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COMPENSATED REDUCTION OF DEFORESTATIONCOMPENSATED REDUCTION OF DEFORESTATION
IPAM - AMAZON INSTITUTE IPAM - AMAZON INSTITUTE OF ENVIRONMENTAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL
RESEARCH RESEARCH
www.ipam.org.brwww.ipam.org.br
www.environmentaldefense.org
The future of the large remaining tropical forests of the earth under BAU.
“Inaccessible” forests become accessible as the frontier expands and infrastructure is developed.
8,000,000 ha. – 16,000,000 ha 8,000,000 ha. – 16,000,000 ha deforested yearly in 1980s & 1990sdeforested yearly in 1980s & 1990s
0.8 billion t/C – 2.6 billion t/C ~ 20% of 0.8 billion t/C – 2.6 billion t/C ~ 20% of annual global Greenhouse gas emissionsannual global Greenhouse gas emissions
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1,400
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Countries
Emissions of top 30 emitters-MtC in 2000LULUCF Emissions
Fossil fuel emissions
Satellite Map of Forest Cover (500 m resolution)
0%
100%
Tree cover25 km
(Hansen et al. 2004)
Combining Moderate and High Resolution Satellite Data forMonitoring of Clear-cutting and Other Forest Losses
50 km
Moderate High
Asner et al. 2005Science
2050 Business as Usual Scenario:Deforested 2,698,735 km2 (16 PgC release by 2050)Forest 3,320,409 km2
Non-forest 1,497,685 km2
500 km Soares-Filho et al. 2006
2050 Governance Scenario:Deforested 1,655,734 km2 (Reduction: 60%)Forest 4,363,410 km2
Non-forest 1,497,685 km2
500 km
ENVIRONMENTAL DEFENSE
Global Emissions at Business as Usual Scenario (1990-2050)
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1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Gt
CO
2e
/yr
Emissions from Tropical Deforestation
Non Annex I BAU
Annex I BAU
2 degrees: 1.5% decline/yr
2.5 degrees: 1.5% decline/yr
ENVIRONMENTAL DEFENSE
Compensated Reduction of DeforestationCompensated Reduction of Deforestation Concept for voluntary reduction of national tropical
deforestation emissions that brings major developing countries into Kyoto
1. Target derived from average annual historical deforestation (using satellite imagery) over an agreed period.
2. Tropical countries that elect to reduce their national emissions from deforestation below target during a commitment period, and
demonstrate success, authorized to issue tradable carbon credit post facto.
3. These countries agree to stabilize, (or to further reduce) deforestation in subsequent commitment periods.
4. Baseline revised downward over time.
5. Only a portion of the offsets might be valid in next period. Others could be valid for subsequent commitment periods.
Annual Amazon deforestation rate -- National Space Research Institute (INPE), Brazil (km2) http://www.obt.inpe.br/prodes/prodes_1988_2006.htmhttp://www.obt.inpe.br/prodes/prodes_1988_2006.htm
Zero Deforestation Pact – Brasilia, October 3 Zero Deforestation Pact – Brasilia, October 3 2007 2007