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Casas,Favio1,2;Torres,Horacio2;Jiménez,Claudia1;Serna,Oswald1;Ramírez,Ricardo1
1SEGELECTRICA(www.segelectrica.com.co)2PAAS(www.proyectospaas.unal.edu.co)
Cartagena, Colombia - 2016
© Copyright: Ing. Favio Casas Ospina E-mail: [email protected]
© Copyright: Ing. Favio Casas Ospina E-mail: [email protected]
According to statistics from the National Institute of Legal Medicine and Forensic Sciences
© Copyright: Ing. Favio Casas Ospina E-mail: [email protected]
According to statistics from the National Institute of Legal Medicine and Forensic Sciences
© Copyright: Ing. Favio Casas Ospina E-mail: [email protected]
INJURIESANDDEATHSCAUSEDBYLIGHTNINGFROM2010TO2013
Colombia:410lightningdamagecases219injuries119deaths
According to statistics published by the company Keraunos SAS
34,39%
6,10%
5,85%5,61%
© Copyright: Ing. Favio Casas Ospina E-mail: [email protected]
Colombia:410casesDepartmentofAnMoquia:34,39%ofcases.
DEPARTMENTSWITHTHEHIGHESTNUMBEROFDEATHSANDINJURIES
ASSOCIATEDWITHLIGHTNING2010TO2013
According to statistics published by the company Keraunos SAS
59deaths
27deaths
18deaths
20deaths24deaths
38deaths
© Copyright: Ing. Favio Casas Ospina E-mail: [email protected]
Colombia:371deathsDepartmentofAnMoquia:59deaths
DEPARTMENTSWITHHIGHESTNUMBEROFDEATHSASSOCIATED
WITHLIGHTNING2008to2013
According to statistics published by DANE
© Copyright: Ing. Favio Casas Ospina E-mail: [email protected]
Navarrete-Aldana obtains a mortality rateassociatedwith lightningof1.78deathspermillioninhabitants per year, based on data from DANEbetween2000and2009.
CarlosCruz inhismaster'sthesispresentsarateof2.04deathspermillion inhabitantsperyear,takingasreferenceDANE,DIPSE,KERAUNOSstaMsMcsandregional printed and virtual newspapers, for theyears2000to2012.
The difference between the indices is basicallyassociated with the source and the period underreview.
© Copyright: Ing. Favio Casas Ospina E-mail: [email protected]
ThemethodologyusedinColombiatoassesslightningriskisbasedonthetechnicalstandardNTC4552underthefollowingconcept:
Note: S (Source), L (Loss) y D (Damage)
IECDAMAGEASSESSMENTSCHEME
© Copyright: Ing. Favio Casas Ospina E-mail: [email protected]
GroundPointFlashDensity–GPFD
Averagesteepnessofthecurrent-di/dt
ReturnStrokePeakCurrent
Specificenergy
RELEVANTLIGHTNINGPARAMETERSONTHERISKLEVEL
© Copyright: Ing. Favio Casas Ospina E-mail: [email protected]
LIMITSANDMARGINSOFEXPOSURETOARISKFACTOR
DECISIONSUNDERUNCERTAINTY
© Copyright: Ing. Favio Casas Ospina E-mail: [email protected]
© Copyright: Ing. Favio Casas Ospina E-mail: [email protected]
Undoubtedly, standardizaMon and more specifically the issuance of MandatoryTechnicalRegulaMonsasafactorofchangeinengineeringpracMcedohaveanimpacton society. Lightning protecMon has advanced significantly in Colombia from theissuanceoftheRETIEin2005.
© Copyright: Ing. Favio Casas Ospina E-mail: [email protected]
Itisevidentinrecentyears,acleartrendtolowerraysassociatedwithdeathsinColombia.
According to statistics published by DANE
© Copyright: Ing. Favio Casas Ospina E-mail: [email protected]
• SafebehaviorswillyieldposiMveoutcomes,whichwill result inhabitsandcustomsaimedatreducingaccidentratesfigures.
• Stateandacademymustintensifyeffortsinordertosocializerightbehavior
aboutlightningrisk.• Colombia, due to its geographical locaMon, must adopt lightning risk
managementasastatepolicy.Thecurrenttemporarycertaintyisofabouttwodeathspermillionayear.
• IECmustreviewtherisklightningassessmentmethodologyforadapMngtotheriskmanagementstructure.
• Currentlythe lightningpredicMonispossibleabout30minutes inadvance,inrealMme,withover90%efficiency.
© Copyright: Ing. Favio Casas Ospina E-mail: [email protected]
• TheColombianNaMonalCommifeofIECmustparMcipateinthenewsproposalsforchangingtheIEC62305Standard.
• Involvetherelevantlightningparametersontherisklevel.
• CreatealightninginsMtuteoftheTropicalZone.
• CreateaLightningRiskNetworkofInformantsinrealMme,inotherwords,tosharealertsonsocialnetworks,somethinglike“crowdsourcing”.
• ProduceofficialrigorousstaMsMcsaboutlightningaccidentsinColombia.
• MoveforwardonissuessuchaslightningstrikepredicMon,riskassessmentandtechnicalstandards.
• CorrelatelightningacMvitywiththepresenceofvolcanoes,sinceColombiahasmorethan80.
• Further researchon the relaMonshipbetween theSouthernOscillaMon Index (SOI)andGFD,consideringthatthereisSOIdataavailablesincethe19thcentury.
© Copyright: Ing. Favio Casas Ospina E-mail: [email protected]