Bilderberg Meetings Conference Report 1984

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    BILDERBERG MEETINGS

    ..SALTSJOBADENCONFE.RENCE

    11-13 May 1984

    NOT FOR QUOTATION

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    LIST OF PARTICIPANTSCHAIRMAN:

    WALTER SCHEELFormer President of the Federal Republic of Germany

    HONORARY SECRETARY-GENERAL FOR EUROPE AND CANADA:VICTOR HALBERSTADT'Professor of Public Finance, Leyden University

    HONORARY SECRETARY-GENERAL FOR THE UNITED STATES:THEODORE L. ELIOT, JR.'Dean, Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University

    HONORARY TREASURER:CONRAD J. OORT'Member of the Board, Algemene Bank Nederland N.V.

    NOR HENRll< AASAR0D President, Norwegian Seamen's UnionUSA KENNETH L. ADELMAN Director, U.S. Arms Control and Disarmament

    Agency, Department of StateITA GIOVANNI AGNELLI" President, FIAT S.p.A.TUR YILDIRIM AKTURK Former Under Secretary of State, PlanningOrganization

    USA DWAYME 0. ANDREAS Chairman of the Board, Archer-Daniels ~ i d l a n dCo. Inc.AUS HANNES ANDROSCH' Chairman of the Managing Board,Creditanstalt-Bankverein; FormerVice-Chancellor and Minister of Finance

    USA HANS H. ANGERMUELLER Vice Chairman of the Board, CiticorpUSA GEORGE W. BALL" Former Under Secretary of StatePOR FRANCISCO PINTO BALSEMAO Former Prime Minister; Director "Jornal

    Expresso"UK JOHN F.H. BARING Chairman, Baring Brothers &Co. Ltd.NETH H.M. QUEEN BEATRIX OF THENETHERLANDSUSA JACK F. BENNETT' Director and Senior Vice President, Exxon

    CorporationUSA C. FRED BERGSTEN Director, Institute for International Economics;

    Former Assistant Secretary fo r InternationalAffairs, Department of the Treasury

    FRG CHRISTOPH BERTRAM Political Editor, "Die Zeit"; Former Director,International Institute fo r Strategic Studies,London

    NETH ERNST H. VAN DER BEUGEL" Professor of International Relations, LeydenUniversity; Director of CompaniesTUR SELAHATTIN BEYAZIT' Director of CompaniesICE BJORN BJARNASON Political Editor, "Morgunbladid"USA NICHOLAS BRADY Chairman, Dillon, Read & Co., Inc.; Former U'.S.

    Senator (New Jersey)CAN ALBERT A. BRETON Professor of Economics, Institute fo r PolicyAnalysis, University of TorontoUSA WILLIAM P. BUNDY" Editor, "Foreign Affairs"USA RICHARD R. BURT Assistant Secretary of State fo r European AffairsUSA LOUIS W. CABOT Chairman of the Board, The Cabot CorporationGRE ANGELOS CANELLOPOULOS Vice President, "Titan" Cement Co., S.A.;

    Member of the Board, Union of Greek IndustriesGRE COSTA CARRAS* Member of the Board, Union of GreekShipowners

    UK LORD CARRINGTON Secretary-General-designate NATOSPA JAIME CARVAJAL URQUIJO' Chairman, Banco Hispano Industrial

    5

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    Exhibit 1U.S. LABOR POPULATION1860-1983

    No. of people (millions)130.----------------------------------------.120110100

    908070

    = ~ ~ ~ : ; 5 > ~ ~3020 c. -10

    1860 10 80 90 1900 10 20 30 40 50 60 10 80 1990 Year- Total labor force- Labor force as percent of non-Institutional population over 16 yrs- Percent of non-Institutional population ~ employed

    Source: S t ~ ! ; ~ ! ; c . ; i Aostract of th e United States, U.S. Department ofCommerce

    Exhibit 2U.S. LABOR POPULATION1820-1983Percent of labor force100 .----------------------------------------------.908070605040302010

    1820 40 60 80 1900 20 40

    Source: The Mechanization of Work, by Eli Cinzberg

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    60 80 2000 jl

    Exhibit 3U.S. LABOR POPULATION

    Gross domestic product per capi ta (constant dollars)7,000 --------------------

    '6,0005,0004,0003,0002,0001,000

    0 I ! I I I I 1 J l I 1 I1870 80 90 1900 10 20 30 40 so 60 70 1980

    Source:

    Exhibit II

    Statistical Abstract of th e United States, U.S. Department ofCommerce

    ENERGY PRICESDollars15 -

    10

    s

    80 90 1900 10 30 40 so 60 70 1981World price of oi l (1967 constant dollars)U.S. price {constant dollars)

    Source: Th e Next Economy, by Paul Hawken

    47

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    Exhibit 5

    HOURS NEEDED TO PAY FOR A BARREL OF OIL

    Hours/barrel

    3

    2

    40 so 60 70 1982Source: The Next Economy, by Paul Hawken

    Exhibit 6

    PROJECTED IMPACT OF MECHANIZATION ON AUSTRIAN ECONOMYPercentage ot Jobs potential ly affectedBLUE COLLARTex tlJea, clothingpaper, pap.,products

    Basic metafa, metalproducts, forest producta,wood worlling

    Mining machinerylectrlcal

    Petroleum, glaaa,food processing,chemicals, trade

    Transp, &qufpment.ut11Jtte1,Information Industry

    >8 1

    71-80

    81-70

    51-80

    ...50

    WHITE COLLARUtlfltlee, banks,Insurance,siovernment

    Petroleumchemicalatrade

    GI, basic metalsmachinry, metalproducts, electricaltransp. equipment,paper, paper products,wood workingMining, Foodprocesslng,textllesforest products,wood working

    Agricultureclothing,constructionhotels, restaurants

    >2 0

    18-20

    11-15

    10

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    the government if they would lay down their arms. In Nicaragua, the contras had said they would laydown their arms if they were brought into the government. A judgement had to be made as to who was

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    right in each situation.What, asked another American, did the critics of the U.S. want it to do? Should it agree to disarmthose fight ing against a totali tarian takeover? Why was it considered militarization to provide a shieldlong enough to pursue a negotiation that would lead to the disarming of all sides? True, the U.S. hadmade some mistakes in the region in the past. But the Reagan Administration's rhetoric had beeninfinitely worse than its policies. It had strenuously opposed the death squads and had insisted onland reform and free elections. Negotiated settlements in both El .Salvador and Nicaragua werepossible. The U.S. did not want a Cuban or a Soviet solution, but nor was it seeking an Americansolution. What it wanted, and what Europe should support it in achieving, was a center solut ion, onethat reflected the aspirations of the people of Central America.

    At the end of the last session, the Chairman thanked all those whose generous and effi cient effortshad contributed to the success and enjoyment of the conference. He especially mentioned theSwedish hosts, headed by Sten Gustafsson, supported by the professional conference staff; theauthorsof working papers and moderators of discussion sessions; the interpreters; the Secretaries-- General and the Bilderberg secretariat; and the hotel and security personnel.