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BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria

BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

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Page 1: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS:

The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac

Sergio RinaldiDEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy

EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria

Page 2: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

OUTLINE

• PREMISE ON MODELS

• MULTIPLE ATTRACTORS

• WHAT ABOUT LOVE AFFAIRS?

• CYRANO DE BERGERAC

• EXTENSIONS AND CONCLUSIONS

Page 3: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

PREMISE ON MODELSCan we graphically describe the evolution of a love story?

time

𝑥

0

time

𝑥

0

time

𝑥

0

time

𝑥

0 time

𝑥

0

time

𝑥

0

Page 4: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

PREMISE ON MODELS From individuals to couples

time

𝑥1

0

time

𝑥2

0

time

𝑥1

𝑥2

0

Page 5: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

PREMISE ON MODELS Typical love stories

𝑥1

𝑥2

0

𝑥1

𝑥2

0 𝑥1

𝑥2

0 𝑥1

𝑥2

0

𝑥1

𝑥2

0 𝑥1

𝑥2

0

Page 6: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

PREMISE ON MODELS

SHE

1: SHE2: HE

t: todayt+1: tomorrow

𝑥1(𝑡 )−𝛼1𝑥1(𝑡)+ρ1𝐴2+𝑅1(𝑥2(𝑡))𝑅1(𝑥2)

𝑥2

𝑅1−

𝑅1+¿ ¿

Similarly for HE

Page 7: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

Gone with the Wind (1936) – Margaret Mitchell (1900-1949)

Gone with the Wind (1939) - Victor Fleming

Vivien Leigh Clark Gable

Scarlett O'Hara Rhett Butler

Page 8: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

Gone with the Wind (1936) – Margaret Mitchell (1900-1949)

Page 9: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

Il Canzoniere (1366) – Francesco Petrarca (1304-1374)

Laura de Sade Francesco Petrarca

Time [years]Fran

cesc

o’s

love

0 5 10 15 20

1.5

1

0.5

0

-0.5

-1

Page 10: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

Jules et Jim (1953) – Henri-Pierre Roché (1879-1959)

Jules et Jim (1962) - François Truffaut

KatheJules Jim

Oskar Werner Jeanne Moreau Henri Serre

Page 11: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

Jules et Jim (1953) – Henri-Pierre Roché (1879-1959)

Page 12: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

La belle et la bête (1740)Jeanne-Marie Leprince de Beaumont (1711-1780)

Beauty and the Beast (1991) - Walt Disney

Page 13: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

Pride and Prejudice (1813) – Jane Austen (1775-1817)

Pride & Prejudice (2005) - Joe Wright

Keira Knightley Matthew Macfadyen

Elizabeth Bennet Fitzwilliam Darcy

Page 14: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

ACyr = - 2 ARox = 0.6 AChr = 1

Cyrano de Bergerac – Edmond Rostand (1868-1918)

Cyrano de Bergerac (1990) - Jean-Paul Rappeneau

Gérard Depardieu Anne Brochet Vincent Perez

Cyrano de Bergerac Roxane Christian de Neuvillette

Page 15: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

MULTIPLE ATTRACTORS

a simple experiment

Page 16: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

MULTIPLE ATTRACTORS

Page 17: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

MULTIPLE ATTRACTORS

Page 18: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

MULTIPLE ATTRACTORS

anae

robi

c ba

cter

ia

aerobic bacteria

two equilibria

HEALTHY

SICK

Page 19: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

MULTIPLE ATTRACTORS

NORMAL HICCUP

one equilibrium and one cycle

Page 20: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

MULTIPLE ATTRACTORStwo strange attractors

EPYLESSYNORMAL

Page 21: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

MULTIPLE ATTRACTORSFrom bad to good

BAD

GOOD

???

Page 22: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

WHAT ABOUT LOVE AFFAIRS?

𝑥1

𝑥2

BAD

GOOD

Page 23: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

WHAT ABOUT LOVE AFFAIRS?

IDEA: Bluff

– Love – Appeal 𝑥1

𝑥2

BAD

GOOD

Page 24: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

WHAT ABOUT LOVE AFFAIRS?

𝑥1

𝑥2

GOOD

𝑥1

𝑥2

BAD

GOOD

NO BLUFF WITH BLUFF

Page 25: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

CYRANO DE BERGERAC

Page 26: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

CYRANO DE BERGERAC

Page 27: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

CYRANO DE BERGERAC

Page 28: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

CYRANO DE BERGERAC

Page 29: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

CYRANO DE BERGERAC

Page 30: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

Fifteen years later

Page 31: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

CYRANO DE BERGERAC

Page 32: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

CYRANO DE BERGERACThe model

SHEHE

Cyrano

Roxane

Page 33: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

CYRANO DE BERGERACThe model

SHEHE

The parameters

Page 34: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

Virtual phase: without bluffing

𝑥1

𝑥2

0BAD

GOOD

Page 35: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

Real phase: with bluffing

𝑥1

𝑥2

𝑃

0

Page 36: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

Separation phase

𝑥1

𝑥2

𝑃

0

𝑄

Page 37: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

Virtual phase: the expected future

𝑥1

𝑥2

0

𝑄

BAD

GOOD

Page 38: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

Summary: The overall story

𝑥1

𝑥2

0

𝑄

𝑃

BAD

GOOD

Page 39: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

EXTENSIONS AND CONCLUSIONS

Page 40: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

EXTENSIONS AND CONCLUSIONS

Page 41: BLUFFING CAN BE REWARDING IN LOVE AFFAIRS: The lesson of Cyrano de Bergerac Sergio Rinaldi DEI, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy EEP, IIASA, Laxenburg,

EXTENSIONS AND CONCLUSIONS

• high no bluffing• intermediate temporary bluffing• low permanent bluffing

These results explain the incresing use of chatting and aesthetic surgery

Appeals: