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Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 1

Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill

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Page 1: Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill

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Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model

Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.”

Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 2: Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill

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Assumptions of Model

1. Prices (goods, services, and resources) are stuck.

→ In the immediate short run, prices can’t react to market changes.

Average time between price changes for 350 categories of goods was 4.3 months.

Page 3: Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill

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Assumptions of Model: Prices are Stuck

• Reasons:– Most markets are not perfectly competitive, which

leads to some degree of price-setting (and sticking) by producers.

– Firms:• Know that consumers prefer stable prices.• Are afraid of competitive price wars.

– Changing prices can be costly - “changing the menu price”.

Page 4: Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill

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Assumptions of Model

2. Since prices are stuck, economic feedback to firms is in the form of unplanned inventory changes.

3. The economy has excess production capacity and unemployed labor.

Page 5: Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill

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Page 6: Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill

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Page 7: Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill

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Equilibrium: Private, Closed Economy

Page 8: Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill

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Equilibrium: Private, Closed Economy

• Equilibrium (private, closed economy):AE = C + Ig = GDP

→ Planned spending equals total production (income)

Page 9: Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill

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Equilibrium: Private, Closed Economy

• By definition, actual spending always equals GDP (income): (C + Ig + unplanned inventory changes) = GDP

• But only in equilibrium does aggregate planned spending equal GDP (income):

AE = C + Ig = GDP

→ No unplanned inventory changes in equilibrium.

Page 10: Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill

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Equilibrium: Private, Closed Economy

Page 11: Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill

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The Multiplier effect

Increase in investment spending = $5 billion+ Second-round increase in consumer spending = MPC × $5 billion+ Third-round increase in consumer spending = MPC2 × $5 billion+ Fourth-round increase in consumer spending = MPC3 × $5 billion• • • • • • • • • • • •Total increase in real GDP = (1 + MPC + MPC2 + MPC3 + . . .) × $5 billion

= 1/(1 – MPC) * $5 billion = 1/(1 – 0.75) * $5 billion = $20 billion

Page 12: Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill

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The Multiplier effect – changes in Ig

Page 13: Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill

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Two Net Exports Schedules

Page 14: Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill

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Aggregate Expenditures with Net Exports

Page 15: Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill

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Aggregate Expenditures with Government Purchases

Page 16: Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill

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Equilibrium: Mixed, Open Economy

Page 17: Chapter 28: The Aggregate Expenditures Model Keynes – “In the long run, we are all dead.” Textbook Graphs and Tables Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill

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Taxes and Equilibrium GDP