Ce21 Engineering Statistics Syllabus 2nd Semester 2014 2015

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  • 1 of 3 Ver. 1/13/2015 ACR

    CE21 ENGINEERING STATISTICS Course Syllabus

    Second Semester, AY 2014-2015

    COURSE DESCRIPTION Frequency distribution, averages, measures of variation, simple probability theory, theory of large and small sampling. Correlation and applications in engineering. PREREQUISITE : Math 53 Course Credit : 3.0 units COURSE GOALS After completing this course, a student must be able to

    (1) use the concepts of probability to guide in making statistical inferences (2) apply several common probability distributions to relevant scientific and engineering problems (3) use statistical tools such as estimation, regression and hypothesis testing to as decision tools

    REFERENCES (1) Principles of statistics for engineers and scientists by WC Navidi (Main Reference) (2) Probability and Statistics for Scientists and Engineers by Walpole et al (3) Probability Concepts in Engineering (Emphasis on Applications to Civil and Environmental Engineering)

    LECTURER

    Resurreccion, Augustus C. PhD Environment and Energy Engineering Group Construction Engineering and Management Group

    Consultation Time/Place: WF 9:00-11:00AM and F 1:00-5:00 PM ERDT Office MH 203 Melchor Hall

    Email: [email protected] Phone: 09285526442

    GENERAL CLASS POLICIES

    Attendance Attendance is required. A student is considered late if he/she arrives in between 9:15 and 10:00 AM. He/She is considered absent if he/she arrives after 10:00 AM. Three instances of tardiness will be counted as one absence. A student who incurs 6 unexcused absences will be given a grade of 5.0 if he/she does not drop before April 27, 2015. Course Requirements Students will be evaluated on the basis of class participation, long exams and group project/case study.

    Class Participation (CP). Students are expected to actively participate in class discussions. Class participation

    includes attendance, recitation, homework, problem sets and quizzes (or even a small activity outside the classroom).

    Long Exam (LE). There will be FOUR long exams. Students are required to submit answer sheets on the first day of the class. Note: Complaints will be entertained for a period of one week after the exam result has been returned.

    Final Exam (FE). Final exam covering all topics discussed will be given at the end of the semester. Exemption from taking the final exam: a. All long exams are passing (i.e., at least 60% score in all long exams), and b. The average of the four long exam scores is at least 76%.

    Note on Intellectual Dishonesty Any form of intellectual dishonesty (i.e cheating, plagiarism) will be penalized with a grade of 5.0 and will be dealt will full force of the law

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    Grading System The students final grade will be computed using: If the student is exempted from taking the final exam, the class standing is computed as:

    Class Standing = Average of four long exam scores If the student takes the final exam, the class standing is computed as:

    Class Standing = 0.10 CP + 0.60 LE + 0.30 FE Final exam shall be subsitituted for a missed exam, only those with a valid reason. Only one long exam can be substituted. The student must inform the instructor in writing and submit the letter to the instructor together with supporting documents (e.g., certification from a medical doctor). Equivalent Grading Scale COURSE OUTLINE

    Overview and Descriptive Statistics Lecture Date: January 26, 2015 Populations, Samples and Processes Pictorial and Tabular Methods in Descriptive Statistics Measures of Location Measures of Variability Probability Lecture Date: February 2 and 9, 2015 Sample Spaces and Events Axioms, Interpretations, and Properties of Probability Counting Techniques Conditional Probability Bayes Theorem; Independence

    FIRST LONG EXAM (February 14, 2015 Saturday 9-11 am)

    Random Variables and Probability Distributions Lecture Date: February 16 and 23, 2015 Concept of a Random Variable Discrete and Continuous Random Variables Probability Distributions Independence Mean, Variance, Covariance and Correlation Linear Combinations of Random Variable Chebyshevs Theorem Joint Probability Distributions Marginal Distributions Conditional Probability Distribution Discrete Probability Distribution Lecture Date: March 2 and 9 2015 The Binomial Probability Distribution Hypergeometric, Geometric and Negative Binomial Distributions The Poisson Probability Distribution Continuous Probability Distribution Lecture Date: March 16 and 23, 2015 Normal Distribution Lognormal Distribution The Exponential and Gamma Distributions Other Continuous Distributions Probability Plots Central Limit Theorem

    SECOND LONG EXAM (March 28, 2015 Saturday 9-11 am)

    Final Grade Equivalent Grade Final Grade Equivalent Grade92-100 1.00 72-below 76 2.25

    88-below 92 1.25 68-below 72 2.5084-below 88 1.50 64-below 68 2.7580-below 84 1.75 60-below 64 3.0076-below 80 2.00 Below 60 5.00

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    Point and Interval Estimation for a Single Sample Lecture Date: March 30 and April 6, 2015 Point Estimation Large-Sample Confidence Intervals for a Population Mean Confidence Intervals for Proportions Small-Sample Confidence Intervals for a Population Mean Prediction Intervals and Tolerance Intervals Hypothesis Tests for a Single Sample Lecture Date: April 13 and 20, 2015 Large-Sample Tests for a Population Mean Drawing Conclusions from the Results of Hypothesis Tests Tests for a Population Proportion; Small-Sample Tests for a Population Mean The Chi-Square Test Fixed-Level Testing Power Multiple Tests

    THIRD LONG EXAM (April 25, 2015 Saturday 9-11 am) Inferences for Two Samples Lecture Date: April 27 and May 4, 2015 Large-Sample Inferences on the Difference Between Two Population Means Inferences on the Difference Between Two Proportions Small-Sample Inferences on the Difference Between Two Means Inferences Using Paired Data F Test for Equality of Variance Regression and Correlation Lecture Date: May 11 and 18, 2015 The Simple Linear Regression Model Estimating Model Parameters Correlation

    FOURTH LONG EXAM (May 20, 2015 Wednesday 5-7 pm) FINAL EXAM (Tentative: May 27, 2015 Wednesday 4-7 pm)