CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    1/97

    BABUJI K

    DEPUTY GENERAL MANAGER

    FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES -

    CONCEPTS `

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    2/97

    Friday, January 07, 20112

    DERIVATIVE MARKETS

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    3/97

    DERIVATIVE MARKETS

    Friday, January 07, 2011

    DERIVATIVES FOREIGN EXCHANGE DERIVATIVES/CURRENCY DERIVATIVES

    FORWARDS

    NON-DELIVERABLE FORWARDS

    FUTURES

    OPTIONS

    SWAPS INTEREST RATE SWAPS

    CURRENCY SWAPS

    INTEREST RATE DERIVATIVES

    INTEREST RATE SWAPS

    INTEREST RATE FUTURES

    INTEREST RATE OPTIONS

    CREDIT DERIVATIVES

    COMMODITY DERIVATIVES

    EQUITY DERIVATIVES

    3

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    4/97

    INDIAN DERIVATIVE MARKETS

    Friday, January 07, 2011

    `

    4

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    5/97

    FX outright is an agreement to exchange twocurrencies at a rate agreed today, for delivery onan agreed future date

    Exchange rate fixed today while currencies getexchanged at future date

    Maturity can be any fixed date or any date withinfixed period

    Today Future date

    Transaction Delivery or value

    FX FORWARDS

    Friday, January 07, 20115

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    6/97

    FX outright consists of a spot deal and a forwards deal

    Today Future dateSpot date

    Buy 3 month USD outright against INR

    buy USD/INR

    sell USD/INR buy USD/INR

    3 month USD/INR forwards

    FX FORWARDS

    Friday, January 07, 20116

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    7/97

    Premium and Discount A currency is said to be at a premium against another currency if it is

    more expensive in the forward market than the spot market.

    A currency is said to be at a discount against another currency if it isless expensive in the forward market than the spot market.

    If forwards are quoted as premium outright = spot + forwards pips

    If forwards are quoted as discount

    outright = spot - forwards pips

    If the forward margins are given in ASCENDING

    order,(10/15,20/25),they are premium margins If the forward margins are given in DESCENDING

    order,(15/10,25/20),they are discount margins

    FX FORWARDS

    Friday, January 07, 20117

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    8/97

    Quoted among dealers as differentials Premium or discount represent the interest rate differentials

    between the two currencies for the period of the forwardconverted in foreign exchange

    Swap points/forward points represent amount of foreignexchange that will neutralise the interest rate differentialsbetween two currencies

    If a base currency A earns higher interest rate than term currencyB the base currency will trade at forward discount or below thespot rate

    If a base currency A earns lower interest rate than the termcurrency B, the base currency will trade at a forward premium orabove the spot rate

    The trader who losses on the interest rate will earn the forwardpremium and vice versa

    In convertible currencies, the forward points would clearly reflectinterest rate differential , else arbitrage will set in and would bringit back to the correct levels equivalent to interest rate differential

    FORWARD RATES - THEORY

    Friday, January 07, 20118

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    9/97

    A company is long USD/CHF value date 6 months andwants to hedge the FX-risk. There are

    two alternatives:

    1. Sell USD outright against CHF or

    2. Sell USD spot against CHF and refinance USD for 6 months by means of an interbank

    deposit and

    invest CHF for 6 months by means of an interbank deposit

    The results of both alternatives must be the same.

    Otherwise the market participants would do arbitrage thatmeans they would buy the cheaper alternative and closethe position by selling the other one. Hence the differencewould disappear very quickly.

    FORWARD RATES INTEREST

    RATE PARITY THEORY

    Friday, January 07, 20119

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    10/97

    FORWARD RATES Interest

    Rate parity - Example

    Friday, January 07, 201110

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    11/97

    FWD RATE =

    D = No. of days I b = Base currency interest rate

    O = Outright rate I v = Variable currency interest rate

    Spot = Spot exchange rate B B = Basis of term in base currency

    B V = Basis of term in variable currency

    FORWARD RATES - FORMULA

    Friday, January 07, 201111

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    12/97

    FORWARD RATES - EXAMPLE

    Friday, January 07, 201112

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    13/97

    Rate(USD/INR)

    BuyingRate

    SellingRate

    Spot 47.5500 47.5600

    1 MonthFR

    47.5500

    +0.1000

    47.6500

    47.5600

    +0.150047.7100

    2Month FR 47.5500

    +0.2000

    47.7500

    47.5600

    +0.2500

    47.8100

    FX FORWARDOUTRIGHT RATES

    Friday, January 07, 201113

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    14/97

    Hedging forward currency risks, by locking into a fixed exchange rate for apredefined future date. Eg. Corporates hedge their forward exportreceivables or import payables by entering into forward USD sales orpurchases.

    Assuming an exporter is due to receive USD 1 mio after 3 months, he canenter into a forward contract with a Bank to sell USD 1 mio at the end of 3months at a predetermined exchange rate of INR 46.37 / USD.

    Hedging any foreign currency borrowings / investments. Eg. Bank A raises a1yr USD liability at USD LIBOR + 50 bps. The bank runs the risk of Rupee

    depreciation; to hedge this risk, the bank would hedge the currency risk bybooking a forward purchase of USDs to meet his USD liability repayment.Hence the bank enters into a forward agreement with another bank to buyUSDs at the end of 1 year

    FORWARDS APPLICATIONS

    Friday, January 07, 201114

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    15/97

    CONVERSION TO PER CENTTERMS

    Forward Premia (in %)[Forward rate Spot rate] * 365 *100

    = ---------------------------------------------Spot rate * no. of days

    =(46.37-46.10)*365*100

    ------------------------------------ = 2.37%46.10*90

    Friday, January 07, 201115

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    16/97

    FX MARKETS TYPICAL SPOT

    AND FORWARD RATES

    Friday, January 07, 201116

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    17/97

    FX MARKETS Typical Forward

    points in the market

    BID OFFERSpot 45.65 45.66

    Dec -10 27 28Jan -11 51 52

    Feb-11 71 72Mar-11 89 90Apr-11 109 110

    May-11 124 125

    Jun-11 139 140Jul-11 154 155Aug-11 169 170Sep-11 183 184Oct-11 197 198

    Friday, January 07, 201117

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    18/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    19/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    20/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    21/97

    January 7, 201121

    Convertibility and Transferability

    Currencies like INR/CNY/ TWD/KRW

    BIS Survey in September 2006 estimates around USD 500 million every day

    NDF on South Asian currencies traded in Singapore

    Use of NDF

    NDFs allow corporations, banks and other organisation to hedge theircurrency risk simply and efficiently

    Whether the exposure takes the shape of overseas assets or equity

    holdings, international subsidiaries or receivables in foreign currencies NDF to protect their investment

    The demand for NDFs arises principally out of regulatory and liquidityissues of the underlying currencies.

    Principles

    As with normal forward transaction you either buy or sell the NDFdepending on your position to be hedged or your view on the currency or

    its interest rates

    There is no physical delivery of currency at maturity

    Instead, the difference between the agreed outright price and theprevailing spot rate is multiplied by the notional amount of the contract toreturn an amount in dollars

    Settlement: Payment of Netting

    NON-DELIVERABLE FORWARDSNon-deliverable forwards

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    22/97

    January 7, 201122

    NDFs are generally short term instruments, using the samestandard foreign exchange as forward market convention

    Two way prices are quoted two ways bid / offer

    NDFs require a fixing mechanism to establish a spot rate onwhich to settle these transactions

    The purchaser of the contract pays out the foreign exchangedifferential in dollars

    Advantage of NDFs

    Not subject to local regulations or restrictions

    Principal not subject to settlement risk only profit and loss

    Simple and easy settlement

    Only settlement currency in USD so no local currencyaccounts are needed

    Eliminates paying spot bid/ask spreads again at maturity ofthe contract

    Non-deliverable forwards

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    23/97

    January 7, 201123

    The formula: Settlement amount in US dollar = Notional

    amount in US dollar * ((NDF rate Reference

    rate on Settlement date) / Reference rate). If settlement amount < zero, contract seller

    pays the difference to the contract buyer.

    If settlement amount > zero, contract seller

    receives the difference from the contractbuyer.

    Non-deliverable forwards -

    Settlement

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    24/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    25/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    26/97

    Friday, January 07, 201126

    CURRENCY FUTURES

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    27/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    28/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    29/97

    Friday, January 07, 2011

    CURRENCY FUTURES DIFFERENCE BETWEEN

    FUTURES AND FORWARDS

    Forwards/OTC Exchange Traded FuturesAccessibility Restricted entry Entry not restricted

    PriceTransparency

    Limited access Online

    High visibility

    Liquidity Depth not known Depth visible

    Agreements Customized Standard

    Credit Exposure Yes Mitigated throughexchange

    Settlement Physical Delivery Net Settled in cash

    Underlyingexposure

    Required Not required

    29

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    30/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    31/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    32/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    33/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    34/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    35/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    36/97

    Friday, January 07, 2011

    An Option gives the buyer the right, but not the Obligation,

    to buy or to sell an agreed amount of FinancialInstrument (Call/Put)

    on or before an Agreed Future Date (expiry)

    at an Agreed Price (strike)

    in exchange for a Fee (Premium)

    Right to buy Call option

    Right to sell Put option

    CURRENCY OPTIONS

    36

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    37/97

    Friday, January 07, 2011

    Option is similar to forward contract with more flexibility to thecustomers

    Option contracts gives the buyer the right but not the obligation

    Option can be OTC contract or exchange traded contract

    Recently in India exchange traded currency option has been

    introduced In Indian market, banks sell options to customer banks are

    option writers

    Customers are options buyers

    Right to exercise the Option is available for the buyers and not

    the writers

    CURRENCY OPTIONS

    37

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    38/97

    OPTIONS TERMINOLOGY

    Underlying The currency pair on the basis of which option

    is tradedNotional The amount of the underlying

    Strike Price The price at which the underlying is bought orsold

    Expiration Date The date on which the option expires

    Delivery Date The date on which the underlying is delivered ifthe option is exercised

    Settlement Date The date on which the premium is settled

    Maturity / Tenor Length of time till expiration date

    Cut Time at which the Option expires

    Option Price orPremium

    The upfront cost of the option

    Style American or European

    Friday, January 07, 201138

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    39/97

    O ti i i d t i t

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    40/97

    Friday, January 07, 2011

    Time ValueIntrinsic Value

    +

    Time till maturity

    Interest RateDifferential

    Volatility

    Difference between

    strike and spot rate

    Strike rate

    Options pricing determinants

    40

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    41/97

    Three states At The Money

    In The Money

    Out of The Money With reference to

    holder of option

    State Call Put

    ATM S=X S=X

    ITM S>X S

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    42/97

    Friday, January 07, 2011

    Option premium is the price for the option Premium is payable upfront which is the gain

    realized by the option writer

    Option buyer has unlimited profit potential butloss is limited to the premium paid

    Option writer has no right but face unlimitedobligation

    Option writer covers his option contracts withcustomers on back to back basis either in thedomestic market or in overseas market

    CURRENCY OPTIONS -

    PREMIUM

    42

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    43/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    44/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    45/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    46/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    47/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    48/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    49/97

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    50/97

    50

    To hedge the option positions, market makers do spottransactions

    The amount of spot that the market maker buys or sells

    depends on the hedge ratio of the option, also referred to as

    the delta of the option

    For e.g. if the market maker buys $ 100 mio of 45.75 strike

    USD Put INR call for a 1 month tenor, the following table

    shows the delta of the option 1m, 2w and 1w from expiry

    of the option at various spot levels

    GREEKS - DELTA

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    51/97

    51

    Example : Market Maker Long USD 100 mio of 1 month45.50 USD Put INR Call

    1 month 2 weeks 1 weekDays toExpiry/Spot

    Delta Spot Hedge Delta Spot Hedge Delta Spot Hedge

    43.75 -86 +$86 mio -93 +$93 mio -97 +$97mio

    44.25 -76 +$76 mio -82 +$82 mio -90 +$90 mio

    44.75 -63 +$63 mio -67 +$67 mio -72 +$72 mio

    45.25 -50 +$50 mio -50 +$50 mio -50 +$50 mio

    45.75 -37 +$37 mio -33 -$33 mio -29 +$29 mio

    46.25 -26 +$26 mio -20 +$20 mio -13 +$13 mio

    GREEKS DELTA(HEDGE RATIO)

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    52/97

    52

    Lets say the spot at the time of trade was at 45.75, the hedgeratio is 37%, so market maker would buy $37 mio in the spot

    market to hedge the option

    If spot falls to 45.25, the hedge ratio would increase to 50%,

    so the market maker needs to buy $ 13 mio ( 50-37) to re-hedge the option position

    If spot then rises to 46.25, the hedge ratio would be 26%, so

    the market maker needs to sell $24 mio ( 50-26) to rebalance

    the portfolio

    GREEKS DELTA(HEDGE RATIO)

    DELTA HEDGING

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    53/97

    Trader who is short of a call option or long of a put option

    Negative delta

    Buys the underlying

    Trader who is long of a call option or short of a put option

    Positive delta

    Sells the underlying

    Delta denotes the sensitivity of option price to the movement of the underlying assetprice

    Delta is also known as hedge ratio or the number of units of the underlying that shouldbe bought or sold

    The price of the underlying and delta keeps moving and hence needs dynamic hedgingor rebalancing every day/week

    Delta Call options

    close to zero for deep out of the money call options

    0.5 at the money

    close to one for deep in the money call options

    Delta Put options

    close to zero for deep out of the money call options

    0.5 at the money

    close to minus one for deep in the money call options

    DELTA HEDGING

    TECHNIQUES

    Friday, January 07, 201153

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    54/97

    Contract between two parties to exchange periodic couponpayments in two different currencies over a period of time.

    Notional principals are also exchanged on the maturity ofthe swap. The initial exchange of principal is optional asnotional principals are determined at inception using the

    spot exchange rate. Effectively, this implies re-denominating a liability into the

    alternate currency.

    Coupon payments are calculated based on notionalprincipal amounts in two different currencies. Couponpayments can be fixed vs fixed, fixed vs floating, or floatingvs floating.

    As for an interest rate swap, the price is determined byequating the NPVs of both legs of the transaction.

    Cross currency swaps

    Friday, January 07, 201154

    Cross currency swaps

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    55/97

    Cross currency swaps -

    ExampleSwiss bank X with A rating needs USD 100 millionfor 5 years at a fixed rate and could refinance itselfat 6.50% in USD. The current yield in capital marketis 6.25% (5 years)

    X can issue a 5-year bond in Swiss franc with aninterest rate of 5.625%. The current rate in capitalmarkets is CHF 5.50%

    Currency swap can be used with an exchange offixed interest rates of 6.25% in USD and 5.50% inCHF

    For both initial and final exchange a USD/CHF rateof 1.4500 is fixed

    With issue and simultaneous currency swap, Xcould secure the needed USD 100 million.

    On the CHF side a loss of 0.125% will be incurred(5.625% expenditure for issue 5.50% interest

    return in swap)Theoretically the total expenditure of the deal isUSD 6.25% in USD +0.125% in CHF = 6.375%

    As refinancing cost independently for X for USD is6.50%, it saves 0.125% .

    Friday, January 07, 201155

    Cross currency swaps -

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    56/97

    Cross currency swaps -

    ExampleA corporate raised Rs. 47 crore at 12% for 5 years

    interest payable semi-annually. It can convert thisloan from rupees to USD by entering into currencyswaps

    Under the above structure, corporate pays USD 6month LIBOR to the bank and receives 11% every 6months.

    On every 1st January and 1st July the corporatereceives from the swap bank 11% on Rs.47 crore i.e.Rs.2.59 crore

    Corporate pays USD LIBOR on USD 10 million and

    suppose that on first reset date USD LIBOR is 5%then it pays 5% on USD 10 million in rupee termsconverted at the then prevailing exchange rate whichin this example is say Rs.48.00 per USD.

    The interest payable is (10000000 x 5% x 0.5) x 48= 1.20 crore

    In effect corporate receives Rs.1.39 crore.

    Friday, January 07, 201156

    INTEREST RATE

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    57/97

    INTEREST RATEDERIVATIVES

    Friday, January 07, 201157

    TYPES OF INTEREST RATE

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    58/97

    Forward rate greements

    Interest rate Futures

    Interest Rate SwapsInterest Rate Options Not allowed inRupees Yet

    TYPES OF INTEREST RATE

    DERIVATIVES

    Friday, January 07, 201158

    FORWARD RATE

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    59/97

    While futures and forward contracts are similar,forward contracts differ because

    they are negotiated between counter-parties,

    there is no daily settlement or marking-to-market,

    no exchange guarantees performance FRAs are cash-settled at the settlement date with

    no interim cash flows.

    FORWARD RATE

    AGREEMENTS

    Friday, January 07, 201159

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    60/97

    The two counterparties to an FRA agree to a notionalprincipal amount that serves as a reference figure indetermining cash flows.

    notional refers to the condition that the principaldoes not change hands, but is only used to

    calculate the value of interest payments. The buyer of the FRA agrees to pay a fixed-rate

    coupon payment and receive a floating-ratepayment against the notional principal at somespecified future date.

    The seller of the FRA agrees to pay a floating-ratepayment and receive the fixed-rate paymentagainst the same notional principal.

    NOTIONAL AMOUNT

    Friday, January 07, 201160

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    61/97

    FIX FUTURE INTEREST RATE WHO USES

    HEDGERS AGAINST FUTURE INTEREST RATERISK BY SETTING FUTURE INTEREST RATETODAY

    SPECULATE ON FUTURE INTEREST RATE ARBITRAGE BETWEEN FUTURES AND FRA

    OTC PRODUCT AT AGREED FUTURE RATE SETTLEMENT

    PAYMENT DIFFERENCE . NO OBLIGATION TO EXCHANGE PRINCIPAL CASH SETTLED

    FEATURES

    Friday, January 07, 201161

    I t t t F t

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    62/97

    Short term interest rate futures

    Standardised exchange traded forward contracts on money marketinstruments such as treasury bill

    Cash settlement and not physical settlement

    Future price quoted as discount

    Future price = 100 Interest rate

    Forward interest rate of 5.50% equals a future price of 94.50 = 100-5.50

    Purchase the futures contract on day 1 at a market price of 95.00, andat maturity the final settlement price is 96.00, then the settlementamount =

    o Notional * (SP-PP/100)*days/basis

    o 10000000 *(96.00-95.00)/100*90/360) = Rs. 25000

    If the underlying interest rate decreases, the price will increase and viceversa

    Interest rate Futures

    I t t t F t

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    63/97

    Bond futures

    Exchange traded interest rate derivative contract to buyor sell a notional security or any other interest bearinginstrument or an index of such instruments or interest

    rate at a specified future date at a price determined atthe time of contract

    Each future will have a standard contract specifications

    Normally they are contracts on Government securities

    Expecting interest rate to rise, sell the future and viceversa

    Interest rate Futures

    I t t t F t (IRF) i

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    64/97

    Introduction of IRS/FRA in 1999 IRF introduced in June 2003

    Cash settled Futures on 10 year notional GOI security with coupon of 6%

    Cash settled Futures on 10 year notional zero coupon GOI security

    Cash settled Futures on 91 day treasury bill

    Valuation based on ZCYC Banks allowed to use IRF only for hedging

    PDs for hedging and trading

    Interest rate futures directions dated August 28, 2009

    Notional coupon bearing GOI security with physical settlement was relaunchedon August 31, 2009

    April RBI Annual policy announced the proposal to introduce interestrate future on 2-year and 5-year notional coupon bearing securitiesand 91-day treasury bills

    Interest rate Futures (IRF) in

    India Genesis

    I t t t F t

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    65/97

    Participants

    Banks and primary dealers

    Mutual fund and insurance companies

    Corporate houses and financial institutions FIIs

    Member broker and retail investors

    Members in exchange

    Net worth of Rs. 1 crore for trading members

    Net worth of Rs.10 crore for clearing members

    Interest rate Futures

    I t t t F t

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    66/97

    August 28, 2009 directions Residents may purchase or sell IRF for hedging interest rate risk or otherwise

    FII may purchase or sell IRF up to their individual limit of investment in Gsec

    Banks to get permission from respective regulatory departments

    Banks not allowed to undertake transactions in IRF on behalf of clients

    September 1, 2009 Stand alone PDs allowed to deal in IRF both for hedging and trading on own account and

    not on behalf of clients

    September 18, 2009

    NBFCs can participate as clients only for hedging their underlying exposures

    October 28, 2009

    UCBs can participate only for hedging their underlying exposures and not on behalf ofclients

    Interest rate Futures

    Contract specifications

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    67/97

    Contract size Rs 2,00,000

    Contract base 10-year, 7 per cent notional GoI security with semi-annual compounding

    Delivery grades GoI securities maturing at least 8 years but not more than 10.5 years from the first day of thedelivery months with minimum total outstanding stock of at least Rs 10,000 crores. Invoice priceequals the future settlement price times a conversion factor plus accrued interest. The conversionfactor is the price of delivered security (Rs 1 par value) to yield 7 per cent

    Tick size Minimum price fluctuations shall be in multiples of Rs 0.0025

    Settlement Daily settlement mark to market daily - volume weighted average price of the last half an hourperiod specified by the exchange

    Final settlement Physical on delivery day on delivery month ., last working day of the month

    Contract month Maximum maturity : 12 months March, June, September and December, to start with NSEintroduced two quarterly contracts

    Margins As stipulated by the exchange

    Last trading day Two business day preceding the last business day of delivery month

    Last delivery day Last business day of the delivery month

    Delivery method Physical delivery of deliverable grade securities from the first business day of delivery month tolast business day of the delivery month with owner of short deciding the date of delivery. CSGLaccounts of CDSL and NSDL

    Trading hours 9:00 hrs to 17:00 hrs on weekdays

    p

    Trends in interest rate futures at

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    68/97

    Friday, January 07, 2011Babuji K

    68

    Trends in interest rate futures at NSE

    Month/year No. of contracts traded Trading value (Rs. In crore)

    Aug-09 14559 267

    Sep-09 79648 1473

    Oct-09 21198 394

    Nov-09 18134 337

    Dec-09 11687 215Jan-10 6443 119

    Feb-10 3124 57

    Mar-10 6101 111

    Apr-10 407 7

    May-10 1177 22

    Jun-10 917 17

    Jul-10 205 4

    Aug-10 26 0.49

    NSE

    Interest rate Futures (IRF) in India

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    69/97

    Friday, January 07, 2011Babuji K

    69

    Interest rate Futures (IRF) in India

    Key points

    Interest rate Futures (IRF) in India

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    70/97

    Conversion factorIn order to allow a wide range of bonds to be delivered, the exchange applies adelivery mechanism which approximately equalizes the cost of a wider set ofbonds which can be delivered which is called conversion factor

    Cost of delivering the bond decided on the basis of conversion factor

    To put all the deliverable bonds (which have a wide variety of couponsand maturity) on roughly equal footing making the cost of delivery similar

    Choice as to which contract to deliver will be made by the short and theprice received by him will depend on the bond that he chooses to deliver

    The conversion is the value of the bond per Rs.100 face value ascalculated on the first day of the delivery month using an annual YTM of7% with semi-annual compounding.

    Conversion factor makes the seller indifferent between what bonds tochoose in the environment where the yield curve is flat at a specified yield

    The bond where difference between Quoted price of the bond (Futuresprice * Conversion factor) is most beneficial to the seller

    Interest rate Futures (IRF) in India

    Key points

    Interest rate Futures (IRF) in India

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    71/97

    Friday, January 07, 2011Babuji K

    71

    ( )Key points Conversion factor NSE

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    72/97

    Interest rate Futures (IRF) in

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    73/97

    IRF did not take off - Probable Reasons ?Markets discomfort with ZCYC pricing

    Derived pricing of ZCYC

    Banks not allowed to trade which was asymmetrical with whatthey were permitted to do in IRS

    Jan 2004: A new product based on YTMCash settled IRF on a 10-year coupon bearing notional bond,

    priced on a basket of liquid securities

    Not introduced on stock exchanges

    TAC appoints a committee to recommend measures to activate

    IRF chairmanShri V K Sharma report submitted onFebruary 22, 2008

    Joint RBI-SEBI technical Committee formed currency futures andinterest rate futures

    Interest rate Futures (IRF) in

    India Recap

    Interest rate Futures (IRF) in India

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    74/97

    Money market futures cash settledBond futures physically settled

    Why Cash futures arbitrage would takeplace if physically settled which wouldguarantee that futures prices would be alignedwith underlying prices

    Product specifications to be decided byexchanges

    Short-selling to be permitted and co-terminuswith futures contract introduction to ensurecash-futures arbitrage

    Interest rate Futures (IRF) in India

    Recommendations of committee

    Interest rate Futures (IRF) in India

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    75/97

    Cash settlement Avoids of short squeeze

    Cornering of bonds in cash market by those with long futures position creatingartificial shortage

    Avoids problems relating to settlement and clearing

    Possibility of actual price not exactly in alignment with the traded price of thebond because of manipulation of prices

    Physical settlement

    Deliverable basket of bonds rather than single security

    Motivation liquidity concerns if there was only one deliverable bond and itlost liquidity the future contracts would also lose its liquidity

    Repo squeeze if there was only one bond, buying the futures and thedeliverable bond in large size will be profitable and cause a squeeze in therepo market for the issue

    Interest rate Futures (IRF) in India

    Key points

    RUPEE INTEREST RATE

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    76/97

    Exchange of stream of cash flows Converting Fixed payments to Floating rate

    payments or vice versa

    Introduced in 1999

    Overnight Indexed swap MIBOR

    INBMK

    MIFOR

    RUPEE INTEREST RATE

    SWAPS

    Friday, January 07, 201176

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    77/97

    Tailored bilateral agreement Exchange of Interest Flows on a notional

    Principal

    A receives (pays) Floating

    B pays (receives) Fixed

    At periodic intervals over a pre-determined lifeof the swap

    Swap is a combination of FRAs

    INTEREST RATE SWAPS

    Friday, January 07, 201177

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    78/97

    MOTIVATION

    DIFFERENCES IN CREDIT QUALITY

    LESS CREDIT WORTHY ENTIRY A WAY OFBORROWING FIXED RATE FUNDS FOR ALONGER TERM AT A CHEAPER RATE THANTHEY COULD RAISE SUCH FUNDS IN CAPITAL

    MARKETS

    INTEREST RATE SWAPS

    Friday, January 07, 201178

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    79/97

    INTEREST RATE SWAPS

    Friday, January 07, 201179

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    80/97

    Currently swaps are the only hedgingtools available since futures have nottaken off.. ( more about that later)

    Benchmarks usedOvernight MIBOR ( Mumbai Inter

    Bank Offer Rate)MIFOR ( Mumbai Inter Bank Forward

    Offer Rate) INBMK ( Indian Benchmark Reuters)

    INTEREST RATE SWAPS

    BENCHMARKS

    Friday, January 07, 201180

    OIS (OVERNIGHT INDEXED

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    81/97

    Floating rate is NSE overnight MIBOR ( reset everymorning) remains fixed for the day

    Compounded on a daily basis

    Fixed rate is on simple interest basis

    Available upto 10 year tenors

    Cash flows are exchanged..

    Quarterly basis up to 1 year tenor

    Half-yearly basis for beyond 1 year

    O S (O G

    SWAPS)

    Friday, January 07, 201181

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    82/97

    Over the Counter instruments Designed to transfer or assume credit risk

    Bilateral contracts

    Examples of Credit Derivatives

    Single name Credit default swaps

    Credit Linked Notes

    Collateralized Debit Obligations

    CDS indices

    Total Return Swaps

    CREDIT DERIVATIVES

    Friday, January 07, 201182

    ROLE OF CREDIT

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    83/97

    Hedge or mitigate credit exposure Transfer credit risk

    Generate leverage or yield enhancement

    Decompose and separate credit risk embedded in

    securities Proactively manage portfolio credit risk

    Manage regulatory capital ratios

    DERIVATIVES

    Friday, January 07, 201183

    Credit derivatives - Market

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    84/97

    Pension funds Insurers

    Mutual Funds

    CorporatesHedge funds

    Banks

    participants

    Friday, January 07, 201184

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    85/97

    OTC contract between buyer and seller of protection against risk of default ona set of debt obligations issued by reference entity

    Insurance that protects the buyer against loss of principal on a bond or loan

    Protection pays a periodic premium expressed as a basis points over notionalamount which is called CDS Spreads and payable quarterly

    If pre-specified credit events occur, premium payment stops and seller paysbuyer par value of bond

    If no event occurs, buyer continues to pay premium until maturity

    Credit event can be anything ranging from bankruptcy or default of a bond ordebt issued by reference entity.

    On occurrence of credit event, contract is settled and terminated withprotection buyer having a right to deliver any deliverable debt obligation of thereference entity to the protection seller in exchange for par

    Can also be cash settled in which case protection seller pays an amount parless the market value of deliverable debt obligation

    Credit default swaps

    Friday, January 07, 201185

    Credit Default Swaps Chart of cashflows

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    86/97

    flows

    Friday, January 07, 201186

    Credit default swaps -

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    87/97

    Risk profile similar to bonds but with following differences No initial funding which allows leverage

    CDS can be transacted even if a cash bond of reference entityof particular maturity does not exist

    By selling protection, the seller can synthetically create a short

    position in the reference credit Notional usually of USD 10 to 20 million

    Maturity ranges from 1 to 10 years with 5 years being the mostcommon

    Risks

    Default risk of reference entity

    Credit spread risk (market risk)

    Counterparty risk

    p

    characteristics

    Friday, January 07, 201187

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    88/97

    Investor

    LoanBorrower

    Bank

    Premium payments

    Loss recovery

    Credit

    ($10 mln)

    High-risk entity for default

    No default: Zero

    Credit Default Swaps Mechanism

    Friday, January 07, 201188

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    89/97

    Financial contract to exchange returns on a bond,index or reference entity including cash flows andcapital appreciation or depreciation from one party toanother for LIBOR Plus spread

    Reference asset and reference rate are defined whenthe contract initiates

    Used to hedge the risk of an asset but it still keeps itin books

    Party that agrees to pay floating rate payments andreceive total return is total return receiver

    Party that agrees to receive floating rate paymentsand pay total return is total return payer

    Total Return Swaps

    Friday, January 07, 201189

    Status of Credit Derivatives

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    90/97

    RBI by Working group on credit derivatives inMarch 2003

    Draft guidelines on CDS May 2007

    Was put on hold in view of adverse marketconditions following global financial crisis

    Working group report on Introduction ofCredit Default Swaps for Corporate bonds

    placed in website for comments in August2010

    in India

    Friday, January 07, 201190

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    91/97

    India has 21 commodity exchanges and/or associations including 3national exchanges viz., Multi-commodity exchange (MCX), Nationalcommodity and Derivative Exchange (NCDEX) and National Multi-Commodity exchange (NMCE)

    Forward Markets Commission headquartered in Mumbai is theregulatory authority and overseen by Ministry of Consumer Affairs, Food

    and Public Distribution Organized Commodities trading began in India in 1875

    Futures trading in commodities gained momentum between 1900 and1920

    Option trading in cotton barred in 1939

    Ban on forward trading in oil seeds and some essential commodities in1943

    Forward Contracts Regulation Act was passed in 1952 to regulatecommodity futures trading

    Commodity Derivatives

    Friday, January 07, 201191

    Commodity Derivatives

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    92/97

    Products - Futures

    Bullion ( Gold, Platinum, Silver)

    Metals (Aluminium, Copper, Lead, Nickel, Tin, Zinc, Mid Steel)

    Energy (Crude oil, Heating Oil, Gasoline, Natural Gas)

    Oil and oil seeds (Crude palm oil, Kapasia, Refined Soya oil, Soya bean)

    Cereals (Barely, Wheat, Maize)

    Fibre ( Kapas)

    Plantation (Rubber)

    Pulses (Chana)

    Spices ( Cardamon, Coriander, Turmeric)

    Others ( Almond, Gaur, Mentha Oil, Potato, Red Chilli, Pepper, Jeera)

    Most actively traded

    Crude oil, Silver, Mentha Oil, Copper, Natural Gas, Gold, Nickel

    Electricity exchanges

    Indian Energy Exchange

    Power Exchange India Ltd

    National Power Exchange

    Exchange Traded Carbon Instruments launched in 2008

    Ban on Electricity futures with effect from August 23, 2010

    Products

    Friday, January 07, 201192

    Commodity Derivatives

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    93/97

    MCX has the following indices both based on spot and futuresprices

    No index trading as of now approved

    Composite commodity index based on commodity futures price

    MCXCOMDEX Weighted average of the three group indices from

    2005 MCXAGRI (20%)

    MCXMETAL (40%)

    MCXENERGY(40%)

    Indices

    Friday, January 07, 201193

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    94/97

    Derivative Products Index Futures

    Index Options

    Stock Futures

    Stock Options

    Maximum three month cycle

    Expiry last Thursday of every month

    Permitted lot size informed by exchange

    Equity Derivatives

    Friday, January 07, 201194

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    95/97

    Equity Derivatives - NSE NSE CASH Traded 1360 securities

    Listed 1388 (June 2010) S & P Nifty

    CNX Nifty Junior

    CNX 100

    S & P CNX Defty

    S & P CNX 500

    CNX MIDCAP NIFTY MIDCAP 50

    Major Sectoral indices

    Bank, IT, FMCG, PSE, MNC,Energy, Pharma, Infrastructure,PSU Bank, Realty

    NSE derivatives

    S & P CNX Nifty Futures & Options

    Market lot 50

    No. of scrips - 50

    Mini Nifty Futures & Options

    Market lot 20

    No. of scrips 50

    CNX IT Futures & options

    Market lot 50

    No. of scrips 20

    Nifty Mid Cap 50 Futures & Options

    Market lot 75

    No. of scrips 50

    Bank NIFTY Futures & Options

    Market lot 25

    No. of scrips 12

    Stock Futures & Options in 202 securities

    Friday, January 07, 201195

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    96/97

    Equity Derivatives - BSE BSE-CASH

    Traded 3133 securities Listed8214 (June 2010)

    SENSEX 30 SCRIPS

    MIDCAP 273 SCRIPS

    SMALLCAP 531 SCRIPS

    BSE 100, 200, 500

    BSE DOLLEX

    BSE-IPO 44 scrips

    Major SECTORAL INDICES

    CG, IT, METAL,TECk, OIL & GAS,PSU, POWER, FMCG,BANKEX,REALTY, AUTO,HC , CD

    Stock futures and options on 106securities

    Derivative Products same as BSE

    BSE 30 SENSEX Futures & Options

    Market lot 15

    No. of scrips - 30

    BSE 30 SENSEX Mini futures &Options

    Market lot 5

    No. of scrips - 30 BSE TECH Futures & Options

    Market lot 70

    No. of scrips - 30

    BSE BANKEX Futures & Options

    Market lot 20

    No. of scrips - 14 BSE OIL and GAS Futures & Options

    Market lot 20

    No. of scrips - 10

    Friday, January 07, 201196

  • 8/7/2019 CENTRAL BANKING- ALL DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW-BASICS

    97/97

    BABUJI KDEPUTY GENERAL MANAGER

    [email protected]

    THANK YOU