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ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 1
Clinical Study Report
on
Primary End Point Analysis
STUDY TITLE: RANDOMIZED CONTROLLED SINGLE BLINDED PROSPECTIVE
MULTI CENTRE CLINICAL TRIAL TO INVESTIGATE THE SAFETY AND
EFFICACY OF ZINGIVIR-H AS AN ADJUVANT THERAPY IN HOSPITALIZED
ADULTS DIAGNOSED WITH CORONAVIRUS DISEASE 2019 (COVID-19).
Protocol Number: PHRF 010-2020
Protocol Version: Version 1:1 dated 11 April 2020
Zingivir-H Drug License No: 50/25D/96
Study Sponsor: Pankajakasthuri Herbal Research Foundation
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 2
TABLE OF CONTENTS
S.No Particulars Page Number
1 Clinical study design and Schematic Design of the study 03
2 Changes made in the Protocol or Study Procedures 05
3 Research Site Information 06
4 Start up Deliverables & Timelines 06
5 Information on patient screening 09
6 Eligibility Deviations 10
7 Baseline characteristics (pooled by treatment regimen) 10
8 Adherence to medication schedule (pooled by treatment
regimen)
11
9 Attendance at scheduled visits (pooled by treatment regimen) 11
10 Reporting delays for key events (pooled by treatment regimen) 12
11 Length of follow-up data available (pooled by treatment
regimen)
12
12 Statistical and Data modeling Assessments 12
13 Clinical Outcome assessments 23
14 Discussion 26
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 3
1. Overall Clinical Study Design
This is a Randomized controlled, single blinded multi-center, comparative study of ZingiVir-H
as an adjuvant therapy in hospitalized adults diagnosed with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-
19). At inclusion, subjects who meet all inclusion criteria and no exclusion criteria will be
assigned, in either therapeutic arm (ZingiVir-H), to receive ZingiVir-H in a dose of 500 mg
tablet each consumed once in 3 hours ±1 hour between 6 AM and 9 PM in a given day (6AM,
9AM, 12Noon, 3PM, 6PM, 9PM) for a minimum duration of 10 days to Maximum 15 days OR
will be on a Placebo arm to receive placebo (without active ingredients) each consumed once in
3 hours ±1 hour between 6 AM and 9 PM in a given day (6AM, 9AM, 12Noon, 3PM, 6PM,
9PM) for a minimum duration of 10 days to Maximum 15 days. The allocation of study arm was
also prefixed as per the drug dispensing procedure whereas in a given site all ODD numbered
patients (001,003,005,007,009,011,013,015…..) and so on shall receive the study drug whereas
all EVEN number patients (002,004,006,008,010,012,014, 016….) and so on shall receive the
placebo. The patients who are involved in the study shall be blinded from the study drug
information. If in any case more than one patient got recruited in the same site in a given day, the
allocation of study arm is based on the time of signing the informed Consent Form (ICF).
Whereas both the study groups shall be given standard of care of treatment as per the research
site policies or COVID-19 therapeutic management policies. These doses will be administered
orally. Blood samples for assessing CBC; safety laboratory tests and immunomodulatory
markers will be obtained between baseline assessments (Day-01), during the day-06 of inclusion,
at the end of the treatment day-15 and at the end of the study day-30. A NABL accredited
Dr.LalPathlabs is used as Central laboratory for the blood sample analysis services. No
diagnostic labs are identified to perform Interferon Alpha and thus Sponsor research laboratory
performs the assessment using commercially available kits. Safety-related assessments will
include reports of adverse events and clinical laboratory test results. The assessment of safety
and efficacy of the molecule in the patients shall be assessed for the whole study period.
Obtained data shall be modeled as per statistical assessment plans. Data monitoring committee is
formed and the study shall be performed as per their opinion taken into consideration.
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 4
Study Procedures
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 5
2. Changes made in the Protocol or Study Procedures:
Few administrative changes were made in the study procedures as per government directives.
A) As per the recent notification issued by Ministry of Health & Family Welfare, Directorate
General of Health Services, EMR Division regarding the Guidance document on
appropriate management of suspect/confirmed cases of COVID-19 which waives off that
there will be no need for testing RT-PCR in patients prior to discharge for "mild/very
mild/pre-symptomatic" cases of COVID-19. Such patients can be discharged after 10
days of symptom onset and absence of fever for the last three days. "At the time of
discharge, the patient will be advised to follow the home isolation for further seven days.
Ref: https://www.mohfw.gov.in/pdf/FinalGuidanceonMangaementofCovidcasesversion2.pdf
Considering this guideline, the following procedure is included in the parent protocol PHRF-
010-2020 version 1.1 dated 11 April 2020. An RT-PCR test schedule shall be included in the
protocol for the study participants to understand the primary endpoint of our study. Accordingly
RTPCR test can be performed on the 4th, 8th, 12th & 15th day of the study period start from the
day of enrollment (Day-01) until the study subjects shown negative to COVID test. The RT-PCR
sampling can also be performed additionally on any days as per Investigator discretion. Day-01
stands at the day the subjects started consuming the study drug OR Placebo. The test sampling
shall be withdrawn as per the existing sampling for COVID diagnosis protocol.
B) Secondly as per the protocol Interleukin-7 test (IL-7) was considered as Inflammatory
markers to access the efficacy, which is waived off as per the present addendum. As
Interleukin-7 (IL-7) is not considered as significant inflammatory markers as per review
of literature, the test is waived off in the protocol and no protocol deviation shall be filed
on this behalf at study level.
C) Interferon Alpha is not performed in the Site or in Central Laboratory due to non-
availability of the test and thus the samples shall be shipped to Sponsor Research
laboratory for assessment as per recommended research protocols.
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 6
3. Research Site Information
Z001 DR. Madhu Kumar, KR Hospital, Mysore Medical College and Research Institute, Mysuru
Z002 Dr. Poorna Prasad, Sri Venkateshwara Hospital, #27, 29th Main Road, Rashtra Kuvempu
Nagara, BTM 2nd Stage, BTM Layout, Bangalore- 560076, India
Z003 Dr. Ambuj Garg, Consultant, Dept of Medicine, Sir Ganga Ram Hospital, SRGH Marg,
Rajinder Nagar, New Delhi-110060
Z004 Dr. Anita Ajit Saibannavar, RCSM Medical College & CPR Hospital, Bhausinghaji Road,
Dasara Chowk, Kolhapur District, Maharashtra State, INDIA- 416002, India
Z005 Dr. Aparna Prasanna Patanje, Assistant Prof. Depatment of Medicine, Krishna Institute of
Medical Sciences & Deemed University, Malkapur, NH 04, Karad, Satara- 415539
Maharashtra, India.
Z006 DR. Kannan Rajendran, Principal Investigator- Zingivir-H Study, Proffessor in Medicine,
Saveetha Medical College & Hospital, Saveetha Nagar, Thandalam, Chennai-105
Z007 Dr. Salim Sheikh, Consultant, ESIC Medical College and Hospital, Faridabad, Haryana.
Z008 Dr. Sonali Nirali, Consultant, Life Point Hospital, Pune
4. Start up Deliverables & Timelines:
Start up Deliverables Comments
PI Qualifications All Principal Investigators have essential residency
qualifications in Modern Medicine and Experience to
Conduct Clinical Trials as per GCP and Regulatory
Guidelines.
Documents Obtained from
PI
Signed and dated
a) Non Disclosure Agreement
b) Financial Disclosure Form (FDA 3455)
c) Investigator Study Undertaking (FDA 1572)
d) Investigator consent on Protocol (PSP)
e) Filled in Feasibility forms
f) Signed CV and MRC
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 7
Research support &
Infrastructure at sites
Research activities of all Identified sites is managed by
Registered Site Management Organizations in Clinical
Research
Research Team As per AYUSH Guidelines in COVID trials.
Study Deliverables Comments
Site qualification
Assessments
A telephonic evaluation is made based on the project feasibility
submitted by the Investigator and team. Feasible sites with project
execution capabilities were selected.
Ethics Committee Documents submitted electronically to all ethics committee through
Investigators. Expedite review request was made as per ICMR
guidelines to Ethics Committee on COVID research studies
evaluation. Few Ethics Committee gave expedite approval and KIMS
hospital at Karad and Sir Ganga Ram hospital, NewDelhi are yet to
give the approval for the study conduct.
Site Training and
Initiation of the
Project
Once after Ethics Committee approval the sites and investigation
team is provided with telephonic training on Protocol, Study
procedures including consenting research subjects and
documentation, Study drug dispensing procedure, Laboratory
assessments, Blood sampling procedures, Handing AE/SAE’s in the
study, Data capturing requirements etcetera.
Study execution
and Safety
measures
The study participants are insured in the study to compensate them on
any trial related injury. A study grant per patient is allocated to the
site for the HR efforts. The study shall be conducted by a trained
research team as per the delegation of responsibilities by the Chief
Investigator.
Study Data
Collection
Study specific Case Report forms (CRF) are designed for data
capture. The data points shall be captured in the CRF from the
corresponding Patient source data by the research staff at site. CRF
data will be 100% audited by the sponsor representative and will
retrieve the filled in CRF pages for data analysis. For the analysis the
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 8
available/ required data is collected through digital sources, without
auditing the source notes.
Safety data
Collection and
reporting
As per the clinical study protocol and applicable regulatory
guidelines, the participating sites were given training on
contemporary approaches in the collection, reporting of adverse
events (AEs) and Adverse Drug reactions (ADRs) in the present
study with a primary efficacy outcome. The sites are elaborated on
adverse events/ serious adverse events collection methods, steps to
reduce information loss on AE /ADR when analyzing at patient level,
assessment of severity and causality, reporting criteria, analysis
methods and presentation of AE data. AE data were collected (mode
of collection, timing) and defined (coding, attribution); how AEs
were assessed in terms of severity of the event or relatedness to the
medical intervention; AE analysis plan if any; how events were
selected for inclusion in the final analysis of data are explained. In the
present study no noticeable adverse events or serious adverse events
are reported till date. All unidentified adverse events will be captured
during site audits and if any will be reported in the final clinical study
report.
DMC / DSMB The data generated in the present clinical trial is controlled and
monitored by an independent FIVE member Peer review data
monitoring committee / Data Safety Monitoring board. Interim
analysis of the present study is reviewed and approved by the DMC
committee. The suggestions recommended in the DMC committee
were implemented further in the trial. The DMC proposed to meet
again to evaluate the final results before publication.
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 9
Project timelines
5. Information on patient screening:
S.No Patient Information Z001 Z004 Z006 Z008
1 Site Initiation dates 25-Apr-20 27-May-20 18-Jun-20 11- July-20
2 First patient in (FPI) 3-May-20 15 Jun 20 25 Jun 20 14- Jul-20
3 Total Patient Allocated 60 40 20 20
4 Total Patient Screened 60 40 18 12
5 Total Patient Randomized 60 40 18 12
6 Total Patient Withdrawal 0 0 3 1
The Primary end point analysis is performed with 116 evaluable patients out of the
randomized subjects. Three patient transferred from the primary hospital after withdrew from
the study participation on the second day. One patient withdraws the consent after signing the
consent form and after randomization. These four patients are recorded as withdrawn subjects
from the study. The patients were not interested to go for drawing blood to assess the safety.
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 10
However the patients were assessed by the Investigation team and found to have no study
related concerns. Their withdrawal are documented as appropriate in source notes.
6. Eligibility Deviations:
The study recommends to inclusion of adult population between age 18 and age 60. All the
study subjects are confirmed with the eligibility of participation and included in the study.
For Seven subjects the most recent RT-PCR reports showing the COVID+ results was taken
into account as eligibility for inclusion. These 7 patients’ data are excluded in the primary
efficacy endpoint analysis. However these patient data points shall be included in the “Per
Protocol Assessment Criteria” during the final analysis. There are protocol deviations
reported in the study in missing or delaying in the blood sampling procedures and visit day
deviations from the protocol timelines which are captured in the site specific protocol
deviation forms and kept for audit trial. All protocol deviations shall be documented and will
be reported to concerned ethics committee before the site closeout and such deviations shall
be tabulated in the final data analysis.
7. Baseline characteristics (pooled by treatment regimen)
RT-PCR test assuring the subjects test positive for COVID-19 within 120 hrs before
randomization.
Demographics
Medical history (all known information regarding the subject’s health history/relevant
surgeries/interventions prior to signing the informed consent).
Vital signs: Body temperature, Pulse – beats per minute (BPM), Blood Pressure (BP)
mmHg, Respirations – breaths per
Concomitant medications (including medications, fluids and blood products administered
within the 7 days prior to randomization).
Documentation of any other infection if available (site of infection and, if available:
positive culture results, prior antibiotics, sensitivity of cultured organism to antibiotics,
nonmedical treatment such as surgery or drainage).
Physical Examination including the following: general appearance, Head, Eye, Ear Nose
Throat (HEENT), neck, respiratory, cardiovascular, chest, abdomen, lymphatic,
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 11
musculoskeletal and extremities, skin and neurologic examination. Height and weight
(baseline dry weight).
Blood will be obtained for following laboratory tests:
o Complete Blood Count with differential (Hemoglobin, Hematocrit, and WBC
with differential count) & ESR
o Serum Chemistry- Creatinine, Urea, CRP, ALT, AST, Alkaline Phosphatase,
Albumin, total bilirubin
o Pregnancy test; Serum or Urine human Chorionic Gonadotropin (hCG) -
Pregnancy test only required for woman of childbearing potential on the day of
randomization
o Immunomodulatory markers, IL6, Interferon α, IgG, IgM
8. Adherence to medication schedule (pooled by treatment regimen)
As per the data collected from the research sites based on the Investigational Product
dispensing log and compliance log it is confirmed that the patients are regular with the study
medications. No irritation or any difficulty has been reported from the study participants on
their drug consumption.
9. Attendance at scheduled visits (pooled by treatment regimen)
Considering the administrative regulations in light of COVID pandemic and management
which are made in various districts in different manner, there are few lapses in the patient
visit to the hospital to complete study procedures as per the protocol. The study team
attempted to make home visit to reach out to few patients to perform the study procedure and
blood sampling. The missed visits and the data are captured as protocol deviations.
Corrective actions are recommended to make sure that all patients shall comply with the
study procedures. Few patients needed further counseling for blood withdrawal during day
06, 15 and 30. Few patients still denied giving away blood samples after study enrollment on
day 06, 15 & 30. Such patients are still considered in the study and performed vital
assessments and physical examinations and such data are captured in the source notes and
transcribed to CRF.
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 12
10. Reporting delays for key events (pooled by treatment regimen)
There are no study specific events happened which require immediate attention of sponsor.
However few patients in site Z001, are included by a research site based on the recently
available RT-PCR results to confirm the patient as COVID positive and not the first RTPCR
results, whereas for those patients appropriate protocol waiver obtained from the sponsor to
include such patients into the study.
11. Length of follow-up data available (pooled by treatment regimen)
Few patients who are enrolled in the study have passed the 30 day follow-up visit. Those
patients completed the study without any safety issues. Few non-significant elevations above
ULN in the lab values are identified in the study patients as per study Investigator discretion.
12. Statistical / Data modeling assessments:
Survival Analysis
A total of 116 patient underwent randomization; 58 patient were assigned to ZingiVir-H group
and 58 to the Placebo group. The primary efficacy analysis was done on an intention-to-treat
basis with all randomly assigned patients. Time to clinical improvement was assessed after all
patients had PCR negative; no clinical improvement or death was considered as right censored.
Time to clinical improvement was portrayed by Kaplan-Meier plot and compared with a log-rank
test. The HR and 95% CI for clinical improvement is calculated by Cox proportional hazards
model. Other analyses include subgroup analyses for those requiring medical care other than
ZingiVir-H (Ordinal Scale -5) and those not receiving medical care other than ZingiVir-H
(Ordinal Scale -6).
The median age of study patients is 35 (Inter Quartile Range (IQR) 27-47), in which for the
treatment group the median age is 42 (IQR 30-50) and that of Placebo is 31.5 ( IQR 26 – 44.25).
Results from the 116 patients with data available after randomization indicated that those who
received ZingiVir-H had a median recovery time of 5 days (95% Confidence interval (CI) 5-5) as
compared with 6 days (95% CI 5-6) in those who received Placebo. Interestingly the Zingivir-
H treated arm shows significant recovery time in all treated patients between 3 and 6 days
whereas the placebo treated arm recovery time falls between 4 and 13 days, which shows
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 13
the significance of Zingivir-H as a potential antiviral drug against COVID-19 (P value
<0.0001).
The overall median recovery time is also evaluated and it is obtained as 5 days (95% CI 5-6).
The corresponding figure is provided below
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 14
The Log-Rank test is performed to verify the significance of recovery time over ZingiVir-H
and Placebo and it was resulted with a P value 0.000004 (<0.05) and lead to the conclusion
that ZingVir-H use was associated with a difference in time to clinical improvements in less
than 5 days compare to Placebo group which has recovery time upto 13 days. This means
that ZingiVir-H has a significantly less recovery time than that of a Placebo. The hazard ratio
obtained by the Cox proportional hazards model is 2.619 (95% CI 1.733 – 3.956), also supported
the above conclusion.
survdiff(formula = Surv(Days, Status) ~ Treat, data = trial) N Observed Expected (O-E)^2/E (O-E)^2/V Treat=Placebo 58 46 62.7 4.45 21.5 Treat=ZingiVir-H 58 58 41.3 6.76 21.5 Chisq= 21.5 on 1 degrees of freedom, p= 4e-06
Cox proportional hazards model
coxph(formula = Surv(Days, Status) ~ Treat, data = trial) n= 116, number of events= 104 coef exp(coef) se(coef) z Pr(>|z|) TreatZingiVir-H 0.9627 2.6188 0.2105 4.573 4.81e-06 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1 exp(coef) exp(-coef) lower .95 upper .95 TreatZingiVir-H 2.619 0.3819 1.733 3.956 Concordance= 0.645 (se = 0.029 ) Likelihood ratio test= 21.37 on 1 df, p=4e-06 Wald test = 20.91 on 1 df, p=5e-06 Score (logrank) test = 22.33 on 1 df, p=2e-06
PH assumption Verification for the Log rank test: The data is satisfied the assumption for
performing the log-rank test (P Value = 0.44>0.05) (Schoenfeld Residual Test)
chisq df p Treat 0.59 1 0.44 GLOBAL 0.59 1 0.44 Cox proportional hazards model including age as a covariate
coxph(formula = Surv(Days, Status) ~ Treat + Age, data = trial) n= 116, number of events= 104 coef exp(coef) se(coef) z Pr(>|z|) TreatZingiVir-H 1.012337 2.752024 0.215402 4.700 2.6e-06 *** Age -0.009690 0.990357 0.008857 -1.094 0.274 --- Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 15
exp(coef) exp(-coef) lower .95 upper .95 TreatZingiVir-H 2.7520 0.3634 1.8043 4.198 Age 0.9904 1.0097 0.9733 1.008 Concordance= 0.663 (se = 0.037 ) Likelihood ratio test= 22.57 on 2 df, p=1e-05 Wald test = 22.1 on 2 df, p=2e-05 Score (logrank) test = 23.51 on 2 df, p=8e-06
The inclusion of Age in the model is not at all a significant (P value = 0.274>0.05) one, for the
improvement of the model.
Sub Group Analysis-1
These results are based on the criteria of inclusion (ordinal scale 5 and 6). In the case of ordinal
scale 5 (Hospitalized, not requiring supplemental oxygen-requiring ongoing medical care) there
were 101 patients and under ordinal scale 6 (Hospitalized, not requiring supplemental oxygen-
not requiring ongoing medical care other than ZingiVir-H) is 15. The median age of group
corresponding to ordinal scale 5 is 36 (IQR 29 – 49) and that of group corresponding to 6 is 26
(IQR 24.5 – 32.5).
Ordinal Scale - 5
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 16
From the above two figure and from the analysis it is observed that the overall median recovery
time is 5 days ( 95% CI 5 – 5). Corresponding to ZingiVir-H had a median recovery time of 5
days (95% CI 5-5) and that of Placebo 6 days (95% CI 5-6). The Log-Rank test result
significance (P Value = 0.00006<0.05). This Means that, there is a significant difference is
existing in the recovery days and from the median value it is clear that ZingiVir-H requires
a lesser time 5 days) than that of Placebo (6 days).The hazard ratio obtained is 2.356 (95% CI
1.531 -3.624)
survdiff(formula = Surv(Days, Status) ~ Treat, data = trial) N Observed Expected (O-E)^2/E (O-E)^2/V Treat=Placebo 50 43 56.4 3.19 16.1 Treat=ZingiVir-H 51 51 37.6 4.78 16.1 Chisq= 16.1 on 1 degrees of freedom, p= 6e-05
Cox proportional hazards model
coxph(formula = Surv(Days, Status) ~ Treat, data = trial) n= 101, number of events= 94 coef exp(coef) se(coef) z Pr(>|z|) TreatZingiVir-H 0.8568 2.3555 0.2198 3.898 9.69e-05 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1 exp(coef) exp(-coef) lower .95 upper .95 TreatZingiVir-H 2.356 0.4245 1.531 3.624
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 17
Concordance= 0.637 (se = 0.033 ) Likelihood ratio test= 15.4 on 1 df, p=9e-05 Wald test = 15.2 on 1 df, p=1e-04 Score (logrank) test = 16.01 on 1 df, p=6e-05
PH verification for Log-Rank Test (Schoenfeld Residual Test)
chisq df p Treat 0.21 1 0.65 GLOBAL 0.21 1 0.65
Cox proportional hazards model including age as a covariate
coxph(formula = Surv(Days, Status) ~ Treat + Age, data = trial) n= 101, number of events= 94 coef exp(coef) se(coef) z Pr(>|z|) TreatZingiVir-H 0.951164 2.588722 0.227053 4.189 2.8e-05 *** Age -0.015653 0.984468 0.009353 -1.674 0.0942 . --- Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1 exp(coef) exp(-coef) lower .95 upper .95 TreatZingiVir-H 2.5887 0.3863 1.6589 4.040 Age 0.9845 1.0158 0.9666 1.003 Concordance= 0.669 (se = 0.04 ) Likelihood ratio test= 18.22 on 2 df, p=1e-04 Wald test = 17.93 on 2 df, p=1e-04 Score (logrank) test = 18.73 on 2 df, p=9e-05
Ordinal Scale – 6
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
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From the above two figure and from the analysis it is observed that the overall median recovery
time is 6 days ( 95% Lower CI is 6). Corresponding to ZingiVir-H had a median recovery time
of 6 (maximum) days and that of Placebo more than 6 days. The Log-Rank test resulted a
significance difference P Value 0.0075<0.05) in the number of days. Here it can be observed
that the median recovery days for ZingiVir-H is less than that of Placebo Group, when the
treatment group is receiving only ZingiVir-H and it is also statistically significant (P Value
0.00075<0.05).The hazard ratio obtained is 5.899 (95% CI 1.446-24.07).
survdiff(formula = Surv(Days, Status) ~ Treat, data = trial) N Observed Expected (O-E)^2/E (O-E)^2/V Treat=Placebo 8 3 6.03 1.52 7.15 Treat=ZingiVir-H 7 7 3.97 2.31 7.15 Chisq= 7.1 on 1 degrees of freedom, p= 0.008
Cox proportional hazards model
coxph(formula = Surv(Days, Status) ~ Treat, data = trial) n= 15, number of events= 10 coef exp(coef) se(coef) z Pr(>|z|) TreatZingiVir-H 1.7749 5.8995 0.7174 2.474 0.0134 * --- Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1 exp(coef) exp(-coef) lower .95 upper .95 TreatZingiVir-H 5.899 0.1695 1.446 24.07 Concordance= 0.806 (se = 0.036 ) Likelihood ratio test= 6.89 on 1 df, p=0.009 Wald test = 6.12 on 1 df, p=0.01 Score (logrank) test = 7.55 on 1 df, p=0.006
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 19
PH Verification for Log Rank Test (Schoenfeld Residual Test)
chisq df p Treat 0.43 1 0.51 GLOBAL 0.43 1 0.51
Cox proportional hazards model including age as a covariate
coxph(formula = Surv(Days, Status) ~ Treat + Age, data = trial) n= 15, number of events= 10 coef exp(coef) se(coef) z Pr(>|z|) TreatZingiVir-H 1.91402 6.78028 0.73217 2.614 0.00894 ** Age -0.05413 0.94731 0.04696 -1.153 0.24903 --- Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1 exp(coef) exp(-coef) lower .95 upper .95 TreatZingiVir-H 6.7803 0.1475 1.614 28.475 Age 0.9473 1.0556 0.864 1.039 Concordance= 0.896 (se = 0.061 ) Likelihood ratio test= 8.42 on 2 df, p=0.01 Wald test = 7.29 on 2 df, p=0.03 Score (logrank) test = 8.67 on 2 df, p=0.01
Analysis of Temperature of the Patients
The temperature of the patients are taking on the Day 1, Day 3 and Day 5 of the trial. For this
primary endpoint analysis we have obtained these values of 104 patients only. A brief summary
Statistics of this is given below.
Summary statistics-Whole
mean sd n
Day1 98.33077 0.6315456 104
Day3 98.21923 0.5215877 104
Day5 98.20577 0.4542842 104
Summary statistics – Corresponding to Treatment
Variable: Day1 mean sd n Placebo 98.23725 0.6131756 51 ZingirVir-H 98.42075 0.6416201 53 Variable: Day3 mean sd n Placebo 98.17255 0.5532010 51 ZingirVir-H 98.26415 0.4903273 53 Variable: Day5
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 20
mean sd n Placebo 98.16078 0.4968213 51 ZingirVir-H 98.24906 0.4093253 53 The graph of reduction in the temperature of all patients considered for the trial is given below
The graph of reduction in temperature corresponding to each treatment is provided in the next
graph
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 21
The Normality assumption for conducting a Repeated Measures ANOVA is rejected for all the
three days (Day 1 - P Value 0.02058<0.05, Day 2 - P Value 0.006794<0.05, Day 1 - P Value
0.000077<0.05). So the corresponding non-Parametric analogue Friedmanns test is performed.
The test rests that, the Temperature was not significantly different at the different time points
during the trial, X2(2) = 3.7236, p = 0.1554. The Median temperature for each days is given by
Day1 Day3 Day5
98.40 98.25 98.20
Effect of Treatment on Temperature
In order to verify the effect of treatment, two Kruskal-Wallis test is performed for an adjusted P
value. Because the variables does not follow the normality assumption in two cases.
Normality assumption
Treat time variable statistic p "ZingiVir-H " Day1 score 0.970 0.207 "ZingiVir-H " Day3 score 0.968 0.167 "ZingiVir-H " Day5 score 0.939 0.010 "Placebo" Day1 score 0.960 0.084 "Placebo" Day3 score 0.956 0.058 "Placebo" Day5 score 0.921 0.002
The Kruskall-Wallis test for the comparison of means of temperatures of three time points
corresponding to Placebo resulted with a P-Value 0.683 >0.0033 (Adjusted P-Value). This
concluded that the temperatures are not differing across Day1, Day 2 and Day3. The following is
the corresponding Box plot of these measures
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
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The Kruskall-Wallis test for the comparison of means of temperatures of three time points
corresponding to ZingiVir-H resulted with a P-Value 0.248>0.0033 (Adjusted P-Value). This
concluded that the temperatures are not differing across Day1, Day 2 and Day3. The following is
the corresponding Box plot of these measures
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
Confidential property of PHRF. Report on Primary endpoint efficacy analysis dated 23 July 2020 Page 23
13. Clinical Outcome
Ordinal scales are frequently used in clinical trials to quantify outcomes which are non-
dimensional. They may be regarded as either single state or transition measures based on
whether they assess the outcome at a single point in time or directly examine change which
has occurred between two points in time. Each has unique structural and operating
characteristics, so that different methodological standards for their construction and
utilization are required.
Patients were assessed once daily by the investigator and study team on their compliance
with the study drug consumption and for any adverse events. Serial Nasopharyngeal swab
samples were obtained on day 5 in most of the cases, on completion of 4 days of study drug
consumption (either Zingivir-H or its Placebo) and on after day 5 based on investigator
discretion until patient became COVID Negative. These N/T swab samples were obtained
for all evaluable patients who were still active at every time point. Laboratory samples
were assessed for the patients before the start of the drug on Day 01, Day 06 or the date of
discharge whichever comes earlier, Day 15 End of treatment day for safety analysis and in
Day 30 for safety analysis. The available data for Day 01 and day 07 of all accessing
patients are taken into consideration for the assessments. Clinical and laboratory data were
recorded on patient specific source documents and the data modeling information shall be
transcribed to study specific logs and paper case record forms and then Entered into an
electronic database and statistically validated by trial staff.
The primary end point was the time to clinical improvement, defined as the time from
randomization to an improvement of points (from the status at randomization) on a seven-
category ordinal scale and discharge from the hospital whichever came first. The seven-
category ordinal scale consisted of the following categories:
1. Death
2. Hospitalized & on invasive mechanical ventilation or Extracorporeal Membrane
Oxygenation (ECMO)
3. Hospitalized, on non-invasive ventilation or high flow oxygen devices
4. Hospitalized, requiring low flow supplemental oxygen
5. Hospitalized, not requiring supplemental oxygen - requiring ongoing medical care
(Coronavirus (COVID-19) related or otherwise)
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
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6. Hospitalized, not requiring supplemental oxygen - no longer required ongoing medical care
(other than per protocol ZingiVir-H administration)
7. Discharge from hospital.
Criteria 5 As per the discretion of Investigator in the participating sites the patients are
categorized as 5 If the patients are symptomatic with mild fever on admission, tiredness and
dry cough. Few people were also experience mild respiratory distress. Those patients are
categorized as if they required add-on medications along with the study drug. The data
information on concomitant medications administered along with the study drug will be
obtained during the retrieval of case report forms from sites after data audit. The detailed
information of medical history and concomitant medications shall be included in the final
analysis.
Criteria 6 Patients are considered that the patients are very mild and asymptomatic cases on
admission. They seem as health individual with intermittent tiredness. Few people also
experience mild fever as well and later become asymptomatic and was not on any medication
other than study drug after enrolment into the study. Those patients are categorized as if they
may not require medications. The data information on concomitant medications administered
if any during the time of admission along with the study drug will be obtained during the
retrieval of case report forms from sites after data audit. The detailed information of medical
history and concomitant medications shall be included in the final analysis.
Safety outcomes
Safety outcomes included adverse events that occurred during treatment, serious adverse
events, and premature discontinuation of treatment. In the present study NO adverse
events, serious adverse events (SAE) or adverse drug reaction are reported in the treated
patients until 23 July 2020. It is anticipated that few AE information might be missed
inadvertently by the site when analyzing at patient level which would not be identified or
not reported till date. It was also observed that there was a raise in the electrolytes level
(Phosphorous, Sodium) in few Zingivir-H treated patients, which was discussed with the
investigation team and found to be not-significant and documented accordingly in the
patient source notes. Any such events shall be identified and will be reported during site
data audit and the analysis will be included in the final data modeling and analysis.
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
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Primary efficacy analysis
Primary efficacy analysis was on an intention-to-treat basis and included all the patients
who had undergone randomization. However in the present primary endpoint analysis the
sample size is determined as per protocol. The time to clinical improvement was assessed
after all patients who had tested for RT-PCR after consumption of study drug (Either
Zingivir-H or Placebo) for duration of minimum Three days.
Of the 116 patients who are assessed for primary endpoint efficacy analysis (100%)
underwent randomization, 58 patients were assigned to receive Zingivir-H and Standard of
care and 58 patients to Placebo and standard care alone. All the 116 patients assigned to
receive study drug received standard of care treatment as per hospital and COVID protocol.
Few Patients who have mild symptoms were not treated at all and considered as criteria 6
in the ordinal scale. All the patients assessed till date are complied on study drug
consumption after randomization.
The statistical analysis of this data reported that, ZingiVir-H has a median recovery time of 5
days and that of Placebo is 6. In the case of patients require medical care along with medicine,
has the Median recovery time 5 days for ZingiVir-H and 6 days for Placebo group. Similarly, in
the case of patients requiring only medicine, has the median recovery time 6 for ZingiVir-H and
more than 6 days for placebo. The Log-Rank test lead to a conclusion that the median recovery
time is significantly different among ZingiVir-H group and Placebo group and specifically it is
less for the ZingiVir-H group. It is also proved that the age is not contributing any significant
information in the model improvement. The temperature analysis does not show any significant
difference across three time points (Day1, Day 2 and Day 3). Separate analysis of temperature
corresponding to Placebo group and ZingiVir-H group also leads to the same conclusion.
The Log-Rank test leads to the conclusion that the median recovery time is significantly
different among the ZingiVir-H group and Placebo group and specifically it is less for the
ZingiVir-H group. It is also proved that age is not contributing any significant information in
the model improvement. A total of 58 patients (50 %) of evaluated patients who had a
diagnostic respiratory tract sample that was positive on RT-PCR had a negative RT-PCR
result on the throat swab taken after a median recovery time of five days of Zingivir-H
treatment P value 0.000004 (<0.05) which is highly significant.
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
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The primary end point analysis elaborately assessed the clinical recovery time in detail
between the treatment groups. Log-Rank test is performed to verify the significance of
recovery time over ZingiVir-H and Placebo and it was resulted with a P value 0.000004
(<0.05) and lead to the conclusion that ZingVir-H use was associated with a difference in
time to clinical improvements in less than 5 days compare to Placebo group which has
recovery time upto 13 days.
14. Discussion
The primary end point data analysis of this randomized trial found that Zingivir-H
treatment added to standard supportive care is clearly associated with clinical improvement
or mortality in mild to moderately ill patients with Covid-19 from placebo arm that
associated with standard care alone. No mortality or serious adverse events reported in the
subjects participated in this trial which indicates that the patients enrolled are
asymptomatic, mild and moderate population.
Our patient population was heterogeneous with regard to duration and severity of illness at
enrollment. In a post hoc subgroup analysis, the difference in evident clinical improvement
between the Zingivir-H group and the Placebo group was observed to be numerically
greater among patients treated within 5 days after the onset of symptoms than among those
treated later is not analyzed in the present data report, which shall be included in the final
analysis. The question of whether earlier Zingivir-H treatment in Covid-19 patients once
receipt of RTPCR positive results could have any clinical benefit is an important one that
requires further analysis. In addition, we found that the numbers of Zingivir-H recipients
are more who have symptomatic and co-morbid complications or requiring noninvasive
oxygen saturations when compare with patients in placebo arm. These observations are
hypothesis-generating and require additional subjects to determine whether Zingivir can be
a recommended treatment option for even old age population and with even moderate
illness and such treatment can be given at a certain stage of illness can reduce some
complications in Covid-19 patients.
The present analysis did not discuss in this primary endpoint efficacy analysis report that
adding Zingivir-H treatment shall reduce the viral RNA loads as compared with standard
supportive care alone. As we will be assessing Interferon alpha quantification test results as
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
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the indirect marker for viral load analysis only in the final analysis to ensure the immuno
marker expression pattern in any such viral clearance events in both the arms. The reasons
for the antiviral effect of Zingivir-H molecule could be as predicted in our earlier studies
and as per the known significant effect of active ingredients in the Zingivir-H molecule.
RTPCR NP Swab were taken intermittently (on days 5,6, 8, 11, 14 and until the results
become negative) in most of the study patients. Since we are not keen to understand the
viral load clearance on daily basis we avoid taking more frequent sampling in the first 5
days which could have provided more detailed characterization of viral load kinetics in the
two groups over this critical period.
All patients enrolled into the study are regular with the course of administration and no
deviations recorded from the site on IP consumption. No significant gastrointestinal
adverse events, including anorexia, nausea, and abdominal discomfort, or diarrhea, gastritis
are reported in the study. In fact patients felt rejuvenation on consumption of Zingivir-H
tablets, which we may release the patients response on as drug efficacy questionnaire as
feed back during the final analysis. There was clinically non significant elevation of few
electrolytes in Zingivir-H treatment arm due to the methylation of mercury and arsenic. We
have also noticed such elevation got subsided in the 30th day. Laboratory test are
performed in the trials to understand the immunomodulatory and hematological variations
in patients treated with Zingivir-H arm in comparison with Placebo arm. The analysis of
important hematological parameters including CRP, ESR, IL6, IgG and IgM already
reveals the potential immunomodulatory role of Zingivir-H drug which was discussed in
the interim analysis. The full analysis of hematological and immunological parameters will
be in the scope of final analysis.
The characteristics of the patients at baseline were generally balanced across the two
groups. We did not observe differences between groups in the frequency of use of
concurrent pharmacologic interventions in this present analysis.
Numerous challenges are encountered during this trial. The trial is continuing during the
time of restricted travel, and hospitals restricted the entrance of nonessential personnel,
training, site initiation visits, and monitoring visits often were performed remotely.
Research staff was often assigned other clinical duties, and staff illnesses strained research
resources. Many sites did not have adequate supplies of personal protective equipment and
ZingiVir-H in SARS-CoV-2 patients
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trial-related supplies, such as swabs. The research team also faces challenges in accessing
patients for blood sampling and to follow up on study procedures in patients who got
discharged and in home quarantine. However, research teams were motivated to find
creative solutions to overcome these challenges to the maximum.
In conclusion, we found that Zingivir-H treatment has significantly accelerated clinical
improvement; reduce mortality or viral clearance in patients with asymptomatic, mild to
moderate Covid-19 patients with or without any comorbidities. These primary endpoint
efficacy analysis data in 100% sample size of randomized populations in the study shall
reveal positive signs to consider the molecule in COVID treatment protocol.
Disclaimer:
Considering the study as Single blinded and the product is already got license for human use
the present report reveals the significant data points which validate the primary endpoint in
the trial. Considering the pandemic and a possible hope on therapeutic front, the present
report is notified to AYUSH department and appropriate authorities for further assessments
and data validation. However the full analysis Clinical Study Report (CSR) shall be made
available to the regulatory agencies. The finding shall also be published in peer reviewed
scientific journals.
Report Prepared by Dr. K.P.Srinivasakumar
Steering Committee (SC) Member, Zingivir-H study
Statistical analysis & Data
Modeling
Dr. Jerin Paul-
DM & Statistics, External Consultant
Primary endpoint efficacy
analysis Report Sign off
Name/ Designation and Date
Dr.J.Hareendran Nair
SC Chairman and Sponsor Representative
Zingivir-H Study
Signature: ----------------------------------
Date: 23 JULY 2020