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Confidential: For Review O
nly
The 6-PACK program to decrease fall injuries in acute
hospitals: A cluster randomised controlled trial
Journal: BMJ
Manuscript ID: BMJ.2015.025801
Article Type: Research
BMJ Journal: BMJ
Date Submitted by the Author: 08-Mar-2015
Complete List of Authors: Barker, Anna; Monash University, Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine Morello, Renata; Monash University, Wolfe, Rory; Monash University, Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine Brand, Caroline; Monash University, Centre for Research Excellence in
Patient Safety Haines, T; Monash University, Hill, Keith; Curtin University, Brauer, Sandra; The University of Queensland, Physiotherapy Botti, Mari; Epworth Health Care, Centre for Clinical Nursing Research Cumming, Robert; University of Sydney, School of Public Health Livingston, Patricia; Deakin University, Sherrington, Catherine; The George Institute for Global Health, University of Sydney Zavarsek, Silva; Monash University, Centre for Health Economics Lindley, Richard; University of Sydney, Discipline of Medicine Kamar, Jeannette; The Northern Hospital,
Keywords: Accidental falls, Injury, Randomised controlled trial, Acute care
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The 6-PACK program to decrease fall injuries in acute hospitals: A cluster randomised 1
controlled trial 2
3
Anna L Barker1, Renata T Morello1, Rory Wolfe1, Caroline A Brand1, Terry P Haines2, Keith D Hill3, 4
Sandra G Brauer4, Mari Botti5, Robert G Cumming6, Patricia M Livingston5, Catherine Sherrington7, 5
Silva Zavarsek8, Richard I Lindley7,, and Jeannette Kamar10 6
7
1Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 99 Commercial Road 8
Melbourne Victoria 3004, Australia 9
Anna L Barker, Associate Professor, Renata T Morello, Research Manager, Rory Wolfe, Biostatistician, 10
Caroline A Brand, Adjunct Associate Professor 11
2Physiotherapy Department, Monash University, Allied Health Research Unit, Monash Health, 12
Kingston Centre, Kingston Road Cheltenham , Victoria 3195, Australia 13
Terry P Haines, Professor 14
3School of Physiotherapy and Exercise Science, Curtin University, Kent Street Perth, Western Australia 15
6102, Australia 16
Keith D Hill, Professor 17
4Division of Physiotherapy, School of Health and Rehabilitation Sciences, The University of 18
Queensland Brisbane Queensland 4072, Australia 19
Sandra G Brauer, Professor 20
5School of Nursing and Midwifery, Deakin University, 221 Burwood Highway Burwood Victoria 3125, 21
Australia 22
Mari Botti, Professor 23
Patricia M Livingston, Professor; Associate Dean (Research) 24
6School of Public Health, The University of Sydney, New South Wales 2006, Australia 25
Robert G Cumming, Professor 26
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7The George Institute for Global Health, Sydney Medical School, The University of Sydney, New South 27
Wales 2006, Australia 28
Catherine Sherrington, Professorial Research Fellow, Richard I Lindley, Professor 29
8Centre for Health Economics, Monash Business School, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria 3800, 30
Australia 31
Silva Zavarsek, Associate Professor 32
9The Northern Hospital, Northern Health, 185 Cooper Street, Epping, Victoria 3076, Australia 33
Jeannette Kamar, Policy and procedure coordinator 34
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Correspondence to: 35
Anna Barker 36
Monash University, DEPM 37
The Alfred Centre 38
99 Commercial Road 39
Melbourne Vic 3004 40
Email [email protected] 41
Phone +61 3 9903 0946 42
Fax +61 3 9903 0556 43
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ABSTRACT 44
Objective 45
Evaluate the effect of the 6-PACK program on falls and fall injuries in acute wards. 46
Design 47
Cluster randomised controlled trial. 48
Setting 49
Six Australian hospitals. 50
Participants 51
All patients admitted to 24 acute wards during the trial period were included. 52
Interventions 53
Participating wards were randomly assigned to receive either the nurse-led 6-PACK program or usual 54
care over 12-months. The 6-PACK program included a validated fall-risk tool and individualised use of 55
one or more of six interventions: ‘falls alert’ sign; supervision of patients in the bathroom; ensuring 56
patients’ walking aids are within reach; a toileting regime; use of a low-low bed; and use of a bed/chair 57
alarm. 58
Primary and secondary outcome measures 59
The co-primary outcomes were falls and fall injuries per 1,000 occupied bed days. 60
Results 61
During the trial there were 46,245 admissions to 16 medical and 8 surgical wards. As many people were 62
admitted more than once, this represented 31,411 individuals. Patient characteristics and length of stay 63
were similar for intervention and control wards. Use of 6-PACK program components was higher on 64
intervention compared to control wards (incidence rate ratio [IRR] = 3�05, 95% confidence interval 65
[CI], 2�14 to 4.34; P<0�001). There were 1,831 falls and 613 fall injuries, and the rate of falls (IRR = 66
1�04, 95% CI, 0�78 to 1�37; P=0�796) and fall injuries (IRR, 0�96; 95% CI, 0�72 to 1�27; P=0�766) 67
were similar in intervention and control wards. 68
Conclusions 69
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Positive changes in falls prevention practice occurred following the introduction of the 6-PACK 70
program. However, there was no difference in falls or fall injuries between groups. There remains an 71
absence of high-quality evidence showing the effectiveness of falls prevention strategies in acute wards. 72
Novel solutions to the issue of in-hospital falls are urgently required. 73
74
Trial Registration This study is registered with the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry, 75
number ACTRN12611000332921. 76
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INTRODUCTION 77
Patient falls remain a common cause of harm in acute hospitals worldwide. In the United Kingdom 78
(U.K.) as many as 250,000 falls and more than 1,000 fractures are recorded each year. [1] Recent 79
epidemiological studies provide evidence that the harm from in-hospital falls is increasing. A Danish 80
study that included national hospital data revealed the rate of falls-related major injuries increased more 81
than 3% each year between 2000 and 2012, and more than 11% over the most recent period between 82
2007 and 2012.[2] The operational costs for fallers experiencing serious injury during their hospital stay 83
are higher than for non-fallers, and their length of stay more than six days longer.[3] Consequently, falls 84
prevention best practice guidelines have been developed2,3,20 and in-hospital falls has been adopted as a 85
quality indicator.[4 5] In the U.K. falls are reported under the NHS Patient Safety Thermometer [6]—a 86
local improvement tool for measuring, monitoring and analysing patient harms and 'harm free' care. In 87
the United States (U.S.), there is a financial incentive to prevent falls as hospitals do not receive 88
reimbursement for management of serious injuries resulting from inpatient falls.[7] A recent report on 89
data from 1,381 U.S. hospitals revealed that there has been no significant change in injurious falls 90
following the implementation of the non-payment initiative. This is in contrast to rates of other ‘never 91
events’ such as hospital acquired infections, for which significant declines were reported.[8] 92
Commentary around reasons for the reduction in hospital acquired infections but not falls have 93
highlighted that there is more robust evidence on how to prevent infections.[9] 94
95
There is limited high-quality evidence for effective falls prevention programs in acute hospitals. The 96
most recent Cochrane systematic review concluded that, despite a number of trials, there was limited 97
evidence to support any one intervention and that more trials are needed to confirm the effectiveness 98
of multifactorial interventions in the hospital setting.[10] There is some evidence for effectiveness of 99
prevention programs in rehabilitation hospitals but differences in length of stay, case-mix, care models, 100
staff mix, and environments suggest results may not be generalisable to the acute setting. 101
102
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The 6-PACK program is a targeted nurse-led multifactorial falls prevention program designed 103
specifically for acute wards. It includes a validated nine-item fall-risk tool[11] and six interventions that 104
are reflective of those included in Australian best practice guidelines.[12] A 9-year observational study 105
involving 271,095 patients from one hospital indicated that fall injuries reduced following the 106
implementation of the program.[13] The apparent success of the program may be due to the 107
interventions not being dependent on multidisciplinary input. Nurses are the primary care providers for 108
hospital patients, so are optimally positioned to implement falls prevention activities. Having a single 109
discipline responsible for falls prevention activities may improve accountability for implementation. 110
The ‘FallSafe’ program is another multifactorial nurse-led falls prevention program developed for acute 111
wards. A non-randomised controlled evaluation of FallSafe involving 16 hospitals in the U.K. reported 112
a reduction in falls in the wards that implemented FallSafe and no change in the control wards.[14] 113
114
Whilst these observational studies provide proof of concept for the effectiveness of nurse-led 115
multifactorial programs in acute wards, large-scale randomised trials are needed to provide robust 116
estimates of effect. We therefore conducted a cluster randomised controlled trial (RCT) to evaluate the 117
effect of the 6-PACK program on fall and fall injuries in acute wards. A ward-based approach was 118
undertaken to reduce contamination between groups. Randomisation at the ward level was appropriate 119
as key aspects of the intervention were ward based. 120
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METHODS 121
Design 122
This cluster RCT recruited 24 acute wards from six Australian hospitals. Wards were eligible to 123
participate if they i) were nominated by participating hospitals as being wards where falls commonly 124
occurred, ii) had an average patient length of stay of <10 days, iii) had one or fewer low-low beds to 125
each six standard beds on medical wards and one or fewer low-low beds to each 29 standard beds on 126
surgical wards, and iv) did not include a fall-risk tool and/or intervention checklist on the daily patient 127
care plan documentation. A waiver of individual patient consent was provided by hospital ethics 128
committees enabling all patients on participating wards to be included as trial participants. There were 129
no patient-level exclusion criteria. A detailed description of the study methods is available in the 130
published protocol[15] and trial registration (www.anzctr.org.aunumber ACTRN12611000332921). 131
132
Intervention 133
The 12 intervention wards implemented the 6-PACK program (Appendix 1) over a 12-month period. 134
The 6-PACK program included a validated nine-item fall-risk tool[11] and six interventions: ‘falls alert’ 135
sign; supervision of patients in the bathroom; ensuring patients’ walking aids are within reach; 136
establishment of a toileting regime; use of a low-low bed; and use of a bed/chair alarm. Nurses were 137
asked to update the fall-risk tool for each of their patients each shift and to apply a ‘falls alert’ sign and 138
one or more of the remaining 6-PACK interventions to patients classified as high risk. Selection of 139
interventions for each patient was based on their clinical judgment. Implementation of the program 140
was supported by project change management and program facilitators, a standardised implementation 141
guide, a hospital based site clinical leader and ward champions who conducted staff education and 142
audits, and provided reminders and feedback on the use of program components during the trial period. 143
144
Comparator 145
Control wards were asked to continue with usual care throughout the trial period. Usual care involved 146
falls prevention practices provided by wards as part of existing hospital policy, which may have 147
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included some components of the 6-PACK program and other strategies such as non-slip socks, 148
constant patient observers and falls alert wrist bands. 149
150
Outcome measures 151
Co-primary outcomes were falls and fall injuries per 1,000 occupied bed days (OBD). A fall was 152
defined as ‘an event resulting in a person coming to rest inadvertently on the ground, floor, or other 153
lower level’.[16] A fall injury was defined as any reported physical harm resulting from a fall (including 154
bruising, abrasions, lacerations and fractures).[15] 155
156
Data collection 157
Fall, falls prevention practice and patient demographic data were recorded for a 3 month period prior 158
to the RCT to inform the implementation of the 6-PACK program and provide a baseline reference 159
period to which sample characteristics and outcomes for the 12-month RCT period could be compared. 160
Admitted patients’ demographic characteristics and diagnoses were obtained from hospital 161
administrative datasets. Diagnoses were recorded using the International Classification of Diseases, 162
10th Revision, Australian Modification (ICD-10-AM). Published algorithms were applied to generate 163
Charlson comorbidities from ICD-10-AM diagnoses.[17] Falls data were prospectively collected via 164
daily patient medical record audit and verbal reports from the ward Nurse Unit Manager about falls 165
known to have occurred within the previous 24 hours as well as monthly audit of hospital incident 166
reporting and administrative databases. Radiological investigation reports were reviewed to verify 167
fractures. All recorded falls were reviewed and re-coded (ward, injuries sustained, fall location, time, 168
and activity) by a second independent assessor and disagreements resolved by a third. Process data on 169
risk tool completion and use of the 6-PACK program components was recorded by daily medical 170
record audit and structured bedside observation by trained assessors using a standardised tool during 171
the baseline and RCT period. 172
173
Sample size 174
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The sample size estimate assumed a control ward fall injury rate of 2�8 per 1,000 OBD, an average of 175
8,500 OBD per ward in 12-months and an average cluster (ward) size of 1,000 patient ward admissions, 176
using an intra-class correlation coefficient of 0�001.[18] For 80% power to detect a rate ratio of 0�7 177
between intervention and control wards at the 5% significance level, 12 intervention and 12 control 178
wards were required, assuming a total of 510 fall injuries, from approximately 16,000 patient ward 179
admissions and 212,000 OBD during the trial period.[15] 180
181
Randomisation 182
Wards were paired within hospitals based on type (surgical or medical). One ward from each pair was 183
randomised to receive the intervention or to continue with usual care (control). Where more than two 184
acute wards of the same type (medical or surgical) were available at a hospital (4 wards each at two 185
hospitals), pairing was additionally based on comparable fall injury rates in the 3-months prior to 186
randomisation. The randomisation schedule was developed using a random sequence in blocks of two 187
generated by the study statistician using the RALLOC command in Stata.[19] Allocation concealment 188
was ensured as the schedule was only accessible by the study statistician who was not involved in ward 189
recruitment. 190
191
Blinding 192
As the intervention was nurse-led, blinding of ward nurses and patients was not possible. It was also 193
not possible to blind the assessors collecting the fall and falls prevention practice data. Secondary 194
coding of fall characteristics and injuries was performed by assessors blinded to group allocation and 195
the coding completed by the primary assessor. A statistician blinded to group allocation (RW) 196
performed the data analysis. 197
198
Statistical methods 199
Hospital administrative datasets that contained demographic and diagnosis data were linked to fall data 200
(linking variables: patient identifier, date of hospital admission, and ward name). Descriptive statistics 201
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were used to profile the sample, fall and fall injury rates, and process data on the use of 6-PACK 202
program components (program adherence). To evaluate program efficacy and implementation rates of 203
falls, fall injuries and use of 6-PACK components were compared between the intervention and control 204
groups using mixed effect negative binomial models, with the at-risk time being each ward admission’s 205
length of stay. Primary analyses allowed for pairing of wards by inclusion of a fixed effect for ward type 206
(surgical or medical) and clustering of a ward’s admissions by including a random effect for ward. 207
Secondary analyses included adjustment in the same model framework for the pre-specified variables 208
age and cognitive impairment[15]. Subgroup analysis by ward type was undertaken by including an 209
interaction term between ward type and randomised group in each of the fall and fall injury models. 210
Potential contamination was investigated by examining changes in the use of 6-PACK program 211
components from the baseline to RCT period in the control wards. A significance level of P<0�05 was 212
used to indicate statistical significance and all analysis applied intention to treat principles. Stata MP v13 213
statistical software was used for all analyses. 214
215
Role of the funding source 216
The funders of the study had no role in study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, 217
or writing of the manuscript. A Barker, R Morello and R Wolfe had full access to all the data in the 218
study, and the corresponding author had final responsibility for the decision to submit for publication. 219
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RESULTS 220
No major protocol deviations or unexpected adverse events occurred during the study period. 221
222
Characteristics of the wards and participants 223
This study involved 46,245 ward admissions, from 16 medical and 8 surgical wards. Characteristics of 224
admitted patients and length of stay were similar for intervention and control groups and across 225
baseline and RCT periods (Table 1). There were 31,411 unique patients admitted to the wards including 226
3,853 patients (12�3%) admitted to both an intervention and control ward at different times during the 227
trial period. 228
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Table 1: Characteristics of intervention and control wards and patients 229
Ward admissions
Baseline
n=11,223
Intervention
n=22,670
Control
n=23,575
Ward characteristics
Number of unique admitted patients
8,877
17,698
17,566
Number of medical wards 16 8 8
Number of surgical wards 8 4 4
Ward length of stay in days —median (IQR)
All wards
Medical wards
Surgical wards
4 (2, 6)
4 (2, 7)
3 (2, 6)
4 (2, 7)
4 (2, 7)
3 (2, 6)
4 (2, 6)
4 (2, 7)
3 (2, 5)
Patient characteristics
Age*, y; mean (SD)
63.5 (19�8)
63.9 (20�0)
63.5 (19�7)
Female, n (%) 5,448 (48�5) 11,476 (50�6) 11,424 (48�5)
Emergency admissions, n (%) 8,686 (77�4) 18,415 (81�2) 17,263 (73�2)
Same day hospital admissions, n (%) 229 (2�0) 417 (1�8) 527 (2�2)
Cognitive impairment†, n (%) 756 (6�7) 1,816 (8�0) 1,730 (7�3)
IQR: Interquartile range 230
*Four ward admissions in new-born infants omitted 231
†ICD-10 codes for delirium and dementia: F050, F051, F058, F059, F104, F106, F114, F124, F134, 232
F144, F154, F164, F174, F184, F194, F430, F00-F03, G30, G311, G309 233
234
Eighteen of the 24 wards had a trial period of 12-months (Figure 1). Three ward pairs had an 11-month 235
trial period due to ward closures. 236
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237
*Note, three ward pairs ceased observation at 11 months due to ward closure. 238
Figure 1: Flow of wards and patients through trial 239
24 acute wards in six hospital were
recruited
Cluster randomisation
(n=24 wards, n=46,245
patient ward admissions)
Intervention
(n=12 wards, n=22,670
patient ward admissions)
Control
(n=12 wards,
n=23,575 patient ward
admissions)
6-PACK falls
prevention
program
Loss to follow-up
(n=0)
Total of 141 months*
Baseline data collection
Falls & fall injuries
(3 months)
Usual care
falls
prevention
practices
Excluded (n=0)
Analysed
(n=12 wards, n=22,670
patient ward admissions)
Analysed
(n=12 wards, n=23,575
patient ward admissions)
Allocation
Analysis
Follow-Up Loss to follow-up
(n=0)
Total of 141 months*
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The use of all 6-PACK program components (fall-risk tool and six interventions) was 3-fold higher on 240
intervention compared to control wards (incidence rate ratio [IRR] = 3�05, 95% confidence interval 241
[CI], 2�14 to 4.34; P<0�001). Use of 6-PACK program components increased rapidly on the 242
intervention wards following introduction of the program at the start of the RCT period. No change 243
was observed on the control wards suggesting contamination was unlikely. The higher use of 6-PACK 244
program components was sustained for the 8 months of the RCT period for which implementation 245
data were collected (Figure 2). Budget constraints prevented collection of these data for the last 4 246
months of the RCT period. Use of individual components of the 6-PACK program was higher on the 247
intervention compared to the control wards during the RCT period (Figure 3). 248
249
250
Figure 2: Rate of use of all 6-PACK program components (fall-risk tool and 6 interventions) by 251
month and group 252
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
-3 -2 -1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Baseline RCT
Rate
of
use
of
6-P
AC
K p
rog
ram
co
mp
on
ets
/
1,0
00 o
ccu
pie
d b
ed
days
Month of observation
Control Intervention
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253 Figure 3: Use of 6-PACK program components during RCT period by group 254
255
During the baseline period there were 393 falls and 144 fall injuries recorded for 273 individuals 256
contributing 284 admissions. The rates of falls and fall injuries were 6.45 and 2.36 per 1,000 OBD 257
respectively. 258
259
During the RCT period there were 1,831 falls and 613 fall injuries recorded for 1,247 individuals 260
contributing 1,333 admissions. The fall rate in intervention wards was 7�46 per 1,000 OBD compared 261
with 7�03 per 1,000 OBD in control wards, and the rate of fall injuries was 2�33 and 2�53 per 1,000 262
OBD, respectively. The fall and fall injury rates varied across wards and ward types (Appendix 2). Rates 263
of falls, fall injuries and injurious falls remained stable across the baseline and RCT period for both 264
groups (Figure 4). 265
16
20
5
63
24
106
142
57
171
8
95
165
344
665
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Toileting schedule documented
Need for bathroom supervision documented
Bed/chair alarm observed
Gait aid observed to be in reach
Low-low bed observed
"Falls alert" sign observed
Risk score completed
Rate / 1,000 occupied bed days
Intervention Control
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266
Figure 4: Fall outcomes by month and group 267
268
The rate of falls (IRR = 1�04; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0�78 to 1�37; P=0�796) and fall injuries 269
(IRR = 0�96; 95% CI, 0�72 to 1�27; P=0�766) were similar in intervention and control wards during the 270
RCT period. Consistent results were observed in analyses by ward type (medical or surgical) both in 271
primary unadjusted analyses and secondary analyses adjusted for age and cognitive impairment 272
(Appendix 3). 273
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
-3 -2 -1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Baseline RCT
Rate
/ 1
,000 o
ccu
pie
d b
ed
days
Month of observation
Control falls Control fall injuries Control injurious falls
Intervention falls Intervention fall injuries Intervention injurious falls
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DISCUSSION 274
Falls remain a frequent and substantial source of personal harm for older people admitted to acute 275
wards. This study, involving 24 wards from 6 hospitals across Australia, is the largest falls prevention 276
RCT to have been undertaken to date. A rigorous, cluster randomised design was employed with 277
allocation concealment, falls data collection from multiple sources, implementation data collection, 278
blinded outcome assessment and intention to treat analysis. Rates for some wards in this trial 279
approached 18 per 1,000 OBD for falls and 4 per 1,000 OBD for fall injuries. The overall rates for falls 280
and fall injures recorded in this trial are comparable with rates reported in other multi-centre trials[14 281
18]. 282
283
Whilst introduction of the 6-PACK program improved fall-risk tool completion and use of fall 284
prevention strategies recommended by best practice guidelines, no effect on falls or fall injuries was 285
observed. This finding of no effect is consistent with other similar quality studies. The mainstay model 286
of falls prevention practice in acute hospitals is targeted—those most at risk of falling are identified—287
and multifactorial; that is, multiple strategies are implemented to mitigate the risk. This approach is 288
supported by best practice guidelines.[12 20] Yet targeted, multifactorial falls prevention programs have 289
demonstrated little benefit for preventing injuries in RCTs, whether delivered by nurses[21 22] or 290
multidisciplinary teams.[18] Our trial and one other[18] also identified no effect on falls whereas two 291
studies reported falls reduced but not fall injuries.[21 22] Interestingly, studies that used multiple 292
sources to capture falls found null effects[18], whereas those that reported a reduction, relied upon 293
incident reports alone[21 22] suggesting a risk of measurement bias. A recent review that included eight 294
randomised and non-randomised comparative studies in U.S. acute hospitals reported multifactorial 295
interventions had no effect on falls and concluded that further research is required to provide evidence 296
on how hospitals can successfully prevent falls.[23] The findings of this trial support recent 297
recommendations relating to the U.S. non-payment for serious in-hospital fall injuries—policy makers 298
should only implement outcome metrics that have robust evidence on how to improve them. [9] 299
300
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Possible explanations for our finding of no effect include implementation failure, contamination, 301
confounding, and ineffectiveness of the intervention. The results presented provide evidence that the 302
6-PACK implementation strategy was effective at achieving meaningful changes in falls prevention 303
practice and that there was a low risk of contamination. While further exploration of the quality of the 304
program implementation, including appropriateness of intervention delivery is planned, the current 305
analysis indicates implementation was effective. The groups were comparable in key measured factors 306
known to affect falls risk, including age and cognitive impairment, suggesting that confounding due to 307
case-mix variation was also unlikely. While it is possible that confounding due to factors not measured 308
(including staff skill mix, availability of mobility aids, use of benzodiazepines, and complexity of illness) 309
occurred, we had no evidence of this. 310
311
In the absence of evidence of implementation failure, contamination or confounding we conclude that 312
the 6-PACK program was not effective at preventing falls or fall injuries. Reasons for lack of effect 313
may relate to the interventions included in the 6-PACK program. Bathroom supervision and toileting 314
regimes were included as many falls occur in relation to toileting.[24] Positioning patients’ walking aids 315
within reach was intended to improve mobility safety as impaired mobility is a common falls risk 316
factor.[24] Cognitive impairment is another important falls risk factor.[24] Bed/chair alarms were 317
included to reduce the likelihood of patients with cognitive impairment moving from a bed or chair 318
without staff assistance, and low-low beds were believed to be an effective strategy for reducing the 319
likelihood of injury in patients with cognitive impairment who may attempt to get out of bed 320
independently. Whilst an observational study indicated low-low beds may reduce fall injuries[25], a 321
larger RCT reported no effect.[26] Recent trials have also cast doubt on the effectiveness of bed/chair 322
alarms.[27 28] Falls prevention programs may need a greater focus on preventing delirium, which was 323
not specifically addressed in the 6-PACK program. The successful FallSafe program included urinalysis 324
screening and reducing night-time sedation to address delirium.[14] 325
326
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Whilst the interventions included in the 6-PACK hold face validity, they may lack potency to effectively 327
mitigate risk of falls and injury. The findings of a recent meta-analysis support the concept of a lack of 328
potency of multifactorial falls prevention approaches—assuming a rate of 8 falls per 1,000 OBD, the 329
number needed to treat to prevent a single inpatient fall is 1,250 patient days[29]. This represents one 330
fall prevented every 6 weeks in a standard 30 bed ward and assumes a small treatment effect of 0.9 331
(odds ratio) generated from pooled effects of 5 non-randomised clinical trials and 1 RCT. Potency may 332
be limited by a reliance on behaviour change both from the nurses and the patients. 333
334
Strategies such as providing assistance in the bathroom to those who require it, toileting schedules, and 335
ensuring a gait aid is in reach represent basic care for older patients and should not be discontinued. 336
However, there is an absence of evidence that these strategies prevent falls or associated harm. There is 337
no evidence to support use of low-low beds, bed/chair alarms, “falls alert” signs or fall-risk tools, so 338
the use of these strategies must be questioned in an environment that is time and resource poor with 339
many competing priorities. Innovative approaches, such as ward redesign or intelligent sensor 340
systems[30] to improve observation of high falls risk patients, floor coverings to decrease injury risk, or 341
a whole of system approach to patient safety and care of older vulnerable people that are acutely unwell 342
may offer new solutions. 343
344
Study limitations warrant consideration. Importantly, ward sampling was done at convenience. The 345
participating wards may therefore not be representative of the broader population of acute wards in 346
Australia or internationally. The assessment of cognitive impairment was based on ICD-10 codes 347
recorded in routine hospital datasets, which may have been under-coded. Whilst we used multiple data 348
sources to identify primary outcomes, it may be possible that falls and fall injuries were reported more 349
on intervention wards due to increased awareness of falls with 6-PACK implementation. However, 350
there was no significant change in falls outcome reporting between baseline and intervention periods. 351
Similarly, although process data on the use of 6-PACK strategies was recorded by assessors who were 352
aware of group allocation, rates of 6-PACK component use in control wards were comparable across 353
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the baseline period prior to wards being randomised, and group allocation being revealed, and the RCT 354
period where ward allocation was known. Therefore, we consider that there was a low risk of reporting 355
or detection bias in this study. All fall events were also double coded (event meets fall definition, 356
injuries sustained, ward and fall characteristics) by a second assessor who was blind to the ward 357
allocation and the codes assigned by the first assessor to minimise reporting bias. 358
359
Falls are complex; they are unfortunate events that result from myriad interactions between 360
physiological, behavioural and environmental factors. Indeed, each individual has unique risk factors, 361
risk profile, and responsiveness to prevention strategies. People at risk of falling in the acute setting are 362
no exception. They are usually acutely unwell, with multiple comorbidities, and taking a number of 363
medications. For some, their hospitalisation may represent a cascading deterioration in health and 364
function and a point along the pathway to residential aged care. Safe and effective patient care is 365
dependent not only on the knowledge, skills and behaviours of clinical staff, but also the cultural and 366
physical environment, availability of resources, and the policies, incentives and penalties that govern 367
and drive practice. In-hospital falls therefore represent a complex problem, affecting individuals with 368
complex care needs in the environment of a complex system. 369
370
In conclusion, use of the 6-PACK falls prevention program had no effect on falls or fall injuries in the 371
12 acute intervention wards that participated in this trial. Whilst the substantial harm and negative 372
sequelae of inpatient falls is unquestionable, there remains an absence of high-quality evidence showing 373
the effectiveness of preventative strategies for falls in acute wards. There is no RCT evidence to 374
support the effectiveness of any single falls prevention strategy either currently being used in practice in 375
acute wards or recommended by practice guidelines or accreditation standards. There is also an absence 376
of epidemiological data to support that the increased focus on falls prevention in hospitals via 377
introduction of guidelines, accreditation standards and quality improvement initiatives has had any 378
impact on falls or their sequelae. System level and/or environmental interventions may offer improved 379
potency and effectiveness and warrant further investigation. 380
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381
Data sharing statement 382
A full dataset that includes patient level data, technical appendix and statistical code are available on 383
reasonable request from the corresponding author. Individual patient consent was not obtained but the 384
presented data are anonymised and risk of identification is low. 385
386
Transparency statement 387
The lead author (AB) affirms that the manuscript is an honest, accurate, and transparent account of the 388
study being reported; no important aspects of the study have been omitted; and that any discrepancies 389
from the study as planned (and, if relevant, registered) have been explained. 390
391
Contributors 392
AB led the conception, design and application for funding of the project in conjunction with CB, TH, 393
KH, SB, MB, RC, PL, CS and SZ. AB, RM, JK, CB, TH, KH, SB, MB, RC, PL, CS and SZ participated 394
in the steering committee and project governance. RL was a study site investigator. AB led the drafting 395
all sections of this manuscript except the results in consultation with all of the co-authors. RM managed 396
the collection and verification of data and led the drafting of the results section of this manuscript. RW 397
was responsible for the analysis and interpretation of data. All authors reviewed and revised the 398
manuscript critically for important intellectual content. 399
400
Competing interest statement 401
We declare that we have no competing interests or conflicts of interest with this research. 402
403
Acknowledgements 404
We acknowledge the contribution of Sheral Rifat and Darshini Ayton in the preparation of this article, 405
the Injury Prevention Unit, The Northern Hospital, Northern Health, Melbourne, Australia who 406
developed the 6-PACK Program and the late Damien Jolley who provided substantial input to the 407
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design of the 6-PACK project. The study could not have been completed without the collaboration and 408
support from the participating hospitals, site clinical leaders and nursing staff. This project was funded 409
by the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC), Australia (APP 1007627). A Barker’s 410
salary was funded by a Career Development Fellowship from the NHMRC (APP1067236). R Morello’s 411
salary was supported by a post graduate scholarship from the NHMRC (APP1055604). T Haines’ salary 412
was funded by a Career Development Fellowship from the NHMRC (APP1069758).C Sherrington’s 413
salary was funded by a Career Development Fellowship from the NHMRC (APP632929). 414
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24. Evans D, Hodgkinson B, Lambert L, et al. Falls risk factors in the hospital setting: a systematic 478
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Appendix 1: Intervention description (as per CONSORT extension Template for Intervention 504
Description and Replication guidelines)† 505
Item 1: Brief Name
The nurse-led 6-PACK program for reducing falls and fall related injuries in acute hospitals.
Item 2: Why?
Rationale, theory, or goal of the elements essential to the intervention
There is limited high-level evidence to support the effectiveness of multifactorial falls prevention
programs in the acute hospital setting. This RCT aimed to provide robust information on the
effectiveness of a targeted, multifactorial, nurse-led falls prevention program. Best practice guidelines
recommend the use of targeted multifactorial programs. Nurse-led program as nurses are the primary
care providers for hospital patients so are optimally positioned to implement falls prevention activities.
Having a single discipline responsible for the primary delivery of a falls prevention program may
improve accountability for implementation. The program components were added to the existing
patient care plan to ensure the program activities were integrated into nurse workflow.
Item 2: What (materials)?
Physical and informational materials used in the intervention
The 6-PACK program includes a validated nine-item fall-risk tool (TNH-STRATIFY)[11] and options
for six interventions: ‘falls alert’ sign; supervision of patients in the bathroom; ensuring patient’s
walking aids are within reach; establishment of a toileting regime; use of a low-low bed and use of
bed/chair alarm. Hospitals provided intervention wards with ‘falls alert’ signs, low-low beds (a
minimum of 1 low-low to 3 standard beds on medical wards and 1 low-low to 10 standard beds on
surgical wards), and bed/chair alarms (three on medical wards and one on surgical wards). A low-low
bed was defined as a standard hospital bed that could be lowered to 250mm from the floor or lower.
Risk scores and interventions applied to patients were recorded on a 6-PACK patient care plan and
reviewed and updated each shift.
Item 4. What (procedures)?
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Procedures, activities, and/or processes used in the intervention, including any enabling or
support activities
The 6-PACK program was implemented by nurses on the intervention wards. A hospital-nominated
site clinical leader and ward-nominated champions oversaw the implementation of the 6-PACK
program on intervention wards. Champions and site clinical leaders met regularly to discuss the
assimilation of the 6-PACK on their ward, undertake ‘ward walk-rounds’ that included practice audits
and reminders, and review fall and implementation data provided by the research team. Site clinical
leaders were supported by a change management and program facilitator employed by the project via
telephone, email and site visits on a needs basis. Monthly meetings with the site clinical leaders from
each hospital, change management and program facilitators and the research lead also occurred.
Item 5. Who provided?
Expertise, background and any specific training given to each category of intervention
provider
Site clinical leaders were registered nurses with varying levels of experience in education and falls
prevention. They participated in a one day training session delivered by the change management and
program facilitator, and the research lead. Site clincal leaders trained the champions and intervention
ward nurses using a standardised 6-PACK implementation guide. Ward nurses included registered
nurses (bachelor degree qualified) and assistants in nursing (technical college training). The change
management facilitator was a health professional experienced in health service evaluation, project
management and communication. The program facilitator was a registered nurse who designed,
implemented and maintained the 6-PACK program at The Northern Hospital over a 10 year period
prior to commencement of this study.
Item 6. How?
Modes of delivery (such as face to face or by some other mechanism, such as internet or
telephone) of the intervention and whether it was provided individually or in a group
The 6-PACKprogram was integrated into daily care activities and delivered to individual patients by
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their treating nurse without provision of additional staffing resources.
Item 7. Where?
The type(s) of location(s) where the intervention occurred, including any necessary
infrastructure or relevant features
The 6-PACK programwas delivered on the 12 participating intervention acute wards, in six public
hospitals. Hospital 1 was a regional teaching hospital with 221 acute beds, hospital 2 was a metropolitan
University teaching hospital with 420 beds, hospitals 3, 5 and 6 were metropolitan teaching hospitals of
moderate size (200-500 beds) and hospital 4 was a metropolitan University teaching and major referral
centre (>500 beds).
Item 8. When and how much?
The number of times the intervention was delivered and over what period of time including the
number of sessions, their schedule, and their duration, intensity or dose
The 6-PACK program was delivered over the 12-month trial period. The patients’ treating nurse
completed/updated the fall-risk tool for each patient each shift. For patients classified as high risk,
nurses were required to select, record and apply a ‘falls alert’ sign and a minimum of one additional 6-
PACK intervention as they deemed appropriate during the patient ward admission.
Item 9. Tailoring
If the intervention was planned to be personalized, titrated or adapted, then describe what,
why, when, and how
The 6-PACK interventions applied to each patient were personalized based on the fall-risk tool
findings and clinical judgment of their treating nurse.
Item 10. Modifications
If the intervention was modified during the course of the study, describe the changes (what,
why, when, and how)
Due to local hospital policies and equipment purchasing procedures different models of low-low beds
and bed/chair alarms were used across intervention wards.
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Item 11. How well (planned)?
If intervention adherence or fidelity was assessed, describe how and by whom, and if any
strategies were used to maintain or improve fidelity, describe them
Intervention adherence was assessed via daily medical record audit and structured bedside observation
by project-employed data collectors for all patients admitted to the intervention wards during the study
period. A report of these data, including implementation league tables that ranked wards’ level of
adherence to the 6-PACK program components, were provided to the site clinical leaders each month
during the RCT. The site clinical leaders were expected to communicate this information to the
champions, ward nurses and ward Nurse Unit Manager.
506
† Hoffmann TC GP, Boutron I, Milne R, Perera R, Moher D, Altman DG, Barbour V, Macdonald H, 507
Johnston M, Lamb SE, Dixon-Woods M, McCulloch P, Wyatt JC, Chan AW, Michie S. Better 508
reporting of interventions: template for intervention description and replication (TIDieR) checklist and 509
guide. Bmj. 2014;348(Mar 7):g1687.510
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Appendix 2: Supplementary outcome measures by ward for the cluster RCT period 511
Medical wards Surgical wards
Ho
spit
al 1
Ho
spit
al 2
Ho
spit
al 3
Ho
spit
al 3
Ho
spit
al 4
Ho
spit
al 5
Ho
spit
al 6
Ho
spit
al 6
To
tal
Ho
spit
al 1
Ho
spit
al 2
Ho
spit
al 3
Ho
spit
al 4
To
tal
Inte
rven
tio
n
Number of ward admissions 1,833 1,844 2,098 2,265 1,649 1,117 2,429 1,461 14,696 2,018 1,562 3,244 1,150 7,974
Ward LOS; median 4 4 4 4 6 7 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 3
Falls per 1,000 OBD 11�3 5�2 9�1 6.6 3�1 12�6 12.1 17.4 9�2 4•0 4•2 2•4 5•1 3�9
Fall injuries per 1,000 OBD 3�5 2�0 3�7 2�2 2�2 3�0 2�7 2.9 2�9 1•0 1•0 1•3 1•6 1�2
Injurious falls per 1,000 OBD 2�6 1�3 2�2 1�5 1�2 2�2 3.7 2�2 1.9 0•6 0•6 0•8 1•0 0�8
Fractures per 1,000 OBD 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1
Co
ntr
ol
Number of ward admissions 1,548 1,398 2,001 3,088 1,547 1,103 1,365 2,000 14,050 2,520 2,348 2,590 2,067 9,525
Ward LOS; median 5 6 4 3 5 6 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 3
Falls per 1,000 OBD 15�1 6�2 7�4 6�3 6�8 11�5 9�3 9.0 8�8 4�8 2�7 3�0 4�2 3�6
Fall injuries per 1,000 OBD 4�8 3�9 2�3 1�5 3�0 5�5 2�8 2�9 3�3 0�6 0�7 0�6 2�1 1�0
Injurious falls per 1,000 OBD 4�2 2�3 1�8 1�0 2�2 3�6 2�2 1�8 2�4 0�5 0�6 0�6 1�2 0�8
Fractures per 1,000 OBD 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOS=Length of stay OBD=Occupied bed days 512
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Appendix 3: Incidence rate ratios for falls and fall injuries by ward type‡ 513
Unadjusted Adjusted for age and cognitive impairment
Incidence rate ratio
(Intervention/Control)
P value Interaction P
value†
Incidence rate ratio
(Intervention/Control)
P value Interaction P
value
Falls
All wards 1�04 (0�78 to 1�37) 0�796 1�02 (0�79 to 1�31) 0�888
Medical wards 1�01 (0�70 to 1�48) 0�946 0.98 (0�70 to 1�37) 0�895
Surgical wards 1�08 (0�79 to 1�49) 0�615 0�929 1�11 (0�79 to 1�55) 0�537 0�888
Fall injuries
All wards 0�96 (0�72 to 1�27) 0�766 0�98 (0�70 to 1�39) 0�927
Medical wards 0�89 (0�65 to 1�22) 0�453 0�87 (0�67 to 1�13) 0�286
Surgical wards 1�22 (0�66 to 2�25) 0�533 0�464 1�45 (0�75 to 2�81) 0�269 0�328
Injurious falls
All wards 0�89 (0�66 to 1�18) 0�405 0�86 (0�65 to 1�14) 0�304
Medical wards 0�85 (0�60 to 1�20) 0�358 0�81 (0�59 to 1�11) 0�189
Surgical wards NA 0�321 1�09 (0�63 to 1�89) 0�764 0�177
NA – results not available; non-convergence of model due to limited data for estimating between-ward variability in outcome rate 514
† The interaction p-value tests whether the treatment effect (intervention v control) is different between surgical and medical wards 515
‡The intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC), was 0�007 for rate of falls (95% CI: 0�002-0�011) and 0�002 for rate of fall injuries (95% CI: 0�001-0�004) 516
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