BE Long Assignment Banking Industry 10-23-38!62!70 73 79

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    INDUSTRY ANALYSIS

    PRIVATE

    BANKING INDUSTRY

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    INDUSTRY ANALYSIS Banking in India originated in the last decades of the

    18th century

    The first banks were THE GENERAL BANK OF INDIA,which started in 1786

    The oldest bank in existence in India is the STATEBANK OF INDIA, which originated as the BANK OFCALCUTTA in June 1806

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    Industry Analysis Cont The first fully Indian owned bank was the ALLAHABAD

    BANK, established in 1865

    The banking industry has grown at a compounded annual

    rate of over 51 per cent since April 2001

    Industry life cycle Growing stage

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    88 Scheduled

    commercial banks

    27 Public sector

    banks

    31 Private banks 38 Foreign banks

    Banking

    OVERVIEW OF THE INDUSTRY

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    MARKET STRUCTURE

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    GROWTH RATE Private Bank 50%

    Public sector bank 15%

    Private and Public Bank 35%

    Foreign 20%

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    INDUSTRY OVERVIEW :PRIVATE BANKING

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    BACKGROUND The first private bank in India to be set up in Private

    Sector Banks in India was IndusInd Bank

    The first Private Bank in India to receive an inprinciple approval from the Reserve Bank of India wasHDFC

    ING Vysya, yet another Private Bank of India was

    incorporated in the year 1930

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    SOME PRIVATE BANKS Dhanalakshmi Bank

    HDFC Bank

    ICICI Bank IndusInd Bank

    ING Vysya Bank

    http://finance.indiamart.com/investment_in_india/dhanalakshmi_bank.htmlhttp://finance.indiamart.com/investment_in_india/hdfc_bank.htmlhttp://finance.indiamart.com/investment_in_india/icici_bank.htmlhttp://finance.indiamart.com/investment_in_india/indusind_bank.htmlhttp://finance.indiamart.com/investment_in_india/ing_vysya_bank.htmlhttp://finance.indiamart.com/investment_in_india/ing_vysya_bank.htmlhttp://finance.indiamart.com/investment_in_india/indusind_bank.htmlhttp://finance.indiamart.com/investment_in_india/icici_bank.htmlhttp://finance.indiamart.com/investment_in_india/hdfc_bank.htmlhttp://finance.indiamart.com/investment_in_india/dhanalakshmi_bank.html
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    Some Major Players

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    SIZE Still at a nascent stage but growing very rapidly

    The public sector banks hold over 75% of total assets of thebanking industry, with the private and foreign banksholding 18.2% and 6.5% respectively.

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    Today, we find ourselves at a stage where the

    banking environment is underpinned by:

    Sufficient operational flexibility for banks, whichensures decision making on a commercial basis

    Increased competition for banks on both assets as wellas liabilities side

    Emergence of other non-bank financial intermediaries

    Technology-aided proliferation of different serviceplatforms

    Integration of a risk management culture within thestrategy framework with availability of various riskmanagement instruments

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    GROWTH DRIVERS

    1

    CONSTANT INNOVATION AND DEVELOPMENTOF EFFECTIVE BUSINESS MODEL

    2

    RELAXATION IN GOVERNMENT LAWS WHICHHELP TO STRENGTHEN SECTOR

    3 REDUCTION IN INTERMEDIATION COST

    4 MOVE INTO NEW CUSTOMER SEGMENTS ANDGEOGRAPHIES

    5 INCREASE IN THE DEMAND FOR LOANS

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    1 INCREASING LITERACY RATES ACROSS THE COUNTRY

    2 OUR COUNTRY WILL UNDERGO DEMOGRAPHIC REVOLUTION AS

    BIRTH RATES DECLINE AND RISE IN WORKING POPULATION

    3 RIS E IN CONSTRUCTION AND MANUFACTURING SECTORS

    4 INCREASE IN INDUSTRIAL CAPACITY

    5 MIDDLE CLASS SIZE

    UPCOMING GROWTH

    DRIVERS

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    CHANGING TRENDS The private banking industry is adapting to take advantage of

    the changes by setting up satellite offices near the new centers

    of wealth creation.

    Fee-only private banking is challenging the old commission-

    based private banking model

    The phrase "private banking" is beginning to smell like old

    caviar.

    Value-add is the rule of the day.

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    RETAIL BANKING Retail banking is becoming an increasingly

    complex concept to define. While

    pure retail banking is generally conceived to be

    the provision of mass market

    banking services to private individuals, it has beenexpanded over the years to

    include in many cases services provided to small-and medium sized businesses.

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    GROWTH DRIVERS IN RETAIL

    BANKING

    Shift in the pattern of GDP from hitherto agriculture andmanufacturing sectors to services sector with increase percapital

    Growing concept of nuclear families than the joint familiesnecessitating need for housing units as well as other items ofconsumer durables

    Increased demand for dwelling units due to gradual shift of

    population from rural/semi-urban centre to urban/metrocentre for employment.

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    GROWTH DRIVERS IN RETAIL

    BANKING

    Increased middle-income segment and their income levels.

    Emergence of new sectors such as Information Technology,media, etc. In the economy that resulted in higher incomeopportunities and major impact on change in urbanconsumption pattern.

    Awareness and sophistication in urban and semi-urbanhouseholds for urban convenience. Social security and statushave also contributed to higher demand for housing units, cars,etc.

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    CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS Technology: Helps in introducing innovative

    products, improve the quality of products, lower downthe costs ,lower transaction times, bring convenienceto the customers.

    Service Quality: All the dimensions of the servicesoffered to the customer . Be it quality of customerrelationship service, ATM facilities, mobile bankingetc.

    Best rates: For survival , banks have to offer rates areamong the lowest among competition.

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    CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS Brand Image: Plays an important part in customers

    choosing the bank or product. Good Brand imagegenerally implies reliability and better quality ofservices to many customers.

    Size of the company: Total market share , total assets, total ATMS, total customer base. Bigger size meanshigher reach, penetration.

    Marketing:A bank must market its services,convenience , financial advantages to attract newcustomers. Stagnation will lead to decline.

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    CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS Location and convenience: Customers will prefer to

    use a bank located at a easily accessible location .Onewhich has more branches, making transactions easy.

    Product Innovation: Generally all the banks offeralmost same products, even a small differentiation orinnovation can make a huge difference.

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    CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS Increase in NPAs(non performing assets)

    Increased regulatory constraints

    Periodic failure of weak banks threatens theconfidence in the sector.

    Individual fraud by employees could shake confidencein the entire brand.

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    RISK FACTORS & CHALLENGES Bank penetration limited to few areas and geographies

    Retain and also retain new talent

    Increase profits outside an elite customer base withsmaller transactions

    Inability to differentiate with respect to other banks

    Strong challenge from government banks

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    RBI Reserve Bank of India ESTABLISHED in 1935

    Central bank of India

    Function performs :-

    I. Banker to Government

    II. Currency issuer

    III. Development role

    IV. Manager of exchange control

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    REGULATORY FRAMEWORK

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    REGULATORY FRAMEWORK

    (Continued..) The RBI is the sole regulator for the industry while the

    Ministry of Finance (MoF) is responsible for formingthe enabling legislative framework

    Total aggregate foreign investment e.g. FDI, FII, etc -

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    Banking Regulation Act, 1949

    No single entity or group of related entities can haveshareholding or control, directly or indirectly, in any

    bank in excess of 10% of the paid up capital of theprivate sector bank

    Any higher level of acquisition will be with the priorapproval of RBI according to guidelines issued by RBIfor grant of acknowledgement acquisition of shares

    REGULATORY FRAMEWORK

    (CONTINUED..)

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    FDI will mandatorily required to have a credit rating

    Initial minimum paid-up capital Rs. 200 crore

    Initial Capital required Rs. 300 crore within 3 yearsof commencement of business.

    REGULATORY FRAMEWORK

    (CONTINUED..)

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    SBI18%

    ICICI14%

    HDFC12%PNB

    10%

    AXIS

    10%

    OTHERS

    36%

    MAJOR MARKET SHARE

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    DATA ANALYSIS (In Million INR)

    Bank Name Net sales2009

    Net profit2009

    Net sales2008

    Net profit2008

    SBI 177797 24790 180303 24784

    ICICI 60896 11011 78361 12721

    HDFC 40348 8185 44685 6217

    PNB 55055 10113 52947 10058

    AXIS 28837 6560 29848 5005

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    CHALLENGES FACED BY BANKING INDUSTRYIN INDIA

    Deregulation

    New rules

    Efficiency

    Diffused customer loyalty

    Misaligned mindset

    Competency gap

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    INNOVATIONS

    CUSTOMERSERVICE

    CREDIT

    MANAGEMENT

    ASSET LIABILITYMANAGEMENT

    ATMSSMART CARDS

    INTERNET

    BANKING

    RESOURCEMOBILISATION

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    KEY FINDINGS

    Market Structure PERFECT COMPETITION

    Many sellers and Many buyers

    Homogeneous product

    Perfect knowledge of the market conditions

    Free entry of firms

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    COMPETITION ANALYSIS

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    Porters Analysis-Bargaining

    powers of suppliers-LOW

    Non critical nature of suppliers

    Few alternatives for the suppliers Suppliers are not unionized or have a strong group

    Supplier bound by SLA's and other binding contracts

    Forward integration a standard practice

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    Porters Analysis-Threat of

    competitors-HIGH

    Large no of banks

    Low switching costs for customers Highly undifferentiated services

    Aggressive wooing of customers and HNIs by rivals

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    Porters Analysis-Threat of

    substitutes-MEDIUM

    Other means of savings like gold, real estate, etc.

    Deposits in post offices Instruments like KVP's and infrastructure bonds.

    Equity market exposure of investors

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    Porters Analysis-Threat of new

    entrants-LOW

    Product differentiation can be very difficult

    Licensing requirements can be very complex High fixed starting cost and complex regulations

    High exit barriers

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    Porters Analysis-Bargaining power

    of customers-HIGH

    Large no. of alternatives

    Low switching costs Undifferentiated services

    Well informed about competitors

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    Porters Analysis-Summary

    Threat ofcompetitors-

    HIGH

    Threat ofsubstitutes-MEDIUM

    Threat ofnew

    entrants-LOW

    Bargainingpower of

    Customers-HIGH

    Bargainingpower of

    suppliers-LOW

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    ELASTICITY ANALYSIS

    LENDING RATE SAVING RATE

    CONSUMERS NOTATTRACTED

    CONSUMERS ATTRACTED

    CONSUMERS ATTRACTED

    CONSUMERS NOTATTRACTED

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    DEMAND AND SUPPLY ANALYSISREAL ESTATE

    Recession(2008) Holding back money

    CRR rate increases Affected wholebanking industry

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    Strengths

    -Valuable contributor to GDP over a periodof 15 years and of pivotal importance to theIslands economy.

    -High standard regulatory environment

    -Flexible work permit system and goodquality staff offering personal client service.

    Weaknesses

    Weak retail and mass affluent customerproposition.

    Lack of legitimate access to markets,

    especially the EU. Lack of competitive differential with otheroffshore centres.

    Rigid legislation that inhibits developent

    Opportunities

    Unified trade body to leadfinance sector program change.

    Active and aggressive targeting ofcorporate & private clients, and institutionsthat attract such clients, to shift focus frommass affluent to HNW business.

    Morphing of Banking propositions tocreate a bigger market share for all.

    Threats

    ESD significantly impacts business levels,affecting the Savings Banks in particular.

    Anti-offshore regulations in foreign targetmarkets restricting the development ofproducts and new markets.

    Downsizing and reduction in bankingoperations in favour of rival jurisdictions.

    Outsourcing to cheaper jurisdictions

    SWOTAnalysis

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    CONSUMER SATISFACTION

    Consumer (The King ) Reaching at doorstepsProviding in a

    customized manner

    Differentiating quality(Education, Marriage,Status, Age, Income,

    etc.)

    Behavior Loyalty with the product

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    Industry Direction Profit growth is expected to be mid-market high-net-

    worth individuals (HNWI) in the developed wealthmanagement markets

    Global private banks are actively developing activitiesin the three key markets of China, India and Russia

    Growth in the offshore wealth management area isexpected to lag that of onshore business;

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    Transformation of wealth

    management

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    Geographic participation New emerging wealth markets:

    Particular attention has focused on the BRICeconomies Brazil, Russia, India and China in

    particular the latter three economies, given theprojected economic growth over the coming decades

    Indias economy could be larger than Japans by 2032

    Goldman Sachs forecasts show that the combined BRICeconomies will be larger than the current G6 (US, Japan,UK, Germany, France and Italy) by 2039

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    Client relationship deepening Focus to cultivate new business on client relationships

    Focusing aggressively on intergenerational wealthtransfers, especially for mid-range

    Expand the advisory role to encompassintergenerational wealth transfer products andservices

    Wealth managers to understand the needs andexpectations of clients

    ew propos ons : es y e

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    ew propos ons : es y eservices

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    Key is to develop common skills in

    building relationships

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    Product Line and Value Proposition

    for ICICI Digitally signed statement Corporate benefit tracking Mobile Alerts and Requests

    Demat General Insurance Life Insurance

    Card Protection Plans

    Insurance

    Micro Banking Tractor Loans

    Agri Traders and ProcessorsAgri Corporate

    Agri and Rural

    Debit Credit

    Corporate Pre-paidCards Net banking and Mobile Banking Investments LoansAccounts and Deposits

    Loans

    Others

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    Product Line and Value Proposition for

    ICICI Meal Card Gift Card

    LIC Co branded Annuity CardCards

    Debt and Equity Solutions Private Equity, M& A

    Depository, Trusteeship and Advisory Services Capital market funding

    E-Broking

    CapitalMarket

    Working Capital Finance Term Loans and Structured Finance

    Trade Services and Trade Finance SME Standard Products

    Supply Chain Management

    Overseas Financing and Transaction Power Trac

    Credit

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    Product Line and Value Proposition for

    ICICIWealth Advisory ServicesMutual FundsTax Planning

    Insurance, General & Health InsuranceBonds, Equities & Derivatives

    Mudra Gold and Silver Bar

    Investmentsand Insurance

    ForexPlus card

    ForexPlus Chip cardRemittancesCash to MasterTravellers Cheque and trade Services

    Forex Services

    Debit and Credit CardsPrepaid CardsForexPlus CardGiftPlus Card

    FoodPlus CardMoneyPlus CardForexPlus Chip Card

    Cards

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    MERGERS ANDACQUISITIONS

    Important Deals in Banking

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    Important Deals in Banking

    Date ofmerger

    Acquirer bank Target bankAssets of targetbank as % ofacquiring banks

    assets

    Number

    ofbranchesof target

    bank

    August 2010 ICICI Bank Bank of Rajasthan 0.05 463

    February 2008 HDFC BankCenturion Bank ofPunjab 20 394

    August 2007Centurion Bank ofPunjab

    Lord Krishna Bank 11 110

    March 2007 Indian Overseas Bank Bharat Overseas Bank 6 102

    October 2006 IDBI United Western Bank 8 230

    October 2005 Centurion Bank Bank of Punjab 106 136

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    ICICI Bank of Rajasthan ICICI Bank increase its branch network by 25 per cent

    to about 2,500 across the country

    Greater visibility to ICICI Bank in western andnorthern parts of the country.

    With the merger, the balance sheet of ICICI Bankwould cross Rs four lakh crore

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    ICICI Bank of Rajasthan Shares of ICICI Bank closed at Rs 963.95, down 0.74 %

    Bank of Rajasthan shares slipped 0.03 per cent to Rs190.15

    In May, boards of both the banks approved a share-swap deal that valued BOR at over Rs 3,000-crore

    The share swap ratio was fixed at one ICICI Bank share

    for every 4.72 shares of BOR

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    HDFC-Centurial Bank of Punjab Figures after combination

    The combined entity would have a nationwide networkof 1,148 branches, largest among private banks

    Deposit base of around Rs. 1,200 billion and netadvances of around Rs. 850 billion

    The balance sheet size of the combined entity would beover Rs. 1,500 billion

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    HDFC-Centurial Bank of Punjab The share exchange ratio approved by the respective

    Boards was based on the recommendations made by

    M/s Dalal & Shah

    Ernst & Young Private Ltd. who acted as

    The board has approved the share swap ratio of oneshare of Rs 10 each of HDFC Bank for every 29 sharesof Re 1 each held in Centurion Bank of Punjab,

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    Indian Overseas Bank-Bharat

    Overseas Bank BhOB is owned by seven banks, including Indian

    Overseas Bank (30%)

    Indian Overseas Bank owned 30 per cent inBharat Overseas Bank

    IOB took over BhOB in 2007with employees,

    assets and deposits

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    IDBI-United Western Bank In 2006, IDBI Bank acquired United Western Bank

    in a rescue

    The stock was available at a price-to-book multiple of

    0.8 and a price-to-earnings multiple of about eighttimes its trailing 12 months earnings

    UWB accepted an offer at 28 Rs per share

    The merger would give IDBI immediate access to the230-branch network of UWB,

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    IDBI-United Western Bank IDBI, with a balance-sheet size of Rs 81,700 crore, has a

    network of 181 branches now

    The merger would give IDBI immediate access to the

    230-branch network of UWB, thereby widening itsdeposit franchise

    The merger with UWB is likely to help IDBI diversifyits credit profile. Dominant in industrial financing,IDBI should get exposure to agriculture credit throughUWB

    Benefit of an improved deposit mix for IDBI

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    Centurion Bank-Bank of Punjab In July 2005 the approval was given to the Centurion

    Bank and Bank of Punjab to merge the ratio being4:9

    This means that for 4 shares of Bank of Punjab theshareholder would get 9 shares of the Centurion Bank

    The merger was activated due to considerations ofcommon goal and area of operation.

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    Possible future M&As In a bid to strengthen the development financing

    character of IDBI, the UPA government has revived theproposal to merge two ailing institutions -- IIBI and

    IFCI -- with it after segregating their bad assets. IFCI should not be a mere restructuring of balance

    sheet, which is the easiest way to address a problem

    Referring to the McKinsey report on IFCI, he said thebad and good assets have to be segregated before it ismerged.

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    Possible future M&As BI Caps' assessment of IFCI was not accepted by the

    institution's top brass

    Sources said merger of IFCI with another FI like IDBIwill make more sense

    Gupta admitted that IFCI was in financial trouble andthe government had backed it, considering therelevance of DFI in the country.

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    Possible future M&As The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation

    (HSBC) reported it had agreed on a deal that will see ittakeover the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) Group Plcs

    retail and commercial businesses in India RBS retail and commercial businesses in the country

    are estimated to have a net asset value of $1.8 billion,

    The deal agreed upon requires that 90% of any creditlosses that are incurred on RBS unsecured lendingportfolios over the two years

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    Impact of M&A ICICI Bank

    Bank of Rajasthan

    Strengthen ICICI Banks network in northern as well as

    western India Sangli Bank & Bank of Madura

    Strengthen ICICI Banks network in western India

    Centurion Bank of Punjab

    Lord Krishna Bank

    In-depth coverage in Punjab, NCR & Kerala

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    Impact of M&A HDFC Bank Centurion Bank of Punjab

    HDFC to add scale, geography & experienced staff to its

    franchise Merger will position the combined entity to significantly

    exploit opportunities in market

    Combined will be greater force in the market

    Times Bank Increase the presence of HDFC Bank in the depository

    participant activities

    HDFC Bank saves on the cost associated with technology upgradation

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    Impact of M&A Oriental Bank of Commerce

    Global Trust Bank

    OBC will get much needed edge in the southern part of the

    country Both banks will get benefited from common core banking

    solution Finacle, which will help in the consolidation

    Punjab National Bank

    Nedungadi Bank PNB will be able to reach out to southern region, especially in

    Kerala

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