Chapter No 03 Ext Assesment

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    Ch 3 -1

    Chapter 3

    The External Assessment

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    Ch 3 -2

    External AssessmentThis chapter examines the tools and concepts needed to

    conduct an external strategic-management audit..

    called External Strategic Management Audit and also called

    Environmental scanning

    Industry analysis

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    Ch 3 -3

    Identification & Evaluation of different

    factors and trends beyond the control of a single firm.

    Purpose of external audit is development of finite list

    of.

    Opportunities to avail

    Threats to be avoided

    External Strategic Management Audit

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    Ch 3 -4

    Five Categories of External Forces

    Economic

    Social

    Political and legal Technological

    Competitive

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    Ch 3 -5

    Competitors

    Suppliers

    Distributors

    Creditors

    Customers

    Communities

    Stockholders

    Products

    Services

    Key

    External

    Forces

    Opportunities&

    Threats

    Relationship between Key External

    Forces & the Organization

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    Ch 3 -6

    Process of Performing an External Audit

    Sources of information include;

    Magazines, journals and periodicals..

    Internet Libraries

    Suppliers

    Distributors and retailers Customers

    Govt organization

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    Ch 3 -7

    Economic forces

    Monitor key economic variables: Type ofMarket Economy

    Availability of credit (Interest rates)

    Level of income

    Inflation rate

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    Ch 3 -8

    Economic forces

    Foreign Exchange Rate

    GDP

    unemployment trends

    Foreign countries economic situation

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    Ch 3 -10

    Social, Cultural, Demographic &

    Environmental Forces (contd)

    World population > 6billion

    US population < 300 million

    Afghanistan population=32,738,376 (July2008 est.)

    Great potential for domestic expension to

    oth

    er market Domestic only is a risky strategy

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    Ch 3 -11

    Social, Cultural, Demographic &

    Environmental Forces (contd)

    Key variables may be;

    Number of marriages

    Number of divorces Number of births

    Number of deaths

    Average level of education Buying habits (less book reading)

    Life expectancy

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    Ch 3 -12

    Social, Cultural, Demographic &

    Environmental Forces (contd)

    Attitude towards saving (Japanese take savings

    as a religious matter)

    Attitude towards business (trend towards

    entrepreneurship)

    Demographic changes (likes and dislikes, age,

    income etc).

    Recycling(paper , glass), air and water pollutionare environmental issues.

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    Ch 3 -13

    Political, Government & Legal Forces

    (contd)

    Government Regulation can pose

    Key opportunities and key threats

    Tax rates (Tax law changes e.g. incometax, sales tax, wealth tax)

    Antitrust legislation (suppressing curtailing

    and monopolies) Patent law (Changes in patent laws)

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    Ch 3 -14

    Political, Government & Legal Forces

    (contd)

    Lobbying efforts (people make lobby in

    senate and think of their own interests) Environmental protection laws

    Import export regulation

    Political condition in other countries Location and severity of terrorist activities

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    Ch 3 -15

    Technological forces

    Revolutionary technological forces have

    Profound impacts on organizations

    Semiconductors: transistor and processor Internet

    HTML/XMLs (extensive mark-up Lang)

    technologies UWB (ultra wide band wireless)

    communications

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    Ch 3 -16

    Competitive Forces

    Collection and evaluation of information on

    competitors is essential for successful

    strategy formulation

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    Ch 3 -17

    Competitive Forces

    Strengths

    Weaknesses

    Opportunities

    Threats

    Strategies

    Identifying Rival Firms

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    Ch 3 -18

    Competitive Forces

    1. Market share matters2. Understand what business you are in

    (clear vision and mission)

    3. Broke or not, fix it (continuous

    improvement)

    4. Innovate or evaporate

    7 Characteristics of mostCompetitive U.S. Firms

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    Ch 3 -19

    Competitive Forces

    5. Acquisition is essential to growth (toincrease market share)

    6. People make a difference (employeesbehind the machine)

    7. No substitute for quality

    7 Characteristics of mostCompetitive U.S. Firms:

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    Ch 3 -20

    The Five-Forces Model of Competition

    Potential developmentof substitute products

    Rivalry amongcompeting firms

    Bargaining powerof suppliers

    Potential entry of newcompetitors

    Bargaining powerof consumers

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    Ch 3 -21

    Explanation;

    Rivalry among competing firms: the intensityof competition or level of competition.

    Potential entry of new competitors: foradvertising companies(opportunities, and threat for the existing).

    Potential development of substituteproduct: type writer and computer key board:

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    Ch 3 -22

    Collective Bargaining power of

    suppliers: less number of suppliers will have more bargaining power andvice versa.

    Bargaining power of consumer: (level of income)

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    Ch 3 -23

    The Global Challenge

    Faced by any country & Afghani

    Firms --

    Gain & maintain exports to othernations

    Defend domestic markets against

    imported goods

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    Ch 3 -24

    Industry analysis (EFE)

    Five step process:

    List key external factors (10-20) O

    pportunities and threats

    Assign weight (importance) to each (0- 1.0)

    Sum of all weights = 1.0

    Assign rating 1-4 to each factor Firm current strategy/capabilities response to the

    factor

    Multiply each factors weight by its rating P

    roduces a weighted score

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    Ch 3 -25

    Sum the weighted scores for each Determines the total weighted score for the

    organization

    observation

    The highest possible weighted score for

    the organization is 4 and the lowest is1,averaging 2.5

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    Ch 3 -26

    Industry Analysis: The External Factor

    Evaluation (EFE) Matrix

    CompetitivePoliticalCultural

    TechnologicalEnvironmentalSocial

    GovernmentalDemographicEconomic

    Summarize & Evaluate

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    Ch 3 -27

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    Ch 3 -29

    Total weighted score of 4.0 Organization response is outstanding to threats

    and opportunities.

    Industry Analysis EFE

    Total weighted score of 1.0 Firms strategies not capitalizing on opportunities

    or avoiding threats

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    Ch 3 -30

    Important

    Understanding the factors used in the EFE

    matrix is more important then the actual

    weights and rating assigned.