BMA5112_Group Report - India (Final)

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    NATIONAL UNIVERSITY OF SINGAPORE

    BMA5112 Group Project

    Indias Design Leap Forward

    File Name: BMA5112 - INDIA

    Submitted by:

    Name of Team Members Matriculation No.

    1. THOMAS ERFURTH A0078358N

    2. CAROL TAN PEI HOON A0078394N

    3. MOU WEI A0078364W

    4. TERENCE CHEAH A0078479H

    5.

    FOR LECTURER: PROF ISHTIAQ MAHMOOD

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    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    Page

    - INTRODUCTION Indias design leap

    forward?

    3

    1 INDIAS UNIQUE ECONOMY AN OVERVIEW 4

    2 FACETS OF THE INDIAN ECONOMY 5

    2.1 India in the last decade 5

    2.2 Infrastructure 6

    2.3 Bureaucracy and Corruption 9

    2.4 Import tariffs 10

    2.5 Engineering skills 11

    2.6 Entrepreneurship 11

    2.7 Trade imbalances and inflation 12

    2.8 Indian Political scene 132.9 People 13

    3 THE PATH FORWARD 14

    4 INDIAS FASHION INDUSTRY TRULY

    GLOBALIZED?

    15

    4.1 The Fashion Industry 15

    4.2 The Indian Fashion Industry 16

    4.2.

    1

    Factors driving growth 16

    4.2.

    2

    Local and Foreign players 20

    4.2.

    3

    Fashion design industry an example of Indias design

    future

    22

    5 COMPARISON WITH CHINA 24

    6 PATH TO VICTORY? 26

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    7 CONCLUSION 28

    - APPENDIX 30

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    INTRODUCTION

    India's 'design' leap forward?Abstract

    India has always been a unique country and this is especially true of how its

    economy has developed. Rather than aggressively pushing for export growth or

    attracting foreign direct investment like China and most others in Asia, Indias

    unique setting, resources and boundaries led it to develop the service sector

    instead. Was this an accidental development or a purposeful push by the

    government? If purposeful in nature, what drove the Indian government to take

    such an approach? In fact, what are the key drivers (or should be the key drivers)

    on a macro-economic level that determine a countrys developing path? In our

    paper, we would like to explore three areas specifically: The Indian government

    and its policy making, given infrastructure and institutions and finally Indias

    political base to see if a conclusion can be made with regards to its economic

    development.

    With this macro environment understanding in place, we would then like to look

    from a micro-economic level and analyze how businesses can succeed within the

    India service industry given this framework. The latter question will be answered

    while evaluating the rapidly growing Indian desi fashion industry as an

    example of the design future for Indian, which has become very much about

    focusing on the taste and preferences of locals in terms of design. Is there a way

    that foreign design firms might be able then compete given that the local

    companies are so in tuned with the local culture and tastes, not to mention

    cheaper? Would there be a way to educate the local consumers to adopt a brand

    conscious mindset as the economy develops and the affluent community

    increases in size? Or will the culture remain a loyal to a Made in India concept

    for the years to come and hence be a waste of time for foreign firms to try and

    break that mold. With this paper we will try to address these issues to draw a

    conclusion and recommendation on how best to approach entering this unique

    and challenging market.

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    1. INDIAS UNIQUE ECONOMY AN OVERVIEW

    India, with 1.189 billion

    people (July 2011), is

    the second largest

    country behind China.

    Though only 30% of

    the total population is

    living in cities, the

    urbanization is taking

    place at 2.4% per

    annum. Only 6% of thepopulation is above 60

    years. However, due to

    longer life expectancy at birth of 66.8 years (2011), this segment is constantly

    growing. The population below 15 years remains relatively constant because on

    average every Indian woman is giving birth to 2.6 children but with an infant

    mortality rate of 5%. It is important to mention that the working population age

    15 to 59 will increase dramatically in the next five years from 720 to 800 million,

    seeking jobs and enlarging the economy. The government is spending 3.1% of

    GDP on education in order to increase literacy rate (only 61% of Indians above

    the age of 15 can read and write) in order to prepare a young workforce to enter

    the labour market [Data based on CIA fact book 2011].

    India and China were the biggest economies until approximately 200 years ago

    because they had the biggest populations and size was a dominant factor in

    economic output. Once the industrial revolution commenced in England in 1800s,

    followed by the information revolution in the late twentieth-century, mere sizemattered less. First the Europeans, and then the Americans leveraged

    technology to increase GDP in absolute terms and on a per capita basis.

    Now, India and China are developing fast, and are moving up in the world in GDP

    terms. In 2010, Indias GDP in purchase parity was $3.92 trillion and listed as

    fourth-largest economy in the world after the US, China and Japan.

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    2. FACETS OF THE INDIAN ECONOMY

    2 .1 India in the last decade

    It is interesting to note that while services now make up more than 50% of the

    GDP of India, it wasnt that long ago that India was also embarking on the

    conventional path towards an advance economy through the typical agriculture

    to manufacturing route. After all, Japan, then Taiwan and South Korea, and now

    China have demonstrated that manufacturing can accelerate development

    because its output can be exported to rich countries. However, in Indias case,

    while export and trade rules were relatively lax at the time, the domestic market

    was one where there were massive protectionism laws in place, so much so it

    became known as a license raj. At that point in time, India had just gained

    independence and eager to boost export growth while still protecting local

    industries and expertise. The reality was however, that this strategy was a failure

    and led to a much slower growth rate than its neighbour leading it soon to a

    brink of bankruptcy in 1991, despite the Green revolution and massive growth

    of its agricultural segment. Looking back however, this phase might have

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    actually saved India and probably served as the platform where Indias true

    growth began. The Prime Minister then Narashimha Rao and Finance Minister

    Mammohan Singh, with fresh money from the IMF and conditions of the loan,

    engineered sweeping economic reforms throughout India which included steps toremove the license raj that it had became. In tandem with this, tariffs were

    reduced along with interest rates. Many public monopolies were also removed,

    markets were opening up and automatic approvals for foreign investment were

    granted into many areas (but not all). The results from these reforms have been

    impactful.

    As mentioned in the earlier section, India is now the 4th largest economy by

    purchasing power parity and has been experiencing an average GDP growth rate

    of 8.5% since 2005, making it second only to China in terms of growing

    economies. Additionally, despite the global economic slowdown, for FY11, India is

    still expected to achieve at least 7.5% growth for its GDP. This is partially due to

    the fact that its domestic consumption is extremely strong and this helps to

    insulate it from external shocks. Looking a bit closer at the GDP split, one would

    find that services now make up the bulk of it, accounting for 56% of the GDP

    while the industrial and agricultural sectors represent 29% and 15% respectively

    as of 2010, a sharp turnaround for India when compared to the 1970s where

    agriculture used to be the shining star of growth, contributing close to 42% of

    the overall GDP. In addition, the contribution from the industry sector only

    increased from 21% to 29% during the last 40 years, which is very unimpressive

    when compared to the services sector.

    Source: Worldbank

    With the various reforms also comes increased foreign investment into the

    country. This has amounted to some 178 billion USD between 2000 and 2010, a

    massive jump from 1991 where it was only averaging USD $200 million per year

    before in FDIs. Among some of Indias key investors include Mauritius, Singapore

    and USA which rank 1st, 2nd and 3rd respectively, with interests in such

    investment obviously gaining ground given Indias significant potential and

    prospects of high profitability. As discussed above, the strong domestic

    consumption has led to a lot of overseas investment into the country and the

    government has been doing its share to promote such FDIs, through the

    continued removal of investment caps across all the industries. There still remainan unfinished agenda of permitting greater FDI in politically sensitive areas such

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    as insurance and retailing, though at least for retailing, some steps have recently

    been taken to open this market. A deep dive into where this foreign investment

    is going also reveals, not surprisingly, that a substantial amount or about 23% of

    total FDI equity goes into the services sector, followed then by the IT andtelecommunication segments.

    2 .2 Infrastructure

    An important element to

    take note of is that

    Indias economic growth

    stands on a weak

    foundation as highways,

    bridges and airports are

    not up to international

    standards. Average

    speed on highways is

    only 20 miles per hour

    due to road congestions

    and generally its roads

    are of poor quality.

    Economic losses

    resulting from such poor

    infrastructure are

    estimated to be $6

    billion per year according

    to the Federal Planning Commission. In India, highways or expressways

    constitute only about 67,000 km and while this makes up only 2% of all roads,they carry 40% of the road traffic!

    The government has been trying to resolve this by setting up a multiple stage

    National Highway Development Project (NHDP) with its signature project Golden

    Quadrilateral. The goal of this project is to connect the most populous cities of

    Chennai, Bangalore, Pune and Mumbai. This has been partly completed in 2011

    cutting the travel time on the 1335km route from Chennai to Mumbai from 90

    hours to 48 hours (a significant 47% reduction). However, multiple check posts

    and mobile squads remain a source of corruption, not to mention traffic

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    obstruction on highways and toll stations. Various entry restrictions into cities

    also slow down the transportation of goods.

    Since cargo traffic is estimated to grow by 15 18% annually, the Indiangovernment is spending $78.5 billion over the next five years and is additionally

    trying to attract foreign direct investments for road development projects,

    granting 100% income tax exemption for a period of 10 years to private

    investors.

    It is also disappointing that Indias vast railroad network of more than 60,000 km

    is not as effectively used for goods transportation as compared to China. One

    reason is a different standard of broad gauge (80%) and narrow gauge (20%).

    The government has thankfully recognized this and is now investing $5 billion

    into building dedicated freight corridors in the Western and Eastern routes (Delhi

    Mumbai and Delhi Kolkata). More significantly, India has opened the freight

    transportation sector to competition erasing CONCORs previous monopoly of

    container movement by rail.

    Infrastructure (2008) India China

    Road density (km of road per 100 sq. km of land area) 129 39Air transport, freight (million ton-km) 1234 11386

    Rail lines (total route-km) 63327 60809

    Railways, goods transported (million ton-km) 521371 2511804

    Railways, passengers carried (million passenger-km) 769956 772834

    Burden of customs procedure, WEF (1=extremely inefficient

    to 7=extremely efficient)

    4 4

    Quality of port infrastructure, WEF (1=extremely

    underdeveloped to 7=well developed and efficient by

    international standards)

    3 4

    High-technology exports (% of manufactured exports) 6 29

    ICT goods exports (% of total goods exports) 1 27

    ICT service exports (% of service exports, BoP) 48 5

    Fixed broadband Internet subscribers (per 100 people) 0 6

    Internet users (per 100 people) 5 22

    Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) 30 48

    Telephone lines (per 100 people) 3 26

    Source: Worldbank database

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    Power is another issue as many cities and economic zones suffer from unstable

    power supply along with shortages of fresh water. India is generating 122

    Gigawatts of power from coal-fired plants (57%), hydro power (25%), gas (10%),nuclear power plants (3%) and 5% from renewable sources (wind, solar). There is

    a silver lining here though. While generation, transmission and distribution is in

    the hands of public sector companies or state electricity boards, the private

    sector companies and international players are increasingly investing in Indias

    energy sector (for example Tata Power has a capacity of 2,203 MW, China Light

    & Power provides 655 MW). Unfortunately, despite these investments, there is

    still a large demand / supply gap of 7 to 12% according to Indian investment

    commission. It is also precisely because of its weak infrastructure that some

    foreign companies choose other countries in South East Asia, for example

    Thailand or Vietnam to set-up manufacturing sites.

    2 .3 Bureaucracy and Corruption

    Despite Indias best efforts to remove its licence raj stigma, there still exists a

    fair amount of bureaucracy. The Indian Times summed it up aptly with an article

    it ran on 3rd June 2009, titled: Indias suffocating bureaucracy worst in Asia! A

    survey by the Hong-Kong based Political and Economic Risk Consultancy (PERC)

    compared 12 Asian nations towards business friendliness..

    Source: World Bank Doing Business Publication

    In the abovementioned article, 1,274 expatriates working in the 12 leading Asian

    nations found Singapore, Hong-Kong and Thailand to be the most efficient

    countries followed by South Korea, Japan, Malaysia, Taiwan, Vietnam, China,

    Philippines and Indonesia. India came in last with its bureaucracy described as

    suffocating and interaction with civil servants perceived as a slow and painful

    process.

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    This is a serious issue not just for its reputation to the outside world, but also

    domestically. According to World Bank figures, India ranks among the world's

    worst countries at encouraging entrepreneurs. India is ranked a lowly 166th out

    of 183 countries in terms of ease of starting a business and second last withregards to enforcing contracts. In addition to bureaucracy, India also suffers from

    an alarmingly high level of corruption. The 2011 Li-Na report reveals the

    following:

    Other organizations like Transparency International ranked India 73 out of the

    102 countries in its Corruption Perception Index (2008) and the World Economic

    Forum positions India 44th amongst 49 countries surveyed.Over the past two decades since the end of the license raj in the 1990s, the

    Indian economy has gradually opened up along with the governments relaxation

    on its tightly controlled policies. On the contrary, corruption in turn has become

    standard in most business processes. One would find the formal route of setting

    up a business extremely difficult in India and it is only through bribery that

    various processes can move or speed up.

    2 .4 Import Tariffs

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    Despite steadily opening up its economy, India has however maintained high

    import tariffs, especially when compared with other countries. Before the 1990s,

    average tariffs exceeded 200% and quantitative restrictions on imports were

    extensive. Post 1990, India has been taking steps to cautiously reform tariffs andfocus only on goods and services of highest necessity. This has resulted in Indias

    trade to GDP ratio increasing from 15% to 35% between 1990 and 2005

    according to World Bank. Non-agricultural tariffs have fallen below 15% and

    quantitative restrictions on imports have been eliminated. However, that does

    not mean India is a completely free market as the government has maintained a

    degree of economic protectionism. For instance, agricultural tariffs remain

    between 30-40% and anti-dumping measures have been used to protect trade.

    There have also been numerous requests by the US to the Indian Ministry of

    Commerce to reduce tariffs on industrial goods, especially in key segments like

    commercial air lines. On the other hand, India has recently been pushing for a

    more liberal global trade regime, especially in services where it is strongest in.

    So India must find some way to reconcile the 2 issues here.

    2 .5 Engineering skills

    In 2008 approximately 350.000 students graduated from college holding an

    engineering degree, 23,000 with a Masters degree in engineering and only 1,000

    students were awarded with a PhD degree. These figures were estimates by

    Rangan Banerjee and Vinayak Purushottam Muley, both employed by the IIT in

    Bombay. The number of engineering graduates has been growing significantly

    over the last years and is now larger than in America. However quantity does not

    mean quality. According to a survey of local companies, only 4% of Indians

    engineers are immediately fit to work for software firms and only 18% are

    employable in the IT sector (McKinseys survey of international firms: 25% ofgraduates pass IT industry-specific requirements). Hiring companies need to put

    a lot of emphasis on training on the job in order to bring Indian engineers up to

    mark.

    2.6 Entrepreneurship

    Author Raghav Bahl argues in his book Super Power? that the Indian

    entrepreneurship trumps the Chinese due to more private ownership, intense

    competition and high productivity in India. In his book he describes an interviewwith George Soros in December 2006, asking him about Indias competitive

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    advantage over China. Entrepreneurship! was the answer. According to Soros,

    India had already brought up companies with world-class reputation (Tata,

    Infosys) which is something China lacks. According to the author

    entrepreneurship is embedded in Indian genes and he points to thecommunication industry which was liberalized approximately 15 years ago. Since

    then the number of TV channels and newspapers have exploded and the telecom

    industry has now 500 million customers and is adding 15 million per month

    under extreme competitive conditions. The tough competitive environment

    demands for high productivity. Since the private sector in India is footed on

    common law, entrepreneurs can act in a legal thus predictable framework

    without fearing expropriation. The result is that Indians private sector is

    booming and is only facing hindrances of the states bureaucracy and poor

    infrastructure. China, with its massive population, does have its fair share of

    entrepreneurs of course, but the business environment in China is even more

    challenging as compared to India. In China, the state and the numerous state-

    owned enterprises with their easy credit access, are the biggest enemies to the

    private sector. According to Marshall Meyer (Wharton Business School) the

    government will always remain in control of the 100 largest firms in China. The

    tight control limits competition and the drive towards higher productivity.

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    2 .7 Trade imbalance and inflation

    Trade imbalance has always been a sore point for India where it has alwayssuffered a trade deficit. Part of this can be explained by the strength of the

    domestic market and hence the reliance of the GDP growth on it. This trade

    deficit has however increased significantly over the years and currently stands at

    some USD $16 billion as of August 2011. Together with this, annual Inflation has

    also increased significantly and is currently standing at close to 10% in 2011,

    way above the generally acceptable levels of 6%.

    This rise in inflation is despite the India Central banks efforts to contain this

    through multiple interest rate hikes. However, Indias inflation is caused more by

    structural factors in the economy, including some discussed above like poor

    infrastructure, lack of skilled workers and low productivity in agriculture which

    will require major policy reforms to tackle, rather than simply increasing interest

    rate.

    All these factors combined can pose a significant challenge for India moving

    forward. Inflation does not just affect the cost of goods for the domestic market

    and hence affordability. It also affects the strength of the Rupee, Indias national

    currency. The strength of the rupee has been steadily decreasing over the years

    compared against the dollar and this in the long term would affect Indias

    competitiveness. Granted, India is still very much a consumption led market.

    When compared with many Asian emerging economies, this advantage has

    narrowed down over the years, especially given the fact that India now imports

    almost two thirds of its oil requirements from overseas markets. Additionally,while the overseas debt has gone up to $306 billion at the end of March 2011

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    from $221 billion at the end of March 2008, the cushion of foreign exchange

    reserves was stable and decreased slightly to $305 billion from $310 billion over

    the same period, which is a worrying trend.

    The main reason why internal public debt has increased in India during in the last

    decades was the requirement of funds to finance various developmental

    programmes as both tax and non-tax revenues were totally inadequate to

    finance the government expenditure. The external public debt in India Increased

    significantly during 1961-2004 as it was utilized to make import payments and

    solve balance of payment problems. The tremendous rise in total public debt in

    India during 1991-2004 provides an alarming signal to Indian economy.

    2 .8 Indian Political scene

    Indias political scene has always been an interesting one. It is the worlds largest

    democracy where literally everyone has a voice and this has on more than one

    occasion, resulted in slow and costly decision making. While there is a central

    government in place comprising of the standard hierarchy of politicians and

    parliament, the states themselves also have their own legislative environment,

    which differ greatly from one another due to the significant autonomy that they

    continue to enjoy. In terms of political parties, there are 2 main coalitions: The

    Indian National Congress (current ruling party) and the Bharatiya Janata Party(BJP). As such, it is unfortunate to note that while Indian National Congress has a

    majority in the current ruling government and even control some state

    assemblies, it has failed since to implement any significant reform programs.

    This is in part due to the complex nature of the Indian political scene, but more

    important than that is the amount of time and energy spent to manage several

    high profile corruption cases, the most significant of which (as discussed above)

    was for the 2010 Commonwealth games and the auctioning of the 2G wireless

    spectrum. As such, while India has built up a profile of being a hot bed for FDI,

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    this volatile political scene has also detracted some countries like the UAE from

    investing as well.

    2 .9 People

    As a last part of Indias growth story, we also thought it be interesting to explore

    if the lives have improved over the years as well. After all, a key part of growth is

    to ensure the peoples standard of living goes up. There are bright spots of

    course. Gross income per capita has experienced astonishing growth, reaching

    USD $,219 in 2010, up from close to USD $400 back in 2000, in line with the

    growth of India to some extent. This represents almost 14% growth on average

    over the last 10 years. However, such massive growth is not without its

    problems. The middle class has exploded within India, reaching 32% of the

    overall population in 2010, and while the service segment has boomed, it only

    accounts for 20% of total employment in India. Majority of the people are still

    farmers by trade, working within the agriculture segment that is protected within

    India but now only accounts for 15% of its overall GDP. In addition, according to

    the registrar of India, the number of young adults aged between 15 and 50 years

    will reach 800 million by 2016. This means that the number of people entering

    the workforce will shoot up dramatically over the next few years. The question

    then is where are the new jobs going to come from? It is not a realistic

    expectation for the service segment to dramatically increase employment by

    another 20 points and the manufacturing segment isnt growing fast enough to

    contain this population, which in China has taken on the main bulk of the

    employment.

    3. THE PATH FORWARDAs per the introduction, this paper will attempt to argue that India should look to

    develop another industry the Design industry. Why such a specialized

    segment? What is critical for both India and its MNCs is the ability to build a

    global brand. There are 2 typical routes taken by companies to establish

    themselves are as shown below:

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    Route A is the more conservative approach where a company looks to develop a

    consistent revenue stream before embarking on its own brand. Route B, while

    more risky, brings much faster rewards should one be successful as seen from

    the likes of HTC and Giordano. The profits reaped however are quite significantly

    different. Just simply becoming an ODM, yields a 6% increase in terms of margin

    when compared to just being a simple OEM, primarily because of the additional

    value one can bring.

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    Requires market and technology competencies

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    Becoming a design hub would also enable India to grow its manufacturing

    segment at a much faster pace. India has the potential to become a complete

    solution provider it is already strong in consultancy and services not to mention

    a big pool of engineers and scientists, and it has a lot of land available to set up

    manufacturing plants. Plus it has a large and still relatively low cost labour

    market. Hence, domestic players who are strong in the services piece can build

    up its manufacturing capabilities quite easily to up the ante. International firms

    who already have plants in India, can tap onto the big brain pool and potentially

    bring lots more R&D investment into India. So in terms of helping India grow both

    from a brand and FDI perspective, we felt that becoming a design hub is key.

    Additionally, design is really the driver of profits as it is the key differentiator for

    a lot of products, which in turn lead to higher price points and consumer

    willingness to pay. Apple and its iPhone is the perfect example of this. The great

    part about all this is that design innovation can cross all industries from

    automotive to design to FMCGs etc, which also means it is not a niche segmentthat will fizzle out after a period of time.

    The question is what should India do to develop this segment quickly and

    effectively, and the rest of the paper will be devoted to that using fashion as a

    case for analysis.

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    4. INDIAS FASHION INDUSTRY TRULY GLOBALISED?

    4 .1 The Fashion Industry

    The worlds fashion industry was born together with modernisation, even though

    fashion has been in existence for more than five thousand years. And with

    industrialisation, continuous technological advancements and global

    capitalisation from the 20th century onwards, the fashion industry has

    contributed to a significant share of the worlds output.

    A study on emerging fashion markets showed that India, amongst countries like

    South Africa, the UAE, Singapore, Russia and Brazil had emerged as a new and

    unique player in this global industry since year 2000. In many of these

    countries, one of the key growth drivers identified was actually government

    support. Others mentioned are factors such increased awareness of

    international brands and higher demand for fashion as countries globalised (Grial

    Research Sep 2009). For India, the government had not played any key role in

    its emergence in the fashion industry. We would want to explore what the key

    drivers are, and how they can be used to plot Indian fashion on the global

    success map.

    In Asia, China is the biggest apparel and fashion market with domestic clothing

    sales worth US$33.1 billion in year 2008 (Price Waterhouse Coopers report). As

    the Chinese are relatively more brand conscious than most Asians, the high-end

    fashion market is actually dominated by key brand names of US, Europe, Japan

    and Korea in China. As for India, it is the third largest in apparel market after

    China and Japan ($31.8 billion Willy Barker.com) with US$5.8 billion (PWC

    report). Refer to Chart A. With experts looking to the fashion industry in Asia

    for good growth potential, China and India are expected to have double-digit

    growth in sales in the next two years.

    4 .2 The Indian Fashion Industry

    In a McKinsey report on Indias fast-growing apparel market, Indias apparel sales

    was expected to reach an estimated US$25 billion by end of year 2010

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    (McKinsey Jun 2010). In fact, apparel is the second largest retail category

    (behind food and groceries), and this growth of double digits showed that the

    great potential of this industry will continue to see strong and positive

    expansionistic opportunities. With that we do expect to see faster growth in theIndian fashion industry. How true is that?

    In order to know whether it can be true, we will need to understand the

    underlying factors, key drivers and perhaps the ways of overcoming constraints

    of this industry. In addition, it is important to look from inside out as well as

    outside in and explore whether Indian fashion can be truly globalised and

    whether foreign industry players stand a chance in penetrating the Indian

    market.

    All in all, with potential growth in Indian fashion design, it will push its

    manufacturing requirements, and truly globalize Indian fashion as well as setting

    pace and example in an important industry for India to carry through from design

    innovation throughout all industries, just like fashion design is trying to do.

    4 .2.1 Factors driving growth

    Indeed there are several key drivers which drove, and most of these will

    probably continue to drive the local domestic fashion industry to greater heights.

    These can be grouped into 3 key areas; mainly the increasing disposable income

    of Indians with economic growth driving GDP per capita from US$329 in 1991

    (Wiki) to an expected US$2,110 by year 2016 (refer to Chart B);

    Indian youths behaviours and expectations of fashion; as well as Indian-Western

    fusion and influence. These are definitely interrelated and formed a powerfuldriving force which will continue to shape the Indian fashion industry, as well as

    how Indian fashion can be truly globalized.

    Real average household disposable income in India has more than doubled since

    20 years ago by about US$2,000 per household (Earthpulse). In addition, the

    middle class portion is expected to continue a significant growth rate and this

    will create a robust consumer market internally in India. With stronger

    BMA5112 - INDIA Page 22

    Figure A

    on the

    main

    growth

    drivers for

    19

    20

    20

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    purchasing power, fashion products will definitely see faster growth as such

    goods have been proven to be demanded as people become richer.

    Latest figures (refer to Chart C) show that comparing year 2007 through to year

    2010, Indias gross and disposable income has grown by almost 50%, and with

    this comes prospering urban consumer lifestyle which push for stronger demand

    for fashion, given more social opportunities as Indians evolved to have richer

    tastes and improved social and work lives. At 29% of population residing in

    cities, India has one of the lowest urbanisation rates in the world (McKinsey

    report), and this shows the potential upward growth as Indians continue to

    stream into the urbanised cities to work and live, and with that will continue to

    demand strongly for new styles and fashions in order to stay relevant to the rest

    of the more developed societies, which is part and parcel of urbanization and

    changing cultures in growing ad developing countries. Also, with higher

    disposable income, it pushes more businesses, both foreign and local enterprises

    to expand in hope of being first movers in many areas and aspects of fashion

    such that they will be the preferred brands or choices as Indians grow richer by

    the day. As such, larger shopping malls are opening and many are focussing on

    apparels and other fashionable items. In addition, with the increase in the usage

    of credit cards with more Indians holding jobs in bigger companies, there is nodoubt that this factor will continue to drive consumer demand, and definitely the

    fashion industry growth.

    The second driver is really the change in the demographics of the Indian

    population. With better education, younger age groups, more exposure to

    foreign ideas and stuff through growing internet users and all, the youthful

    Indian population (in comparison with aging societies of Japan and China) have

    refreshed the fashion and apparels market with fresh and new ideas, and as a

    result, even traditional costumes such as saris are modernised and being worn

    differently, and India has also seen many renowned designers on the

    international scene. Coupled with things like the launch of new programs and

    courses in various Indian schools, such as Indian School of Business launched

    Business of Fashion: Strategic Brand Management, there is much greater

    promotion of fashion and push of local designers and the industry to an

    international level. Rising affluence of the younger generation has also

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    increased the brand awareness of Indian consumers, thus helping India moving

    closer to the Chinese standards of brand consciousness, giving rise to the

    vibrancy of the fashion industry. Hence, as Indias economy continues to grow

    stronger, and with the help of a sustainable youthful population, the Indianfashion industry can be boosted with much more international exposure and

    clientele, thus truly globalizing this industry to attract and promote Indian

    fashion products and output internationally to a greater level of competitiveness.

    Another important driver is really the fusion of Indian and Western tastes and

    perhaps some parts of culture, which has gradually influence the lives and

    lifestyles of Indian nationals. This can be attributed to several reasons such as

    the ever growing number of foreign multinational companies setting up branches

    and even regional headquarters in India; the bombardment of foreign

    television programs, all thanks to cable TV, as well as movies and the Internet

    which played a big role in educating and updating Indians of the latest global

    fashions and trends; many more Indians receiving education overseas as

    compared to previous 20 years. As a result, this mixing of the East and West has

    also provided a unique Indian fashion line and trend which has given foreign

    fashion lines a run for their money. Also, Indians themselves for opting for more

    Western, especially American and European styles of fashion as compared to

    traditional clothing, although it will still take many decades and generations to

    dilute the traditional Indian clothing. This fusion is essential for Indians to

    embrace the fast pace changes that we are seeing in the fashion industry

    globally, and enable them to quickly adapt and even be able to set trends for the

    future.

    4 .2.2 Local and foreign players

    Being one of the oldest civilisations in the world, Indian fashion has combined

    tradition, culture and modernisation to become an emerging market since year

    2000. Fusions of Indian and Western styles have dominated the catwalks of

    Indias various fashion weeks, which have become popular and saw strong

    demands locally and overseas.

    Since year 2000, India has organised an increasing number of fashion weeks,

    such as Delhi fashion week and Lakme India Fashion Week, which are annualevents showcasing the works of the nations best fashion designers. This has

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    attracted local and foreign purchasers, facilitating business opportunities as well

    as giving local talents the platform to globalise their designs.

    With recognition and the foresight of continuous strong growth, in year 2008, a

    group of established Indian designers founded the Fashion Foundation of India

    (FFI) and it aims to help all local designers and the fashion industry grow

    internationally. At a particular Delhis fashion week, about 70 out of 150 buyers

    came from abroad, and this numbers continues to grow as more overseas buyers

    recognized the popularity of Indian fashion.

    With the local scene doing well with their local product designs, given that more

    and more Indian grown companies are also moving into the fashion and apparels

    markets, such as ITC (Imperial Tobacco Company of India Ltd) creating Wills

    Lifestyle with 61 stores in 34 states, Trent, Reliance Retail, Indiabulls, etc., the

    fashion and apparel sector are bound to see double digit growth for the next 5 to

    10 years, and this is a boom for the apparel manufacturing industry indeed.

    In addition, India is attracting foreign investment in fashion as well. We see the

    country being a focus for Inditex, the Spanish clothing retailer which opened 25

    Zara shops in year 2010 in partnership with the Tata group.

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    Lakme 13

    th

    India Fashionweek which attracted

    many buyers both locally

    and abroad

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    Another international renowned fashion company who had made their debut in

    India since a few years ago opened its third store in Mumbai selling international

    as well as local designs which includes exclusive sari designs which sold for

    between USD $6,000 to $8,000 each piece, targeting at the expanding luxurymarket in India. Although Hermes (French) did not divulge whether their sari

    designers are locals, but from the design, it appeared obvious that Indian

    designers would definitely had played a key role. Hermes is definitely not the

    only company that had launched Indian collections. Other luxury brands like

    Tods (Italian) and Prada have gone into the market with the Indian touch of

    silk satin clutches, woven sandals and embroidered cotton dresses which are

    typically made in India!

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    From the above, we can see that there is very strong foreign interest in Indian

    design and thereafter manufacturing in fashion products locally as most foreign

    players see the great potential of Indian consumer market given its strong

    growth in GDP per capita and other factors as already discussed earlier. The

    challenge for these global brands will be how they can translate the interest and

    investments into successes. One area is of course trade barriers which should

    see changes if the Indian government wish to liberalize this sector further.

    4 .2.3 Fashion design industry an example of Indias design

    future

    Confidence is for sure to be going the positive way as even the worlds leading

    fashion and style consultancy firm, WGSN, had set foot in India with the intention

    to partner with the Indian fashion industry to identify the opportunities and the

    process to become a global player. WGSN had planned to focus on the whole

    fleet which included fashion designers, manufacturers and retailers by helping

    them move up the value chain to tap on more and bigger opportunities both in

    the local scene as well as in the global fashion design industry.

    As quoted in an Economist article on Indian fashion design future, it stated that

    It is India's potential as a source of future design stars that attracts the

    foreigners. Many foreign players are really looking for that polished diamond,

    i.e. designs or designers, which are able to combine Western cuts with Indias

    talent for embellishment and its famously fine textiles.

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    However, many Indian designers also lack the organisational skills and

    infrastructure needed to handle large orders. But as Indian designers attract

    investors, their business skills will no doubt improve. And as discussed in the

    macro analysis earlier, there are many constraints atypical in hindering

    exponential growth which basically applies in impending the faster growth in the

    Indian fashion industry as well. These are constraints such as poor

    infrastructure, inflexible labour laws, even the difficulty of growing from small to

    big because of conservative banking systems, etc.

    We can see that more has to be done for the fashion design industry, which will

    be further elaborated in the next section of this paper. Depending on current

    fashion institutes, and push from Indian domestic designers such as Rina Dhaka,

    Anamika Khanna and Manish Arora who have gained some success in the

    international scene and are trying to push more for this industry through creation

    of associations like FFI (Fashion Foundation of India), this will still not be

    sufficient in growing faster unless the government re-look at their own strategies

    and is able to see the importance of the fashion design industry in driving both

    the fashion industrial and service sectors, as well as to put a name for India in

    international fashion arena.

    With this, we draw parallel to other Indian industries (IT, Healthcare, Higher-end

    consumables) which too can ride on design to bring about a positive and

    effective change in the value chain of India, and as such may bring India to the

    next level in climbing up the ladder of being the worlds main heavy weight in

    economic power in competition with China.

    An example which can show how many are envisioning this trend and are trying

    to ride on the bandwagon to perhaps have first movers advantage is the fact

    that IDEO, the worlds top design and innovation consultancy firm, has landed in

    India. It is pretty obvious that IDEO has recognised the potential of India and

    Indians being groomed to put design and innovation in their move to grow the

    economy exponentially

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    All of IDEOs work is done in consideration of the capabilities of our clients and the needs oftheir customers. As we iterate toward a final solution, we assess and reassess our designs. Our

    goal is to deliver appropriate, actionable, and tangible strategies. The result: new, innovative

    avenues for growth that are grounded in business viability and market desirability.

    Extract: IDEOs website

    And it is truly what the Indian government can concentrate on, and that is to use

    design and innovation as key drivers in improving the performance of both the

    local industrial and service sectors, which will in turn improve the Indian

    economy tremendously and the lives of Indians with more jobs and economic

    stability, moving from Third World to First World country for all Indian humanity.

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    5. COMPARISON WITH CHINA

    The ancient Chinese strategist and philosopher, Sun Tze has once said, If youknow the enemy and know yourself, you need to fear the result of a hundred

    battles. This can also be applicable to India in the path that it takes in

    formulating its core strategy to develop the design industry.

    In the previous section, we have done the detailed analysis about the Indian

    economy and the potential direction of its economic development. In this

    section we will discuss how India should compete in the global market by

    leveraging on the development of its design industry.

    Firstly of all, we shall identify Indias main competitor in the various key sectors.

    For the manufacturing industry, based on the market size, Indias major

    competitors within the same geographical area are mainly China, Japan and

    Korea. For the service industry, Indias main competitors are mainly USA and

    China. For the design industry, Indias main competitors are Italy, USA and

    China. Thus, we can tell from this simple comparison that China is basically the

    overall key competitor that India should take on.

    Since China and India both are considered leaders in such emerging markets,

    both appear to have similar competitive advantages such as massive labour

    resource, cheap but high skill workers, high GDP growth, etc., and as such, there

    is much more competition between the two countries.

    A further analysis shows that China has already made a leap in the development

    of its design industry. As per Forbes global 2000 companies list17, we can tell

    that there are very few Indian companies in product-innovation related industry.

    Majority of the listed Indian companies are in industries such as banking, steel

    manufacturing and natural resources. However, there are many Chinese

    companies in the list that are famous for their product innovation & design, for

    example, Lenovo Group is the global leader in PC design & manufacturing

    industry, ZTE is famous for its network equipment design & innovation and TCL is

    famous for the electronic appliance innovation and design. In order for India to

    compete in manufacturing gaining from a leap in its design industry, we think

    1

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    that it is reasonable for India to study how China developed its design industry,

    and take some of these learnings as precious lessons from China.

    The Chinese government recognised the importance of design and innovation in

    the 1980s. Since then, the government has been taking steps in helping to

    develop its design industry. There are basically three steps taken to develop its

    design industry, which are further elaborate in the next few paragraphs.

    The first step was to establish the education system for the design industry. In

    1984, China setup the first design course in Hunan University. Since then, there

    are more and more students graduating with major in industry and fashion

    design. Till now there are nearly 10.000 students graduating with major in design

    from 400 colleges every year. This large talent pool provides an enhancedsupport for China to develop its design industry. This is also one of the major

    factors which enticed many multi-national design related companies to set up

    their design innovation centres or R&D centres in China.

    The second step was to establish the design industry network across the country.

    China has established 34 design associations across the country. There are more

    than 30 design festivals and nearly 50 seminars in China every year, and many

    of these events are sponsored by the Chinese government. The government

    also encourage and promote design & innovation by introducing countrywide

    awards to motivate designers. For example, since year 2005, the government

    established events honouring and recognising brilliant and successful Chinese

    designers such as establishing the China Top Ten Outstanding Young

    Designers yearly. Also, since year 2006, the government established the

    national industrial design award Red Star to recognise outstanding individuals

    and companies for their contribution to the Chinas design and innovation

    progress.

    The third step was to support the local companies and projects. The government

    made plans to introduce national support to develop the fashion & design

    industry by providing funding for design projects. There are also government

    policies to encourage design related firms to develop.

    As a whole, China has achieved progressively positive results in developing its

    design industry. In year 2009, the Chinese government produced an

    advertisement of an international image promoting Made in China brand and

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    aired on CNN Asia18. This ad is deliberately made to rebuild and strengthen the

    Made in China reputation. In addition, it also showed that China has taken the

    product branding onto a national level, and the government may be aiming to

    promote Design in China in the near future.

    6. PATH TO VICTORY?

    India can use the Chinese government as a leading example in the development

    of its design industry. Based on the above elaboration of the Chinese strategy,

    our team felt that India should recognize the need for the country to develop its

    design industry by learning from its competitors for starters and apply these

    strategies modified according to its own market needs.

    With reference to Chinas strategies, the team has derived some

    recommendations which we felt that the Indian government can consider:

    The first recommendation pertains to building stronger support for design

    education. Although there are two top global design schools in India, there are

    not many schools offering design as a specialization. Even within the two top

    schools, there are reports which showed that the facilities for design faculty are

    very limited and students do not have enough exposure to the international

    design industry19. In order to develop the industry, there must be enough talents

    available, and as such, the Indian government may consider the following

    strategies to support the design education:

    1. The government can identify several schools in each state and introduce

    design courses. Funding for the school will be required in order to recruit

    experienced teaching staff either from the industry or from overseas.

    2. The government should encourage overseas internationally renown design

    companies to open branch offices in India. Such local operations of the

    overseas design companies will generate the market demand for the

    design talents and attract the younger generation to take up the design

    related courses and aim to work for such companies.

    3. The government should establish international activities to provide

    international exposure for local design talents, Indian schools and their

    students.

    The second recommendation is to establish its design network across the

    country. As India is a rather huge country, it should consider establishing the

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    design associations in most of its states. We understand that for India, the local

    state government may have more resources and authority in local development,

    and as such, we would recommend that the central government provide the

    policies structured to guide the local state government to encourage a closeconnection between design associations in each state.

    The third recommendation is that have a regional design centre. In this way,

    India can take the opportunity to link its design work with the design centre and

    enable such good work to be shared across the country. One such city which

    India can consider to set up its regional design centre is Bombay, as Bombay is

    named its commercial & entertainment capital.

    The final recommendation is to entice the local Indian companies to develop its

    design and innovation strength. The government should provide the funding

    support for credible design projects in order to show unwavering support and this

    will help Indian companies develop a long-term sustainable model.

    For a business to achieve sustainability, there are basically four key factors:

    investment, productivity, human development and product quality. The

    education support in our first recommendation will help to provide a sufficient

    high skill work force for companies to develop its design arm. With initial

    government funding, it will provide the investment for such companies to

    develop the product design and innovation. The introduction of the new drive

    force for product design & innovation will contribute to the increased value in the

    product quality as well as increase the productivity. The business sustainability

    will also help to sustain the design industry to develop.

    7. CONCLUSION An Entrepreneurial viewpoint

    India is opening up to the world and increasingly, influences from other parts of

    the world in terms of design and brand are slowly penetrating the Indian market.

    When one couples this with increasing disposable income and a huge domestic

    market, it would be hard to turn a blind eye to this market potential. There are

    problems within the country of course. Infrastructure in terms of roads, power,

    etc., is still very poor and this can be a serious problem especially if one was

    trying to set up a factory from scratch, not to mention the corruption and

    bureaucracy that might accompany the set-up. There are also the issues

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    revolving around inflation and government stability, both of which might affect

    future profitability of the company.

    One thing is for certain though and that is Indias growth story. This paper has

    covered a fair bit around what the Indian government should do but from a

    business perspective, should new market entrants, both local and foreign, look to

    become complete solution providers then? The answer interestingly is no, and for

    the simple reason that India is not ready yet due to the abovementioned issues.

    The new entrants should as a first step, build up its R&D and design capability in

    whatever field it is looking to enter. A good design helps sell products, a great

    design helps sell products at a premium along with bigger profits. Indians,

    especially the affluent community, are increasingly looking to differentiate

    themselves from the masses, which typically carry or own Made in India

    products. This affluent crowd is also willing to pay higher prices for such special

    products as it emphasizes their status as one of the elites. So building up a great

    design team should be the first step new market entrant should aim for. And

    given the large pool of engineers, many of which have been educated overseas,

    building this team should not be very difficult either.

    That isnt to say that these new entrants cannot become complete solution

    providers. An option present is to work with local manufacturing partners withinto start and in the meantime work with the governments (both at local and at

    state levels) around infrastructure improvements along with other regulatory

    issues. This helps companies pursue the OBM route while cutting out the costs of

    running a manufacturing operations to start., which is akin to the partnership

    Apple has with Foxconn.

    The Design industry is a goldmine for both India as a country and for companies

    looking to enter India or are looking for growth within India. This can clearly be

    the catalyst that would help jumpstart Indias next growth phase provided that

    India develops this in tandem with resolving the fundamentals of the country. If

    done properly, the team believes India can potentially balance out its GDP

    between services and manufacturing, which would in turn raise employment,

    increase FDI and generally improve the lives of its people.

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    APPENDIX for references

    1) http://zeenews.india.com/news/nation/india-s-suffocating-bureaucracy-worst-in-asia-survey_536445.html

    2) http://www.li.com/attachments/EntrepreneursIndia2011.pdf

    3) http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405297020447950457663923353771

    6542.html#project%3DISTARTUP1011%26articleTabs%3Darticle

    4) http://business-standard.com/india/news/us-wants-india-to-decrease-tariffsindustrial-goods/374667/

    5) http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/COUNTRIES/SOUTHASIA

    6) http://www.forbes.com/2010/10/13/india-china-entrepreneur-markets-

    economy-raghav-bahl-book-excerpt.html

    7) http://www.li.com/attachments/EntrepreneursIndia2011.pdf

    8) http://en.wikipedia.org/

    9) Grail research on Global Fashion Industry - Growth in Emerging Markets (Sep

    2009)

    10)http://www.merinews.com/ - Article on Indian fashion industry becomes global

    (2nd Mar 2008)

    11)McKinsey & Company reports

    a. Indias fast-growing apparel market (Jun 2010)

    b. Made in India The next big manufacturing export story

    12)http://blogs.wsj.com/indiarealtime/2011/10/12/hermes-goes-local-with-india-

    sari-launch/

    13)Forbes Fast Fashion Zara in India (29th Jul 2010)

    14)Price Waterhouse Coopers Strong and Steady 2011 Outlook for the Retail

    and Consumer Products Sector in Asia

    15)http://willslifestyle.com/Season21/lounge.html

    16)http://www.earthpulse.com/

    17)http://www.forbes.com/global2000/

    18)http://www.chinahush.com/2009/12/02/made-in-china-ad-campaign-and-its-

    secrets/

    19)http://nitawriter.wordpress.com/2007/12/11/india-has-two-of-the-best-design-

    schools-in-the-world/

    BMA5112 - INDIA Page 35

    http://zeenews.india.com/news/nation/india-s-suffocating-bureaucracy-worst-in-asia-survey_536445.htmlhttp://zeenews.india.com/news/nation/india-s-suffocating-bureaucracy-worst-in-asia-survey_536445.htmlhttp://www.li.com/attachments/EntrepreneursIndia2011.pdfhttp://business-standard.com/india/news/us-wants-india-to-decrease-tariffsindustrial-goods/374667/http://business-standard.com/india/news/us-wants-india-to-decrease-tariffsindustrial-goods/374667/http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/COUNTRIES/SOUTHASIAhttp://www.forbes.com/2010/10/13/india-china-entrepreneur-markets-economy-raghav-bahl-book-excerpt.htmlhttp://www.forbes.com/2010/10/13/india-china-entrepreneur-markets-economy-raghav-bahl-book-excerpt.htmlhttp://www.li.com/attachments/EntrepreneursIndia2011.pdfhttp://en.wikipedia.org/http://www.merinews.com/http://blogs.wsj.com/indiarealtime/2011/10/12/hermes-goes-local-with-india-sari-launch/http://blogs.wsj.com/indiarealtime/2011/10/12/hermes-goes-local-with-india-sari-launch/http://willslifestyle.com/Season21/lounge.htmlhttp://willslifestyle.com/Season21/lounge.htmlhttp://www.earthpulse.com/http://www.forbes.com/global2000/http://www.chinahush.com/2009/12/02/made-in-china-ad-campaign-and-its-secrets/http://www.chinahush.com/2009/12/02/made-in-china-ad-campaign-and-its-secrets/http://nitawriter.wordpress.com/2007/12/11/india-has-two-of-the-best-design-schools-in-the-world/http://nitawriter.wordpress.com/2007/12/11/india-has-two-of-the-best-design-schools-in-the-world/http://www.li.com/attachments/EntrepreneursIndia2011.pdfhttp://business-standard.com/india/news/us-wants-india-to-decrease-tariffsindustrial-goods/374667/http://business-standard.com/india/news/us-wants-india-to-decrease-tariffsindustrial-goods/374667/http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/COUNTRIES/SOUTHASIAhttp://www.forbes.com/2010/10/13/india-china-entrepreneur-markets-economy-raghav-bahl-book-excerpt.htmlhttp://www.forbes.com/2010/10/13/india-china-entrepreneur-markets-economy-raghav-bahl-book-excerpt.htmlhttp://www.li.com/attachments/EntrepreneursIndia2011.pdfhttp://en.wikipedia.org/http://www.merinews.com/http://blogs.wsj.com/indiarealtime/2011/10/12/hermes-goes-local-with-india-sari-launch/http://blogs.wsj.com/indiarealtime/2011/10/12/hermes-goes-local-with-india-sari-launch/http://willslifestyle.com/Season21/lounge.htmlhttp://www.earthpulse.com/http://www.forbes.com/global2000/http://www.chinahush.com/2009/12/02/made-in-china-ad-campaign-and-its-secrets/http://www.chinahush.com/2009/12/02/made-in-china-ad-campaign-and-its-secrets/http://nitawriter.wordpress.com/2007/12/11/india-has-two-of-the-best-design-schools-in-the-world/http://nitawriter.wordpress.com/2007/12/11/india-has-two-of-the-best-design-schools-in-the-world/http://zeenews.india.com/news/nation/india-s-suffocating-bureaucracy-worst-in-asia-survey_536445.htmlhttp://zeenews.india.com/news/nation/india-s-suffocating-bureaucracy-worst-in-asia-survey_536445.html
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