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Chapter 10 Solutions 1 10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution of potential sales of the strawberries before spoilage differs among the three stores. Therefore, the owner wants to know how to allocate 5 crates to the three stores to maximize expected profit. For administrative reasons, the owner does not wish to split crates between stores. However, he is willing to distribute no crates to any of his stores. The following table gives estimated expected profit at each store when it is allocated various numbers of crates. Crates 1 2 3 0 0 0 0 1 5 6 4 2 9 11 9 3 14 15 13 4 17 19 18 5 21 22 20 Store Soln: t x n = number crates allocated to a store p n (x n ) = expected profit from allocating x n crates to store n s n = number of crates remaining f n (s n ) = max { p n (x n ) + f n+1 * (s n -x n ) }

Chapter 10Solutions 1 10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution

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Page 1: Chapter 10Solutions 1 10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution

Chapter 10 Solutions 1

10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution of potential sales of the strawberries before spoilage differs among the three stores. Therefore, the owner wants to know how to allocate 5 crates to the three stores to maximize expected profit.

For administrative reasons, the owner does not wish to split crates between stores. However, he is willing to distribute no crates to any of his stores. The following table gives estimated expected profit at each store when it is allocated various numbers of crates.

Crates 1 2 30 0 0 01 5 6 42 9 11 93 14 15 134 17 19 185 21 22 20

Store

Soln:

Let xn = number crates allocated to a store pn(xn) = expected profit from allocating xn crates to store n sn = number of crates remaining

fn(sn) = max { pn(xn) + fn+1*(sn-xn) }

Page 2: Chapter 10Solutions 1 10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution

Chapter 10 Solutions 1

10.3.1) Crates 1 2 3

0 0 0 01 5 6 42 9 11 93 14 15 134 17 19 185 21 22 20

Store

Soln:

Let xn = number crates allocated to a store pn(xn) = expected profit from allocating xn crates to store n sn = number of crates remaining

fn(sn) = max { pn(xn) + fn+1*(sn-xn) }

5 5

4

3

2

1

0

5

4

3

2

1

0 0

Store 1 Store 2 Store 3

Page 3: Chapter 10Solutions 1 10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution

Chapter 10 Solutions 1

10.3.1) Crates 1 2 3

0 0 0 01 5 6 42 9 11 93 14 15 134 17 19 185 21 22 20

Store

Soln:

Let xn = number crates allocated to a store pn(xn) = expected profit from allocating xn crates to store n sn = number of crates remaining

fn(sn) = max { pn(xn) + fn+1*(sn-xn) }

5 5

4

3

2

1

0

5

4

3

2

1

0 0

Store 1 Store 2 Store 3

s3 f3*(s3) x3

*

0 0 01 4 12 9 23 13 34 18 45 20 5

Page 4: Chapter 10Solutions 1 10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution

Chapter 10 Solutions 1

10.3.1) Crates 1 2 3

0 0 0 01 5 6 42 9 11 93 14 15 134 17 19 185 21 22 20

Store

Soln:

Let xn = number crates allocated to a store pn(xn) = expected profit from allocating xn crates to store n sn = number of crates remaining

fn(sn) = max { pn(xn) + fn+1*(sn-xn) }

5 5

4

3

2

1

0

5

4

3

2

1

0 0

Store 1 Store 2 Store 3

s3 f3*(s3) x3

*

0 0 01 4 12 9 23 13 34 18 45 20 5

Page 5: Chapter 10Solutions 1 10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution

Chapter 10 Solutions 1

10.3.1)

5 5

4

3

2

1

0

5

4

3

2

1

0 0

Store 1 Store 2 Store 3

s2 0 1 2 3 4 5 f2*(s2) x2

*

0 0 0 01 4 6+0 6 12 9 6+4 11+0 11 23 13 6+9 11+4 15+0 15 1,2,34 18 6+13 11+9 15+4 19+0 20 25 20 6+18 11+13 15+9 19+4 22+0 24 1,2,3

x2

Page 6: Chapter 10Solutions 1 10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution

Chapter 10 Solutions 1

10.3.1)

5 5

4

3

2

1

0

5

4

3

2

1

0 0

Store 1 Store 2 Store 3

s1 0 1 2 3 4 5 f1*(s1) x1

*

5 0+24 5+20 9+15 14+11 17+6 21+0 25 1,3

x1

Optimal Allocation

5 5

4

3

2

1

0

5

4

3

2

1

0 0

Store 1 Store 2 Store 3

Optimal path

Optimal path from a given state

Page 7: Chapter 10Solutions 1 10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution

Chapter 10 Solutions 1

10.3.2) A college student has 7 days remaining before final examinations begin in her four courses and she wants to allocate this study time as effectively as possible. She needs at least 1 day on each course, and she likes to concentrate on just one course each day, so she wants to allocate 1, 2, 3, or 4 days to each course. Having recently taken an O.R. course, she decides to use dynamic programming to make the allocations so as to maximize the total grade points.

Soln:

Let xn = number days allocated to a course pn(xn) = grade points earned from allocating xn days to course n sn = number of days remaining

fn(sn) = max { pn(xn) + fn+1*(sn-xn) }

Study Days 1 2 3 41 3 5 2 62 5 5 4 73 6 6 7 94 7 9 8 9

Grade Points per Course

7

6

5

4

3

5

4

3

2

Course 1 Course 2 Course 3

Page 8: Chapter 10Solutions 1 10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution

Chapter 10 Solutions 1

10.3.2)

Soln:

Let xn = number days allocated to a course pn(xn) = grade points earned from allocating xn days to course n sn = number of days remaining

fn(sn) = max { pn(xn) + fn+1*(sn-xn) }

7

6

5

4

3

5

4

3

2

Course 1 Course 2 Course 3 Course 4

4

3

2

1

0s4 f4

*(s4) x4*

1 6 12 7 23 9 34 9 4

Page 9: Chapter 10Solutions 1 10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution

Chapter 10 Solutions 1

10.3.2)

Soln:

Let xn = number days allocated to a course pn(xn) = grade points earned from allocating xn days to course n sn = number of days remaining

fn(sn) = max { pn(xn) + fn+1*(sn-xn) }

7

6

5

4

3

5

4

3

2

Course 1 Course 2 Course 3 Course 4

4

3

2

1

0

s3 1 2 3 4 f3*(s3) x3

*

2 8 8 13 9 10 10 24 11 11 13 13 35 11 13 14 14 14 3,4

Page 10: Chapter 10Solutions 1 10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution

Chapter 10 Solutions 1

10.3.2)

Soln:

Let xn = number days allocated to a course pn(xn) = grade points earned from allocating xn days to course n sn = number of days remaining

fn(sn) = max { pn(xn) + fn+1*(sn-xn) }

7

6

5

4

3

5

4

3

2

Course 1 Course 2 Course 3 Course 4

4

3

2

1

0

s2 1 2 3 4 f2*(s2) x2

*

3 13 13 14 15 13 15 15 18 15 14 18 16 19 18 16 17 19 1

Page 11: Chapter 10Solutions 1 10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution

Chapter 10 Solutions 1

10.3.2)

Soln:

Let xn = number days allocated to a course pn(xn) = grade points earned from allocating xn days to course n sn = number of days remaining

fn(sn) = max { pn(xn) + fn+1*(sn-xn) }

7

6

5

4

3

5

4

3

2

Course 1 Course 2 Course 3 Course 4

4

3

2

1

0

s1 1 2 3 4 f1*(s1) x1

*

7 22 23 21 20 23 2

Optimal x1* x2* x3* x4*

1 2 1 3 1

Page 12: Chapter 10Solutions 1 10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution

Chapter 10 Solutions 1

10.3.7) Consider an electronic system consisting of four components, each of which must work for the system to function. The reliability of the system can be improved by installing several parallel units in one or more components. The following table gives the probability that the respective components will function if they consist of one, two, or three parallel units:

The probability that the system will function is the product of the probabilities that the respective components will function. The cost (in $100’s) of installing 1, 2, or 3 parallel units in the respective components is given by the following table: (total budget = $1,000).

Soln:

Let xn = number parallel units for component n pn(xn) = probability component will function with xn parallel units cn(xn) = cost of installing xn units sn = number of $ in 100’s remaining

fn(sn) = max { pn(xn) * fn+1*(sn-cn(xn) }

Units Comp 1 Comp 2 Comp 3 Comp 41 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.52 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.73 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9

Probability of Functioning

Units Comp 1 Comp 2 Comp 3 Comp 41 1 2 1 22 2 4 3 33 3 5 4 4

Cost

Page 13: Chapter 10Solutions 1 10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution

Chapter 10 Solutions 1

10.3.7)

Soln:

Let xn = number parallel units for component n pn(xn) = probability component will function with xn parallel units cn(xn) = cost of installing xn units sn = number of $ in 100’s remaining

fn(sn) = max { pn(xn) * fn+1*(sn-cn(xn) }

Units Comp 1 Comp 2 Comp 3 Comp 41 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.52 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.73 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9

Probability of Functioning

Units Comp 1 Comp 2 Comp 3 Comp 41 1 2 1 22 2 4 3 33 3 5 4 4

Cost

s4 f4*(s4) x4

*

0 0 01 0 02 0.5 13 0.7 2

4-10 0.9 3

Page 14: Chapter 10Solutions 1 10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution

Chapter 10 Solutions 1

10.3.7)

Soln:

Units Comp 1 Comp 2 Comp 3 Comp 41 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.52 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.73 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9

Probability of Functioning

Units Comp 1 Comp 2 Comp 3 Comp 41 1 2 1 22 2 4 3 33 3 5 4 4

Cost

s4 f4*(s4) x4

*

0 0 01 0 02 0.5 13 0.7 2

4-10 0.9 3

s3 1 2 3 f3*(s3) x3

*

0 - 0 01 0 0 0,12 0 0 0,13 0.35 0 0.35 14 0.49 0 0 0.49 15 0.63 0.4 0 0.63 16 0.63 0.56 0.45 0.63 17 0.63 0.72 0.63 0.72 2

8-10 0.63 0.72 0.81 0.81 3

Page 15: Chapter 10Solutions 1 10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution

Chapter 10 Solutions 1

10.3.7)

Soln:

Units Comp 1 Comp 2 Comp 3 Comp 41 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.52 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.73 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9

Probability of Functioning

Units Comp 1 Comp 2 Comp 3 Comp 41 1 2 1 22 2 4 3 33 3 5 4 4

Cost

s2 1 2 3 f2*(s2) x2

*

2 0 0 0,13 0 0 0,14 0 0 0 0,1,25 0.21 0 0 0.21 16 0.294 0 0 0.294 17 0.378 0.245 0 0.378 18 0.378 0.343 0.28 0.378 19 0.432 0.441 0.392 0.441 210 0.486 0.441 0.504 0.504 3

s3 1 2 3 f3*(s3) x3

*

0 - 0 01 0 0 0,12 0 0 0,13 0.35 0 0.35 14 0.49 0 0 0.49 15 0.63 0.4 0 0.63 16 0.63 0.56 0.45 0.63 17 0.63 0.72 0.63 0.72 2

8-10 0.63 0.72 0.81 0.81 3

Page 16: Chapter 10Solutions 1 10.3.1) The owner of a chain of three grocery stores has purchased 5 crates of fresh strawberries. The estimated probability distribution

Chapter 10 Solutions 1

10.3.7)

Soln:

Units Comp 1 Comp 2 Comp 3 Comp 41 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.52 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.73 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9

Probability of Functioning

Units Comp 1 Comp 2 Comp 3 Comp 41 1 2 1 22 2 4 3 33 3 5 4 4

Cost

s2 1 2 3 f2*(s2) x2

*

2 0 0 0,13 0 0 0,14 0 0 0 0,1,25 0.21 0 0 0.21 16 0.294 0 0 0.294 17 0.378 0.245 0 0.378 18 0.378 0.343 0.28 0.378 19 0.432 0.441 0.392 0.441 210 0.486 0.441 0.504 0.504 3

s1 1 2 3 f1*(s1) x1

*

10 0.22 0.227 0.302 0.302 3

Optimal x1* x2* x3* x4*

1 3 1 1 3