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Adaptation solutions for BC and Metro Vancouver
1. What do adaptation
measures look like?
• already happening
• future solutions
2. Resilience
3. Low-carbon attractive
resilient communities
Heat mapping data: Natural Resources Canada
Visualization, John Danahy, U of Toronto
Adaptation
to higher
temperatures
• Technological Solutions: – Better insulated buildings
– Reflective roads/walls
– Built in cooling systems (not AC!)
• Administrative Solutions – Weather warning systems
– Encourage tree planting
– Heat-waves plan for vulnerable
• Personal Behavioural Solutions – Maintain hydration
– Wear less formal clothing
– Change working hours
– Enjoy it!
Courtesy of Chris West, UKCIP
Risk of debris flooding
Increase through MPB
desease
Climate Change:
Increase of winter
precipitation
Kimberley: Fire, flooding, and heat risks
Visualization: Olaf Schroth/Courtney Miller, CALP
June 9, 2009 Community Open House
Kimberley Climate Adaptation Project Visualization Presentation
Adaptation and
Mitigation:
Resilient low-carbon
options
Image credit: Miller/Muir
Owen/Pond/CALP
Adapting to What?
NORTHSHORE VULNERABILITY TO
CLIMATE CHANGE
• High elevations, steep slopes
• Sensitive recreation and water
resources
• High rainfall
• Extensive forest areas
• Fragile salmon habitat/riparian ecosystems
• Critical stream flows and high run-off
• Low-lying shoreline areas
Recognizing Local Adaptation
6
ADAPTATION SOLUTIONS
Stormwater swale, 15th Street, West Vancouver
West Vancouver’s climate
change planning:
• Beach adaptation
(& ocean heat exchange)
8 Photos: Stephen Jenkins, District of West Vancouver
Current
Visualizations: David Flanders, CALP
2050
2100
2100
2100
How to Adapt?
Assessing 3 scenarios:
Hold the Line
Managed Retreat
Build Up
Delta Regional Adaptation Collaborative (RAC) Policy Report
(Barron et al., 2012)
Hold the line – 1.2m
Hold the line – 1.9m
Build Up
Ladner Dike View
1.2 m Sea Level Rise, Year ~2100
Value of Land & Buildings Agricultural Land Area Road & Dike Length
Build Up
Resilience – ability to absorb disturbances while retaining
the same basic structure and ways of
functioning; capacity to adapt.
Credit: Megan Voigt, UBC Landscape Architecture
Adaptation to crop suitability
Source: Royal BC Museum/Richard Hebda
Developed by Professor Nicholas Coops and Rory Tooke, UBC
for District of North Vancouver
Online interactive maps of solar roof potential
Northshore storyline: a high-carbon, high-risk aesthetic Existing
Housing
Mosquito
Creek
Grouse
Mountain
Mosquito Creek
High Risk of Blow
Down
Mod- High Forest Fuel Potential
Visualizations: David Flanders, CALP
2050
LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED AND
ERODED; BURNT AREAS
(SHOWN IN HIGHER FIRE RISK AREAS); NEW HOUSING AT HIGHER RISK
Expansion of homes at higher elevations
Burnt areas
Kelowna, 2004
Renewable Energy Capacity Mapping
Example: Northshore biomass and micro-hydro
23
Low-carbon, Attractive, Resilient Communities
High-carbon, nondescript, vulnerable communities
Visualizations: David Flanders, CALP
Lo-CAR sustainability:
1. Low-Carbon
– 80% reductions of GHG emissions by 2050
– Hard target
2. Attractive/acceptable/‘awesome’ – Sense of identity, character/fit, and quality of life
3. Resilient
– Adapt to climate disruption, high energy prices,
etc., while maintaining core functions
Visualization: Jon Laurenz, CALP
Local food market
Live / work development
60% reduction in home energy consumption
Multifamily suites
Community gardening
Electric commuter
vehicles
Smaller, efficient cars
Increased public transit
Stormwater drainage swale Passive solar
conservatory
How much money do we want to spend to
safeguard our community?
Photo: Mark van Manen, Vancouver Sun
Resources:
Earthscan/Routledge book www.routledge.com/books/details/97818440782
02/
Delta RAC website: http://www.delta-adaptation-bc.ca Visualization Training Modules: http://www.delta-adaptation-bc.ca/category/training-modules/
www.calp.forestry.ubc.ca/publications
Visioning Guidance Manual
(Pond et al, 2010)
THINK BIG!
Daylighting the Cheong Gye
Cheon in Seoul, South Korea.
Courtesy of Dr. In-Keun Lee.