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11
Broadcast
Stig Eide Sivertsen
22
Agenda
1. Overview2. TV Distribution3. Nordic TV Distribution
growth opportunities4. Transmission5. Summary
33
Overview 2003Delivered as promised
Continued subscriber growthStreamlined organisationReduced churnPiracy controlNumber 1 Nordic content provider
Operating cash flow of 1 billion NOK in 2003
44
OverviewLeading positions throughout the value chain
Transmission DistributionContent
55
Subscribers with satellite dishDTH
Cable TV subscribersCable
Households in small antenna TV-networksSMATV
Free to air channels only to DTH householdsDTH cards only
Reaching customers across different access platforms
Households:Monthly ARPU:
294 NOK763 000
242 000
604 000 128 NOK
1 098 00 25 NOK
66
TV Distribution 70%
DTH
Cable
SMATV
Satellite
Terrestrial
Other
Transmission24%
OverviewRevenue distribution 2003
Gross revenue of 5.4 billion NOK
77
507
1 217
350252
384
805
2001 2002 2003
Financial OverviewTop line growth and margin expansion
Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % EBITDA and Capex (NOKm) Operating Cash Flow (NOKm)
2 614
3 607
4 800
13 % 14 %
25 %
2001 2002 2003
-455
123
965
2001 2002 2003
Excludes sales gains / lossesOperating Cash Flow = EBITDA - CAPEX
EBITDA CAPEX
88
120
204
316 311
386
187
74
169
28 3556
133
Q32002
Q42002
Q12003
Q22003
Q32003
Q42003
Financial OverviewImproved operations quarter by quarter
1 059
1 162 1 138 1 158 1 194
1 310
17 %10 %
18 %
27 % 26 %
29 %
Q32002
Q42002
Q12003
Q22003
Q32003
Q42003
113
-49
176
281255 254
Q32002
Q42002
Q12003
Q22003
Q32003
Q42003
Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % EBITDA and Capex (NOKm) Operating Cash Flow (NOKm)
Excludes sales gains / lossesOperating Cash Flow = EBITDA - CAPEX
EBITDA CAPEX
99
Agenda
1.1.1. OverviewOverviewOverview2. TV Distribution3.3.3. Nordic TV Distribution Nordic TV Distribution Nordic TV Distribution
growth opportunitiesgrowth opportunitiesgrowth opportunities4.4.4. TransmissionTransmissionTransmission5.5.5. SummarySummarySummary
1010
TV DistributionContinuous growth and improved operations in 2003
DTH subscriber base increased 9%
DTH pay TV market share increased from 61% to 63%
DTH ARPU increased 9%
Cable ARPU increased 13%
DTH churn down from 19% to 16%
Streamlined operations after Canal Digital integration
1111
Nordic DTH Subscribers (‘000)
TV DistributionMarket share increased quarter by quarter
Observations
Canal Digital’s subscriber CAGR exceeds 20%– primarily due to
premium content
Canal Digital’s packaging strategy different from MTG/Viasat’s
465500
459 456 442 424 439
506569
614646 664
701 713 708
413453 451
763726
Q32001
Q42001
Q12002
Q22002
Q32002
Q42002
Q12003
Q22003
Q32003
Q42003
Viasat Premium Subscribers Canal Digital Premium Subscribers
1212
TV DistributionDTH subscriber and ARPU growth
DTH subscribers (‘000) and ARPU (NOK) Observations
Extended content offering contributed to subscriber and ARPU growth
ARPU expected to level out as new customer have lower priced subscriptions
412
569
763701
239 251 270 294
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2000 2001 2002 20030
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
DTH subscriber base Monthly DTH ARPU
1313
DTH Churn Development Strategy
TV DistributionDTH churn reduced to 16%
Increased customer satisfaction
– Content and pricing
– Operational excellence
Piracy control through Conax system
2000 2001 2002 2003
41 %
33 %
16 %19 %
1414
TV DistributionCable subscriber and ARPU growth
Cable subscribers (‘000) and ARPU (NOK) Observations
High speed internet and digital TV drives Cable TV revenue
Pricing and packaging
Organic subscriber growth357
554604
571
101 107 113128
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2000 2001 2002 20030
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Cable subscriber base Monthly CATV ARPU
1515
TV DistributionStreamlining increases profitability
Promotion of Canal Digital as joint TV brand
Headcount down 30% after Canal Digital integration
Economies of scale in content purchase
Optimising pricing and product mix
Avidi
Vision
DTH
CATV
SMATV
1616
Improved operations with Canal Digital 100%
Excludes sales gains / losses, proforma numbers
Numbers include Canal Digital 100%
3 973
4 4364 800
9 %
25 %
-1 %
2001 2002 2003
Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA %
Profitablegrowth
ARPUgrowth
251 270294
107 113 128
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2001 2002 2003
DTH ARPU Cable ARPU
1 156
809972
June 30th2002
2002 2003
Man-labour year
Staffreductions
Economies of scale 0,6
1,3 1,4
2001 2002 2003
DTH + CATV (million subs)
1717
779857 872
917 948
1 037
6 %3 %
10 %
21 %18 %
23 %
Q32002
Q42002
Q12003
Q22003
Q32003
Q42003
TV DistributionStable growth and operational turnaround
26
85
188166
235
4345
201717
105
58
Q32002
Q42002
Q12003
Q22003
Q32003
Q42003
2
-79
68
171146
177
Q32002
Q42002
Q12003
Q22003
Q32003
Q42003
Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % EBITDA and Capex (NOKm) Operating Cash Flow (NOKm)
EBITDA CAPEX
Excludes sales gains / lossesOperating Cash Flow = EBITDA - CAPEX
1818
TV DistributionPotential for increased margins
Both Canal Digital andBSkyB have potential for increased margins after expansion phase
Canal Digital is best practice on important cost parameters and rivalsBSkyB on profitability
BSkyB is best practice on ARPU and churn due to monopoly and economies of scale
DTH Benchmarks 2003 Canal Digital BSkyB
EBITDA-margin 18 % 18 %
DTH subscribers 763 000 7 200 000
Subs growth 2002-2003 9 % 10 %
Monthly ARPU (NOK) 294 398
Churn 16 % 9 %
1919
Agenda
1.1.1. OverviewOverviewOverview2.2.2. TV DistributionTV DistributionTV Distribution3. Nordic TV Distribution
growth opportunities4.4.4. TransmissionTransmissionTransmission5.5.5. SummarySummarySummary
2020
TV Distribution3 million households will convert to digital TV
Numbers are Broadcast estimates based on available information
TV Households ('000) Norway Sweden Denmark Finland Total
Cable 860 2 560 1 160 1 070 5 650DTH (inkl. cards only) 570 780 470 130 1 950Terrestrial Digital (DTT) 0 250 0 200 360Terrestrial Analogue only 530 710 780 800 2 910
Nordic TV Market 1 960 4 300 2 410 2 200 10 870
Opportunity for TV Distribution
Opportunity for Norkring
2121
DTHFighting piracy increases the addressable market
Canal Digital is not commercially hacked today, due to:– intensive work on encryption
technology– frequently change of smart cards
Piracy and MTG/Viasat are major competitors
Estimated 300 000 pirate MTG/Viasatcards in the Nordic region
Picture: Buena Vista International Norge
2222
Canal Digitals leading Nordic position ensures access to the best content– effects on recruitment and churn
Opportunities to repack and extend the program packages – increase margins
Canal Plus in final rounds to retain Premier League
TV DistributionContent uniqueness will still drive revenue
2323
TV DistributionSweden and Norway are our strongest markets
Key Observationsand Strategy
Finland and Denmark are growth opportunities
CRM operator role for DTT in Finland will strengthen our Finish position
5%
8%
2%14%
Canal Digital’s DTH subscribersas a % of total TV households
2424
Agenda
1.1.1. OverviewOverviewOverview2.2.2. TV DistributionTV DistributionTV Distribution3.3.3. Nordic TV Distribution Nordic TV Distribution Nordic TV Distribution
growth opportunitiesgrowth opportunitiesgrowth opportunities4. Transmission5.5.5. SummarySummarySummary
2525
TransmissionSteady profitable development
Satellite Broadcasting
– New business compensates for analogue shut down
– Cost reductions to compensate revenue drop
958
782
37 %44 %
2002 2003
506 501
44 % 42 %
2002 2003
Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA %
Excludes sales gains / losses
Norkring (terrestrial transmission)
– New radio contract from 2004– Potential for new revenues in new
digital services
Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA %
2626
TransmissionSatellite Broadcasting is the leading Nordic satellite operator
Analogue to digital migration completed
Intensified sales of new products and services in 2003
Intelsat 10-02 investment of 88 USDmwill improve profitability from H2 2004
Evaluation of ownership strategy for Satellite Broadcasting
2727
TransmissionDigitization is an opportunity for increased revenues in terrestrial transmission
New radio station and digital radio (DAB) have extended existing contract portfolio
Digital transmission TV (DTT) gives expansion opportunities
Norkring excels in Benchmark analysis
2828
358337 332
315 313 317
41 %38 %
42 % 40 %46 %
45 %
Q32002
Q42002
Q12003
Q22003
Q32003
Q42003
TransmissionSteady profitable development
127 139 127144 144
30
148
25161035
65
Q32002
Q42002
Q12003
Q22003
Q32003
Q42003
11892
129111 119
79
Q32002
Q42002
Q12003
Q22003
Q32003
Q42003
Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % EBITDA and Capex (NOKm) Operating Cash Flow (NOKm)
EBITDA CAPEX
Excludes sales gains / lossesOperating Cash Flow = EBITDA - CAPEX
2929
Agenda
1.1.1. OverviewOverviewOverview2.2.2. TV DistributionTV DistributionTV Distribution3.3.3. Nordic TV Distribution growth opportunitiesNordic TV Distribution growth opportunitiesNordic TV Distribution growth opportunities4.4.4. TransmissionTransmissionTransmission5. Summary
3030
BroadcastSummary
Substantial growth within TV Distribution
Improved operations in TV Distribution
Stable profitability in Transmission
Potential for further Nordic growth
3131
2004 Expectations
Continuing revenue growth
Targeting an improved EBITDA margin from 2003
Capex (ex. Satellite and DTT) at 2003 level
Revenue
EBITDA
Capex
BroadcastOutlook
3232