63
Can we accumulate stock for free (part 7) How do we select the best stocks, REITS and/or ETFs? Here is some additional information sources for REITS. Here is a brief Earning Survivor Game discussion with process. We will review more potential actions and management considerations. More Earning Survivor Game information. Can we accumulate stock for free?

Can we accumulate stock for freeicrjc/AAIIPHX/Slides12-12LowellSIG.pdf · 2020. 12. 12. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • Can we accumulate stock for free (part 7)

    How do we select the best stocks, REITS and/or ETFs? Here is some additional information sources for REITS. Here is a brief Earning Survivor

    Game discussion with process. We will review more potential actions and management considerations. More Earning Survivor Game

    information. Can we accumulate stock for free?

  • Disclaimer – can’t blame me

    • Disclaimer

    • The opinions expressed on this site or at Chapter events are not necessarily those of AAII or ASU. It is not the policy of AAII or its local chapters, officers or directors, or Phoenix Chapter leaders to promote any specific investments or techniques of analysis. Presentations are provided solely for informational purposes and should not be construed as solicitations. There are no representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, about the completeness, accuracy, reliability, or suitability of meeting information. Investment information presented may not be appropriate for all investors and should be independently verified.

  • Can we accumulate stock for free

    • What is the criteria for the stock?

    • Optionable – must be able to collect premium

    • Would like to have some bullish bias! 3 to 5 year prediction of growth.

    • Price movement both up and down

    • Pattern or something to help with timing

    • Can we enhance premium return without excessive risk?

    • Can we ensure the principle in the stock value at an acceptable cost?

  • Can we accumulate stock for free

    • Gaps with volume increases

    • On Balanced Volume increase

    • Money Flow

    • Range bound break out or break down

    • Power bars

    • Accumulation/Distribution support

    • Relative Strength Comparison

  • Another Disclaimer – Why do we see these often?

  • Go to MapSignals.com for white papers and other information

  • What we would like to see and trust

  • See Map Signals and consider

    • https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/embarrassment-of-riches/

    • Stocks to follow per mapsignals

    https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/embarrassment-of-riches/

  • Larry Williams

  • Nicolas Darvas – Darvas Box

  • Mark Leibovit – Book of Volume

  • Trends, Turtles and others

  • Best of the Best of the Best

    • Examples over time frames• BKNG (former PriceLine (PCLN))

    • SEDG

    • INO

  • PCLN or BKNG – Importance of Timing

  • PCLN or BKNG

  • PCLN or BKNG

  • PCLN or BKNG

  • PCLN or BKNG

  • PCLN or BKNG

  • PCLN or BKNG

  • PCLN or BKNG

  • PCLN or BKNG

  • PCLN or BKNG

  • PCLN or BKNG

  • Can we use anything from PCLN aka BKNG?

    • Accumulation

    • Other indicators on slides

    • Review other stocks and look for conditions and tools

  • SEDG

    • Go to Integrated Investor and walk through charts

  • INO

  • INO

  • ABR – It is a REIT

  • ABR

  • FCEL

  • FCEL

  • Louis Navellier

  • Louis Navellier

  • Louis Navellier

  • MorningStar – ETF screener and information

    • Go to MoneyShow to see the recent videos on ETFs. See Louis Navellier’s presentation with recommendation to use MorningStartool and to never use market orders for ETFs.

    • List out name drop – get comments/names in chat Keith Fitz-Geral(unstoppable_Inevitable_Imminent), Hillary Kramer (Game Changer_At the Leading Edge of the Curve), Gary Anderson (Janus), Tom DeMark, and Robert Prechter

  • Jackie Ann Patterson also presented for the Moneyshow• Jackie Ann Patterson

    • https://divergence-alerts.com/moneyshow/

    • email for slides

    • https://ownmountain.com/products/truth-about-etf-rotation/

    • ETF Excel Spreadsheet

    https://divergence-alerts.com/moneyshow/https://ownmountain.com/products/truth-about-etf-rotation/

  • REITS.Com (https://www.reit.com/)

  • Can we accumulate ETFs for free (JustETF.com) (credit to Glen Neely)

  • Being correct for bullish and bearish stocks/ETFs

  • Our Stock or ETF selection is incomplete – we need a systematic way

  • Earning Survivor – Great Start

  • Earning Survivor, I chose poorly!

  • This was better

  • How do the picks look week three.

  • Stock Selection

    • Still working on the criteria and methodology to find the best stocks for these systems

    • Range Bound – Break out to up side• Turtle, Darvis Box, Other (review past notes)

    • Elliott Wave

    • Neowave

    • Multiple time frame momentum (Stochastic) Robert Miner’s method for high probability trades

    • GAPs and Power Bars

  • Position Sizing – No All Ins

    • Use Position Sizing to keep you in the game and control your risk.

    • Based on the negative experience with GNC, we may need to only use a third of funds allocated to an underlying. This will provide means to change our basis and keep the underlying in cash generation mode without called away lock in loss.

  • Position Sizing – Importance – Stay in the Game• GE discussion

    • GNC discussion

    • INO discussion

    • AQB discussion

    • FCEL discussion

  • Know limits – Forecasts can start right and turn wrong• Difference between trading and forecasting

    • Being right about something but it is not relevant (does not move the price).

    • Difference between trading and forecasting• Being wrong and making money

    • Being right and losing money

  • AQB trade notes

  • FCEL trade notes

  • INO – starts phase 2

  • Survey

    • Survey 1: How would you manage INO, AQB, or FCEL?

    • How do you pick what underlying, what direction, how to trigger the trade, what targets to use and more?

    • Pros

    • Cons

    • StockWhisperer and Dark Pool indicators, Earning (whisper, likefolio, Momentum, Elliott/Neowave and other) ?

  • Earning Survivor – This worked out this week.

  • Earning Survivor

  • Earning Survivor

  • Earning Survivor

  • Earning Survivor

  • Another Trade Around the corner and another earning season. • Trade Notes and Links from SMB

    • How to review trades

    • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sNG2L6qOg48&feature=youtu.be

    • Review tool tradervue

    • https://www.tradervue.com/

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sNG2L6qOg48&feature=youtu.behttps://www.tradervue.com/

  • • CPT (Consistently Profitable Trader)

    • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82WCGwTGLHM

    • You may need to go to youtube to play the above.

    • InvestiQuant

    • https://www.investiquant.com/

    • Blow up video

    • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S1qni2Lqbck

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82WCGwTGLHMhttps://www.investiquant.com/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S1qni2Lqbck

  • When Forecasting and Target Setting

    • Question: Who are you to decide what is the appropriate price of a stock?

    • Who are you to decide what is (over conviction – over convicted in thesis – how do you measure and confirm, how could I be wrong, What is the other side of the trade thinking, what are points of recognition.) Here is how I might be wrong. (might be right but too early – EWI) Point of recognition – If price reaches this level, my thesis is wrong or being challenged successfully.)

    • What is your exit plan? Do you have one?

    • Must know your stop or Risk Level? How are you going to control this risk? (will Position sizing suffice?)

  • Continuous Improvement

    • How can I get a little better in one area of my trading (life) today and if necessary this week.

    • Plan Do Check Act – Repeat process

    • How can I get a little better in one area of my trading (life) today and if necessary this week.

  • Review/mention Neely Video

    • Please be aware of conditions. Be they good or bad. Stay Safe!