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The CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker is a panel study based on interviews conducted on the internet of registered voters in Florida, Georgia, Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Texas. The poll was conducted by YouGov, an online polling organization.
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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
Sample 984 Republican Likely VotersConducted January 18-21, 2016Margin of Error ±4.4%
1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67%Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .27%Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%No attention so far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Texas?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .93%Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%Don’t know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%
3. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Texas Republican Presidential primaryin 2016?Asked of Republican primary voters
Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1%
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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
4. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?Asked of Republican primary voters
Very strong – I’ve decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%Strong – I probably won’t change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%Somewhat strong – I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20%Not too strong – I’ll probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
5. What could [Candidate Name] do to make you completely decided?Asked of Republican primary voters who are not very strongly decided
Convince me they can really win . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%Convince me they stand with me on the issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%Convince me they can be effective in the job . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%I’m never completely decided until Election Day . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%None of these . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
6. You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you couldconsider voting for...?Asked of Republican primary voters
Yes, could consider No, could never considerDonald Trump 56% 44%Ted Cruz 73% 27%Marco Rubio 59% 41%Chris Christie 30% 70%Jeb Bush 28% 72%John Kasich 20% 80%Ben Carson 58% 42%
7. In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...Asked of Republican primary voters
Too extreme About right Too moderateDonald Trump 44% 46% 10%Ted Cruz 14% 77% 9%Marco Rubio 7% 47% 46%
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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
8. Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?Asked of Republican primary voters
Yes, consistent No, not consistentDonald Trump 61% 39%Ted Cruz 86% 14%Marco Rubio 52% 48%
9. Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of thesecandidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?Asked of Republican primary voters
Understands Doesn’t understandDonald Trump 77% 23%Ted Cruz 81% 19%Marco Rubio 57% 43%
10. What’s most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...Asked of Republican primary voters
Defend my faith and religious values . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%Win the General election in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%Fight terrorism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%Shake up politics-as-usual . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%Bring back jobs and the American economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
11. Do you think Ted Cruz’s birthplace is a serious issue or not?Asked of Republican primary voters
Serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%Not serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86%
12. Does Donald Trump’s being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, ordoes it not matter to you?Asked of Republican primary voters
Better . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%Worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%Does not matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81%
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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
13. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?⇤
Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .55%Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
14. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?*
Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65%No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32%Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
15. Thinking about politics these days, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?*
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1%Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%Very Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
16. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?
Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14%Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60%Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
⇤Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in previous waves.Earlier responses were used where available.
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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
17. Are you male or female?
Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .53%Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
18. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
19. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?
White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87%Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
20. What is the highest level of education you have completed?
HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
5
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
A lot 67% 74% 59% 62% 58% 68% 76% 67% ⇤ 66% ⇤Some 27% 23% 32% 34% 31% 28% 21% 27% ⇤ 26% ⇤Not much 5% 2% 8% 4% 10% 4% 3% 5% ⇤ 8% ⇤No attention so far 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% ⇤ 0% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (979) (519) (460) (91) (186) (450) (251) (847) (15) (92) (25)
1
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Texas?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Definitely will vote 93% 95% 90% 85% 86% 95% 96% 93% ⇤ 91% ⇤Probably will vote 6% 4% 9% 9% 13% 4% 3% 6% ⇤ 8% ⇤Maybe will vote 1% 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% 0% 1% ⇤ 1% ⇤Probably will not vote 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% ⇤ 0% ⇤Definitely will not vote 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% ⇤ 0% ⇤Don’t know 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% ⇤ 0% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (984) (520) (464) (91) (191) (452) (251) (851) (15) (93) (25)
2
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
3. First Choice Republican Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Texas Republican Presidential primary in 2016?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Jeb Bush 4% 3% 5% 3% 4% 3% 5% 3% ⇤ 14% ⇤Ben Carson 5% 2% 7% 8% 4% 4% 4% 4% ⇤ 1% ⇤Chris Christie 2% 1% 2% 8% 1% 1% 1% 1% ⇤ 4% ⇤Ted Cruz 45% 49% 41% 33% 35% 54% 41% 45% ⇤ 43% ⇤Carly Fiorina 1% 2% 1% 0% 3% 1% 1% 1% ⇤ 0% ⇤Jim Gilmore 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% ⇤ 0% ⇤Mike Huckabee 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 3% 2% ⇤ 0% ⇤John Kasich 1% 1% 1% 5% 1% 1% 0% 1% ⇤ 0% ⇤Rand Paul 2% 3% 1% 2% 7% 1% 1% 2% ⇤ 2% ⇤Marco Rubio 8% 8% 9% 15% 11% 6% 8% 9% ⇤ 2% ⇤Rick Santorum 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% ⇤ 0% ⇤Donald Trump 30% 29% 32% 24% 31% 29% 35% 30% ⇤ 32% ⇤No preference 1% 0% 1% 2% 2% 0% 0% 1% ⇤ 1% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (982) (518) (464) (91) (190) (450) (251) (849) (15) (93) (25)
3
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
4. Republican Candidate Support
Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Very strong 40% 43% 37% 41% 29% 41% 47% 40% ⇤ 45% ⇤Strong 39% 41% 37% 29% 42% 41% 37% 40% ⇤ 30% ⇤Somewhat strong 20% 15% 25% 28% 26% 18% 15% 19% ⇤ 25% ⇤Not too strong 1% 1% 2% 1% 4% 0% 0% 1% ⇤ 0% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (974) (517) (457) (90) (187) (448) (250) (843) (14) (92) (24)
4
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
5. Republican Candidate Certainty
What could [Candidate Name] do to make you completely decided?Asked of Republican primary voters who are not very strongly decided
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Convince me they can really win 37% 45% 29% 18% 34% 41% 40% 37% ⇤ 37% ⇤Convince me they stand with me onthe issues 21% 22% 20% 27% 23% 20% 19% 21% ⇤ 18% ⇤Convince me they can be effective inthe job 24% 15% 33% 24% 24% 23% 23% 23% ⇤ 29% ⇤I’m never completely decided untilElection Day 11% 11% 10% 31% 7% 10% 8% 11% ⇤ 12% ⇤None of these 7% 8% 8% 1% 12% 6% 10% 8% ⇤ 4% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (575) (293) (282) (52) (129) (263) (132) (502) (7) (51) (15)
5
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
6. Republican Candidate Consideration – Donald Trump
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Yes, could consider 56% 61% 50% 23% 42% 61% 70% 58% ⇤ 41% ⇤No, could never consider 44% 39% 50% 77% 58% 39% 30% 42% ⇤ 59% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (635) (346) (290) (61) (120) (303) (152) (550) (10) (56) (19)
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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
7. Republican Candidate Consideration – Ted Cruz
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Yes, could consider 73% 76% 70% 51% 66% 75% 84% 77% ⇤ ⇤ ⇤No, could never consider 27% 24% 30% 49% 34% 25% 16% 23% ⇤ ⇤ ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ ⇤ ⇤(Weighted N) (511) (253) (259) (58) (117) (195) (141) (449) (9) (44) (9)
7
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
8. Republican Candidate Consideration – Marco Rubio
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Yes, could consider 59% 60% 58% 68% 57% 59% 56% 57% ⇤ 74% ⇤No, could never consider 41% 40% 42% 32% 43% 41% 44% 43% ⇤ 26% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (820) (435) (385) (69) (160) (387) (203) (704) (13) (81) (22)
8
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
9. Republican Candidate Consideration – Chris Christie
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Yes, could consider 30% 33% 27% 42% 28% 29% 31% 31% ⇤ 30% ⇤No, could never consider 70% 67% 73% 58% 72% 71% 69% 69% ⇤ 70% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (871) (465) (405) (76) (174) (408) (213) (758) (13) (79) (21)
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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
10. Republican Candidate Consideration – Jeb Bush
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Yes, could consider 28% 25% 32% 42% 33% 24% 27% 28% ⇤ 38% ⇤No, could never consider 72% 75% 68% 58% 67% 76% 73% 72% ⇤ 62% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (854) (453) (401) (79) (168) (402) (205) (744) (13) (76) (21)
10
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
11. Republican Candidate Consideration – John Kasich
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Yes, could consider 20% 21% 19% 31% 19% 16% 26% 20% ⇤ 20% ⇤No, could never consider 80% 79% 81% 69% 81% 84% 74% 80% ⇤ 80% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (862) (459) (403) (78) (173) (400) (211) (753) (10) (79) (21)
11
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
12. Republican Candidate Consideration – Ben Carson
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Yes, could consider 58% 57% 60% 31% 60% 63% 58% 60% ⇤ 40% ⇤No, could never consider 42% 43% 40% 69% 40% 37% 42% 40% ⇤ 60% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (850) (463) (387) (77) (173) (392) (208) (747) (11) (75) (17)
12
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
13. Republican Candidate Approach – Donald Trump
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Too extreme 44% 38% 50% 56% 52% 41% 38% 44% ⇤ 43% ⇤About right 46% 49% 44% 28% 41% 48% 55% 47% ⇤ 50% ⇤Too moderate 10% 13% 6% 16% 7% 11% 7% 10% ⇤ 7% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (976) (517) (458) (85) (191) (449) (251) (849) (15) (87) (25)
13
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
14. Republican Candidate Approach – Ted Cruz
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Too extreme 14% 13% 15% 30% 19% 11% 9% 13% ⇤ 17% ⇤About right 77% 80% 73% 67% 68% 80% 81% 78% ⇤ 71% ⇤Too moderate 9% 7% 12% 3% 13% 8% 11% 9% ⇤ 12% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (967) (509) (458) (90) (189) (439) (249) (844) (13) (86) (25)
14
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
15. Republican Candidate Approach – Marco Rubio
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Too extreme 7% 7% 8% 9% 11% 6% 5% 7% ⇤ 10% ⇤About right 47% 42% 52% 48% 50% 45% 48% 48% ⇤ 49% ⇤Too moderate 46% 51% 40% 43% 39% 48% 47% 45% ⇤ 41% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (964) (512) (451) (84) (190) (439) (250) (844) (13) (82) (25)
15
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
16. Republican Candidate Consistency – Donald Trump
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Yes, consistent 61% 57% 65% 46% 62% 56% 73% 62% ⇤ 56% ⇤No, not consistent 39% 43% 35% 54% 38% 44% 27% 38% ⇤ 44% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (971) (515) (456) (91) (186) (445) (249) (839) (15) (92) (25)
16
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
17. Republican Candidate Consistency – Ted Cruz
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Yes, consistent 86% 86% 85% 83% 76% 89% 87% 87% ⇤ 83% ⇤No, not consistent 14% 14% 15% 17% 24% 11% 13% 13% ⇤ 17% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (955) (513) (442) (89) (185) (436) (245) (831) (13) (87) (25)
17
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
18. Republican Candidate Consistency – Marco Rubio
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Yes, consistent 52% 44% 61% 58% 56% 52% 46% 52% ⇤ 54% ⇤No, not consistent 48% 56% 39% 42% 44% 48% 54% 48% ⇤ 46% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (957) (511) (446) (89) (185) (434) (249) (837) (10) (86) (25)
18
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
19. Republican Candidate Understanding – Donald Trump
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel rightnow?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Understands 77% 79% 75% 51% 64% 84% 83% 79% ⇤ 63% ⇤Doesn’t understand 23% 21% 25% 49% 36% 16% 17% 21% ⇤ 37% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (979) (516) (463) (91) (191) (451) (246) (847) (15) (93) (25)
19
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
20. Republican Candidate Understanding – Ted Cruz
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel rightnow?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Understands 81% 83% 80% 70% 69% 85% 88% 83% ⇤ 67% ⇤Doesn’t understand 19% 17% 20% 30% 31% 15% 12% 17% ⇤ 33% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (974) (518) (456) (91) (189) (446) (248) (848) (15) (87) (25)
20
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
21. Republican Candidate Understanding – Marco Rubio
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel rightnow?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Understands 57% 53% 62% 61% 56% 60% 51% 56% ⇤ 79% ⇤Doesn’t understand 43% 47% 38% 39% 44% 40% 49% 44% ⇤ 21% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (967) (516) (451) (91) (189) (439) (248) (845) (11) (87) (25)
21
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
22. Republican Vote Reasons
What’s most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Defend my faith and religious values 13% 9% 18% 7% 13% 13% 16% 13% ⇤ 3% ⇤Win the General election in November 30% 34% 25% 10% 30% 28% 40% 31% ⇤ 22% ⇤Fight terrorism 12% 7% 17% 11% 17% 8% 15% 12% ⇤ 13% ⇤Shake up politics-as-usual 16% 23% 9% 28% 13% 18% 12% 16% ⇤ 23% ⇤Bring back jobs and the Americaneconomy 29% 27% 31% 44% 28% 32% 18% 27% ⇤ 38% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (978) (519) (459) (91) (186) (450) (251) (845) (15) (93) (25)
22
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
23. Ted Cruz Birthplace
Do you think Ted Cruz’s birthplace is a serious issue or not?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Serious 14% 14% 14% 20% 26% 11% 9% 14% ⇤ 13% ⇤Not serious 86% 86% 86% 80% 74% 89% 91% 86% ⇤ 87% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (983) (519) (464) (91) (191) (450) (251) (850) (15) (93) (25)
23
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas
24. Donald Trump NY Values
Does Donald Trump’s being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or does it not matter to you?Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender Age group Race/Ethnicity
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Better 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 4% 1% 2% ⇤ 8% ⇤Worse 16% 20% 13% 17% 17% 19% 12% 16% ⇤ 20% ⇤Does not matter 81% 78% 84% 82% 80% 77% 87% 82% ⇤ 73% ⇤
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ⇤ 100% ⇤(Weighted N) (983) (519) (464) (91) (191) (452) (250) (851) (15) (93) (25)
24
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
Sample 984 Likely Republican Primary VotersConducted January 18-21, 2016Margin of Error ±4.4%
1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
A lot 67% 77% 64% 58% 77% 56% 66% 73%Some 27% 19% 31% 38% 20% 35% 27% 24%Not much 5% 3% 5% 2% 2% 8% 6% 3%No attention so far 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (979) (430) (373) (113) (531) (434) (620) (307)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
A lot 67% 74% 59% 62% 58% 68% 76% 66% 77%Some 27% 23% 32% 34% 31% 28% 21% 29% 20%Not much 5% 2% 8% 4% 10% 4% 3% 5% 3%No attention so far 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (979) (519) (460) (91) (186) (450) (251) (770) (165)
1
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
2. First Choice Republican Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Texas Republican Presidential primary in 2016?Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Jeb Bush 4% 2% 4% 6% 1% 7% 3% 6%Ben Carson 5% 3% 8% 3% 3% 6% 6% 2%Chris Christie 2% 0% 1% 10% 1% 3% 0% 5%Ted Cruz 45% 57% 41% 15% 58% 28% 46% 42%Carly Fiorina 1% 0% 2% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1%Jim Gilmore 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%Mike Huckabee 1% 3% 0% 0% 2% 1% 2% 0%John Kasich 1% 0% 1% 4% 0% 2% 1% 2%Rand Paul 2% 1% 3% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2%Marco Rubio 8% 5% 11% 15% 3% 14% 8% 8%Rick Santorum 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%Donald Trump 30% 30% 28% 37% 29% 31% 30% 30%No preference 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (982) (430) (374) (111) (532) (436) (624) (307)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Jeb Bush 4% 3% 5% 3% 4% 3% 5% 5% 1%Ben Carson 5% 2% 7% 8% 4% 4% 4% 5% 3%Chris Christie 2% 1% 2% 8% 1% 1% 1% 1% 5%Ted Cruz 45% 49% 41% 33% 35% 54% 41% 46% 41%Carly Fiorina 1% 2% 1% 0% 3% 1% 1% 1% 3%Jim Gilmore 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%Mike Huckabee 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 3% 2% 0%John Kasich 1% 1% 1% 5% 1% 1% 0% 1% 3%Rand Paul 2% 3% 1% 2% 7% 1% 1% 2% 3%Marco Rubio 8% 8% 9% 15% 11% 6% 8% 9% 7%Rick Santorum 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%Donald Trump 30% 29% 32% 24% 31% 29% 35% 29% 34%No preference 1% 0% 1% 2% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1%
continued on the next page . . .
2
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
continued from previous pageGender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (982) (518) (464) (91) (190) (450) (251) (768) (165)
3
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
3. Republican Candidate Support
Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Very strong 40% 49% 32% 30% 48% 31% 42% 40%Strong 39% 39% 45% 26% 39% 38% 39% 38%Somewhat strong 20% 11% 22% 41% 12% 29% 18% 21%Not too strong 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (974) (430) (371) (110) (532) (429) (619) (306)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Very strong 40% 43% 37% 41% 29% 41% 47% 40% 38%Strong 39% 41% 37% 29% 42% 41% 37% 40% 39%Somewhat strong 20% 15% 25% 28% 26% 18% 15% 20% 21%Not too strong 1% 1% 2% 1% 4% 0% 0% 1% 2%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (974) (517) (457) (90) (187) (448) (250) (762) (163)
4
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
4. Republican Candidate Certainty
What could [Candidate Name] do to make you completely decided?Asked of Republican primary voters who are not very strongly decided
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Convince me they can really win 37% 37% 41% 33% 40% 35% 39% 38%Convince me they stand with me onthe issues 21% 23% 20% 16% 22% 21% 21% 21%Convince me they can be effective inthe job 24% 19% 21% 35% 21% 24% 22% 24%I’m never completely decided untilElection Day 11% 11% 11% 6% 10% 12% 10% 11%None of these 7% 9% 7% 10% 7% 9% 9% 6%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (575) (218) (251) (77) (275) (289) (356) (183)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Convince me they can really win 37% 45% 29% 18% 34% 41% 40% 39% 31%Convince me they stand with me onthe issues 21% 22% 20% 27% 23% 20% 19% 19% 28%Convince me they can be effective inthe job 24% 15% 33% 24% 24% 23% 23% 24% 24%I’m never completely decided untilElection Day 11% 11% 10% 31% 7% 10% 8% 11% 9%None of these 7% 8% 8% 1% 12% 6% 10% 8% 8%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (575) (293) (282) (52) (129) (263) (132) (458) (101)
5
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
5. Republican Candidate Consideration – Donald Trump
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Yes, could consider 56% 61% 53% 53% 69% 39% 55% 60%No, could never consider 44% 39% 47% 47% 31% 61% 45% 40%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (635) (279) (258) (63) (356) (271) (404) (201)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Yes, could consider 56% 61% 50% 23% 42% 61% 70% 55% 62%No, could never consider 44% 39% 50% 77% 58% 39% 30% 45% 38%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (635) (346) (290) (61) (120) (303) (152) (514) (99)
6
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
6. Republican Candidate Consideration – Ted Cruz
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Yes, could consider 73% 86% 74% 54% 88% 62% 79% 65%No, could never consider 27% 14% 26% 46% 12% 38% 21% 35%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (511) (177) (211) (90) (216) (290) (315) (172)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Yes, could consider 73% 76% 70% 51% 66% 75% 84% 77% 55%No, could never consider 27% 24% 30% 49% 34% 25% 16% 23% 45%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (511) (253) (259) (58) (117) (195) (141) (397) (91)
7
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
7. Republican Candidate Consideration – Marco Rubio
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Yes, could consider 59% 55% 66% 63% 58% 62% 58% 65%No, could never consider 41% 45% 34% 37% 42% 38% 42% 35%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (820) (368) (307) (90) (470) (337) (516) (260)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Yes, could consider 59% 60% 58% 68% 57% 59% 56% 62% 49%No, could never consider 41% 40% 42% 32% 43% 41% 44% 38% 51%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (820) (435) (385) (69) (160) (387) (203) (636) (147)
8
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
8. Republican Candidate Consideration – Chris Christie
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Yes, could consider 30% 28% 34% 35% 28% 34% 27% 39%No, could never consider 70% 72% 66% 65% 72% 66% 73% 61%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (871) (382) (342) (94) (478) (379) (557) (266)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Yes, could consider 30% 33% 27% 42% 28% 29% 31% 32% 25%No, could never consider 70% 67% 73% 58% 72% 71% 69% 68% 75%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (871) (465) (405) (76) (174) (408) (213) (694) (144)
9
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
9. Republican Candidate Consideration – Jeb Bush
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Yes, could consider 28% 20% 32% 45% 18% 43% 27% 30%No, could never consider 72% 80% 68% 55% 82% 57% 73% 70%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (854) (382) (329) (98) (478) (362) (548) (260)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Yes, could consider 28% 25% 32% 42% 33% 24% 27% 30% 18%No, could never consider 72% 75% 68% 58% 67% 76% 73% 70% 82%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (854) (453) (401) (79) (168) (402) (205) (663) (152)
10
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
10. Republican Candidate Consideration – John Kasich
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Yes, could consider 20% 19% 21% 28% 20% 21% 21% 21%No, could never consider 80% 81% 79% 72% 80% 79% 79% 79%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (862) (374) (338) (100) (473) (376) (541) (274)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Yes, could consider 20% 21% 19% 31% 19% 16% 26% 20% 22%No, could never consider 80% 79% 81% 69% 81% 84% 74% 80% 78%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (862) (459) (403) (78) (173) (400) (211) (683) (148)
11
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
11. Republican Candidate Consideration – Ben Carson
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Yes, could consider 58% 67% 55% 36% 67% 46% 60% 55%No, could never consider 42% 33% 45% 64% 33% 54% 40% 45%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (850) (379) (321) (102) (474) (363) (534) (268)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Yes, could consider 58% 57% 60% 31% 60% 63% 58% 58% 59%No, could never consider 42% 43% 40% 69% 40% 37% 42% 42% 41%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (850) (463) (387) (77) (173) (392) (208) (662) (151)
12
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
12. Republican Candidate Approach – Donald Trump
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Too extreme 44% 36% 50% 48% 31% 59% 43% 45%About right 46% 51% 41% 50% 54% 37% 45% 49%Too moderate 10% 12% 9% 2% 15% 4% 12% 6%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (976) (429) (373) (113) (532) (430) (625) (305)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Too extreme 44% 38% 50% 56% 52% 41% 38% 45% 40%About right 46% 49% 44% 28% 41% 48% 55% 45% 50%Too moderate 10% 13% 6% 16% 7% 11% 7% 10% 10%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (976) (517) (458) (85) (191) (449) (251) (764) (164)
13
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
13. Republican Candidate Approach – Ted Cruz
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Too extreme 14% 5% 17% 36% 5% 25% 11% 20%About right 77% 90% 74% 48% 89% 62% 81% 70%Too moderate 9% 6% 9% 16% 6% 13% 8% 10%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (967) (419) (370) (113) (528) (426) (612) (304)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Too extreme 14% 13% 15% 30% 19% 11% 9% 12% 23%About right 77% 80% 73% 67% 68% 80% 81% 78% 69%Too moderate 9% 7% 12% 3% 13% 8% 11% 10% 8%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (967) (509) (458) (90) (189) (439) (249) (763) (163)
14
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
14. Republican Candidate Approach – Marco Rubio
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Too extreme 7% 4% 8% 16% 4% 11% 7% 7%About right 47% 41% 52% 53% 40% 56% 48% 49%Too moderate 46% 55% 40% 31% 55% 33% 46% 44%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (964) (419) (371) (113) (526) (424) (615) (305)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Too extreme 7% 7% 8% 9% 11% 6% 5% 6% 12%About right 47% 42% 52% 48% 50% 45% 48% 50% 36%Too moderate 46% 51% 40% 43% 39% 48% 47% 44% 52%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (964) (512) (451) (84) (190) (439) (250) (758) (163)
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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
15. Republican Candidate Consistency – Donald Trump
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Yes, consistent 61% 58% 59% 69% 60% 61% 60% 61%No, not consistent 39% 42% 41% 31% 40% 39% 40% 39%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (971) (429) (368) (113) (526) (431) (620) (300)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Yes, consistent 61% 57% 65% 46% 62% 56% 73% 61% 58%No, not consistent 39% 43% 35% 54% 38% 44% 27% 39% 42%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (971) (515) (456) (91) (186) (445) (249) (764) (163)
16
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
16. Republican Candidate Consistency – Ted Cruz
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Yes, consistent 86% 92% 83% 65% 91% 78% 85% 86%No, not consistent 14% 8% 17% 35% 9% 22% 15% 14%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (955) (424) (364) (105) (524) (418) (603) (301)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Yes, consistent 86% 86% 85% 83% 76% 89% 87% 87% 78%No, not consistent 14% 14% 15% 17% 24% 11% 13% 13% 22%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (955) (513) (442) (89) (185) (436) (245) (755) (161)
17
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
17. Republican Candidate Consistency – Marco Rubio
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Yes, consistent 52% 43% 58% 57% 42% 63% 51% 51%No, not consistent 48% 57% 42% 43% 58% 37% 49% 49%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (957) (421) (367) (108) (525) (419) (605) (302)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Yes, consistent 52% 44% 61% 58% 56% 52% 46% 54% 42%No, not consistent 48% 56% 39% 42% 44% 48% 54% 46% 58%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (957) (511) (446) (89) (185) (434) (249) (761) (158)
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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
18. Republican Candidate Understanding – Donald Trump
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel rightnow?Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Understands 77% 84% 76% 69% 86% 66% 78% 76%Doesn’t understand 23% 16% 24% 31% 14% 34% 22% 24%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (979) (429) (370) (113) (531) (435) (622) (306)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Understands 77% 79% 75% 51% 64% 84% 83% 76% 83%Doesn’t understand 23% 21% 25% 49% 36% 16% 17% 24% 17%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (979) (516) (463) (91) (191) (451) (246) (766) (164)
19
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
19. Republican Candidate Understanding – Ted Cruz
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel rightnow?Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Understands 81% 94% 76% 57% 93% 67% 83% 78%Doesn’t understand 19% 6% 24% 43% 7% 33% 17% 22%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (974) (425) (370) (113) (532) (429) (618) (305)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Understands 81% 83% 80% 70% 69% 85% 88% 83% 74%Doesn’t understand 19% 17% 20% 30% 31% 15% 12% 17% 26%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (974) (518) (456) (91) (189) (446) (248) (767) (164)
20
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
20. Republican Candidate Understanding – Marco Rubio
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel rightnow?Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Understands 57% 55% 57% 56% 54% 60% 57% 58%Doesn’t understand 43% 45% 43% 44% 46% 40% 43% 42%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (967) (423) (371) (108) (531) (423) (612) (305)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Understands 57% 53% 62% 61% 56% 60% 51% 59% 49%Doesn’t understand 43% 47% 38% 39% 44% 40% 49% 41% 51%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (967) (516) (451) (91) (189) (439) (248) (764) (160)
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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
21. Republican Vote Reasons
What’s most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Defend my faith and religious values 13% 18% 9% 11% 12% 15% 19% 2%Win the General election in November 30% 29% 36% 26% 31% 30% 31% 29%Fight terrorism 12% 8% 13% 11% 11% 14% 9% 15%Shake up politics-as-usual 16% 20% 14% 12% 21% 11% 16% 18%Bring back jobs and the Americaneconomy 29% 24% 27% 40% 26% 30% 24% 35%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (978) (429) (374) (112) (531) (433) (620) (307)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Defend my faith and religious values 13% 9% 18% 7% 13% 13% 16% 13% 14%Win the General election in November 30% 34% 25% 10% 30% 28% 40% 33% 21%Fight terrorism 12% 7% 17% 11% 17% 8% 15% 13% 6%Shake up politics-as-usual 16% 23% 9% 28% 13% 18% 12% 14% 23%Bring back jobs and the Americaneconomy 29% 27% 31% 44% 28% 32% 18% 27% 36%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (978) (519) (459) (91) (186) (450) (251) (770) (163)
22
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
22. Ted Cruz Birthplace
Do you think Ted Cruz’s birthplace is a serious issue or not?Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Serious 14% 15% 12% 16% 11% 18% 15% 13%Not serious 86% 85% 88% 84% 89% 82% 85% 87%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (983) (429) (373) (113) (532) (437) (626) (306)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Serious 14% 14% 14% 20% 26% 11% 9% 15% 14%Not serious 86% 86% 86% 80% 74% 89% 91% 85% 86%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (983) (519) (464) (91) (191) (450) (251) (769) (165)
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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Texas Likely Republican Voters
23. Donald Trump NY Values
Does Donald Trump’s being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or does it not matter to you?Asked of Republican primary voters
Ideology Tea Party Evangelical
Total Very conservative Conservative Moderate Yes No Yes No
Better 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 4%Worse 16% 21% 14% 7% 21% 11% 17% 16%Does not matter 81% 75% 84% 91% 77% 86% 81% 80%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (983) (430) (374) (113) (532) (438) (625) (307)
Gender Age group Party ID
Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican Independent
Better 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 4% 1% 2% 1%Worse 16% 20% 13% 17% 17% 19% 12% 16% 20%Does not matter 81% 78% 84% 82% 80% 77% 87% 82% 79%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%(Weighted N) (983) (519) (464) (91) (191) (452) (250) (770) (164)
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