CNN - IBN Opinion Poll_Report

7/31/2019 CNN - IBN Opinion Poll_Report

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Opinion Poll:

UPA Government in its Second Term

Presentation of Findings


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The UPA government has recently completed its 3rd year in the second

term. CNN-IBN is interested in conducting an opinion poll in order to

understand the pulse of the urban mindset, about the current state of

governance as well as Dr. Manmohan Singhs leadership of the

coalition-based UPA government.

The Opinion Poll was conducted in 8 centers:

Ahmedabad, Chennai, Delhi, Kolkata, Lucknow, Mumbai, Hyderabad andBangalore.

Among Adult Males and Females.

Interviews were conducted in street corners and in respondents homes between8th and 10th May, 2012.

A representative sample ensuring a good spread for age/SEC/gender,

was taken.

The Context


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Sample Size Achieved

* Figures in absolute

East SouthNorth

Centres Delhi (252)

Lucknow (257)

West

Centres Kolkata (251)

Centres Mumbai (263)

Ahmedabad(250)

Centres Chennai(256)

Bangalore(250)

Hyderabad(254)

Gender

Male 1027

Female 1006

Age (In Years)

18-25 440

26-35 542

36-45 498

46-60 340

60 + 213

SEC

SEC A 691

SEC B 772

SEC C 570

Total Sample Size achieved is 2033


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CURRENT UPA GOVERNMENT


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Are you satisfied with the Current Term of UPA Government?

More than half the respondents not satisfied with the current UPA Government. Level of dissatisfaction high across all centers and across all demographic groups Only exception being Kolkata & Bangalore, where satisfaction with current governance is

relatively higher

Base : All (2033)

Figures in %


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Is the Government losing credibility in the eyes of public?

Base : All (2033)

Majority of respondents (2/3rd) feel that the Government has lost its credibility to govern, in the

eyes of public. The above opinion holds true across all centers only exception being Kolkata. True across demographic groups: dissonance marginally higher among younger respondents

(18-35 years)

Figures in %


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Reasons All North East West South

Base: Who think UPA Government has lost its credibility 1352 411 106 363 472

Failure to handle the Anna Movement properly 21% 40% 9% 9% 17%

Failure to take bold economic reform measures 20% 10% 18% 34% 18%

Failure to tackle corruption/ handle scams 17% 12% 23% 18% 19%

Inability to manage a coalition government 16% 10% 18% 14% 21%

Indecisive attitude and failure to take decisions on key issues 11% 9% 15% 14% 10%

Sonia Gandhi not being able to actively back Dr. Manmohan Singh,because of her ill-health

11% 14% 6% 6% 12%

None of these 3% 2% 8% 5% 2%

DK / CS 2% 2% 4% 1% 2%

Figures in %

Failure to handle the Anna movement properly and the inability to take bold economic reform

measures emerging as the two main reasons behind the lowering of credibility of the UPA

Government Anna Movement issue finds highest mention in North: Lucknow (60%) followed by Delhi (21%) On the issue of Economic Reforms: Highest mentions in West: Ahmedabad (41%) followed by

Mumbai (26% )

The above two issues have relatively higher impact in terms of lowering the credibility of the UPA

Government among the outh 18-25 ears of age


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PERFORMANCE OF UPA GOVERNMENT ON KEY ISSUES


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Performance of UPA Government on Key Issues

Price rise & worsening of economic conditions are the 2 key areas where the government has

failed to perform. Above sentiment resonating across all centres and across all demographic groups

About 4 out of 10 respondents feel that the Governments control over corruption has declined

further The dissatisfaction with the Government on the issue of tackling corruption highest in Chennai

and lowest in Kolkata

Majority of people feel that the threat of Naxal violence has remained the same or declined in

Kolkata however, satisfaction on this aspect relatively higher vs. other cities

Figures in % Base : All (2033)


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UPA Governments Handling of Anna Hazare-led Lokpal Bill

Movement

The general pulse of the people is that the Anna Hazare Lokpal Bill movement issue was not

handled properly The dissatisfaction with Government on this aspect has been high across all centers; the only

exception being Kolkata and Bangalore.

.

Figures in %

Top Two Box: 20%Bottom Two Box: 43%

Base : All (2033)


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Most Suitable Candidate within the UPA to be The Prime

Minister of India

Rahul Gandhi seems to be the most preferred choice within the current UPA.

Interestingly, Dr. Singh still continues to be the next preferred option. Preference for Rahul Gandhi relatively higher in Delhi in comparison to other centers.

Figures in %

Base : All (2033)


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Will the current UPA Government be able to complete Its

Second Term?

Majority are of the opinion that the current government will complete its full term. Optimism higher in South & East.

Base : All (2033)

Figures in %

North East West South

Base: All Respondents 509 251 513 760

Yes 43% 77% 36% 76%


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OUR PRIME MINISTER


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Prime Minister being described as

Dr. Manmohan Singh is mostly perceived as A good man with a clean image but lacks the skill to govern

effectively.

Figures in %

Base : All (2033)


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Performance of Prime Minister in His Second Innings

Nearly 4 out of 10 are disappointed with the performance of the Prime Minister in his second

term. Dissatisfaction seen across all centers only exception being Kolkata & Bangalore where

satisfaction levels relatively higher

Figures in %

Top Two Box: 15%Bottom Two Box: 39%

Base : All (2033)

North East West South

Base: All Respondents 509 251 513 760

Top Two Box 9% 30% 14% 15%

Bottom Two Box 36% 13% 60% 36%


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Performance of the Government on Key Issues

Figures in %

Government is not able to satisfactorily deliver on any of the key issues.

Positive perception about the Governments performance low across all issues.

Issues related to price rise and corruption rank highest in terms of dissonance causing factors,

among respondents.

Base : All (2033)


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Prime Ministers Biggest Failure Second Innings

Figures in %

Price rise is seen as the biggest failure of Prime Minister in his second innings.

Base : All (2033)


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Prime Ministers Biggest Success Second Innings

Figures in %

Though the PM is perceived to be soft in tackling overall corruption the measures taken against

the accused in 2G & CWG scam are in general appreciated.

Base : All (2033)


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Functioning Style of Dr. Manmohan Singh

Figures in %

24% mentioned that Dr. Manmohan Singh has knowledge and experience but lacks the skill to

govern effectively and only 9% of respondents felt that he is innovative and can come up with new

thoughts.

Base : All (2033)


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Should Dr. Manmohan Singh be replaced by someone else as

Prime Minister? By Whom?

Figures in %Base : All (1129)Base : All (2033)

55% of respondent feels that Dr. Manmohan Singh should be replaced by someone else and

Rahul Gandhi is the most preferred as a replacement. Preference for Rahul Gandhi higher in Delhi as compared to other centres

Should Dr. Manmohan Singh

be replaced?

Best person to replace

Dr. Manmohan Singh


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COALITION PARTNERS

Is the UPA Go ernment being Press ri ed & Blackmailed b


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Is the UPA Government being Pressurized & Blackmailed by

Coalition Partners?

Base : All (2033)

The general perception is that the current government is functioning under the influence of

other coalition partners Mamata Banerjees Trinamool Congress being the most prominent

amongst them. 54% of people in Kolkata think that Mamata Banarjee is most responsible for pressurizing the

government

Figures in %

Base : Who feels UPA govt. is

pressurized & blackmailed

(1202)

Is Mamata Banarjee playing a Constructive Role in UPA


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Is Mamata Banarjee playing a Constructive Role in UPA

Government?

Base : All (2033)

52% of respondents feel that Mamata Banarjee is playing a constructive role as a coalition

partner in the current UPA government. Majority (65%) of respondents have mentioned the same in Kolkata.

Figures in %


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Figures in %

Performance of Mamata Banerjee as a CM and Performance of

the West Bengal Government

Base : Kolkata respondents (251)

Majority in Kolkata are satisfied with Mamata Banerjees performance as the Chief Minister.

However, satisfaction somewhat lower with her Government in West Bengal.


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THE NEXT GOVERNMENT


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Should the UPA Government be given another chance?

Who is the most suitable candidate from NDA to be the PM?

Figures in %Base : All (2033)

Majority do not favor another term for UPA. Narendra Modi is the most favored choice for Prime

Minister from the Opposition.

Should another chance begiven to UPA?

Suitable candidate from NDAAlliance


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Rahul Gandhi as the next Prime Minister of India & Rahul

Gandhi as a Politician


48% of respondents mention that Rahul Gandhi should be the next Prime Minister of India. And

44% of respondents feel that he is young and has fresh ideas and energy.

Is Rahul Gandhi ready to bethe next Prime Minister?

Rahul Gandhi as a Politician


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What kind of a person would make a better President?

Figures in %

Base : All (2033)

At an overall level, varying views on the issue of the background of the President

In Bangalore, Kolkata & Lucknow most respondents feel that a person with a Political

background would make a better President

While respondents in Chennai & Hyderabad feel that the President should be from a non-

political background


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Who would you prefer as the next President of India?


APJ Abdul Kalam is most preferred as the next President of India. The above opinion hold true across all centers and across all demographic groups


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Current UPA Government: Majority of respondents are not satisfied with the Current

UPA Government across centers. However, Kolkata somewhat mellowed in their

response. Price rise and inability to tackle corruption are key issues where the Government has

failed to deliver.

There is a general perception that the UPA government is being pressurized &

blackmailed by coalition partners and works under their influence.

Only 38% respondents feel that the current UPA government should be given another

chance to govern.

Image of our Prime Minister: The general perception about Dr. Manmohan Singh is that

He is a good man with a clean image but lacks the skill to govern effectively. Price rise is

seen as the biggest failure of the Prime Minister. Majority feel that he should be replaced

and 33% vote for Rahul Gandhi as his replacement.

Next President:. Majority (51%) want APJ Abdul Kalam to be the next President of India.

Performance of Mamata Banarjee: Majority in Kolkata are satisfied with the

performance of Mamata Banerjee as the Chief Minister of West Bengal, however,

satisfaction with her government is comparatively lower

Summary


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Thank You

Documents

CNN - IBN Opinion Poll_Report