18
Challenge the future Delft University of Technology The Added Value of Image A Hedonic Office Rent Analysis Philip Koppels, Hilde Remøy, Hans de Jonge and Anet Weterings

Challenge the future Delft University of Technology The Added Value of Image A Hedonic Office Rent Analysis Philip Koppels, Hilde Remøy, Hans de Jonge

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Challenge the future

DelftUniversity ofTechnology

The Added Value of ImageA Hedonic Office Rent Analysis

Philip Koppels, Hilde Remøy, Hans de Jonge and Anet Weterings

2/18

Introduction

• Office location choice: focus on Face-to-Face contacts• Inter-industry linkages: complex information

• Presentation or image effects• ‘the right address’ and ‘by the company it keeps’ • Rational: lower marketing costs

• Previous hedonic studies: employed variables

A Urban Model of Office Rents

3/18

Previous Hedonic StudiesVariables: Accessibility & Business Environment

• Accessibility• Proximity airports• Proximity highways• Proximity train station• Proximity subway station• Street integration index• Number of lanes

• Parking facilities• Covered deck parking• Parking on site• Number of parking spaces

• Office density• Distance to CBD• Proximity secondary centre• Office employment density• Cluster size• Office space density

• Worker amenities• Proximity shopping centre• Retail employment

4/18

Previous Hedonic StudiesVariables: Prestige and Image

• Exterior appearance• Building class• Building status• Building size• Number of floors• Cladding• Design quality indicator• Landmark

• Company logo• Office unit location

• Interior appearance• Atrium / reception area• % common space• Quality of space

• Neighbourhood prestige• Household expenditure• Manufacturing output• Land use• Quality of landscape• Proximity public square• Proximity park

5/18

Delphi-Expert panel

6/18

Hedonic Pricing

• Heterogeneity • a bundle of attributes• implicit markets

• Dependent variable• asking rent• (base) contract rent

• Functional model form• natural log of rent/m2• independent variables: log, linear and quadratic

Methodology

7/18

Data collection

• Selection criteria

• Lease transactions:• DTZ Zadelhoff, Dynamis and Strabo

• Building and location characteristics• Geographic information systems:

• Sources: National road database,

NAVTEQ, LISA, Locatus, CBS,

Bak 2008, Municipality of Amsterdam

• Document analysis• Field work

Methods and sources

8/18

Descriptive Statistics

13%

13%

43%

31%1950-1964

1965-1979

1980-1994

1995-2007

14%

34%23%

29%> 2500 m2

2500-5000 m2

5000-1000 m2

>10000 m2

Building size

Building period

Structural Characteristics

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

172 office buildings

517 lease transactions

9/18

Descriptive StatisticsSpatial Distribution

Sources:

Map material: © Amsterdam, Geo en Real Estate information

TU Delft, department of Real Estate & Housing

10/18

ResultsR square change

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

Block 1 Block 2 Block 3 Block 4 Block 5

Model summary

R 0.812R Square 0.660Adj R Square 0.637

Std Err. 0.177F

28.169Sig. 0.000

11/18

Variables B Std. Err. VIF

(Constant) 5.324 .234 ***IC Station -.020 .018 3.619Highway -.035 .015 ** 2.121Metro -.045 .014 *** 1.747Employment F&B .063 .015 *** 2.843Employment logistic -.054 .011 *** 2.231Employment manufacturing -.039 .008 *** 1.821Water .009 .004 ** 1.838Squares .001 .003 1.885Green .002 .002 1.657Facilities .017 .004 *** 1.803

ResultsSignificance Variables

12/18

Variables B Std. Err. VIF

Garage .094 .021 *** 1.640Parking lots .038 .012 *** 1.575Age -.031 .010 *** 1.530Cladding Natural .132 .028 *** 2.168Cladding Glass .079 .030 *** 1.861Cladding Metal .064 .029 ** 1.985Cladding Brick -.016 .028 2.156Floors -.002 .005 14.535Sq. Floors .000 .000 ** 13.342Logo .085 .018 *** 1.284Reception Area % .038 .015 *** 2.509Reception Spatial dimensions -.023 .016 2.532

ResultsSignificance Variables

13/18

Checking Assumptions

• Multicollinearity• Variance Inflation Factor (VIF)• Eigenvalues and variance proportions

• Distance to intercity station

• Employment in financial and business services

• Employment in logistic and transport services

• Pearson correlations up to 0.635

• Independent Residuals• Durbin-Watson: 1.204

Multicollinearity and Independent Residuals

14/18

DiscussionThe Added Value of Image

• Good explanatory power: adjusted R square 0.637

• Difficult to distinguish separate effects• Image: adjusted R square change 0.25• Other: adjusted R square change 0.21• Time-dummies: adjusted R square change 0.18

• Importance of including the ‘right’ variables

• Future research

15/18

Questions?Contact author:

[email protected]

16/18

Checking AssumptionsHeteroscedasticity and Normality of Residuals

Heteroscedasticity Normality of Residuals

17/18

Discussion

Sources:

Map material: © Amsterdam, Geo en Real Estate information

Data: Locatus

TU Delft, department of Real Estate & Housing

18/18

Discussion

Sources:

Map material: © Amsterdam, Geo en Real Estate information

Data: Bak 2008

TU Delft, department of Real Estate & Housing