Chapter 8 Feasibility

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    IDENTIFICATION OF BUSINESS

    OPPORTUNITIES

    Objectives:

    To understand the importance of Business Identification

    To understand and appreciate market analysis, technicalanalysis, financial analysis and economic analysis

    To apply these principles for a proposed Business

    Opportunity

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    Identification of Business Opportunities

    Introduction:

    Opportunity to be your boss, to provide a product orservice, to implement your ideas

    Two types of entrepreneurs

    Know exactly what they

    Want to do

    Not very clear to

    Begin with

    Looking for an opportunity or

    Resources

    May have developed skills for

    chosen field.

    Familiar with industry customs

    practices

    In the process of concretizing

    a business ideaRequire training

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    Introduction:

    Motivation is it adequate to keep you going for the

    next one or two years?

    Viability global vs. local

    Basic market research factor which is the key

    Testing in the market Moving forward depends on this

    Expert consultation Concretizing the whole idea

    Look out for competition Be aware of this

    Identification of Business Opportunities

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    Green business: focuses more on prevention of pollution

    Biotechnology: industrial use of organisms

    Events management: Arranging Weddings to Beauty contests

    IT Enabled services: BPO, now KPO, knowledge driven

    Food Processing: Fruits, vegetables storing, processing,

    transport

    Mineral water, courier, Insurance, Telecom, Herbal products,

    Tourism, Vermiculture, Plastics etc.

    Some typical business opportunities:

    Identification of Business Opportunities

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    Researching learning more about your industry andabout the resources available

    Market assessment Is there a market? Where it is? How

    much you can tap?

    Profitability Assessment How much does it cost?

    Lengthy red ink period following start-up, can you afford

    to fail?

    Financing assessment Fixed and working Capital

    Legal assessment What are the legal liabilities in the

    business?

    Feasibility:

    Identification of Business Opportunities

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    Market Feasibility

    The analysis requires two important questions to be

    answered

    What would be the demand of the proposed product or

    service in the future?

    What would be the market share?

    Analyst should use wide variety of information and

    forecasting tools

    Consumption trends in past, present consumption level Past and present supply position

    Production alternatives, constraints

    Imports and exports

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    Structure of competition

    Elasticity of demand

    Consumer behavior, intentions, motivations, attitudespreferences

    Distribution channels, marketing policies

    Administrative, technical and legal constraints

    Market Feasibility

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    Opinion Polling Method

    Life Cycle Segmentation Analysis

    Demand Estimation

    Under Opinion Method there are four different techniques

    Complete enumeration survey

    Sample survey

    Sales experience method Vicarious method

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    Complete enumeration survey

    All probable customers are approached and the

    demands are estimated

    Gets you first hand and unbiased information

    Tedious, costly and cumbersome

    All prospects will not be cooperative

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    Sample Survey

    Only some representative consumers (sample) are

    approached

    It is less tedious, less cumbersome compared toearlier method

    Care should be taken to identify true representative

    sample

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    Sales experience Method

    Sample Market is surveyed

    Results are projected to the universe

    Selection of sample market is critical

    For e.g., Bombay will be different from say Agra

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    Vicarious Method

    Not direct contact, through dealers who will have a

    feel of their customers

    Dealers opinion is then projected

    Suffers from likely bias on the part of dealers

    These are the techniques under Opinion Polling Method

    Let us look into Life cycle analysis

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    Life Cycle Segmentation Analysis

    Introduction of the product

    Growth

    Maturity

    Saturation

    Decline

    Considering the five stages, the sales at different stages may

    be estimated

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    Other aspects of market analysis

    Planning the process of marketing the product

    Organization of the marketing process

    Corrective action whenever results deviate

    Demand, market share etc are out of control whereas

    marketing strategy, marketing process are largely under

    control

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    Technical Feasibility

    Have the preliminary tests and studies been done?

    Has the availability of raw materials, power etc been

    established?

    Is the scale of operation or capacity optimal?

    Are the machineries and equipments chosen appropriate?

    Has provision made for effluent treatment made?

    Is the proposed layout, building and plant sound?

    Is technology current, efficient?

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    Technical Feasibility

    Technical collaborations made if any

    Availability of technical and engineering services

    The extent to which diversification and expansion proposals

    will result in fuller utilization of capacity and economies of

    scale

    Availability of work force as per required skill andarrangements for training-in-plant and outside

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    Financial Feasibility

    Investment outlay and cost of the project

    Fixed Capital and working capital

    Means of financing

    Projected profitability

    Cash flows

    Investment worthiness

    Level of risk

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    Financial Feasibility

    Cost of production

    Return on investment

    Projected profitability

    Effective controls

    Budgeting

    Pricing

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    Economic / Social Feasibility

    Judging a project from social point of view

    Focus on social costs and benefits

    Monetary cost and monetary benefits vs.

    social cost and benefit has to be carefully

    made

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    Economic / Social Feasibility

    What are the direct economic benefits and costs of the

    project measured in terms of shadow ( Efficiency) prices

    and not in terms of market prices?

    What would be the impact of the project on the distribution

    of income in the society?

    What would be the impact of the project on the level of

    savings and investment in society?

    Contributions to self-sufficiency, employment and order in

    society?

    Following questions are to be raised and answered

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    Economic / Social Feasibility

    What is the likely damage caused to the environment?

    What is the costs involved in containing this damage?

    Following questions are to be raised and answered

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    Case Studies

    1. Determining the Market Demand for a Health Club

    Reference 1, Page - 447

    2. Market FeasibilityReference 1, Page - 448

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    References

    Poornima Charantimath Entrepreneurship Development

    Small Business Enterprises, 2006, Pearson Education

    S S Khanna Entrepreneurial Development, 3rd

    Ed, 2001,S Chand & Co

    Vasant Desai Dynamics of Entrepreneurial Development

    and Management, 4th Ed, 2007