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Characterization of a spatial gradient of nitrogen dioxide across a United States–Mexico border city during winter Melissa Gonzales a, * , Clifford Qualls b , Edward Hudgens c , Lucas Neas c a Department of Internal Medicine, University of New Mexico School of Medicine, UNM-LRRI Environmental Health Sciences Center, MSC 10-5550, Albuquerque, NM 87131, USA b Statistics Laboratory, General Clinical Research Center, University of New Mexico School of Medicine, MSC 10 5540, Albuquerque, NM 87131, USA c National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, MD 58, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711, USA Received 4 March 2004; accepted 2 July 2004 Abstract A gradient of ambient nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 ) concentration is demonstrated across metropolitan El Paso, Texas (USA), a city located on the international border between the United States and Mexico. Integrated measurements of NO 2 were collected over 7 days at 20 elementary schools and 4 air quality monitoring stations located throughout the city during typical winter atmospheric conditions. Replicate passive monitors were co-located with chemiluminescence analyzers at the monitoring stations for two consecutive 7-day periods. The passive measurements correlated with the analyzer measurements (R 2 =0.74) with precision of 2.5F2.2 ppb. Nitrogen dioxide concentrations ranged from 11.0 to 37.5 ppb (mean 20.6F7.1 ppb). In a multivariate regression model, the site elevation and distances to a main highway and to an international port of entry from Mexico explained 81% of the variance in the passive measurements. The results of this pilot study indicate that proximity to vehicle-related sources of NO 2 and site elevation are key predictors for future, more detailed assessments of vehicle-related air pollution exposure in the El Paso region. D 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Keywords: Nitrogen dioxide; Passive diffusion tubes; Spatial gradient; GIS; GPS; Population exposure 1. Introduction Intra-urban gradients of traffic emissions have recently been used in a number of children’s health studies. The spatial variability in emissions has been associated with health effects such as asthmatic symptoms and allergic sensitization in children (Brunekreef et al., 1997, Kramer et al., 2000; Wyler et al., 2000; Gehring et al., 2002, Janssen et al., 2003). However, since air pollution monitoring is generally conducted in only a few locations in a city, the data from existing monitor networks provide 0048-9697/$ - see front matter D 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2004.07.010 * Corresponding author. Tel.: +1 505 272 9598; fax: +1 505 272 4186. E-mail address: [email protected] (M. Gonzales). Science of the Total Environment 337 (2005) 163– 173 www.elsevier.com/locate/scitotenv

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Page 1: Characterization of a spatial gradient of nitrogen dioxide across a United States–Mexico border city during winter

www.elsevier.com/locate/scitotenv

Science of the Total Environm

Characterization of a spatial gradient of nitrogen dioxide across a

United States–Mexico border city during winter

Melissa Gonzalesa,*, Clifford Quallsb, Edward Hudgensc, Lucas Neasc

aDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of New Mexico School of Medicine, UNM-LRRI Environmental Health Sciences Center, MSC

10-5550, Albuquerque, NM 87131, USAbStatistics Laboratory, General Clinical Research Center, University of New Mexico School of Medicine, MSC 10 5540,

Albuquerque, NM 87131, USAcNational Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, MD 58,

Research Triangle Park, NC 27711, USA

Received 4 March 2004; accepted 2 July 2004

Abstract

A gradient of ambient nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentration is demonstrated across metropolitan El Paso, Texas (USA), a

city located on the international border between the United States and Mexico. Integrated measurements of NO2 were collected

over 7 days at 20 elementary schools and 4 air quality monitoring stations located throughout the city during typical winter

atmospheric conditions. Replicate passive monitors were co-located with chemiluminescence analyzers at the monitoring

stations for two consecutive 7-day periods. The passive measurements correlated with the analyzer measurements (R2=0.74)

with precision of 2.5F2.2 ppb. Nitrogen dioxide concentrations ranged from 11.0 to 37.5 ppb (mean 20.6F7.1 ppb). In a

multivariate regression model, the site elevation and distances to a main highway and to an international port of entry from

Mexico explained 81% of the variance in the passive measurements. The results of this pilot study indicate that proximity to

vehicle-related sources of NO2 and site elevation are key predictors for future, more detailed assessments of vehicle-related air

pollution exposure in the El Paso region.

D 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Keywords: Nitrogen dioxide; Passive diffusion tubes; Spatial gradient; GIS; GPS; Population exposure

1. Introduction studies. The spatial variability in emissions has been

Intra-urban gradients of traffic emissions have

recently been used in a number of children’s health

0048-9697/$ - see front matter D 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2004.07.010

* Corresponding author. Tel.: +1 505 272 9598; fax: +1 505

272 4186.

E-mail address: [email protected] (M. Gonzales).

associated with health effects such as asthmatic

symptoms and allergic sensitization in children

(Brunekreef et al., 1997, Kramer et al., 2000; Wyler

et al., 2000; Gehring et al., 2002, Janssen et al.,

2003). However, since air pollution monitoring is

generally conducted in only a few locations in a city,

the data from existing monitor networks provide

ent 337 (2005) 163–173

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M. Gonzales et al. / Science of the Total Environment 337 (2005) 163–173164

only limited spatial resolution of the exposure

distribution across a geographic region posing the

potential for exposure misclassification in epidemio-

logical analyses (Brauer et al., 2002; Levy et al.,

2003). In the absence of spatially detailed air

pollution measurements, exposure to traffic emis-

sions have been estimated with a variety of surrogate

measures including traffic density and the proximity

of schools and homes to major highways (Edwards

et al., 1994; Duhme et al., 1996; Brauer et al., 2003).

In addition, the use of passive diffusion samplers for

nitrogen dioxide (NO2) have expanded existing

networks to assess spatial variability in exposure to

traffic emissions (Roorda-Knape et al., 1998; Levy et

al., 2003; Singer et al., 2004).

El Paso, Texas (USA, population 0.56 million) is

located in the high altitude Chihuahuan desert at

location known as the Paso del Norte where the Rio

Grande River flows northwest to southeast through

a narrow mountain pass separating El Paso to the

north from Ciudad Juarez, Chihuahua (Mexico,

population 1.5 million) to the south. El Paso wraps

around the southern tip of the Franklin Mountains,

which run north to south through the Paso del Norte

and abruptly end just north of downtown sector of

the city. Ciudad Juarez extends westward to the

Juarez Mountains (Sierra Juarez), which lie imme-

diately southwest of the Franklins. The elevation in

the area ranges from 1428–2180 m peaks in the

Franklin Mountains to 1127–1188 m in the valley

below. The combination of meteorological and

geographic features in the region strongly influence

the mixing and dispersion of air pollutants emitted

from sources in the El Paso/Ciudad Juarez area

(MacDonald et al., 2001). Annually, more than 16

million private passenger vehicles and nearly one

million freight carriers enter the US via border

crossings bridges over the Rio Grande in El Paso.

Vehicles remain idling in queues an average of 40

min as they wait for inspection. Earlier studies have

shown that motor vehicle emissions are the main

source of carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides (NOx)

and hydrocarbon (VOCs) emissions in the central

Paso del Norte airshed (Einfeld and Church, 1995;

Funk et al., 2001). Stable meteorological conditions

during the winter, combined with complex local

terrain significantly limit the mixing and dilution of

air pollutants within the region and results in

exceedances of air quality regulations on both sides

of the border.

Previous studies in the Paso del Norte have

indicated that the concentration of traffic emissions

may vary considerably across the region depending on

the location of sources, atmospheric mixing height,

meteorological conditions and the topographic char-

acteristics of the terrain (Noble et al., 2003; Jeon et al.,

2001; Einfeld and Church, 1995). However, the intra-

urban gradient of traffic emissions has not been

studied across much of metropolitan El Paso because

the air quality monitoring stations operated by state

and local environmental agencies are located mainly

in the central El Paso with fewer stations located in

more distant residential areas.

Given the spatial distribution ofmajor highways, the

location of the international border crossings and the

complex river valley terrain of the Paso del Norte, it is

unlikely that data from existing pollution monitors are

sufficient to characterize the gradient of exposures

across the city, particularly in the school district region

where a children’s respiratory health study was

planned. We hypothesized that an intra-urban gradient

of NO2, as an indicator of mobile source influence,

could be measured across an El Paso school district that

spanned the central, northeastern and northwestern

sectors of the city and included the main international

border crossings. For this purpose, we established a

network of passive NO2 monitors deployed at twenty

elementary schools and four air pollution monitoring

stations during 1 week in February 1999, and a second

consecutive week at the monitoring stations alone. Our

main objectives for this pilot study are (1) to evaluate

the performance of passive diffusion tubes for measur-

ing NO2 during wintertime in El Paso; (2) to identify

whether an intra-urban spatial gradient of NO2 exists

across an El Paso school district; and (3) to evaluate

which of a set of easily obtainable geographic exposure

variables, chosen specifically for El Paso, were most

useful for predicting the spatial variation in NO2

concentrations across the school district.

2. Methods

Ambient NO2 was measured at 20 public elemen-

tary schools in the El Paso Independent School

District using a network passive diffusion tube

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M. Gonzales et al. / Science of the Total Environment 337 (2005) 163–173 165

monitors (Palmes, 1976). Integrated 7-day measure-

ments of NO2 where collected on February 11–18,

1999. Though requiring a long sample time (usually 7

days depending on location), Palmes tubes have been

used extensively in European NO2 exposure studies

(see Brunekreef et al., 1997 as example). To evaluate

the performance of the diffusion tube method, replicate

passive monitors were co-located with reference

chemiluminescent analyzers at four state-operated air

pollution monitoring stations over two consecutive 1-

week periods between February 11 and 25, 1999.

2.1. Study locations

Permission was obtained from the El Paso

Independent School District to monitor NO2 outside

Fig. 1. The spatial concentration gradient of nitrogen dioxide in El Paso

measurements were collected at 20 elementary schools and 4 continuous

district regions: 1=northeast; 2=north central; 3=south central; 4=northwest

CAMS 41=Chamizal.

of 20 public elementary schools. The schools were

selected from each of the school district’s four

regions (see Fig. 1): Region 1 (northeast), Region 2

(north central), Region 3 (south central) and Region 4

(northwest). The boundaries of the four administra-

tive regions were established by the school district

prior to this study. Five to six schools were selected

from Regions 1, 2 and 4 to represent the farthest

northern, southern, eastern, western and middle

sections of each region. Three schools were selected

in Region 3 due to its narrow north–south span and

because dense monitoring coverage was already

available from the existing air monitors located in

this region.

Passive nitrogen dioxide measurements were also

collected at four continuous air monitoring stations

, TX, measured February 11–18, 1999. Integrated nitrogen dioxide

air monitoring stations (CAMS) by passive diffusion tubes. School

. CAMS 6=Downtown; CAMS 12=UTEP; CAMS 30=El Paso East;

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M. Gonzales et al. / Science of the Total Environment 337 (2005) 163–173166

(CAMS) operated by the State of Texas Commission

on Environmental Quality (TCEQ). At the time of

the study, all of the CAMS sites were located in the

south central region of the school district, and were

sited to capture maximal population exposures to air

pollutants on the basis of proximity to emission

sources. Fig. 1 shows the site locations. The first

site (CAMS 6) is located in downtown El Paso, 1

km north of the Downtown El Paso/Juarez border

crossing immediately adjacent to an on-ramp ingress

to US Interstate Highway 10 (I-10), the major east

to west throughway in El Paso. The second site

(CAMS 41) is located in the Chamizal National

Monument, a park located 0.2 m north of the Bridge

of the Americas, the principal border crossing for

passenger vehicles and diesel trucks, and 0.2 m

south of I-10. The third site (CAMS 12) is located

adjacent to the campus of the University of Texas at

El Paso (UTEP), 2.1 km north of the downtown

border crossing and 0.2 km north of I-10. The

fourth site (CAMS 30) is located in Ascarte Park,

2.6 km northeast of the Bridge of the Americas and

0.9 km north of the Border Freeway, a local

thoroughfare that runs adjacent to the international

border in El Paso.

2.2. Passive diffusion tube measurements

Passive diffusion tube monitors consist of a

hollow 71.0�10.9 mm acrylic cylinder with two

closely fitting caps (Palmes, 1976). A stainless-steel

mesh, coated with tri-ethanolamine is placed at the

closed end of the tube to absorb NO2 and creates a

diffusion gradient inside the tube. The diffusion

tubes were obtained and analyzed by a single

laboratory. In the field, the diffusion tubes were

installed under protective, polyvinyl chloride caps.

The open ends of the tubes were level with the rim

of the cap to minimize turbulence from wind. The

caps were secured at least 1.0 m above the ground

or rooftop, and away from heating, ventilation and

air conditioning vents; objects that might alter the

mean wind flow, such as taller structures upwind;

and nearby sources that might influence the sam-

ples, such as vehicle emissions from parking lots. A

field blank and a replicate monitor were deployed at

one school in each of the four school district

regions.

The precision of the passive monitors was eval-

uated against TECO Model 42 gas-phase chemilumi-

nescent NOx analyzers (Thermo Environmental

Instruments, Franklin, MA), operated are operated

by the TCEQ as Federal Reference Method analyzers

according to US air quality regulations (Federal

Register, 1989). Each week, triplicate passive mon-

itors were collocated with reference analyzers at the

monitoring stations. Four additional replicate samples

were collocated at CAMS 41 during the second week.

One field blank was collected at each CAMS site each

week. Replicate passive measurements from each site

were then averaged by week. For comparison

purposes, hourly measurements of NO2 and total

nitrogen oxide (NOx) collected by the chemilumines-

cent analyzers were obtained from TCEQ and

combined into 1-week averages for the hours corre-

sponding to those when the collocated diffusion tube

measurements were collected.

2.3. Geographic data and geographic information

system (GIS) mapping

The latitude and longitude of each school and

monitoring station were measured with a hand-held

geographic positioning system (GPS) receiver

(March-II, Corvallis Microtechnology, Corvallis,

OR) and verified against data obtained from the El

Paso Independent School District, and the TCEQ

web site (http://www.tnrcc.state.tx.us/cgi-bin/monops/

site_info), as well as from GIS data available from the

Texas Natural Resource Information System (TNRIS,

1996). The elevation of each site was also measured

by GPS and verified against digital elevation model

(DEM) elevation projections (USGS 7.5-DEM Series,

scale 1:24,000). The DEM elevation projections

differed from the GPS elevation measurements by

+0.94±16.0 m (intercept 20.98, slope 0.98, R2=0.85).

This difference was not statistically significant (Stu-

dent’s t test, p=0.78). The locations of all the sites

were plotted on a TNRIS base map of El Paso using

ArcView 8.1 GIS software (ESRI, Eugene, OR).

Nitrogen dioxide concentrations measured by the

passive monitors were added to the GIS project file

and added to the base map. The two major divided

and restricted access highways in the El Paso area

are the east–west I-10 running approximately parallel

to the Rio Grande River through western and cen-

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M. Gonzales et al. / Science of the Total Environment 337 (2005) 163–173 167

tral El Paso, and the north–south Patriot Freeway

(Texas Highway 54) on the east side of the Franklin

Mountains (see Fig. 1). Each site’s distances to the

nearest highway and the nearest international border

crossing were calculated using the GIS software. Site

elevation (GPS and DEM), highway distance and

distance from a border crossing were used as predictor

variables in the subsequent regression analysis.

2.4. Statistical methods

The passive diffusion tube NO2 measurements

were natural-log-transformed for this analysis

because the distribution was right skewed. The

precision of the passive monitor, compared to the

reference analyzer was evaluated in linear mixed-

effects models using compound symmetry to account

for multiple measurements at each site (PROC

MIXED procedure, SAS, 1997). This statistical

procedure allows comparisons of means and corre-

lation structure accounting for multiple instruments

(that is, passive and active monitors) and replicate

measurements at the same site.

Univariate and multivariate mixed-effects regres-

sion models were used to predict the passive NO2

measurements from three site-specific geographic

variables: distance to the nearest international border

crossing, distance to the nearest highway and eleva-

tion above sea level. Potential bias in the modeled

results due to correlation among the predictor varia-

bles was evaluated using collinearity diagnostics.

3. Results

3.1. Performance of the passive samplers

The limit of detection for the diffusion tube

monitors was 0.5 ppb NO2 (v/v) (the mean plus three

times the standard deviation of the filed blanks using

the nominal sampling duration for the samplers, 168

h). All the diffusion tube NO2 samples were above the

limit of detection. The coefficient of variation

(CV=100�standard deviation/mean) of the replicate

samples was 5.9%.

The linear association between the passive and

analyzer NO2 measurements was evaluated by linear

regression (intercept 14.6, slope 0.50, R2=0.74). In a

linear, mixed-effects model, the passive diffusion tube

monitors were shown to overestimate the analyzer

measurements by 2.5F2.2 ppb NO2. However, this

difference did not significantly differ from zero

( p=0.34).

We evaluated the influence of total nitrogen oxides

[NOx] and ozone [O3] on the performance of the

passive monitor (Table 1) due to the differing ratios of

[passive NO2]/[analyzer NO2] measurements among

the four CAMS sites. Concurrent [NOx] and [O3]

measurements were obtained for each CAMS site and

combined into 1-week averages corresponding to the

hours when the collocated diffusion tube measure-

ments were collected. The overestimation in the

passive NO2 measurements compared to the analyzer

NO2 measurements increased as the ratio of [NO2]/

[NOx] increased. The 1-week [O3] concentrations did

not appear to influence the ratio of [passive NO2]/

[analyzer NO2] measurements.

3.2. NO2 concentration gradients

The mean concentrations of the 1-week NO2

measurements in each school district region are shown

in Table 2. The highest NO2 concentrations were

measured at the Chamizal monitoring station (37.7

ppb) located in Region 3 of the school district. The

lowest concentrations were measured at the schools

located in the far northeast (11.0 ppb) and northwest

(13.0 ppb) regions of the district. Two spatial

gradients in NO2 concentration across the school

district are shown in Fig. 1 and verified by the inverse

correlation with distance from a border crossing

(r=�0.74, pb0.001) and from a highway (r=�0.81,

pb0.001). Although elevation is not shown in this

figure, a third spatial gradient in NO2 concentration is

observed moving from central, downtown El Paso

(the area of the city with the lowest elevation) to the

northeast and the northwest regions as elevation

gradually increases (r=�0.78, pb0.001) (also see

Table 2). Note that in these correlations NO2 concen-

trations are natural-log-transformed and geographic

variables are on the linear scale. Addition correlations

between the geographic variables are: distance to a

border crossing and elevation 0.58 ( p=0.003); dis-

tance to a border crossing and distance to a highway

0.79 ( pb0.001) and elevation and distance to a

highway 0.62 ( p=0.01).

Page 6: Characterization of a spatial gradient of nitrogen dioxide across a United States–Mexico border city during winter

Table 1

Comparison of collocated passive diffusion tube and chemiluminescent analyzer measurements from four Texas Commission on Environmental

Quality (TCEQ) continuous air monitoring stations (CAMS) in El Paso, TX, over 2 consecutive weeks in February 1999

Date and site Passive diffusion

tube 7-day [NO2]

measurements

[mean, ppb (S.D.)]

Chemiluminescent

analyzer [NO2]/[NOx]

ratio [mean (S.D.)]

Passive-to-analyzer

[NO2]/[NO2] ratio

[mean (S.D.)]

Eight-hour

ozone

(mean, ppb)

February 11–18, 1999

CAMS 6 37.7 (2.9) 0.54 (0.27) 0.98 (0.07) 17.7

CAMS 41 30.9 (1.0) 0.67 (0.27) 1.07 (0.03) 38.1

CAMS 12 28.1 (1.0) 0.72 (0.43) 1.26 (0.04) 23.7

CAMS 30 25.6 (1.0) 0.81 (0.51) 1.42 (0.05) 45.0

February 18–25, 1999

CAMS 6 34.2 (3.0) 0.56 (0.28) 0.95 (0.08) 15.3

CAMS 41a 37.6 (2.7) 0.69 (0.29) 1.03 (0.11) 38.1

CAMS 12 27.7 (1.1) 0.75 (0.37) 1.40 (0.06) 22.8

CAMS 30 23.9 (1.7) 0.87 (0.74) 1.33 (0.09) 44.6

Triplicate, 1-week NO2 measurements were collected at each CAMS site by passive diffusion tube monitor. [NO2]/[NOx] is the ratio of nitrogen

dioxide (NO2) and total nitrogen oxides (NOx) measurements collected by TCEQ chemiluminescent analyzers. [NO2]/[NO2] is the ratio of NO2

measurements collected by the passive monitors and chemiluminescent analyzers. Ozone measurements were collected by TCEQ.a Four replicate samples were collocated at CAMS 41 during the second sampling week.

M. Gonzales et al. / Science of the Total Environment 337 (2005) 163–173168

3.3. Regression models

Univariate regression models were fit with both

log-transformed and non-transformed dependent and

independent variables (see Fig. 2a–c) to visually

Table 2

Summary statistics of explanatory geographic variables and passive diffusi

and 4 TCEQ CAMS sites in El Paso, TX, February 11–18, 1999

Regiona Elevation m

(1) Northeast, six sites Mean 1207.7

S.D. 27.4

Range 1170.7–1258.9

(2) North central, five sites Mean 1200.6

S.D. 25.1

Range 1157.0–1219.5

(3) South central, seven sitesb Mean 1143.1

S.D. 7.5

Range 1136.9–1157.9

(4) Northwest, six sites Mean 1198.7

S.D. 44.0

Range 1146.4–1248.7

a Region indicates the school district region where the monitoring sitb Includes four TCEQ CAMS sites.c Includes triplicate collocated samples at CAMS sites.

evaluate the model fit. GPS elevation measurements

were used in these analyses. The linear model

(untransformed NO2 and independent variables) pre-

dicted monotonic decreases in NO2 regardless of

proximity to main highways and the border (Fig. 2a

on tube nitrogen dioxide measurements from 20 elementary schools

Distance to border

crossing, km

Distance to

highway, km

Passive NO2

7-day measurements

[NO2], ppb

13.8 2.0 15.5

5.3 1.1 3.1

7.4–20.4 0.4–2.9 11.0–20.5

(n=6)

7.5 1.1 16.6

3.9 0.7 2.9

2.7–12.9 0.4–1.9 11.8–18.8

(n=7)

1.6 0.4 30.4

0.9 0.4 4.1

0.2–2.6 0.01–0.9 25.6–37.7

(n=19c)

11.8 1.4 17.7

2.5 0.4 3.0

8.8–14.5 1.0–2.1 13.0–21.5

(n=9)

es were located.

Page 7: Characterization of a spatial gradient of nitrogen dioxide across a United States–Mexico border city during winter

Fig. 2. Linear, log-linear and log-log regression model results of univariate analysis for predicting nitrogen dioxide concentrations at 24 sites in

El Paso based on (a) distance to highway; (b) site elevation; and (c) distance to the nearest border crossing.

M. Gonzales et al. / Science of the Total Environment 337 (2005) 163–173 169

Page 8: Characterization of a spatial gradient of nitrogen dioxide across a United States–Mexico border city during winter

M. Gonzales et al. / Science of the Total Environment 337 (2005) 163–173170

and c) and negative NO2 estimates at extreme values

of elevation. The log-linear model (natural-log-trans-

formed NO2 measurements predicted by the untrans-

Table 3

Log-Log regression models for predicting passive nitrogen dioxide

measurements using geographic explanatory variables

Model Log-log regression

model results

Parameter

estimate

p value R2

Univariate Intercept 2.92 b0.001 0.62

Highway �0.20 b0.001

Intercept 3.36 b0.001 0.62

Border �0.23 b0.001

Intercept 4.31 b0.001 0.60

Elevation (GPS) �7.94 b0.001

Intercept 4.23 b0.001 0.61

Elevation (DEM) �7.45 b0.001

Bivariate Intercept 4.01 b0.001 0.75

Elevation (GPS) �4.70 0.004

Border �0.14 0.002

Intercept 3.90 b0.001 0.71

Elevation (DEM) �4.13 0.02

Border �0.14 0.01

Intercept 3.17 b0.001 0.72

Border �0.13 0.01

Highway �0.12 0.01

Intercept 3.83 b0.001 0.79

Elevation (GPS) �5.02 b0.001

Highway �0.13 b0.001

Intercept 3.75 b0.001 0.80

Elevation (DEM) �4.82 b0.001

Highway �0.13 b0.001

Trivariate Intercept 3.78 b0.001 0.81

Elevation (GPS) �4.12 0.005

Border �0.07 0.10

Highway �0.10 0.02

Intercept 3.72 b0.001 0.81

Elevation (DEM) �4.21 0.007

Border �0.04 0.48

Highway �0.13 0.004

Passive measurements were collected at 24 sites in El Paso, TX, on

February 11–18, 1999.

Nitrogen dioxide measurements and geographic explanatory varia-

bles (Border, Highway, Elevation) are natural-log-transformed in the

model. Border=kilometers to the nearest international border cross-

ing between El Paso (USA) and Ciudad Juarez (Mexico). High-

way=kilometers to the either US Interstate Highway 10 or Texas

State Highway 54. Elevation of site in kilometers, as measured by

geographic positioning system (GPS) or obtained from a DEM.

formed independent variables) estimated faster initial

decline in NO2 followed by constant, proportional

decline with increasing site elevation, and fit approx-

imately similar to the linear model with regard to

distance from highways and the border. Log-log linear

model results (natural log-transformed NO2 measure-

ments predicted by the natural log-transformed

independent variables) estimated greater initial

declines in NO2 followed by constant, proportional

decline with increases in all independent variables.

The log-log construct was chosen for further evalua-

tion in multivariate regression models.

Using the log-log regression model construct,

individual geographic variables explained 60% of

the variation in the NO2 measurements collected

across El Paso (Table 3). The most predictive bivariate

model included elevation and distance to a highway as

independent predictors (R2=0.79). The inclusion of

distance to the border improved the fit (R2=0.81) but

was not a significant addition to the model. Colli-

nearity did not significantly influence the results of

the models. Substituting DEM elevation projections

for GPS elevation measurements did not significantly

change the fit of the regression models (Table 3).

Cross-validation of the bivariate elevation–high-

way model was further evaluated using a jackknife-

like estimation method. In this analysis, the NO2

measurement from each site was sequentially dropped

and estimated by the model. The residual plot (jack-

knife-residual versus predicted value of NO2) showed

no structure except possibly one influential observa-

tion at the Downtown TCEQ site (Cooks D=0.22,

next highest 0.13). The omission of the Downtown

site did not result in significant change in the model

results except to slightly reduce the model fit from

R2=0.79 to R2=0.77. (The fit of the trivariate model

was likewise reduced from R2=0.81 to R2=0.77.)

4. Discussion

This pilot study demonstrates an intra-urban

gradient of NO2 concentration across El Paso as a

prerequisite for conducting a study of the health

effects of vehicle emissions on children’s respiratory

health. In a log-log regression model, distance to the

nearest major highway and site elevation predicted

79% of the variation in the passive measurements

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M. Gonzales et al. / Science of the Total Environment 337 (2005) 163–173 171

indicating that the El Paso NO2 gradient is associated

with proximity to areas of localized high traffic

density and lower elevation (a feature of reduced

atmospheric mixing height during winter). The log-

log regression model was selected for this analysis

because it estimated greater initial declines in NO2

followed by constant, proportional decline with

increasing altitude and distance from emission sources

(highways and border crossings) than did linear and

log-linear models. The pattern of steep initial declines

followed by more constant decline is similar features

previously noted by Gilbert et al. (2003) for NO2 and

by Zhu et al. (2002a,b) for ultrafine particulate matter

with increased distance from roadways. The results of

this study indicate that distance to a major highway

and site elevation are the main predictors of relative

intra-community NO2 variability across central, north-

western and northeastern El Paso.

In this pilot study, NO2 concentrations were

inversely correlated with increasing distance from

international border crossings, main highways and

elevation. This result correspond to previous studies,

which suggested spatial gradients of vehicle emis-

sions in the Paso del Norte region. Temporal

variations in carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides

(NOx), particulate matter (PM10), fine particulate

matter (PM2.5) and ultrafine particulate matter have

also been shown to coincide with the morning and

evening commute hours at monitoring sites near

emission source regions of central El Paso and

Ciudad Juarez (Jeon et al., 2001; Noble et al., 2003;

Estado de Chihuahua, Mexico, 1998, MacDonald et

al., 2001). Einfeld and Church (1995) and Jeon et al.

(2001) reported an increase in PM10 concentrations in

El Paso as one moves southward towards the

international border, with the highest concentrations

in the Ciudad Juarez/El Paso downtown areas. In the

current study, the highest NO2 concentrations were

measured in central El Paso at sites closest in

proximity to main traffic emission sources and at

the lowest elevation in the city. The NO2 concen-

trations at schools located farthest to the northeast and

northwest of central El Paso were approximately 3.4

times lower.

Several investigators cite wind speed and direction

as potential influences (Singer et al., 2004; Levy et al.,

2003; Roorda-Knape et al., 1998) on NO2 concen-

trations. The 1996 Paso del Norte Ozone Study

demonstrated how both the mixed layer growth rate

and height, as well as wind speed critically influence

NOx concentrations in El Paso (MacDonald et al.,

2001; Brown et al., 2001). On days when the mixed

layer growth rate is slow and the winds light, NOx and

CO remain confined near central El Paso emission

sources, while on days with moderate wind, the

precursor cloud is dispersed and NOx concentrations

are lower but more widely and evenly dispersed

across the city. Low winds (3.0±2.2 m/s) and the

predominant meteorological inversions during the

current winter study period resulted in similar

dispersion pattern of NO2 across the city and provides

an explanation for the significance of site elevation for

predicting NO2 in El Paso. Although stable meteoro-

logical conditions are a hallmark of winter in El Paso,

measurements of wind speed and direction in addition

to estimates of mixed layer growth rate and height

would be needed to expand the current analysis to

other seasons.

Geographic positioning systems are useful for

measuring latitude, longitude and elevation in areas

where these data are not readily available from other

sources. In this study, there was a statistically non-

significant difference between GPS elevation meas-

urements and DEM elevation projections. A DEM is

an approximated representation of topography, which

relies on manually collected data and automated

calculations to predict elevation. The elevation values

in USGS DEMs are subject to three types of errors:

(1) blunders, (2) systematic errors and (3) random

errors (USGS, 1998). Random errors remain in the

data after blunders and systematic errors are removed

and result in uncertainty in the DEM estimates.

Weschler (1999) points out that it is the responsibility

of the DEM user to determine whether uncertainty in

the DEM will affect results from specific analyses that

utilize data derived from a particular DEM. In the

current analysis, substituting the DEM elevation

projections for GPS measurements did not signifi-

cantly change the fit of the models.

The NO2 measurements collected by the passive

diffusion tubes at the four monitoring stations were

highly correlated with reference analyzer measure-

ments (R2=0.74). Although the passive moni-

tors overestimated the analyzer measurements by

2.5±2.2 ppb, the +16% bias was not significant in

this sample and is similar the +18% to +35% biases

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M. Gonzales et al. / Science of the Total Environment 337 (2005) 163–173172

previously reported for passive NO2 diffusion tube

samplers (Hamilton and Heal, 2004; Heal et al.,

1999). Heal et al. (1999) reported that the positive bias

in 1 week NO2 samples reached a maximum as the

proportion of NO to NO2 increases, but declined when

NO was in large excess of NO2 and ambient air

outside the sampler is likely to be depleted in ozone

and the concentration of ozone becomes the limiting

factor for generation of extra NO2 inside the tube. In

the current study, the positive bias in the passive

[NO2] measurements declined when NO was in

excess of NO2 (decreasing [NO2]/[NOx] ratio), but

was unrelated to ozone concentrations measured by

collocated analyzers. The discrepancy in results may

be a result of different NO2 photolysis and ozone

formation rates due to high intensity sunlight in El

Paso or other local El Paso conditions under which the

passive diffusion tubes have not been fully charac-

terized. Although this finding is based on a small

sample size (eight sets of replicate 1-week measure-

ments), the differences between the current El Paso

results and previous studies indicate that an accurate

quantitative correction for NO2 passive diffusion tube

measurements may not be possible, as suggested by

Heal et al. (1999). Nonetheless, given that the passive

NO2 measurements were well correlated with analyzer

NO2, our results indicate that passive diffusion tube

measurements provide an accurate qualitative measure

of NO2 variation across the monitored region.

A limitation of this pilot study is that only one week

of NO2 measurements were collected. Expansion of

the current analysis to include additional sampling

periods, predictor variables and air pollutants is needed

in order to reliably characterize vehicle-related expo-

sures at an additional 35 unmonitored schools in the El

Paso area targeted for a respiratory health study. For

example, Brauer et al. (2003) estimated PM2.5 in terms

of traffic intensity, distance to a major road and

population density using data from the Netherlands,

Munich, Germany and Stockholm, Sweden. Elevation,

high density housing and industrial use areas were

used by Briggs et al. (2000) to model NO2. In addition,

the contribution of diesel emissions from on-road

vehicles to ultrafine particulate exposure gradients,

as suggested by Levy et al. (2003) and Zhu et al.

(2002b), should also be examined in El Paso in light of

the significant interstate and international freight

traffic in the region.

Our findings suggest significant variability in

intra-community NO2 concentrations across El Paso,

Texas, during winter based on a network of passive

monitors located at schools and local air quality

monitoring sites. Regression models indicate that

elevation and distance to a major highway explained

79% of the variance in the NO2 measurements.

This study is another example of how surrogate

geographic exposure variables can be used in a

regression analysis approach to develop practical

techniques for mapping air pollution on an urban

scale.

5. Disclaimer

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

(EPA) through its Office of Research and Develop-

ment has partially funded and collaborated in the

research described in this paper through contract QT-

RT-02-000665 to the University of New Mexico.

The views expressed in this article are those of the

authors and do not necessarily reflect the views or

policies of the U.S. Environmental Protection

Agency. Mention of trade names or commercial

products does not constitute endorsement or recom-

mendation for use.

Acknowledgements

The authors would like to acknowledge the support

and cooperation of the Facilities and Maintenance

Department of the El Paso Independent School

District; the technical staff of El Paso TCEQ, Kuenja

Chung and Alison Siwik for field assistance; Shaibal

Mukerjee for reviewing the manuscript; Casson

Stallings for providing the GIS elevation projections;

Jose Barrios and Jennifer Slotnick for assistance with

GIS data sets and mapping, and Gina Terrell for

developing Fig. 1.

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