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Capital Markets Day 2004
Progress review and forward strategy
Tore Torvund, Executive Vice President2004-12-15
52358_12 2004 • 2 • Hydro Media
Status targets for 2004
CMD 2003 2004 Est.
z Production target 560 000 boe/day 570 000 boe/day
z Production cost NOK 24/boe NOK 22/boe
z F&D cost 1) USD 6/boe
z RRR 1) 120%
z CAPEX-level NOK 12 billion NOK 11 billion
z Exploration level NOK 1 billion NOK 1,3 billion
Under pressure
1) 3 year average, excluding purchase and sale
52358_12 2004 • 3 • Hydro Media
z Exploration and acquisition review
52358_12 2004 • 4 • Hydro Media
Increased predictability and performance
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004*Excluding license acquisition costs
Exploration expenditure*
0 %
20 %
40 %
60 %
80 %
100 %
1999-2003 2004**
Success rates
**Estimate as of 3rd quarter 2004
52358_12 2004 • 5 • Hydro Media
Value creation through acquisitions
z Technical resources added 04
z Angola: Block 4 z GoM: Champlainz GoM: Lorienz NCS: PL 248
z 50 000 boe/day production potential by 2008-10
z Robust profitability
52358_12 2004 • 6 • Hydro Media
z Exploration and acquisition reviewz Building on our competence
52358_12 2004 • 7 • Hydro Media
Strong expertise in the upstream business
E&P value chain
Explore Design Execute Operate
Commercial mindset
52358_12 2004 • 8 • Hydro Media
Revitalizing the benefits of long-term competence focusDiscovering oil-fields is increasingly difficult over time
-
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
No of discoveries
Mbo
e
NorwayAngola DeepwaterGoM Deepwater
Source: IHS
52358_12 2004 • 9 • Hydro Media
Revitalizing the benefits of long-term competence focusNCS: A solid competence basis for internationalization
Mboe recoverable reserves stand alone oil discoveries North Sea since 1990
Total discovered
Hydro participation
Hydro operated
>85%
0200
400600800
1 0001 2001 4001 600
1 8002 000
Total discovered
Hydro participation
Hydro operated
>70%
Source: Source: NPD – except Alvheim – Hydro estimate
52358_12 2004 • 10 • Hydro Media
Revitalizing the benefits of long-term competence focusAngola: Oil discovered in Block 4 - Sonangol P&P as operator
Block 17Block 4
Block 18
Block 34
Block 5
Block 16 Block 3
85 km
• Ambriz
• N´zeto
Luanda
Block 17Block 4
Block 18
Block 34
Block 5
Block 16 Block 3
85 km
• Ambriz
• N´zeto
Block 17 Block 4
Block 18
Block 34
Block 5
Block 16 Block 3
34
3
N
52358_12 2004 • 11 • Hydro Media
Revitalizing the benefits of long-term competence focusGoM: Commercializing valueable acreage acquired at low cost
Block 17
Interesting Hydro acreage
52358_12 2004 • 12 • Hydro Media
Revitalizing the benefits of long-term competence focusNew regions: High potential acreage with limited exposure
52358_12 2004 • 13 • Hydro Media
Transportation over long distances is key to future developments
Oseberg SS Distance: 7 km
52358_12 2004 • 14 • Hydro Media
Transportation over long distances is key to future developments
TOGI Distance: 42 km
52358_12 2004 • 15 • Hydro Media
Transportation over long distances is key to future developments
Ormen Lange Distance: 120 km
52358_12 2004 • 16 • Hydro Media
Transportation over long distances is key to future developments
Штокмановского ГКМ Distance: 555 km
Ormen Lange – On track; a very good start!
File: I:\DATA1\HYDRO (OL)\PROGRESS REPORTING\[ORMEN TOTAL PROGRESS CURVE - REV 3.XLS]TOTAL ORMEN LANGE
WBS 37
Printed: 2004-11-10
Cut-off Date:31 Oct 2004
Oil & EnergyProjects
ORMEN LANGE / LANGELED PROJECTTOTAL ORMEN LANGE / LANGELED PROJECT
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
PRO
GR
ESS
% C
OM
PLET
E
PMS (at MCE)0,0 0,3 0,5 0,9 1,5 2,7 4,0 5,5 7,1 9,4 11,814,416,919,322,025,027,330,334,839,143,547,050,253,456,058,468,885,895,297,799,6100,
Original Sch. 0,0 0,3 0,5 0,9 1,5 2,7 4,0 5,6 7,1 9,5 12,114,717,319,822,525,627,830,935,240,244,247,751,054,256,859,269,486,095,397,999,6100,
Revised Sch. 0,0 0,3 0,5 0,9 1,5 2,7 4,0 5,6 7,3 9,1 12,014,918,020,823,726,529,332,537,542,345,749,653,557,060,062,574,087,795,598,099,6100,
Actual 0,0 0,3 0,5 1,1 2,0 2,8 4,0 5,6 7,0 9,2 11,915,0
Nov 03
Dec 03
Jan 04
Feb 04
Mar 04
Apr 04
May 04
Jun 04
Jul 04
Aug 04
Sep 04
Oct 04
Nov 04
Dec 04
Jan 05
Feb 05
Mar 05
Apr 05
May 05
Jun 05
Jul 05
Aug 05
Sep 05
Oct 05
Nov 05
Dec 05
Apr 06
Aug 06
Dec 06
Apr 07
Aug 07
Dec 07
Scale
change
Progress October
Planned Actual Delta
Well Delivery 10.9 % 11.1 % 0.2 %Offshore Project 17.5 % 17.4 % -0.1 %Onshore Project 8.5 % 8.4 % -0.1 %Total Ormen Lange 11.9 % 11.9 % 0.0 %
Northern Pipeline 8.0 % 8.4 % 0.4 %Sleipner Tie-in 19.4 % 19.8 % 0.4 %Southern Pipeline 33.4 % 34.0 % 0.6 %Landfall & Terminal UK 7.2 % 5.1 % -2.1 %Total Langeled 19.8 % 20.3 % 0.5 %
Total Project 14.9 % 15.0 % 0.1 %
This period
52358_12 2004 • 18 • Hydro Media
Long-term IOR focus and cost efficiency creates sustainable results
Early mover in gas injection
52358_12 2004 • 19 • Hydro Media
Long-term IOR focus and cost efficiency creates sustainable results
Global leader in multilateral wells
52358_12 2004 • 20 • Hydro Media
Long-term IOR focus and cost efficiency creates sustainable results
050
100150200250300350400450
1990-1997
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Mboe accumulatedHydro share (Revision of previous estimates)
Robust bookings of proven reserves
52358_12 2004 • 21 • Hydro Media
Long-term IOR focus and cost efficiency creates sustainable results
Source: McKinsey 2003, operators in Norway and UK
2002
Hydro
0 10 20 30 40 50
Total TQ gap (%)
2002
Hydro
0 10 20 30 40 50
Total TQ gap (%)0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Top quartile (TQ)
2003
Total TQ gap (%)
Hydro
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Top quartile (TQ)
2003
Total TQ gap (%)
Hydro
Hydro
0 10 20 30 40 50
2001
Total TQ gap (%)
Hydro
0 10 20 30 40 50
2001
Total TQ gap (%)
Combined with top quartile cost efficiency
52358_12 2004 • 22 • Hydro Media
Commercial mindset creating value in all parts of the value chain
Block 4 in AngolaOur co-operation with Sonangolyielding results through our jointefforts to commercialise the block 4 discovery
Explore
ShtokmanovskoyePotential role as key partner through long-term focus and technological edge
Design
OL contracts in placeHaving a clear and consistent contracting strategy is key to effective project execution
Execute
Grane – Oseberg blendBlending Grane oil into Oseberg oil increases the value of Granewithout reducing Oseberg
Operate
52358_12 2004 • 23 • Hydro Media
z Exploration and acquisition reviewz Building on our competencez Basis for future production growth
52358_12 2004 • 24 • Hydro Media
Continued strong production growth1 000 boe/day
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004** 2005E 2006E 2007E 2008E
Oil NCS Oil Int Gas 8% CAGR*
8% average annual growth*
*Compound Annual Growth Rate, 2001 baseline**2004 numbers as communicated on Capital Markets Day 2003
52358_12 2004 • 25 • Hydro Media
Hydro share boe/day
Development PDO submittal Start production�
�
Dalia 22 000
Njord gas phase 7 500Oseberg East drilling solutions 6 500
Norne Satellites 7 000
Kharyaga 10 000
Murzuq
Rosa
Ormen LangeOseberg VestflankenOseberg South J
Visund gas phase
Kvitebjørn
Kristin
5 000 (A+D
fields)13 000
70 00014 000
7 000
18 000
25 000
28 0002001
��
�
�
��
�
�
�
�
NC
S no
n-op
erat
orN
CS
oper
ator
Inte
rnat
iona
l
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
�
�
��
� �
�
New fields on stream 2004 – 2007
�
�
�
�
�
52358_12 2004 • 26 • Hydro Media
Strong production growth based on attractive project portfolioOil price giving 10% real rate of return post tax**
Brent USD/bbl
0 5 10 15 20 25
Skinfaks/RimfaksÅsgard Q-project
Norne SatellitesAngola - Rosa
Libya - Great MabrukLibya - B-field
Njord Gas ExportOseberg S J
Vilje*Oseberg S J C
Tune Phase 2Troll
Oseberg EOseberg
NjordOseberg S
*PDO not submitted** Calculations made based on USD/NOK exchange rate 8
Operator IOR NCSOperator NCSInternationalPartner operated NCS
52358_12 2004 • 27 • Hydro Media
z Exploration and acquisition reviewz Building on our competencez Basis for future production growthz Production growth beyond 2008
52358_12 2004 • 28 • Hydro Media
Sources of longer term production growth
Existing portfolio
Develop assets in portfolioIncrease oil/gas recovery
ExplorationImproved predictabilityIncreased focus
Acquiring resourcesResults emergingCapital discipline
Illustrative levels1000 boe/day
Short Medium Long
Existing
Exploration
Acquiringresources
52358_12 2004 • 29 • Hydro Media
NCS Existing portfolio:Main operated core area
Troll
Oseberg Sør
Brage
OsebergOseberg ØstVestflanken
Tune
Fram
Bergen
StureKollsnes
Haugesund
Grane
Heimdal
Vale
Hild
Veslefrikk
Huldra
Friggområdet
Odin
Nordøst FriggFrigg
Øst Frigg
Frøy
ByggveSkirne
Peik
Jotun
Hild
Veslefrikk
Huldra
Friggområdet
Odin
Nordøst FriggFrigg
Øst Frigg
Frøy
ByggveSkirne
Peik
Jotun
52358_12 2004 • 30 • Hydro Media
NCS Existing portfolio:Main operated core area
Troll
Oseberg Sør
Brage
OsebergOseberg ØstVestflanken
Tune
Fram
Bergen
StureKollsnes
Haugesund
Grane
Heimdal
Vale
Hild
Veslefrikk
Huldra
Friggområdet
Odin
Nordøst FriggFrigg
Øst Frigg
Frøy
ByggveSkirne
Peik
Jotun
Hild
Veslefrikk
Huldra
Friggområdet
Odin
Nordøst FriggFrigg
Øst Frigg
Frøy
ByggveSkirne
Peik
Jotun
0
2
4
6
8
10
2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018
Increased gas export Oseberg
BCM gas export from Oseberg
52358_12 2004 • 31 • Hydro Media
NCS Existing portfolio:Main operated core area
Troll
Oseberg Sør
Brage
OsebergOseberg ØstVestflanken
Tune
Fram
Bergen
StureKollsnes
Haugesund
Grane
Heimdal
Vale
Hild
Veslefrikk
Huldra
Friggområdet
Odin
Nordøst FriggFrigg
Øst Frigg
Frøy
ByggveSkirne
Peik
Jotun
Hild
Veslefrikk
Huldra
Friggområdet
Odin
Nordøst FriggFrigg
Øst Frigg
Frøy
ByggveSkirne
Peik
Jotun
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Significant IOR potential remaining
Oseberg EOseberg Oseberg S Brage
Remaining mobile hydrocarbons Mboe Hydro share in fields
52358_12 2004 • 32 • Hydro Media
NCS Existing portfolio:Main operated core area
Troll
Oseberg Sør
Brage
OsebergOseberg ØstVestflanken
Tune
Fram
Bergen
StureKollsnes
Haugesund
Grane
Heimdal
Vale
Hild
Veslefrikk
Huldra
Friggområdet
Odin
Nordøst FriggFrigg
Øst Frigg
Frøy
ByggveSkirne
Peik
Jotun
Hild
Veslefrikk
Huldra
Friggområdet
Odin
Nordøst FriggFrigg
Øst Frigg
Frøy
ByggveSkirne
Peik
Jotun
Several development projects going forward
5 km5 km
Oseberg South
Oseberg
G-Central
West-flank
S1N1
J-Structure
Tune phase 2
Tune phase 3 Delta
52358_12 2004 • 33 • Hydro Media
NCS Existing portfolio:Main operated core area
Troll
Oseberg Sør
Brage
OsebergOseberg ØstVestflanken
Tune
Fram
Bergen
StureKollsnes
Haugesund
Grane
Heimdal
Vale
Hild
Veslefrikk
Huldra
Friggområdet
Odin
Nordøst FriggFrigg
Øst Frigg
Frøy
ByggveSkirne
Peik
Jotun
Hild
Veslefrikk
Huldra
Friggområdet
Odin
Nordøst FriggFrigg
Øst Frigg
Frøy
ByggveSkirne
Peik
Jotun
Significant near infrastructure led exploration potential identified
Brage
Troll
Oseberg C
Oseberg Sør J Structure
K Structure
Tune
Oseberg Øst
Oseberg Field Centre
BrageBrage
Troll
Oseberg C
Oseberg Sør J Structure
K Structure
Tune
Oseberg Øst
Oseberg Field Centre
52358_12 2004 • 34 • Hydro Media
NCS Exploration:High risk/reward potential going forward
z Several high potential/high risk wells from north to south
z High equity
z Testing different plays and areas
z 5 to 10 wells in 2005-2007
52358_12 2004 • 35 • Hydro Media
Canada:Mature area opportunities in highly profitable portfolio
Existing portfolioHibernia and Terra Nova optimizationHebron development solution
ExplorationNear infrastructure led explorationMature current licence portfolioAssess risk/volume in immature basins
Acquiring resourcesIncrease technical resources in the Grand Banks area
52358_12 2004 • 36 • Hydro Media
Angola:Diversified opportunities in profitable growth portfolio
Existing portfolioGirassol and Jasmim optimizationsDalia/Rosa development projects 3rd production hub selection
ExplorationCommercialize Block 4 discoveryAlternative potential in Block 34New opportunities with Sonangol P&PSignificant mid-sized prospect potential
Acquiring resourcesAdditional opportunities based on proven reserves
Dalia FPSO
52358_12 2004 • 37 • Hydro Media
Russia:Legacy asset opportunities through long-term commitment
Existing portfolioFurther development of Kharyaga
ExplorationPursuing business opportunities
Acquiring resourcesCo-operation with Gazprom on thedevelopment concept for theShtokman field
52358_12 2004 • 38 • Hydro Media
Libya:Existing exploration potential in long-term core area
Existing portfolioMabruk developmentsMurzuq developments
ExplorationCo-operation with Wintershall Upcoming EPSA IV exploration rounds
Acquiring resourcesActively pursuing additional value creating growth opportunities
52358_12 2004 • 39 • Hydro Media
Iran:Exploring for oil in key petroleum province
Exisiting portfolioNo assets under development or in production as of yet
ExplorationAzar well with positive progress Khoramabad contract bid submitted
Acquiring resourcesYadavaran bid submitted
Azar Well
Anaran drilling rig
52358_12 2004 • 40 • Hydro Media
Gulf of Mexico:Commercial mindset and deep-water competence
Existing portfolioLorien developmentChamplain evaluations
ExplorationSuccessful lease salesOperator of 21 blocksHigh grade acreage for drilling
Acquiring resourcesActively pursing additional value creating growth opportunities
Champlain Lorien
52358_12 2004 • 41 • Hydro Media
z Exploration and acquisition reviewz Building on our competencez Basis for future production growthz Production growth beyond 2008z Downstream positioning for upstream growth
52358_12 2004 • 42 • Hydro Media
Becoming a key gas supplier for Europe
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023
bcm
Norway Other ProductionContracted Assumed prolongationsDemand
Source: Global Insight Supply and Demand Report June 2004, MPE Facts 2004* Demand in 22 European countries. Excludes Turkey, FSU and Balkan.
Europe* -Gas supply and demand
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025bc
m
Production Demand
UK Gas production and demand
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023
bcm
Norway Other ProductionContracted Assumed prolongationsDemand
Source: Global Insight Supply and Demand Report June 2004, MPE Facts 2004* Demand in 22 European countries. Excludes Turkey, FSU and Balkan.
Europe* -Gas supply and demand
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025bc
m
Production Demand
UK Gas production and demand Strong long term demand for gas
52358_12 2004 • 43 • Hydro Media
Becoming a key gas supplier for Europe
Market prices for equity gas are looking strong
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 20080
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
NBP German import**
USD/ MMbtu p/th
Note: German import price estimateSources: Argus 19 Nov 2004; GO and LSFO forwards 19 Nov 2004
Forward prices gas
Ormen Lange cost to UK
52358_12 2004 • 44 • Hydro Media
Becoming a key gas supplier for Europe
Piped gas to Europe is competitive in the future
0,00 0,50 1,00 1,50 2,00 2,50 3,00 3,50
Qatargas 2 (LNG)
West of Shetlands
Yamal-Nenets
Algeria LNG
Ormen Lange
Norway CNS*
$/mmbtu
Source: Wood Mackenzie (November 2002); Hydro
*New Norway Central North Sea
Cost of Gas delivered to NBP (UK)
52358_12 2004 • 45 • Hydro Media
Becoming a key gas supplier for Europe
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Hydro
Statoil
BHPB
Repsol
Shell
BP
Eni
BG
Total
ChevronTexaco
Occidential
ConocoPhillips
ExxonMobil
Amerada Hess
PetroCanada
Marathon
Reserve life (years)
Source: Deutsche Bank, Major Oils 2004
Hydro’s gas position is the strongest among peers
52358_12 2004 • 46 • Hydro Media
Becoming a key gas supplier for Europe
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
bcm
Strong growth in equity gas production
Existing long term commitments(expected take) and uncommitted volumes
52358_12 2004 • 47 • Hydro Media
Becoming a key gas supplier for Europe
Strong positions in infrastructure gives high flexibility
NCS
Emden
Dunkirk
Bacton
St.Fergus
Zeebrügge
NCS
Emden
Dunkirk
Bacton
St.Fergus
Zeebrügge
NCS
Emden
Dunkirk
Bacton
St.Fergus
Zeebrügge
NCS
Emden
Dunkirk
Bacton
St.Fergus
Zeebrügge
52358_12 2004 • 48 • Hydro Media
Becoming a key gas supplier for Europe
Marketing system in place for sale of uncommitted volumes
50% 50%
35% 65%
52358_12 2004 • 49 • Hydro Media
z Exploration and acquisition reviewz Building on our competencez Basis for future production growthz Production growth beyond 2008z New energy focus
52358_12 2004 • 50 • Hydro Media
Drivers for the development of new energy
Global CO2 emissions
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
2002 2030
Oil Gas Coal
+ 62%
Source: IEA, World Energy Oulook 2004
Environment
MtOil production
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2002 2030
OPEC M.-East OPEC OtherNON OECD OECDUnconventional oil Processing gains
Security of supply
+ 83%
Mbbl/d
52358_12 2004 • 51 • Hydro Media
Hydros focus on new sources of energy
52358_12 2004 • 52 • Hydro Media
Main messages
z Performing on key operational targets for 2004
z Delivering results from our revised exploration and acquisition strategy
z Extending our 8% growth target through 2008
z Maintaining capital discipline in positive but aggressive markets
z Setting ambitious targets for the future
52358_12 2004 • 53 • Hydro Media
Targets for 2005
z Production target 575 000 boe/day
z Production costs NOK 24/boe
z CAPEX-level NOK 16 billion
z Exploration level NOK 2 billion
52358_12 2004 • 54 • Hydro Media
Forward-looking statements/use of non-GAAP financial measures
In order to utilize the “safe harbor” provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Hydro is providing the following cautionary statement: This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to the financial condition, results of operations and business of the Company and certain of the plans and objectives of the Company with respect to these items. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. The actual results and developments may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements due to any number of different factors. These factors include, but are not limited to, changes in costs and prices, changes in economic conditions, and changes in demand for the Company's products. Additional information, including information on factors which may affect Hydro'sbusiness, is contained in the Company's 2003 Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
With respect to each non-GAAP financial measure Hydro uses in connection with its financial reporting and other public communications, Hydro provides a presentation of what Hydro believes to be the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure and a reconciliation between the non-GAAP and GAAP measures. This information can be found in Hydro’s earnings press releases, quarterly reports and other written communications, all of which have been posted to Hydro’s website (www.hydro.com).
52358_12 2004 • 55 • Hydro Media
Hydro is a Fortune 500 energy and aluminium supplier founded in 1905, with 36,000 employees in nearly 40 countries. We are a leading offshore producer of oil and gas, the world's third-largest integrated aluminium supplier and a pioneer in renewable energy and energy-efficient solutions. As we look forward to our next 100 years, we celebrate a century of creating value by strengthening the viability of the customers and communities we serve
Eivind Reiten, President and CEO2004-12-15
Capital Markets Day 2004
52358_1 12 2004 • 2 • Hydro Media
Adapting to a volatile business climate
USD/tonne USD/bbl
Aluminium price Oil price
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 20051000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005
52358_1 12 2004 • 3 • Hydro Media
Adjusted hurdle rates
z Oil & Energy USD 25 per barrelz Aluminium USD 1500 per tonnez USD/NOK 7
z Robustness test USD 20 per barrel USD 1400 per tonne
52358_1 12 2004 • 4 • Hydro Media
Consistently delivering profitable growth
0
250
500
750
1998 2003 2008E0
500
1000
1500
2000
1998 2003 2009E
Oil and gas production Aluminium production1 000 boe/day 1 000 tonnes
52358_1 12 2004 • 5 • Hydro Media
Strong financial performance
31.7
38.6
23.4
29.3
37.9
33.4
33.8
2001 2002 2003 2004
Actual Normalized Actual Jan-Sep
Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations
EBITDA – NOK billion
52358_1 12 2004 • 6 • Hydro Media
4.6%
6.3% 6.0%
7.5-8.5%
2001 2002 2003 2006
Normalized Target range (normalized)
Targeting improved returns
z Volumesz Fixed costsz Margins
Continuing operations
Normalized ROACE
52358_1 12 2004 • 7 • Hydro Media
0% 100% 200%
Royal DutchChevron Texaco
ExxonMobilBP
Shell
BGAlcoaAlcanTotal
Hydro
Delivering shareholder value
Source: Datastream Dec 8, 2004
Total shareholder return since Dec 31, 1998
New York Stock Exchange, USD
52358_1 12 2004 • 8 • Hydro Media
Energy and aluminium - two strategic industries
z Global industriesz Increasing demand for energyz Positive growth outlook for aluminium
52358_1 12 2004 • 9 • Hydro Media
Developing our oil and energy business
z Revised international strategy bearing fruitz Stepping up exploration activityz Increasing recovery from existing assetsz Leveraging our strong gas positionz Continuing cost-effective operationsz Preparing for the future in renewables and hydrogen
52358_1 12 2004 • 10 • Hydro Media
New international projects
z Lorienz Champlainz Angola Block 4
52358_1 12 2004 • 11 • Hydro Media
Leading the way in aluminium
z Developing next-generation primary capacity - location and sizez Attacking the existing cost basez Selective growth downstream
52358_1 12 2004 • 12 • Hydro Media
z Giant smelter with optimal locationz Leveraging Hydro’s core competencies
z Electricityz Large scale project executionz Technology and global market position
z Building on 35 years of cooperation in Qatar
World-class aluminium project agreed
52358_1 12 2004 • 13 • Hydro Media
Building on competitive strengths
52358_1 12 2004 • 14 • Hydro Media
In order to utilize the “safe harbor” provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Hydro is providing the following cautionary statement: This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to the financial condition, results of operations and business of the Company and certain of the plans and objectives of the Company with respect to these items. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. The actual results and developments may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements due to any number of different factors. These factors include, but are not limited to, changes in costs and prices, changes in economic conditions, and changes in demand for the Company's products. Additional information, including information on factors which may affect Hydro'sbusiness, is contained in the Company's 2003 Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
With respect to each non-GAAP financial measure Hydro uses in connection with its financial reporting and other public communications, Hydro provides a presentation of what Hydro believes to be the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure and a reconciliation between the non-GAAP and GAAP measures. This information can be found in Hydro’s earnings press releases, quarterly reports and other written communications, all of which have been posted to Hydro’s website (www.hydro.com).
Forward-looking statements/use of non-GAAP financial measures
52358_1 12 2004 • 15 • Hydro Media
Hydro is a Fortune 500 energy and aluminium supplier founded in 1905, with 36,000 employees in nearly 40 countries. We are a leading offshore producer of oil and gas, the world's third-largest integrated aluminium supplier and a pioneer in renewable energy and energy-efficient solutions. As we look forward to our next 100 years, we celebrate a century of creating value by strengthening the viability of the customers and communities we serve
John Ottestad, Executive Vice President and CFO2004-12-15
Capital Markets Day 2004
Financial perspective
52358_2 12 2004 • 2 Hydro Media
Financial perspective
z Strong operational performance
z Strong financial position
z Robust and profitable investment portfolio
z Competitive shareholder returns
52358_2 12 2004 • 3 Hydro Media
Positive development in earnings
33.4 31.7
38.6 37.9
2001 2002 2003 2004
Actual Actual Jan-Sep
Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operationsJan-Sep
EBITDA – NOK billion
52358_2 12 2004 • 4 Hydro Media
Improvement driven by internal factors
33.4 31.7
38.6
23.4
29.3
33.8
37.9
2001 2002 2003 2004
Actual Normalized Actual Jan-Sep
z Normalization assumptions- Oil price $25- Aluminium price $1500- USD/NOK 7- EUR/NOK 8
z Restructuring charges and gain/loss on divestments are eliminated from normalized figures
z Volumes and margins are not normalized
Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations
EBITDA – NOK billion
Jan-Sep
52358_2 12 2004 • 5 Hydro Media
Delivering volume growth
272
339
413 421480
530570
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004E
Petroleum production Primary aluminium production
Slovalco consolidated from 2004
736 746 762 785
1 253
1 4731 600
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004E
1000 boe/day 1000 tonnes
52358_2 12 2004 • 6 Hydro Media
1 000
1 600
2 350
2 800
4Q02 2Q03 4Q03 2004E
AluminiumMagnesium
Delivering cost reductions
24.122.6
20.7 20.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 Jan-Sep
Petroleum production cost Aluminium improvementsNOK/boe NOK million
52358_2 12 2004 • 7 Hydro Media
Delivering profitable projects
z Attractive project portfolio- Meeting high return requirements
z Excellent project execution - A key value driver- Basis for future profitability- Important for access
to new opportunities
z Strong track record- All recent projects completed
within time and capex frames
13.8 13.915.5 15.9 15.8
18-19
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004E
Investments for continuing operations, excluding major acquisitions and effects of changes in accounting principles.
Capital expenditureNOK billion
52358_2 12 2004 • 8 Hydro Media
2.7%
0.9%
4.7%
2.8%4.1%
5.9%
2001 2002 2003 2004
Actual Normalized Actual Jan-Sep
13.1%
11.6%
16.2%
11.0%
8.9%8.1%
14.5%
2001 2002 2003 2004
Actual Normalized Actual Jan-Sep
Improving capital efficiencyReturn On Average Capital Employed – business areas
Oil & Energy Aluminium
Jan-Sep Jan-Sep
52358_2 12 2004 • 9 Hydro Media
Improving capital efficiency
8.4%
7.2%7.5%
4.6%
6.3% 6.0%
9.5%
2001 2002 2003 2004
Actual Normalized Actual Jan-Sep
Return On Average Capital Employed – group level
Continuing operationsJan-Sep
52358_2 12 2004 • 10 Hydro Media
4.6%
6.3% 6.0%
7.5-8.5%
2001 2002 2003 2006
Normalized Target range (normalized)
Targeting improved returns
z Volumesz Fixed costsz Margins
Continuing operations
Normalized ROACE
52358_2 12 2004 • 11 Hydro Media
Strong EUR and NOK a challenge
z Relative cost position impaired for European smelters
- Main trigger for write-down of German smelters
z Negative margin impact for European downstream operations
z Not subject to normalization:- Downstream margins- Translation of USD based earnings
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
EUR/USD since 1999
Weakened competitiveness of European operations
52358_2 12 2004 • 12 Hydro Media
Indicative price and currency sensitivities 2005
1 NOK3,7109,750USD before financial items
1 NOK(1,705)(3,100)USD financial items 2)
2,005
1,9601,750
310560
After tax
1 NOK6,650USD Net income
1 NOK1 NOK
7,2502,500
USD Oil & EnergyUSD Aluminium
1 USD100 USD
1,150800
Oil price per barrelAluminium price per tonne
ChangeBefore taxNOK million
1)
Based on 2004 prices and currency
1) Based on average 2004 prices and expected business volumes for 2005: Oil 38 USD/bbl, Aluminium 1,700 USD/tonne and NOK/USD 6.52) USD sensitivity calculated based on long-term debt denominated in USD and net USD amounts sold forward on long-term forward currency
contracts. Cash positions denominated in USD, short-term debt denominated in USD and net USD amounts sold forward on short-term forward currency contracts are excluded.
52358_2 12 2004 • 13 Hydro Media
Financial perspective
z Strong operational performance
z Strong financial position
z Robust and profitable investment portfolio
z Competitive shareholder returns
52358_2 12 2004 • 14 Hydro Media
Sources and uses of cash
NOK billion
2002 2004Jan-Sep
2003
* Net cash from discontinued operations (Agri) included
0
10
20
30
40
Sources Uses Sources Uses Sources Uses
DividendsBuybackDebt (net)AcquisitionsInvestmentsDisposals*Operations
52358_2 12 2004 • 15 Hydro Media
Strong financial position
0.67
0.44
0.34
0.60
0.38
0.12
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004Q3
z Maintain current credit rating - S&P: A- Moodys: A2
z Secure financial preparedness for potential strategic opportunities
z Strong balance sheet allows for variance in earnings due to cyclicality
Î Target debt/equity ratio 0.5
Debt/equity ratio
52358_2 12 2004 • 16 Hydro Media
Financial perspective
z Strong operational performance
z Strong financial position
z Robust and profitable investment portfolio
z Competitive shareholder returns
52358_2 12 2004 • 17 Hydro Media
Capital and exploration expenditure
20 20
24
2004 plan 2004 estimate 2005 plan
Oil & Energy Exploration Aluminium Other
NOK billion
Continuing operations
52358_2 12 2004 • 18 Hydro Media
Oil & Energy growth from attractive projects
z Generating above 10% IRR after tax at USD 16/bbl- Grane- Kvitebjørn- Kristin- Dalia
z All Hydro-operated projects on time and costz Ormen Lange – the next step
52358_2 12 2004 • 19 Hydro Media
Aluminium growth from attractive projects
z Generating above 10% IRR after tax at USD 1400/tonne- Sunndal- Alouette- Alunorte
z All projects on time and costz Qatar – the next step
52358_2 12 2004 • 20 Hydro Media
Investment criteria
z Strategic fit
z Hurdle rate 10% real IRR after tax
z Mid-cycle price assumptions- Oil $25 per barrel- Aluminium $1500 per tonne- USD/NOK 7- Aligned with business
planning assumptions
z Testing robustness at $20 / $1400
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
HurdleAverageForwardHistorical
Oil price
USD-04/bbl
Capital discipline – basis for future profits
52358_2 12 2004 • 21 Hydro Media
Investment criteria
z Strategic fit
z Hurdle rate 10% real IRR after tax
z Mid-cycle price assumptions- Oil $25 per barrel- Aluminium $1500 per tonne- USD/NOK 7- Aligned with business
planning assumptions
z Testing robustness at $20 / $1400
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
2 000
2 200
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
HurdleAverageForwardHistorical
Aluminium price
USD-04/tonne
Capital discipline – basis for future profits
52358_2 12 2004 • 22 Hydro Media
Investment criteria
z Strategic fit
z Hurdle rate 10% real IRR after tax
z Mid-cycle price assumptions- Oil $25 per barrel- Aluminium $1500 per tonne- USD/NOK 7- Aligned with business
planning assumptions
z Testing robustness at $20 / $1400
5
6
7
8
9
10
1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010
HistoricalAverageHurdle
USD/NOK
Capital discipline – basis for future profits
52358_2 12 2004 • 23 Hydro Media
Financial perspective
z Strong operational performance
z Strong financial position
z Robust and profitable investment portfolio
z Competitive shareholder returns
52358_2 12 2004 • 24 Hydro Media
NOK
7.07.5 7.5
8.0
9.510.0
10.511.0
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Dividend policy
z A steady development in line with the growth in the company’s results
Dividend per share
52358_2 12 2004 • 25 Hydro Media
Dividend policy
z A steady development in line with the growth in the company’s results
z 30% payout ratio over time
26%33%
46%
58%
18%
33% 31%27%
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
1 year 5 years Target 30%
Payout ratio
52358_2 12 2004 • 26 Hydro Media
Dividend policy
z A steady development in line with the growth in the company’s results
z 30% payout ratio over time
z Buyback of shares – a supplement when high earnings
- New authorization of 10 million shares approved 1 December
NOK million
1604 1718 17182094
2470 2576 2711 2811
1599
763
1155555
1684
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Dividend Buyback
Buyback and dividend
52358_2 12 2004 • 27 Hydro Media
Dividend policy
33%
46%
58%
18%
33% 31%27% 27%
43%
26%8%
6% 14%
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Dividend Buyback 5 years
z A steady development in line with the growth in the company’s results
z 30% payout ratio over time
z Buyback of shares – a supplement when high earnings
- New authorization of 10 million shares approved 1 December
52358_2 12 2004 • 28 Hydro Media
-50% 0% 50% 100% 150%
Alcoa
RoyalDutch
BP
Shell
Alcan
ExxonMobil
ChevTex
BG
Total
Hydro
Competitive shareholder returns
-20% 0% 20% 40% 60%
AlcoaAlcan
RoyalDutchShell
ExxonMobil
TotalChevTex
BPBG
StatoilHydro
Source: Datastream 8 Dec 2004
TSR since December 31, 2003 TSR since December 31, 1999
New York Stock Exchange, USD
52358_2 12 2004 • 29 Hydro Media
z Relentless focus on performance
z Profitable growth
z Continued capital discipline
z Competitive shareholder returns
Financial prioritiesContinue delivering shareholder value
52358_2 12 2004 • 30 Hydro Media
Additional information
52358_2 12 2004 • 31 Hydro Media
Indicative price and currency sensitivities 2005
1 NOK2,9307,100USD before financial items
1 NOK(1,705)(3,100)USD financial items 3)
1,225
1,2851,645
380665
After tax
1 NOK4,000USD net income
1 NOK1 NOK
4,7502,350
USD Oil & EnergyUSD Aluminium 2)
1 USD100 USD
1,400950
Oil price per barrelAluminium price per tonne 2)
ChangeBefore taxNOK million
1) Based on normalized prices and expected business volumes for 2005: Oil 25 USD/bbl, Aluminium 1,500 USD/tonne and NOK/USD 7.02) Does not include effects of Aluminium’s strategic hedging program. For 2005 Aluminium has sold forward approx. 109,000 tonnes of
aluminium at an average LME price of approx. 1,510 USD/tonne. Additionally Aluminium has sold forward approx. USD 165,000 million at an average NOK/USD exchange rate of approx. 9.3
3) USD sensitivity calculated based on long-term debt denominated in USD and net USD amounts sold forward on long-term forward currency contracts. Cash positions denominated in USD, short-term debt denominated in USD and net USD amounts sold forward on short-term forward currency contracts are excluded.
1)
Based on normalized prices and currency
52358_2 12 2004 • 32 Hydro Media
Development of Capital EmployedPortfolio dramatically changed last 5 years
0
50
100
150
200
1998 Capex M&A Asset sales Yara Depreciation Other 2004 Q3
52358_2 12 2004 • 33 Hydro Media
Financial solidity – calculation
81 73483 23672 11473 90773 07262 735Adjusted shareholders’ equity and minority[Q]=[N]+ [O]+[P]
84 80088 08075 86774 79371 22659 497Shareholders' equity[P]
(4 858)(5 504) (4 896) (1 937) 4271 915Equity adjustment off-balance sheet pension liabilities[N]=[L]+[M]
1 7926601 1431 0511 4191 323Minority interest[O]
2 0822 3582 098830(183)(821)Expected income tax benefit 30%[M]
(6 940)(7 862) (6 994) (2 767) 6102 736Net pension liabilities not recognized without equity effect[L]
(3 617)(4 916)(4 924)(5 072)(6 469)(4 728)Operating lease commitments discounted at 10%[J]
(9 966)(31 846)(43 552)(25 272)(31 891)(41 914)Adjusted net interest-bearing debt[K]=[F]+[I]+[J]
[R]=[K]/[Q]
[I]=[G]+[H]
[H]
[G]
[F]=[A]+[B]+[C]+[D]+[E]
[E]
[D]
[C]
[B]
[A]
0.120.380.600.340.440.67Adjusted debt / equity ratio
(7 635)(8 381)(7 075)(1 493)1 7933 341Net pension liabilities tax adjusted
3 2723 5923 032640(768)(1 432)Expected income tax benefit 30%
(10 907)(11 973)(10 107)(2 133)2 5614 772Net pension liabilities at fair value
1 286(18 549)(31 554)(18 708)(27 215)(40 526)Net interest-bearing debt
(26 718)(28 568)(30 902)(37 853)(40 174)(42 228)Long-term debt
(549)(1 242)(1 958)(1 966)(2 209)(907)Current portion of long-term debt
(3 326)(5 569)(7 306)(8 458)(9 088)(7 361)Bank loans and other interest-bearing short-term debt
1 6321 5812 6472 4212 4902 535Other liquid assets
30 24615 2495 96527 14821 7667 435Cash and cash equivalents
30September
2004
31 December
2003
31 December
2002
31 December
2001
31 December
2000
31 December
1999Amounts in NOK million
52358_2 12 2004 • 34 Hydro Media
In order to utilize the “safe harbor” provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Hydro is providing the following cautionary statement: This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to the financial condition, results of operations and business of the Company and certain of the plans and objectives of the Company with respect to these items. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. The actual results and developments may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements due to any number of different factors. These factors include, but are not limited to, changes in costs and prices, changes in economic conditions, and changes in demand for the Company's products. Additional information, including information on factors which may affect Hydro'sbusiness, is contained in the Company's 2003 Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
With respect to each non-GAAP financial measure Hydro uses in connection with its financial reporting and other public communications, Hydro provides a presentation of what Hydro believes to be the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure and a reconciliation between the non-GAAP and GAAP measures. This information can be found in Hydro’s earnings press releases, quarterly reports and other written communications, all of which have been posted to Hydro’s website (www.hydro.com).
Forward-looking statements/use of non-GAAP financial measures
52358_2 12 2004 • 35 Hydro Media
Hydro is a Fortune 500 energy and aluminium supplier founded in 1905, with 36,000 employees in nearly 40 countries. We are a leading offshore producer of oil and gas, the world's third-largest integrated aluminium supplier and a pioneer in renewable energy and energy-efficient solutions. As we look forward to our next 100 years, we celebrate a century of creating value by strengthening the viability of the customers and communities we serve
Jon-Harald Nilsen, Executive Vice President2004-12-15
Capital Markets Day 2004
Progress in Aluminium
52358_3 12 2004 • 2 • Hydro Media
Progress in Aluminium
z Improved financial and operational performance
z Strong strategic progress upstream and improved cost positions
z Building competitive strengths downstream
52358_3 12 2004 • 3 • Hydro Media
We have delivered on our commitments
Date: 2004-01-16 • Page: 64
9,38,3
5,77,1
8,6
10,8
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
CROGI (normalised*)10 %
CROGI 1998 – 2003: Actual prices
* With normalised LME-price (1 500 USD/tonnes) and 8 NOK/USDMetal products margins and downstream margins are not normalised, neither metal part nor currency
Percent
Return on Capital target achievedone year ahead of plan
Date: 2004-01-16 • Page: 66
Improvement programs delivered
780476176300 *-Aluminium7436900-10700Magnesium
Original estimate
2003 20022001
TotalRealizedRestructuring and rationalization costs (NOK million)
Workforce and cost reductions relative to 2001* Of which NOK 89 million charged to VAW opening balance
Workforce reduction
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
Q4-2002
Q1-2003
Q2-2003
Q3-2003
Q4-2003
Target2003
Magnesium Aluminium
Cost reductions
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
Q4-2002
Q1-2003
Q2-2003
Q3-2003
Q4-2004
Target2003
Runrate
Target2004
Magnesium Aluminium
Date: 2004-01-16 • Page: 68
All projects as planned
Date: 2004-01-16 • Page: 14
Active portfolio development
z Divestments
z New capacity
z Specialised product lines
z Restructuring and closures
Date: 2004-01-16 • Page: 73
1,1
-2,4
4,62,8
-8,9
-12
-8
-4
0
4
8
Rolled products shipments in Europe
Extrusion shipments in Europe
6
-4.4
0.7 1.33.6
-24
-20
-16
-12
-8
-4
0
4
8
2001 2003200220002001 200320022000
Annual change in percent
Annual change in percent
Sources: CRU; AA, EAA.
Strengthened market positions
2004E 2004E
Date: 2004-09-02 • Page: 17
Delivering on strategic priorities
1. Improve global cost position upstream
3. Performance focus and selective growth outside Europe midstream and downstream
2. Strengthen leadership in Europe, midstream and downstream
4. Performance focus and selective growth in global automotive
52358_3 12 2004 • 4 • Hydro Media
Metals Rolled ProductsExtrusion and Automotive Other and Eliminations
Operating income improving
Accumulated
2001 2002 2003 2004Jan-Sep
833
495
(146) (997)
345
711
412 230653 564 530
709
1 629
1 269
3 7562 4561 698185
NOK million
858
52358_3 12 2004 • 5 • Hydro Media
Improving financial performance
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
2002 2003 2004Jan-Sep
Non-consolidated investees and depreciation
Operating income
EBITDA Jan-Sep 2003
MetalsNOK million
52358_3 12 2004 • 6 • Hydro Media
Improving financial performance
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2002 2003 2004Jan-Sep
Non-consolidated investees and depreciation
Operating income/loss
EBITDA Jan-Sep 2003
Rolled ProductsNOK million
52358_3 12 2004 • 7 • Hydro Media
Improving financial performance
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2002 2003 2004Jan-Sep
Non-consolidated investees and depreciation
Operating income
EBITDA Jan-Sep 2003
ExtrusionNOK million
52358_3 12 2004 • 8 • Hydro Media
Improving financial performance
-200
0
200
400
600
2002 2003 2004Jan-Sep
Non-consolidated investees and depreciation
Operating income/loss
EBITDA Jan-Sep 2003
AutomotiveNOK million
52358_3 12 2004 • 9 • Hydro Media
Improving financial performance
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
2002 2003 2004Jan-Sep
Non-consolidated investees and depreciation
Operating income/ loss
EBITDA Jan-Sep 2003
North AmericaNOK million
52358_3 12 2004 • 10 • Hydro Media
Improving financial performance
0
1500
3000
4500
6000
7500
2002 2003 2004Jan-Sep
Non-consolidated investees and depreciation
Operating income
EBITDA Jan-Sep 2003
Hydro AluminiumNOK million
52358_3 12 2004 • 11 • Hydro Media
Strengthening strategic positions
Improve alumina relative cost position Improve aluminium relative cost position
Strengthen leadership position in Europe: Metal Products, Extrusion, Rolled Products and Automotive
Selective growth outside Europe: Metal Products, Extrusion, Rolled Products and Automotive
52358_3 12 2004 • 12 • Hydro Media
A unique and differentiated portfolioEstimates 2004 and 2009**
2000E
2000E
4300-5000E
1800-2000E
* Aluminium equivalents (2 tonnes alumina per tonne aluminium) ** Including Qatar
1 000 tonnes
715
1600
1600
940
350 1720
686
885Alumina *
Electrolysis metal
Metal products
Downstream
Equity Medium/long term contracts
Equity
Equity
Rolled Extrusion & Automotive
3rd party Remelt
52358_3 12 2004 • 13 • Hydro Media
Revenues / gross investments
Source: Company reports. Hydro-estimates. Proxy figures where needed to get comparative figures. * Jan-Sep 2004 annualized
EBITDA / RevenuesPercent
HydroAluminium
Alcoa
AlcanAlcoa
Alcan
HydroAluminium
Factor
A unique portfolio: Higher capital turnover
Pechiney
Pechiney
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004*0
5
10
15
20
25
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004*
52358_3 12 2004 • 14 • Hydro Media
8000 8400 9300 10100
50005400 5700
5600 59006300 6500
4800 50005300
56002400 25002800
30002400 2700
28003000
5100
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
2001 2003 2005E 2007E
Other
Durables
Electrical andengineering B&C
Packaging
Transportation
Western World* demand expected to grow in the coming years
* World excluding Central and Eastern Europe, China, Russia, Ukraine, North KoreaSources: BrookHunt; Hydro Aluminium
1 000 tonnes% growth per
segment
4.3
2.7
2.3
4.1
4.1
2.8
52358_3 12 2004 • 15 • Hydro Media
* Excluding China ** Rest of the world, including the Middle East
Net exports, 1 000 tonnes
Energy drives primary restructuring
Source: CRU, Hydro Aluminium
-5 000
-4 000
-3 000
-2 000
-1 000
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
2000 2005E 2012E
Asia* Europe
China Canada SouthAmerica
USA
Australia andNew Zeeland
CIS ROW**
52358_3 12 2004 • 16 • Hydro Media
2003 2007 2011 2015 2019 2023
Increasing industry exposure to market power prices
* Excluding ChinaSource:CRU, Hydro Aluminium
Aluminum production – power sourcing1 000 tonnes*
Unknown contract expiry
Russia
Contract
To be renewed
Captive
22 584
20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
52358_3 12 2004 • 17 • Hydro Media
Norway
Australia
Canada
Slovakia
Germany
2005 2010 2015 2020
Self generation and long term contracts
Timeline
Attractive power contract portfolio for HydroGermany a challenge
52358_3 12 2004 • 18 • Hydro Media
Qatar – the future pattern
z Heads of agreement signed
z Annual capacity- 570 000 tonnes - Expansion potential up to 1 200 000 tonnes
z Investments- Smelter and casthouse: USD 2 – 2.5 billion - Power plant: USD 0.7-0.8 billion
z Hydro ownership- 49 % in smelter and power station- 51 % in casthouse- Hydro to market total tonnage
z Production start-up end 2008
z Exceed 10% IRR after tax at USD 1400/tonne HAL Technology
Excellent location
52358_3 12 2004 • 19 • Hydro Media
Ambitious primary production growth
1.0
1.5
2.0
2001 2005E 2009E
Million tonnes
20%24%Total world27%36%Hydro
2005-2009*1999-2004 Production growth, %
Source: Hydro Aluminium, Brook Hunt long -term outlook 2004. * incl. Qatar for Hydro
52358_3 12 2004 • 20 • Hydro Media
Improving relative cost position 2003-2009
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
0 20 40 60 80 100Cumulative production (%)
Hydro ’03
Cash cost USD/tonne
Total average USD 1 097/tonne
Assumptions: Aluminium price USD 1 500, USD/NOK 7.0, Cumulative production 27.8 million tonnesSource: CRU, Hydro Aluminium
To be closedz Høyanger SØ, 22 ktz Årdal SØ, 50 ktz Karmøy SØ,122 kt
New capacity
z Alouette, 60 kt
z Sunndal, 250 kt
z Qatar, 280 kt
Hydro ’09
52358_3 12 2004 • 21 • Hydro Media
* After sale of alumina plant in Germany. Bauxite to Alunorte at cost.Source: CRU 2003 : Major Western World Refineries (43 mill tons, i.e 80% of world production)Hydro Aluminium estimates
Increasing equity alumina at lower cost
Cumulative production, million tonnes per year
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
2000: Hydro average USD 165/tonne
Cash cost USD/tonne
2006*: Hydro averageUSD 120/tonne
World weighted average 2003:USD 134/tonne
52358_3 12 2004 • 22 • Hydro Media
Medium term price outlook favourable
z Strong market fundamentals
z Increased production costsz Energyz Aluminaz Carbon raw materialsz Freight
z Weakening USD
USD/tonne
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
Nominal prices
52358_3 12 2004 • 23 • Hydro Media
Downstream activities
Extrusion
37%37%
Rolled Products
45%45%
Automotive
18%18%
Total revenue*: NOK 35 bnz Europe 80%z North America 12%z Others 8%
* Jan-Sep 2004, split on sectors based on revenue
52358_3 12 2004 • 24 • Hydro Media
Rolled Products:Building a stronger business
z Growth in high margin segments- New litho line in 2005- Foil mills upgraded- Increased heat exchanger volume
z Delivered on improvement programs- Cost reduction and demanning- Turnaround of
underperforming units- Modernization of Slim plant (Italy)
z Optimize plants’ product mix
z High capacity utilization through strong market position
52358_3 12 2004 • 25 • Hydro Media
Strip48%
Litho30%
Foil22%
Strip69%
Litho15%
Foil16%
Rolled Products:Increasing focus on higher margin segments
Annualized shipments* 950 000 tonnes
Operating income Jan-Sep 2004: NOK 593 million
*Jan-Sep 2004: 710 000 tonnes
52358_3 12 2004 • 26 • Hydro Media
Extrusion:Global growth from leading position in Europe
z Consolidating leadership in Europe
z Closing performance gap in USA
z Expanding in emerging and low cost markets
z Growing value added business
z Realizing system benefits
52358_3 12 2004 • 27 • Hydro Media
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004Jan-Sep
SAPA Hydro Extrusion
Extrusion:Strong financial performance
Percent
* Sales / Gross investment
0
50
100
150
200
250
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004Jan-Sep
SAPA Hydro ExtrusionPercent
EBITDA / Sales Capital Turnover *
52358_3 12 2004 • 28 • Hydro Media
Automotive:Leading market positions in focus areas
Market positions 2003% of total market incl. steel/cast iron solutions
65
17 146
35
4 5 10
20
40
60
80
Precisiontubing
Bumperbeams
Cylinderheads
Engineblocks
Europe
NAFTA
52358_3 12 2004 • 29 • Hydro Media
Automotive:Building on strengths and fixing underperformance
z Precision Tubing- Strong financial performance- New plants in China and Mexico 2005
z Structures- Improving financial performance
from low level- Focusing product portfolio- Restructuring ongoing
z Castings- Improved financial performance- New diesel engine line in Dillingen- Production shifting towards
low cost countries - Leeds closure to be finalized in 2005
52358_3 12 2004 • 30 • Hydro Media
Continued strong focus on bottom line growth
z Continue to strengthen European leadership and build global presence in selected segments and geographical areas
z Capitalize on a unique and differentiated portfolio profile andvalue chain integration in an environment of structural change
z Improve relative cost position upstream - Energy in Germany a particular challenge
z Sharing of best practice throughout the value chain
z Active portfolio development
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In order to utilize the “safe harbor” provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Hydro is providing the following cautionary statement: This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to the financial condition, results of operations and business of the Company and certain of the plans and objectives of the Company with respect to these items. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. The actual results and developments may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements due to any number of different factors. These factors include, but are not limited to, changes in costs and prices, changes in economic conditions, and changes in demand for the Company's products. Additional information, including information on factors which may affect Hydro'sbusiness, is contained in the Company's 2003 Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
With respect to each non-GAAP financial measure Hydro uses in connection with its financial reporting and other public communications, Hydro provides a presentation of what Hydro believes to be the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure and a reconciliation between the non-GAAP and GAAP measures. This information can be found in Hydro’s earnings press releases, quarterly reports and other written communications, all of which have been posted to Hydro’s website (www.hydro.com).
Forward-looking statements/use of non-GAAP financial measures
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Hydro is a Fortune 500 energy and aluminium supplier founded in 1905, with 36,000 employees in nearly 40 countries. We are a leading offshore producer of oil and gas, the world's third-largest integrated aluminium supplier and a pioneer in renewable energy and energy-efficient solutions. As we look forward to our next 100 years, we celebrate a century of creating value by strengthening the viability of the customers and communities we serve