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COA Decision & COA Decision & Staff Estimates Staff Estimates
Briefing Briefing 2 Mar 012 Mar 01
(MPAT TE-2)(MPAT TE-2)
BRIEF PURPOSEBRIEF PURPOSE
Present Course of Action analysis to the CTF Commander for approval
AGENDAAGENDA
Situation Update Mission Statement CTF Commander’s Intent Centers of Gravity CCIR Assumptions Method of Wargaming COA Comparison COA Recommendation Staff Estimate
SITUATION UPDATESITUATION UPDATE
Current Situation:- 650,000 Haloan DP- At least 150,000 migrated South- Increasing of DP up to 1 M and spread of
disease- 150,000 IDP remain in 3 large collectives- RTG approved USD 500 M to rebuild their
own homes- Depletion of relief materials
SITUATION UPDATESITUATION UPDATE
- UNHCR established a coordination HQ- Sturdy and robust road network- Some major Highways and bridges need
to be repaired- Thai railroad remains intact- Airfields throughout Thailand are in good
condition- River barges are available- Relief ships will have priority at all piers
CTF MissionCTF Mission
When directed, CTF MENG RAI conduct HA/DR in the Combined Ops Area in support of RTARF to restore stability and reduce human suffering. On order transition relief effort to Government of Thailand.
CTF COMMANDER’S INTENTCTF COMMANDER’S INTENT
Purpose: Assist Royal Thai Government in providing Humanitarian Assistance/Disaster Relief (HA/DR) in coordination with supporting relief agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs) to provide immediate life saving and relieve human suffering caused by natural disasters in the Combined Operations Area (COA) in order to stabilize the crisis.
CTF MENG RAI - CTF MENG RAI - COMMANDER’S INTENTCOMMANDER’S INTENT
Method: Secure the Thai - Haloan Border Provide support and a secure environment for Relief Agencies and
NGOs Provide logistical support (food, water, shelter) and security for DP
population and Thai disaster victims Restore critical basic infrastructure and emergency services as
required Provide transportation support and security of relief supplies and
distribution points Assist Provinces in providing life saving medical treatment and
disease/epidemic control Protect the force from criminal activities, terrorist acts, and
disease/non-battle injuries Keep the populous informed of CTF Meng Rai activities through media,
CA and IO Transition/transfer HA/DR missions to Royal Thai Government
Endstate: HA/DR crisis in the Combined Operations Area is stabilized. Critical infrastructure is restored; border control is reestablished; medical/health crisis is stabilized; DP camps built, secure and life support established. CTF MENG RAI mission accomplished (In Accordance With (IAW) measures of effectiveness) and transfer of authority to the Royal Thai Government completed.
CTF MENG RAI - CTF MENG RAI - COMMANDER’S INTENTCOMMANDER’S INTENT
STRATEGICSTRATEGICCENTERS OF GRAVITYCENTERS OF GRAVITY
THREAT:– Haloan internal relief situation– Regional stability (Thailand - Haloa)– Media perceptions/international support– Crime, drug trafficking, banditry
FRIENDLY:– Coalition coordination
OPERATIONALOPERATIONALCENTERS OF GRAVITYCENTERS OF GRAVITY
THREAT:– Security of refugee/displaced persons– Water supply– Shelter for refugees– Damaged infrastructure
FRIENDLY:– Inter-agency coordination– Coalition coordination
CCIRCCIR
Significant increase in Crude Morbidity Rate in the camps
Loss of Life or critical injury to CTF personnel or NGO
Loss of critical equipment (aircraft, C2I) Significant catastrophic natural event that may
affect the COA Significant increase in warlord or criminal activity Significant increase in flow of DPs in/out of COA Significant failure in key infrastructures in the COA
(bridges, rail lines, airfields, etc) Loss of communications with major subordinate
commands and RTSC
ASSUMPTIONSASSUMPTIONS
• No known minefields on border area w/Haloa
• No insurgents in border area
• MNF can carry small arms for force protection
• Mission is 90 days or less
• CTF can use over-flight rights over Haloa
• Cannot commit MNF into Haloa
• Pursuit across Haloa border is not allowed
• Displaced persons in camps will increase with success of HA
ASSUMPTIONSASSUMPTIONS
• US & UK will provide strategic lift for smaller nations if required
• MQ-126 will be provided
• Tactical communications only initial reliable means of communications
• Countries will provide communications to C2 their organic units
METHOD OF WARGAMINGMETHOD OF WARGAMING
By phase
3 COURSES OF ACTION3 COURSES OF ACTION
COA 1 (Mae Sai): Major Kaufman
COA 2 (Operation Nu): LTC Swan
COA 3 (Imperial): LtCol Ibrahim
COURSE OF ACTION #1COURSE OF ACTION #1
MAE SAI
Major Chris Kaufman
COA 1 STATEMENTCOA 1 STATEMENTMAE SAIMAE SAI
CTF will supplement and enhance existing military and civil infrastructure in the COA by dividing into 3 CTGs (N, S, & E) that are geographically distributed and correspond with RTA military circle HQs. A Logistics Task Force (LTF) will provide medical support, supplies, transportation, engineering, contracting, and services to the CTF. CTG North is the main effort. Priority of support goes to CTG’s North, South, and East in order. We are accepting risk in smaller camps by providing priority to larger camps.
COMMAND & CONTROLCOMMAND & CONTROL
CTF
CTG N CTG S CTG E LTFChiang Mai, Mae Hong Son, Chiang Rai
Pitsonulok, Tak
Lampang, Uttaradit,Payao Supply
Trans
Engr
Med
CPOTF CSOTF
Contracting
CTF HQ STRUCTURECTF HQ STRUCTURE
CTF HQ
C1 C2 C3 C4
CMOC
C5 C6
Combined Movement
Center
Combined Reception
Center
Service Liaison Cells
CTF HQ
CTG N
CTG E
CTG S
Haloa
III7inf
III
III
II
II
II
II
II
4inf
17inf
12cav
10cav
9cav
15cav
17arty
II104arty
II7arty
II
II
17arty
4eng
II4arty
3corpsXXXX
II
II
XX
XX
23sig
4sig
4inf
1cav
DISPOSITION OF RTA FORCES DISPOSITION OF RTA FORCES
CTF HQ
CTG N
CTG E
CTG S
Haloa
(150)
(150) (30)
(60)
(60)
II
(200)
23med
II4med
AirfieldMil Hospital
AIRFIELD & HOSPITAL AIRFIELD & HOSPITAL LOCATIONSLOCATIONS
DP CampIDP Camp
Fld Hospital
FORCES AVAILABLEFORCES AVAILABLE
CTG North
RTARF Units depicted in map
BPP units
Engr Plt (Nepal)
Combat Eng Co (India)
Engr Plt (Korea)
Medical Treatment Tm (Korea)
2 Ground Ambulance (Korea)
10 Med Co (Thai)
Med Co (US)
Med Treatment Unit (Mad.)
Mobile Med Clinic (Malay.)
Air Trans Hospital (USAF)
Med Team (Phil.)
Med Treatment Tm (Mongolia)
2 Med Treatment Tm (Sing)
Med Treatment Tm (Nepal)
Veterinary Teams from Univ of Chiang Mai
FORCES AVAILABLEFORCES AVAILABLE
CTG SOUTH
RTARF Units depicted in map
BPP units
Engr Const. Sqdn (Fiji)
Engr Plt (Tonga)
2 x Med Co (Thai)
Surgical Unit (France)
BPP units
Veterinary Teams from
Univ of Chiang Mai
FORCES AVAILABLEFORCES AVAILABLE
CTG EAST
RTARF units indicated in the map
Veterinary Team from
Univ of Chiang Mai
FORCES AVAILABLEFORCES AVAILABLE
LTF
Trans(Air)
C-130 (RTAF)
374 EAS (USAF)
186 ARW (USAF)
HMM 366 (R) (USMC)
3xC-130 (RMAF)
IL 76 (India)
C-130 (Aus)
C-17, 2xC-130, Lynx (UK)
C-130, C-160 (FR)
2xSuper Puma, CH-47 (Sing)
Supply
3rd Army CSS (Thai)
2 x Supply Sqn(UK)
Engineer
3rd Development Div (Thai)
4th Engr Bn (Thai)
3rd Engr Regt (Thai)
Engr Sqdn (UK)
Contracting
3rd Army CSS (Thai)
Trans(Gnd)
3rd Army CSS (Thai)
Movement Cell (UK)
Use of all Royal Thai Civil Defense & Ministries assets will be coordinated by 3rd Army CSS
FORCES AVAILABLEFORCES AVAILABLE
LTF
Medical
Wing 46 (RTAF)
Chieng Mai Army Hospital
Environmental Prev. Med Unit Det 6 (USN)
CSSG 3 Aid Station (USMC)
COA MAE SAI COA MAE SAI PHASE 1: Preparation (C-0 to C+2)
This phase starts when HQ CTF MENG RAI is established; the MPAT conducts Crisis Action Planning and enabling forces start to deploy. Start C-Day to C+2.
CTF HQ: Conduct planning; integrate with existing RTARF and other Royal Thai agencies. Coordinate with Region 3 Civil Defense Coordinator & humanitarian community. Establish Combined Reception Center.Combined Task Group North: Prepare for deployment of MNF; prepare to integrate MNF with existing HA/DR activities.Combined Task Group South: Prepare for deployment of MNF; prepare to integrate MNF with existing HA/DR activities.Combined Task Group East: Prepare for deployment of MNF; prepare to integrate MNF with existing HA/DR activities.Logistics Task Force: Prepare for deployment of MNF; assist RTN in preparing UTAPAO Air Base as initial staging area; assist RTAF in preparing regional airports as intermediate staging areas CPOTF: Prepare to deploy. Integrate with existing PSYOP forcesCSOTF: (Main Effort) Deploy enabling forces to incl command and control and preventive medical units; conduct assessment of MSRs and DP routes into the Kingdom.
CTF HQ
COA MAE SAI COA MAE SAI PHASE 2: Deployment /Integration (C-0 to C+14)
This phase starts when initial forces enter theater. The purpose is of this phase is to receive the MNF and form the CTF. The main effort is the Logistics Task Force. This phase ends when all MNF are in their respective staging areas and the CTF is operational.
CTF HQ: Complete integration with existing RTARF and other Royal Thai agencies. Continue coordination with Region 3 Civil Defense Coordinator & humanitarian community; integrate MNF LNOs as they arrive.Combined Task Group North: Conduct HA/DR; prepare for deployment of MNF; prepare to integrate MNF with existing HA/DR activities. Combined Task Group South: Conduct HA/DR; prepare for deployment of MNF; prepare to integrate MNF with existing HA/DR activities.Combined Task Group East: Conduct HA./DR; prepare for deployment of MNF; prepare to integrate MNF with existing HA/DR activities.Logistics Task Force: (Main Effort) Develop HA/DR support areas; BPT support CTG N. Provide Medical Reception.CPOTF: Integrate with RTARF; support CTG’s as required.CSOTF: Provide assessment of DP camps; conduct border recon ICW RTARF and BPP; conduct surveillance of warlords.
CTF HQ
CTG N
CTG E
CTG S
LTF
Haloa
COA MAE SAI COA MAE SAI PHASE 3: Execution (C+1 to C+85)
CTF HQ: Continue coordination with Region 3 Civil Defense Coordinator & humanitarian community; start transition planningCombined Task Group North: (Initial Priority of Support) Conduct HA/DR; conduct border security ops.Combined Task Group South: Conduct HA/DR; conduct border security ops.Combined Task Group East: Conduct HA./DR; conduct border security opsLogistics Task Force: (Main Effort) Provide support to CTG N initially; be prepared to support CTG E and S as requiredCPOTF: Broadcast PSYOP themes in support of CTG’s.CSOTF: Conduct border and warlord surveillance; provide assessment of future DP movement; Be prepared to conduct SAR; Be prepared to support CTG’s as required.
This phase starts when MNF forces are deployed into their respective AOR’s. The purpose of this phase is to conduct HA/DR operations in order to provide border security, stabilization, and relieve human suffering. The main effort is CTG North. This phase ends when the conditions are established to provide a smooth transition of HA/DR effort to the Royal Thai Government.
CTF HQ
CTG N
CTG E
CTG S
LTF
Haloa
COA MAE SAI COA MAE SAI PHASE 4: Transition (C+60 to C+90)
This phase starts when the conditions for handing over to the RTG have been achieved. The purpose is of this phase is to handover HA/DR to Thai Government. The main effort is CTF HQ/CMOC. This phase ends when the RTG assumes full control and responsibility of HA/DR. Begin Transition on or about C+60.
CTF HQ: (Main Effort) Conduct transition planning; turn over HA/DR activities to the 3d Army Region, RTA; redeploy MNF.Combined Task Group North: Conduct HA/DR; conduct border security ops; redeploy MNF.Combined Task Group South: Conduct HA/DR; conduct border security ops; redeploy MNF.Combined Task Group East: Conduct HA./DR; conduct border security ops; redeploy MNF.Logistics Task Force: Continue support to CTGs & be prepared to surge as required; conduct transition; redeploy MNF.CPOTF: Support CTG’s as required; Prepare civilian populace for transition to RTG; redeploy MNF.CSOTF: Provide assessment of DP flows; conduct recon ICW RTARF and BPP; conduct transition planning; redeploy MNF.
CTF HQ
CTG N
CTG E
CTG S
LTF
Haloa
COA 1 - ADVANTAGESCOA 1 - ADVANTAGES
CTF HQ collocated with UN HA/DR Cell in Chiang Mai, facilitating coordination and transition to RTG upon completion of mission
Regional CTG structure uses existing C3 networks and provides redundancy
Retains MNF integrity by assigning country assets to the same CTG
Contracts remain in place when MNF departs, supporting a seamless transition to RTG when CTF departs
Logistics concept facilitates most efficient allocation/prioritization of limited support assets
Medical units deployed early to DP camps, with additional medical capability in reserve
Thai BPP & RTA Rangers secure the border
COA 1 - DISADVANTAGESCOA 1 - DISADVANTAGES
By allocating MNF assets to all three CTGs and the LTF, there is a risk of diluting the effectiveness of the CTF
Underutilization of naval assets
COURSE OF ACTION #2COURSE OF ACTION #2
OPERATIONS NU
LTC Swan
COA 2 STATEMENTCOA 2 STATEMENT
On order CTF MENG RAI conducts HA/DR in designated area of operation with a combination of land, air, and sea maneuver in support of RTG to stabilize human suffering and restore critical infrastructure.–Main Effort - CARFOR–Functional Areas - BORDER SEC TF/TF MED–Risk - MODERATE
COA 2 RATIONALECOA 2 RATIONALE
Considerations: Guidance from CTF Commander and Warning Order.
Deductions: Thai Armed Forces are in best position to control their borders while the remainder of the CTF support and enhance relief efforts.
Unit array: TF Border Security, CARFOR/CAFFOR organized to support largest requirement, CMOTF positioned to maximize C2 efforts.
KEEP THE OPERATION SIMPLE
COA 2 ORG CHARTCOA 2 ORG CHART
CAFFO R CARFO R
CNAVFOR CM ARFOR
CPO TF CSO TF
T F BO RDER SECURITY T F M EDICAL
CM O TF
CT F CO MM ANDER
TASK ORGANIZATIONTASK ORGANIZATIONCOA 2COA 2CARFOR
Thailand4th Regiment
United States3rd Army Area Support CommandSignal Bn
Theater Support CommandCivil Affairs Co
TongaInfantry platoonEngineer platoon
MongoliaInfantry Company(plus)
Sri Lanka
MadagascarSecurity Unit
Fiji1 Engineer Construction
Squadron1 Infantry Battalion (security)
Bangladesh2 Infantry Battalions
NepalEngineer PlatoonSignal PlatoonInfantry Support
United KingdomEngineer SquadronLogistics Squadron
KoreaEngineer Platoon
AustraliaInfantry Company
Malaysia1 Infantry Battalion
IndiaCombat Engineers
ThailandTBD
US374 EAS186 ARW633 AMSS (TALCE)715 AMSS (TALCE)
SingaporeTransportation assets
France1 C130, 1 C160
United Kingdom1 C17, 2 C130, Mobile Air movement team
Korea1 C130
Australia1 C130
TASK ORGANIZATIONTASK ORGANIZATIONCOA 2COA 2
CAFFOR
Malaysia3 C130
IndiaIL 76
ThailandFrance
Naval GroupMalaysia
2 LSTs US
Comphibron 11USS Essex LHD-2USS Juneau LPD-10USS Germantown -LSD-42NMCB-7
CNAVFOR
US – SPMAGTF Thailand– 31st MEU
TASK ORGANIZATIONTASK ORGANIZATIONCOA 2COA 2
CMARFOR
TASK FORCE BORDER SECURITY
4th Regt (RTA)
CPOTFThailand
PSYOP BnUS
8th PSYOP Bn (-)9th PSYOP Bn (-)
US JTF 5101-1 SFGA 2-1 SFGA (-)JSOACNSWTU-PAC
KoreaSOF team
CSOTF
TASK ORGANIZATION COA 2TASK ORGANIZATION COA 2
Thailand
3 Med Bn (4 Med Co Ea)
54 Ground Ambulances (18 per Med Bn)
1 PM Team
U. S.
Naval:
USS Essex (60 bed)
1 Fleet Surgical Team
1 Environmental Preventive Medicine Unit
US Army:
1 Medical Co (40 Bed)
1 Forward Surgical Team
1 Air Evacuation Platoon
1 Preventive Medicine Team
US Air Force:
1 Air Transportable Hospital (50 bed)
1 Air Evacuation Liaison Team
2 C-130
TF MEDICAL Malaysia
40 person mobile clinic
India
1 Field Ambulance Co
Korea
Medical Treatment Team
(20 person)
2 Ground Ambulance
Nepal
Medical Treatment Team
(42 person)
Mongolia
1 Medical Treatment Team
(10 Person)
Singapore
2 Medical Treatment Teams
( 8 persons each)
Madagascar
1 Medical unit
Mongolia
1 Medical Treatment Team (10 Person)
Singapore
2 Medical Treatment Teams
( 8 persons each)
Philippines
Task Force Kandili: medical team
Korea
Medical support team: 20 personnel
Nepal
1 Medical team
France
50-bed Surgical unit
Bangladesh
3 mobile medical teams
COA # 2 COA # 2 PHASE 1: Deployment
This phase starts when CTF MENG RAI forces begin to deploy into the Kingdom of Thailand. The purpose is of this CTF is to conduct HA/DR operations. The main effort is Land forces . This phase ends when all multi-national forces have closed in the Theater. Start C-Day to C+14.
BLUE - AF
TAN - NAVY
GREEN - ARMY
RED - MARINES
BLACK - GND TRANS
COA # 2 COA # 2 PHASE 2: RSO&I
This phase starts when initial forces enter theater. The purpose is of this phase is to receive the MNF and form the CTF. The main effort is Army Forces. This phase ends when all MNF are in their respective staging areas and the CTF is operational.C + 1 to C+ 17
BLUE - AF
GREEN - ARMY
RED - MARINES
BLACK - GND TRANS
COA # 2 COA # 2 PHASE 3: Employment
CARFOR: provide security, logistical support, and transportation to DP’s, NGO’s, relief agencies and to restore critical infrastructure. CAFFOR: provide transportation support throughout the combined operational area. CNAVFOR:provide sea based transportation and medical support to the CTF CMARFOR: provide security, logistical support, and transportation to DP’s, NGO’s, relief agencies and to restore critical infrastructure. TF MED: provide medical care to DP’s and camps throughout COA.TF Border Security: secure and stabilize the Haloan Thai border, conduct initial screening ops and counter drug ops.
This phase starts when forces are deployed into their respective AOR’s. The purpose of this phase is to conduct HA/DR operations in order to provide border security. stabilization, and relieve human suffering . The main effort is CARFOR. This phase ends when the conditions are established to provide a smooth transition to the Royal Thai Government. C + 17 to C +75.
CMARFOR
CARFOR
CTF HQ
CARFOR HQ
CMARFOR HQ
BORDER TF HQ
CAFFOR HQ
PITSANULOK•CTF HQ
•CPOTF * CMOTF•CSOTF•CMEDTF
CHANG MAI•CARFOR HQ•CAFFOR HQ
TAK•CMARFOR HQ
MAE HONG SON•BORDER SEC TF HQ
COMMAND AND CONTROL
COA # 2 COA # 2 PHASE 4: Transition
This phase starts based on achievement of stabilization of MOE’s. The purpose is of this phase is to handover HA/DR to Thai Government. The main effort is CARFOR. This phase ends when the RTG assumes full control and responsibility of HA/DR. Begin Transition on or about C+30, to be completed on or about C+70.
CMARFOR
CARFOR
1
23
4
COA # 2 COA # 2 PHASE 5: Redeployment
This phase starts when forces begin the redeployment of personnel and equipment to home nations. The purpose is depart the Kingdom of Thailand. The main effort is CARFOR . This phase ends when all personnel and equipment have departed the Kingdom of Thailand. Redeployment begins on or about C+90.
COA 2 CRITICAL EVENTSCOA 2 CRITICAL EVENTS
DP CAMP RIOT IMMUNIZATIONS & EPIDEMIC AIR FLOW MANAGEMENT RESOURCE MANAGEMENT FREQUENCY MANAGEMENT LANGUAGE BARRIER TRANSITION LNO LINK-UP WITH EMERGENCY
SERVICE REPRESENTATIVE
COURSE OF ACTION 2COURSE OF ACTION 2 ADVANTAGES:
– Flexible– Efficient/Effective use of Resources– Unity of Command– Rapidly Stabilizes Situation– Simplicity– Perception Management
DISADVANTAGES:– Combined Forces = Language Difficulties– Rely on Civilian Guidance = Delay in
Assistance waiting on guidance & priorities
COURSE OF ACTION #3COURSE OF ACTION #3
IMPERIAL
Lieutenant Colonel Ibrahim
MNF deploy to Thailand (UTAPAO) RSO & I to Combined Ops Area CTF stood up at 3rd Army Region Regional Task Forces are formed Assets are allocated based on HA/DR
needs & urgency Seamless transition / clear exit
strategy focusing on civil-military coordination
COA #3COA #3CONCEPT OF OPSCONCEPT OF OPS
CTF MENG RAI CTF MENG RAI TASK ORGANIZATIONTASK ORGANIZATION
CM OC HQPitsanulok
CT F M eng Rai REARUtapao
CM OCChiang M ai
Units
T F Chiang M ai
CM OCM HS
Units
T F M HS
CM OCChiang Rai
Units
T F Chiang Rai
CM OCPitsanulok
Units
T F Phitsanulok CARFORChiang M ai
QRF
CAFFORUtapao
CNAVFORSattahip
CSOTF
CPOT F
CT F M ENG RAIPitsanulok
QRF: Quick Reaction Force
• Chieng Rai
• Chieng Mai
• Tak
• Lampang
• Uttarasdit
• Pitsanulok
• Payao
DP CampIDP Camp
CTF MHS CTF
ChiangMai
CTFChiang
Rai
CTF Pitsanulok
• Mae Hongsorn
COA # 3COA # 3 TF CHIANG RAI17th Inf Regt (RTA)Engr Plt (Tonga, ROK)Med Tm (ROK)Med Tm (Nepal)Inf Co (Nepal)Inf Co (Mongolia)Air Tpt Hospital (US)
TF CHIANG MAI7th Inf Regt (RTA)Engr Co (UK)SAR & Dog Tm (UK)Field Hospital (France)Med Plt (Singapore)Med Tm (Mongolia)Inf Bn (Malaysia)Inf Plt (Tonga)633rd AMSS (TALCE)
TF PITSANULOK3rd Army HQ (RTA)4th Inf Regt (RTA)Engr Plt (Nepal)Med Tm (France)RLC Sqn (UK)Sig Plt (Nepal)Inf Bn (Fiji)31st MEU (US)9th TSC (US)3rd Army Sp Comd (US)1-1 SFGA (US)
TF MHS2nd Cav Regt (RTA)Engr Co (Fiji)Engr Co (India)Med Bn (India)Med Tm (Mdg)Inf Bn (ROK)Inf Co (Aust)
COA #3 - CAFFOR & COA #3 - CAFFOR & CNAVFORCNAVFOR
Utapao
C5C17
C130Helos
Helos
1 x LHD (US)1 x LSD (US)1 x LPD (US)Flt Surg Tm
CVH (RTN)LST (RTN)2 x Bell 212
Helos
COURSE OF ACTION #3COURSE OF ACTION #3
ADVANTAGES:– Unity of Effort by integrating RTARF, MNF &
NGOs– Efficient employment of HA/DR resources– Flexibility to response to developing situation– Facilitate transition
DISADVANTAGE:– Restraint in employment of military assets
COA 3 RISK ASSESSMENTCOA 3 RISK ASSESSMENT
Phase 1 Predeployment– Risk: Inappropriate forces– Mitigation: Detailed assessment– Risk: Unfavorable media coverage– Mitigation: Positive message projected
Phase 2 Deployment– Risk: Bottleneck of traffic– Mitigation: Maximize use of civilian airports and alternate
means of transport– Risk: Wrong aid at wrong place and wrong time– Mitigation: Close coordination with GOT and NGOs
Phase 3 Conduct HA/DR OPS– Risk: Inadequate force protection
Bandits/criminals threaten CTF forces Health, nutrition disease.
– Mitigation: Rapid notification to Thai security forces. Robust medical services and support and open
dialogue with NGOs / local red cross/crescent Phase 4 Transition / Redeployment
– Risk: Thai military is not prepared to assume full responsibility for HA / DR effort
COA 3 RISK ASSESSMENTCOA 3 RISK ASSESSMENT
Phase 4 Transition / Redeployment –Mitigation: Determine problem early, notify NCA
authority, bolster Thai forces as appropriate.–Risk: NGOs are not able to provide for their own
security (e.g. due to riots etc.)–Mitigation: Consider funding effort to provide
contract security.
Bottom Line: Residual risk of COA 3 is acceptable.
COA 3 RISK ASSESSMENTCOA 3 RISK ASSESSMENT
COA COMPARISONCOA COMPARISON
Combined Planning Group (CPG)
Lieutenant Colonel DeGuzman
CTF MENG RAI CTF MENG RAI COA DECISION CRITERIA COA DECISION CRITERIA
Effective C2 : Not overly complex; maximizes existing 3d Army C2 structure/facilities
Medical Asst/Disease Ctrl: Provides rapid medical assistance; maximizes host nation support; incorporates best measures for disease ctrl
Rapid Integration of M-Nat Assets: Best use of
multinational capabilities; facilitates rapid RSOI Engineer Spt: Provides focused, centralized control of
engineer activities/repairs; maximizes host nation support Transportation (Land/Air): Best use of host nation assets
and facilities, and multinational assets; incorporates NGO requirements
COA Security/Border Ctrl: Maximizes existing 3d Army C2 structure; incorporates DP screening requirements; provides good force protection
CTF MENG RAI CTF MENG RAI COA DECISION CRITERIACOA DECISION CRITERIA
DP Camp Management: Provides for rapid assessment and acceptance of DP camp responsibility; provides best care for DPs
(food/water/shelter/security) Logistical Support: Best use of host nation support and
facilities, and multinational capabilities; considers NGO requirements
Multinational Considerations: Provides best use of multinational capabilities; considers religious, ethnic and cultural differences
Civil-Military Cooperation: Facilitates rapid assumption of HA/DR mission from Provincial officials; provides best CMOC plan
Facilitates Transition to RTG: Organizes CTF in order to facilitate smooth transition back to Civilian control; considers phased transition of key missions/tasks (border control, engineering opns, DP camp opns, medical treatment)
COA COMPARISONCOA COMPARISON
Criteria Weight ScoreWeighted
Score ScoreWeighted
Score ScoreWeighted
ScoreEffective Command, Control, & Communication 3 3 9 2 6 3 9Medical Assistance/Disease Control 3 3 9 3 9 3 9Rapid Integration of Multinational assets 2 3 6 2 4 2 4Engineer Support 2 2 4 3 6 2 4Transportation (land, air) 2 3 6 3 6 2 4Combined operations area security/border control 2 3 6 3 6 3 6DP Camp Management 1 2 2 2 2 3 3Multinational Considerations 1 3 3 3 3 2 2Civil-Military Cooperation 2 3 6 2 4 3 6Facilitates transition to RTG 1 3 3 2 2 3 3GRAND TOTAL 54 48 50
COA 1 COA 2 COA 3
RECOMMENDED COARECOMMENDED COA
COA 1 with modification RATIONALE:
– Effective command and control– Rapid and smooth integration with RTG and
humanitarian community– Rapid delivery of critical care– Effective use of RTARF and MNF– Efficient use of logistics assets– Effective security and border control– Use of reserves for contingencies– Smooth transition to RTG
STAFF ESTIMATESSTAFF ESTIMATES
Intelligence Operations
– Command & Control– Land/Security– Air/Naval– Special Operations
Logistics Communications Information Operations Civil Affairs/PSYOP Legal
STAFF ESTIMATESSTAFF ESTIMATES
Intelligence
Lieutenant Colonel Sam
“Analysis Center” at CTF Headquarters– Connectivity to external information
resources– Thai national-level, other national intel– Internet, APAN
Augment each CTG Intel Staff Liaison with Thai Third Army Staff C2 representative in the CMOC
Proposed C2 (Intel Staff) Proposed C2 (Intel Staff) Organization Organization
C2 (Intel Staff) ContributionsC2 (Intel Staff) Contributions
Interview and screen DPs (RTARF) Collection management (RFI tracking) Imagery support (commercial)
– Track refugees movements and camps– Infrastructure/LOC damage assessments
Production of situation reports/assessments
Predictive threat analysis (for CTF and HA/DR effort)
STAFF ESTIMATESSTAFF ESTIMATES
Command & Control
Captain Som
TASK ORGANIZATIONTASK ORGANIZATION
CTF
CTG N CTG S CTG E LTFC
CMOC
Chiang Mai, Mae Hong Son, Chiang Rai
Pitsonulok, Tak
Lampang, Uttaradit,Payao
Supply
Trans/DIRMOBFOR
Engr
Med7th Inf Rgt 4th Inf Rgt 17th Inf Rgt
CPOTF CSOTF
= 0-7 = 0-6
Staff Section
Command & Control Command & Control Recommended ChangesRecommended Changes
Rank Structure– CTF = 1star; Rec: SpCol Nopparat promote 2star– LTFC = 1star: Main effort. Rec: Log background– CTG N = 1star: 8 of 9 DP camps
DIRMOBFOR– LTFC Trans division separated into ground and air with
DIRMOBFOR controlling all air CTF Staff Section
– COS head: All C-codes represented. Adjudicates requirements and sets priorities IAW Commander’s Guidance
CNAVFOR– ARG/MEU strategic reserve: Considerable capability– ?? Employ in oil spill to free RTARF to North
STAFF ESTIMATESSTAFF ESTIMATES
Land/Security
Major Titie Tinsulanonda
Land/Security RecommendationsLand/Security Recommendations
Adjust CTG boundaries – Border Line – Terrain– Road Infrastructure
Move the CTF HQ
7inf
CTF HQ
CTG N
CTG E
CTG S
Haloa
7inf
4inf
17inf
12cav
10cav
9cav
15cav
17arty
104arty
7arty
4eng
4arty
XX
23sig
4sig
4inf
1cav
LAND / SECURITY
STAFF ESTIMATESSTAFF ESTIMATES
Air/Naval
Captain Chadin
AIR PLAN AIR PLAN LTF
HELOS
CTG N CTG S CTG E CTG N CTG S CTG E
DIRMOBFOR
FIXED
UTAPAO
40 HELOS 20 HELOS 10 HELOS 12 C13OIL76C-174 KC135 (HICKAM)TALCE
4 C 1303 MC 130P3 MC 130ETALCE
3 C 1603 MC 130P3 MC 130ETALCE
SAR
COMBINED NAVAL FORCESCOMBINED NAVAL FORCES CCTF
CNAVFOR
RTN
CTG 1.1USN
CTG 1.2RTN
CTG 1.3FRA
US
1-LHD
1-LPD
1-LSD
DEP-CNAVFOR
USN
RTN
1-CVH
1-LST
MAY
2-LST
FRA
1-CVH
1-FF
SRI
1-FFH
UK
1-FFH
STAFF ESTIMATESSTAFF ESTIMATES
Special Operations
Major Kaufman
Special Operations (Special Operations (CSOTF)CSOTF)
(Phase I) Rapidly deploy JTF-510; conduct reconnaissance of MSRs and DP routes. BPT transition to CSOTF.
(Phase II) Provide assessment of DP camps; conduct border recon ICW RTARF and BPP; conduct surveillance of warlords.
(Phase III) Continue border and warlord surveillance; provide assessment of future DP movement; BPT conduct SAR and support LTF and CTGs with SOF assets.
(Phase IV) Assess DP outflows; continue recon ICW RTARF and BPP; conduct transition planning; re-deploy.
STAFF ESTIMATESSTAFF ESTIMATES
Logistics
Major Ibrahim Rasheed
Logistics Logistics Concept of SupportConcept of Support
CJTF Meng RaiCJTF Meng Rai
Logistics Logistics Concept of SupportConcept of Support
• Chieng Rai
• Chieng Mai
• Tak
• Lampang
• Uttarasdit
• Pitsanulok
• Payao
DP CampIDP Camp
• Mae Hongsorn
CTFE
CTFN
CTFS
•Centralized logistics & command and control
•Logistics Resource Center acts as hub
• Pull versus Push
•Contractor focused for a seamless transition
•Medical assets to bases
•Engineer support to Regions
•Clear lines of communication
1 250,0002
30,000
A48,000
375,000
B 68,000450,000C
CTF HQ
5 30,000
6 100,000
Logistics Concept of SupportLogistics Concept of SupportCommand and ControlCommand and Control
• Chieng Rai
• Chieng Mai
• Tak
• Lampang
• Uttarasdit
• Pitsanulok
• Payao• Mae Hongsorn HQ CTFE
HQ CTFN
HQ CTFS
•Liaison Officers from the LOG TF placed in each CTF Headquarters
•Logistics Task Force acts as hub
• Thai assets available through Royal Thai Armed Forces via coordination
C
CTF HQ
LNO
SupplyTransEngrMed
Contracting
CTG HQ’s
LNO
SupplyTransEngrMed
Contracting
LTF
SupplyTransEngrMed
Contracting
LNO
SupplyTransEngrMed
Contracting
Logistics Concept of SupportLogistics Concept of SupportMedicalMedical
•Beds Req’d: 250 Available: Mil: 830, Civ: 1,500, 10 NGO clinics and hospitals (Excess capacity available for disease outbreak)
•P. M. Teams (Mil and NGO) present in DP Camps evaluating for possible disease outbreaks
•55-60 Ground Ambulance Available
•3 Air Evac Helo’s available plus opportune lift
•Making plans with NGO’s to immunize against measles
•Considering aerosol spraying to combat vector-borne diseases
•COA is medically supportable
Logistics Concept of SupportLogistics Concept of SupportEngineerEngineer
•Primary focus is to relieve human suffering
•All assets deployed immediately to support relief efforts
•Assets can be pre-positioned as required
•Contracting of engineering equipment will be utilized to facilitate transition
Logistics Concept of SupportLogistics Concept of SupportTransportationTransportation
•Emergency resupply by air is via C-130 & Helicopter
•Routine resupply will be via ground
•Rail system will push supplies to Chieng Mai
•STRATLIFT hubs are Chieng Mai and Chiang Rai
•All air field in the CTG’s AOR are C-130 capable
•Contract of ground transportation is critical for seamless transition
Logistics Concept of SupportLogistics Concept of SupportSupplySupply
•Class I (Food) and water is the main effort
•Supply hubs are located at Chiang Mai and Chiang Rai
•Warehousing will contracted
•ROPU’s will be the primary source of water initially
•Host Nation will provide all construction materials
•Class III (Bulk Fuel) will be local purchased
•Base camp support will be contracted whenever possible
STAFF ESTIMATESSTAFF ESTIMATES
Communications
Lieutenant Colonel Sippagorn
C6 STAFF ESTIMATEC6 STAFF ESTIMATE
• CTF MENG RAI COMMUNICATIONS CHARACTERISTICS
• CTF COMMANDER MUST BE ABLE TO EXCHANGE INFORMATION AT ANY TIME AND FOR ANY ASSIGNED MISSION WITH SUPERIORS AND SUBORDINATES
• COMMUNICATIONS MUST BE
• FLEXIBLE
• RELIABLE
• REDUNDANT
• GREATEST CHALLENGE - INTEROPERABILITY OF SYSTEMS
• CTF MENG RAI COMMUNICATIONS CENTER OF GRAVITY - FREQUENCY MANAGEMENT
C6 STAFF ESTIMATEC6 STAFF ESTIMATE(CONT.)(CONT.)
• CTF CRITICAL COMMUNICATIONS SYSTEMS - PHASING
• PHASE I - C+ 0 - C+ 2
• THAICOM - MOBILE SATELLITE
• CHENG MAI, MAI SAE, CHENG RAI, PHITSANULOK, PHANG, LUMPANG, MAE SOD (TAK), MAE HONG SON, BANKGOK
• HF RADIO
• TELEPHONE ORGANIZATION OF THAILAND (TOT)
• STAND UP COMBINED COMMUNICATIONS CONTROL CENTER (CCCC)
• FREQENCY MANAGEMENT
• C4 SITUATIONAL AWARENESS
• C4 ASSET COORDINATION/MANAGEMENT
C6 STAFF ESTIMATEC6 STAFF ESTIMATE(CONT.)(CONT.)
• CTF CRITICAL COMMUNICATIONS SYSTEMS - PHASING (CONT.)
• PHASE II - C+ 0 - C+ 14
• 3 SIG BN DEPLOY TAC RADIO (RL-423) - DP/IDP CAMPS
• JTF-510 - SCAMPI (TRI-BAND SATCOM) - CHENG MAI
• JTF ENABLER - TSC-93 (US MILSAT) - PHITSANULOK
• TACTICAL UNITS USE VHF, UHF, HF, CELL PHONE
• NGOS- HF, VHF, AM, FM, INMARSAT, CELL PHONE
• PHASE III/IV (C+1 TO C +90)
• TRANSITION TO MILCOM AND TOT (STRATEGIC BACKBONE)
• TACTICAL UNITS USE VHF, UHF, HF, CELL PHONE
CTF HQ
CTG N
CTG E
CTG S
Phang
STAFF ESTIMATESSTAFF ESTIMATES
Information Operations
Lieutenant Colonel Busabong
Information Operations CampaignInformation Operations Campaign
Objectives– Inform Public of CTF Relief Operations– Increase International Support
Messages/Themes– Public Service Announcements– Thai Government Actions– Contributing Nations Forces Actions
Methods– News Media– Psyop Broadcasts
Target Audience
STAFF ESTIMATESSTAFF ESTIMATES
Civil Affairs &
PSYOPS
Major Moody
CMOC
HumanitarianRelief
CoordinatorHRC
REGION
REGION
REGION
LEAD AGENCY
CMCBCTF
CTG North
CTG South
CTG East
CMOC
CMOC
CMOC
JOC HOC
Policy & Coordination
Level
Field Operational
Level
Interface
Host Nation
CMOC UN OCHA
CMOC STRUCTURE PROPOSALCMOC STRUCTURE PROPOSAL
STAFF ESTIMATESSTAFF ESTIMATES
Legal
Captain Eichelman
Model Participating Nations Model Participating Nations AgreementAgreement
Addressing issues such as: Status of Forces (jurisdiction)
Thailand has primary jurisdiction for criminal acts Waiver of government to government claims Command and control Simplified entry procedures Waiver of customs/taxes for forces and
contractors supplying the forces
Model Rules of EngagementModel Rules of Engagement
Offer Model ROE to Participating Nations– See what parts they will be able to accept
Rules for non-Thai forces– Focus on self-defense for Participating Nations– Authority to act in self-defense of other
Participating Nations Rules for Thai forces
– Focus on border security ROE Training
– ROE Cards– ROE training plan
Commander’s Guidance