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1 Does the OECD Convention affect bribery? Investment Liberalization and Corruption in Vietnam Nathan M. Jensen Associate Professor Washington University in St. Louis CB 1062 St. Louis, MO 63130 Phone: 314-935-5857 Fax: 314-935-5856 Email: [email protected] Edmund J. Maleksy Associate Professor Duke University Department of Political Science 140 Science Dr., Rm 208 Gross Hall, Box 90204 Durham, NC 27708 (919) 660-4300 [email protected] Acknowledgements: We would link to thank US-AID and the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry for the generous use of the data.

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Does the OECD Convention affect bribery

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  • 1

    Does the OECD Convention affect bribery? Investment Liberalization and Corruption in Vietnam

    Nathan M. Jensen

    Associate Professor Washington University in St. Louis

    CB 1062 St. Louis, MO 63130 Phone: 314-935-5857

    Fax: 314-935-5856 Email: [email protected]

    Edmund J. Maleksy Associate Professor

    Duke University Department of Political Science

    140 Science Dr., Rm 208 Gross Hall, Box 90204

    Durham, NC 27708 (919) 660-4300 [email protected]

    Acknowledgements: We would link to thank US-AID and the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry for the generous use of the data.

  • 2

    Abstract: Scholars have long debated the role of home country attributes on the propensity of firms to bribe government officials in host countries. Unfortunately, research in this area has been hampered by the fact that reporting bias in corruption is correlated with the variable of interest, leading to incorrect estimations of effects. For instance, the OECD Anti-Bribery Convention criminalizes bribery for a large number of developed and middle income countries. While this may reduce bribery, it also reduces willingness to report. In this paper, we examine the effectiveness of the convention on the propensity of firms to pay bribes in Vietnam using a survey experiment to reduce under-reporting in briber propensity. We find that the foreign firms from OECD convention signatories are slightly more likely to pay bribes than firms from non-signatory countries and are just as likely to enter into sectors that are more prone to bribery.

  • 3

    INTRODUCTION

    The control of corruption dates back at least as far as the Egyptian pharaoh Horemhebs

    (1342-1314 BC) edict making bribery a capital offense and the urging of Christians to avoid

    engaging in corruption in Exodus (Exodus 23: 1-3, 68).1 After centuries of laws on bribery,

    societies are still attempting to constrain the bribery of citizens and firms.

    In the management literature, scholars have attempted to both understand what drives

    corruption and how corruption affects the investments and operations of firms (Beets 2005). In

    this paper, we contribute to this literature through an examination a very specific form of bribery

    and a single set of solutions to constrain the bribery behavior of firms. Our study focuses on how

    foreign firms use bribes to enter into restricted markets in a single country, and how international

    laws shape this bribery behavior. While narrowing this study does limit our ability to speak to

    other forms of corruption, our main advantage is in the precise measurement of corruption and a

    relatively unique institutional environment that allows us to observe the opening of sectors over

    time and how this affects the bribery behavior of firms.

    To address the complex measurement issues in studying the bribery behavior of firms, we

    take advantage of a novel strategy for measuring corruption. Utilizing the Unmatched Count

    Technique (UCT), or list question from an original firm level survey in Vietnam, we can both

    directly measure corruption and shield respondents from the dangers of admitting to the process

    directly. This technique randomly assigns respondents into two groups. One group is given a list

    of non-sensitive questions and is asked to identify the number of activities that the respondents

    firm engaged in. The second group, in addition to the non-sensitive questions, receives an extra

    sensitive question. In our context, non-sensitive questions include infrequent activities that

    firms could engage in during registration. Our sensitive question is on the use of bribery at the

    time of registration. Respondents only answer the number of activities they engaged in, not any 1 See Martin (1999)

  • 4

    specific activities. A simple comparison between the treatment and control groups provides

    insights on the overall level of corruption.

    This innovation of using a List question to address illegal or unethical behavior has been

    underutilized in management scholarship. Activities as seemingly inconsequential, like self-

    reports of whether or not a person votes in US elections, can be inaccurately reported due to

    social desirability effects and List questions have been utilized to show the extent of this

    misreporting (Holbrook and Krosnick 2010). Numerous activities by firms, managers, and

    employees share these similar characteristics, where observational data on these sensitive acts are

    rare and surveys behavior often require admissions of guilt. Scholars in political science have

    recently used List questions to uncover the selling of votes during elections (Corstange 2009;

    Gonzalez-Ocantos et al. 2012), immigration views (Janus 2010), bias against women running for

    political office (Streb et al. 2008), and racial prejudice (Sniderman et al. 1992; Kuklinski et al.

    1997). We use this research design to address an important question in businesswhat causes

    bribery behavior by firms?

    Building on the work of Kaufman et al. (2000) and Kolstad and Sreide (2009), we

    acknowledge that bribery is not simply a tax on firms. Firms can strategically use bribery enter

    markets in search of rents (Ades and Di Tella 1999; Bliss and Di Tella 1997; Djankov et al 2002).

    Indeed, Malesky et al. (2013) show that firms are much more likely to bribe when entering high

    rent sectors.

    To gain leverage on how rent-generating restrictions on entry provide avenues for

    corruption, we field our survey in Vietnam, a country that has undergone tremendous

    liberalization of investment laws in recent years. Through a serious of domestic reforms, along

    with reforms associated with signing of a bilateral trade agreement with the United States in 2000

    and entry into the World Trade Organization in 2006, Vietnam has considerable variation in the

    sectors that are open to FDI and heterogeneity in the timing of these reforms.

  • 5

    This research design strategy allows us to examine both bribery in restricted and non-

    restricted sectors, but also to examine the differences in behavior between signatories of the

    OECD convention and non-signatories. Building on previous research we test whether bribery by

    firms from OECD convention signatory countries should be substantially less frequent than firms

    from non-signatory countries. We selected the OCED convention for two reasons. First, it is

    highly visible, global policy attempt to reduce corruption and improve business environments for

    foreign investors. More importantly, however, it is key example of how reporting biases may be

    correlated directly with the variable of interest, scholars are attempting to study. Because the

    OECD convention criminalizes bribery for investors from signatory country, it not only reduces

    the willingness to bribe; it reduces the willingness to answer honestly in surveys regarding

    engagement in the activity an extreme example of social desirability bias (Couts and Jann

    2011).

    After employing a survey experiment to address the error, empirical results suggest that

    the OECD convention is ineffective in reducing bribery, and does not deter firms from entering

    into restricted sectors. We find that firms from OECD signatories are marginally more likely to

    engage in bribery. In a series of more exploratory tests, we do show that domestic political

    factors, namely democratic institutions, can shape bribery behavior and that we observe massive

    variation in bribery by home countries. Thus our results do suggest that country of origin matters,

    and this is most likely in the enforcement of bribery laws, not which countries sign onto anti-

    bribery conventions.

    Our paper is organized as follows. In the next section we provide a brief overview of

    research in international business on the causes and consequences of corruption. In the third

    section we discuss how investment liberalization in Vietnam allows us to test the OECD

    convention affects bribery and firm entry into sectors ripe for corruption. In the fourth and fifth

    section we document our data and methodology for measuring corruption and present our results.

  • 6

    LITERATURE REVIEW AND THEORY

    Beginning with the seminal work of Hymer (1976), management scholars have

    highlighted the unique barriers for foreign firms operating overseas. While this research

    originally referred to the broad costs of doing business abroad, a more recent wave of research

    has focused on the liability of foreignness (Zaheer 1995; Zaheer and Mosakowski 1997; Zaheer

    2002; Miller and Eden 2006). This stream of research has identified additional social costs for

    foreign investors operating outside of their home country. This can range from backlashes

    against foreign products to discriminatory treatment of foreign firms relative to domestic firms by

    government officials (Shimp and Sharma 1987; Peterson and Jolibert 1995).

    Firms can use a number of strategies to overcome these barriers (Luo et al. 2002)

    including the use of illicit payments to enter markets, keep out competitors, or to sway

    government decisions on procurement contracts. The liability of foreignness research points to

    how foreign firms are more likely to use illicit payments (corruption) than domestic firms as a

    means of overcoming these barriers to foreignness.

    Thus, corruption can distort firms decisions ranging from reducing investment (Mauro

    1995; Wei 2000; Habib and Zurawicki 2002; and Cuervo-Cazurr 2008) to shaping firm entry

    strategies (Henisz 2000; Smarzynska and Wei 2000; Rodriguez et al 2005).2 Unfortunately,

    many of these studies are open to the criticism of reverse causality, where the entry of foreign

    firms can affect corruption. For example, Robertson and Watson (2004) find that countries with

    more rapid increases in FDI are associated with bigger increases in corruption.

    This caveat on reverse causation aside, great strides have been made in examining how

    home country laws influence the activities of firms. The use of corruption as a strategy for firms

    to complete with domestic firms, while plausible on the surface, has a number of shortcomings. 2 Brouthers et al (2008) finds that corruption has a bigger impact on resource seeking FDI relative

    to market seeking FDI.

  • 7

    First, domestic firms can also use these same corruption strategies to bribe officials, and their

    better access to these officials can actually reduce the monetary cost of bribery. Second, most

    relevant for this study, foreign firms can be highly constrained in their ability to provide bribes.

    These constraints are often a function of the home country environment, and thus country

    of origin studies focus on how domestic laws affect the foreign operations of home country firms.

    For example, Kwok and Tadesse (2006) articulate that foreign investment from specific source

    countries can reduce corruption through home government use of regulation to reduce corruption

    in foreign affiliates.3 Similar points have been made by Sandholtz and Koetzle (2000) and

    Gerring and Thacker (2005).

    In this paper we focus specifically on how international agreements on corruption,

    specifically the OECD Convention on Combating Bribery of Foreign Public Officials in

    International Business Transactions affects the propensity for firms to bribe (Pacini et al 2002).4

    This convention, created in 1997, criminalized the bribery of public officials for business

    transactions.

    The empirical evidence is mixed regarding the effectiveness of laws against bribery in

    home countries on bribery behavior of their firms abroad. Hines (1995) finds that the US Foreign

    Corrupt Practices Act had a major negative impact on US business while Graham (1984) finds

    that the act had no impact on US market share in corrupt countries. Cuervo-Cazurr (2008) finds

    that the OECD convention leads to less FDI into highly corrupt countries for signatories. DSouza

    (2012) finds that signatories to the OECD convention decrease their exports to highly corrupt

    countries. Spencer and Gomez (2011) find mixed evidence for home country effects and the 3 They also argue that firms can build reputations for not providing bribes and the employees of

    foreign firms can lead to the diffusion of best practices as they leave the foreign firms for

    domestic firms.

    4 See Argandoa (2007) for work on the UN Convention Against Corruption.

  • 8

    OECD Convention on corruption. Kim and Barone (1981) survey members of the Academy of

    International Business on the US Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, finding that this act both has a

    very limited effect on bribery, and put US firms at a competitive disadvantage.

    We build on this literature, although we note that many of the studies of corruption

    suffered from limitations on the measurement of corruption. First, the use of perceptions of

    corruption rather than actual incidence of corruption has been widely criticized (Treisman 2007;

    Olken 2009). Second, there is considerably evidence that firms are reluctant to share information

    on their direct payments to politicians for fear of legal or political reprisals (Jensen et al 2010).

    Importantly for our research goals, there is reason to believe that firms from signatory

    countries to the OECD Anti-Bribery Convention will actually be more reluctant to reveal their

    experience with bribery, as they face domestic, criminal repercussions for the revelation that their

    non-signatory peers do not. If this is true, the measurement error in traditional measures will be

    associated systematically with a variable measuring whether a home country has signed the

    Convention, directly biasing in favor of research designs trying to measure its effectiveness.

    To mitigate these concerns, scholars have been increasingly turning to alternative ways to

    measure corruption. Some use clever proxies for corruption, such as Fisman and Miguels (2007)

    study of unpaid parking tickets by diplomats in New York City. One of the most direct measures

    of firm corruption comes from Jeong and Weiners (2012) study of bribery for procurement under

    the Iraq Oil for Food Program.

    In a similar vein, we focus on a single recipient of FDI, although our study comes with a

    number of additional advantages that we document in the next section. Specifically, Vietnams

    signing of a bilateral trade agreement with the United States in 2000 and accession into the WTO

    in 2006 led to a series of reforms that vary across sectors in their implementation over time.

    Using original survey of actual incidence of bribery, we document how the country of origin of

    investors shapes bribery behavior.

  • 9

    While the focus of our project is on how the country of origin affects the propensity to

    pay bribes, we take seriously the firm level studies of bribery (Svensson 2003; Clarke and Xu

    2004; Martin et al 2007; Lee et al 2010; Jeong and Weiner 2012). Through our process of

    randomization and through the use of a randomized survey experiment, a within country design,

    and sector fix effects, we can mitigate concerns that our study is being affected by unobserved

    industry or country factors driving corruption. More importantly, we directly model a key finding

    in the bribery literature on the role of available rents in shaping bribery decision.

    We build on previous research on how the availability of rents shapes bribery behavior

    (Bliss and Di Tella 1997; Ades and Di Tella 1999; Djankov et al 2002). Malesky et al (2013)

    showed that sectors in Vietnam that restricted entry to foreign firms, described in the next section,

    have much higher levels of industry concentration and profitability. Restricted (or Group A)

    sectors, those where investors need special permission to enter, had 2.4% greater industrial

    concentration and 13% higher profit margins. Malesky et al. (2013) theorize that these sectors

    provide rents for firms and allow the gatekeepers of these sectors to demand bribers for firms to

    enter. Indeed, they find that 39.4% of foreign firms provided bribes to enter these sectors. What

    remained unanswered by the authors, however, is why only a minority of firms paid bribes, and if

    the need to pay bribes drove some entrants away.

    To answer these questions, we first provide more details on foreign investment in

    Vietnam and discuss the liberalization process. We argue that this setting gives us tremendous

    leverage in examining the propensity of firms of different country origins to provide bribes, and

    whether or not these firms choose to enter into Vietnam in the first place.

    INVESTMENT LIBERALIZATION IN VIETNAM AND THE OECD CONVENTION

    Vietnam has emerged as one of the most successful developing countries in attracting FDI across

    a number of sectors. While domestic liberalization in the 1980s and 1990s attracted large

  • 10

    numbers of investors, Vietnams entry into the WTO entry in 2006 has been the highpoint of FDI

    attraction. Post-WTO entry FDI inflows totaled a staggering 10% of GDP (World Bank 2010).

    Despite Vietnams success in attracting FDI and the massive liberalization over the past

    decade, Vietnam remains a difficult environment for multinational corporations. This is

    somewhat attributable to Vietnams complex FDI policies. Vietnams 1987 Foreign Investment

    Law, the first major reform that attracted FDI, lead to a partial liberalization of many sectors.

    These sectors, known as Group A projects, are formally open to entry by foreign firms, but

    only after special approval from the Prime Ministers office. In the 1990s the licensing of FDI

    projects was decentralized to the provinces, yet the requirement for a special license remained

    (Malesky 2008). These special requirements covered over thirty different economic sectors,

    ranging from insurance, transportation (air, land and sea), real estate, telecommunications, legal

    and accounting, and the motion picture industry. We provide details on these sector restrictions

    in the Appendix C.

    Many of these restrictions were scheduled supposed to have been lifted by Vietnams

    entry into the WTO in 2007, although our own data collection finds that plenty of restrictions

    remain in place, because domestic laws implementing the WTO agreements have not yet been

    written. More importantly, the variation across sectors on the ability of foreign firms to enter and

    the different timing of these restrictions makes Vietnam an excellent case for us to examine

    bribery by foreign firms during entry. Most important for our design, many of these liberalization

    decisions were made either in accordance of signing a preferential trade agreement with the

    United States in 2000 and liberalizations associated with WTO entry. In short, despite lobbying

    by many domestic firms, Vietnam acquiesced in numerous cases through the lifting of

    restrictions, opening sectors to foreign investment without special approval.

    Equally important for our research design is that foreign investors, with the approval

    from the Prime Ministers office, did enter into all of these sectors, even during the periods with

  • 11

    restricted entry. Thus government officials served as gatekeepers for FDI entry, but some foreign

    firms succeeded in gaining entry to almost every conditional sector.

    As noted in the previous section, Malesky et al. (2013) show that not only do these

    sectors have higher levels of industry concentration and vastly higher profitability, but they are

    also associated with a higher propensity to pay bribes. Our main contribution in this paper is

    exploring how companies from different source countries respond to the availability of rents in a

    given sector. While previous work shows that firms are more likely to bribe to gain entry into

    these sectors, in this paper, we examine how the OECD anti-bribery convention shapes this

    propensity of firms to bribe during registration.

    While many countries have passed laws against bribery, including the high profile US

    Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, a major OECD initiative has been successful in criminalizing

    bribery for a large number of countries. The OECD Convention on Combating Bribery of

    Foreign Officials in International Business Transactions began as an ad hoc working group in

    1989, culminating in the passage of the convention in 1997 and officially coming into force in

    February 1999. Countries have joined and ratified this convention at different dates, and new

    signatories (including Colombia in 2013) have continued to join the Convention. The key

    principle of this convention is the passage of local laws criminalization of bribery. The OECD

    does not directly enforce these laws, but they both monitor anti-bribery legislation and

    enforcement of anti-bribery laws of signatory countries.5

    While many advanced industrialized countries have joined the convention, the major

    investors in Vietnam consist of both firms from signatory and non-signatory countries. While we

    cannot evaluate the counterfactual of what investors would have entered in Vietnam in the

    absence of either corruption or the convention, we can explore the sectoral allocation of bribers 5 For individual country monitoring reports see: http://www.oecd.org/daf/anti-

    bribery/countryreportsontheimplementationoftheoecdanti-briberyconvention.htm

  • 12

    and investments by firms from governments that are party to the OECD convention and those that

    are not.

    Our first hypothesis builds on our previous discussion of the OECD convention deterring

    bribery.

    Hypothesis 1: Firms from signatories of the OECD convention are less likely to bribe.

    The substantive focus of this paper is on the OECD convention and how this international

    agreement, binding governments to pass anti-corruption reforms on their outward investments. A

    secondary contribution of this paper is to examine an alternative framework through which

    institutions can shape corruption behavior of home government investors. We specifically focus

    on how the level of democracy in home governments reduces the propensity of firms to pay

    bribes.

    How do democratic institutions shape bribery behavior? Empirical studies of corruption

    find some evidence that democratic institutions reduce bribery domestically. This can occur

    through a number of mechanisms. For example, Sandholtz and Koetzle (2000) argue that

    democratic norms and institutions both reduce corruption, by institutionalizing openness and

    equality. Gerring and Thacker (2005) find that democracy has a significant impact on business

    corruption in a home government. Treisman (2007) finds similar patterns in studies of corruption

    perceptions, but there is little relationship between democratic institutions and reported corruption

    acts.

    While this literature on the domestic politics of corruption is too vast for us to review in

    its entirety here, central to our paper is that many of the same theoretical mechanism linking

    democracy and less corruption in a home country could translate into lower levels of corruption

    in the overseas investment of firms from democratic governments. Democratic systems, often

    with free and fair presses and political competition leading to information revelation about

    incumbent leaders and to specifically pass laws to crack down on corruption. As these

  • 13

    democratically elected leaders in the home country do not directly benefit from the international

    bribery of foreign officials, they have greater incentives to reduce corruption that harms their

    electoral prospects and does not directly line their pockets. This leads to our second hypotheses:

    Hypothesis 2: Firms from democratic countries are less likely to bribe.

    This first two hypothesis examines all foreign investment in Vietnam, while our data

    shows that the propensity to bribe is substantially higher in restricted sectors, because the

    protected market guarantees monopoly rents for those fortunate to receive a license to enter. We

    hypothesize, therefore, that the impact of the OECD convention and democratic institutions in the

    home should be especially apparent in these sectors. This leads to our third and fourth

    hypothesis.

    Hypothesis 3: Firms from signatories of the OECD convention are less likely to bribe in

    restricted sectors.

    Hypothesis 4: Firms from democratic countries are less likely to bribe in restricted

    sectors.

    Finally, the lower propensity to bribe by firms from convention signatory countries and

    democratic home countries puts these firms at a comparative disadvantage in competing to enter

    restricted sectors. We argue that we should see less entry into restricted sectors by firms from

    countries that joined the OECD convention or are from democratic home countries.

    Hypothesis 5: Firms from signatories of the OECD convention are less likely to enter in

    restricted sectors.

    Hypothesis 6: Firms from democratic countries are less likely to enter in restricted

    sectors.

  • 14

    Our comparison between signatories of the OECD convention and countries with

    democratic institutions clearly isnt exhaustive of the home country factors that can shape bribery

    behavior abroad. For example, levels of corruption in a home country can be a predictor of

    bribery behavior abroad (Cuervo-Cazurra 2006; Fisman and Miguel 2007).6 Our focus is to

    examine how formal institutions, one international and one domestic, shape bribery behavior in

    Vietnam through the use of a List question.

    DATA AND METHODS

    In this section we provide a clear application of this novel measurement of corruption by drawing

    on three waves of the Vietnam Provincial Competitiveness Index (PCI) survey.7 This survey

    paints a relatively comprehensive picture of domestic and foreign firms in Vietnams 63

    provinces with high response rates of 30% for domestic firms and 25% for foreign firms.8

    Malesky et al (2013) document that this survey is representative of the population of firms in

    Vietnam. Most important for this study, of the 10,437 active foreign firms, 46% of these firms

    (4,821) are in our sample.

    Foreign investment in Vietnam is largely dominated by firms from East Asia. The five

    largest investors include Taiwan (23.2%), South Korea (20.2%), Japan (18.3%), China (7.2%),

    and Singapore (4.2%). Our sample also includes 370 investors from the EU, 112 investors from

    the US, and 40 from Australia. While this concentration of investment from East Asia may seem

    like a liability for this study, two of the top five countries (Japan and South Korea) are both 6 Habib and Zurawicki (2002) test how the differences in the levels of corruption between host

    and home government affect FDI.

    7 For methodological details and background on the survey can be found at www.pcivietnam.org.

    8 See White and Luo (2006) for a discussion of response rates in firm level surveys.

  • 15

    signatories of the OECD anti-bribery convention, while the remaining three are not. Thus our

    study provides the added benefit of a large number of investors from the same region along with

    considerable variation in signatories to the OECD Convention.

    The fact that the OECD convention criminalizes corruption, and thus firms must avoid

    openly admitting engaging in corruption, adds to an already long list of concerns about the

    measurement of corruption. For example, there has been serious criticism leveled at perception-

    based studies of corruption. Both Triesman (2007) and Olken (2009) find very little correlation

    between perceptions of bribery and the actual incidences of bribery. One conjecture, forwarded

    by Triesman, is that perceptions of corruption may be formed by our beliefs of what causes

    corruption, not on actual evidence of corruption. For example, many scholars and practitioners

    believe that natural resource dependent economies suffer from greater levels of corruption.

    Experts asked about their perception of corruption in a country may use their knowledge of the

    abundance (or scarcity) of natural resources to judge corruption in the country. Similar

    perception biases affect the ability to evaluate the OECD Convention or democracy. Respondents

    associate these attributes with less corruption and thus evaluate them more highly when asked to

    rank their corruption status.

    This would be especially problematic in our study since individuals knowledgeable of

    investment in Vietnam know that foreign investment is dominated by East Asian firms. These

    firms often have reputations for high propensities for corruption. Expert surveys indicating high

    levels of corruption by foreign firms in Vietnam could be due to detailed knowledge of

    corruption, or simply hunches based on the composition of investment.

    Our approach directly asks respondents about their experience with corruption, while

    shielding them from incriminating themselves or being subject to reprisal for answering sensitive

    questions about corruption, thereby reducing downward bias in corruption associated with the

    OECD convention. We designed the PCI survey to include a question that utilizes the

  • 16

    Unmatched Count Technique (UCT), which is also know as the list question (Ahart and Sackett

    2004; Coutts and Jann 2011).

    List questions have been shown to be easy for respondents to understand and outperform

    other techniques in their ability to elicit sensitive answers from respondents (Coutts and Jann

    2011). This is done through allowing respondents the ability to plausibly deny answering yes to

    the sensitive questions. As noted earlier, this technique has been applied to a number of

    substantive questions in political science. In our context, a respondent can admit to bribery

    without fear that this information can be used against the manager or firm.

    This is accomplished by separating respondents, in our case firms, into two groups that

    through randomization are equal in terms of all observable characteristics. One group, that we

    call our control group receives a list of non-sensitive items and is asked to indicate how many

    of these items the respondent has engaged in. In our survey, we ask firms about their experience

    with registration. Respondents are instructed to indicate the total number of activities that they

    engaged in, but to not indicate the individual activities. Respondents answer 0, 1, 2, or 3.

    The other half of our sample, our treatment group, receives the same list, but with one

    additional sensitive question. In our survey, this is question 3 below. Respondents are given the

    same instructions. Provide us a number, but do not indicate any of the individual activities that

    the firm or manager engaged in. Respondents answer 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4.

    Notice that the treatment group has one additional item than the control group, which is

    the crux of the experiment. If all of the respondents in the treatment group provided bribes, we

    would expect that the mean response of the treatment group to be one point higher than that of the

    control group. Conversely, if no firms paid bribes, the means for the control and treatment group

    should be the same.

  • 17

    UCT Question 1: Please take a look at the following list of common activities that firms engage in to expedite the steps needed to receive their investment license/registration certificate. How many of the activities did you engage in when fulfilling any of the business registration activities listed previously?

    1. Followed procedures for business license on website. 2. Hired a local consulting/law firm to obtain the license the firm for you.9 3. Paid informal charge to expedite procedures (Only Available on Form B of the

    Survey)10 4. Looked for a domestic partner who was already registered

    This question was included on the 2010, 2011, and 2012 PCI surveys that were mailed

    out to firms in both English and Vietnamese. In Appendix A we show that there is excellent

    balance across the control and treatment groups, mitigating concerns that differences between the

    groups is attributable to differences in the sub-samples. Another concern is that if these activities

    are too frequent (everyone is answering at the maximum) or too rare (most responses are zero),

    respondent answers on the sensitive question are not shielded. Luckily our survey indicates that

    most firms answer one or two items, and few are near the floor or the ceiling.11

    One final concern is that while our survey includes three years, some of the firms

    registered prior to our first survey in 2010. While the majority of our firms have registered within

    the past five years (53% of foreign firms and 63% of domestic firms), a small number of firms

    registered as long as 15 years prior to the fielding of our survey. Can we expect that these 9 This item is added, as firms can avoid direct culpability for bribes by hiring a facilitator. By

    including this as nonsensitive item, we seek to only capture direct experience and conservatively

    estimate a lower bound on bribe frequency. Because FIEs are more likely to hire facilitators, they

    have a slightly higher share of total activities in both control and treatment averages, but there is

    no bias in bribery estimates, which are the differences in means between control and treatment

    within a group.

    10 Note informal charges (chi phi khong chinh thuc) is the common Vietnamese and English term

    to describe this type of bribery.

    11 See Malesky et al (2013) for details.

  • 18

    managers remember bribes that took place so long ago? Are these managers even still employed

    with the firm?

    Our survey construction mitigates these concerns, and any measurement error is unlikely

    to be biased. First, we include a clear and simple factual question on whether or not a firm paid a

    bribe at the point of registration, not details on the amount of the bribe. This requires very limited

    recall from managers. Second, including additional noise (limited ability to recall for firms that

    registered many years ago) should increase standard errors but not bias results. As noted, we

    have considerable over time variation in the sectors that are restricted and unrestricted. While

    this does include some noise into our data, this only makes our job of finding significant

    differences between the control and treatment group more difficult.

    Results To examine the impact of the OECD convention on bribery behavior we utilize a two-stage non-

    linear least squares (NLS) estimation model developed by Imai (2011). This method uses a set of

    covariates to model non-sensitive responses in the control group and then uses this model to

    estimate response for the treatment group. The Imai process involves fitting a model to describe

    the control group, then using the estimated coefficients to predict new values for the treated

    group, as described below.

    ( ) ( ) , :: response variable (total number of activities),: treatment variable (received survey with sensitive item),: matrix of covariates,

    ( ) : model for non-sensitive item

    i i i i i

    i

    i

    i

    i

    Y f X T X whereYTXf X

    = + +

    s (negative binomal regression),( ) : model for sensitive items (non-linear least squares).ig X

    We fit the ( )if X model to the control group via negative binomial estimation (to

    account for count nature of the data and the over-dispersion caused by zero answers) in the first

    stage. From this we obtain relationship between the response on the nonsensitive questions and

  • 19

    each independent variable ( ). Then we fit the ( )ig X model in the second stage using non-

    linear least squares (NLS). Then after subtracting ( )if X from we have a measure for the

    relationship between participating in the sensitive behavior and each independent variable ( ).12

    [Insert Figure 1 here]

    In Figure 1 we present the predicted bribery in the control group relative to the treatment

    group, using a simple difference-in-means between the number of activities completed.

    Treatment firms engaged in 1.562 activities, while the control group 1.355 activities. As the

    figure shows, these means are significantly different, indicating the success of the experiment.

    Subracting the treatment from control averages, we find that on average, 20.7% of foreign firms,

    whose home country can be correctly identified, engaged in bribery when entering the Vietnam

    market.

    While uncovering bribery by foreign firms is interesting, our key test is how OECD

    signatories fare relative to non-signatories. In Table 1, we provide our breakdown of bribery by

    different categories of investors. In the first four rows, we present the raw data from our List

    experiment for OECD non-signatories, while the bottom panel presents data from signatories

    countries. Of interest to most readers is the difference between the control and treatment groups,

    which is presented in the final column of Table 1. For instance, we find that for non-OECD

    signatories, the pattern is as expected. These countries with weak bribery standards do engage in

    bribery, and that this bribe activity increases in order to gain access to restricted sectors. Firms

    on average bribe 11.6% of the time to enter into an unrestricted sector and 21.3% of the time to

    enter into a restricted sector.

    12 Standard errors are calculated using bootstrapping with 1,000 replications.

    iY

  • 20

    Our results, while tentative, are more perplexing for the OECD signatories. First, these

    signatory countries are more likely to bribe entering into unrestricted sectors relative to non-

    signatory countries. We observe 25.8% of firms bribing to enter into unrestricted sectors.

    Surprisingly, this figure drops to a still large 18.6% of the time in restricted sectors.

    [Insert Table 2 here]

    The results in Table 1 are tentative, since we are simply presenting a broad comparison

    across groups. In Table 2, we present a similar comparison, this time focusing on how domestic

    political institutions shape bribery. We specifically focus on democratic institutions, where we

    use the Cheibub et al. (2010) dichotomous measure of democracy. Our most striking finding is

    that while democratic and non-democratic home countries have firms that engage in relatively

    similar levels of bribery in non-restricted sectors (17.2% and 19.9%), the difference is extremely

    large in the restricted sectors. While firms from democratic home countries are found to bribe in

    11.8% of the cases of investments in restricted sectors, this number skyrockets to over 40% for

    similar investment from non-democratic home governments. This finding on democratic

    governments illustrates the importance of home countries in affecting bribery behavior. In this

    paper, however, we are interested in the specific effect of the OECD convention on bribery

    behavior.

    Our descriptive data are suggestive of the ineffectiveness of the OECD bribery

    convention, yet we are leaning heavily on the representativeness of the comparisons between

    groups. Are we so sure that firms on non-signatory countries are investing in the same sectors or

    type of operations? Thus these results are prone to suffer from omitted variable bias that can be

    mitigated through multivariate regression.

    [Insert Table 3 here]

    In Table 3 we present our results using the List methodology from Blaire and Imai (2011)

    outlined above. Note that our sample size is halved as it is a two-stage model, where we first

    estimate the number of non-sensitive items in the control group, then use those estimates to

  • 21

    calculate bribery in the treatment group on the second stage. Thus, our n only reflects the

    observations in the treatment group.13 In Model 1, we present a model with no controls, showing

    that our results correctly recover the difference-in-means estimate presented in Figure 1. We find

    that 20.7% of firms pay bribes in our sample. Models 2-5 focus on OECD signatories as the main

    independent variable, coded 1 for signatories and 0 otherwise. As a comparison, in Models 6-10

    we examine how democratic institutions affects bribe propensity.

    In Model 2 we first include our dummy variable for OECD signatories and Model 3

    includes a dummy variable for restricted sectors. Model 4 includes the interaction of OECD

    signatories and restrictions. Model 5 includes a number of control variables.

    Our results provide strong evidence that the OECD convention has not been effective in

    reducing bribes. In fact, we find signatories are slightly more likely to bribe than non-signatories

    once we correct for the reporting biases in perception surveys, although the result is shy of

    standard diagnostic of statistical significance. We find that restrictions have no substantive

    impact on bribery in this context, and equally important the interaction (OECD signatories

    investing in restricted sectors) is not significant. Once controls for size and age of firm are added,

    the impact of the OECD convention is indistinguishable from zero in restricted or unrestricted

    sectors.

    Our results in Models 6-9 do find some weak evidence for political institutions shaping

    bribery behavior. In the fully specified model, we find that firms are more likely to bribe to enter

    into restricted sectors, and that this propensity is lower for investors from democratic home

    countries. Model 10, includes both our OECD signatory dummy variable and our democracy

    dummy variable. Again, we find no evidence that OECD signatories are less likely to bribe,

    13 To preserve space we only present the bribery results, although they will be made available with our replication materials.

  • 22

    although we do find that democratic governments do reduce bribery, specifically when firms are

    entering into restricted sectors.

    [Insert Table 4 here]

    Our empirical results point to the ineffectiveness of the OECD convention, and point to

    some positive impact of democratic institutions on reducing bribery. Yet, our models largely

    include country-level and firm level factors, ignoring the potential sectoral factors that can shape

    bribery behavior. In Table 4 we include dummy variables for 4-digit ISIC codes. Our results are

    quite similar to the previous table. When comparing firms within narrowly-defined industrial and

    service sectors, we find that signatories of the OECD convention are about 8% more likely to

    provide bribes when registering their business overall, but this effect is not conditioned by

    whether the sector is restricted. Once sector effects are introduced, we find that the democracy

    result disappears. This indicates that the effect of democracy from Table 3 is driven by selection

    of firms from democracies into less corrupt industries.

    This clue propels our final test. While we have focused on the actual bribery behavior of

    firms, an alternative way to examine the effectiveness of the OECD Convention is to examine

    how this convention shapes entry into restricted sectors. Again, the sectors that are only

    selectively open to foreign investment are those where firms should be the most willing to

    provide bribes, and government officials can use their power as gatekeepers to extract bribers.

    Firms that can not engage in bribery as a strategy to enter into this markets are a major

    disadvantage and thus we should see less entry into this sectors by signatories of the OECD

    convention. For comparison we also include test of how FDI from democratic governments

    enters into restricted sectors.

    [Insert Table 5 here]

    In Table 5 we present probit models of entry decisions. Marginal probabilities of entry

    are presented with standard errors (clustered at the province level) in parentheses. In all four of

    our models, we find that signatories of the OECD convention are no more or less likely to enter

  • 23

    into this restricted sectors. In contrast, we do find evidence that firms from democratic countries

    are 5% less likely to enter into these restricted sectors. Although the magnitude is modest, it does

    indicate selection away from corrupt industries based on home country status.

    In summary, we find zero evidence that the OECD convention reduces bribery behavior

    or deters firms entering into sectors that are more prone to bribery. This finding may come as a

    surprise to some readers, where the OECD has legislative a serious initiative aimed at reducing

    bribery. Why isnt this effective?

    We can not provide any definitive answer to this question, but we can provide a bit of

    descriptive data. In Figure 2 we present the variation of bribery by home country for all countries

    with at least 20 observations in our dataset. Two important patterns are obvious. First, there is

    tremendous variation in bribery by home country, with Indian, Malaysian, and South Korean

    firms most likely to pay bribers in our sample. Yet these patterns do not clearly track map into

    the OECD signatories, where signatory countries such as South Korea, Australia, and France have

    firm that have a high propensity to pay bribers.

    Thus the simple conjecture is that the domestic laws, such the US Foreign Corrupt

    Practices Act, or the mechanisms for enforcement of the OECD Convention are much more likely

    to shape bribery behavior than simply signing the OECD Convention.

    CONCLUSION

    In this paper we engage the large and growing literature on the determinants of bribery in

    business transactions. Using Vietnam as an ideal empirical case study of liberalization, we utilize

    unique survey data that directly measures corruption without forcing managers to incriminate

    themselves for illegal activities. Using this methodology we find that roughly 20% of foreign

    investments in Vietnam engaged in bribery to obtain a business license.

    We harness this data to answer a substantive question: how has the OECD Convention on

    Bribery of Foreign Public Officials in International Business Transactions affected both bribery

  • 24

    by firms from signatory countries in Vietnam, and has it deterred firms from signatory countries

    into entering into sectors most prone to have firms engage in bribery. Unfortunately, our results

    point to the ineffectiveness of the convention on both counts. We actually find that OECD

    convention signatories are more likely to engage in bribes and that there is no deterring effect of

    the OECD convention on firms entering into highly corrupt sectors.

    This is not to say that home country institutions and policies dont matter for outward

    investors. On the contrary, we find that home country institutions, specifically the level of

    democracy, shapes bribery behavior. Countries with more democratic institutions both have

    firms that are slightly less likely to bribe, and are less likely to enter into sectors that largely

    require bribes to enter.

    Thus our results do not find that international agreements affecting can not be effective in

    combating corruption. Rather, we see that the passage and enforcement of anti-corruption laws

    are largely within the realm of domestic politics and thus home countries institutions are key to

    both combating bribery and to giving international agreements to teeth to enforce best practices of

    ethical business behavior.

    Our research also helps open avenues for new questions and rigorous tests in

    management. Our use of a LIST experiment allows us to have the advantages of both obtaining

    direct information on illegal or unethical activities, while at the same time shielding respondents

    from any repercussions from answering honestly. The applications of this technique are vast,

    where anything from employees admitting to shirking to discrimination in the workplace are all

    candidates for this approach.

    We also believe there is at least one other advantage of this technique. Existing

    management research harnessing the power of surveys has literally decades of results. We see

    List questions as compliments to these studies and any differences between surveys of managers

    or outside experts can be contrasted with results from results from List questions. These

  • 25

    differences not only tell us something about systematic measurement error, they also provide

    insights as to when individuals are unwilling to provide honest answers.

    One clear example directly related to corruption, is what affects whether firms are willing

    to provide answers about corrupt behavior. Jensen et al (2010) find substantial non-response bias

    to corruption questions in firm-level survey questions. They find that managers are less likely to

    answer questions on corruption or more likely to indicate low levels of corruption in countries

    with more authoritarian political institutions and lowers levels of press freedom. These results

    are suggestive of the type of political environments where firms fear reprisals from politicians. A

    List question allows for a more direct test, where under the shield of anonymity, do we observe

    substantially higher levels of reported corruption? This ability to examine the conditions under

    which employees, managers, and owners are willing to express opinions may open avenues for

    exploring new questions in management research.

  • 26

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    Figure 1: Bribe Share of Firms

    1.562

    1.355

    20.7% Bribe

    11.

    051.

    11.

    151.

    21.

    251.

    31.

    351.

    41.

    451.

    51.

    551.

    61.

    651.

    7

    Num

    ber o

    f Act

    iviti

    es d

    urin

    g R

    egis

    tratio

    n

    95% CI Treatment Mean

    95% CI Control Mean

    95% CI for Bribe Frequency

  • 33

    Figure 2: Share of Firms Paying Bribes at Entry (By Foreign Firm)

    Note: Analysis limited to countries with 20 or more responses.

    0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100

    Canada

    Netherlands

    Thailand

    Hong Kong

    Taiwan

    United States

    Japan

    Singapore

    Germany

    United Kingdom

    China

    France

    Australia

    South Korea

    Malaysia

    India

    OECD Member

    Non-Member

  • 34

    Table 1: Calculation of Firms Paying Bribes at Entry (By OECD Convention and Restricted Sector) OECD Restricted Treatment Mean SE Low High Bribe No No No 1.35 0.04 1.27 1.43 11.6% No No Yes 1.46 0.04 1.38 1.55 No Yes No 1.36 0.11 1.15 1.58 21.3% No Yes Yes 1.58 0.09 1.39 1.76 Yes No No 1.39 0.04 1.31 1.46 24.9% Yes No Yes 1.64 0.04 1.56 1.72 Yes Yes No 1.37 0.08 1.20 1.53

    20.2% Yes Yes Yes 1.57 0.10 1.37 1.77

  • 35

    Table 2: Calculation of Firms Paying Bribes at Entry (By Regime Type and Restricted Sector) Democracy Restricted Treatment Mean SE Low High Bribe

    No No No 1.35 0.07 1.23 1.48 17.2% No No Yes 1.53 0.07 1.39 1.66 No No No 1.14 0.14 0.86 1.41 40.5% No Yes Yes 1.54 0.16 1.23 1.85 Yes No No 1.37 0.03 1.31 1.43 19.9% Yes No Yes 1.57 0.03 1.50 1.63 Yes No No 1.44 0.08 1.29 1.59

    11.8% Yes Yes Yes 1.55 0.08 1.40 1.70

  • 36

    Table 3: Correlates of Corruption during Business Entry

    Bivariate Restrict Interaction Full Bivariate Restrict Interaction Full(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)_ (7) (8) (9) (10)OECD Signatory 0.084 0.111 0.133** 0.041 0.027(0.067) (0.091) (0.058) (0.059) (0.034)Democracy=1 -0.057 -0.035 0.027 0.031 0.010(0.040) (0.053) (0.071) (0.060) (0.078)Restricted Sector 0.028 0.097 0.062 -0.017 0.232*** 0.196*** 0.188(0.091) (0.077) (0.079) (0.157) (0.079) (0.065) (0.134)OECD*Restrict -0.144 0.003 0.149 0.149(0.091) (0.161) (0.135) (0.135)Democracy*Restrict -0.314*** -0.204* -0.304**(0.066) (0.115) (0.146)Capital Size at Establishment -0.008 -0.013 -0.013(0.024) (0.021) (0.023)Time -0.067*** -0.068** -0.065**(0.025) (0.034) (0.030)Time Squared 0.003*** 0.003* 0.003**(0.001) (0.002) (0.001)Constant 0.207*** 0.161*** 0.128 0.116 0.451** 0.252*** 0.224** 0.172* 0.477** 0.452***(0.034) (0.055) (0.106) (0.096) (0.220) (0.058) (0.110) (0.092) (0.193) (0.161)SurveyWave FE No No No No Yes No No No Yes YesObservations 1,454 1,454 1,337 1,337 1,074 1,431 1,316 1,316 1,057 1,057rmse 0.994 0.993 0.996 0.996 0.955 0.994 0.999 0.999 0.956 0.956ll -2054 -2052 -1891 -1890 -1470 -2021 -1864 -1864 -1447 -1446

    Combined

    Note: These results are derived from a two-stage model. In the first stage, the number of nonsensitive activities is regressed on the covariates for the control group using a negative binomial specification. The predicted number of nonsensitive activities is then subtracted from the total number of registration activities for the treatment group. The difference becomes the dependent variable in the second stage, which is analyzed using a Non-Linear Least Squares (NL) specification in this model. Note that the number of observations (N) is the number of respondents in the treatment group. As Model 1 shows, the process correctly delivers the difference-in-means estimator for the whole sample and by year, indicating that the two-stage procedures yields unbiased estimates. Because the dependent variable is an estimate, standard errors are calculated are through bootstrapping procedure with 1000 repetitions . Errors are clustered at the province level, which is the main interface for business registration. ( *** p

  • 37

    Table 4: Correlates of Corruption During Business Entry (with 4-Digit Sector Dummies)

    Direct Interaction Direct Interaction(3) (4) (7) (8) (10)OECD Signatory 0.081* 0.082 0.068(0.047) (0.053) (0.056)Democracy=1 0.025 0.058 0.014(0.087) (0.091) (0.100)Restricted Sector 0.049 0.160 0.166(0.244) (0.340) (0.343)OECD*Restrict -0.058 -0.273(0.136) (0.235)Democracy*Restrict -0.195 0.110(0.228) (0.125)Capital Size at Establishment -0.027 -0.028 -0.032* -0.033* -0.032*(0.018) (0.018) (0.017) (0.017) (0.018)Time -0.052** -0.053** -0.054** -0.053** -0.049*(0.023) (0.023) (0.025) (0.024) (0.024)Time Squared 0.002* 0.002* 0.002* 0.002* 0.002(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)Constant 0.475*** 0.475*** 0.524*** 0.494*** 0.455***(0.169) (0.166) (0.165) (0.158) (0.161)SurveyWave FE Yes Yes Yes Yes YesSector FE Yes Yes Yes Yes YesObservations 1,074 1,074 1,057 1,057 1,057rmse 0.950 0.951 0.952 0.952 0.951ll -1431 -1429 -1409 -1409 -1407Note: These results are derived from a two-stage model. In the first stage, the number of nonsensitive activities is regressed on the covariates for the control group using OLS. The predicted number of nonsensitive activities is then subtracted from the total number of registration activities for the treatment group. The difference becomes the dependent variable in the second stage, which is analyzed using OLD. Note that the number of observations (N) is the number of respondents in the treatment group. Because the dependent variable is an estimate, standard errors are calculated are through bootstrapping procedure with 1000 repetitions . Errors are clustered at the province level, which is the main interface for business registration. ( *** p

  • 38

    Table 5: Determinants of Entry into Restrict Sector (Marginal Probability) Restrict=1 (1) (2) (3) (4) OECD -0.002 -0.003 0.015 0.018 (0.031) (0.031) (0.028) (0.017) Democracy -0.051* -0.049** (0.029) (0.019) Labor at establishment -0.022** (0.010) Capital at establishment 0.014* (0.008) Optimism 0.005 (0.009) Survey Wave FE No Yes Yes Yes Observations 2,980 2,980 2,937 1,917 pbar 0.163 0.163 0.162 0.151 Pseudo R-Squared 0.000143 0.00146 0.00350 0.0203 ll -1324 -1322 -1295 -796.3 Robust standard errors in parentheses; *** p

  • 39

    Appendix A: Balance Test for Foreign Invested Enterprises

    Treated Control Treated Control p-value t-statSectors

    (Services=1, Manf & other=0) 0.252 0.260 0.434 0.439 0.505 -0.667Province Attributes

    GDP 117276 118411 127688 132351 0.769 -0.294Population (10,000) 2837.5 2890.0 2384.5 2429.8 0.462 -0.736Paved Roads (%) 0.770 0.761 0.172 0.174 0.067 1.832Telephones Per Capita (%) 0.278 0.277 0.081 0.080 0.535 0.620Industrial Zone* 0.498 0.476 0.500 0.500 0.151 1.436Region [nominal] 3.970 4.013 2.353 2.331 0.538 -0.616National Level City* 0.380 0.385 0.486 0.487 0.749 -0.320Distance to Hanoi/HCMC (km) 79.7 87.6 163.3 170.9 0.110 -1.598

    Firm AttributesYear Registered 2004 2003 4.601 4.746 0.003 2.941Time to Register (days) 49 61 82 211 0.059 -1.889Employment [1-8] 3.748 3.746 1.629 1.662 0.962 0.047Equity [1-8] 4.724 4.696 1.767 1.873 0.652 0.451Joint Venture* 0.103 0.110 0.305 0.313 0.468 -0.725Fully Owned* 0.813 0.814 0.390 0.389 0.977 -0.028Land Rights* 2.275 2.272 0.525 0.538 0.879 0.153

    Business BurdenBribe Size [1-8] 6.665 6.714 1.285 1.210 0.270 -1.103Bureaucracy Rent Burden [1-4] 2.812 2.764 0.677 0.625 0.022 2.294Bureaucracy Time Burden [1-6] 4.820 4.794 1.202 1.173 0.525 0.635Document Burden* 0.234 0.312 0.424 0.463 0.000 -5.161Annual Inspections 2.297 2.533 2.988 2.718 0.010 -2.569Performance (y-on-y) -56.390 -41.885 63.356 59.823 0.000 -5.879

    GovernanceWeighted PCI [0-100] 60.221 59.997 4.145 4.169 0.069 1.820Service Provision [1-5] 3.365 3.512 1.105 0.966 0.000 -4.038Proactiveness [0-10] 4.722 4.768 1.460 1.460 0.293 -1.051Informal Charges [0-10] 6.835 6.718 0.918 0.885 0.000 4.389Transparency [0-10] 6.125 6.121 0.528 0.533 0.807 0.244*binary variable

    (N = 4,821) Mean Std. Deviation

  • 40

    Appendix B: Country of Origin of Investors

    Home Country ID OECD DemocracyFirms in restricted sectors

    NArgentina 1 1 1 1Australia 2 1 1 35.1% 40Austria 3 1 1 33.3% 3Belgium 4 1 1 28.6% 8Brunei Darussalam 5 0 0 0.0% 6Cambodia 6 0 0 0.0% 2Canada 7 1 1 27.3% 13China 8 0 0 14.2% 221Cuba 9 0 0 0.0% 1Cyprus 10 0 1 0.0% 1Czech Republic 11 1 1 66.7% 4Denmark 12 1 1 21.1% 20Finland 13 1 1 1France 14 1 1 20.8% 80Germany 15 1 1 15.0% 42Hong Kong 16 0 0 23.9% 97Hungary 17 1 1 0.0% 1India 18 0 1 35.7% 14Indonesia 19 0 1 33.3% 7Ireland 20 1 1 0.0% 1Israel 21 0 1 50.0% 5Italy 22 1 1 44.4% 10Japan 23 1 1 16.5% 620Korea (Democratic Peoples Rep.) 24 0 0 20.0% 16Laos 26 0 0 66.7% 4Macau 27 0 0 20.0% 5Malaysia 28 0 0 19.3% 93Monaco 29 0 1 0.0% 1Netherlands 30 1 1 32.0% 26New Zealand 31 1 1 0.0% 2Nigeria 32 0 0 0.0% 1Norway 33 1 1 33.3% 7Panama 34 0 1 100.0% 1Philippines 35 0 1 50.0% 10Poland 36 1 1 50.0% 2Romania 37 0 1 0.0% 1Russian Federation 38 1 0 40.0% 6Samoa 39 0 0 0.0% 1Singapore 40 0 0 23.6% 154Slovakia (Slovak Rep.) 41 1 1 0.0% 1South Africa 42 1 1 1South Korea 43 1 1 10.4% 649Spain 44 1 1 2Sri Lanka 45 0 0 0.0% 1Swaziland 46 0 0 0.0% 2Sweden 47 1 1 0.0% 6Switzerland 48 1 1 40.0% 10Taiwan 49 0 1 13.0% 769Thailand 50 0 1 16.9% 89Turkey 51 1 1 0.0% 1Ukraine 52 0 1 0.0% 2United Kingdom 53 1 1 27.7% 51United States 54 1 1 19.2% 112

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    Appendix C: Investment Restrictions by Sector

    Catching aquaculture R R R OPEN OPENLogging and silviculture R R R R RExtraction of crude and gas R R R R RMining coal and ignite RA RA RA RA RAMining of metal ores RA RA RA RA RAMining and quarrying clay, stone RA RA RA RA RAManufacture of sugar and alcohol R R R R RManufacture of tobacco R R R R RPublishing and Journalism RA RA RA RA RAManufacture of chemicals R R R R OPENManufacture of pharmaceuticals R R R R RManufacture of cement R R OPEN OPEN OPENManufacture of refined petroleum R R R R RProduction of electricity R R R R RInfrastructure construction R R R OPEN OPENLand transport and railways R R R R RSea and inland water transport R R R R OPENAir transport R R R R RTransport and travel activities R R R R RPost and telecomm R R R R RTourism R R R R OPENFinancial intermediation (banks) R R R R RInsurance and pension funding R R R OPEN OPENAuxiliary financial activities R R R OPEN OPENReal Estate RA RA RA RA RAResearch and development R R R OPEN OPENLegal, accounting, and auditing R R R R RPublic security and defense RA RA RA RA RAHigher Education RA RA RA RA RAHealth services R R R R OPENSewage and refuse disposal R R R R RMotion picture, TV, entertainment R R R R RR=Restricted to Foreign Investors, RA= Restricted to all Investors, OPEN= Open to all InvestorsUSBTA = United States Bilateral Trade AgreementISIC = International Standard Industrial Classification WTO = World Trade OrganizationSource: Authors' coding referencing various years of Vietnamese Foreign Investment Law available at

    Restricted sectors As of 1996

    Post-2009 (WTO phase-in)Pre-2000

    2000-2005 (USBTA era)

    2005-2007 (Common

    investment law)

    2007-2009 (WTO era)

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