Censere - Shenzhen - 13 Jan 2011(Eng-Chi) v.1.0

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    Patent ValuationMethods & Practice

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    Why Value IP?

    What can be measured can be managed

    Or, put another way...

    In order to manage properly you must measure accurately

    Regular valuation ofIP and monitoring of royalty rates is thebasis for successful commercialisation ofIP.

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    Three Approaches to Valuation

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    The Cost Approach

    considers the cost to reproduce or replace in newcondition the assets appraised in accordance withcurrent market prices for similar assets, withallowance for accrued depreciation or obsolescencepresent, whether arising from physical, functionalor economic causes.

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    The Cost Approach

    Key Considerations:

    Ability to accurately determine ReplacementCost New

    Identify economic life versus physical or

    statutory lifeAccurately assess all elements of depreciation

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    The Cost Approach

    :General drawbacks of the CostApproach:

    Doesnt address economic aspects of ownership

    Risks of not receiving economic benefits notaddressed

    Some elements of depreciation difficult toquantify accurately

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    The Market Approach

    considers prices recently paid for similar assets,with adjustments made to market prices to reflectcondition and utility of the appraised assets relativeto the market comparative.

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    The Market Approach

    Pre-requisites for use of the Market Approach

    Active market

    There must be adequate numbers of transactionsavailable to be considered in the analysis

    Public market All relevant information relating to the markettransactions must be known

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    The Market Approach

    :

    General drawbacks of the MarketApproach:

    It is an excellent approach, most easily understood bylay-people but often unusable due to either lack oftransactions or lack of data relating to sales.

    All IA are unique need to make adjustments fordifferences between transacted assets and subject

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    The Income Approach

    is the conversion of expected periodic benefits of

    ownership into an indication of value. It is basedon the principle that an informed buyer would pay

    no more for an asset than an amount equal to thepresent worth of anticipated future benefits(income) from the same or a substantially similarasset with a similar risk profile.

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    The Income Approach

    Key considerations forIncomeApproach

    Must be able to isolate earnings or cash flows directlyattributable to the asset being valued

    Must identify current and possible applications of the

    asset

    Need to determine an appropriate multiple or discountrate supportable by market data

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    The Income Approach

    :General drawbacks of the IncomeApproach:

    Earnings/cash flow forecasts are subject to manyassumptions, many of which are subjective to acertain extent

    Determination of discount rate or earningsmultiple also difficult to prove objectively

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    Common Valuation Methods

    CostApproachCost to replicate

    MarketApproachSales comparison method IncomeApproach

    Relief from Royalties

    Excess EarningsMulti-period Excess Earnings Method

    Incremental Discounted Cash Flow

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    Unique Features of Patents

    Statutory life versus economic life

    Every patent is unique no direct comparisons

    Highest and best use is not always obvious value isdependent on the user/owner

    Often rely on complementary assets to generate cash-flows

    Can generate highest returns of any asset class, but also easilyeroded

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    Focus on the Income Approach

    Capitalised Income Method

    /E

    xcessE

    arnings/R

    esidualIncome

    :

    Various applications of the DCF method:

    Relief From Royalty

    P

    remiumP

    ricing Production Cost Savings

    Multi-period Excess Earnings Method

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    Valuation of Manufacturing Know-how

    1,320,000Manufacturing Know-how value, rounded to

    1,316,66730%Capitalised at

    395,000Excess Earnings

    1,105,000Total return on contributory assets

    35,00010%350,000Receivables

    10,0005%200,000Cash

    60,00012%500,000Inventory

    900,00018%5,000,000Machinery & Equipment

    100,0005%2,000,000Land & Buildings

    Less contributory asset charges:

    1,500,000Divisional Earnings Before Interest

    Example Residual Income

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    Example Relief From Royalty

    Relief from Royalty Analysis

    Step 2 - Determine future relevant revenue of asset

    Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

    100,000 105,000 110,250 115,763 121,551

    Step 3 - Determine after taxes royalty saving

    Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

    Revenue 100,000 105,000 110,250 115,763 121,551

    Royalty Saving (10%) 10,000 10,500 11,025 11,576 12,155

    3,000 3,150 3,308 3,473 3,647

    7,000 7,350 7,718 8,103 8,509

    Step 5 Calculate the total present value of asset

    Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

    After Tax Royalty 7,000 7,350 7,718 8,103 8,509

    15% 15% 15% 15% 15%

    0.86957 0.75614 0.65752 0.57175 0.49718

    6,087 5,558 5,074 4,633 4,230

    25,582

    Step 1 - Determine royalty rate for comparable asset (e.g. 10% of revenue)

    Revenue (Growth at 5%) - Step 2

    Taxes (30%)

    After Taxes Royalty - Step 3

    Step 4 - Determine the discount rate of asset (e.g.15% )

    Discount Rate

    Discount Factor

    Present Value

    Total Value - Step 5

    2008 Censere Group. All rights reserved.

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    Key Inputs - Income Approach

    /Detailed Revenue/P&L Forecasts

    Possibly assist client to prepare

    Royalty Rate/Licensing Rate

    Based on existing/past licensing agreements and/ormarket investigation and/or econometric analysis

    Costs of maintenance/support

    Tax basis

    D

    iscountR

    ate

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    Sources of IP Revenue

    Premium selling price

    Price of subject product versus commodity product

    Increased sales volumeSynergies or economies of scale Reduced costs

    Less material wastageReduced energy costs

    ()Automation (reduced labourcosts)

    Reduced risk/cost of funds

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    Royalty Rate Study

    Equitable Royalty Rate

    Licensee Analysis

    Market Analysis

    Analysis of similar licensingagreements to derive market

    benchmark

    Econometric analysis toascertain benefits, risks,

    rewards

    25% Rule?

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    25%25% Rule

    25%25% of incremental gross profit should be

    payable as a license fee for use ofIP

    An arbitrary split which illustrates thatbulk of risk is usually borne by the licensee

    Actual split is best determined afteranalysis of relative risks to each party

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    Contact Details

    Brett Shadbolt, CEO

    Censere Group

    Tel (Hong Kong) +852 2511 2011

    Tel (Shanghai) +86 216249 7358

    E-Mail [email protected]

    Website http://www.censere.com