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1 Page 1 1 The Time Value of Money Compounding and Discounting Single Sums http://www.deden08m.com 2 We know that receiving $1 today is worth more than $1 in the future. This is due to OPPORTUNITY COSTS. The opportunity cost of receiving $1 in the future is the interest we could have earned if we had received the $1 sooner. Today Future http://www.deden08m.com

Compounding and Discounting Single Sums 03, 2011 · Compounding and Discounting Single Sums 2 We know that receiving $1 today is worth ... PV = 100 (PVIF .06, 5) (use PVIF table,

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  • 1

    Page 1

    1

    The Time Value of Money

    Compounding and

    Discounting Single Sums

    http://www.deden08m.com

    2

    We know that receiving $1 today is worth

    more than $1 in the future. This is due

    to OPPORTUNITY COSTS.

    The opportunity cost of receiving $1 in

    the future is the interest we could have

    earned if we had received the $1 sooner.

    Today Future

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 2

    Page 2

    3

    If we can MEASURE this

    opportunity cost, we can:

    Translate $1 today into its equivalent in

    the future (COMPOUNDING).

    Translate $1 in the future into its

    equivalent today (DISCOUNTING).

    ?

    ?

    Today Future

    Today Future

    http://www.deden08m.com

    4

    Future Value

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 3

    Page 3

    5

    Future Value - single sums

    If you deposit $100 in an account earning 6%, how

    much would you have in the account after 1 year?

    Solution:

    FV = PV (FVIF i, n )

    FV = 100 (FVIF .06, 1 ) (use FVIF table, or)

    FV = PV (1 + i)n

    FV = 100 (1.06)1 = $106

    0 1

    PV = -100 FV = 106

    http://www.deden08m.com

    6

    Future Value - single sums

    If you deposit $100 in an account earning 6%, how

    much would you have in the account after 5 years?

    Solution:

    FV = PV (FVIF i, n )

    FV = 100 (FVIF .06, 5 ) (use FVIF table, or)

    FV = PV (1 + i)n

    FV = 100 (1.06)5 = $133.82

    0 5

    PV = -100 FV = 133.82

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 4

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    7

    Mathematical Solution:

    FV = PV (FVIF i, n )

    FV = 100 (FVIF .015, 20 ) (cant use FVIF table)

    FV = PV (1 + i/m) m x n

    FV = 100 (1.015)20 = $134.68

    0 20

    PV = -100 FV = 134.68

    Future Value - single sumsIf you deposit $100 in an account earning 6% with

    quarterly compounding, how much would you have

    in the account after 5 years?

    http://www.deden08m.com

    8

    Mathematical Solution:

    FV = PV (FVIF i, n )

    FV = 100 (FVIF .005, 60 ) (cant use FVIF table)

    FV = PV (1 + i/m) m x n

    FV = 100 (1.005)60 = $134.89

    0 60

    PV = -100 FV = 134.89

    Future Value - single sumsIf you deposit $100 in an account earning 6% with

    monthly compounding, how much would you have

    in the account after 5 years?

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 5

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    9

    Mathematical Solution:

    FV = PV (e in)

    FV = 1000 (e .08x100) = 1000 (e 8)

    FV = $2,980,957.99

    0 100

    PV = -1000 FV =

    Future Value - continuous compoundingWhat is the FV of $1,000 earning 8% with

    continuous compounding, after 100 years?

    http://www.deden08m.com

    10

    0 100

    PV = -1000 FV =

    Future Value - continuous compoundingWhat is the FV of $1,000 earning 8% with

    continuous compounding, after 100 years?

    $2.98m

    Mathematical Solution:

    FV = PV (e in)

    FV = 1000 (e .08x100) = 1000 (e 8)

    FV = $2,980,957.99http://www.deden08m.com

  • 6

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    11

    Present Value

    http://www.deden08m.com

    12

    Mathematical Solution:

    PV = FV (PVIF i, n )

    PV = 100 (PVIF .06, 1 ) (use PVIF table, or)

    PV = FV / (1 + i)n

    PV = 100 / (1.06)1 = $94.34

    0 1

    PV = -94.34 FV = 100

    Present Value - single sumsIf you will receive $100 one year from now, what is

    the PV of that $100 if your opportunity cost is 6%?

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 7

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    13

    Mathematical Solution:

    PV = FV (PVIF i, n )

    PV = 100 (PVIF .06, 5 ) (use PVIF table, or)

    PV = FV / (1 + i)n

    PV = 100 / (1.06)5 = $74.73

    0 5

    PV = -74.73 FV = 100

    Present Value - single sumsIf you will receive $100 5 years from now, what is

    the PV of that $100 if your opportunity cost is 6%?

    http://www.deden08m.com

    14

    Mathematical Solution:

    PV = FV (PVIF i, n )

    PV = 100 (PVIF .07, 15 ) (use PVIF table, or)

    PV = FV / (1 + i)n

    PV = 100 / (1.07)15 = $362.45

    0 15

    PV = -362.45 FV = 1000

    Present Value - single sumsWhat is the PV of $1,000 to be received 15 years

    from now if your opportunity cost is 7%?

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 8

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    15

    Mathematical Solution:

    PV = FV (PVIF i, n )

    5,000 = 11,933 (PVIF ?, 5 )

    PV = FV / (1 + i)n

    5,000 = 11,933 / (1+ i)5

    .419 = ((1/ (1+i)5)

    2.3866 = (1+i)5

    (2.3866)1/5 = (1+i) i = .19

    Present Value - single sumsIf you sold land for $11,933 that you bought 5 years

    ago for $5,000, what is your annual rate of return?

    http://www.deden08m.com

    16

    Present Value - single sumsSuppose you placed $100 in an account that pays

    9.6% interest, compounded monthly. How long

    will it take for your account to grow to $500?

    Mathematical Solution:

    PV = FV / (1 + i)n

    100 = 500 / (1+ .008)N

    5 = (1.008)N

    ln 5 = ln (1.008)N

    ln 5 = N ln (1.008)

    1.60944 = .007968 N N = 202 monthshttp://www.deden08m.com

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    17

    Hint for single sum problems:

    In every single sum future value

    and present value problem, there

    are 4 variables:

    FV, PV, i, and n

    When doing problems, you will be

    given 3 of these variables and

    asked to solve for the 4th variable.

    Keeping this in mind makes time

    value problems much easier!http://www.deden08m.com

    18

    The Time Value of Money

    Compounding and Discounting

    Cash Flow Streams

    0 1 2 3 4

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 10

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    19

    Annuities

    Annuity: a sequence of equal cash

    flows, occurring at the end of each

    period.

    0 1 2 3 4

    http://www.deden08m.com

    20

    Examples of Annuities:

    If you buy a bond, you will

    receive equal coupon interest

    payments over the life of the

    bond.

    If you borrow money to buy a

    house or a car, you will pay a

    stream of equal payments.

    http://www.deden08m.com

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    21

    Examples of Annuities:

    If you buy a bond, you will

    receive equal coupon interest

    payments over the life of the

    bond.

    If you borrow money to buy a

    house or a car, you will pay a

    stream of equal payments.

    http://www.deden08m.com

    22

    Calculator Solution:

    P/Y = 1 I = 8 N = 3

    PMT = -1,000

    FV = $3,246.40

    Future Value - annuityIf you invest $1,000 at the end of the next 3 years,

    at 8%, how much would you have after 3 years?

    0 1 2 3

    1000 1000 1000

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 12

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    23

    Calculator Solution:

    P/Y = 1 I = 8 N = 3

    PMT = -1,000

    FV = $3,246.40

    Future Value - annuityIf you invest $1,000 at the end of the next 3 years,

    at 8%, how much would you have after 3 years?

    0 1 2 3

    1000 1000 1000

    http://www.deden08m.com

    24

    Mathematical Solution:

    FV = PMT (FVIFA i, n )

    FV = 1,000 (FVIFA .08, 3 ) (use FVIFA table, or)

    FV = PMT (1 + i)n - 1

    i

    FV = 1,000 (1.08)3 - 1 = $3246.40

    .08

    Future Value - annuityIf you invest $1,000 at the end of the next 3 years,

    at 8%, how much would you have after 3 years?

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 13

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    25

    Calculator Solution:

    P/Y = 1 I = 8 N = 3

    PMT = -1,000

    PV = $2,577.10

    0 1 2 3

    1000 1000 1000

    Present Value - annuityWhat is the PV of $1,000 at the end of each of the

    next 3 years, if the opportunity cost is 8%?

    http://www.deden08m.com

    26

    Calculator Solution:

    P/Y = 1 I = 8 N = 3

    PMT = -1,000

    PV = $2,577.10

    0 1 2 3

    1000 1000 1000

    Present Value - annuityWhat is the PV of $1,000 at the end of each of the

    next 3 years, if the opportunity cost is 8%?

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 14

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    27

    Mathematical Solution:

    PV = PMT (PVIFA i, n )

    PV = 1,000 (PVIFA .08, 3 ) (use PVIFA table, or)

    1

    PV = PMT 1 - (1 + i)n

    i

    1

    PV = 1000 1 - (1.08 )3 = $2,577.10

    .08

    Present Value - annuityWhat is the PV of $1,000 at the end of each of the

    next 3 years, if the opportunity cost is 8%?

    http://www.deden08m.com

    28

    Other Cash Flow Patterns

    0 1 2 3

    http://www.deden08m.com

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    29

    Perpetuities

    Suppose you will receive a fixed

    payment every period (month, year,

    etc.) forever. This is an example of

    a perpetuity.

    You can think of a perpetuity as an

    annuity that goes on forever.

    http://www.deden08m.com

    30

    Present Value of a Perpetuity

    When we find the PV of an annuity,

    we think of the following

    relationship:

    http://www.deden08m.com

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    31

    Present Value of a Perpetuity

    When we find the PV of an annuity,

    we think of the following

    relationship:

    PV = PMT (PVIFA i, n )

    http://www.deden08m.com

    32

    Mathematically,

    (PVIFA i, n ) =

    We said that a perpetuity is an

    annuity where n = infinity. What

    happens to this formula when n

    gets very, very large?

    1 -1

    (1 + i)n

    i

    http://www.deden08m.com

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    33

    1 -1

    (1 + i)n

    i

    1

    i

    When n gets very large,

    this becomes zero.

    So were left with PVIFA =

    http://www.deden08m.com

    34

    PMT

    iPV =

    So, the PV of a perpetuity is very

    simple to find:

    Present Value of a Perpetuity

    http://www.deden08m.com

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    35

    What should you be willing to pay in

    order to receive $10,000 annually

    forever, if you require 8% per year

    on the investment?

    PMT

    iPV = =

    $10,000

    .08

    = $125,000

    http://www.deden08m.com

    36

    Ordinary Annuity

    vs.

    Annuity Due

    $1000 $1000 $1000

    4 5 6 7 8

    http://www.deden08m.com

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    37

    Begin Mode vs. End Mode

    1000 1000 1000

    4 5 6 7 8 year year year

    5 6 7

    PVin

    END

    Mode

    FVin

    END

    Modehttp://www.deden08m.com

    38

    Begin Mode vs. End Mode

    1000 1000 1000

    4 5 6 7 8 year year year

    6 7 8

    PVin

    BEGIN

    Mode

    FVin

    BEGIN

    Modehttp://www.deden08m.com

  • 20

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    39

    Earlier, we examined this

    ordinary annuity:

    Using an interest rate of 8%, we

    find that:

    The Future Value (at 3) is

    $3,246.40.

    The Present Value (at 0) is

    $2,577.10.

    0 1 2 3

    1000 1000 1000

    http://www.deden08m.com

    40

    What about this annuity?

    Same 3-year time line,

    Same 3 $1000 cash flows, but

    The cash flows occur at the

    beginning of each year, rather

    than at the end of each year.

    This is an annuity due.

    0 1 2 3

    1000 1000 1000

    http://www.deden08m.com

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    0 1 2 3

    -1000 -1000 -1000

    Future Value - annuity dueIf you invest $1,000 at the beginning of each of the

    next 3 years at 8%, how much would you have at

    the end of year 3?

    Calculator Solution:

    Mode = BEGIN P/Y = 1 I = 8

    N = 3 PMT = -1,000

    FV = $3,506.11http://www.deden08m.com

    42

    Future Value - annuity dueIf you invest $1,000 at the beginning of each of the

    next 3 years at 8%, how much would you have at

    the end of year 3?

    Mathematical Solution: Simply compound the FV of the ordinary annuity one more period:

    FV = PMT (FVIFA i, n ) (1 + i)

    FV = 1,000 (FVIFA .08, 3 ) (1.08) (use FVIFA table, or)

    FV = PMT (1 + i)n - 1

    i

    FV = 1,000 (1.08)3 - 1 = $3,506.11

    .08

    (1 + i)

    (1.08)http://www.deden08m.com

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    43

    Calculator Solution:

    Mode = BEGIN P/Y = 1 I = 8

    N = 3 PMT = 1,000

    PV = $2,783.26

    0 1 2 3

    1000 1000 1000

    Present Value - annuity dueWhat is the PV of $1,000 at the beginning of each

    of the next 3 years, if your opportunity cost is 8%?

    http://www.deden08m.com

    44

    Present Value - annuity due

    Mathematical Solution: Simply compound the FV of the ordinary annuity one more period:

    PV = PMT (PVIFA i, n ) (1 + i)

    PV = 1,000 (PVIFA .08, 3 ) (1.08) (use PVIFA table, or)

    1

    PV = PMT 1 - (1 + i)n

    i

    1

    PV = 1000 1 - (1.08 )3 = $2,783.26

    .08

    (1 + i)

    (1.08)

    http://www.deden08m.com

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    45

    Is this an annuity?

    How do we find the PV of a cash flow

    stream when all of the cash flows are

    different? (Use a 10% discount rate).

    Uneven Cash Flows

    0 1 2 3 4

    -10,000 2,000 4,000 6,000 7,000

    http://www.deden08m.com

    46

    Sorry! Theres no quickie for this one.

    We have to discount each cash flow

    back separately.

    Uneven Cash Flows

    0 1 2 3 4

    -10,000 2,000 4,000 6,000 7,000

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 24

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    47

    Uneven Cash Flows

    Sorry! Theres no quickie for this one.

    We have to discount each cash flow

    back separately.

    0 1 2 3 4

    -10,000 2,000 4,000 6,000 7,000

    http://www.deden08m.com

    48

    Uneven Cash Flows

    0 1 2 3 4

    -10,000 2,000 4,000 6,000 7,000

    Sorry! Theres no quickie for this one.

    We have to discount each cash flow

    back separately.http://www.deden08m.com

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    49

    Uneven Cash Flows

    Sorry! Theres no quickie for this one.

    We have to discount each cash flow

    back separately.

    0 1 2 3 4

    -10,000 2,000 4,000 6,000 7,000

    http://www.deden08m.com

    50

    Uneven Cash Flows

    Sorry! Theres no quickie for this one.

    We have to discount each cash flow

    back separately.

    0 1 2 3 4

    -10,000 2,000 4,000 6,000 7,000

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 26

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    51

    period CF PV (CF)

    0 -10,000 -10,000.00

    1 2,000 1,818.18

    2 4,000 3,305.79

    3 6,000 4,507.89

    4 7,000 4,781.09

    PV of Cash Flow Stream: $ 4,412.95

    0 1 2 3 4

    -10,000 2,000 4,000 6,000 7,000

    http://www.deden08m.com

    52

    Example

    Cash flows from an investment are

    expected to be $40,000 per year at the

    end of years 4, 5, 6, 7, and 8. If you

    require a 20% rate of return, what is

    the PV of these cash flows?

    http://www.deden08m.com

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    Example

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

    0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40 40

    Cash flows from an investment are

    expected to be $40,000 per year at the

    end of years 4, 5, 6, 7, and 8. If you

    require a 20% rate of return, what is

    the PV of these cash flows?

    http://www.deden08m.com

    54

    This type of cash flow sequence is

    often called a deferred annuity.

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

    0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40 40

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 28

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    55

    How to solve:

    1) Discount each cash flow back to

    time 0 separately.

    Or,

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

    0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40 40

    http://www.deden08m.com

    56

    2) Find the PV of the annuity:

    PV3: End mode; P/YR = 1; I = 20;

    PMT = 40,000; N = 5

    PV3= $119,624

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

    0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40 40

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 29

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    57

    119,624

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

    0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40 40

    http://www.deden08m.com

    58

    Then discount this single sum back to

    time 0.

    PV: End mode; P/YR = 1; I = 20;

    N = 3; FV = 119,624;

    Solve: PV = $69,226

    119,624

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

    0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40 40

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 30

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    59

    119,62469,226

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

    0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40 40

    http://www.deden08m.com

    60

    119,62469,226

    The PV of the cash flow

    stream is $69,226.

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

    0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40 40

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 31

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    61

    Example

    After graduation, you plan to invest

    $400 per month in the stock market.

    If you earn 12% per year on your

    stocks, how much will you have

    accumulated when you retire in 30

    years?

    http://www.deden08m.com

    62

    Retirement Example

    After graduation, you plan to invest

    $400 per month in the stock market.

    If you earn 12% per year on your

    stocks, how much will you have

    accumulated when you retire in 30

    years?

    0 1 2 3 . . . 360

    400 400 400 400

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 32

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    63

    Using your calculator,

    P/YR = 12

    N = 360

    PMT = -400

    I%YR = 12

    FV = $1,397,985.65

    0 1 2 3 . . . 360

    400 400 400 400

    http://www.deden08m.com

    64

    Retirement Example

    If you invest $400 at the end of each month for the

    next 30 years at 12%, how much would you have at

    the end of year 30?

    Mathematical Solution:

    FV = PMT (FVIFA i, n )

    FV = 400 (FVIFA .01, 360 ) (cant use FVIFA table)

    FV = PMT (1 + i)n - 1

    i

    FV = 400 (1.01)360 - 1 = $1,397,985.65

    .01 http://www.deden08m.com

  • 33

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    65

    House Payment Example

    If you borrow $100,000 at 7% fixed

    interest for 30 years in order to

    buy a house, what will be your

    monthly house payment?

    http://www.deden08m.com

    66

    Using your calculator,

    P/YR = 12

    N = 360

    I%YR = 7

    PV = $100,000

    PMT = -$665.30

    0 1 2 3 . . . 360

    ? ? ? ?

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 34

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    67

    House Payment Example

    Mathematical Solution:

    PV = PMT (PVIFA i, n )

    100,000 = PMT (PVIFA .07, 360 ) (cant use PVIFA table)

    1

    PV = PMT 1 - (1 + i)n

    i

    1

    100,000 = PMT 1 - (1.005833 )360 PMT=$665.30

    .005833http://www.deden08m.com

    68

    Team Assignment

    Upon retirement, your goal is to spend 5

    years traveling around the world. To

    travel in style will require $250,000 per

    year at the beginning of each year.

    If you plan to retire in 30 years, what are

    the equal monthly payments necessary

    to achieve this goal?

    The funds in your retirement account will

    compound at 10% annually.http://www.deden08m.com

  • 35

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    69

    How much do we need to have by

    the end of year 30 to finance the

    trip?

    PV30 = PMT (PVIFA .10, 5) (1.10) =

    = 250,000 (3.7908) (1.10) =

    = $1,042,470

    27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35

    250 250 250 250 250

    http://www.deden08m.com

    70

    Using your calculator,

    Mode = BEGIN

    PMT = -$250,000

    N = 5

    I%YR = 10

    P/YR = 1

    PV = $1,042,466

    27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35

    250 250 250 250 250

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 36

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    71

    Now, assuming 10% annual

    compounding, what monthly

    payments will be required for

    you to have $1,042,466 at the end

    of year 30?

    27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35

    250 250 250 250 250

    1,042,466

    http://www.deden08m.com

    72

    Using your calculator,

    Mode = END

    N = 360

    I%YR = 10

    P/YR = 12

    FV = $1,042,466

    PMT = -$461.17

    27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35

    250 250 250 250 250

    1,042,466

    http://www.deden08m.com

  • 37

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    73

    So, you would have to place

    $461.17 in your retirement account,

    which earns 10% annually, at the

    end of each of the next 360 months

    to finance the 5-year world tour.http://www.deden08m.com