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BMO UK High Income Trust plc Philip Webster CFA, Portfolio Manager For retail investors July 2019 694875 UK

BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

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Page 1: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

BMO UK High Income Trust plc

Philip Webster CFA, Portfolio Manager

For retail investors

July 2019

694875 UK

Page 2: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

Investment risks

Stock market movements may cause the value of investments and the income from them to fall as well

as rise and investors may not get back the amount originally invested.

The value of your investment is dependent on the supply and demand for the shares of the Investment

Trust rather than its underlying assets. The value of your investment will not be the same as the value of

the Investment Trust's underlying assets.

A fund investing in a specific country carries a greater risk than a fund diversified across a range of

countries.

If markets fall, gearing can magnify the negative impact on performance.

Page 3: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

Strategy and relevance

3

• Active vs Passive management – ongoing shift to passive?

• Asset allocators, that I am speaking to have already bought into this polarised view

• The Equity Income peer group look very similar, especially when it comes to ownership of the UK

mega-caps

• We have built a differentiated and focused strategy that allows us to take a unique position in the

market

• Relevance, if you haven’t got a track record (3 years) of running a stock-picking strategy it is difficult to

attract capital (this is a medium-term story)

The performance and the message are gaining traction but this will take time as we built the

Trust’s awareness

Source: BMO Global Asset Management as at 31-May-19.

Page 4: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

Shape of the equity portfolio today

4

• Inherited 53 names, 80% FTSE 100, 20% FTSE 250 (Year-end 2016)

• Today we have 34 names; 54% FTSE 100, 33% FTSE 250, 6% Non-index, 4% Overseas, 3% AIM

• From March 2017 to 2018 we have introduced 18 new names and exited 34, to March 2019 that fell to

5 introduced and 6 exited.

• There are now only 3 positions held below benchmark weight – BP, HSBC and Royal Dutch Shell (we

will continue to reduce these opportunistically)

• Whilst we have moved down the market cap spectrum this is purely driven by quality of the investment

thesis.

• Concentrating the portfolio is not the main risk, it’s investing in poor quality companies with weak

balance sheets

Source: BMO Global Asset Management as at 28-Jun-19.

Page 5: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

Top 10 Relative Equity positions (March 2017)

5

Source: BMO Global Asset Management as at as at 31-Mar-17. Benchmark is FTSE All Share Index. For the purpose of illustration only and should not be construed as a

recommendation to buy or sell the mentioned security. Note: Portfolio holdings are subject to change.

Company

Relative weight

%

British American Tobacco 2.6

BBA Aviation 2.0

Compass Group 1.9

LondonMetric Property 1.7

GlaxoSmithKline 1.6

Ibstock 1.5

Daily Mail & General Trust 1.5

BAE Systems 1.3

Smiths Group 1.3

Halfords Group 1.3

Total 16.7

Page 6: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

Top 10 Relative Equity positions (June 2019)

6

Source: BMO Global Asset Management as at 30-Jun-19. Benchmark: FTSE ALL-Share Index. For the purpose of illustration only and should not be construed as a recommendation

to buy or sell the mentioned security. Note: Portfolio holdings are subject to change.

Company Relative weight

%

RELX 4.1

Cairn Homes 3.6

Kerry Group 3.3

Close Brothers Group 3.3

Jupiter Fund Management 3.2

British American Tobacco 3.2

Intermediate Capital Group 3.1

Lenzing 2.9

Phoenix Group Holdings 2.9

GlaxoSmithKline 2.7

Total 32.3

Page 7: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

What have we been buying?

7

– Wizz Air – market leading low-cost carrier in Eastern Europe. Initiated post the share price

decline

– Brewin Dolphin Holdings - well positioned in attractive UK wealth management market.

Business growth beginning to come through.

– Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out of favour as

their cycle reaches the floor.

– Lenzing - Global no.1 in high value speciality, sustainable textiles with very attractive

valuation (this is a 2-3 year plan as they deliver new facilities)

Source: BMO Global Asset Management as at 31-Aug-18. Transactions between 01-Jan-18 and 31-Aug-18. Alphabetically ordered, ICT Launch 28-Feb-07. For the purpose of

illustration only and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell the mentioned security. Note: Portfolio holdings are subject to change.

BUY

Focus of the buying has been a mixture of rebalancing the portfolio

to growth, diversifying the income and increasing the moat

(competitive dynamics stronger)

Page 8: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

Stock example: Lenzing AG

8

• The Lenzing Group is the world market

leader for the production of wood-based

cellulose fibres with a market share of 17

percent in 2017

• Lenzing expects the demand for wood-

based cellulose fibers will rise by 5 to 6

percent each year to 2020

• Lenzing have very high market shares in

speciality viscose products (TencelTM

and

Modal®) which command a price premium

• Lenzing are investing in additional

capacity in speciality products and

internally supplied dissolving wood pulp,

improving the mix and reducing input

costs

• Well-known global brand product retailers

and international consumer goods chains

are increasingly using Lenzing’s

environmentally-friendly products

Source: BMO Global Asset Management. For the purpose of illustration only and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell the mentioned security. Note: Portfolio

holdings are subject to change.

Source: Lenzing 2017 Annual Report

Page 9: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

Lenzing: A leader in sustainability

9

• As consumers, our awareness of production

process of our goods is increasing

• As a quality company and manufacturer of

sustainable fibres, Lenzing has meaningful

sustainable business practices which

enables them to spot trends early and

nurture innovative leadership

• Lenzing’s cellulose fibres are made from

Dissolving Wood Pulp (DWP), which is

derived from low-energy, fast-growing, and

sustainable-sourced trees

• Lenzing’s drive for sustainable solutions has

resulted in the developing of RefibraTM

, a

revolutionary technology which allows the

recycling of cotton and scraps into specialty

fibres

• Lenzing educate their customers to address

real sustainability problems and options

Source: BMO Global Asset Management. For the purpose of illustration only and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell the mentioned security. Note: Portfolio

holdings are subject to change.

Page 10: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

What have we been selling?

10

– National Grid – reducing our exposure to the Utilities space which had performed well

– Daily Mail & General Trust - newspapers in secular decline; low conviction in remainder of

the business model

– Diageo – quality business model with attractive assets but the valuation has been inflated

by it’s safe-haven status. In the short-term this looks like a poorly timed trade but 25x P/E is

the wrong-price

– Greencore – this should have been a steady compounder given the nature of their end

markets but M&A and poor communication

Source: BMO Global Asset Management as at 30-Apr-19. Transactions between 01-Apr-2018 and 30-Apr-19. Alphabetically ordered. ICT Launch 28-Feb-07. P/E = price earnings.

FB = Facebook. For the purpose of illustration only and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell the mentioned security. Note: Portfolio holdings are subject to

change.

SELL

Focus of the sales has been on downside risk, be that thesis drift,

valuation or balance sheet

Page 11: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

Performance

11

14.8

3.1

14.8

-2.2

18.9

13.0

3.3

13.0

0.6

28.9

-5.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

YTD 3 months 6 months 1 year 3 years

Retu

rn %

Fund Benchmark

Source: BMO Global Asset Management as at 30-Jun-19. Benchmark is FTSE All-Share Index. Basis: Percentage growth, total return, bid to bid price with net income reinvested in

sterling.

Cumulative performance (NAV) vs benchmark (GBP net of fees)

Past performance should not be seen as an indication of future performance.

Page 12: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

Performance

12

Discrete performance (GBP net of fees)

Source: BMO Global Asset Management as at 30-Jun-19. The discrete annual performance table refers to 12 month periods, ending at the date shown. Benchmark = FTSE All

Share.

Past performance should not be seen as an indication of future performance.

Percentage growth %June 18-

June 19

June 17-

June 18

June 16 –

June 17

June 15 –

June 16

June 14 –

June 15

NAV -2.21 4.59 16.28 4.83 1.20

Share price -2.34 -0.02 23.38 0.80 2.61

FTSE All Share 0.58 8.27 18.41 1.93 3.17

Page 13: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

Benchmark agnostic…..

13

Source: BMO Global Asset Management as at 30-Jun-19. Benchmark is FTSE All Share TR Index. Sector allocation excludes Cash. Note: Portfolio holdings are subject to change.

Sector allocation (relative to benchmark) Sector (performance relative to benchmark)

-7.5

-6.3

-2.4

-2.4

-2.2

-0.8

3.7

4.4

5.7

7.8

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10%

Oil & Gas

Industrials

Telecommunications

Health Care

Basic Materials

Utilities

Consumer Services

Technology

Consumer Goods

Financials

-0.1

4.9

12.1

-1.9

17.1

1.0

4.9

-15.1

-4.2

1.1

-30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20%

Oil & Gas

Industrials

Telecommunications

Health Care

Basic Materials

Utilities

Consumer Services

Technology

Consumer Goods

Financials

Page 14: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

Value vs growth – relative price performance

14

Source: Morgan Stanley as at 30-Jun-19.

Past performance should not be seen as an indication of future performance.

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

01-Dec-74 01-May-82 01-Oct-89 01-Mar-97 01-Aug-04 01-Jan-12 01-Jun-19

Price

Page 15: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

Dividend

15

• The core of the portfolio changes are supportive of the dividend – quality, moat, CF and balance sheet

• Several of the positions exited have proven this to be correct – Vodafone and Centrica are both high-

yielders that have suffered from weak earnings, leveraged balance sheets and dividend cuts

• Improve the balance of companies delivering lower yields, but more dividend growth

• Need to be mindful of the USD strength which has benefitted the revenue growth. I have moved very

underweight the USD, relatively, by selling down the mega-caps

• Revenue reserves are above one year so we retain some very good coverage

• The board have a progressive dividend policy. The starting yield of 5.4% is a significant premium to

the index

Source: BMO Global Asset Management. CF = Cash Flow. Revenue reserve = The portion of a business' profits retained by the company for investment in future growth, and are not

redistributed to the shareholders through regular or special dividends.

Past performance should not be seen as an indication of future performance.

Page 16: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

Dividend progression

16

Source: Global Asset Management as at 30-Jun-19. YOY = year on year.

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Dividend / Capital repayments – by financial year

1st interim 2nd interim 3rd interim 4th interim

FY

Annual

rate

(p)

Y-O-Y

Increase

%

2014 4.37 2.1%

2015 4.48 2.5%

2016 4.60 2.7%

2017 4.72 2.6%

2018 4.88 3.4%

2019 5.04 3.3%

Past performance should not be seen as an indication of future performance.

Page 17: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

Dividend yield

17

Yield (%)

Source: BMO Global Asset Management, Datastream, Bloomberg as at 30-Jun-19, ICT Launch 28-Feb-07, *Yields shown net, Cash Libor (3M).

Past performance should not be seen as an indication of future performance. The level of any

income earned by the fund will fluctuate.

5.4

4.13.9

0.7 0.8

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

FHI Ordinary shares FTSE ALL-ShareIndex*

AIC UK Equity Income UK 10 Year Gilt Cash

Page 18: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

Current market view

18

• Risk pressures are building:

– Cheap funding continues to support elevated corporate leverage and unsecured consumer debt

– Political uncertainty continues through Brexit and/or trade “wars”

– Behavioural biases are creating “bubbles” in particular areas of the market

– Valuations are polarised

• Focus on the knowable, businesses exhibiting:

– Strong balance sheets

– Consistent cash generation

– Sustainable excess returns – ROIC > WACC

– Attractive valuations – discounts to a conservative assessment of intrinsic value

– Businesses that have strong dividend cover and will pay their dividend in a weaker environment

Page 19: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

Glossary

19

• All-Cap: A Fund that invests in equities without regard to whether a company is characterised as

small, medium or large

• Bond: A form of loan paying a generally agreed rate of interest over a fixed term, with the principal

paid at maturity. Bonds may be issued by governments or companies. Bonds can generally be traded

on the stock market and therefore may trade above or below their issue price

• Discount: When the share price is lower than the Net Asset Value (NAV), it is referred to as trading at

a discount. The discount is expressed as a percentage of the Net Asset Value

• Dividend: Income paid to shareholders by the company they invest in

• Equities: Shares in a company listed on a stock exchange. Shareholders are effectively the owners of

the company and typically have the right to vote on company matters

• Liquidity: The ability to quickly convert an investment portfolio to cash with little or no loss in value

• Revenue reserve: The portion of a business' profits retained by the company for investment in future

growth, and are not redistributed to the shareholders through regular or special dividends

• Yield: The annual dividend or income on an investment expressed as a percentage of the purchase

price

Page 20: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

Disclaimer

FTSE International Limited (“FTSE”) © FTSE 2019. “FTSE®” is a trade mark of the London Stock Exchange Group

companies and is used by FTSE International Limited under licence. All rights in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings

vest in FTSE and/or its licensors. Neither FTSE nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the

FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings or underlying data. No further distribution of FTSE Data is permitted without FTSE’s

express written consent.

Views and opinions have been arrived at by BMO Global Asset Management and should not be considered to be a

recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any products that may be mentioned.

Page 21: BMO UK High Income Trust plc - Global · 2019-07-10 · Business growth beginning to come through. –Close Brothers - unique and high quality business model that is currently out

Contact us

Extensive worldwide investment capabilities

• Total focus on clients

• Comprehensive range of products

and solutions

• Defined expertise – including a suite of specialist

investment boutiques

BMO Global Asset Management (EMEA) – Head OfficeExchange House

Primrose Street

London EC2A 2NY

Tel: +44 (0) 20 7628 8000

Calls may be recorded.

bmogam.com

©2019 BMO Global Asset Management. Financial promotions are issued for marketing and information purposes; in the United Kingdom by BMO Asset Management Limited, which

is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority; in the EU by BMO Asset Management Netherlands B.V., which is regulated by the Dutch Authority for the Financial

Markets (AFM); and in Switzerland by BMO Global Asset Management (Swiss) GmbH, which is authorised and regulated by the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA).