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Bob Dacey Chief Accountant U.S. Government Accountability Office March 3, 2008 Accrual Concepts in the U.S. Federal Budget

Bob Dacey Chief Accountant U.S. Government Accountability Office March 3, 2008 Accrual Concepts in the U.S. Federal Budget

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Page 1: Bob Dacey Chief Accountant U.S. Government Accountability Office March 3, 2008 Accrual Concepts in the U.S. Federal Budget

Bob DaceyChief Accountant

U.S. Government Accountability Office

March 3, 2008

Accrual Concepts in the U.S. Federal Budget

Page 2: Bob Dacey Chief Accountant U.S. Government Accountability Office March 3, 2008 Accrual Concepts in the U.S. Federal Budget

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Why Were We Interestedin Accrual Budgeting?

• The U.S. federal government’s financial condition and fiscal outlook have deteriorated dramatically since 2000.

• Increased information and better incentives to address the long-term consequences of today’s policy decisions can help put the U.S. Government on a more sound fiscal footing.

Page 3: Bob Dacey Chief Accountant U.S. Government Accountability Office March 3, 2008 Accrual Concepts in the U.S. Federal Budget

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Current Use of Accrual Measurementin the U.S. Federal Budget

Budget authority and outlays are measured on a cash/obligations basis except for the following programs that are measured on an accrual basis:

• Credit programs• Certain interest payments• Some federal employee pensions (agency level)• Some retiree health care (agency level)

The federal government’s consolidated financial statements are prepared generally on an accrual basis

• Most revenue is recorded on a modified cash basis• Net operating cost is reconciled to the unified budget.

Page 4: Bob Dacey Chief Accountant U.S. Government Accountability Office March 3, 2008 Accrual Concepts in the U.S. Federal Budget

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Some Key Budgetary Objectivesin the U.S.

• Establish national spending priorities and allocate resources

• Ensure that the government spends taxpayers’ money in accordance with applicable laws

• Upfront control over the government’s full cash commitment

• Provide some information on the government’s borrowing requirements and effect on the economy

Page 5: Bob Dacey Chief Accountant U.S. Government Accountability Office March 3, 2008 Accrual Concepts in the U.S. Federal Budget

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Does Current Budgeting Meet Budgetary Objectives?

• For most areas, the current cash-/obligations-based budget supports these objectives and provides equal or better control than accrual measurement would, particularly over capital investment.

• However, for some areas cash measurement does not support upfront control of resources:• veterans compensation• federal employee pensions and retiree health• insurance• environmental liabilities

Page 6: Bob Dacey Chief Accountant U.S. Government Accountability Office March 3, 2008 Accrual Concepts in the U.S. Federal Budget

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Potential Benefits ofAccrual Budgeting

• Better information on the cost of annual operations and performance can:• Inform tradeoffs between competing programs

or priorities.• Help policymakers recognize the full cost of

resources used to produce goods or deliver services during the period regardless of when cash is used

• Improve efficiency and performance and management of assets and liabilities

Page 7: Bob Dacey Chief Accountant U.S. Government Accountability Office March 3, 2008 Accrual Concepts in the U.S. Federal Budget

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Potential Challenges WithAccrual Budgeting

• Need reliable financial data and agreed upon standards.

• Asset identification and valuation can be cumbersome and difficult for public sector.

• Management and oversight of noncash expenses, which may signal a need for cash controls over capital purchases.

• Accrual accounting inherently more complex than cash accounting and can be more volatile.

• Existence of cash-based fiscal targets may reduce the focus on accrual measures.

Page 8: Bob Dacey Chief Accountant U.S. Government Accountability Office March 3, 2008 Accrual Concepts in the U.S. Federal Budget

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Range of Accrual Budgeting Use

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• Accrual budgeting only part of the answer• Useful for recognizing the full annual cost of certain programs

that will require future cash resources; but• Not useful for recognizing longer-term fiscal challenges that are

driven primarily by aging populations and escalating health care cost.

• Fiscal sustainability reporting also needed• Multiple measures needed to understand fiscal sustainability.• Fiscal sustainability reporting can increase public awareness

and understanding of the long-term fiscal challenges, stimulate public and policy debate, and help policymakers make informed decisions.

• Comprehensive picture of the long-term financial condition of the government as a whole.

GAO Conclusions

Page 10: Bob Dacey Chief Accountant U.S. Government Accountability Office March 3, 2008 Accrual Concepts in the U.S. Federal Budget

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GAO Conclusions

• Fiscal sustainability reporting would:• Highlight the trade-offs between all federal

programs competing for federal resources, and• Improve policymaker’s understanding of the

tough choices that will have to be made to ensure that future generations do not bear an unfair tax or debt burden for services provided to current generations.

• Accrual budgeting and fiscal sustainability reporting are only means to an end; neither can change decisions in and of itself.

Page 11: Bob Dacey Chief Accountant U.S. Government Accountability Office March 3, 2008 Accrual Concepts in the U.S. Federal Budget

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Matters for Congressional Consideration

Congress should • require increased information on major tax and spending

proposals;• consider requiring increased reporting of accrual-based

cost information alongside cash-based budget numbers for both existing and proposed programs where accrual-based cost information includes significant future cash resource requirements that are not yet reflected in the cash-based budget;

• explore further use of accrual-based budgeting for these programs to ensure that the information affects incentives and budgetary decisions; and

• require periodic reports on fiscal sustainability for the government as a whole.

Page 12: Bob Dacey Chief Accountant U.S. Government Accountability Office March 3, 2008 Accrual Concepts in the U.S. Federal Budget

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Appendix A:

Recent GAO Long-Term Simulations

Page 13: Bob Dacey Chief Accountant U.S. Government Accountability Office March 3, 2008 Accrual Concepts in the U.S. Federal Budget

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-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Fiscal year

Percent of GDP

Unified Surpluses and DeficitsUnder GAO’s Alternative Fiscal Policy Simulations

BaselineExtended

AlternativeSimulation

Source: GAO’s August 2007 analysis.

Page 14: Bob Dacey Chief Accountant U.S. Government Accountability Office March 3, 2008 Accrual Concepts in the U.S. Federal Budget

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Federal Fiscal Gap Under GAO’s Long-term Simulations - 2007-2081

(Maintaining Debt-to-GDP at or below current rate)

Options to Close Fiscal Gap

Federal % Increase Fiscal Gap In

% DecreaseTrillions Share Individual In Non-

of 2007 of % Increase Income Interest

Dollars GDP in Revenue Taxes Spending

Baseline $31.1 4.3% 22.9% 50.6% 23.6% Alternative $54.3 7.5% 39.9% 88.2% 41.0%

Source: GAO August 2007 analysis.

Page 15: Bob Dacey Chief Accountant U.S. Government Accountability Office March 3, 2008 Accrual Concepts in the U.S. Federal Budget

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Appendix B:Objectives and

Countries Included in Study

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Objectives

• Where, how, and why accrual budgeting is used in select OECD countries and how it has changed since 2000;

• What challenges and limitations were discovered and how select OECD countries responded to them;

• What select OECD countries perceived the effect to have been on policy debates, program management, and the allocation of resources;

• Whether accrual budgeting has been used to increase awareness of long-term fiscal challenges and, if not, what is used instead; and

• What the experience of select OECD countries and other GAO work tell us about where and how the increased use of accrual concepts in the budget would be useful and ways to increase the recognition of long-term budgetary implications of policy decisions.

Page 17: Bob Dacey Chief Accountant U.S. Government Accountability Office March 3, 2008 Accrual Concepts in the U.S. Federal Budget

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Countries Included in Study

To address these objectives, we primarily focused on the six countries:

• Australia,• Canada,• Iceland,• the Netherlands,• New Zealand, and• the United Kingdom.

We also did a limited review of two other nations—Denmark and Switzerland—that have recently expanded the use of accrual measures in the budget and two countries—Norway and Sweden—that considered expanding the use of accrual measurement in the budget but decided against it.