Bma 5- Net Present Value

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    1/19

    ol these

    rate uf retum

    cal

    culata and

    rules

    resent e

    t

    er

    Invest

    to be rleh rather lhan

    in eveht

    The difteranee

    shareholders

    pesitive

    NPV

    end

    thrr net prrrsrrnt value

    somrr other measures that

    0 r '0n:, , , , , , , ;;

    investment deoisiuns The flrst Tho

    Its dook

    more aecurate when r l , inninn

    financial manager

    suhstantial

    mere han a rule l thumh when

    investment deelslen

    NPV

    e

    Instecd

    eompnre the exeretod

    wilh me retum thel shareholdrrrs rrould

    rram

    on

    invectmrrnts in tha madrrrt Phe ecmpany aoerrpts thosrr

    prcjects hal previdrr rrrtum thec sharaholdrrrs erruld

    thrrmsatrec If usod this rale 1 ratum rula

    shrruld

    situatinns whrrn thrr

    frm

    has

    odo

    ehonsa thnsrr

    thal Inerrursa jjrm vrtua n w ~

    savrrrrt traps fnr me unwruy

    enprr with

    n l ~

    Invrrstrrd bUI mnre rrlabnratrr

    nrrrrdrrd

    what? NPV

    1 5

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    2/19

    ne Value

    flews

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    3/19

    Net Present Vrr ue rrnd

    mlrrstmrrnt

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    4/19

    Valua

    Proltablity miau:

    Payl:ck:

    o

    t FIGURE Suuxeyevltlent:e

    hwestment projec s.

    60

    %

    wh

    I

    80

    particular technique

    al Finance: Evidenee lrom the Fel, Jaumal

    ar Financlal

    cormmies 5 ZIJOll,

    measures do nnl have this

    and

    Book

    slmph:

    h . ; : ; ~ r J . n m 5

    uf no v onk

    rtturn

    cakulkJ anu

    of

    the differtnce

    f 1 o \ l , - ~ Rt:?o th,;; if

    yOS)

    tu refrtdl. yuur uncln-smlng nf

    thl

    5tH], do lhr

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    5/19

    Net Present Value

    500

    1

    + 2,624

    shouk1 i:. ktn J cunt

    n

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    6/19

    ne Value

    also an inital

    of 52,000

    1 and 81,800 yca: 2,

    At 10

    500

    1,800

    ~ 2 0 0 0

    ~ 5 8

    10

    as thc two

    first

    1,800

    500

    ~ 2 0 0 0

    + 50

    .10

    Yoo

    as illustrated

    discuunted cash flows fcu our

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    7/19

    w

    makes PV O

    In ,,,, 'I,,, 'ot

    ritera

    the dscount

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    8/19

    Valu6

    rate

    PV

    Actual calcularan of

    IRR

    of

    the

    PV

    =

    ~ 4 0 0 0

    ~

    zero discmmt rote

    lJlOO

    ~ 4 O O O

    ~ l

    4 000

    o

    Dol zero but

    ~ 8 8 9

    O

    the

    be

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    9/19

    Present Value and

    Other Investment

    ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~

    SCOllrlt

    rata

    %

    the discmmt rate

    FIGURE 5.3

    duccs

    2,000

    4,000

    intcma 01

    (IRR) is 213 , thc mtc

    01 whlch

    NPV

    o

    +

    ,000

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    10/19

    1

    One

    The mine

    mR

    and its follows:

    Note rhat [here are tw rates that NPV

    o.

    3,

    o

    ments

    m

    o

    m

    NPV

    ~ 3 0

    ..

    o

    .035

    BEYOND

    m

    10 10

    rrrrrrrrrr

    N

    ~ 3 0

    o

    1.1954

    L

    In

    otOer

    internal

    1111 \1,

    A billons

    iRriR iR - t w O m - t ~ 1

    +1

    R iR 1

    +1

    11

    lO 15

    30

    35

    [)iSGount (ate,

    t FIGURE 5iR

    [W

    '

    O whon

    rato

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    11/19

    5

    Net Present Value and Other m U D , , , r r , , ~ n r

    company

    of rcturo

    lCompanks urouad the pmbk-m of muhiplt rates of return

    unUl femulns 00.1) one changt ;n the sign nf1he c.J.sn

    flh'S,

    tnen

    be

    cakuh.ted

    nn

    hi, llw

    i\HRR

    calculated follow",

    L

    nO

    ull he subseqcenl uow:

    PV lu \GiU lO/U' IOiU' y OIU'

    AJd

    o Ihe

    now he presenl value al' subStquenl r

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    12/19

    1

    Value

    foHows:

    FIGURE

    Projec

    G

    Jiscount rata, %

    o YDU mar, DO\1cver,

    tba1 ynu

    jumpeJ uf tnt' frying Km the f n ~ The

    lnvoh'f

    in sign, in his Ihtf ft likdy bn ffiullip0 mR, nn w l be

    l

    Ihe

    h often

    suggfst2-d

    1hu tht ChOlc(, bebt>fen lhe

    Dei

    presen

    v:due

    ruk and

    intnnal

    rale of ftturn ruie

    snu1d

    De:pend On

    J.bk

    Ths v w n g ~ The prospective on anthe(

    indeprnd nt

    lnvcs nwnl should

    m'h'Tbe

    alkHvtQ to

    Ihe

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    13/19

    Net Present Value Investment riteria

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    14/19

    8

    alue

    on

    4ln 9

    nther for

    L.n:g+:rm c;}sh

    Hm< .

    COmpilOj t day n d ~ r t ; l . k m g J

    d ,'D, _''W_ITHnn'V (pruject generJJly

    pa}';;

    to

    ' < d ~ ~ n ~ t h > m o n e (

    { p r n j ~ c t

    n II mJ.kes

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    15/19

    Net

    Other nvestment

    he

    Jtnomim or

    "hould be lhe rrosen

    value

    of hu

    nUllayu.

    comptmt

    Jo

    nnt Tbe 58iJ Jonu he buBer

    value u inHLd ouday, that b,

    si m,, }'

    ucid

    LO lO

    ueh prn[;hilty inciex,

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    16/19

    12 ODa

    H H I H I I r ~

    apital ratoning mojels

    5

    O

    j 5

    mnner

    lm ,, er prnt1tablBty

    h ~ t in he

    Aprend

    lo Chrrptff

    Dad

    12

    the

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    17/19

    I IRR Internal

    XIRR The

    But that h too a

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    18/19

    - - - 122

    Pan

    One

    SUMMARY

    Value

    1s not rationed, other resources may be.

    The

    availabilit}'

    of

    management

    or even other capital equipment often constitutes an important cOl1straint

    011

    a

    Hard should never cost the

    fi1 m

    constraints

    become tight

    to hurt- in

    the sense that with NPVs are

    passed

    up-then

    the firm raises more money and ooseos the constraint. But what if

    ir

    alll t

    mise more

    money-what

    if it faces

    Ulrd

    Hard rationing implies market

    to

    thmw

    away net present value

    as

    a crHerion fm

    of the imperfection.

    mean

    we

    have

    on the nature

    Arizona Aquaculture, ne. (AA ), bormws as much

    as

    the banks

    willlend it t

    still has

    good investment opportunities. This is not hard so as AAI can issue stock But

    perhaps it can't. Perhaps the fouoder and majority shareholder vetoes the idea from fear

    control of the frm. Perhaps a stock ssue would bring red or

    This doe:; flot invalidate the NPV rule. AA 's s wrellOlders can borrow or

    shares,

    or

    buy more. The}' have free access to security markets.

    The

    type

    is independent

    of

    AA 's

    finandng Ol"

    investment decisions. The way AAI can

    shareholders s

    to rpak,e

    them richer

    .Thus

    AAI should invest its available casI in the

    pac:Kaj;;e

    of

    projects having the largest aggregate net present valuc.

    A barrier between the firm and capital markets does

    BOt

    ul1dermine net value so

    long

    as

    the barder is the

    oll y

    market imperfection.

    The

    important

    i5

    that the firn

    slwrellOlders

    have free acces:; to well-functioning capital markets.

    The net present value rule is undermined when imperfections restrict shareholders'

    folio choice. Suppose that Nevada Aquaculture, ne. (NA ), Is solely owned by its

    Alexander

    Turhot

    Mr. Turbot

    ha5110

    cash or credit remaining, but he is convinced that expan

    sion

    of

    his operation is a high-NPV investment. He has tried to seH stock but has found that

    investors, skeptical

    of

    prospects for [sh farming in the desert, offer him much less

    than he thinks his [rm s worth. For Mr. Turbot capital markets hardly

    exist It

    makes Hule

    seme

    fm him to discount prospective cash

    tlOW5

    at a market opportunity cost

    of

    capital.

    A

    nllljorly ",,"oer

    "1,,,

    is Iockd

    -

    ""d

    11 ,

    nlllcJ

    pcrsmml wcal h le. up in

    AA

    mal' be

    efic,tivc r

    cut off

    [mm

    capital market5.

    The NI'V ruk mol' nol

    mOKC

    sen" lo ,d, on

    OIVlle,.

    ""gil il \VII

    n

    lile Ihcr 'MrdwIJers.

    IfyOl are gaing to persuade yuur campany to use the net value yau must be

    to explain

    why

    other rules may

    lIal

    ead

    to

    correct decisions. That

    is we

    have examined three

    alternatve investment crteria in this chapter.

    Some firms look at the book rate of return on the project In this case the company decides

    whieh cash payments are capital expenditures and picks the appropriate

    cate

    to depreciate these

    lt

    then calculates the ratio of book income to the book value

    of

    the investmcnt

    Few

    w ~ ' ' ' ' v < base their investment dedsion simply on the book rate of retum, but share

    holders

    pay

    attention

    lO

    book measures of frm prontability and sorne managers therefore look with

    a that would the company's book rate of return.

    So me

    method to make lnvestment decisions. In other words,

    accept that recover

    thei.

    initiai nvestment within sorne specified

    Payback

    i5

    ao ad hoc rule.

    It

    of cash flows within the payback period,

    and it ignores cash flows It therefore takes no account

    of

    the opportunity

    cest of capital.

    The internal rate of rcturn (IRR)

    i5

    defined

    as

    the rate of discount at whieh a would

    have zera NPV.

    It

    is a handy measure and widely used in finan

    ce; you

    should therefore know how

  • 7/25/2019 Bma 5- Net Present Value

    19/19

    Net Present

    Other

    nVAnt

    riteria

    :mil

    DecisioflS,