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Concept DevelopmentConcept Development& Experimentation& Experimentation
“COM as Shooter”Operational Planning using C2
for Confronting and Collaborating
Captain Andy BaanCaptain Andy Baan
COM as Shooter
TWO
ANTENNAE
COM as Shooter
Success
‘Wait. We should not have to answer these questions! We have never been asked
for this information before.’- AFNORTH participant
COM as Shooter
CCA supports EBOPurpose of EBO Mission is accomplished when behavior is shaped so that intentions are in compliance
COM as Shooter
HistoryWellington Modern Warfare Peace Support Operations, COM is the Shooter. The COM determines the message
Must know everythingCOM must ensure the message is consistent up and down the chain
C2CC’s Purpose
COM as Shooter
C2CC
Internal CC System External CC System
P1 P2 f
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
P1 P2 f
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
TheaterCommander
DivisionCommander
DivisionCommander
BrigadeCommander
BrigadeCommander
BrigadeCommander
Secure e-mail perimeterP1 P2 f
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
P1 P2 f
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
option B
option C
CA Party
option A
option B
CA Party
option A
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CA Party
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CA Party
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option B
option C
NationalAgency
RegionalAgency
RegionalAgency
LocalAgency
LocalAgency
LocalAgency
NationalAgency
RegionalAgency
RegionalAgency
LocalAgency
LocalAgency
LocalAgency
NationalAgency
RegionalAgency
RegionalAgency
LocalAgency
LocalAgency
LocalAgency
COM as Shooter
CCA PROCESS
COM as Shooter
Six Phases of an Interactive EpisodeScene-settingBuild-upIf positions agree, then Collaboration, Decision If positions disagree, then Confrontation then DecisionImplementation
COM as Shooter
COM as Shooter
ExampleOptions Board showing ConfrontationTug of War for ConfrontationOptions Board showing CollaborationTug of War for Collaboration
COM as Shooter
PI P+A f I
PALESTINIANS
stop terrorism
recognize/accept Israel
ARAB STATES
fund terrorism
recognize/accept Israel
ISRAEL
accept “viable” Palestinian state
raid/suppress Palestinians
accept minimal Palestinian state
??
??
??
??
??
??
??
??
??
COM as Shooter
Palestinians
Arabs
Israel
Israel blocks Palestinian state
P/A do Terror
Israeli position =Israeli domination without terrorism
Israeli position =Israeli domination without terrorism
f = Terror and suppression
f = Terror and suppression
Palestinian/Arab position =
Palestinian state
Palestinian/Arab position =
Palestinian state
P/A do Terror
Palestinians
ArabsArabs
IsraelIsrael
Israel blocks Palestinian stateIsrael blocks Palestinian state
P/A do TerrorP/A do Terror
Israeli position =Israeli domination without terrorism
Israeli position =Israeli domination without terrorism
f = Terror and suppression
f = Terror and suppression
Palestinian/Arab position =
Palestinian state
Palestinian/Arab position =
Palestinian state
P/A do TerrorP/A do Terror
COM as ShooterPI a r(P+A) r(I)
PALESTINIANS
stop terrorism
recognize/accept Israel
ARAB STATES
fund terrorism
recognize/accept Israel
ISRAEL
negotiate Palestinian state
progressively abandon settlements
expand settlements
??
??
??
??
??
raid/suppress West Bank/Gaza
??
??
COM as Shooter
Israel fails to negotiate Palestinian state or abandon settlements
Palestinians and Arabs return to terrorism and cease to recognize Israel
r(P+A) = Terror,no Palestinian
State
r(P+A) = Terror,no Palestinian
State
r(I) = Terror, no Palestinian
State
r(I) = Terror, no Palestinian
State
Agreement =Palestinian state
and peace
Agreement =Palestinian state
and peace
Israel fails to negotiate Palestinian state or abandon settlementsIsrael fails to negotiate Palestinian state or abandon settlements
Palestinians and Arabs return to terrorism and cease to recognize IsraelPalestinians and Arabs return to terrorism and cease to recognize Israel
r(P+A) = Terror,no Palestinian
State
r(P+A) = Terror,no Palestinian
State
r(I) = Terror, no Palestinian
State
r(I) = Terror, no Palestinian
State
Agreement =Palestinian state
and peace
Agreement =Palestinian state
and peace
COM as Shooter
AFNORTH TrialPart of Allied Action 03 Planning ProcessParticipants included 3-star General, staff including POLAD, LEGAL, CIMICTraining session preceded workThree models
COM as Shooter
Parties We AnalyzedFriendsFoesNeutrals
All three are required to agree to achieve compliance
COM as Shooter
AFNORTH Trial OutcomesSuccess- Demonstrated need to create national/political problems as injectsSuccess- Demonstrated issues overlap Success- Demonstrated the benefit of COM’s participation, an intention of C2CC
COM as Shooter
Insights GainedDon’t be too ambitiousAdequate training of facilitator and staff is important to get the most benefitNew processes need to be injected into the training process all along the career path i.e. difficult to do training andimmediately use system all at one
COM as Shooter
The FutureWorking with JFCOM
Appears that C2CC and ONA are mutually reinforcing
Additional experimentsOngoing analysisSoftware and training manuals
COM as Shooter
RedView
“Green”View
BlueView
RedView
“Green”View
BlueView
“Non-CCA Issues”(e.g. Logistics, Targeting)
Systems Modeling(Causal Mapping)
“Non-CCA Issues”(e.g. Logistics, Targeting)
Systems Modeling(Causal Mapping)
Immersive Briefing
Wargaming
C2CC
Critical Thinking
Plans(Resources to Effects)
Decisive Points
Desired Effects
CCALegend
Collaborativeenvironment
Modelrepository
LegendCollaborativeenvironment
Modelrepository
Formal analysis
Formal analysis
Formal analysis
COM as Shooter
QUESTIONS?
Captain Andy BaanCaptain Andy Baan
COM as Shooter
PSO RemindersCOM needs to be fully informed and engagedGoal is to change intention of parties because mission does not end until parties realize that their desired end-state is the international community’s proclaimed end-state
COM as Shooter
“COM as Shooter”Operational Planning using C2 for Confronting and CollaboratingCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as Shooter