41
0 Citi Global Property Conference 11-14 March 2012

Citi Global Property Conf/media/Files/S/Segro/documents/...Czech Rep Prague 29.7 5.7 Warsaw 17.7 6.9 Amsterdam 17.2 19.7 (Schipol) Netherlands Berlin 19.2 9.6 Germany Düsseldorf 8.8

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    4

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 0

    Citi Global Property Conference

    11-14 March 2012

  • 1

    Overview

  • 2

    SEGRO today

    � European industrial specialist

    � £5.1bn of assets

    � 5.5 m sq m of lettable space

    � Passing rent of £333m

    � Over 1,600 customers

    68%

    32%

    UK Continental Europe

    * JVs included at 100%

    54%

    17%

    21%

    8%

    Industrial Logistics

    Offices & other business space Development & land340Adjusted NAV (per share) (pence)

    50Gearing (loan to value ratio %)

    8.2Weighted average lease term to expiry (years)

    Key statistics at 31 December 2011

    6.4

    7.8

    9.1

    Net initial yield (%)

    Net true equivalent yield (%)

    Vacancy (%)

  • 3

    Industrial and logistics focus –an attractive income yield

    Logistics warehousingLogistics warehousing

    Logistics

    •Larger distribution warehouses – typically 10,000 sq m and above

    •Single and multi-occupier buildings

    •International, national and regional

    distribution

    •Ports, airports and transportation corridors

    Industrial

    •Multi occupier estates and buildings in varying sizes

    •Located in and around conurbations

    •Light industrial and similar uses

    •Urban logistics serving conurbations

  • 4

    Industrial and logistics focus – with the potential to develop higher value uses

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    Older

    industrial

    Modern

    industrial

    Other high

    value uses

    Airport

    (landside)

    Data

    centres

    Airport

    (airside)

    Suburban

    Offices

    Illustrative rental levels – South East England

    (Rent per sq ft)

    £6-7

    £9-12

    £9-15 £12.5-15.5£16

    £24-25

    £23-30

  • 5

    Strong positions in some of Europe’s most attractive industrial markets

    %*Country/Region

    7Benelux & other

    7Poland & Czech Rep

    9Germany

    8France

    34Greater London

    35Thames Valley & Regions (UK)

    *Joint ventures included at share

  • 6

    A clear strategy to create a successful income-focused REIT

  • 7

    A clear strategy to create a successful income-focused REIT

    GOAL:

    STRATEGY TO CREATE VALUE FOR SHAREHOLDERS:

    A STRONG PLATFORM FOR SUCCESS:

    High

    quality,progressive,

    sustainable dividends

    and NAV growth

    Industrial and

    logistics focus

    Strong

    market positions

    Experienced

    operationalteam

    Diversified

    customer base

    Disciplined Capital

    Allocation

    Operational Excellence

    • Right Portfolio Shape• Active Portfolio Management• Right Capital Structure

    • Leasing, Customer & Asset nManagement• Development• Operational Efficiency

  • 8

    Disciplined capital allocation

    • Critical mass in strongest European markets

    • Prime, modern assets

    • Low vacancy, sustainable

    portfolio

    • Modest land holdings

    • Moderate gearing levels

    • 40% LTV target

    • Focused use of third-party

    capital

    • Enhance risk-adjusted

    returns

    • Facilitate growth /

    achieve competitive scale

    Right portfolio shape Active portfolio management Right capital structure

  • 9

    Four key strategic priorities to deliver our vision

    Re-shape the existing portfolio

    � Divest assets which do not fit our strategic priorities

    � Reduce land holdings and other non-income producing assets as a proportion of the total portfolio

    Grow AUM in target areas through development and acquisition

    � Light industrial in the largest and most vibrant conurbations

    � Logistics in and around major ports, airports and distribution corridors

    � Exploit opportunities to create higher value uses on industrial land

    Reduce financial leverage over time and introduce third-party capital

    Continue to focus on operational excellence and drive further improvement

    2

    3

    4

    1

  • 10

    Early progress with strategic priorities

    � New organisation structure announced and implemented

    � COO and CIO roles created

    � Non-core disposals

    � £111m smaller, secondary estates sold in 2011

    � £80m divestment of five estates to Ignis in February 2012

    � Acquisition of UK Logistics Fund in partnership with Moorfield

  • 11

    � 50/50 JV partnership with Moorfield Real Estate Fund

    � 14 prime logistics warehouses, located predominantly in the Midlands and South

    � Excellent customer base, including Tesco, Sainsbury’s, Royal Mail, DHL, GKN, Booker

    � High-quality income stream – c £18m in 2011; average 13 years to lease expiry

    � 9.4% cash running yield on SEGRO share of equity investment, rising to 12.8%; 6.3% ungeared net initial yield rising to 7.7%

    � Potential to add further value through active asset management

    UKLF acquisition significantly increases our presence in logistics

    Sainsbury’s, Hoddesdon

    Booker, Booker, Hatfield

    In line with strategy to grow logistics with third-party capital

    Royal Mail, Birmingham

  • 12

    2011 Operational Performance

  • 13

    Operational excellence created strong earnings momentum for FY 2011

    Leasing,

    Customer and Asset

    Management

    � £38.4m of new annualised rental income from existing space and pre-lets

    � Transactional rental values 1.7% above December 2010 ERVs

    � Lease incentives of 11%

    � Retention rate up to 74%, takebacks down 28% to £21.0m

    � Vacancy rate 9.1%

    � 14 developments completed; £9m annualised rental income

    � 20 developments under construction or contracted – 78% pre-let

    � Current pipeline £117m capex and £19m annualised rental income

    � Total costs down by 15% year on year (£15m)

    � Cost ratio reduced to 24.3%

    � New management and operating structure to drive further efficiencies in 2012

    and beyond

    Development

    Operational

    Efficiency

  • 14

    Land bank provides an attractive source of future developments

    £170m

    £82m

    £171m

    � Estimated development costs £600m

    � Estimated rental value £78m

    � Indicative yield on TDC* 9-10%

    Current land holdings by value (£m)

    Residual land bank

    Under construction

    Potential projectsPotential projects

    Largest development sites

    Current BV (£m)

    Hectares

    5.714.2Poznan

    Poland & Czech Rep

    5.729.7Prague

    6.917.7Warsaw

    19.717.2Amsterdam (Schipol)

    Netherlands

    9.619.2Berlin

    9.78.8DüsseldorfGermany

    13.07.4Slough

    32.08.5Park RoyalUK

    229 hectares

    *Total development cost

    49 hectares

    363 hectares

  • 15

    FY 2011 Financials

  • 16

    Strong operating performance delivered 8.8% EPRA PBT growth

    10.816.6Share of joint ventures’ EPRA profit after tax1

    (62.5)(54.9)Property operating expenses

    282.1271.2Net rental income

    1.95.9Joint venture management fee

    (39.2)(32.1)Administration expenses

    255.6261.6EPRA operating profit

    127.3138.5EPRA profit before tax

    (128.3)(123.1)Net finance costs (excluding fair value movements on derivatives)

    344.6326.1Gross rental income

    2010£m

    2011£m

    1. Net property rental income less administrative expenses, net interest expenses and taxation.

  • 17

    Good progress with cost reduction

    24.3%

    28.1%

    29.9%30.4%

    20

    25

    30

    35

    2008 2009 2010 2011

    (18.1)39.232.1Administration expenses

    (12.2)62.554.9Property operating costs

    Movement

    (%)

    2010

    (£m)

    2011

    (£m)

    To

    tal

    co

    st

    rati

    o*

    (%)

    *Total costs as a percentage of gross rental income. Total costs include property operating expenses

    (net of service charge income and management fees) and recurring administration expenses.

  • 18

    Solid balance sheet

    � No significant debt maturities before 2014

    � £456m of funds available from cash balances and undrawn facilities

    � Weighted average cost of debt now 4.8%

    � 74% of net borrowings at fixed rates

    � Net borrowings of £2.3bn; adjusted gearing of 89% and LTV of 50%

    � SEGRO bonds rated A minus; reaffirmed by Fitch in December 2011

    SEGRO debt maturity profile

    Average duration of debt 8.8 years

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024+

    Year

    Bonds and Notes Bank Debt drawn Cash Undrawn facilities

    £m

  • 19

    Well hedged against the Euro

    2,004

    566

    1,030

    105

    Balance sheet as at 31 December 2011

    Euro gross assets

    Euro debt

    Euro currency swaps

    Other Euro liabilities

    €m

    illio

    n

    •€1.20:£1 as at 31 December 2011

    •€ assets 85% hedged by € liabilities

    •€303m (£252m) of residual exposure – 10% of Group NAV

    113

    79

    Income statement year to 31 December 2011

    Euro net income

    Euro costs (incl €67m interest)

    €m

    illio

    n

    •Average rate for year to 31 December 2011 €1.15:£1

    •€ income 70% hedged by € expenditure (including interest)

    •Net € income for the period €34m (£30m) – 22% of Group

    1,701

    Annualised NAV sensitivity versus €1.20:

    • +/- 10% (€1.32/€1.08) = +/- c£25m (c3.4p per share)

    •Annualised net income sensitivity versus €1.15

    •+/- 10% (€1.27/€1.03) = +/- c£3m (c0.4p per share)

  • 20

    Summary

    � Strong FY 2011 operating results due to portfolio quality and

    operational focus

    � Further momentum to come from mainly pre-let development programme

    � A clear strategy to become a leading income-focused REIT

    � Early progress with portfolio reshaping

  • 21

    APPENDICES

  • 22

    Industrial – an attractive asset class

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    1986-1995 1996-2004 2005-2010

    Industrial Office Retail All Property

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    1986-1995 1996-2004 2005-2010

    Industrial Office Retail All Property

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    Industrial Office Retail All Property

    IPD Total Returns % by Economic Cycle(annualised to 2010)

    IPD Total Returns % from 1986 to 2010(annualised to 2010)

    IPD Income Returns % by Economic Cycle(annualised to 2010)

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    Industrial Office Retail All Property

    IPD Income Returns % from 1986 to 2010(annualised to 2010)

  • 23

    Significant improvement in retention reflects benefits of working closely with customers

    % o

    f cu

    sto

    mers

    reta

    ined

    year

    on

    year*

    55%

    75%

    63%69%

    87%

    74%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    UK Continental Europe Group

    2010 2011

    • Focus on customer satisfaction

    • Proactive and commercial approach to upcoming lease events

    • Reduced availability of modern space in most markets

    *Leases renegotiated ahead of break or expiry

  • 24

    Increased retention levels have contributed to the significant reduction in takebacks

    £m

    an

    nu

    ali

    sed

    ren

    tal

    inco

    me l

    ost

    £16.2m£20.2m

    £4.8m

    £9.1m

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    2010 2011

    UK Continental Europe

    • Low level of insolvencies (£4.0m versus £7.2m in 2010)

    • £41m of income at risk from potential break or expiry in 2012, down from £50m at June 2011

    Down 28% in 2011

    £29.3m

    £21.0m

  • 25

    Significant further improvement in Group vacancy from 12% to 9.1% – the lowest level since 2007

    9.1%

    11.4%12.0%

    14.0%13.5%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    14%

    16%

    FY 2009 H1 2010 FY 2010 H1 2011 FY 2011

    % v

    acan

    t b

    y r

    en

    tal va

    lue

    • UK 10.2%, Continental Europe 6.4% (2011)

    • Target for Brixton portfolio of 15% by end of 2012 already delivered (2011: 13.4%)

  • 26

    FY 2011 Group vacancy bridge

    (0.5)%(2.6)%

    (0.4)%

    12.0%

    (12.7)%

    9.1%

    1.9% (0.1)%

    11.5%

    Vacancy rate as at

    31 December 2010

    Space returned Development

    completions

    Disposals Space made

    redundant

    Other (ERV

    changes)

    Development

    lettings

    Space let Vacancy rate as at

    31 December 2011

  • 27

    Gliwice, Poland

    Selig UK, SloughGeopost, Enfield

    14 developments completed in 2011 –£9.0m of rent p.a

    • 2 projects for logistics customers across 35,600 sq m

    completed January & December 2011

    • 3,500 sq m completed September 2011

    • 15,900 sq m for logistics customer completed September 2011

    • 7,000 sq m completed December 2011

    Tychy, Poland

  • 28

    Significant earnings momentum from current development programme

    • 20 active projects, 78% pre-let

    • £19m of annualised rental income and £117m of remaining capex

    � 9,900 sq m at APP Portal, expected

    completion September 2012

    � 5,600 sq m at Slough, expected

    completion February 2012

    � 33,400 sq m at Vimercate, expected

    completion December 2013

    � 5,500 sq m at Slough, expected completion May

    2012

    Data centre operator

    Alcatel Lonza

    DB Schenker

  • 29

    Our current development pipeline is 78% pre-let

    UK

    Speculative developments

    3,100n/aGalvin Road, STE

    1,200Family BargainsFarnham Road, STE

    42,100*Total

    2,800Under offer – data centre

    Galvin Road, STE

    8,500Rolls-RoyceAPP Portal at Heathrow, London

    9,900DB Schenker APP Portal at Heathrow, London

    Contracted projects

    3,300Ragus SugarsYeovil Road, STE

    5,500LonzaBath Road, STE

    5,600Data centre operator

    Ajax Avenue, STE

    11,400Infinity STE

    Pre-let projects under construction

    Space to be built (sq m)

    CustomerProject

    7,600OPEKLodz, Poland

    11,200Esprinet (72%) /speculative

    Vimercate, Italy

    CONTINENTAL EUROPE

    Speculative developments

    8,200n/aParis, France

    12,200Various – 50% letBerlin, Germany

    11,300Wir Packens (80%) /speculative

    Krefeld, Germany

    162,400Total

    12,200n/aDusseldorf, Germany

    Contracted projects

    1,200EurocashPoznan, Poland

    14,300Pro Tex (30%)

    /speculative

    Frankfurt, Germany

    18,900ZabkaTychy, Poland

    31,300Sports retailerGliwice, Poland

    34,000Alcatel-LucentVimercate, Italy

    Pre-let projects under construction

    Space to be built (sq m)

    CustomerProject

    £19m of annualised rental income and £117m of capex

    *Includes APP Portal contracted projects at Group share

  • 30

    FY 2011 core and non-core valuation movements*

    -200

    -150

    -100

    -50

    0

    50

    Core Non-Core

    Valu

    ati

    on

    mo

    ve

    men

    t (£

    m)

    (187.0)(33.6)Non-Core

    (54.6)19.9Core

    (241.6)(13.7)Total

    H2 2011 (£m)H1 2011 (£m)Property assets

    *Valuation movement relates to the total portfolio (completed properties, land and development).

    Joint ventures shown at share.

  • 31

    1.211.30.36.50.94.8Net absorption (£m)

    (13.0)(0.4)(16.3)0.9(10.5)(0.8)Valuation movement (%)

    8.47.68.28.18.67.5True equivalent yield (%)

    7.06.17.97.56.45.7Net initial yield (%)

    -

    12.4

    767.6

    Non-core

    6.0

    9.5

    2,586.3

    Core

    UK

    3.1

    4.0

    814.4

    Core

    Continental Europe

    4.9

    9.6

    515.4

    Non-core

    9.1

    8.2

    3,400.7

    Core

    Group

    4.9

    11.2

    1,283.0

    Non-core

    Pre-lets signed (£m)

    Vacancy (%)

    Portfolio value (£m)(completed properties)

    Performance of core versus non-core

  • 32

    Large non-strategic assets

    Pegasus Park (Brussels)

    Neckermann site

    (Frankfurt)

    Vimercate

    (Milan)

    IQ Farnborough

    (Farnborough)

    Total value: £515m

    Total headline rent: £45m

    Data as at 31 December 2011

    MPM site(Munich)

    Thales site(Crawley)

  • 33

    FY 2011 net rental income bridge (£m)

    271.2

    0.30.7

    1.62.1

    5.3

    282.1

    (6.5)

    (9.3)

    (5.1)

    Net rental

    income 2010

    Development

    (lettings net of

    takebacks)

    Like-for-like rent Currency

    translation

    Acquisitions Other income Disposals to

    APP

    Disposals

    (excluding to

    APP)

    Lease

    surrenders

    (premium net of

    rent lost)

    Net rental

    income 2011

  • 34

    FY 2011 EPRA PBT bridge (£m)

    5.84.0

    138.55.2

    7.1127.3 (10.9)

    EPRA PBT 2010 Net rental income JV management fee Share of JV EPRA PBT Administrative expenses Net finance cost EPRA PBT 2011

  • 35

    FY 2011 EPRA NAV per share bridge (pence)

    376

    (3)(15)

    (35)

    19 (1) (1)

    340

    EPRA NAV per share

    as 31 Dec 2010

    EPRA PBT Exchange rate

    movement

    Other Unrecognised

    valuation movement

    on trading properties

    Dividends Realised and

    unrealised valuation

    movement (including

    JVs)

    EPRA NAV per share

    as 31 Dec 2011

  • 36

    FY 2011 EPRA pro forma profit before tax: JVs proportionally consolidated

    (65.2)(57.7)Property operating expenses

    303.2301.4Net rental income

    1.02.6Joint venture management fee

    (39.2)(32.1)Administration expenses

    265.0271.9EPRA operating profit

    127.3138.5EPRA profit before tax

    (137.9)

    0.2

    (133.6)

    0.2

    Net finance costs (excluding fair value movements on derivatives)

    Joint venture tax

    368.4359.1Gross rental income

    2010£m

    2011£m

  • 37

    FY 2011 cash flow summary

    23.4(8.1)Net settlement of derivatives

    (193.5)(15.9)Investment in joint ventures

    397.079.9Investment property sales (including joint ventures)

    (82.8)(107.4)Dividends paid

    (61.1)(187.1)Capital expenditure (excluding trading properties)

    193.7(106.5)Net funds flow

    4.17.9Other items

    106.6124.2Free cash flow

    (6.0)(4.9)Tax paid

    8.810.4Dividends received (net)

    (141.1)(120.3)Net finance costs

    244.9239.0Cash flow from operations

    2010£m

    2011£m

  • 38

    £954m of new Group and JV debt facilities arranged

    SEGRO and Moorfield financing for UKLF JV

    � £186.6m five-year facility

    � Acquisition completed January 2012

  • 39

    Forward-looking statements

    This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements with respect to

    SEGRO’s expectations and plans, strategy, management’s objectives, future

    performance, costs, revenues and other trend information. These statements and

    forecasts involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend

    upon circumstances that may occur in the future. There are a number of factors

    which could cause actual results or developments to differ materially from those

    expressed or implied by these forward looking statements and forecasts. The

    statements have been made with reference to forecast price changes, economic

    conditions and the current regulatory environment. Nothing in this presentation

    should be construed as a profit forecast. Past share performance cannot be relied on

    as a guide to future performance.

  • 40

    Citi Global Property Conference

    11-14 March 2012