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November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 1
Accident Analysis – cont’d
Dr. V.G. Snell
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 2
Where We Are
Probabilistic RequirementsDeterministic Requirements
Design BasisAccidents
Plant safetyas operated
Safety GoalsExperience
CredibleAccidents
Plant safetyas designed
Safety CultureGood Operating
Practice
MitigatingSystems
ProbabilisticSafety Analysis
SafetyAnalysis
Chapter 2
Chapter 3
Chapter 1
Chapter 2
Chapter 4
Chapter 5
Chapter 6
Chapters 7 & 8
Chapter 9
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 3
Severe Accidents
n Severe accidentsn core geometry is preservedn fuel is damaged but remains inside intact
pressure tubes
n Severe core damage accidentsn fuel channels fail and collapse to the
bottom of the calandria
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 4
Examplesn Loss of coolant + Loss of Emergency
Core Coolingn Loss of all secondary side heat sinks +
Loss of shutdown cooling system, moderator available
n Loss of coolant + Loss of Emergency Core Cooling + Loss of moderator heat removal
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 5
System ContinuousHeat RemovalCapability (%full power)
Time to heat upand boil off, noheat removal
Moderator 4.4% > 5 hours
Shield Tank 0.4% 10 to 20 hours
Water Near Core
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 6
Loss of Core Geometry - 1n E.g., Loss of all heat sinks + inability to
depressurize HTSn Pressure rises to relief valve setpointn Loss of water through relief valvesn Overheating of fuel and pressure-tubes
at high pressuresn Failure of a few pressure tubes (6-10
MPa) – depressurize HTS
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 7
Loss of Core Geometry - 2n Remaining pressure
tubes strain to contact calandria tube
n Boil-off of moderatorn Sag & failure of
channels at lowpressure at ~1200C as moderator level falls
n Collapse of channels onto lower neighbours
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 8
Characteristics of Debris Bedn Top channels collapse when moderator is half voided,
so they sag into a pool of watern Debris likely to be composed of coarse pieces of
ceramic materialsn Bed will not be molten until all the moderator water
is boiled off - will then dry out and heat up due to decay heat & remaining Zircaloy-steam reaction
n No energetic fuel-coolant interactionn Models for heat transfer from debris bed to calandria
walls developed by T. Rogers et al. for dry debris, and also debris with molten centre
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 9
Debris Bed Modelsn Uniform porous mixture
of UO2, ZrO2 and/or Zircaloy
n Fuel decay heat + metal water reaction
n Thermal radiation to inner surface of calandria from top of the bed
n Conduction through bottom of calandria to shield tank water
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 10
Debris Bed Heatupn Melting of
debris starts about 7 hours after the event
n Upper & lower surfaces of debris bed stay below melting temperature
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 11
Calandria Wall Temperaturesn Outer surface
temperature below 140C
n Stainless steel wall
n Do not expect creep under applied stresses
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 12
Heat Flux to Shield Tankn Heat flux to shield tank
15 times less than CHFn Calandria will remain
intact while shield tank water boils off
n Behaviour insensitive to porosity and timing of metal-water reaction
Critical heat flux200 W/cm2
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 13
Summary of Time-scalesTime (hr) Event
0 Loss of heat sinks, reactor shutdown
0.75 Steam Generators boil dry, liquid relief valvesopen, fuel cooling degrades
0.83 A few pressure tubes fail and depressurize heattransport system
0.86 High pressure ECC initiated; medium pressureECC assumed to fail
1.1 Heat transport system empty
5 Moderator boiled off, channels sagged to bottomof calandria
25 Vault water boiled off to top of debris bed,calandria fails
Days Interaction of debris with vault floor &penetration to containment basement
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 14
Uncertainties
n Mechanical and thermal behaviour of end-shields
n Capability of shield tank to relieve steamn Local effects in molten pool and hot-
spotsn Lack of experimental validation of debris
melting transientn Demonstration of core collapse mode
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 15
Tests on Channel Collapsen 1/5 scale studyn Scaling retains full
size stress levels, ratio of bundle size to channel length and channel length to pitch height of assembly
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 16
Test Rig
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 17
Channel Failure Mode
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 18
Channel Collapse – Early Results
n Significant sag occurs only above 800C.n Sag is creep-controlledn PT wall thins at the bundle junctions -
debris may be two to three bundles long
n The end-load is not sufficient to pull out the channel from the end-fitting
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 19
Containmentn Containment heat removal (local air coolers)
may or may not be available depending on the accident
n If not available, pressure initially controlled by dousing sprays
n Will eventually rise above design pressuren Structure will remain intact due to leakage
through cracks and pressure relief
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 20
Observationsn Severe core damage in CANDU is very different from LWRsn Low power density (16 MW/Mg of fuel at full power)n Long heatup times (hours)n Gradual collapse of the core into a coarse debris bedn Dispersion of the debris in the large calandria
n shallow molten pool about 1 metre deep
n Presence of two large sources of water in or near the coren Potential to stop or slow down the accident at two points:
n channel boundary (moderator)n calandria boundary (shield tank)
n Hydrogen control a necessity in short- and long-term
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 21
Coherent vs. IncoherentLWRsn Fuel melts rapidly
(minutes) and “candles” down to the bottom of the vessel
n Vessel fails suddenly ejecting molten fuel
n Potential for steam explosion in vessel and in containment
CANDUn Fuel melts slowly
(hours) and slumps gradually down to the bottom of the vessel
n Vessel fails after a day; shield tank provides further barrier
n Continual steam release - explosion less likely
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 22
Severe Accident Conclusionsn Severe accident mitigation requirements for new
reactors stress two design measures:n core debris spreading arean ability to add water to cool debris
n CANDU: calandria spreads the debris, and shield tank provides cooling water
n Long time scales allow for severe accident counter-measures and emergency planning
n Independent makeup to moderator and shield tankfor EC6 and ACR
n Future: backup or passive containment heat removal
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 23
Uncertainty Analysisn Disadvantages of conservative
approach:n Overestimates / exaggerates riskn Misleadingly small marginsn Useless as operator guiden Distorts safety resource allocation
n UA useful only with best-estimate methods (BE+UA)
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 24
Types of Uncertaintyn Physical models
n Model biasn Experimental scattern Example: WIMS predicts coolant void reactivity for
37-element fuel with a bias of –1.6 mk. and an experimental uncertainty of ±1mk.
n Plant idealizationn Example: How many spatial nodes for
convergence?n Plant data
n Example: Uncertainty in flow measurement
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 25
Focus of Uncertainty Analysis
n UA stated only for key safety parameters output by the code & compared to acceptance criterian E.g., peak fuel temperaturen E.g., not internal parameter such as fission
gas pressure
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 26
Issuen Assume there are < 8 contributors to a key
parametern E.g., key parameter is fuel temperature in LOCA
power pulsen Contributors are void reactivity, sheath-to-coolant
heat transfer, delayed neutron fraction etc.n Cannot afford to vary 8 simultaneously using
fundamental codesn Surrogate needed (curve fitting or functional
form)
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 27
Simplified Methodologyn Generate cases for
variation of ncontributory parameters using fundamental code
n Fit surface with functional form
n Test goodness of fitn Sample surface based
on statistical distribution of each parameter
Probability distribution ofContributory parameter(2 examples)
November 19, 2006Lecture 10 – Accident Analysis
cont'd.ppt Rev. 4 vgs 28
Graphical ExampleKey output parameter
n1, n2, n3
Key output parameter
n1
Code run
Functional or curve fit
Mean value &95% confidencelevels