14
8/13/2019 Brittle Fracture of Steel -Hasofer http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/brittle-fracture-of-steel-hasofer 1/14 The International Journal of Fracture Mechanics, Vol. 4, Nr. 4, December 1968. Wolters-Noordhoff Publishing - Groningen. Printed in the Netherlands. A STATISTICAL THEORY OF THE BRITTLE FRACTURE OF STEEL A M Hasofer University of Melbourne) ABSTRACT A statistical model for the brittle fracture of steel is formulated and analyzed. Fracture is assumed to occur by coalescence of a number of arrested cracks initiated at different points. The upper tail of the distribution of maximum stress is show~ to be given by the formula 1- X/Oo)0, where 7 o and 0 are functions of the microstructural constants of the material. It is further shown that the size effect in this model is much less marked than in the case of weakest--link models. Finally, some experimental results from a pilot program are presented and suggestions for further experimental work given. INTRODUCTION Most of the work done so far on the statistical theory of the brittle fracture of steel has used weakest link models. Selected references are, in chronological order, Pierce(I), Weibull(2,3), Fren- kel and Kontorova(4), and Fisher and Hollomon(s). The essential principle of such models is that once a fracture is initiated :in the material, its propagation cannot be arrested and complete collapse occurs. It is assumed that there are flaws or cracks in the material, and that these are completely independent of each other. The strength of a specimen is then determined by the maximum stress that the weakest flaw can sustain before fracture is initiated. Such models are not well adapted to the description of the brittle behavior of steel and other ductile materials. For a recent discussion of the physical mechanisms involved, see McMahon and Cohen(6) and the refe.rences listed therein. The features of the fracture mechanism described which are of importance as far as the statistical model presented in this paper is concerned, are: (a) Cracks, once initiated, are generally arrested at some barrier which absorbs the energy released by cracking. (b) Fracture generally occurs by coalescence of a number of cracks initiated at different points. Because of the above--mentioned features, the brittle fracture of steel is better described by statistical models of the bundle of fibers type introduced by Daniels (7). In that type of model the specimen is considered as a bundle of parallel fibers. When it is submitted to stress, the weakest fiber breaks first, weakning the entire cross-section. However, as the remaining fibers are comparatively stronger than the broken one, collapse does not necessarily occur immediately. When the load is increased, more fibers break until the ultimate load is reached, at which point all fibers are ruptured. This type of models has been used by Williams and Kloot(8), Coieman (9) and Gucer and Gurland(1°). The main feature that has made the Daniels model unattractive to engineers is that it is mathe-

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T h e I n t e r n a t i o n a l J o u r n a l o f F r a c t u r e M e c h a n i c s , V o l. 4 , N r . 4 , D e c e m b e r 1 9 6 8 .

W o l t e r s - N o o r d h o f f P u b l i s h i n g - G r o n i n g e n .

P r i n t e d i n t h e N e t h e r l a n d s .

A S T A T I S T I C A L T H E O R Y O F T H E B R I T T L E F R A C T U R E O F S T E E L

A M Hasofer

U n i v e r s i t y o f M e l b o u r n e )

A B S T R A C T

A s t a t i s ti c a l m o d e l f o r t h e b r i tt l e f r a c t u r e o f s t ee l i s f o r m u l a t e d a n d a n a l y z e d . F r a c t u r e i s a s s u m e d t o o c c u r

b y c o a l e s c e n c e o f a n u m b e r o f a r r e s t e d c r a c k s i n i t ia t e d a t d i f f e r e n t p o i n t s . T h e u p p e r t a i l o f t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n

o f m a x i m u m s t re s s i s s h o w ~ t o b e g iv e n b y t h e f o r m u l a 1 - X / O o ) 0 , w h e r e 7o a n d 0 ar e f u n c t i o n s o f t h e

m i c r o s t r u c t u r a l c o n s t a n t s o f t h e m a t e r i a l . It i s f u r t h e r s h o w n t h a t t h e s i z e e f fe c t i n t h i s m o d e l i s m u c h l e ss

m a r k e d t h a n i n th e c a se o f w e a k e s t - - l i n k m o d e l s . F i n a ll y , s o m e e x p e r i m e n t a l r e s u l t s f r o m a p i l o t p r o g r a m

a re p r e s e n t e d a n d s u g g e s t i o n s fo r f u r t h e r e x p e r i m e n t a l w o r k g i ve n .

I N T R O D U C T I O N

M o s t o f t h e w o r k d o n e s o fa r o n t h e s t a ti s ti c a l t h e o r y o f t h e b r i tt l e f r a c t u r e o f s t ee l h a s u s e d

w e a k e s t l i n k m o d e l s . S e l e c t e d r e f e r e n c e s a re , i n c h r o n o l o g i c a l o r d e r , P i e r c e ( I ) , W e i b u l l (2 , 3 ) , F r e n -

k e l a n d K o n t o r o v a ( 4 ) , a n d F i s h e r a n d H o l l o m o n ( s ) . T h e e ss e n ti a l p r i n c ip l e o f s u c h m o d e l s is t h a t

onc e a f r a c tu r e i s i n i t i a t e d :in t he m a te r i a l , i t s p r opa g a t ion c a n no t be a r r e s t e d a n d c o m p le t e c o l l a pse

o c c u r s . I t i s a s s u m e d t h a t t h e r e a r e f l a w s o r c r a c k s i n t h e m a t e r i a l , a n d t h a t t h e s e a r e c o m p l e t e l y

i n d e p e n d e n t o f e a c h o t h e r . T h e s t re n g t h o f a s p e c im e n is t h e n d e t e r m i n e d b y th e m a x i m u m s tr es s

tha t t he w e a ke s t f l a w c a n su s t a in be f o r e f r a c tu r e i s i n i t i a t e d .

S u c h m o d e l s a r e n o t w e ll a d a p t e d t o t h e d e s c r i p t io n o f t h e b r it t l e b e h a v i o r o f s te e l a n d

o t h e r d u c t i l e m a t e r ia l s . F o r a r e c e n t d i s c u s si o n o f t h e p h y s i c a l m e c h a n i s m s i n v o l v e d , s ee M c M a h o n

a n d C o h e n ( 6 ) a n d t h e r ef e .r e nc e s l i st e d t h e r e i n . T h e f e a t u r e s o f t h e f r a c t u r e m e c h a n i s m d e s c r i b e d

w h i c h a re o f i m p o r t a n c e a s f a r a s t h e s t a t i s ti c a l m o d e l p r e s e n t e d i n t h is p a p e r i s c o n c e r n e d , a r e :

( a ) C r a c ks , onc e i n i t i a t e d , a r e ge ne r a l l y a r r e s t e d a t som e ba r r i e r w h ic h a bso r bs t he e ne r gy

r e l e a se d by c r a c k ing .

( b ) F r a c t u r e g e n e r a ll y o c c u r s b y c o a l e s c e n c e o f a n u m b e r o f c ra c k s in i t i a te d a t d i f f e r e n t p o i n t s .

B e c a u s e o f t h e a b o v e - - m e n t i o n e d f e a t u r e s , t h e b r i t t le f r a c t u r e o f st e el is b e t t e r d e s c r i b e d b y

s t a ti s ti c a l m o d e l s o f th e b u n d l e o f f i b e r s t y p e i n t r o d u c e d b y D a n i e ls ( 7 ) .

I n t h a t t y p e o f m o d e l t h e s p e c i m e n is c o n s i d e r e d a s a b u n d l e o f p a r a ll e l fi b er s . W h e n i t is

s u b m i t t e d t o s t r e ss , t h e w e a k e s t f i b e r b r e a k s f i rs t , w e a k n i n g t h e e n ti r e c r o s s - s e c t i o n . H o w e v e r , a s

t h e r e m a i n i n g f i b e r s a r e c o m p a r a t i v e l y s t r o n g e r t h a n t h e b r o k e n o n e , c o ll a p s e d o e s n o t n e c e s s ar i ly

o c c u r i m m e d i a t e l y . W h e n t h e l o a d is i n c r e a s e d , m o r e f i b e rs b r e a k u n t i l t h e u l t i m a t e l o a d is re a c h e d ,

a t w h i c h p o i n t a ll fi b e r s ar e r u p t u r e d . T h i s t y p e o f m o d e l s h a s b e e n u s e d b y W i ll ia m s a n d K l o o t ( 8 ) ,

C o i e m a n ( 9 ) a n d G u c e r a n d G u r l a n d ( 1 ° ) .

Th e m a in f e a tu r e t ha t ha s m a d e the D a n ie l s m o de l una t t r a c t i v e t o e ng ine e r s is t ha t i t i s m a the -

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44 A M Hasofer

m a t i c a l l y i n t r a c ta b l e a n d t h a t s im p l e f o r m u l a e h o l d o n l y a s y m p t o t i c a l l y f o r a la rg e n u m b e r o f f ib e rs .

I n f a c t t h e o n l y c o n c l u s i o n o f a n y p r a c t ic a l v a lu e r e a c h e d b y D a n i e l s a f t e r a b o u t t h i r t y p a g e s o f

h e a v y m a t h e m a t i c s , is t h e r a t h e r u n i l l u m i n a t i n g o n e t h a t t h e f a il u r e st re s s o f t h e b u n d l e f o l l o w s a

n o r m a l d i s t r ib u t i o n , a s y m p t o t i c a l l y f o r a v e r y l a rg e n u m b e r o f fi b e rs . E v e n t h i s c o n c l u s i o n d e p e n d s

o n t h e f o l l o w i n g a s s u m p t i o n s , w h i c h o b v i o u s l y d o n o t h o l d i n th e c a se o f s te e l b r i t t le f r a c t u re .

( i) T h e f i b e rs b e h a v e i n d e p e n d e n t l y .

( i i) A l l f i be r s a r e s t a t i s t i c a ll y i d e n t i c a l . I n o th e r w or ds , a ll c r a c ks a r e o f t he s a m e s iz e ( t he

d i a m e t e r o f th e f ib e r ).

A c tua l ly , i n a s t e e l spe c im e n the r e a r e no inde pe nde n t pa r a l l e l f i be r s . O n the c on t r a r y , a l l pa r t s

o f t h e m a t e r i al a re i n t e r c o n n e c t e d .

I n t h i s pa p e r , a s t oc ha s t i c f o r b r i t t l e t e n s i l e f r a c tu r e o f s te e l i s p r e se n t e d . F u nd a m e n ta l l y , the

m o d e l is o f th e D a n i e l s t y p e . H o w e v e r , t h e s t o c h a s t i c a s s u m p t i o n s m a d e a re v e r y d i f f e r e n t f r o m

t h o s e o f D a n i e ls , a n d l e a d t o a s i m p l e f o r m u l a e f o r t h e u l t i m a t e s t r e n g t h o f t h e s p e c i m e n , t h r o u g h

t h e u s e o f t h e t h e o r y o f s t o c h a s t i c p r o c es s e s . I t is t o b e n o t e d t h a t t h e r e s u l t in g f o r m u l a e i s t h a t o f

t h e P a r e t o d i s t r i b u t i o n , w h i c h i s v e r y d i f f e r e n t f r o m e i th e r t h e n o r m a l d i s t r i b u t i o n y i e l d e d b y t h eD a n i e l s m o d e l , o r t h e e x t r e m e v a l u e d i s t r i b u t i o n s y i e l d e d b y t h e w e a k e s t l i n k m o d e l s .

T h e f o r m u l a f o r t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n o f t h e m a x i m u m s t re s s , Crmax is

0

P (O m a x ~ X ) = l

w h e r e r o i s th e m i n i m u m s t re s s a t w h i c h a c r ac k s t a r ts , a n d 0 d e p e n d s o n t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n o f c r a c k

s i z e. Thu s t he f o r m u la r e l a te s t he s t a ti s t i ca l p r ope r t i e s o f t he f a i l u re s t r e s s w i th t he m ic r o s t r u c tu r a l

p r o p e r t i e s o f t h e m a t e r i a l.

S i n ce 1 9 4 5 , t h e y e a r o f p u b l i c a t i o n o f D a n i e l s p a p e r , t h e r e h a s n o t b e e n , t o t h e a u t h o r s

k n o w l e d g e , a n y s u c c e s s f u l a t t e m p t t o a n a l y z e f r o m f i r s t p r i n c i p l e s t h e p a r a l l e l f a i l u r e m o d e l ,

b e c a u s e o f t h e g r e a t m a t h e m a t i c a l d i f fi c u l ti e s . T h e m o d e l p r e s e n t e d i n t h i s p a p e r is t h e f ir s t s t e p

f o r w a r d in t h i s f i e ld s inc e D a n ie l s w or k .

THE MO EL

W e a s s u m e t h a t t h e s p e c i m e n s c o n s i d e r e d i n t h i s p a p e r h a v e a g a u g e l e n g t h o f t h e o r d e r o f t h e

s iz e o f t h e c r o s s - s e c t i o n , s o t h a t a fi n i te e x t e n s i o n o c c u r s b e f o r e f r a c tu r e . T h e a n a l y t i c a l t r e at -

m e n t o f a p r o c e s s o f c r a c k s in s u c h s p e c i m e n s p r o d u c e s a n u m b e r o f d i f f i c u l t p r o b l e m s in t h e

t h e o r y o f m a t e r i a ls . T h i s p a p e r i s n o t , h o w e v e r , c o n c e r n e d w i t h t h e m e c h a n i c a l p r o b l e m s i n v o l v e d

i n t h e a d d i t i o n o f c r a c k s e f f e c t s , b u t w i t h a s c e r ta i n i n g t h e e f f e c t o f t h e a c c u m u l a t i o n o f c r a c k s

o n t h e s t a ti s ti c al d i s t ri b u t io n o f t h e u l ti m a t e l o a d . W e t h e r e fo r e b y - p a s s t h e a b o v e - m e n t i o n e d

p r o b l e m s b y m e a n s o f t h e f o l l o w i n g de v ic e .

W e a s s u m e t h a t f o r t h e t y p e o f b r i t tl e f r a c t u r e c o n s i d e r e d , t h e e x t e n s i o n o f t h e s p e c i m e n

b e t w e e n t h e p o i n t a t w h i c h a c r ac k i s a r r es t e d a n d t h e p o i n t a t w h i c h a n e w c r a c k is n u c l e a t e d is

e s s e n t ia l l y e l a s ti c . I t f o l l o w s t h a t t h e s t if f n es s o f t h e s p e c i m e n , d e f i n e d a s t h e r a t io o f l o a d t o e x -

t e n s i o n , c a n b e t a k e n a s c o n s t a n t d u r i n g s u c h p e r i o d s . H o w e v e r , w h e n a c r a c k is n u c l e a t e d a n d

a r r e s t e d , t h e s t if f n e ss o f t h e s p e c i m e n is r e d u c e d , b e c a u s e o f t h e w e a k e n i n g o f t h e s p e c i m e n b y t h e

a d d i t i o n a l c r a c k . T h e e l a s t i c i ty a s s u m p t i o n c o u l d b e d o n e a w a y w i t h a n d t h e m o d e l g e n e r a l iz e d

t o i n c l u d e t h e e f f e c t o f p l a s t i c i t y a s w e l l . H o w e v e r , w e w o u l d n o t b e d e a l in g w i t h p u r e b r i t t le

f r a c t u r e a n y l o n g e r , a n d i t s e e m s b e t t e r , o n a f i rs t a t t a c k , t o c o n f i n e o u r a t t e n t i o n t o t h e p u r e

b r i t t l e f r a c t u r e m o d e l .

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A . M . H a s o f e r 4 4 1

W e c a n ta k e t h e a b o v e - m e n t i o n e d r e d u c t i o n i n s ti f f n e ss a s a m e a s u r e o f t h e o v e r a l l e f f e c t o f

t h e n e w c r a c k in w e a k e n i n g t h e s p e c i m e n , w h e t h e r i n c o n j u n c t i o n w i t h o t h e r c r a c k s in t h e s am e

c r o s s - s e c t i o n , o r i n c o n j u n c t i o n w i t h c r a c ks a t o t h e r c r o s s - s e c t i o n s . I n o r d e r t o g i ve a m o r e

p i c t u r e s q u e d e s c r i p t i o n o f t h e s t a t is t i c a l a sp e c t s o f t h e m o d e l , w e d e f i n e a n ef f e c t iv e a r e a A a n d a

m e a n e f f e c t iv e s t re s s o f o r ev e r y s ta g e o f t h e lo a d i n g . T h e s e a r e p u r e l y c o n c e p t u a l m a g n i t u d e s , b u t

t h e y a re d e fi n e d in t e rm s o f l o a d a n d e x t e n s i o n , t h e y d o n o t p r e s e n t t h e p r o b l e m s w h i c h a ri se w h e n

w e d e a l w i t h r e a l a r e a s a n d s t r e s s e s .

T h e e f f e c t iv e a r e a A i s d e f i n e d b y

A = K ( P / e ) ( 1 )

w h e r e K i s t h e m o d u l u s o f e x t e n s i o n o f t h e s p e c i m e n , P i s t h e l o a d a n d e t h e e x t e n s i o n . T h u s A i s

p r o p o r t i o n a l t o t h e s t if f n e s s o f t_ h e s p e c i m e n P / e . T h e c o n s t a n t K c a n b e e v a l u a t e d a t t h e b e g i n n i n g

o f t h e l o a d i n g , i .e . f o r v e r y s m a l l P , a s A i s t h e n j u s t t h e g e o m e t r i c c r o s s - s e c t i o n A o .

O n c e t h e e f f e c t i v e a r e a A h a s b e e n c a l c u l a t e d , w e c a n c a l c u l a t e th e m e a n e f f e c t iv e s tr e s s o b y

m e a n s o f t h e f o r m u l a

o = P / A . ( 2 )

W e s ee t h a t o is a c t u a l l y e q u a l t o e / K , i . e . i s p r o p o r t i o n a l t o t h e e x t e n s i o n e .

L e t u s n o w c o n s i d e r t h e b e h a v i o r o f A w h e n o i n c r ea s e s . T h e e f f e c ti v e a r e a r e m a i n s c o n s t a n t

e x c e p t w h e n a c r a c k is n u c l e a t e d a n d a r r e s t e d . T h e r e i s t h e n a n i n s t a n t a n e o u s d e c r e a s e o f A t o a

n e w v a l u e , w h i c h r e m a i n s c o n s t a n t u n t i l a f u r t h e r c r a c k is n u c l e a t e d . T h u s t h e g r a p h o f A a s a

f u n c t i o n o f o i s a s s h o w n i n F i g u r e ( 1 ) .

o

o

F i g u r e ( 1 ) .

F r o m t h e g r a p h o f A , i t is e a s y t o d e d u c e t h e g r a p h o f P , u s i ng f o r m u l a ( 2 ). W e s i m p l y h a v e :

P = erA(or), (3 )

a n d t h e g r a p h o f P i s o b t a i n e d b y m u l t i p l y i n g t h e a b s c is s a b y t h e o r d i n a t e in F i g u r e ( 1 ) , th u s o b -

t a i n in g F i g u r e ( 2 ) . I t i s o b v i o u s t h a t t h e r e a r e t w o o p p o s i n g i n f l u e n c e s a c t i n g o n P : o n t h e o n e

h a n d P i n c r e a se s w i t h i n c r e a si n g o , a n d o n t h e o t h e r h a n d P d e c r e a se s w i t h t h e d e c r e a s e i n e f f e c ti v e

a r e a A ( c r) . T h u s P w i l l h a v e i n g e n e r a l a m a x i m u m v a l u e P m a x w h i c h w i l l r e p r e s e n t t h e u l t i m a t e

l o a d th a t t h e s p e c i m e n c a n m s t a i n .

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4 4 2 A . M . H a s o f e r

P

PmGx

//~ / / / /- / /

/ / ' / / /

<4 > J

tY

F i g u r e 2 ) .

no r d e r t o m a k e t h e m o d e l a m e n a b l e t o s t o c h a s t i c an a l y s i s, w e m a k e t h e t r a n s f o r m a t i o n s

Q = l o g P , B = l o g A / A o ) , t = l o g O / O o ) , l o g a o = l o g Q o , l o g A o = B o . T h e n

Q t ) = Q o + B o + t + B t ) .

T h e g r a p h o f B t ) F i g u r e 3 ) ) is s i m i la r t o t h a t o f F ig u r e 1 ) , e x c e p t t h a t t h e v a l u e t = 0 c o r r e s-

p o n d s t o a = o o . H o w e v e r , t h e g r a p h o f Q t ) d i f f e rs f r o m t h a t o f P o ) i n t h a t t h e s l o p e i s c o n s t a n t

a n d e q u a l t o u n i t y F i g u r e 4 ) ) .

B t

' X

X

it l t 2 t3 t t s t

F i g u r e 3 ) .

W e s h a l l a s s u m e t h a t n o c r a c k c a n p r o p a g a t e a t a n e f f e c t i v e s t r e ss l e ss t h a n 0 o , a n d t h a t f o r

o > g o , i . e . f o r t > 0 , B t ) is a h o m o g e n e o u s C o m p o u n d P o i s s o n P ro c e s s . I n o t h e r w o r d s , t h e

p o i n t s a t w h i c h c r a c k s o c c u r , n a m e l y t a , t 2 . . . . , f o r m a P o i s so n p r o c e s s w i t h p a r a m e t e r k , s a y , a n d

t h e r e d u c t i o n s i n B t ) a t t h e p o i n t s t x , t 2 , - . . , s a y X I , X 2 , . . ., a re i n d e p e n d e n t , i d e n t i c a l l y d i s t r i b u t e d

r a n d o m v a r i a b l e s w i t h c o m m o n d i s t r i b u t i o n f u n c t i o n G x ) . In t e r m s o f th e o r i g i n a l p a r a m e t e r o ,

t h i s i s e q u i v a l e n t t o a s s u m i n g t h a t t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n o f t h e n u m b e r o f c r a c k p r o p a g a t i o n s in eq u a l

p r o p o r t i o n a l i n c r e a se s o f a is t h e sa m e . I n r e l a t i o n t o A o ) , t h e a s s u m p t i o n i s t h a t e q u a l p r o p o r t i o n a l

d e c r e a s e s i n e f f e c t i v e a r e a a r e e q u a l l y p r o b a b l e .

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A M H a s o f e r 4 4 3

Q tl

Cl mo~.

o ]Qo

t

Figure 4).

W e sh a ll p o s t p o n e f o r t h e m o m e n t a d i s c u ss i o n o f th e v a l i d i t y o f t h e s e a s s u m p t i o n s a n d c o n -

c e n t r a t e o n t h e i r m a t h e m a t i c a l c o n s e q u e n c e s . W e a re p ri m a r i l y i n t e re s t e d i n t h e p r o b a b i l i t y d i st ri -

b u t i o n o f t h e m a x i m u m o f Q t ) . L e t us w r i te

P m a x Q t ) ~ x ) = K x ) .

o < t < =

The determination of K X is mathematically equivalent to the solution of a w el l -k no w n problem

in the theory o f dams. See Appen dix A) .

Le t t be the time and consider a dam of infin ite capacity w hose inp ut is the Com pound PoissonP r o c e s s B t) . L e t t h e o u t p u t o f t h e d a m b e o n e u n i t o f w a t e r p e r u n i t t i m e . F in a l l y l e t t h e i n it ia l

c o n t e n t o f t h e d a m b e z . T h e g r a p h o f t h e c o n t e n t o f t h e d a m Z t) w i ll b e a s i n F ig u r e 5 ) . W e

z t )

I . T / z l . t

Figure 5).

s h al l d e n o t e b y T z ) t h e t i m e w h e n t h e d a m f ir s t b e c o m e s e m p t y . T h i s is a r a n d o m v a r ia b l e w h i c h

m a y t a ke t he va lue +oo w i th f i n i te p r ob a b i l i t y . O b v ious ly

o ~ t < ~

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  A.M. Hasofer

N o w t h e r e l a t io n b e t w e e n Z ( t ) a n d Q ( t ) i s o b v i o u s ly

Z ( t ) = z + B o + Q o - Q ( t ) .

T h e r e f o r e

P ( T ( z ) = + o o) = P ( m a x Q ( t ) ~< z + B o + Q o ) ,

a n d t h i s c a n b e r e w r i t t e n

P ~ m a x

0 ~ < t < ®

Q ( t ) ~< x ) = P ( T ( x - B o - Q o ) = + o ~ ) .

T h e s o l u t i o n o f t h e p r o b l e m i n t h e t h e o r y o f d a m d e p e n d s o n t h e m e a n v a l ue o f t h e d ec r ea s e

o f B ( t ) pe r un i t t . W e ha ve t - 1E [ B ( t ) ] = ) t in , w h e r e m = ~ x dG ( x ) . I f ~ tm <~ 1 , K ( x ) = 0 f o r a ll x .

°O n t h e o t h e r h a n d , i f X r n > 1 , t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n K ( x ) e x i s t s . N o w w r i t e ~ ( s ) -- e - s x d G ( x ) . T h e n

o

t h e e q u a t i o n

S - - X [ 1 - - ~ ( S ) ] = 0

h a s e x a c t l y o n e p o s i t i v e s o l u t i o n 0 , a n d

k ( x )= f l 0 - e - ( 0 - B ° - Q ° ) o t h e r w i s e ,o r x ~ > B o + Q o ,

R e t u r n i n g t o P ( o ) , w e n o t e t h a t

P ( m a x P ( a ) ~ < x ) = P ( m a x Q ( t ) -< < l og x ~ ,

O o ~ < O < ~ o ~ t < ®

= 1 - e xp I - -0 log x - B o - Q o ) ] ,

= 1 - - (X/C0 -0 , X >1 '~ ,

w h e r e cz = e x p ( B o + Q o ) = A o ° o '

T h i s i s k n o w n a s t h e P a r e t o d i s t r i b u t i o n , a n d h a s b e e n u s e d e x t e n s i v e l y in v a r io u s fi e l d s ,

p a r t i c u l a r l y i n e c o n o m i c s . ( S e e S t e i n d l ( 1 1 ) ) . I t s g e n e r a l s h a p e a n d t h a t o f i t s d e n s i t y f u n c t i o n s a r e

g ive n in F igu r e ( 6 ) .

L e t u s d e f i n e t h e u l t i m a t e s t r e s s a m a x f o r t h e s p e c i m e n a s o m a× = P m a x / A o T h e n

= l 1

\ A o a o /

W e sha l l r e p r e se n t P { o n n , ~ x ~ by F o o , x ) a n d t h e c o r r e s p o n d i n g d e n s i t y f u n c t i o n b y f r o o , x ).

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A . M . H a s o f e r 5

F x)[ / x -e

f (x)

~ - ~ k f x ) = eocSx (s*~)

F i g u r e 6 ) .

S O M E PR O P E R T I E S O F T H E P A R E T O D I S T R I B U T I O N

A c h a r a c t e r i s ti c p r o p e r t y o f t h e P a r e t o d i s t r i b u t i o n i s t h e s h a p e o f i t s t a il . L e t u s w r i t e

S ( x ) = P { O m a x > x t = ( X / ° o ) - 0

W e s e e t h a t S ( x ) i s p r o p o r t i o n a l t o s o m e i n v e rs e p o w e r o f x . I f w e p l o t l o g S a g a i n st lo g x , w e

ob ta in a s t r a igh t l i ne w hose s lope i s ~ 9 . Th i s i s a s im p le t e s t f o r t he P a r e to d i s t r i bu t ion .

T h e s i m p l e P a r e t o d i s t r i b u t i o n c a n n o t b e v e r y s a t i s f a c t o r y f o r s m a l l v a l u e s o f x . I n p a r t i c u l a r,

t he a s su m p t ion tha t no c r a c ks o c c u r a t a s t re s s l e s s t ha n som e f ixe d va lue o o is un r e a l i s t i c . W e c a n

h o w e v e r o v e r c o m e t h i s d i f f i c u l t y b y a s s u m i n g t h a t o o i t s e l f i s a r a n d o m v a r ia b l e w h i c h h a s s o m e

d i s t r i b u t i o n f u n c t i o n H ( x ) , a n d d e n s i t y f u n c t i o n h ( x ) . T h e n t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n o f { ) m a x b e c o m e s ,

u s in g t h e t h e o r e m o f t o t a l p r o b a b i l i t y ,

x [ y l 0 1( x ) = P { O m a x ~ < x } = J [ 1 - h ( y ) d y .

o

T h i s c a n b e w r i t t e n

F ( x ) = H ( x ) - x - 0 ; y O h ( y ) d y .

o

I f w e a s s u m e t h a t t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n H ( x ) h a s m o m e n t s o f s u f f i c i e n tl y h i g h o r d e r s , th e i n t eg r a l

t 0 = ~ y O h y ) d y w i l l be f i n i t e . W e sha l l t he n c onc lude tha t

o

Jim x 0 [ 1 - F ( x ) ] = l im x 0 [ 1 - H ( x ) ] + t O ,

X - - ~ X - - ~

= ~z0

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44 6 A.M. Hasofer

s in c e th e e x is t en c e o f / l 0 im p l ie s t h a t l im x 0 [ 1 - H ( x ) ] = O . T h u s 1 - F ( x ) ~ / l o x - O f o r l ar ge x ,

a n d t h e c h a r a c t e r is t i c p r o p e r t y o f t h e t a il o f t h e P a r e t o d i s t r i b u t i o n i s p r e s e rv e d .

W e n o w c a l c u la t e t h e m o m e n t s M n ( a ) o f t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n F ( a , x ) . W e h a v e

n (~ ) = f f x n f ( ~ , x ) d x = Oot0 x - ( O - n + l ) d x ,

o t~

= O~n n<O

T h u s a ll m o m e n t s e x i s t u p t o t h e o r d e r o f t h e l ar g e s t i n t e g e r s m a l le r t h a n O . I n p a r ti c u l a r t h e m e a n

i s a O / ( O - 1 ) , a nd the va r i a nc e i s

0 t~2 _ _ t~2

v = 0 - 1 ) 2 o - 2 ) o - 1 ) 2

I f w e n o w c o n s i d e r t he m o m e n t s M n o f t he g e n e ra l iz e d d i s t ri b u t io n F ( x ) , w e f i n d

M n = M n (Y ) h ( y ) d y = n ;

o

w h e r e n = J y n h ( y ) ° d y i s t h e m o m e n t o f o r d er n o f t h e d i s tr ib u t io n H ( x ) o f o o •

o

O n e f o r m o f t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n H ( x ) w h i c h c o u l d b e u s e f u l i n p r a c t i c e , a s i t i s e a s y t o f i t a n d is

a n a l y t i c a l l y s i m p l e , i s t h e G a m m a d i s t r i b u t i o n d e f i n e d b y

I t s m o m e n t s a r e g i v e n b y

1 x

h ( x ) = ~ e a x p - 1a P P ( p )

~ n = a n r p + n ) / r p ) ,

a n d t h e m o m e n t s M n a r e t h e r e fo r e g i v en b y

M n = O a n P ( p + n ) / ( O - n ) r ( p ) .

T h e d e n s i t y f u n c t i o n f ( x ) i s g i v e n b y

x )aO P O+p ,f x ) = x O + , r p )

w h e r e I ' ( x , p ) is t h e i n c o m p l e t e G a m m a f u n c t i o n , d e f i n ed b y

x

F ( x , p) = .J e - Y y P - l d y .

o

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A.M. Hasofer 447

T h i s f u n c t i o n h a s b e e n e x t e n s i v e l y t a b u l a t e d ( S e e e .g . P e a r s o n ( 1 2 ) ) .

T h e d i s t r i b u t i o n f u n c t i o n F ( x ) i s s i m i l a r ly g i ve n b y

,0 J

W e n o t e t h a t r ( x , p ) x P / p a s x t e n d s t o z e r o , a n d t h e r e f o r e l im f ( x ) = 0 a s l o n g a s p > 0 + 1 .

x - + O

T h e s i m p l e s t w a y t o f i t t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n t o o b s e r v a t i o n s i s t o e q u a t e t h e f i r st th r e e o b s e r v e d

m o m e n t s t o t h e c a l c u l a t e d o n e s . T h u s w e o b t a i n t h e t h r e e e q u a t i o n s

m 1 = a p ,

m2 p p+l ) ,

m 3 = a 3 p ( p + l ) ( p + 2 ) ,

w h e r e r n ~ , m 2 , m 3 a r e t h e t h r ee o b s e r v e d m o m e n t s . E l i m i n a t i n g a a n d p , w e o b t a i n a c u b i c e q u a -

t i o n f o r 0 , a n d w e c a n t h e n c a l c u l at e a a n d p f r o m t h e f i rs t t w o e q u a t i o n s .

A l t e r n a t i v e l y , w e c a n o b t a i n 0 b y f i t t in g t h e t a i l o f a P a r e t o d i s t r i b u t i o n t o t h e o b s e r v e d ta i l .

T h i s i s e q u i v a l e n t t o f i t ti n g a s t r a i g h t li n e t o t h e g r a p h o f l o g [ 1 - F ( x ) ] a g a i n s t l o g x . W e c a n t h e n

c a l c u l a te a a n d p f r o m t h e f i r st t w o o b s e r v e d m o m e n t s , u s i n g t h e f o r m u l a e

( 0 - 1 ) 2

P k 2 0 ( 0 - 2 ) - ( 0 - 1 ) 2

m l O - 1 )

pO

w h e r e

m2

~ m ~

D I S C U S S IO N O F T H E S S U M P T I O N S O F T H E M O D E L

A s m e n t i o n e d i n th e p r e c e d i n g s e c t i o n s , w e h a v e a s s u m e d t h a t t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n o f o c c u r r e n c e

o f c r a c k s i n e q u a l p r o p o r t i o n a l i n c r e a s e s in s t r es s is t h e s a m e . T h e r e i s n o t , t o t h e w r i t e r s k n o w -

l e d g e , a n y c o n t r o l l e d e x p e r i m e n t a l e v i d e n c e f o r t h i s a s s u m p t i o n , b u t s o m e r e c e n t e x p e r i m e n t s i n

b r i t t l e f r a c t u r e o f s t e e l d o t e n d t o i n d i c a t e t h a t t h e r e l a t iv e f r e q u e n c y o f a r r e s t e d c r a c k s is c o m -

p a r a t i v e l y h i g h a f t e r a th r e s h o l d o f s t re s s h a s b e e n r e a c h e d a n d d e c r e a s e s ro u g h l y i n in v e r s e p r o -

p o r t i o n t o t h e s t r e s s .

T h e s e c o n d a s s u m p t i o n , n a m e l y t h a t e q u a l p r o p o r t i o n a l i n c r e a s e s i n e f f e c t iv e a r e a a r e e q u a l l y

p r o b a b l e , c a n b e m a d e p l a u s i b le b y t h i n k i n g o f t h e a r r e s te d f r a c t u r e s as o r i g i n a t in g at s o m e d e f e c t

i n th e m a t e r i a l , b e i t a l a t t i c e d e f e c t o r a r e g i o n o f r e s i d u a l s t r e s s , a n d b e i n g a r r e s t e d a s h o r t d i s t a n c e

o u t s i d e t h e r e g i o n o f t h e d e f e c t . I t is o b v i o u s t h a t t h e l a r g e r d e f e c t s w i l l o r i g i n a t e c r a c k s a t t h e

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  8 A . M . H a s o f e r

l ow e r s t r e s ses , a nd the sm a l l e r de f e c t s a t h ighe r s t re s se s. Th us , w e c a n e xp e c t sm a l l e r c r a c ks a t

h ighe r s t r e s se s , w he n the e f f e c t i ve a r e a ha s a l r e a dy be e n r e duc e d .

F i n a l l y , i t is i n te r e s t i n g t o d i s cu s s t h e r e l e v a n c e o f t h e G a m m a d i s t r i b u t i o n t o t h e d e s c r i p t i o n

t h e v a r i a b i li t y o f t h e t h r e s h o l d o f c r ac k i n g . I t is w e l l k n o w n t h a t t h e G a m m a d i s t r i b u t i o n o f o r d e r

p is t h e s u m o f p i n d e p e n d e n t r a n d o m v a r i a b le s , e a c h h a v in g th e n e g a t iv e e x p o n e n t i a l d i s t r i b u t i o n .

I f w e t h i n k o f th e t h r e s h o l d a s b e i n g re a c h e d t h r o u g h a n u m b e r o f i n d e p e n d e n t s t ag e s , f o r i n s ta n c e

t h e s u c ce s si v e a c c u m u l a t i o n o f d i s l o c a t i o n s a t a g r a i n b o u n d a r y , a n d i f w e a ss u m e t h a t e a c h s t ag e

h a s th e e x p o n e n t i a l d i s t r i b u t i o n , t h e n t h e n a t u r a l d i s t r i b u t i o n t o a s s u m e f o r t h e t h r e s h o l d w i ll i n

f a c t b e t h e G a m m a d i s t r i b u t i o n .

T h e w r i t e r d o e s n o t c l a im t h e a b o v e a r g u m e n t s t o b e m o r e t h a n a n a t t e m p t t o m a k e t h e

a s s u m p t i o n s o f t h e m o d e l p l a u s i b le . T h e r e i s a v a s t fi e ld h e r e f o r e x p e r i m e n t a l w o r k t o b e d o n e .

M o r e o v e r , i f e x p e r i m e n t a l e v i d e n c e s h o w s t h a t t h e a b o v e a s s u m p t i o n s a r e n o t c o r r e c t , t h i s w i l l n o t

a f f e c t t h e f u n d a m e n t a l s t r u c t u r e o f t h e m o d e l , b u t o n l y t h e p a r t i c u l a r s o l u t i o n g iv e n i n t h e

p r e c e d i n g s e c t i o n . A t t h e s a m e t i m e , i t m u s t b e p o i n t e d o u t t h a t t h e s o l u t i o n o f t h e d a m p r o b l e m

w i t h a s s u m p t i o n s o t h e r t h a n t h e o n e s m a d e is n o t k n o w n e x p l ic i t ly , so th a t f u r t h e r m a t h e m a t i c a l

i nve s t i ga t i on i s r e qu i r e d a s w e l l a s f u r th e r e xp e r im e n ta l w o r k .

T H E S I Z E E F F E T

O n e o f t h e f e a t u r e s o f b r i tt l e f r a c t u r e o f st e el w h i c h i s th e m o s t d i f f i cu l t t o e x p l a i n o n a

w e a k e s t l i n k t h e o r y is t h e v e r y s m a ll s iz e e f fe c t i n c o m p a r i s o n w i t h , s a y , c o n c r e t e , f o r w h i c h t h e

w e a k e s t l i n k p r e d i c t i o n s a re i n g o o d a g r e e m e n t w i t h e x p e r i m e n t a l r e su l ts . I n f ac t , f o r st e el , t h e

s iz e e f f e c t i s m o s t m a r k e d f o r v e r y s m a l l s p e c i m e n s , a n d b e c o m e s l es s a n d l e s s m a r k e d a s s iz e

i n c re a s e s. T h i s b e h a v i o r is re a d i l y e x p l a i n e d b y o u r m o d e l . I t s e e m s r e a s o n a b l e t o a s s u m e t h a t

t h e v a l u e o f t h e t h r e s h o l d o f c r a c k i n g w i ll n o t b e a f f e c t e d b y s i ze , s i nc e a c c o r d i n g t o o u r m o d e l , i t

is r e a c h e d t h r o u g h a n u m b e r o f s t a g es w h i c h h a v e t o b e r e a li z ed s i m u l t a n e o u s l y a t t h e v a r i o u s

r e g i o n s o f i n c i p i e n t c r a c k i n g .

I t i s t h e n u m b e r o f c r a c k s , a n d t h e r e f o r e t h e p r o b a b i l i t y o f a c r a c k o c c u r r i n g i n a sm a l l s t re s s

i n c r e as e s , w h i c h w i l l b e p r o p o r t i o n a l t o t h e v o l u m e V o f t h e s p e c i m e n . In o t h e r w o r d s , th e

p a r a m e t e r X c a n b e t a k e n a s p r o p o r t i o n a l t o s i ze . F i n a ll y , th e d i s t r i b u t i o n G x ) o f r e la t iv e c r a c k

s i z e c a n a l so be t a ke n a s be ing r e l a t i ve ly i n se ns i t i ve t o spe c im e n s i z e .

I t t h u s a p p e a r s t h a t t h e s iz e e f f e ct c a n b e a c c o u n t e d f o r b y a s s u m i n g t h a t X i s p r o p o r t i o n a l t o

s p e c i m e n s iz e a n d t h a t a ll o t h e r p a r a m e t e r s a re i n d e p e n d e n t o f s iz e . N o w X o b v i o u s l y a f fe c t s o n l y

t h e v a l u e o f 0 ; t h u s a s t h e m e a n a n d v a r i a n c e o f u l t i m a t e s t re s s a re g i v en b y

a n d

M = a p

5 2 _ 0 a 2 p 2 a 2 p ,

0 - 2 ) 0 - 1 ) z

the e f f e c t o f 0 on M a nd S w i l l be r e l a t i ve ly sm a l l , a nd w i l l be c om e l e ss a nd l es s a s 0 i nc r e a se s .

B y de f in i t i on 0 s a t i s f i e s t he e qua t ion

0 - x [ 1 ¢ 0 ) ] = o .

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A M H a s o f e r 449

Now, as can be seen from the Appendix, when X increases, 0 increases without bounds. As 4(0)

tends to zero when 0 ~ o~, we see that for large values of X, 0 is approximately equal to X.

S O M E E X P E R I M E N T L E V I D E N C E

In 1965-66, tests were made at the University of Melbourne on a number of buttonhead

cylindrical sharp-notched steel specimens. There were 89 specimens of diameter 0.75 and 90

specimens of diameter 0.5 . The mean failure stress for the large specimens was 103.805 kips per

sq. in. and for the small ones 110.166. Assuming that 0 is proportional to size, and using the

above formula for the mean, we find that 0 = 11.6 for the small specimens and 26.1 for the large

specimens. The size of the samples was too small to estimate the variance accurately enough to

calculate the other parameters, but the shape of the tail of the distribution was in rough agree-

ment with the above-quoted values of 0.

S U G G E S T IO N S F O R F U R T H E R E X P E R IM E N T L W O R K

A recent survey of current literature has highlighted the fact that adequate statistical data on

brittle fracture of steel are not available, apart from the pilot tests described in the preceding

section. For example, the data given in the above-quoted paper of McMahon and Cohen on the

stress dependence of microcrack format ion, though in qualitative agreement with the assumptions

of the model discussed in this paper, are useless for quantitative analysis because the sample is not

large enough, and because the data refer to surf ce microcracks in i n t e rrup ted loading tests, while

the model of this paper requires data on v o l u m e cracks in un in t e rrup ted loading.

Because of this lack of data, it is not possible to correlate the model with the physical facts.

What is required is a large-scale experimental program involving testing of several thousand

specimens, with particular emphasis on the following aspects:

(a) separation of the variability due to the testing equipment from that due to the intrinsic

properties of the material.

(b) close study of the shape of the probabili ty distribution of the failure stress,

(c) accurate evaluation of the size effect on bo th the mean failure stress and its variance.

The model presented in this paper is a working hypothesis on which such an experimental pro-

gram could be based.

A direct evaluation of the microstructural constants involved, namely the volume distribution

of cracks and their size as a function of applied stress is also required, but experimental techniques

for such a study do not seem to be available up to now. It is hoped that publication of this paper

will spur on interest in this direction.

C K N O W L E D G E M E N T

The research embodied in this paper was carried out by the Department of Civil Engineering

of the University of Melbourne as part of a project on the application of Statistical Methods in

Civil Engineering, suppor ted by a grant from the Australian Research Grants Committee.

Received May 22, 1967; revised May 25, 1968.

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4 5 0

1. F.T. Pierce

2. W. Weibull

3. W. Weibull

4. J.I. Frenkel and T.A. Kontorova

5. J.C. Fisher and J.H. Hollomon

6. C.J. McMahon and M. Cohen

7. H.E. Daniels

8. E.J. Williams and N.H. Klo ot

9. B.D. Coleman

10. D.E. Gucer and J. Gurland

1 1. 1. Stei ndl

12. K. Pearson

A.M. Hasofer

REFERENCES

J. Text. Inst., 17 355 (1926).

'A Statisti cal Theory of the Stren gth of Materials, ' Ing. Vetenskaps.

Akad. Handl. No. 151 (1939).

'The P henom enon of Ruptu re in Solids, ' Ing. Vetenskaps. Akad. Handl.

No. 153(1939).

J. Phys. USSR, 1 108 (1943).

Trans. AIME, 171 546 (1947).

Acta Met., 13 591-604 (1965) .

Proc. Roy. Soc. (Lon.), A183 405 (1945).

Aust. J. Appl. Sci., 3, 1 (1952).

J. Mech. Phys. Solids , 7 60 (1958).

J. Mech. Phys. Solids , 10 365 (1962).

Rand om Processes and Growth of Firms: A S tudy of the Pareto Law

Charles Griffin Co., Ltd., London (1965).

Tables of the Incomple te Gamma Function London, H.M.S. Office

(1922).

A P P E N D I X

S i n c e a s h o r t p r o o f o f t h e r e s u l t in D a m T h e o r y w h i c h w a s u s e d i n t h e p a p e r i s n o t r e a d i l y

a va i l a b l e i n t he l i t e r a tu r e , w e g ive one he r e . Le t u s w r i t e

P T z ) ~< t } = G t , z ) ,

P p , z ) = E [ e - p T z ) ] = f e - p t d t G t , z ) .

o

W e n o w n o t i c e t h a t t h e f i r s t p a s s a g e t i m e a t z e r o c o n t e n t , s t a r t i n g f r o m z , i s t he s a m e a s t he

f ir s t p a s s a g e t i m e a t c o n t e n t y , s t a r t i n g f r o m z + y . T h u s T y + z ) h a s t h e s a m e d i s t r i b u t i o n a s t h e

s u m o f t w o i n d e p e n d e n t v a r i a b le s T y ) , T z ) . I t f o l l o w s t h a t F p , z ) s a t is f ie s th e f u n c t i o n a l e q u a -

t i o n

F p , y + z ) = r p , y) P p , z ) ,

a n d m u s t t h e r e fo r e b e o f t h e f o r m P p , z ) = e x p { - 0 z } .

M o r e o v e r , T z ) h a s a l s o th e s a m e d i s t r i b u t i o n a s z + T [ B z ) ] , f o r i f t h e i n it i al c o n t e n t o f t h e

d a m i s z , a f t e r a p e r i o d o f t im e o f l e n g t h z , t h e in i t ia l c o n t e n t h a s b e e n e x h a u s t e d , a n d t h e n e w

c o n t e n t i s t h e i n p u t i n t h e p e r i o d 0 , z ) , B z ) . U s i n g t h e t h e o r e m o f t o t a l p r o b a b i l i ty , w e n o w

c o n c l u d e t h a t

E [ e - p X z ) l = e - p z E { E [ e - p T I B z ) I [ B z ) ] } .

W e n o w u s t h e tw o r e s u l ts

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a n d c o n c l u d e t h a t

A . M . H a s o f e r

E [ e - P T I B ( z ) 1 B ( z ) ] = e - 0 B ( z ) ,

E [e - b u z ) ] = e x l 1 - ~ 0 ) 1 ,

e - t) z = e - p z - X z l 1 - ~ ( 6 ) 1 .

45 1

T h u s 0 m u s t s a t i s f y t h e e q u a t i o n

= p + X [ 1 - - ~ ( 0 ) ] .

O b v i o u s l y w e a r e o n l y c o n c e r n e d h e r e w i t h p o s i t iv e r o o t s . L e t u s w r i t e t h e e q u a t i o n in t h e

f o r m ( t) - p ) /X = 1 - ~ ( 6 ) .

T h e g r a p h o f y = 1 - 6 ( z ) is n o n - d e c r e a s i n g , c o n v e x , p a ss e s t h r o u g h t h e o r ig i n an d i s a s y m p -

t o t i c t o y = 1 . I ts s l o p e a t t h e o r i g in i s m . I t i s t h e n o b v i o u s f r o m F i g u r e ( 7 ) t h a t th e r e i s o n l y o n e

x - p

y : l - f x ),SLope,m / \ / /

/

P 0 g

F i g u r e 7 ) .

pos i t i ve s o l u t i on f o r p > 0 . IV l o re over , a s p - + O , w e h a ve t w o pos s i b i l i t i e s :

( a ) I f - < m , t) t e n d s t o a l i m i t i n g v a l u e 0 > 0 .X

( b ) I f - ~ > m , 6 t e n d s t o z e r o .X

N o w

T h u s

a n d

S e - P t d t G ( t z ) = f d t G ( t z ) = P { T ( z ) < ~ } .i ra

P - + O o o

P { T ( z ) < ~ } = e - O z ,

P ( T ( z ) = ¢ ¢ } = I e - O z , i f X m > O .

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4 5 2 A . M . H a s o f e r

R E S U M I ~ - O n f o r m u l e e t o n a n a l y s e u n m o d u l e s t a t i s t i q u e a p p l i c a b l e ~ l a r u p t u r e f r a g il e d e l ' a c i e r. L a r u p t u r e• J •

e s t se n s e e r e s u l t e r d e l a c o a l e s c e n c e d ' u n g r a n d n o m b r e d e f is s u r e s ~ I 'a r re t, q u i o n t e t e• a m o r e e e s e n d e s p o i n t s

d i f f e ~ r e n t s .r

O n d d m o n t r e q u e la p o r t i o n s u p e r l e u r e d e l a d i s t r i b u t i o n d e s c o n t r a i n t e s m a x i m a l e s e s t d on ne ~e p a r la

r e l a t i o n :

1 - x / tT O 0

o u G o e t 0 s o n t d e s f o n c t i o n s d e s c o n s t a n t e s m i c r o s t r u c t u r a l e s d u m a t e r i a u .

O n m o n t r e ~ ( ga le m e nt q u e l ' e f f e t d i m e n s i o n n e l i n t e r v e n a n t d a rt s c e m o d u l e e s t b e a u c o u p m o i n s p r o n o n c ~

q u e d a r ts l e c as d e s m o d u l e s q u i s o n t b a s e s u r la r e s i s t a n c e m i n i m a l e .

E n f i n , u n c e r t a i n h o m b r e d e d o n n g e s e x p ( r i m e n t a l e s r ff su lt an t ~ fl '~ u n p r o g r a m m e p i l o t e s o n t p re s en t~ g es , e t

d e s s u g g e s t i o n s s o n t d m i s e s p o u r l e x e c u t i o n d ' u n p r o g r a m m e e x p e r i m e n t a l .

Z U S A M M E N F A S S U N G - E i n s ta t i s t i sc h e s M o d e l l f u e r d e n s p r o e d e n B r u c h in S t a h l w u r d e f o r m u l i e r t u n d

a n a l y s i e r t . E s w u r d e a n g e n o m m e n , d a s s d e r B r u c h b e i V e r s c h m e l z u n g v o n e i n e r A n z a h l a u f g e h a l t e n e r R i s s e,

w e l c h e a n v e r s c h i e d e n e n P u n k t e n b e g a n n e n , e n t s t eh t .

D a s o b e r e E n d e d e r V e r te i l u n g d e s m a x i m a l e n D r u c k s w u r d e m i t d e r f o l g e n d e n F o r m e l g e z e i g t :

1 - X / O o ) 0

w o b e i Oo u n d 0 d i e F u n k t i o n e n d e r m i k r o s t r u k t u r e l l e n K o n s t a n t e n d e s M a t e r i a ls e r g e b e n .

E s w u r d e w e i t e r h i n g e z e ig t , d a ss d e r G r o e s s e n e f f e k t i n d i e se m M o d e U v i el w e n i g e r g e k e n n z e i c h n e t i s t a l s i m

F a U e d e r s c h w a e c h s t e n V e r b i n d u n g s m o d e l l e .

A b s c h l i e s s e n d s ei e r w a e h n t , d a s s e in i ge e x p e r i m e n t e l l e E r g e b n i s s e v o n v o r h e r g e g a n g e n e n T e s t e n p r a e se n -

t i e r t w u r d e n u n d e s w u r d e n V o r s c h l a e g e f u e r w e i t e re e x p e r i m e n t e l l e A r b e i t g e m a c h t .