CDMA2000CDMA2000CDMA2000CDMA2000Network Path to LTENetwork Path to LTENetwork Path to LTENetwork Path to LTE

Joe LawrenceVice President, Marketing

CDMA Development Group

September 17, 2009

CDMA2000CDMA2000NetworkNetworkGrowthGrowth

SubscriberSubscriberGrowthGrowth

Data RevenueData RevenueGrowthGrowth

2007 200912 more networks12 more networks

being launchedbeing launched

2008 2013Over ½ billionOver ½ billionsubscriberssubscribers

ff

2007 200835 percent35 percent

growth from topgrowth from topC *C *

2www.cdg.org

in 2009in 2009 as of June 2009as of June 2009 3 CDMA carriers*3 CDMA carriers*

* Top 3 CDMA carriers in terms of data revenue: Verizon, KDDI and Sprint

Source: CDG, August 2009 Source: Chetan Sharma, 2009Source: Net growth average of Strategy Analytics (Jun 2008), ABI (Aug 2008), Wireless Intelligence (Jul 2008), WCIS+ (Jul 2008), iGR (Mar 2008) and Yankee Group (Jun 2008) for subscriber forecasts (2008 and beyond) summed with CDG actual numbers of 2008

CDMA Operators with Announced LTE plansCDMA Operators with Announced LTE plans

The following CDMA2000 operators have announced their plansThe following CDMA2000 operators have announced their plansto deploy LTEto deploy LTE

2www.cdg.org

Most other CDMA2000 operators do not have the requisiteMost other CDMA2000 operators do not have the requisitedemand, spectrum or capital to deploy LTEdemand, spectrum or capital to deploy LTE

CDMA2000 Manufacturers Working on LTECDMA2000 Manufacturers Working on LTEThe following CDG members are developing LTE devices and equipmentThe following CDG members are developing LTE devices and equipment

Infrastructure Vendors

Chipset and Device Vendors

Test Vendors

2www.cdg.org

What do operators want?

• Meet the growing demand for voice and data

p

• Offer an unsurpassed user experience

• Reduce the cost of delivering services

• Maximize the return on existing investments• Maximize the return on existing investments

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CDMA2000 and OFDMCDMA2000 and OFDM--Based SolutionsBased SolutionsCDMA2000 is complemented with several OFDMCDMA2000 is complemented with several OFDM--based solutionsbased solutions

CDMA2000 E l ti P thCDMA2000 E l ti P th

CDMA2000 1X

CDMA2000 Evolution PathCDMA2000 Evolution Path

1X Advanced

1xEV-DO Rel. 0

1xEV-DORev. A

H/\WUpgrade

Rev. BMulticarrier

EV-DODO Advanced

OFDMAOFDMA--based Technologiesbased Technologies

Mobile WiMAX

LTE

oror

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013+

2www.cdg.org

LTE is part of the CDMA2000 technology roadmapLTE is part of the CDMA2000 technology roadmap

CDMA and OFDMCDMA and OFDM--based Technologiesbased TechnologiesCDMACDMA andand OFDMOFDM areare complementarycomplementary technologiestechnologies

OFDM-based broadband networksOFDM based broadband networks will complement 3G CDMA

Backhaul BroadcastAdditional

BroadbandBackhaul Broadcast BroadbandCapacity

DVB-HISDB-TISDB-TMFLOS-DMBT-DMBCMMB

WiMAX 802.16dLTE

Mobile WiMAXWi-Fi

2www.cdg.org

CMMB

CDMA vs. OFDMACDMA vs. OFDMACDMA and OFDMA are different technologies with different capabilitiesCDMA and OFDMA are different technologies with different capabilities

CDMA2000 1X and EVCDMA2000 1X and EV--DO are more efficient in DO are more efficient in bandwidths up to 5 MHzbandwidths up to 5 MHz

OFDMAOFDMA b d l ti ff i l i l t ti ib d l ti ff i l i l t ti i

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OFDMAOFDMA--based solutions offers a simpler implementation inbased solutions offers a simpler implementation inbandwidths greater than 10 MHzbandwidths greater than 10 MHz

Lessons Learned: Migration from 1G to 2G to 3GLessons Learned: Migration from 1G to 2G to 3G

• Takes longer, and is never as simple as it may seem

• Graceful evolutionary change is preferred• Graceful evolutionary change is preferred

• Coverage is king

• Multimode devices are essential

E i f l tt• Economies of scale matters

• A mature ecosystem is desired

To sustain its exponential growth, the global mobile industry To sustain its exponential growth, the global mobile industry should continue strengthening and expanding itsshould continue strengthening and expanding its

2www.cdg.org

should continue strengthening and expanding its should continue strengthening and expanding its existingexisting ecosystem, while it embraces and ecosystem, while it embraces and

assimilates newer technologies and players within its foldassimilates newer technologies and players within its foldSource: IDC

LTE Interoperability: CDG Areas of FocusLTE Interoperability: CDG Areas of FocusCurrent CDG initiativesCurrent CDG initiatives

Seamless Mobility:• To ensure service continuity, inter-standard hand-offs between LTE and yCDMA2000 networks is essential

System Determination:• To maximize revenue, the appropriate system determination algorithms must exist in every CDMA2000/LTE device

Device Certification:• To ensure full compliance, device certification from an independent third-party is sanctioned

Inter-Standard Global Roaming:• To enable global roaming, inter-standard roaming between LTE and CDMA2000

2www.cdg.org

networks is essential

CDMA: Efficient and Flexible Spectrum UtilizationCDMA: Efficient and Flexible Spectrum UtilizationCDMA2000’s 1.25 MHz bandwidth facilitates subscriber traffic managementCDMA2000’s 1.25 MHz bandwidth facilitates subscriber traffic management

Minimizes “stranded” spectrum assets required to support embedded user equipment while moving between technologies

1X 1X 1X

CDMA2000 1X

1XAdvanced

EV-DOEV-DO

1X Advanced

LTE1XEV-DO

#2 M l i l

EV-DO Rev. A

EVDO Rev. BEV-DO Rev. B

#1 Multiple

#2 Multiple Bands, One Antenna Set

#3 Multi- Bands & Technologies, One OA&M Umbrella

pTechnologies, One Backhaul 1X

AdvancedEV-DO LTE

2www.cdg.org

CDMA offers greater flexibility to implement LTE.Several vendors support LTE in existing CDMA2000

base stations, with common radios and antennas.

OFDMA Broadband Overlay TimelineOFDMA Broadband Overlay TimelineOFDMOFDM--based solutions will be builtbased solutions will be built--out over time as demand grows and spectrum out over time as demand grows and spectrum becomes availablebecomes available

3G CDMA 3G CDMA WAN CoverageWAN Coverage

Today

3G CDMA3G CDMA 3G CDMA 3G CDMA

Co e ageCo e age

Next 10 years(Coexistence)

Beyond 10 years

OFDMUrban-zone

OFDMAOFDMA

OFDMUrban-zone

OFDMUrban-zone

3G CDMA WAN networks will coexist with OFDM3G CDMA WAN networks will coexist with OFDM--based solutions until based solutions until t ti b db d t k f ll bl f d li it ti b db d t k f ll bl f d li i

Beyond 10 years(Migration)

OFDMAOFDMAWAN CoverageWAN Coverage

next generation broadband networks are fully capable of delivering:next generation broadband networks are fully capable of delivering:1)1) Ubiquitous coverageUbiquitous coverage

2)2) CarrierCarrier--grade VoIPgrade VoIP

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3)3) LowLow--cost devices *cost devices *4)4) Global roaming *Global roaming *

* Harmonization of spectrum for OFDM-based solutions will be necessary to build economies of scale and enable global roaming

What about LTE voice communicationsWhat about LTE voice communicationsMost CDMA2000 operators will rely on their CDMA2000 1X network to deliver voiceMost CDMA2000 operators will rely on their CDMA2000 1X network to deliver voice

LTE only for voice and data?Or, LTE for data and 1X for traditional voice?

Factors to consider:How important is simultaneous voice & data?

How important is an all-IP service model?Should voice capacity be maximized?Should voice capacity be maximized?

CAPEX spending priorities? Handset complexity?

LTE VoIP?TraditionalC/S 1X Voice? p y

Roaming Partners?Timing?1X Advanced? EV-DO VoIP?

2www.cdg.org

3G/4G multimode device availability 3G/4G multimode device availability 3G/ G u t ode de ce a a ab ty3G/ G u t ode de ce a a ab tywill drive the commercialization will drive the commercialization

of LTEof LTEof LTEof LTE

2www.cdg.org

EVEV--DO Evolution PeriodsDO Evolution Periods

Mature VoIP;Concurrent VoIP/Data;High-Definition Multimedia;

SeamlessLTE Handoff

Additional CapacityFemtocellsVoIP

UbiquitousEV-DO Service

EV-DODO

Advanced

MatureEV-DO

Mar

ket

gIntegration w/LTE

EV-DORev. A

EV DORev. B

Advanced

dres

sabl

e M

LTEFirst Full Scale

LTEFirst Volume

DevicesLTE

First SmallV l

% o

f Add

LTERegional First Full Scale

Deployments Volumes

Today 2010-2011 2012 2015 2017

RegionalDeployments

2www.cdg.org

y

Source: Airvana`

CDMA2000 WorldModeTM DevicesMore than 200 WorldMode devices from more than 57 vendorsMore than 200 WorldMode devices from more than 57 vendors

CDMA2000 1X+

EV DO Re A

CDMA2000 1X+

GSMEV-DO Rev. A

+

RIM BlackBerry

EV-DO Rev. A+

GSM+

GPRSNokia

GSM +

GPRSHSPA

DellPrecision Series

y8830GPRSNokia

2865

CDMA2000 1X+

EV DO Rev A

What ComesNext?

CDMA2000 1X+

EV DO R A/BEV-DO Rev. A+

HSPA

Next?Coming!

EV-DO Rev. A/B+

LTE

2www.cdg.org

LGSH-100

Samples shown, LTE WorldMode is concept only

World’s First 3G/4G WorldModeWorld’s First 3G/4G WorldModeTMTM DeviceDeviceEnables Mobile WiMAX devices to roam onto EVEnables Mobile WiMAX devices to roam onto EV--DO Rev A networksDO Rev A networksEnables Mobile WiMAX devices to roam onto EVEnables Mobile WiMAX devices to roam onto EV--DO Rev. A networksDO Rev. A networks

EV-DO Rev. A + Mobile WiMAX

FranklinU300

2www.cdg.org

Several CDMA2000/LTE multimode and multiband devicesare being developed

Next Generation Multimode DevicesNext Generation Multimode DevicesNext generation mobile broadband devices will leverage the learning curve of Next generation mobile broadband devices will leverage the learning curve of CDMA2000 W ldM dCDMA2000 W ldM d TMTM d id iCDMA2000 WorldModeCDMA2000 WorldModeTMTM devicesdevices

LTE

LTEWiMAX*EV-DO Rev. BEV-DO Rev. AEV DO R l 0

WiMAX*WCDMAHSPA+EV-DO Rev. BEV-DO Rev. AEV DO Rel 0EV-DO Rel. 0

GPS1X

EV-DO Rel. 0GPS1X

Radio Frequency Links:450 MHz 700 MHz 800 MHz 900 MHz 1500 MHzGPS 1700 MHz 1800 MHz

1900 MHz AWS 2100 MHz 2500 MHz 3500 MHz

2www.cdg.org

Radio frequency selection is carrierRadio frequency selection is carrier--dependentdependent* WiMAX is enabled using a separate chipset ** MDM 9800 and MDM 9600 chipsets will support FDD and TDD duplex modes and different carrier bandwidths.

Initial Initial WorldModeWorldMode LTE Device AvailabilityLTE Device AvailabilityCDMA industry is developing CDMA2000 / LTE multimode/multiband devicesCDMA industry is developing CDMA2000 / LTE multimode/multiband devices

Multimode LTECommercial Device Availability

Modes: • LTE• CDMA2000 1X

LTE Peak Data Rates (20 MHz):

Commercial Device Availability

• CDMA2000 1X• EV-DO Rev. A• EV-DO Rev. B• UMTS• HSPA+

DL: 50 MbpsUL: 25 Mbps

• HSPA+

HandsetPC Card

Q220112009

Q4 2010

2www.cdg.org

Migration TimelineMigration TimelineWith an increasing number of subscribers the migration process is lengtheningWith an increasing number of subscribers the migration process is lengthening

Migration of SubscribersMigration of Subscribers4G4G

Growth of 2G peaks3G3G

2G2G2G2G2G subs exceed 1G subs –

Roughly 15 years after inception of industry.

1G1G

Putting things into perspective.Putting things into perspective.199519901985 2000 2005 20132010

2www.cdg.org

utt g t gs to pe spect eutt g t gs to pe spect eThe generational migration process will take many years.The generational migration process will take many years.

Voice will remain the Killer Application.Voice will remain the Killer Application.Source: Net growth average of Strategy Analytics (Jun 2008), ABI (Aug 2008), Wireless Intelligence (Jul 2008), WCIS+ (Jul 2008), iGR (Mar 2008) and Yankee Group (Jun 2008) for subscriber forecasts (2008 and beyond) summed with CDG actual numbers of 2008