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Brooklyn Public Library
Virtual Investing
Mina Ennin Black
About Me
• Former Merrill Lynch Financial Advisor- managed over half a billion in assets
• Almost 10 years experience in Wealth Management
• Licensed Investment Manager
• Creator of the FinancialPhytness Iphone app
• Currently teaching financial & investment management to groups, companies and organizations
• http://about.me/minablack/#• Follow me: @wealthwithmina
AGENDA• SAVING VS. INVESTING
• WHY INVEST
• INVESTMENT TYPES
• INTRO TO STOCKS
• STOCK EXCHANGES
• HOW DO I MAKE MONEY?
• CHOOSING STOCKS AND TRADING
• HOW DID YOU DO? EVALUATE YOUR PERFORMANCE
• INTRO TO STOCK MARKET GAME
What Do They Have In Common?
All Are InvestorsIf you aren’t willing to own a stock for 10 years, don’t even think about owning it for 10 minutes – Warren Buffett
4 WAYS TO MAKE MONEY
Money Made By Selling
Your Time
Interest Income on Money Lent
Dividend Income
from Profits on
Businesses Owned
Capital Gains
Income
You Work For Your Money
Money that other people pay you to
“borrow” your money
Profits of a company in which you bought
an investment.
Buy an investment at one price and sell it higher
4 Ways To Make Money
Money Made By Selling
Your Time
Interest Income on Money Lent
Dividend Income
from Profits on
Businesses Owned
Capital Gains
Income
How most people make money
Example: A certificate of deposit
Your Money Works For You
Ex. You bought Apple for $195 a share. You sell it for $400 a share. The $305 difference is your capital gain.
Capital Gains Example:
2 Ways To Grow Your Money
Savings Accounts
Investment Account
What Is Investing?
Investing is putting your money to use to make money on it.
Some examples of investments are stocks, bonds, mutual funds, and real estate.
WHAT’S THE DIFFERENCE?
Savings Investments
Goal Short-term needs or emergencies
Long-term growth
Products Savings Account, money-market account, CD
Stocks, Bonds, Mutual Funds
Risks None if FDIC insured Varies depending on product
Source of Return Interest you receive from money you deposited
Interest, Dividends, Capital Gains, Capital Losses
Key Advantage Money is safe and easily Accessible
Your return outpaces inflation over long term
Key Disadvantage Returns usually don’t outpace inflation
Risk of losing money
Source: IPT
Understand Your Current Situation
3 Things You Should Know:
Never Invest Money You Need
Pay off any high interest debt first
Before You Invest
Set Your Goals: Be Specific (ex. Save for a child’s college education in 16 years)
Pick A Date: When will you need the money? – Time Horizon
Determine Your Objectives
Rules for Successful Investing:
Evaluate The Risk
Diversification & Asset Allocation
Rule of 72
Time Value Of Money Investme
nt Income
Stock Market
Risk Tolerance
Risk & Return
Dividend
Diversification
Asset Allocatio
n
Leverage
Equity
Compound Interest
Dollar Cost
Averaging
Rate of Return
KEY CONCEPTS & TERMS
TIME VALUE OF MONEY
A dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow due to its potential to earn interest
Example
$100 received today and invested at 5% will be worth $105 in a year
You Try It:
What is the FV of
$500 invested
today at a rate of 6% in 1 year?
How to calculate: FV=PV (1+i)N
FV=Future Value; i=interest ratePV = Present Value; N = years
FV = $100(1+.05)1
How to calculate: FV=PV (1+i)N
FV = $500(1+.06)1 = $530
RULE OF 72
A simple way to determine how long it will take for an investment to double in value
Example
$100 invested at
5% will double in
14.4 years
How long will it take for $1,000 invested at
10% to double?
How to calculate: # of years to double = (72/i)I = interest rate
Answer: 7.2 years
The Stock Market
An everyday term used to talk about a place where stocks and bonds are “traded”
Companies use the stock
market as a way to raise
money
Did You Know?
Size of the
world stock
market is $36
trillion?
Diversification
Reducing risk by investing in different kinds of securities
Limit your risk exposure to a specific investment –
choose stocks that
are made up of different industries
A portfolio with all
technology stocks is not diversified
A portfolio: a collection of investments
INVESTMENT INCOME
Income from interest payments, dividends, capital gains collected upon the sale of a security and any other profit made through an investment
Examples
Dividends, interest and rent
It is possible to
live off your
investment income
RISK TOLERANCE
The degree of uncertainty you can handle in regard to a negative change in the value of your investment
What would you do if you woke up one day and your stock lost
half its value?
Don’t take unnecessar
y risk
Take the Risk Tolerance quiz
LEVERAGE
Using borrowed capital to increase the potential return of an investment
Example
Margin: borrowing
money from your
brokerage firm to buy securities
Margin is EXTREMELY
risky
DIVIDEND
A distribution of a portion of a company’s earnings.
Quoted in terms of
dollar amount
each share receives
Dividends can be
cash, stock or
property.
RISK & RETURN
The potential return will go up with the more risk you take on
Must know your risk tolerance
Must take on some risk to
achieve returns
COMPOUND INTEREST
Interest that is paid on both the interest and the principal of an investment
ExampleIf you got 15% interest on your $1,000 investment the first year and end up with $150 interest
Example(cont..)
If I didn’t take the
money out, the second
year I would get 15%
interest on both the
$1,000 and the $150
This is why it’s so important to let your money grow in your account
EQUITY
For us: a stock or any other security that represents an ownership interest
Examples
Apple, Google,
There are almost 9,000
stocks in the U.S.
ASSET ALLOCATION
Balancing the risk vs. reward in your portfolio by adjusting percentages
ExampleA third of
your money in stocks, a third in
bonds and a third in
cash
Invest across
different categories
of investmen
ts
DOLLAR COST AVERAGING
Invest an equal amount of money at regular intervals
A good way to reduce
market risk
Instead of investing a
lump sum of $1,000 now,
you can invest $100 every month
for 10 months
RATE OF RETURN
The amount of revenue an investment generates over a given period of time as a percentage of the original investment amount
Example
Earlier example, the
$1,000 investment
& $150 investment
income
15% is the rate of return
Total Return: actual rate of return of an investment. Includes interest, capital gains, dividends Real Return: return on an investment adjusted for inflation
STOCKS
Stocks: Shares of ownership in a company
What Does Stock Ownership Mean?
Voting Rights
Owning shares in Apple doesn’t mean you can go help yourself to free Iphones at the Apple store.
WHY DO PEOPLE BUY STOCK?
To raise money to start a business or grow a business
To help pay for ongoing business expenses
We get income from dividends (not always!)
WHY DO COMPANIES ISSUE STOCK?
They don’t have to repay the money
The stock price could go up
2 Types of Stocks
Common Majority of stock issued
Ownership in company
Claim on profits
One vote per share
Highest return Most risk (bankruptcy)
Variable dividends Never guaranteed
Preferred No voting rights
Investors guaranteed fixed dividend forever
In bankruptcy, preferred shareholders are paid
before common
Closer to debt than stock
How are stocks classified?
BLUE CHIPS
Stocks issued by well-established companies with
sound financial histories; Dow Jones
Growth Stocks
Income Stocks
Value
Shares of companies with the potential to generate
above-average revenues and profit growth
Pay out a relatively high percentage of their earnings
in the form of dividends
Stocks that are cheap in relation to profits, sales,
cash flow or the value of the company’s assets
How are stocks classified?
Defensive
Companies whose sales of goods and services hold up
in bad economic times
Cyclical
Foreign
Market Cap
Companies whose sales and earnings are highly sensitive to the ups and downs of the
economy
Shares of companies that provide exposure to overseas currencies
Large cap, Mid-cap, Small cap – refers to the overall value of all shares of the
company’s stock
HOW DO STOCKS TRADE?
Marketplace where brokers who represent investors meet to buy and sell securities.
Two Primary Exchanges:New York Stock ExchangeNASDAQ
On the Stock Exchange
**We use indexes and averages to track overall direction of the market
NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE
Founded in 1792Face-to-face trading floor
Broker to specialist to broker
Stocks traded on NYSE: GE, McDonald’s, Coke, WM
New York Stock Exchange
Floor of NYSE
“Virtual” Over-the-counter-No central location-No floor brokers-Trading done through computers-Established in 1971
Tech-heavy listings – Example: Facebook
NASDAQ
-Oldest and best known index-Index of 30 widely held stocks-All companies are major factors in their industries
Dow Jones & S&P 500
-Leading companies from all sectors of the economy
-Benchmark for majority of growth mutual funds
Dow Jones Industrial Index
Standard & Poor’s 500 index
WHERE DOES STOCK PRICE COME FROM?
Stock price isTied to how much investor’s perceive the entire company to be worth right now AND How much the company is going to EARN in the future
Market Capitalization (market cap) = how much the total company is valued at
Stock Price * Shares OutstandingPay attention to this and NOT stock price
WHAT CAUSES STOCK PRICES TO CHANGE?
The easy answer…
Supply and Demand
More wanting to buy, less wanting to sell
Less wanting to buy, more wanting to sell
Investors make money in stocks in two ways:
Dividends
Companies may make payment to shareholders as part of the profits.
Capital Gains (CG)
Investors purchase shares in companies with the expectation that the price of the shares will increase. This increase in share value is a capital gain
HOW DO YOU MAKE MONEY?
Reading Stock Tables
Source: Yahoo Finance
Ticker Symbol A unique identifier (usually
letters) that represent a particular security on an
exchange.
Source: Yahoo Finance
PriceThe current or price of the stock. Sometimes this will be listed as “Last Trade” to let you know the last price the stock traded at.
Reading Stock Tables
Source: Yahoo Finance
Change in PriceThe difference between the last trade price and the price before
that
Reading Stock Tables
Source: Yahoo Finance
The ExchangeYou can identify which exchange the stock quote you’re viewing
is trading on
Source: Yahoo Finance
Previous CloseThe price that the last share of
stock sold yesterday (or the last day of trading) sold at.
Source: Yahoo Finance
OpenThe open is the price of the first
share of stock sold today
Source: Yahoo Finance
Bid & AskA bid is the highest price that a principle
brokerage firm has announced it’s willing to pay for a share of a specific stock at a specific time.
The ask is the opposite: it’s the lowest price that a firm has said it’s willing to sell a particular
stock at
Source: Yahoo Finance
1Y Target EstimateAn analyst’s projection of what the price for a single share of
this stock will be one year from today
Reading Stock Tables
Source: Yahoo Finance
BetaThe measure of how a particular stock’s price moves relative to
the market as a whole.
Beta = 1: means the stock’s price moves exactly with the overall marketBeta > 1: means the stock’s price is more volatile than the market
Beta < 1: means the stock’s price is less volatile than the market
Source: Yahoo Finance
Next Earnings Date: Expected date of when the
company will release their next earnings
Source: Yahoo Finance
Day’s RangeThe day’s range gives you the range that a stock’s price has
varied throughout the course of the day
Reading Stock Tables
Source: Yahoo Finance
52wk Range
The range of prices a stock has sold for over the course of the
last year
Source: Yahoo Finance
VolumeA stock’s volume reflects the total number of shares of that stock that have been traded
throughout a single day
Source: Yahoo Finance
Avg Volume (3m)The average volume over the past three months of a stock. Knowing the average
volume can help you decide when the daily volume is active enough for you to
take notice
Source: Yahoo Finance
Market Cap
Market capitalization estimates the total dollar value of the
company who’s stock is being traded
Source: Yahoo Finance
P/E (ttm)The price to earnings ratio reflects the
relationship between the price per share and the income earned per share by the company in which the shares are held.
A higher P/E points to a more expensive stock because an investor pays more per unit of
TTM: trailing twelve months
Source: Yahoo Finance
EPSEarnings per share is the amount of
money that you would have earned if you purchased a share of this stock
last quarter and sold it today
Source: Yahoo Finance
Div & YieldThe dividend is the payment the
company pays to shareholders based on its profits. The yield is the
dividend expressed as a percentage of the price per share
Reading Stock Tables
Source: Yahoo Finance
Chart This is the information such as price; volume, trade history in a
chart form
Exchange Traded Funds
A security that tracks an index or a basket of assets but trades on an exchange
Usually identified by 3 call letters for the symbol
DIA SPX
SELECTING STOCKS
THINGS TO THINK ABOUT
• NO ONE WAY TO PICK STOCKS!• NO FOOL PROOF FORMULA• COME UP WITH A STRATEGY: A method for picking your
stocks; • Are you interested in a specific industry? Sector?• Don’t put all of your eggs in one basket
“Buy what you know. Stock tips are all around us. You can spot a good stock before Wall Street does.” –Peter Lynch
GIVE AN EXAMPLE OF A STOCK WITH A GROWING MARKET
SELECTING STOCKS
STRATEGIES FOR STOCK SELECTION
1. Go With What You Know: You see companies growing all around you.
2. Markets: Current and future – A project must have customers today and even more tomorrow or it isn’t growing.
3. Economic Cycle: Is the economy
expanding or slowing?
4. Avoid Obvious Risks
5. Selecting Stocks for the Stock Market Game:
STRATEGIES FOR STOCK SELECTION
1. Go With What You Know: You see companies growing all around you.
• What products do you really like? • What is popular among your friends? • Who makes it? • Do you think it will continue to be
popular?
Make Sure To Do Your Homework: know what the company does and how it’s doing financially – look at news; their annual reports
If You Can’t Explain What The Company Does, Then You Shouldn’t Buy It
STRATEGIES FOR STOCK SELECTION
2. Markets: Current and future – A project must have customers today and even more tomorrow or it isn’t growing.
• Does almost everyone own the product the company makes?
• Stocks of a rapidly growing company is more likely to increase in price.
• What are the prospects for the company overseas? Think McDonald’s, Starbucks.
• Demographics also affects current and future markets: Will a large percentage of the population want this product? (ex. Facebook)
STRATEGIES FOR STOCK SELECTION
3. Economic Cycle: Is the economy expanding or slowing?
• How do you think the economy is doing? Is it Growing or slowing?
• GROWING ECONOMY: People who want jobs , have them
• SLOWING ECONOMY: High unemployment; Companies cut back
• EXPANSION: Cyclical stocks in industries like cars, appliances, raw materials like aluminum, steel, cement, tools & equipment offer much higher returns and growth potential
• Recession: stocks in DEFENSIVE industries: medicines, food, clothing, public utilities, etc) generally decline less than stocks in other industries.
STRATEGIES FOR STOCK SELECTION
Avoid Obvious Risks
• Beware of front-page stories
• When a stock or company gets the headline that means everyone else knows about it too
• You may want to stick with boring stocks
• Evaluate Current Industry Conditions: Industries include: transportation, automotive, food and beverage, retail/apparel, health care, entertainment, communication, utilities, financial and others
Do current events affect the businesses in the industry you’d like to invest in?
Will technology innovations affect your industry?
STOCK MARKET GAMEwww.marketwatch.com/game/bpl---adult-investing-2014
pssword: bpl2014
BUYING STOCKS
You buy stocks through a broker
Markets are open from 9:30 to 4pm
Full service or discount broker
Commission: the fee you pay the broker to buy or sell the stock
STOCK SCREENERSUse a stock screener to narrow your selection
http://screener.finance.yahoo.com/stocks.html
HOW TO PLACE AN ORDER
• MARKET ORDER: You buy or sell the stock at its current price
• LIMIT ORDER: you specify the price you will buy or sell the stock price at – when and if the market price reaches your limit-order price, the order is executed
• SELL SHORT: borrow from the the brokerage house and sells to another; Buy To Cover: must buy those shares back at some point in time and return them to the lender.
CREATE A WATCHLISTA way to keep track of stocks/securities you’re interested in
EVALUATING PERFORMANCE
Real Return & Total Return
Real Rate of Return: Subtract inflation from nominal rate of return
Total Return: Actual rate of return. Includes interest, capital gains, dividends and distributions
WHEN TO SELL
Must know when to get out
Fundamentals change:
Dividend is cut
You reach your target price
What Is Your Return?
THE END