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Michael Reuther Member of the Board of Managing DirectorsLondon, October 4th, 2007
Commerzbank: Creating sustainable value and profitable growthMerrill Lynch Banking & Insurance CEO Conference
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Agenda
1. Status quo: record level H1 2007 figures
2. Strategic program: stable growth and improved profitability
3. Financial outlook
4. Effects: creating sustainable value
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Net RoE
EPS
CIR
• Strong focus on Net RoE, CIR, EPS
• Realizing growth opportunities
• High exposure to German economy
• Enhancing organic growth in core divisions
• Expanding in regions and products with competitive strengths
• Increasing profitability
• Ongoing efficiency enhancement in all divisions
• Following active portfolio management
• Ensuring efficient capital management
Commerzbank is managed along three main Group performance indicators
+3.9ppts
1.57
2.10
55.253.9
18.2
22.1
H1 2006 H1 2007
Following a balanced approach to profitability and growth
+33.8%
H1 2006 H1 2007
H1 2006 H1 2007
Note: 2006 figures based on stated results
-1.3ppts
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Clean Net RoE*in %
Net RoE*in %
EPSin €
Commerzbank is fully in line to reach its FY 2007 targets
Clean EPSin €
H1 2006 H1 2007 H1 2006 H1 2007
Clean: excluding net result on participations, restructuring charges
CIRin %
Clean CIRin %
H1 2006 H1 2007
1.572.10
1.02
1.51
18.2
22.1
11.9
16.0
55.253.9
63.1
58.6
H1 2006 H1 2007 H1 2006 H1 2007H1 2006 H1 2007
Note: 2006 figures based on stated results
+3.9ppts +33.8%
+48.0%
-1.3ppts
+4.1ppts -4.5ppts
* Annualized
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Operating profitin € m
192559
1,011
2,030
2,715
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007p 2008-2010p
Commerzbank on track
• Restored:Corporate financial strength evenunder stress conditions
• Regained:Improved profitability in corebusinesses
• Refocused:Stable growth and furtherincrease in profitability on a risk/return optimised basis
One off gains due to sale of participations1)
146 431 326 (H1 2007)
Continuous increase in operating profit – what´s next?
Full year 2007p
39 117
1) published Afs-result (without refinancing and related items)
Note: 2005, 2006 pro forma full integration of Eurohypo
625
H1 071,983
Remaining question: What´s next?
H2 expected to beweaker than H1 due to market
conditions
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Subprime poses no threat to Commerzbank
•CB will do whatever ittakes
•CB can affordto do whatever ittakes
•Commitments of € 10bn, nearly exclusively forCB´s own conduits
•Underlying assets are of good quality•Running of sponsored conduits or SIV’s not partof our business model
Subprime
•Stable funding concept with assets matchedthrough congruent funding
•High liquidity reserve- Liquidity ratio with 1.18 more than assured- Commerzbank acted as liquidity provider of the
German banking system- Supply of € 4.5bn term money (1-3 months) to
German banks in late August/September
Liquiditysituation
CB Effects
Conduits
•Units in New York and London with RMBS/ CDO volume of € 1.2bn
•AAA position of € 0.2bn at CB Europe which isvalued at nominal level
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• Group issuance and roadshow calendars aligned• Investor survey conducted – very positive feedback received• Leveraging no. 1 position of Group in Pfandbrief market
Milestonesin the first year
Capital Markets CommitteeCapital Markets Committee
Tier 1, Tier 2, Tier 3Öffentliche Pfandbriefe Lettres de Gage Hypothekenpfandbriefe Senior Unsecured
6.5bn
0.8 bn
79.4 bn
152.4 bn
31.9 bn
* total outstanding issuances in € bn as of June 2007 (Treasury Database)
70%
30%
26%
22%38%
3%
11% 91%
2% 1%6%
93%
2% 5%
50%50%
Capital Market issuance fully alignedCapital Market Committee manages € 270 bn* of Group capital market issuance
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Unsecured funding matrix
0-1Y 1-2Y 2-3Y 3-4Y 4-5Y 5-6Y 6-7Y 7-8Y 8-9Y 9-10Y > 10Y
0-1Y
1-2Y
2-3Y
3-4Y
4-5Y
5-6Y
6-7Y
7-8Y
8-9Y
9-10Y
> 10Y
Breakdown Group position “Liabilities to banks”
Liab
ilitie
s to
ban
ks
Rep
os&
col
late
ral
Ope
n m
arke
top
erat
ion
with
cen
tral
bank
Reg
iste
red
cove
red
bond
s
Pass
thro
ugh
loan
sfr
om K
fW, E
IB, e
tc.
Schu
ldsc
hein
darle
hen
plac
ed w
ith b
anks
Dep
osits
of c
entr
alba
nk c
usto
mer
s
Dep
osits
from
com
mer
cial
ban
ks
Maturing assets > liabilities
Maturing liabilities > assets
Assets
Liab
ilitie
s
Data Source: interim report & Treasury data as per 30/06/07
Maturing assets > liabilities
Maturing liabilities > assets
0
40
80
120
€bn
Sound funding structure in all maturity buckets
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• Funding cost of commercial loan business (approx. € 210bn) only to be affected by up to 4-5 bp (increase extended over several years)
• Positive impact of widening credit margins on Group’s lending business likely to match increased funding cost
• No evidence for customer deposits to become more expensive• Issuance cost of Pfandbriefe higher than recent lows but impact limited as
more expensive Pfandbrief issues will expire• Spreads of Group’s senior unsecured capital markets funding to increase
in line with markets movements. First expectations of impact: 20-25 bp• Total outstanding unsecured debt € 60bn, to be reduced by roughly € 12
bn due to use of “refinancing register”• Funding cost to increase over several years. Effects in 2008 € 10-15m
(€ 30-35m in 2010)
What will happen?
Overall funding cost to increase moderately
Funding spreads and credit margins in general may remain at higher levels even after stressed liquidity situation of banking sector will have calmed down
Impact on assets
Outlook: Impact of increased credit spreads on Group’s P&L expected to be positive
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Agenda
1. Status quo: record level H1 2007 figures
2. Strategic program: stable growth and improved profitability
3. Financial outlook
4. Effects: creating sustainable value
11 / 25
The leading commercial bank in Germany
Best Retail bank in Germany
Best national bank for Corporate
Customers
Europe´s leading specialist for Real Estate
Our objective: The leading commercial bank in Germany
Integrated financial platform
Equityallocation
as of 06/2007
Private & Business Customers
Mittelstand Corporates& Markets
Commercial Real Estate
PBC Private and
Business Customers
CIBCorporate Customers
and Investment Banking
Public Finance& Treasury
CREPFTCommercial Real Estate,
Public Finance and Treasury
Leading European Investment bank for
structured products and corporate customers
Europe´s leading specialist for
Public Finance
Operating RoEannualized
19%
19.8%
22% 16%31%
9%
35.4% 34.6% 15.0% 16.2%
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Strategic program: sustainable growth and profitability
Ongoing profitability enhancementon a risk/ return optimised basis
Ongoinggrowth
Portfolio managerOriginate-and-manageloan portfolios
3.Capital managerActive equitymanagement
4.
Integrated financial platformOngoing realisation of platformsynergies
Bank of core competenciesInvestment in distinctive productlines and distribution platforms
1.Accelerating growth
and profitability
:
Internal and external initiatives
2.
CB-Growth platform
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1. Bank of core competenciesRollout of distinctive product lines and successful distribution platforms
PBC MSB C&M CRE PFT
• Rollout derivative products (sales)
• Growth in structured finance
• Further international expansion
• Integrated public finance platform
Expansion of PBC andMSB
Accelerated growth, e.g. BRE bank, Ukraine and CB branches (esp. MSB and CRE)
Selective growth in niches with competitive advanta-ges (e.g. CRE and MSB) particularly in Asia and US
• Continued customer growth in German branches and direct banking
• Growth of assets under management in Germany
Examples
Examples • Increased market share in German SME
• International expansion of SME/ direct banking CEE
• Strengthening FI-Banking
Germany
CEE
Rest of world
• Integrated value chain
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Active business portfolio management and further external growth• Eurohypo integration successfully completed• International Business Portfolio: active management (see below)
1. Bank of core competenciesSupported by active management of shareholdings
Examples 2007:• Jupiter, UK
- Rationale: exit from non-strategicUK asset management market;
- Transaction: sale of 100%,• PT Bank Finconesia, small bank in
Indonesia (51%), per 01/08/07 • CICM, AM Japan, ind. 100%, signed
28/08/07
Example H2 2007 : Bank Forum, Ukraine• Market: Strategic participation in fast
growing Ukrainian market• Target: Bank Forum currently
ranked number 10• Transaction: acquisition of 60% + 1
share, call option for up to 25%• Valuation: Reasonable price
Investment Divestment
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Platform synergies, e.g.• Treasury/ Funding• Backoffice: IT, transaction banking• Strategy, accounting, financial and risk
controlling
Segment synergies, e.g.• C&M offers structured products and
services for Retail and SME-clients• MSB benefits from joint product approach
with C&M and PBC• CB-subsidiaries fully integrated
2. Integrated financial platformInterlinked business model with revenue and cost synergies
Integrated platform Effects of integration
PBC MSB C&M CRE PFT
Commerzbank platform
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3. Portfolio manager Originate-and-manage model
Claims and securities portfolio
Outflow
•CB Origination: Loans, e.g. - German SME clients- retail customers- large customers
•Portfolio acquisition: Add-on investments in securities portfolios(high-class only)
Originate-and-manage
•Risk managementReduction bulk risks, better riskdiversification
•Margin skimmingImproved revenues
•Portfolio-sales
•Syntheticportfolio-sales
•Protection purchasevia CDS
•Securitisation(true sale, synthetic)
•Capital Efficiencycapital release, improvement RoE
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4. Capital managerActive equity management
Development Tier I ratio and influencing factors
6.9%
+0.5- 0.7%
Mid-term
H1 2007
Basel II
Generatedearnings
?
• Business development/RWA growth
- Internal growth- External growth/divestments
• Regulatory effects- Initial Basel II release- Buffer due to increasein volatility of regulatory capital under Basel IIand IFRS influence
• Active portfoliomanagement/ contingentcapital management
• Sustainable earningsgeneration
Tier I target range: 6.5 - 7.0% adequate(based on current CB-business mix)
- RWAincrease
- Portfoliomgt.
Externalgrowth
Regula-tory:
Internalgrowth
Bank Forum
Proactive capital manage-ment to maximize value
Retain profit:• Refinance future business
activities
Capital pay-out:
• Increase of dividend • Flexible on share buy-
back
-0.2%<
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Agenda
1. Status quo: record level H1 2007 figures
2. Strategic program: stable growth and improved profitability
3. Financial outlook
4. Effects: creating sustainable value
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Overview main value drivers(in € m )
Outlook H2 2007H1 2006 H2 2006 H1 2007Value drivers
Net interest income (NII)(after LLPs)
Commission income
Trading profit
Operating expenses
1,7371,5271,684
1,6051,5161,449
682
454657
2,6842,6872,647
• In line with H1 2007• Franchise business well on track• LLP guidance 2007 reduced to
~ € 550m
• Strong, but seasonally weaker than H1• Dependent on equity market
development
Lower Sales & Trading in H2 due to- seasonally weaker business in equityderivatives
- difficult credit trading
• Continued cost control • Ongoing efficiency programs• Investments in growth initiatives
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Disposal of• Germanischer Lloyd € 38m• Deutsche Börse AG € 48m• BRE’s AM-unit SAMH € 23m
Disposal of Jupiter• Proceeds from sale of Jupiter € 243m• Release of Jupiter sundry provisions € 94m• External advisory fees € -10m
Impairment of US subprime exposure € -46min Corporates & Markets
Write-downs at Commerzbank Asset € -23mManagement Asia (CAMA)
Exceptionals 2007
Positive:• Disposal of CICM Japan• Sale of real estate property in Berlin• One-off gains in Mittelstand due to judgement of
supreme tax court concerning reservemanagement above € 100m
Negative:• H2 impairment of US subprime exposure
H1 2007 effects Expected H2 2007 effects
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Agenda
1. Status quo: record level H1 2007 figures
2. Strategic program: stable growth and improved profitability
3. Financial outlook
4. Effects: creating sustainable value
22 / 25
Revenuesincl. LLPs
Costs
Net profit1)
Averageequity
Clean netRoE2)
Value drivers (€ m)
16.0%
Outlook CB group: Further increase in growth and profitability
>12%
4,667
2,684
1,377
13,493
11.2%
8,049
5,334
1,597
12,203
Value drivers: current figures and outlook
2006 H1 20072007p (vs. 2006)
2008-2010p Outlook
• Ongoing internal and external growth
• Continued cost discipline • Investment in growth programs
• Positive profit dynamics over time
• As of 01/01/2008 Basel II conversion -projected capital release of ~10%
• Proactive capital management: investment in growth, return of potential surplus capital
• Continuous improvement in RoE above 15% to achieve standards compared to international peers
2) Clean: excluding net result on participations and restructuring charges1) 2006 figure based on stated result
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• PBC: Profitability improvement based on organic growth• MSB: Further expansion of our leading position in Germany and selective
growth areas• C&M: Customer focused strategy driver for high sustainable profits• CRE: Developing an integrated value chain in Real Estate • PFT: Building an integrated public finance platform, prudent Treasury
Management in stressed markets
Effects of CB´s strategic program
Financials
• Record profitability level in H1 2007• 2007 targets to be overachieved• In 2008-2010: continuous improvement in RoE above 15% to achieve
standards compared to international peers
Segments
Strategy• Further strengthening Commerzbank's position as the leading German
commercial bank• Expansion of core competencies in products and geographic areas
Commerzbank with shareholder-minded strategy and capital management
1.
3.
2.
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Group equity definitions
Reconciliation of equity definitions
Basis for RoE on net profit
Equity basis for RoE
Basis for operating RoE and pre-tax RoE
* excluding:• Revaluation reserve• Cash flow hedges• Consolidated profit
Equity definitions in € m Jun-2007
Subscribed capital 1,708
Capital reserve 5,705
Retained earnings 5,122
Reserve from currency translation -51
Investors‘ capital excluding minorities 12,484
Minority interests (IFRS)* 1,063
Investors‘ Capital 13,547
Change in consolidated companies; goodwill; consolidated net profit minus portion of dividend; others
-7
BIS core capital excluding hybrid capital 13,540
Hybrid capital 3,096
BIS Tier I capital 16,636
Jan-Jun 2007
1,707
5,702
5,158
-133
12,434
1,059
13,493
Disclaimer
/ investor relations /
This presentation has been prepared and issued by Commerzbank AG. This publication is intended for professional and institutional customers./Any information in this presentation is based on data obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but no representations or guarantees are made by Commerzbank Group with regard to the accuracy of the data. The opinions and estimates contained herein constitute our best judgement at this date and time, and are subject to change without notice. This presentation is for information purposes, it is not intended to be and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to acquire, or dispose of any of the securities or issues mentioned in this presentation./Commerzbank AG and/or its subsidiaries and/or affiliates (herein described as Commerzbank Group) may use the information in this presentation prior to its publication to its customers. Commerzbank Group or its employees may also own or build positions or trade in any such securities, issues, and derivatives thereon and may also sell them whenever considered appropriate. Commerzbank Group may also provide banking or other advisory services to interested parties./Commerzbank Group accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever for any expense, loss or damages arising out of, or in any way connected with, the use of all or any part of this presentation./Copies of this document are available upon request or can be downloaded from www.ir.commerzbank.com
27 / 25
Jürgen Ackermann (Head of IR)P: +49 69 136 22338M: [email protected]
Sandra Büschken (Deputy Head of IR)P: +49 69 136 23617M: [email protected]
Wennemar von BodelschwinghP: +49 69 136 43611M: [email protected]
Ute Heiserer-JäckelP: +49 69 136 41874M: [email protected]
Simone NuxollP: +49 69 136 45660M: [email protected]
Stefan PhilippiP: +49 69 136 45231M: [email protected]
For more information, please contact Commerzbank´s IR team:
Karsten SwobodaP: +49 69 136 22339M: [email protected]
Andrea Flügel (Assistant)P: +49 69 136 22255M: [email protected]
www.ir.commerzbank.com