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CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

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Page 1: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

CER Residential Gas Results 2014

Prepared for:

Prepared by:

June 2014

&

Page 2: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

2

Background

● Fieldwork for this survey was conducted between 10th March and 2nd April 2014

Questionnaire length was 25 minutes

● Survey data collection methodology was ‘face to face’ interviewing via CAPI, administered in the respondent’s home - 1007 respondents interviewed

Margin of error on a sample of this size is +/- 3%. For smaller subsamples the margin will be greater. For example, a base of 194 and 170 exist for electricity and gas switching within the past 12 months = a margin of error of +/- 7.1% and +/- 7.5% respectively.

A total of 120 paired sampling points throughout Republic of Ireland

● The sample is representative across geography, gender, age, socio-economic status and supplier

● The survey is comparable to 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013 surveys in sample approach and representivity

Page 3: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

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Notes on results presented

● Percentage breakdowns are rounded to the nearest whole number to retain accuracy of results. This means that figures presented on charts may not sum to 100% due to rounding

3

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Respondent Profile

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Respondent profile – age, social class, location(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

● Surveys completed across 120 paired sampling points

Proportions reflect the current residential gas population

● 6% of respondents lived in an apartment

● 9% of respondents receive the natural gas allowance

Age profile of respondents Social grade of respondents

18-25 26-35 36-45 46-55 56-64 65+

8%

23% 23%

20%

14%13%

6%

22%21%

23%

13%

15%

3%

20%

26%

21%

13%

17%

3%

20%

26%

21%

13%

17%

2011

2012

2013

2014

Location of respondentsType of Home2012 2013 2014

Dublin 68% 69% 70%

Cork city 11% 11% 11%

Limerick 3% 5% 5%

Cork county 3% 4% 2%

Waterford 4% 3% 3%

Kilkenny 2% 3% 2%

Drogheda 3% 3% 3%

Portlaoise 1% 1% 1%

Carlow 0% 1% 1%

Dundalk 1% 1% 1%

94%

6%

Apartment

House

AB* C1C2* DE* F*

15%

59%

26%

0%

12%

55%

28%

5%

15%

59%

26%

0%

2012

2013

2014

* Social grade definition: AB-Upper/Middle category, C1C2-Lower Middle and Skilled Workers, DE-Unskilled workers, F-Farmers

Page 6: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

6

BGE Airtricity Electric Ireland FloGas Other

78%

16%

0% 2% 2%

69%

21%

8%2% 0%

65%

21%

8%2% 4%

59%

17% 19%

5%0%

2011201220132014

Claimed Market Share: Residential Gas Suppliers(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

• BGE retains the largest market share, however this is declining to the benefit of Electric Ireland.

(Proportion of respondents with each supplier)

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7

Satisfaction with current supplier

● Overall satisfaction in the market stands at 82%, down from 85% in 2013.

● Electric Ireland and Flogas satisfaction scores are relatively stable year-on-year.

● Airtricity and BGE have registered declines in overall satisfaction this wave.

Overall satisfaction by current supplier Overall satisfaction trends

Overall Electric Ireland BGE Airtricity FloGas

82% 81% 83%77%

83%

2011 2012 2013 2014

95%

82% 81%

89%88% 87%

83%

75%

84% 83%

77%

88%

76%

84%83%

Electric Ireland BGE Airtricity FloGas

Base: 1014 157 635 184 27

Page 8: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

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Satisfaction with current supplier by demographics(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

• Younger and older customers are more satisfied with their gas suppliers.

Male Female

81% 83%

Satisfaction by Gender

Satisfaction by Social ClassSatisfaction by Age

Satisfaction by Region

AB C1C2 DE

82% 83%79%

18-25 26-34 35-45 46-55 56-64 65+

82% 79% 80% 78%85% 88%

Dublin Outside Dublin

82% 81%

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Billing & Payment

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Respondent profile – bill delivery and frequency(Base: All who receive a bill - 834)

● Most consumers still receive a printed bill by post. However, the proportion receiving electronic bills via email/website have increased this year – most notably from Airtricity.

● BGE customers are most likely to still be receiving a bill, although this figure is reducing

Method for receiving bill Method of receiving a bill – by supplier

2012 2013 2014 2012 2013 2014 2012 2013 2014 2012 2013 2014

55%

69% 61%

92% 90% 85%

62% 61%

32%

62%

79% 75%

44%

29%29%

6% 8% 11%

38% 40%

52%

38%

13% 18%

9% 5% 9%2% 2% 3% 8% 6%

12%0% 4% 4%

WebsiteEmailPost

EI BGE Airtricity Flogas

Website6%

Email23%

Post69%

Don’t know2%

2014

2012 2013 2014

18% 18%23%

Email

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Reported payment models

Respondent profile – payment models, bill size and knowledge of charges(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

● Reported Prepayment has increased this year to 18%.

● Payment models vary by supplier with BGE and EI having the highest proportion of prepayment.

● When asked to estimate expenditure on natural gas based on typical winter and summer spend, most consumers were not able to estimate the unit cost of natural gas (92%), nor the supply charge (standing charge 90%).

Estimated winter and summer bill size

Bill size Average winter

monthly spend

Average summer

monthly spend

2012 2013 2014 2012 2013 2014

*Usage based bills (Base: 704)

€ 113 €126 €309 €47 €49 €99

Equaliser (Base: 122)

€89.25 €122 €135 €79 €122 €135

Prepayment (Base: 180)

€ 118 €144 €116 €110 €68 €56

Able to provide estimate

Average estimate

2012 2013 2014 2012 2013 2014

Unit cost 12% 19% 8% 6.5c 5.4c 6.2c

Supply charge(every 2 months)

17% 11% 10% €20.25 €19.95 €17.23

Estimates of unit cost and supply charge(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

11 81%

8% 11%0%

76%

11% 12%0%

70%

11% 18%1%

201220132014

*NB usage based bills were based on 2 monthly bills 2014

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12

Respondent profile –payment methods(Base: All not on prepayment - 834)

● A majority (60%) of consumers not on prepayment, pay their gas bill using direct debit – this has been steadily increasing.

● The small increase in the proportion paying by direct debit is driven by an increased proportion of Airtricity customers paying with this method

Prevalence of direct debit (excluding consumers on prepayment)

Prevalence of direct debit (excluding consumers on prepayment) by supplier

12

Airtricity BGE EI FloGas

74%

42%

81% 81%

72%

47%

80%75%

82%

45%

77% 74%

2012 2013 2014

2012 2013 2014

46% 43% 40%

54% 57% 60%

Pay by direct debit Pay other ways

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Respondent profile –Free Gas allowance (Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

● Across the entire population, 9% of natural gas consumers state that they are in receipt of the natural gas allowance

● Variation in FloGas reflects small sample size

● Figures for other suppliers remain stable given the sample sizes.

Proportion of consumers in receipt of Free Gas allowance – by supplier

13

*

*: Small sample size

Overall FloGas Electric Ireland

BGE Airtricity

12%

24%

10%

13%

8%

13%

4%

12%

15%

8%9%11%

9%11%

5%

2012 2013 2014

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Bill payment history, arrears and payment plans(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

● 96% of consumers do not believe that they are in arrears now or at other times

● 16% state that they part pay their bill and therefore may be on payment plans – although the customer does not recognise this as being in arrears

This is a decline from 2013 (-6% points).

● This is also reflected in the small proportions claiming to be currently or previously on a payment plan or state that they were previously disconnected (less than 1% in each case).

14 Stated bill payment record

77%

20%

2% 1%

74%

22%

2% 1%

80%

16%

3% 1%

2012 2013 2014

29% of those ever in arrears have been directed to outside assistance

on budgeting energy efficiency advice or services by their supplier

(new question added 2014).

Page 15: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

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Bill payment history, arrears and payment plans

● About half of consumers (53%) are at least somewhat aware of the potential to make an arrangement to pay – note this has declined year-on-year.

In addition a lower proportion (30%) are aware that they must be offered a prepayment meter if they are in arrears.

Awareness of availability of arrangement and prepayment meter15

2012 2013 2014 2012 2013 2014

33% 28%

47%56% 61%

70%17% 27%

16% 0%0%

0%50% 44%

37% 44% 39%30%

Aware Somewhat aware Not aware

Aware that can make arrangement(Base: All not on prepayment – 834)

Aware must be offered prepayment meter(Base: Never been

disconnected – 1005)

Page 16: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

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Self Disconnection of Gas Prepayment Meter

● Just 16 people have ever self disconnected their gas prepayment meter, 11 of these have done so more than once.

● The majority of these have only disconnected for a number of hours, with the main reason being that they were unable to buy credit at the time in question.

Incidence of Self Disconnection of prepayment meter(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

Incidence of Self Disconnection

- Ever self disconnected- More than once

16 people11 people

(Base: All ever self disconnected – 16)Length remained disconnected:- A couple of hours- A day- More than one day

71%4%

24%

I was unable to buy credit at the time in question

56%

I was short of money to pay credit 22%

I was on holidays or away from the property at the time

22%

Reason for self disconnection(Base: All ever self disconnected – 16)

Page 17: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

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Competition & Deregulation

Page 18: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

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Unprompted awareness of 1 or more suppliersOther than BGE

Residential Gas: Awareness of suppliers(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

Unprompted awareness of gas suppliers

● 94% mentioned BGE or Bord Gais unprompted

79% of these mentioned Bord Gais

● Awareness of competition has dropped slightly with 74% of respondents recalling a supplier other than BGE

2013 score was 80%

● The most recent entrant, Energia, received an unprompted recall of 14%, while recall of Airtricity, and EI slow a drop. Total awareness (spontaneous and prompted) of Energia stands at 51% compared to 56% for FloGas.

2012 2013 2014

74%80%

74%

91%

37%

7%0%

96%

62%

51%

20%

0%

95%

66%58%

20%

0%

94%

52% 50%

17% 14%

2011201220132014

* Energia entered the residential market in 2014

Page 19: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

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Satisfaction competition(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

● The majority of consumers are satisfied with the existence of competition in the residential consumer electricity market – similar proportions for 3 years.

● However, the large decrease registered last year in the proportion of customers who agree that competition has improved service, has remained in 2014.

Over the year the small increase in the disagree score suggests that competition is gradually starting to impact on service experience.

Satisfaction with existence and level of competition

2012

2013

2014

2012

2013

2014

63%

65%

64%

70%

55%

54%

12%

11%

12%

9%

15%

19%

Agree Disagree

Satisfied with current level of competition among gas suppliers

Competition has improved the service I receive from gas suppliers

Page 20: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

20

Satisfaction with level of competition by current supplier

• FloGas customers most satisfied with level of competition in the gas market.

Very satisfied

Satisfied

Total Bord Gais Energy

Electric Ireland Airtricity FloGas*

44% 40%51% 44%

56%

20% 21%14% 25%

18%64% 61% 65% 69%

75%

Base: 1014 635 157 184 27

*Caution: Small base

Page 21: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

21

Awareness of current price control(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

● Awareness of current price control regulation remains at a similar level as 2013.

● The level of understanding of the current regulation remains low with 40% correctly identifying the current approach to regulation – this does not vary by supplier.

● One third of consumers (32%) believe that all natural gas prices are subject to regulation.

21

Understanding of how prices are set

Overall BGE Competitors

2012 2013 2014 2012 2013 2014 2012 2013 2014

All natural gas suppliers are allowed to set their own prices

23% 19% 28% 22% 19% 30% NA 20% 25%

Prices set by some natural gas suppliers are regulated which means that their prices must be approved by CER

40% 38% 40% 40% 38% 41% NA 38% 38%

The prices set by all natural gas suppliers are regulated

37% 40% 32% 37% 40% 29% NA 40% 37%

None of these 10% 9% - 11% 9% - NA 8% -

Page 22: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

22

Ability to understand offers from gas suppliers(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

● 20% of consumers stated that they had small degree or no understanding (2013: 20%).

● 20% of consumers stated that they not aware of the offers (an increase on the 14% in 2013). Clearly connected with age with those in the 56-64 and 65+ age cohorts least likely to be

unaware of offers (26% and 29% respectively).

22

Understanding of gas suppliers’ offers Not aware of offers – by age

Do no

t und

erstan

d at

all

Under

stan

d to

a sm

all d

egre

e

Som

e un

dersta

nding

Mos

tly u

nder

stan

d

Fully

und

erstan

d

Not a

war

e of

the

offer

s av

ailable

9%15%

34%

20%

8%14%

7%13%

31%25%

9%14%

9% 11%

23% 22%14%

20% 201220132014

18-25 26-35 36-45 46-55 56-64 65+

15%14%

7%

14%18%

25%

15% 16% 13%10% 9%

20%18% 16% 17% 16%

26%29%

201220132014

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Ability to compare offers from gas suppliers(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

● 16% of consumers stated that they found comparison of offers difficult (a decrease from 24%: 2013). 37% stated that they found the comparison easy or very easy.

● 30% of consumers stated that they had not attempted to compare offers (an increase from 21%: 2013).

This has increased across all age groups apart from under 25 – back to 2012 levels amongst older age groups.

23

Assessment of difficulty with comparing offers Not attempted comparison of offers – by age

5%

17%23% 23%

5%

26%

5%

19%24% 26%

6%

21%

5%11%

18%

25%

12%

30%

2012 2013 2014

18-25 26-35 36-45 46-55 56-64 65+

33%

25%

15%

25%

34%39%

35%

20% 19%16%

20%

29%23% 24%

27% 29%

36%39%

2012 2013 2014

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Received information from supplier on upcoming price changes within the last 6 months(Base: All gas consumers–1,014)

Price Changes

Awareness of price changes announced by different suppliers since October 2013(Base: All gas consumers–1,014)

Reason for price increases being announced(Base: All awareness of price changes–474)

Just over one third are aware of receiving upcoming price change information from suppliers for the last 6 months – similar to electricity.

Most believe the cost of energy is increasing resulting in rising gas prices.

36%

64%Yes

No

48%52%

Yes

No

Cost of energy is increasing

Regulartor imposed increases

Supplier has increased costs

Don’t know

55%

18%

21%

17%

Page 25: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

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Price Changes by Supplier(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

● No difference in the incidence of customers who claim to have received information about upcoming price charges in the next 6 months, however FloGas customers claim to be the most aware about price changes announced by different suppliers since October 2013.

25

Received information from supplier on upcoming price charges within the past 6 months

Aware of price change announced by different suppliers since October 2013

Bord Gais Electric Ireland Airtricity FloGas

36% 35% 35% 36% Yes

Bord Gais Electric Ireland Airtricity FloGas

44%

54%47%

68%

Yes

Base: 635 157 184 27 Base: 635 157 184 27

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Awareness of Bord Gais business names(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

● Awareness of Bord Gáis Networks continued to increase

Level of awareness among Bord Gáis Energycustomers however is slightly behind that of non-BGE customers.

26

Awareness of BGE and BGN business names

AwarenessBGE non-BGE

2012 2013 2014 2012 2013 2014

BGN 64% 72% 77% 68% 72% 82%

BGE 77% 83% 75% 81% 80% 76%

Awareness of BGE and BGN business names By current supplier

Current supplier

BGN BGE

56%

79%

66%

79%72%

82%79%75%

2011201220132014

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Customer understanding of the roles of gas supplier and BG Networks(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

27

Trend

Repairing gas leaks

Maintaining the Network

Transmission and distribution of gas

Reading the meter

Responsibilities of gas supplier and BGN ● A greater understanding of the role of BGN evident with increases for:

Reporting gas leaks

Maintenance of the network

Transmission/distribution

● Reading the meter is significantly more associated with the supplier with only 34% associating it with BGN.

53% 56% 58% 66%

0% 7% 6% 4%24%31% 28% 24%

57% 59% 58% 66%

0% 5% 5%4%19% 30% 29% 24%

40%59% 55% 65%

0%

6% 7%4%

34%

29% 29% 26%

2011 2012 2013 2014

24% 34% 25% 34%0%

5%4%

3%52%

55% 65% 54%

BGN Both Supplier

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28

Customer understanding of the roles of gas supplier and BG Networks – BGE customers(Base: All BGE customers – 635)

28

Trend

Repairing gas leaks

Maintaining the Network

Transmission and distribution of gas

Reading the meter

Responsibilities of gas supplier and BGN

● Scores for BGE customers remain quite similar to the overall market

53% 56% 57% 59%

7% 6% 5%24%31% 30% 31%

57% 59% 58% 60%

5% 5% 4%19%

29% 29% 30%

40%59% 56% 60%

6% 8% 3%53%28% 29% 32%

2011 2012 2013 2014

24% 34% 30% 40%5% 4%

3%56%

50% 60% 50%

BGN Both Supplier

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29

Customer understanding of the roles of gas supplier and BG Networks(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

29

Trend

Billing and payment

Seeking approval of terms and conditions from the regulator

Responsibilities of gas supplier and BGN

29

● About two thirds 68% recognise the billing and payment role of the supplier – similar to 2014.

● An increase registered in the proportion who believe BGN is responsible for seeking approval of terms and conditions from the regulator (44% vs 31% in 2013).

19%31% 22% 26%

0%4%

4% 3%

57%

62% 70% 68%

2011 2012 2013 2014

21% 31% 31% 44%0%11% 12%

9%47%38% 40% 34%

BGN Both Supplier

Page 30: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

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Switching

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Proportion switching in previous year by year

Switching – rates(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

● Switching rates declined back to 2012 levels

Switchbacks similar to previous years at 21% (2013: 22%; 2011: 18%).

The proportion of gas consumers who switched their electricity supplier is identical to gas switching levels.

● 21% of switchers switched back to their previous supplier.

● 29% of those on direct debit switched at least once in last 12 months.

31

2012 2013 20141% 1% 1%

17% 14% 17%

82% 84% 82%

No

Yes, swiched once

Yes, switched more than once

21% switched back to previous supplier

1%16%

83% No

Yes, swiched once

Yes, switched more than once

Switched Electricity

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Level of switching in last 12 months by Age

Switching by Age & Social Class(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

● Level of electricity switching in last 12 months is consistent across age groups aged 26+. Those aged 18-25 years show a lower level of switching at 10% however.

● Highest level of switching apparent amongst the AB social class at 28%.

Level of switching in last 12 months by Social Class

18-25 26-35 36-45 46-55 56-64 65+

10%

19% 19% 18% 17%19%

AB C1C2 DE

28%

16% 16%

Page 33: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

33

Non-Switchers by Age

Profile of those who never switched(Base: All gas customers – 1,014)

● 18-25s and 65+ age groups are the least likely to switch, as are blue collar social classes.

Non-switchers by social class

18-25 26-35 36-45 46-55 56-64 65+

80%

62%58%

63% 61%67%

AB C1C2 DE

39%

65%68%

Total

62%

Total Never Switched

Page 34: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

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Switching – Dual Fuel vs Electricity only & Gas only switching

Proportion switching at least once in the last 12 months

● Those on dual fuel most likely to have switched provider in the last 12 months.

Dual Fuel Switched Electricity (non dual fuel) Switched Gas (non dual fuel)

28%

10%

14%

Base: (411) (603) (603)

Page 35: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

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Prevalence of package, channel and billing changes

Investigating and switching packages

● 2% of consumers contacted their supplier to investigate changing package However, among consumers who didn’t switch, 7% actually changed package (2013: 4%)

● 2% of customers with natural gas extended to a dual fuel product (was 7% in 2013) Low score for BGE reflects the current market share among natural gas consumers The higher proportion of Electric Ireland customers switching to dual fuel reflects that

company’s strength in the electricity market.

Overall EI BGE Airtricity FloGas

% % % % %

Contacted supplier about changing package 2 5 1 5 3

Changed package (among those who didn't switch) 2 4 1 4 -

Extended to dual fuel (among those who didn't switch and use natural gas)

2 6 0 2 -

Change payment channel 1 3 0 3 -

Changed billing frequency 1 1 0 3 3

Supplier

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Contact method used to switch supplier(Base: All who switched last 12 months - 170)

36

Method used to switch supplier Method used to switch – by current supplier

● Most (66%) of switchers completed the switch during a visit to their home This is a decrease from 2013 (74%).

● Airtricity and EI rely on home visits to sign up switchers, while a significant proportion (28%) of those who switch to BGE proactively made contact with the supplier via the telephone, a further 24% of BGE switchers used the website to sign up.

Airtricity BGE EI FloGas1 0 0 00 0 3

29

5

247

7

13

28

9

16

8

4

7

10

73

44

74

39 Home visit

Phone (contacted)

Phone (initiated contact)

Supplier website

Price comparison website

Writing

67%

7%

19%

5%1% 1%

74%

4%

17%

4%1% 0%

66%

7%

13%8%

5%0%

201220132014

Page 37: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

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Reasons for switching – most important factors

● As expected desire to save money on the gas bill remains a primary or important factor in the decision to switch by most consumers

85% ‘wanted to save money on their gas bill’

81% ‘expected to get more savings’

While 52% wanted to ‘avail of a combined dual fuel offer’

37

Reasons for switching during last 12 months (where >32% state factor is primary/important)

Not a factorPrimary/important

2013

2014

2013

2014

2013

2014

2013

2014

2013

2014

2013

2014

85%

85%

68%

81%

59%

52%

54%

42%

45%

33%

40%

32%

3%

12%

5%

9%

21%

33%

13%

50%

31%

51%

30%

60%

I want to save money on my gas bill

I expected to get more savings

To avail of a combined offer for electricity and natural gas

My bill increased in size because my previous supplier had increased prices

I want to support competition in the marketplace

I received a larger than expected bill

Page 38: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

38

Reasons for switching – other factors

● Among the other factors tested, a significant proportion of consumers who had recently switched identified each as not at all important in the decision to switch

Suggests that these factors are focused on sub-groups in the population

● 61% stated that being unhappy with customer service was not a factor. Thus it was less important vs. 2014.

38

Reasons for switching during last 12 months (where <27% state factor is primary/important)

Primary/important Not a factor

2013

2014

2013

2014

2013

2014

2013

2014

2013

2014

2013

2014

2013

2014

2013

2014

2013

2014

40%

27%

40%

25%

24%

24%

26%

20%

19%

11%

10%

26%

10%

14%

8%

18%

6%

25%

55%

30%

63%

52%

61%

42%

53%

70%

79%

73%

47%

81%

68%

83%

60%

82%

I expected the customer service from the new supplier would be better

My previous supplier had recently announced a price rise

I was unhappy with the service I have received from my former supplier

I preferred the payment methods available from my new supplier (for instance equal payments throughout the year)

I wanted to receive my bill more often

*I want a supplier that would supply gas generated in a more environmentally friendly way

I preferred the online billing option from my new supplier

I moved to a new home and my new supplier had been used by the previous resident (or landlord)

I did not find the bill understandable

*Question added 2014

n/a

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39

Comparison of most often reasons sited as primary or important reasons for switching back

Reasons for switching back

● Top reasons for switching back are driven by price and potential savings – or lack of delivery of savings from the new supplier

● Service also features but to a lesser extent than in 2013 as just 23% of individuals who switched back rated it as an important reason for switching back, 43% in 2013.

39

39

I want to save money on my bill

I expected to get more savings by returning to my

original supplier

To avail of a combined offer for electricity and natural

gas

My original supplier contacted me with a better offer if I would switch back

The price I received from my new supplier was not as

good as I had expected

I received a larger than expected bill

I was unhappy with the service I have received

from my new supplier

2013 2014

Switch-backAll Switchers

63%85%

82%85%

Switch-backAll Switchers

60%68%

73%81%

Switch-backAll Switchers

43%59%

54%52%

Switch-backAll Switchers

n/an/a

49%n/a

Switch-backAll Switchers

46%n/a

41%n/a

Switch-backAll Switchers

46%30%

40%32%

Switch-backAll Switchers

43%24%

23%24%

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40

Reasons for not switching – most important factors

● Satisfaction with the service received and lack of reason to switch are the most commonly mentioned

● Trust is a significant reason rated as primary or important by 46% of consumers who haven’t switched (albeit a significant increase in those claiming it is not a factor)

This was selected as the primary reason for not-switching by 46% of Electric Ireland customers who have not switched

Reasons for not switching during last 12 months (where >22% state factor is primary/important)

Primary/important Not a factorI like the service that I receive from my current supplier

I have no reason to switch

I prefer to remain with a gas supplier that I trust

I do not believe that the level of discount are sufficient to justify switching

I do not believe that the prices will be a low as the alternative supplier claims

I will not save sufficient money to make it worth my while to switch

I find it hard to determine how much I would save if I switched

I am concerned that receiving my natural gas allowance would be too inconvenient if I switched.I am concerned that they may not stay in the gas market for a long time

n/a

20132014

20132014

20132014

20132014

20132014

20132014

20132014

20132014

20132014

54%54%

57%46%

59%46%

30%43%

33%32%

40%29%

30%26%

21%24%

0%22%

19%25%

17%33%

16%28%

31%27%

29%41%

27%41%

31%53%

52%56%

0%60%

n/a

Page 41: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

41

Less frequently rated reasons for not switching

● Concerns about reliability of supply now down to 19% (was 35% in 2013).

● Only 8% cited lack of awareness of the ability to switch.

● A similar proportion have had a bad experience of switching other suppliers before (8%).

41

Reasons for not switching during last 12 months (where <20% state factor is primary/important)

41

I am concerned about whether the alternative supplier will be as responsive if there is a gas outage or leaks

I intend to switch but I have not got around to it

I would be charged a penalty by my current supplier.

I am not able to switch because of the contract with my current supplier

I was not aware that you could switch.

I have had a bad experience of switching other services (such as electricity, telephone or mobile phone operators)

n/a

*Questions added 2014

n/a

2013

2014

2013

2014

2013

2014

2013

2014

2013

2014

2013

2014

35%

19%

15%

14%

12%

12%

10%

8%

6%

8%

39%

61%

70%

70%

71%

70%

80%

81%

81%

80%

Primary/important Not a factor

Page 42: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

42

FGA and switching

● FGA recipients are less likely to switch than the entire population

10% switched in the previous 12 months (compare to 18% for entire population)

● FGA specific reasons are rarely selected as primary or important with FGA recipients focusing on trust, lack of a reason to switch and liking the current service.

42

Rate of switching among FGA recipients - 96 Reasons for not switching – related to FGAReason for not switchingSelected by over 40% as primary or important(Base: All FGA recipients who did not switch)

% rated primary/ significant

2012 2013 2014

Like service 59% 57% 54%

Prefer to stay with trusted supplier 69% 63% 49%

No reason to switch 69% 61% 48%Concerned that receiving FGA would be too inconvenient

15% 17% 24%

Concerned that might not continue to receive FGA if switched

14% 23% 21%

42

2013 2014

89% 90%

10% 10%1% 0%

Yes switched more than once

Yes switched once

No

Page 43: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

43

Rating the overall experience of switching

Experience of switching(Base: All who switched in past 12 months – 170)

43

Process’12 ’13 ‘14 ’12 ’13 ‘14

Knew who to contact 77% 79% 76% 9% 5% 8%

Understood what was required

87% 84% 83% 7% 4% 3%

Understood what was offered by the new supplier

85% 83% 85% 6% 7% 3%

Actual changeover went smoothly

88% 88% 87% 6% 2% 5%

understood length of time that the prices offered applied for

85% 82% 82% 5% 8% 7%

understood the amount of deposit I would need to pay

63% 60% 64% 11% 15% 15%

+ -

Outcome’12 ’13 ‘14 ’12 ’13 ‘14

Bill reduced by expected amount

81% 58% 66% 13% 14% 17%

New supplier service satisfactory

83% 80% 85% 8% 7% 2%

Understood the terms 82% 80% 89% 7% 9% 3%

Experience of process and outcome

● The switch process scores are similar to 2013 with 90% rating the overall experience as easy (identical to 2013). However a better bill outcome evident, with 66% stating the bill reduced by expected amount (58% in 2013). Thus not surprising that likelihood to switch in the next 12 months has increased.

+ -20141%4%5%

27%

63%Very easy

Quite easy

Neither easy or difficult

Quite difficult

Very difficult

Page 44: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

44

Switching: Contact by suppliers(Base: All gas consumers – 1,014)

● Over half of consumers have been contacted by another natural gas supplier during the previous 12 months – this has declined for the second year.

The most common method of contact remains by a home visit

● There are similar levels of contact among customers of the different suppliers

BGE customers remain least likely to have been contacted (46%) compared to Electric Ireland (54%).

44

Level of contact in previous 12 monthsLevel of contact in previous 12 months – by current supplier

2012 2013 2014

12%8% 8%

5%

3%5%

48%50%

43%By home visit

By email

By phone

Airtricity BGE EI FloGas

64%

56%62%

67%

57%53%

65%60%

53%

46%

54% 56%

201220132014

2012 2013 2014

42% 45% 51%

58% 55% 49%

YesNo

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45

Rating of factors which would increase switching and impact of information sources on switching(Base: All gas consumers – 1,014)

● ToU tarriffs and info on how to reduce gas usage had the highest impact on intention to switch.

● Prepayment and energy advice have lower impact.

● One third of consumers would consider switching to a group scheme.

● 29% of consumers believe a price comparison web-site would significantly impact on their intention to switch, with website calculators, info on consumption and brochures comparing price savings all having similar impact.

Would you consider switching if…Agree

Impact of information sources on switchingSignificantly increase

Anoth

er

supplie

r off

ere

d

Recommendation from family/friends

Prepayment

Better service such as energy advice or online billing

Suppliers offered tariffs which included cheaper gas at some times of the year

Supplier provided more info on how to reduce gas usage such as an online system

37%

28%

28%

0%

0%

34%

30%

34%

0%

0%

34%

22%

26%

34%

36%

201420132012

More information on bill about gas consumption

Brochure comparing prices and examples of potential typical savings

Website with a potential savings calculator

Price comparison website

Group scheme where best offers would be found for me

30%

29%

29%

0%

0%

32%

36%

26%

25%

25%

28%

26%

29%

29%

36%

201420132012

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46

Assessment of Sales Process

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47

Consumer acceptance of call/phone contact(Base: All who received visit/phone contact – 496)

Appropriate of call to door /phone contact

Overall – Base: 469 Over 65yr – Base: 97

‘12 ‘13 ’14 ‘12 ‘13 ’14 ‘12 ‘13 ’14 ‘12 ‘13 ’14

Approach of sales person 73% 62% 64% 11% 18% 17% 73% 57% 73% 13% 22% 13%

Number of contacts 77% 64% 67% 10% 16% 13% 80% 60% 73% 7% 25% 7%

Understood the deal offered

86% 67% 69% 5% 11% 9% 87% 49% 71% 13% 18% 9%

No unreasonable pressure to sign-up

77% 66% 65% 13% 16% 15% 87% 58% 72% 7% 21% 12%

Understood T&Cs 89% 65% 66% 6% 13% 10% 87% 52% 70% 13% 22% 12%

Not concerned if I said no 77% 66% 71% 13% 14% 14% 73% 63% 69% 20% 14% 11%

Tone of conversation was appropriate

86% 79% 73% 4% 7% 9% 87% 75% 81% 0% 7% 7%

Consumer rating of call/phone contact from suppliers

+ -

47

+ -

● Among those who had been contacted by phone or received a house call in the last 12 months, the sales approach was rated similar to 2013 (note this was noticeably lower than 2012).

The scores for concerned if said no (14%) and unreasonable pressure to sign up (15%) are comparatively high and should be monitored

● Among the over 65 group, an improvement registered in the rating of the approach.

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48

Consumer acceptance of call/phone contact(Base: All who received visit/phone contact – 496)

Appropriate of call to door /phone contact Total

’14

Region Contact

Dublin Rest of Leinster

Munster Phone Mail Home visit

Approach of sales person 64% 61% 79% 69% 63% 32% 67%

Number of contacts 67% 66% 62% 69% 64% 32% 69%

Understood the deal offered 69% 68% 63% 71% 71% 43% 70%

No unreasonable pressure to sign-up

65% 64% 77% 66% 70% 30% 67%

Understood T&Cs 66% 66% 62% 66% 64% 37% 68%

Not concerned if I said no 71% 70% 69% 74% 76% 45% 72%

Tone of conversation was appropriate

73% 71% 87% 76% 74% 43% 76%

Consumer rating of call/phone contact from suppliers48

● Those in rest of Leinster most satisfied with approach of salesperson, no unreasonable pressure and tone of conversation. Those who received a home visit show most positive ratings across the most areas, while those who received contact via mail are consistently the least satisfied.

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49

Consumer response to advertising(Base: All who received visit/phone contact – 496)

Reaction to advertising2012 2013 2014 2012 2013 2014

Advertising straight forward 62% 55% 34% 11% 11% 21%

Advertising clear on prices 60% 47% 35% 17% 15% 20%

Advertising clear on conditions 58% 48% 36% 18% 14% 19%

Advertising clear on savings 67% 51% 35% 13% 12% 20%

Clear on how to translate advertised savings into my bill 57% 46% 31% 18% 17% 25%

● The response to advertising is as expected lower than the response to the direct contact

● The proportion agreeing with the statements has declined significantly from 2012

A significant minority (1 in 5) now disagree that advertising is; straightforward, clear on prices, conditions and savings. Plus one quarter disagree that its ‘clear on how to translate advertising savings into my bill’.

Consumer rating of advertising contact from suppliers

Overall

+ -

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50

Dual Fuel

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51

Residential: Level and reasons for take-up of dual fuel

● Among consumers with natural gas and electricity, 52% continue to use a single supplier.

Results combine data from electricity and gas surveys

● The factor most often rated as important is greater savings overall when gas and electricity are purchase together. However the importance of this has declined over the years. Convenience of a dual supplier and greater reduction in gas prices have increased in importance this year.

% of consumers with a single supplier for gas and electricity

Single supplier

Twosuppliers

Rating of potential factors – single supplier

Important factor Not a factor

2010 2012 2013 2014

61%50% 52% 52%

39%50% 48% 48%

The greater reduction in electricity prices offered if your business also used the same supplier for gas The greater reduction in gas prices offered if you also used the same supplier for electricity The greater saving overall 

The convenience of having a single supplier for both

 

Aspects of the service provided by your supplier - for both electricity and gas

201220132014

201220132014

201220132014

201220132014

201220132014

66%62%64%

61%59%

67%

81%76%

72%

61%56%

66%

53%55%54%

12%11%14%

14%14%14%

6%7%

10%

20%18%15%

22%17%19%

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52

Take-up and interest in dual fuel: Reasons for not taking up dual fuel

● Among consumers with both natural gas and electricity with different suppliers for each, satisfaction with the service provided by each supplier was the only reason identified as important by a majority

A majority of respondents identified most other suggestions as not a factor

Rating of potential factors - separate suppliers

Important factor Not a factor52

% of consumers with a single supplier for gas and electricity

Single supplier

Twosuppliers

2010 2012 2013 2014

61%50% 52% 52%

39%50% 48% 48%

Not aware that it was possible to get both fuels from one supplier Do not want to accept additional conditions such as paying by direct debit or getting the bill online 

Prefer two separate bills with two different suppliers 

Savings are greater if your business uses two different suppliers 

Satisfied with the service provided by our current supplier for each and see no reason to switch 

You do not trust a single supplier to provide both electricity and gas 

Do not want to receive a single bill for both gas and electricity 

You are concerned about what would happen if your business fell behind on payments for either

201220132014

201220132014

201220132014

201220132014

201220132014

201220132014

201220132014

201220132014

0%11%

17%

23%27%

36%

42%40%

28%26%29%

59%59%61%

25%24%24%

30%32%

25%28%28%

n/a69%

63%

54%48%

40%

30%35%

41%34%33%

17%21%16%

50%45%

49%

43%41%

57%48%50%

n/a

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53

Bill Clarity & Information Supports

Page 54: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

54

Overall satisfaction with your understanding of your gas bill

Understanding of the bill(Base: All gas consumers – 1,014)

● Satisfaction with gas bill (including how much gas you use and how much you are charged for it) is reasonable with little variation between supplier (FloGas edges ahead).

This suggests that either the bills are similar in style or that there is a lack of consumer engagement

Note that while overall satisfaction is similar to 2013, the strength of ‘very satisfied’ has increased. Note the nature of billing is changing with more electronic/email billing evident.

Overall satisfaction with your understanding of your gas bill – by current supplier

Overall Electric Ireland

BGE Airtricity FloGas

69% 67% 70% 68%76%

2013 2014

3% 2%7% 6%

21%17%

55%

46%

12%23%

Very satisfied

Satisfied

Neither satisfied nor dissatisfied

Dissatisfied

Very dissatisfied

2013 67% 71% 67% 70% 73%

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55

Typically open and read bill when received(Base: All gas consumers – 1,014)

Interaction with Gas Bill

Part of bill typically looked at(Base: All who open bill – 778)

While the vast majority open their bill, the focus is on the total bill amount, followed by bill payment date.

76%24%

Yes

No

Amount of bill

Bill payment date

Consumption in last period

Meter Reading

Price of gas

97%

88%

58%

53%

50%

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56

Rating the bill(Base: All gas consumers – 1,014)

● Electric Ireland scores converged with market averages

● Variability in FloGas scores reflect the small sample size

● 21% of respondents would prefer to receive bills more frequently (25% in 2013).

( ) bracketed figures = difference vs 2013

Change vs 2013

(+2%) (+8%) (=%) (-2%) (-15)

Understand the calculation of the bill

Bill is easy to understand Bill makes it easy to understand the gas used

Makes it easy to understand the gas charged for

Overall Airtricity Bord Gais energy

Electric Ireland

Flogas0%

40%

80%55%

66%50% 57%

75%

Chart Title

Change vs 2013

(+4%) (+10%) (+4%) (-5%) (-8%)

Overall Airtricity Bord Gais energy

Electric Ireland

Flogas0%

40%

80%56%

68%52% 55%

68%

Chart Title

Change vs 2013

(-2%) (+5%) (-3%) (-8%) (+4)

Overall Airtricity Bord Gais energy

Electric Ireland

Flogas0%

40%

80% 58% 67%54% 58%

80%

Chart Title

Change vs 2013

(+2%) (+11%) (+1%) (-7%) (-3%)

Overall Airtricity Bord Gais energy

Electric Ireland

Flogas0%

40%

80%55%

68%51% 54%

65%

Chart Title

Page 57: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

57

Complaint Handling

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58

Complaint handling – propensity and topics

● 7% of respondents had complained within the last 12 months

This is similar to 2012 and to the electricity research

● Reasons for complaints were more diverse, with ‘Other’ reasons being referenced more in comparison to previous years. ‘Other’ reasons focused mainly on issues relating to gas leaks, meter problems and boiler services.

● A greater proportion of complaints were made to suppliers

Proportion of respondents who complained over last year(Base: All gas consumers – 1,014)

Complaint topic(Base: All who made a complaint – 64)

’12

’13

’14

Billing and payment 70% 52% 42%

Late payment or disconnection

6% 2% 2%

Connection/modification of supply

4% 12% 10%

Reliability of supply/power failures/supply issues

2% 12% 10%

Issue related to switching 2% 4% 1%

Other 13% 12% 29%

Complaint made to(Base: All who made a complaint–64)

Current/Previous supplier

BGN

NCA

CER

Other

Don't recall

64%

27%

2%

0%

9%

0%

77%

18%

1%

1%

0%

2%

90%

3%

1%

1%

1%

4%

2014

2013

2012

2012 2013 2014

5% 5%

7%

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59

Complaint handling – awareness of process(Base: All gas consumers – 1,014)

● 45% of consumers knew that they could complain to CER (slight decline this year)

Only 1% had lodged a complaint with CER in this research

● Most consumers understand who they should complain to.

Knowledge of how to make a complaint Awareness of who to complain to

Know how to lodge a complaint

Aware you can complain to CER

68%

52%63%

45%

2013 2014

Curre

nt o

r pre

viou

s sup

plie

rBGN

The

Natio

nal C

onsu

mer

Age

ncy

The

Comm

issio

n fo

r Ene

rgy

Regul

atio

n

Other

Don't

know

67%

27%

1% 1% 1% 3%

63%

25%

0% 0% 3% 9%

2013 2014

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60

Satisfaction with handling and timeliness(Base: All who made a complaint – 64)

● Satisfaction across Suppliers with problem handling and time taken to resolve are comparatively low.

● Satisfaction with the outcome is similar to the electricity research (gas: 48% satisfied, electricity 45% satisfied), but Gas does score lower on satisfaction with the overall handling.

Satisfaction with outcome: 48% (-4%)SupplierSatisfaction with handling: 31% (-13%) Satisfaction with time taken:

36% (-2%)

2012 2013 2014

21%8%

15%

12%

20%

28%

23%20%

5%

28% 40% 29%

16% 12%19%

Very satisfied

Satisfied

Neither satisfied nor dissatisfied

Dissatisfied

Very dissatisfied

2012 2013 2014

32% 32% 26%

16% 16% 19%

14% 14% 15%

24%30%

20%

17%8%

16%

2012 2013 2014

24% 32% 26%

10%14% 25%

21%11%

12%

24% 30%18%

17% 14% 13%

Very satisfied

Satisfied

Neither satisfied nor dissatisfied

Dissatisfied

Very dissatisfied

Page 61: CER Residential Gas Results 2014 Prepared for: Prepared by: June 2014 &

61

Interest in Prepayment

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62

Interest in prepayment

● 20% of consumers stated some level of interest in prepayment meters

The decline compared to 2013 is in part driven by the increased uptake in prepayment (note some of last years enthusiasts have already switched)

Level of interest in prepayment (among those withoutprepayment meters – 826)

Not at all interested Very interested

Potential benefits (among those interested/very interested - 100)

● Reasons for being interested in receiving a prepayment meter focus more on; ‘control of bill’, ‘one less bill’, ‘no estimated bills’ and ‘lack of fear of disconnection’.

2012

2013

2014

45%

51%

71%

10%

13%

8%

18%

16%

8%

16%

12%

5%

10%

7%

7%

Means that I would not have to worry about being disconnected if I don't about being disconnected if I

don't keep up to date with the bill

Would mean that I would not get estimated bills any more

Would mean that I wouldn't get unexpectedly large bills

Would make me more aware of the cost of gas

Would mean that there is one less bill to think about

Would make it easier to manage money spent on gas

70%

70%

71%

67%

65%

67%

68%

69%

71%

69%

75%

71%

83%

80%

85%

76%

83%

79%

201420132012

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63

Comparative Rating of Prepayment and Bill Payment by Supplier Base: All currently on prepayment - 180

63

● Those on prepayment are much more satisfied with the payment scheme vs billpay. Little variation in satisfaction across suppliers.

Total (Base 180) Bord Gais (Base: 136) Electric Ireland (Base: 30)1% 1% 0%1% 1% 0%

8% 9%4%

31% 28% 43%

60% 61%53%

Much more satisfactoryMore satisfactoryAbout the sameLess satisfactoryMuch less satisfactoryDon’t know

(FloGas and Airtricity base too small)

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64

Rating of perceived benefits among consumers on prepaymentBase: All currently on prepayment - 180

● Prepayment clearly remains the preferred option to bill pay by consumers on prepayment

A significant majority rate each of tested reasons as a primary reason for using prepayment

Rating the experienced benefits – among those with prepayment

Comparative rating of prepayment and bill payment- among respondents currently on prepayment

Compared to receiving and paying bills after you have consumed theelectricity, how would you rate a prepayment meter where you pay in advance…

64

2012 2013 2014

3% 6%0%

4%7%

8%2%

3%1%

31% 21% 31%

61% 63% 60%Much more satisfac-tory

More satisfactory

Less satisfactory

About the same dif-ference

Much less satisfac-tory

Means that I would not have to worry about being disconnected if I don't about being disconnected if I

don't keep up to date with the bill

Would mean that I don't get estimated bills any more

Would mean that I don't get unexpectedly large bills

Would make me more aware of the cost of gas

One less bill to think about

Makes it easier to manage money spent on gas

90%

93%

93%

85%

90%

90%

92%

88%

99%

86%

95%

96%

95%

93%

98%

86%

95%

94%

2014

2013

2012

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65

Vulnerable & Priority Customers

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66

Vulnerable consumers: Prevalence and level of registration(Base: All gas consumers – 1,014)

● Almost 1 in 5 gas customers are aware of the priority status registration, with those aged 56+ being most aware.

Awareness of priority status registration

66

Total 18-25 26-35 36-45 46-55 56-64 65+

0.17 0.18

0.12

0.190.15

0.2 0.2

Awareness of priority status registration x age

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67

Vulnerable Consumers: Level of registration

● 8% of respondents stated that they lived in households eligible for priority status. However, just 1% of respondents are actually registered.

● The most common reason for not being registered was that they did not know it was possible to register.

Incidence of those who are eligible for registration vs those who actually registered(Base: All gas consumers – 1,014)

67

Eligible for registration Registered

8%

1%

Reasons given for not registered when aware of opportunity to register(Base: All eligible but not registered – 76)

Did not know that it was possible to register

Did not know how to register

Do not think I need to register as I can manage without gas occasionally

Other

Don’t know

77%

6%

14%

2%

1%

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68

Vulnerable Consumers: Level of registration

● Just 8% of the total base were eligible for registration as vulnerable customers. However, just 11% of these were registered, with the highest proportion of those registered being among the 56-64 year age group.

Incidence of those who are eligible for registration and actually registered68

* Caution extremely small base sizes

Total

11%

Base: 85

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Reasons for registering

● The most common reason for lack of registration is that they did not know that it was possible to register

Reason RatedOverall

2012 2013 2014

Did not know that I could register

80.0% 78.8% 83%

Do not know who to contact in order to register

1.5% 4.4% -

Do not think that I need to register as I can manage without gas occasionally

1.5% 3.5% 14%

Would be concerned about giving that sort of confidential information to my supplier

0.0% 2.7% -

Other 3.1% 0.9% 2%

Don't know 7.7% 6.2% 1%

Reasons for not registering among consumers who state they are eligible but unregistered

Prevalence of vulnerable customers

2012 2013 2014

2 3 1

611

7

Not registered

Registered

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