and thus left ventricular load
• This assumption may not be valid in all circumstances because different classes of blood pressure-lowering drugs may differentially influence central aortic blood pressures
• In clinical trials comparing different blood pressure lowering-drugs, clinical outcomes could be influenced by drug effects on central aortic pressures, despite similar effects on brachial blood pressure
CAFE : Background (1)
• In clinical trials comparing different blood pressure lowering-drugs, clinical outcomes could be influenced by drug effects on central aortic pressures, despite similar effects on brachial blood pressure
• This hypothesis required testing in a prospective clinical outcomes trial evaluating 2 different blood pressure-lowering treatment regimens
• The Conduit Artery Functional Evaluation (CAFE) study was designed to test this hypothesis as a major substudy of the Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial (ASCOT)
CAFE : Background (2)
CAFE Hypothesis
Primary Objective• The different blood pressure-lowering regimens in
ASCOT (atenolol ± thiazide versus amlodipine ± perindopril) would produce different effects on central aortic pressures and hemodynamics despite similar effects on brachial blood pressure
Secondary Objective• Central aortic pressures would be an important
determinant of clinical outcomes in ASCOT
Williams B. et al. J Hum Hypertens. 2001; 15 (suppl 1): S69-S73
Methods
• Seated brachial blood pressure measured using Omron 705CP
• Pulse wave analysis 10 second sampling of radial artery pulse waves were recorded by tonometry
• The radial pulse wave was calibrated to brachial blood pressure and transformed to derive a central aortic pressure wave using the Sphygmocor© apparatus (v7)
CAFE study Profile2199 subjects recruited from 5
UK ASCOT centers
2073 evaluable for tonometry
1042 receivedAmlodipine-based regimen
1031 received atenolol-based regime
4 subjects incomplete information, 1 alive at last visit, 2 withdrawn consent, 1 lost to
follow-up
1042 assessed on an intention-to-treat basis 1038 complete
information(997 alive, 41 dead)
1 subject incomplete information, withdrawn
consent
1031 assessed on an intention-to-treat basis 1030 complete
information(989 alive, 41 dead)
126 excluded due to heart rate irregularity/poor waveforms
Baseline Demographics (1)
Atenolol-basedn=1031
Amlodipine-basedn=1042
Atenolol-basedn=9639
Amlodipine-basedn=9618
Women 189 (18.3%) 208 (20%) 2257 (23.5%) 2258 (23.4%)
Age (years) 62.6 (8.3) 62.9 (8.2) 63.0 (8.5) 63.0 (8.5)
White 886 (85.9%) 892 (85.6%) 9170 (95.3%) 9187 (95.3%)
Current smoker 251 (24.3%) 267 (25.6%) 3109 (32.3%) 3168 (32.9%)
SBP mm Hg 159.9 (16.6) 161 (18.4) 163.9 (18) 164.1 (18.1)
DBP (mm Hg) 92.4 (9.6) 92.6 (9.8) 94.5 (10.4) 94.8 (10.4)
Heart rate (bpm) 71.8 (12.3) 71.2 (12.4) 71.8 (12.6) 71.9 (12.7)
BMI (kg/m2) 29 (4.5) 29.1 (4.7) 28.7 (4.5) 28.7 (4.6)
Height (cm) 170.7 (8.7) 170.2 (9.4) NA NA
Total cholesterol (mg/dL)
224.3 (38.7) 224.3 (42.5) 228.2 (42.5) 228.2 (42.5)
LDL-cholesterol (mg/dL) 143.1 (34.8) 143.1 (34.8) 146.9 (38.7) 146.9 (38.7)
HDL-cholesterol (mg/dL)
50.3 (15.5) 50.3 (15.5) 50.3 (15.5) 50.3 (15.5)
Triglycerides (mg/dL) 159.4 (88.6) 159.4 (8.6) 168.3 (88.6) 159.4 (88.6)
Glucose (mg/dL) 110 (38) 110 (38) 112 (38) 112 (38)
Creatinine (mg/dL) 1.08 (0.18) 1.09 (0.19) 1.09 (0.19) 1.09 (0.18)
CAFE ASCOT
Baseline Demographics (2)
Atenolol-basedn=1031
Amlodipine-basedn=1042
Atenolol-basedn=9639
Amlodipine-basedn=9618
Medical history
Prior stroke/TIA 76 (7.4%) 62.9 (8.2) 63.0 (8.5) 63.0 (8.5)
Diabetes 252 (24.4%) 892 (85.6%) 9170 (95.3%) 9187 (95.3%)
LVH (echo or ECG) 237 (23%) 267 (25.6%) 3109 (32.3%) 3168 (32.9%)
Peripheral vascular disease
61 (5.9%) 59 (5.7%) 613 (6.4%) 586 (6.1%)
Other relevant CV disease
22 (2.1%) 27 (2.6%) 486 (5.1%) 533 (5.5)
Mean (SD) # risk factors 3.7 (0.9) 3.7 (0.9) 3.7 (0.9) 3.7 (0.9)
Drug therapy
BP treatment naive 109 (10.6%) 100 (9.6%) 1825 (19%) 1841 (19.1%)
Lipid-lowering therapy 120 (11.6%) 120 (11.5%) 1004 (10.4%) 1046 (10.9%)
Aspirin use 244 (23.7%) 274 (26.3%) 1837 (19.1%) 1851 (19.2%)
CAFE ASCOT
Mean Proportion of Time (%) on BPLowering Medication by Treatment Group*
Year 1 All study
Randomized to Amlodipine
Amlodipine 90.0 80.7
Perindopril 56.0 66.7
Amlodipine + perindopril 47.8 55.5
Randomized to Atenolol
Atenolol 88.1 73.5
Bendroflumethiazide 69.8 74.2
Atenolol + bendroflumethiazide 60.2 59.6
* From time of randomization into ASCOT
CAFE Study: Different waveforms demonstrate lower central BP in CCB/ACEI arm
Peripheral waveform Central aortic waveform
amlodipine ± perindopril atenolol ± bendroflumethiazide
Williams B. Circulation 2006.
Central aortic SBP difference: 4.3 mm Hg (P < 0.0001)
Central aortic PP difference: 3.0 mm Hg (P < 0.0001)
Williams B. Circulation 2006.
BP lowering drugs have different effects on central bloodpressure
Results summary (1)
• Atenolol±thiazide was associated with higher central aortic systolic pressure and higher central aortic pulse pressure, despite similar brachial pressures, when compared with amlodipine±perindopril
• Central aortic outgoing pressure wave (P1 height) was lower with atenolol±thiazide vs amlodipine±perindopril
• Pulse wave augmentation and the percentage of the central aortic pressure wave attributable to wave reflection was increased by atenolol±thiazide compared with amlodipine±perindopril
Central vs brachial bloodpressure
•Are antihypertensive drugs equal in lowering central bloodpressure?
• What determines central bloodpressure ?
• What are the consequences of lower central bloodpressure?
• If there was no wave reflection (ie. the aorta was an open-ended tube providing a simple resistance to flow), then:
• the pressure wave in the aortic root would be the same as the flow wave (see graph).
Figure 1
Pressure Wave Reflection at the Heart What is it?
Menu
Figure 1
• Now if we connect up the network of arteries with all its bifurcations and vascular beds, then:
• as this primary wave travels along the arteries it will generate reflected waves from each bifurcation and from the peripheral vascular beds.
• all these small reflected waves return to the heart, summing to create a reflected wave as shown, starting even before the end of systole.
Menu
Figure 2
Pressure Wave Reflection at the Heart What is it?
• So the pressure in the aortic root is the sum of the outgoing and reflected wave (the green wave).
• Note importantly how the reflected wave boosts the coronary artery perfusion pressure – the aortic root pressure – during diastole when over 95% of perfusion of the sub-endocardium takes place.
Figure 3
Pressure aorta is sum of wave reflections at the Heart
Menu
Figure 3
• The speed at which the outgoing and reflected waves travel is dependent on the stiffness of the arteries along which they are travelling.
• So if a person has stiffer arteries, the waves will travel out and back quicker, arriving earlier back at the heart (see graph).
Figure 4
What determines wave reflection at the heart?
Menu
Figure 4
• Now when the outgoing and reflected waves are added there is a very different aortic root pressure waveform.
• There are three important clinical implications.
Figure 5
Pressure Wave Reflection at the Heart
Menu
Figure 5
Central vs brachial bloodpressure
•Are antihypertensive drugs equal in lowering central bloodpressure?
• What determines central bloodpressure ?
•Clinical consequences of lower central bloodpressure and
possible explanations?
PP
• First, the central systolic pressure and central pulse pressure is increased.
• An increase in the central pulse pressure that drives cerebral blood flow increases stroke risk.
• NOTE: this change in central systolic pressure can occur without any changes occurring in peripheral cuff systolic pressure.
Pressure Wave Reflection at the Heart Consequences
Increased CentralPulse Pressure
Menu
Figure 6
Fatal and non-fatal stroke
Number at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9483 9331 9156 8972 7863Atenolol thiazide 9618 9461 9274 9059 8843 7720
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Years0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events 327)
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events 422)
HR = 0.77 (0.66 0.89)p = 0.0003
%
• Second, there is an increase in left ventricular load (LV load).
• Increase in LV load accelerates increase in LV mass and increases risk of LV hypertrophy.
• The area under the pressure-time curve during systole is by definition LV load.
• This increase in LV Load (late systolic “afterload”) is shown by the black arrowed region.
Figure 7
Pressure Wave Reflection at the Heart
LVLIncreased LV Load
Menu
• Third, the pressure that is perfusing the coronary arteries during the critical diastole period is reduced, increasing the risk of myocardial ischemias.
• Conclusion: Increasing arterial stiffness independently increases the risk of all three major cardiovascular outcomes.
Figure 8
Pressure Wave Reflection at the Heart
Decreased Coronary ArteryPerfusion Pressure in
Diastole
Menu
Number at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9400 9204 8984 8744 7614Atenolol thiazide 9618 9373 9136 8864 8591 7470
Years0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events 753)
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events 852)
HR = 0.87 (0.79 0.96)p = 0.0070
%
Total coronary end point
CV mortality
Number at riskAmlodipine perindopril 9639 9544 9441 9322 9167 8078Atenolol thiazide 9618 9532 9415 9261 9085 7975
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Years0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Amlodipine perindopril(No. of events 263)
Atenolol thiazide(No. of events 342)
HR = 0.76 (0.65 0.90)p = 0.0010
%
-5
-10
-15
-20
-25
SBP DBP SBP PP2,3Brachial BP Central BP (aorta)
Dec
reas
e in
BP
(m
mH
g)
Adjusted difference
between group
(mmHg)
-6,02p<0,001
-0,32P= 0,715
-12,52p< 0,001
-10,34p< 0,01
Perindopril / indapamide (2 / 0,625 mg)
Atenolol (50 mg)
Asmar R et al. Hypertension. 2001;38:922-926.
BP lowering drugs have different effects on central bloodpressure
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
-3.1
Ao-AI (%)
+1.8
Perindopril-indapamide
Atenolol
P=0.002P=0.112
REASON study / AI decrease REASON study / AI decrease
P<0.001
Asmar R et al. Hypertens. 2001;38:922-926.
Thybo NK, et al. Hypertension 1995; 25: 474-481
vs before *P <0.05. **P <0.01 - vs atenolol iiP < 0.01
Mean BP (mmHg)
Lumen ø (µm)
90 122 101** 126 98**
237 208 247*ii 222 208
P < 0.01 P < 0.05
NS
Normotensive Before BeforeAfter After
Arterialmedia-to-lumen
ratio (%)
8
6
4 5.82
7.94
5.96
7.14
6.79
Perindopriln=13
Atenololn=12
Normotensiven=25
BP lowering drugs have different effects on structure small arteries
HCTZ 25 mg + amiloride 2,5 mg
Perindopril 4 mg
carotid artery elasticity(% improvement)
0
5
10
15
20
1
16*
p < 0.05
*p<0.05 versus baseline
Double-blind randomized study
41 hypertensive patients (DBP : 95 - 110 mmHg)
Perindopril : n = 20 - Diuretic : n = 21)
6-week placebo run-in
6-month study
BP lowering drugs have different effects on structure large arteries
Kool M.J. Van Bortel L.M. et al. J Hypertens 1995 ; 13 :839 - 848
CAFE Study Conclusions
• Brachial blood pressure overestimated the hemodynamic benefit of atenolol ± thiazide-based treatment and underestimated the benefit of amlodipine ± perindopril-based treatment on central aortic pressures and hemodynamics
• Central aortic pressure may be an important independent determinant of clinical outcomes
• Results of the CAFE study suggest that the “central aortic blood pressure hypothesis” is a plausible mechanism to explain the better clinical outcomes for hypertensive patients treated with amlodipine ± perindopril-based therapy in ASCOT