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China China s Emergence In s Emergence In High Tech High Tech Jim Jarrett Jim Jarrett Vice President, Worldwide Government Affairs Vice President, Worldwide Government Affairs Intel Corporation Intel Corporation September 21, 2004 September 21, 2004

China’s High Tech Emergence · Intel In China. z. Started in 1985. z. Intel’s #2 country market. z. Chip Assembly/Test operations in Shanghai and Chengdu. z. R&D in Shanghai and

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Page 1: China’s High Tech Emergence · Intel In China. z. Started in 1985. z. Intel’s #2 country market. z. Chip Assembly/Test operations in Shanghai and Chengdu. z. R&D in Shanghai and

ChinaChina’’s Emergence In s Emergence In High TechHigh Tech

Jim JarrettJim JarrettVice President, Worldwide Government AffairsVice President, Worldwide Government Affairs

Intel CorporationIntel CorporationSeptember 21, 2004September 21, 2004

Page 2: China’s High Tech Emergence · Intel In China. z. Started in 1985. z. Intel’s #2 country market. z. Chip Assembly/Test operations in Shanghai and Chengdu. z. R&D in Shanghai and

Main PointsMain Points

China has emerged as a high tech force, China has emerged as a high tech force, both as a producer and consumerboth as a producer and consumerIn high tech, the country has pursued a In high tech, the country has pursued a very open strategy.very open strategy.China began as an assembler, but is China began as an assembler, but is moving into design.moving into design.The MidThe Mid--Pacific company is starting to Pacific company is starting to happen.happen.PRC is not without challenges.PRC is not without challenges.

Page 3: China’s High Tech Emergence · Intel In China. z. Started in 1985. z. Intel’s #2 country market. z. Chip Assembly/Test operations in Shanghai and Chengdu. z. R&D in Shanghai and

Intel In ChinaIntel In ChinaStarted in 1985Started in 1985IntelIntel’’s #2 country markets #2 country marketChip Assembly/Test operations in Shanghai and Chip Assembly/Test operations in Shanghai and ChengduChengduR&D in Shanghai and BeijingR&D in Shanghai and BeijingSales and marketing offices in 14 citiesSales and marketing offices in 14 cities>20 venture capital investments>20 venture capital investments3300 employees 3300 employees

Page 4: China’s High Tech Emergence · Intel In China. z. Started in 1985. z. Intel’s #2 country market. z. Chip Assembly/Test operations in Shanghai and Chengdu. z. R&D in Shanghai and

Electronics ProductionElectronics Production

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

PRC W. Europe N. America Japan

20012005

$Billions

Source: BAH Estimates

Page 5: China’s High Tech Emergence · Intel In China. z. Started in 1985. z. Intel’s #2 country market. z. Chip Assembly/Test operations in Shanghai and Chengdu. z. R&D in Shanghai and

Electronics Outsourcing in PRCElectronics Outsourcing in PRC

Source: Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Page 6: China’s High Tech Emergence · Intel In China. z. Started in 1985. z. Intel’s #2 country market. z. Chip Assembly/Test operations in Shanghai and Chengdu. z. R&D in Shanghai and

Built on an Open Policy BaseBuilt on an Open Policy Base

IT an IT an ““encouragedencouraged”” industry for FDIindustry for FDIWorldWorld--class incentivesclass incentivesCreating competition: breakup of China Creating competition: breakup of China TelecomTelecomWTO accessionWTO accessionSignatory to Information Technology Signatory to Information Technology Agreement: zero tariffs on IT.Agreement: zero tariffs on IT.

Page 7: China’s High Tech Emergence · Intel In China. z. Started in 1985. z. Intel’s #2 country market. z. Chip Assembly/Test operations in Shanghai and Chengdu. z. R&D in Shanghai and

Good Policy Choices In 2004Good Policy Choices In 2004

WAPI Wireless LAN StandardWAPI Wireless LAN Standard–– Abandoned locally developed standard that is Abandoned locally developed standard that is

incompatible with the international standardincompatible with the international standard3G Technology Neutrality3G Technology Neutrality–– Agreed to let its telecom carriers choose among Agreed to let its telecom carriers choose among

available technologies; no mandate for Chineseavailable technologies; no mandate for Chinese--developed TDSCDMA.developed TDSCDMA.

22--Level Chip VATLevel Chip VAT–– Settled WTO case by announcing plans to end Settled WTO case by announcing plans to end

lower VAT on domestically produced chips.lower VAT on domestically produced chips.

Page 8: China’s High Tech Emergence · Intel In China. z. Started in 1985. z. Intel’s #2 country market. z. Chip Assembly/Test operations in Shanghai and Chengdu. z. R&D in Shanghai and

IC Supply/Demand ImbalanceIC Supply/Demand Imbalance

Page 9: China’s High Tech Emergence · Intel In China. z. Started in 1985. z. Intel’s #2 country market. z. Chip Assembly/Test operations in Shanghai and Chengdu. z. R&D in Shanghai and

Chip Factory InvestmentsChip Factory Investments

$12 billion invested in last 20 years; 80% $12 billion invested in last 20 years; 80% foreign.foreign.Expect cumulative $36 billion by 2010. Foreign Expect cumulative $36 billion by 2010. Foreign investment percentage to continue.investment percentage to continue.14 < 0.25 micron factories in operation , under 14 < 0.25 micron factories in operation , under construction, or planned.construction, or planned.Very attractive incentive packagesVery attractive incentive packages

–– 5 years, no income tax5 years, no income tax–– 5 years, 5 years, ½½ income taxincome tax–– Free landFree land

Page 10: China’s High Tech Emergence · Intel In China. z. Started in 1985. z. Intel’s #2 country market. z. Chip Assembly/Test operations in Shanghai and Chengdu. z. R&D in Shanghai and

China IC Design: Rapid GrowthChina IC Design: Rapid Growth

China IC Design

10.7 14.8 21.644.9

75.6107.1

145

203.8

288

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Rev

enue

(mill

ion

RM

B)

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

120.0%

Gro

wth

per

cent

age

Page 11: China’s High Tech Emergence · Intel In China. z. Started in 1985. z. Intel’s #2 country market. z. Chip Assembly/Test operations in Shanghai and Chengdu. z. R&D in Shanghai and

China PC Makers: >50% Share of China PC Makers: >50% Share of Home MarketHome Market

Page 12: China’s High Tech Emergence · Intel In China. z. Started in 1985. z. Intel’s #2 country market. z. Chip Assembly/Test operations in Shanghai and Chengdu. z. R&D in Shanghai and

China as Cell Phone China as Cell Phone Consumer/ExporterConsumer/Exporter

WorldWorld’’s largest cell phone market: 305 million s largest cell phone market: 305 million subscribers; PRC companies at 50% market subscribers; PRC companies at 50% market share.share.PRC largest exporter: 73.41 million units, first 7 PRC largest exporter: 73.41 million units, first 7 months of 2004.months of 2004.96% of exports are JVs96% of exports are JVs’’ products. products. 40% of Nokia40% of Nokia’’s worldwide units were designed s worldwide units were designed in Beijing; assembled worldwide.in Beijing; assembled worldwide.

Page 13: China’s High Tech Emergence · Intel In China. z. Started in 1985. z. Intel’s #2 country market. z. Chip Assembly/Test operations in Shanghai and Chengdu. z. R&D in Shanghai and

New: The MidNew: The Mid--Pacific CompanyPacific Company

SMIC Chip Foundry: Based in Shanghai; SMIC Chip Foundry: Based in Shanghai; Incorporated in Cayman Islands, Listed on Incorporated in Cayman Islands, Listed on NASDAQ, International staff, Funding from PRC, NASDAQ, International staff, Funding from PRC, U.S. Taiwan, Japan, SingaporeU.S. Taiwan, Japan, SingaporeUTStarcomUTStarcom: Based in Alameda, CA; founded by : Based in Alameda, CA; founded by Chinese graduates of U.S. universities; listed on Chinese graduates of U.S. universities; listed on NASDAQ; $2 billion in sales, primarily in China. NASDAQ; $2 billion in sales, primarily in China. R&D in U.S., China and India.R&D in U.S., China and India.North American Chinese Semiconductor Assn.: North American Chinese Semiconductor Assn.: 3000 members/3000 business plans3000 members/3000 business plans

Page 14: China’s High Tech Emergence · Intel In China. z. Started in 1985. z. Intel’s #2 country market. z. Chip Assembly/Test operations in Shanghai and Chengdu. z. R&D in Shanghai and

PRC ChallengesPRC Challenges

Inadequate IP ProtectionInadequate IP Protection–– TSMC sues SMIC in the U.S.TSMC sues SMIC in the U.S.

Avoid Local Standards Avoid Local Standards Underdeveloped capital marketsUnderdeveloped capital marketsEnergy infrastructure: stable supply critical Energy infrastructure: stable supply critical for chipfor chip--makingmaking