22
FIT FOR THE FUTURE BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP

BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    0

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

FIT FOR THE FUTURE BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP

Page 2: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

TRAFFIC UPDATE

HIGH SEASON

Page 3: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

TRAFFIC DATA JULY AND AUGUST INTERNATIONAL FLIGHTS

CAPACITY UP BY 76% SINCE 2010

1,389 1,656

1,848 2,062

2,449

86.2% 85.3% 85.2% 85.9% 86.0%

0.0 %

10. 0%

20. 0%

30. 0%

40. 0%

50. 0%

60. 0%

70. 0%

80. 0%

90. 0%

100 .0%

0

500

1,0 00

1,5 00

2,0 00

2,5 00

3,0 00

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

ASK'000

LF

Page 4: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

TRAFFIC DATA JULY AND AUGUST REGIONAL AND GREENLAND FLIGHTS

CAPACITY DOWN BY 7% - ICELANDIC PAX DOWN BY 12% SINCE 2012

442 442 474

409 411

69.8% 73.1%

68.5% 73.6% 73.1%

-20.0%

80. 0%

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

ASK'000

LF

Page 5: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

TRAFFIC DATA JULY AND AUGUST CAPACITY – CHARTER

CAPACITY DECREASED BY 39% SINCE 2010- MAINLY CARGO

6,178 6,178 5,511

4,936

3,754

94%

93%

91%

95%

89%

80%

90%

100 %

0

1,0 00

2,0 00

3,0 00

4,0 00

5,0 00

6,0 00

7,0 00

8,0 00

9,0 00

10, 000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Sold Block Hours

Fleet Utilization

Page 6: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

TRAFFIC DATA JULY AND AUGUST HOTELS

CAPACITY UP BY 20% - UTILIZATION 5.9% HIGHER

644 699 741 760 774

82.8% 83.9% 88.2% 88.7% 88.7%

0.0 %

100 .0%

(100)

100

300

500

700

900

1,1 00

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

AvailableHotel RoomNights

Occupancy

Page 7: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

FINANCIAL

DEVELOPMENT

Page 8: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

SUCCESSFUL OPERATIONS

Total revenues and EBITDA USD million | 2010-LTM Q414

681

791

899

1,023 1,073

96 85 110 144 141

2010 2011 2012 2013 LTM Q214

Total revenues

EBITDA

Page 9: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

OUR SUBSIDIARIES REVENUE DEVELOPMENT

Total revenues per subsidiary USD million | 2010-2013

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Icelandair Air Iceland IcelandairHotels

IcelandairCargo

Fjárvakur Iceland Travel Vita Loftleiðir IcelandairGroundServices

2010

2013

Page 10: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

STRONG CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS

Cash from operating activities and uses of cash USD million | 2010 – LTM Q214

LTM = Last Twelve Months

41

125

96 114

86

45

49

45 33 81

6 12

19

128 117

167

231

251

2010 2011 2012 2013 LTM Q214

2010 2011 2012 2013LTMQ214Gross Capex Dept payments Dividend Cash from operations

Page 11: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

296.8

60.2

15.6

283.3

1.1.2010 30.06.2014

Interest bearing debt

Cash and cash equivalents and marketabel securities

FINANCIAL LEVERAGE SYSTEMATICALLY MANAGED DOWNWARDS

1.2 x

1.4 x

0.9 x

0.6 x

0.3 x

2010 2011 2012 2013 LTM Q214

Interest bearing debt and available cash USD million | 1.1.2010 vs. 30.06.2014 Debt / EBITDAR

LTM = Last Twelve Months

-281.2 +267.7

Page 12: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

FINANCIAL STRATEGY

AND HEDGING POLICY

Page 13: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

On average have three

months cost as liquidity

30% can be in the form

of unused credit lines

Flexibility around

operational

assets

Equity ratio

no less than

35%

The goal is to pay

20-40% of annual

net profit as a dividend

MAINTAIN STRONG BALANCE SHEET

FINANCIAL STRATEGY

Page 14: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY

4 months

to end of

December 2014

Fuel

49%

949-999

EUR/USD

60%

1.372

12 months

to end of

August 2015

Fuel

30%

939-999

EUR/USD

47%

1.366

Full year 2015

January - December

Fuel

14%

939-987

EUR/USD

42%

1.366

Fuel

ǀ 40 – 60%

ǀ Minimum 9 months, maximum 12 months

FX

ǀ 40 – 80%

ǀ Minimum 9 months, maximum 12 months

Page 15: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

INVESTMENTS

AND FUNDING

Page 16: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

BOEING 737 MAX 16 FIRM ORDERS – TOTAL INVESTMENT 1.6 BILLION USD BASED ON LIST PRICES

Delivery schedule 2018 - 2021

2018 2019 2020 2021

MAX 8

MAX 9

Page 17: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

31% 29%

$77

$62

$68

$104

$95

HISTORICAL INDUSTRY AIRCRAFT FINANCING REAL DEMAND SUPPORTED BY ADEQUATE FUNDING CAPACITY

30% 31% 23%

28% 24%

25%

21% 28% 14%

11%

10%

7% 5% 20%

26%

25%

25%

25%

11% 14%

5%

Cash Capital Markets Bank Debt Export Credit Lessor Self Fund

RJ Export Credit Manufacturer Tax Equity

Source: Boeing

Page 18: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

$125 $129

$135 $139

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

INDUSTRY AIRCRAFT DELIVERY FINANCE OUTLOOK INCREASING DEMAND AND DELIVERIES DRIVING FINANCING REQUIREMENTS

28%

23%

25%

5%

14%

$104

$112

18%

25%

9%

22%

23%

Source:

Cash Capital Markets Bank Debt Export Credit Lessor Self Fund

RJ Export Credit Manufacturer Tax Equity

Page 19: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

THE TOP 50 AIRLINES AIRFINANCE JOURNAL – THE AIRLINE ANALYST

Source: Airfinance Journal

Page 20: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

THE TOP 50 AIRLINES AIRFINANCE JOURNAL – THE AIRLINE ANALYST

Source: Airfinance Journal

Page 21: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

HISTORICAL AIRCRAFT FINANCING COSTS

LIBOR

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

19

85

19

86

19

87

19

88

19

89

19

90

19

91

19

92

19

93

19

94

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

Range of All-in Cost

for Aircraft Financing

Record Low

Levels

Source: Boeing

Page 22: BOGI NILS BOGASON | CFO ICELANDAIR GROUP · HEDGING POLICY TO REDUCE SHORT TERM VOLATILITY 4 months to end of 49% December 2014 Fuel 949-999 EUR/USD 60% 1.372 12 months to end of

ICELANDAIR GROUP

Reykjavík Airport

101 Reykjavík Iceland

Tel: +354 50 50 300

Fax: +354 50 50 389

[email protected]

Copyright © Icelandair Group.

All rights reserved.