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1 Bureau of Labor Statistics Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living Conditions

Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

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Bureau of Labor Statistics 3 IPP Imports of Crude Oil

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Page 1: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

1

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Association of Public Data UsersSeptember 24, 2008

Michael W. HorriganAssociate Commissioner

Office of Prices and Living Conditions

Page 2: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

2

Bureau of Labor Statistics

IPP Imports All Commodities

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 3: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

3

Bureau of Labor Statistics

IPP Imports of Crude Oil

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 4: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

4

Bureau of Labor Statistics

IPP Imports Less Petroleum

0123456789

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 5: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

5

Bureau of Labor Statistics

IPP Exports

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 6: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

6

Bureau of Labor Statistics

IPP Exports Agricultural Commodities

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 7: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

7

Bureau of Labor Statistics

IPP Exports Non-agricultural Commodities

01

23

45

67

8

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 8: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

8

Bureau of Labor Statistics

PPI Crude

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 9: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

9

Bureau of Labor Statistics

PPI Crude Food

-15-10-505101520253035

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 10: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

10

Bureau of Labor Statistics

PPI Crude Energy

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 11: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

11

Bureau of Labor Statistics

PPI Crude Nonfood less Energy

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 12: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

12

Bureau of Labor Statistics

PPI Intermediate

024681012141618

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 13: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

13

Bureau of Labor Statistics

PPI Intermediate Food

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 14: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

14

Bureau of Labor Statistics

PPI Intermediate Energy

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 15: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

15

Bureau of Labor Statistics

PPI Intermediate Core

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 16: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

16

Bureau of Labor Statistics

PPI Finished goods

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 17: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

17

Bureau of Labor Statistics

PPI Finished Consumer Foods

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 18: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

18

Bureau of Labor Statistics

PPI Finished Energy

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 19: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

19

Bureau of Labor Statistics

PPI Finished goods less food and energy

00.5

11.5

22.5

33.5

4

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 20: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

20

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U All Items

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 21: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

21

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Food

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 22: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

22

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Energy

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 23: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

23

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U All Items Less Food and Energy

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 24: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

24

Bureau of Labor Statistics

IPP Exports Wheat

-40-20020406080100120140160

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 25: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

25

Bureau of Labor Statistics

PPI Wheat

-50

0

50

100

150

200

Jan-03

Aug-03

Mar-04

Oct-04

May-05

Dec-05

Jul-06

Feb-07

Sep-07

Apr-08

Page 26: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

26

Bureau of Labor Statistics

IPP Exports Corn

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 27: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

27

Bureau of Labor Statistics

PPI Corn

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Jan-03

Aug-03

Mar-04

Oct-04

May-05

Dec-05

Jul-06

Feb-07

Sep-07

Apr-08

Page 28: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

28

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Food at Home

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

Jan-87

Jan-89

Jan-91

Jan-93

Jan-95

Jan-97

Jan-99

Jan-01

Jan-03

Jan-05

Jan-07

Page 29: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

29

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Food at Home

012345678

Page 30: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

30

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Cereal and Bakery Products

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Page 31: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

31

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Eggs

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

Jan-87

Jan-89

Jan-91

Jan-93

Jan-95

Jan-97

Jan-99

Jan-01

Jan-03

Jan-05

Jan-07

Page 32: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

32

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Eggs

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

Page 33: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

33

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Dairy and Related Products

-4-20246810121416

Page 34: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

34

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Milk

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Page 35: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

35

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Cheese

-4-20246810121416

Page 36: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

36

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Margarine

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Page 37: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

37

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Meats

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Page 38: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

38

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Fresh Whole Chicken

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Page 39: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

39

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Fish and Seafood

0123456789

Page 40: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

40

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Fruits and Vegetables

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Page 41: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

41

Bureau of Labor Statistics

PPI Gasoline

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

Jan-03

Aug-03

Mar-04

Oct-04

May-05

Dec-05

Jul-06

Feb-07

Sep-07

Apr-08

Premium Mid-Grade Regular

Page 42: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

42

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Gasoline

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 43: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

43

Bureau of Labor Statistics

PPI Jet Fuel

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

Jan-03

Aug-03

Mar-04

Oct-04

May-05

Dec-05

Jul-06

Feb-07

Sep-07

Apr-08

Page 44: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

44

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Fuel Oil

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

Jan-87

Jan-89

Jan-91

Jan-93

Jan-95

Jan-97

Jan-99

Jan-01

Jan-03

Jan-05

Jan-07

Page 45: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

45

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Fuel Oil

-20-100102030405060708090

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 46: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

46

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Utility Piped Gas Service

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08

Page 47: Bureau of Labor Statistics 1 Association of Public Data Users September 24, 2008 Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living

47

Bureau of Labor Statistics

CPI-U Electricity

024681012141618

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-05

Oct-05

May-06

Dec-06

Jul-07

Feb-08