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BEEF & VEALMARKET SITUATION
"Single CMO" Management Committee 18 April 2013
2
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
All CAT GLOBAL VIEW
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
All CAT GLOBAL VIEW
P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S
200
250
300
350
400
450
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
A R3
C R3
D O3
E R3
Source : Member StatesLast Update : Week 14 - 2013
3
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
A / C . R3
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
A / C . R3
P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S
397,34 397,03% change y/y : + 4,3% % change y/y : + 3,2%
178,7%% Ref. Price in wk 14 :
Price in week 14 : Average price in March 2013 :
289,1
311,4
333,6
355,8
378,1
400,3
422,6
130%
140%
150%
160%
170%
180%
190%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
€/100 kg cwe
2006-2010 Avg 2011 2012 2013
% of Reference Price
Source : Member States AC - R 3 > Wk.14-2013
4
0,00
100,00
200,00
300,00
400,00
500,00
600,00
700,00
| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
Prices of live Bovine animalsNB: different types of price settings
Bovins maigres de 6 à 12 mois poids <= 300 kg(Poids vif/100 kg)
Veaux de 8 jours à 4 semaines(Tête)
Veaux de boucherie(Cacasses/100 kg)
5
0
100
200
300
| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
EU monthly avg. price of Dairy and Beef Calvesveaux de 8 jours à 4 semaines
in €uro/ Head
EU 100 DAIRY BULLS EU 100 BEEF BULLS
Linear (EU 100 DAIRY BULLS) Linear (EU 100 BEEF BULLS)
6
0
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
30.000
35.000
<1y Of wh for Slaughter >1y<2y Of wh for Slaughter >2j of wh Cows of wh Dairy Buff
Provisional results of the Bovine Nov/ Dec Survey 2012EL, CY &UK missing
2009
2010
2011
2012
8
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
EU24
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EI EL ES FR IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK SF SE UK
Dairy Cows as a % of the total Bovine Herd 2010
2011
2012
11
P R O D U C T I O N P R O D U C T I O N E.U. E V O L U T I O N
A D U L T C A T T L E
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
A D U L T C A T T L E
0,000
62,500
125,000
187,500
250,000
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EI EL ES FR IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SE UK
in T
on
n
Change in Adult Cattle Slaughter(Bulls, Bullocks, Cows & Heifers)
Jan. - Feb 2012 / 2013
Heifers
Cows
Bullocks &Bulls
12
P R O D U C T I O N P R O D U C T I O N E.U. E V O L U T I O N
V E A L
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
V E A L
0,000
15,000
30,000
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EI EL ES FR IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SE UK
Sla
ug
hte
r in
To
nn
Change in Veal Slaughter(Calves & Young Cattle)
Period: Jan - Feb Year:2012 & 2013
Y. Cattle
Calves
15
-15,0%
-10,0%
-5,0%
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
CY BG RO AT MT EL PL DE NL SF LT IT ES LU BE EE LV DK FR HU UK PT SI CZ EI SV SK EU
Percentual change in Adult Cattle SlaughterPeriod: Jan - Dec (EU 27= -4,5%) Year: 2012 / 2011
21
M A R G I N M A R G I N E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Animal + Feed Purchase COST
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Animal + Feed Purchase COST
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
0
100
200
300
400
| 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |
€u
ro/
he
ad
Remainder of: Selling price AR 3,minus purchased calf plus feedcost for grain fattening
Remainder Young Bulls A.R 3 Extra gain of FCR between 7- 6 Feedcost x*7
Feed conversion rate: (FCR) 7 or 6 kg feed = 1kg live weight.Feed ration: 40% compound feed (energy + proteine), 15% barley, 15% maize, 20% wheat, 10% straw Carcase yield: 0.57
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
0
100
200
300
400
| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
€u
ro/
he
ad
Remainder of: Selling price AR 3,minus purchased calf plus feedcost for grain fattening
Remainder Young Bulls A.R 3 Extra gain of FCR between 7- 6 Feedcost x*7
Feed conversion rate: (FCR) 7 or 6 kg feed = 1kg live weight.Feed ration: 40% compound feed (energy + proteine), 15% barley, 15% maize, 20% wheat, 10% straw Carcase yield: 0.57
22
M A R G I N M A R G I N E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Animal + Feed Purchase COST
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Animal + Feed Purchase COST
0
100
200
300
400
500
0
100
200
300
400
500
| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
€u
ro/
he
ad
Remainder of: Selling price AR 3,minus purchased calf plus feedcost for grain/ grass fattening.
Remainder Young Bulls A.R 3 Extra gain of FCR between 7- 6 Feedcost x*7
Feed conversion rate: (FCR) 7 or 6 kg feed = 1kg live weight.Feed ration: 62,7% fodder (silage maize), 18,6% grains (maize + wheat, 13,3% soja cake, 5,3% straw Carcase yield: 0.57
23
EU exports of beef and live animals (1):Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)
DestinationsDestinations
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. E X P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
E.U. E X P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
2009 2010 Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Feb 12
Russia 50.881 20,4% 135.991 27,9% 138.910 21,8% 98.433 19,0% 10.951 16,7% - 13,4%
Algeria 6.681 2,7% 16.259 3,3% 17.970 2,8% 17.324 3,3% 3.817 5,8% + 89,3%
Sw itzerland 19.072 7,7% 22.352 4,6% 26.432 4,2% 19.570 3,8% 3.319 5,1% + 17,4%
Lebanon 7.838 3,1% 33.815 6,9% 23.275 3,7% 24.100 4,6% 3.068 4,7% + 89,5%
Turkey 571 0,2% 71.029 14,6% 166.753 26,2% 100.742 19,4% 1.939 3,0% - 86,0%
Croatia 25.126 10,1% 23.159 4,8% 24.986 3,9% 21.981 4,2% 1.792 2,7% - 37,9%
Other Destinations 138.995 55,8% 184.016 37,8% 238.154 37,4% 236.730 45,6% 37.141 56,7% + 8,0%
EXTRA EU 25/27 249.165 486.621 636.480 518.880 65.547
% change + 95% + 31% - 18% - 10,1%
2011 Jan-Feb 132012
24
EU exports of beef and live animals:Trade figures (COMEXT)
131.479
55.69612.547
42.906
32.184
28.313
96.198
105.684
113.408
305.543
220.086
196.977
0
50.000
100.000
150.000
200.000
250.000
300.000
350.000
Jan-Feb 11 Jan-Feb 12 Jan-Feb 13
1,00
0 EU
R
EU EXPORTS of Beef & Veal (1000 EUR)
Turkey Russia GhanaLebanon Hong Kong AlgeriaOther destinations
33.649
13.8291.939
20.640
12.640
10.951
33.778
34.399
37.141
102.089
72.89765.547
0
20.000
40.000
60.000
80.000
100.000
120.000
Jan-Feb 11 Jan-Feb 12 Jan-Feb 13
Tonn
es c
w
EU EXPORTS of Beef & Veal (Tonnes cwe)
Turkey Russia Ghana
Lebanon Hong Kong Algeria
Other destinations
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. E X P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
E.U. E X P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
25
0
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
50.000
60.000
70.000
80.000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
2012 |Jan13
in Tonnes cwe
Exports of BEEF products
LIVE ANIMALS FRESH FROZEN PREPARED OTHERS
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. E X P O R T S
B e e f P r o d u c t s
E.U. E X P O R T S
B e e f P r o d u c t s
26
EU beef Exports to TURKEYTrade figures (COMEXT data) tonnes cwe
0
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
30.000
35.000
40.000
Jan
10
Feb
10
Ma
r 1
0
Ap
r 10
Ma
y 1
0
Jun
10
Jul 1
0
Au
g 1
0
Se
p 1
0
Oct
10
No
v 1
0
De
c 1
0
Jan
11
Feb
11
Ma
r 1
1
Ap
r 11
Ma
y 1
1
Jun
11
Jul 1
1
Au
g 1
1
Se
p 1
1
Oct
11
No
v 1
1
De
c 1
1
Jan
12
Feb
12
Ma
r 1
2
Ap
r 12
Ma
y 1
2
Jun
12
Jul 1
2
Au
g 1
2
Se
p 1
2
Oct
12
No
v 1
2
De
c 1
2
Jan
13
Feb
13
Fresh Bovine "Compensated" quarters
Fresh Bovine (un)-separated Forequarters
Fresh Bovine (un)-separated Hindquarters
Frozen Bovine "Compensated" quarters
Live Animals
TOTAL
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. E X P O R T S
B e e f t o T U R K E Y
E.U. E X P O R T S
B e e f t o T U R K E Y
27
EU beef Exports to RUSSIATrade figures (COMEXT data) tonnes cwe
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. E X P O R T S
B e e f t o R U S S I A
E.U. E X P O R T S
B e e f t o R U S S I A
0
2.000
4.000
6.000
8.000
10.000
12.000
14.000
16.000
18.000
20.000
22.000
24.000
Jan
10
Fe
b 10
Ma
r 10
Ap
r 1
0
Ma
y 10
Jun
10
Jul 1
0
Au
g 10
Se
p 10
Oct
10
No
v 10
De
c 10
Jan
11
Fe
b 11
Ma
r 11
Ap
r 1
1
Ma
y 11
Jun
11
Jul 1
1
Au
g 11
Se
p 11
Oct
11
No
v 11
De
c 11
Jan
12
Fe
b 12
Ma
r 12
Ap
r 1
2
Ma
y 12
Jun
12
Jul 1
2
Au
g 12
Se
p 12
Oct
12
No
v 12
De
c 12
Jan
13
Fe
b 13
Live animals
Fresh Bovine meat
Frozen Bovine meat
Beef Offals
TOTAL
28
2.0
14
.
3.1
12
.
2.2
59
.
2.6
99
.
2.7
60
.
2.0
61
.
2.9
52
.
3.3
99
.
3.8
34
.
2.7
99
.
2.9
89
.
2.6
11
.
6.5
52
.
9.6
28
.
7.0
75
.
7.5
77
.
5.5
54
.
2.3
89
.
3.3
80
.
4.3
99
.
8.0
26
.
11.0
68
.
7.2
63
.
6.5
03
.
5.5
60
.
2.6
29
. 4.6
37
.
2.1
52
.
86
8
.
98
2
.
2.1
11
.
2.5
11
.
3.5
65
.
5.7
89
.
3.9
53
.
3.8
04
.
3.1
83
.
2.4
32
.
1.8
76
.
1.9
29
.
3.3
48
.
3.9
69
.
2.7
28
.
2.1
96
.
1.9
95
.
2.4
41
.
3.8
72
.
3.2
27
.
1.7
47
.
2.4
91
.
1.3
44
.
1.5
69
.
2.0
71
.
86
7
.
2.9
56
.
3.6
07
.
4.0
40
.
4.0
99
.
4.2
51
.
3.0
97
.
3.4
58
.
4.5
97
.
4.1
27
.
5.0
05
.
3.6
77
.
5.2
13
.
2.6
84
.
3.0
04
.
4.3
74
.
4.3
28
.
5.8
51
.
5.3
29
.
5.8
29
.
5.4
18
.
6.6
01
.
6.6
17
.
6.1
58
.
5.1
35
.
4.1
12
.
5.0
70
.
5.0
05
.
4.8
86
.
5.4
12
.
4.4
57
.
4.8
92
.
5.4
78
.
6.0
38
.
7.3
62
.
6.8
17
.
6.2
15
.
3.9
88
.
3.5
73
. 6.3
52
.
4.8
77
.
4.8
18
.
4.8
97
.
5.3
91
.
4.9
25
.
4.8
27
.
5.1
29
.
4.9
08
.
6.1
26
.
3.7
59
.
4.1
04
.
0
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
Jan
09
Feb
09
Mar
09
Apr
09
May
09
Jun
09
Jul 0
9A
ug 0
9S
ep 0
9O
ct 0
9N
ov 0
9D
ec 0
9Ja
n 1
0F
eb 1
0M
ar 1
0A
pr 1
0M
ay 1
0Ju
n 1
0Ju
l 10
Aug
10
Sep
10
Oct
10
Nov
10
Dec
10
Jan
11
Feb
11
Mar
11
Apr
11
May
11
Jun
11
Jul 1
1A
ug 1
1S
ep 1
1O
ct 1
1N
ov 1
1D
ec 1
1Ja
n 1
2F
eb 1
2M
ar 1
2A
pr 1
2M
ay 1
2Ju
n 1
2Ju
l 12
Aug
12
Sep
12
Oct
12
Nov
12
Dec
12
Jan
13
Feb
13
To
nn
es
CW
E
.
EU Exports of LIVE Bovine Animals(Source COMEXT - Tonnes cwe)
Turkey Algeria Lebanon Other
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. E X P O R T S
L i v e A n i m a l s
E.U. E X P O R T S
L i v e A n i m a l s
29
EU imports of beef and live animals (1):Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)
OriginsOrigins
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. I M P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
E.U. I M P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
2009 2010 Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Feb 12
Brazil 149.007 34,6% 144.858 38,2% 125.872 38,9% 126.227 41,2% 23.011 45,5% + 38,0%
Argentina 122.494 28,4% 79.532 21,0% 62.704 19,4% 51.601 16,8% 7.458 14,7% - 21,0%
Uruguay 79.144 18,4% 66.189 17,5% 51.449 15,9% 51.786 16,9% 8.716 17,2% + 20,5%
USA 9.609 2,2% 15.308 4,0% 22.954 7,1% 20.776 6,8% 3.107 6,1% - 2,2%
Australia 16.937 3,9% 13.627 3,6% 18.081 5,6% 21.135 6,9% 3.542 7,0% + 19,6%
New Zealand 15.783 3,7% 13.671 3,6% 15.427 4,8% 15.161 4,9% 1.857 3,7% - 18,5%
Namibia 12.457 2,9% 13.571 3,6% 9.005 2,8% 8.720 2,8% 1.463 2,9% + 80,4%
Switzerland 4.394 1,0% 4.461 1,2% 5.661 1,7% 4.964 1,6% 711 1,4% + 5,6%
Chile 3.158 0,7% 2.441 0,6% 2.254 0,7% 1.710 0,6% 128 0,3% - 54,4%
Serbia 990 0,2% 1.127 0,3% 785 0,2% 639 0,2% 106 0,2% + 8,5%
Botswana 11.452 2,7% 15.763 4,2% 980 0,3% 474 0,2% 0 0,0% - 100,0%
EXTRA EU 25/27431.182 379.145 323.654 306.675 50.611
% change - 12% - 15% - 5% + 14,6%
2011 Jan-Feb 132012
30
EU imports of beef and live animals (2):Trade figures (COMEXT)
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. I M P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
E.U. I M P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
17.537 16.67423.011
10.092 9.443
7.458
8.9117.236
8.716
5.7164.680
4.77847.512 44.170
50.611
0
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
50.000
60.000
Jan-Feb 11 Jan-Feb 12 Jan-Feb 13
InTonnes
cwe
IMPORTS of Beef & Veal into EU (Tonnes cwe)
Brazil Argentina Uruguay Australia USA Other destinations
68.228 74.65192.947
72.758 75.31559.272
45.166 40.419 45.14613.524 14.907
18.723
29.45426.925
24.481245.923
256.568 263.736
0
50.000
100.000
150.000
200.000
250.000
300.000
Jan-Feb 11 Jan-Feb 12 Jan-Feb 13
in 1000EUR
IMPORTS of Beef & Veal into EU (1000 EUR)
Brazil Argentina Uruguay Australia USA Other destinations
31
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. I M P O R T S
B e e f P r o d u c t s
E.U. I M P O R T S
B e e f P r o d u c t s
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
2012 |Jan13
in Tonnes cwe
Imports of BEEF products
FRESH FROZEN PREPARED OTHERS
32
452403
446401
436 429398
491 513 529565
513556
395431
379323
228
1 263
1 1711 120
825
1 028
736
598 598
481455
352
292248
292249
485
635
392
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Jan-Sep12
1000 Tonne
IMPORTS EXPORTS
Trade balance on beef and live animals
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. T R A D E B A L A N C E
Beef & Live Animals
E.U. T R A D E B A L A N C E
Beef & Live Animals
452403
446401
436 429398
491 513 529565
513556
395431
379324 307
51
1.263
1.1711.120
825
1.028
736
598 598
481455
352292
248292
249
487
636
519
66
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jan-Feb13
1000 Tonne
IMPORTS EXPORTS
34
W O R L DB E E F M A R K E TW O R L DB E E F M A R K E T
E.U. I M P O R T S
BEEF MAIN IMPORTERS
E.U. I M P O R T S
BEEF MAIN IMPORTERS
Unite
d St
ates
Unite
d St
ates
Aust
ralia
Aust
ralia
Braz
il
Braz
il
Indi
a (u
p to
Jan
12)
Indi
a (u
p to
Jan
12)
New
Zea
land
New
Zea
land
Cana
da
Cana
da
EU
EU
Urug
uay
(up
to J
an 1
2)
Urug
uay
(up
to J
an 1
2)
Arge
ntin
a
Arge
ntin
a
Para
guay
Para
guay
Mex
ico
(up
to J
an 1
2)
Mex
ico
(up
to J
an 1
2)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2012 (up to February) 2013 (up to February)
Qty
in 1
000 T
onnes
Main Exporters of BEEF Products (up to February)
No 2103 figures available for : India, Uruguay, Argentina, Mexico ...
* Excluding live animals (0102), fats, preparations of several types of meat (0209, 0210 99 and 1602 90)
35
W O R L DB E E F M A R K E TW O R L DB E E F M A R K E T
E.U. E X P O R T S
BEEF MAIN EXPORTERS
E.U. E X P O R T S
BEEF MAIN EXPORTERS
Unite
d St
ates
Unite
d St
ates
Russ
ia
Russ
ia
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Japa
n
Japa
n
Mex
ico
(up
to J
an 1
2)
Mex
ico
(up
to J
an 1
2)
Sout
h Ko
rea
Sout
h Ko
rea
EU
EU
Cana
da
Cana
da
Turk
ey (u
p to
Jan
12)
Turk
ey (u
p to
Jan
12)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2012 (up to February) 2013 (up to February)
Qty
in 1
000 T
onnes
.
Main Importers of BEEF Products (up to February)
No 2103 figures available for : Mexico, Taiwan, Chile, ...
* Excluding live animals (0102), fats, preparations of several types of meat (0209, 0210 99 and 1602 90)
36
W O R L DB E E F M A R K E TW O R L DB E E F M A R K E T
Adult Male Bovine PRICESAdult Male Bovine PRICES
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
| Year2009
| Year2010
| Year 2011 | Year2012
| Year 2013 |
€uro
/ 10
0kg
Market prices for Adult Male Bovine in Brazil (Pecuaria.com.br), Argentina (Oncca),
Argentina (abc-consrt),Uruguay (Inac) and EU
EU Beef A/C R3 AVG Arroba do Boi (6 St) (Pecuària.com.br)
Novillos Export (Oncca Argentina) Media Res Novillo (Inac Uruguay)
(abc-consort) Argentina Novillo
37
W O R L DB E E F M A R K E TW O R L DB E E F M A R K E T
Weekly STEER PRICES
US & EU
Weekly STEER PRICES
US & EU
100,0
150,0
200,0
250,0
300,0
350,0
400,0
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
weekly US & EU Steer prices in €uro/100kg carcase
Steers 550-700lb Omaha (Nebraska) Feeder Steer 600-700lb Oklahoma CityEU Beef C R3 Steers 1050 - 1200lb Okla/ TexCanada: All Steers (agr,gc,ca) Australia: All SteersNew Zeal. Avg steers T2 NI & SI
38
S H O R T T E R MF O R E C A S TS H O R T T E R MF O R E C A S T
P R O D U C T I O NC O N S U M P T I O N
P R I C E S
P R O D U C T I O NC O N S U M P T I O N
P R I C E S
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
BALANCE - 197 - 100 - 279 - 199 - 164
EU - CARCASS PRICES 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Sources : EStat New Cronos, Member States
6 947
7 110
396,2
319,6
+ 0,05%
- 0,45%
+ 0,02%
- 0,08%+ 15,2%+ 16,4%
+ 0,96%
- 0,44%
- 2,09%
+ 1,9%
+ 2,33%
+ 2,93%
348,9 387,1+ 11,6% + 11,0%
+ 0,26%
7 313
6 925- 0,82% - 3,99%
- 0,86%- 1,48%
7 273 7 213
7 2057 470
( €/100 kg )312,6
231,0
ADULT MALE BOVINES
COWS( €/100 kg )
( 1000T )EU.15 PRODUCTION
( 1000T )EU.15 CONSUMPTION
268,9 309,6+ 3,30%
6 943
319,8
396,1
7 142