Conflict in the Somali Region of Ethiopia: Can Education Promote Peace-Building?

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    Strengthening the humanity and dignity of people in crisis through knowledge and practice

    M A R C H 2 0 1 1

    Conict in the Somali Region o Ethiopia:

    Can Education Promote Peace-Building?

    Simon Richards and Gezu Bekele

    A report for the BRIDGES Project

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    2/80Feinstein International Center2

    2011 Feinstein International Center. All Rights Reserved.

    Fair use o this copyrighted material includes its use or non-commercial educational

    purposes, such as teaching, scholarship, research, criticism, commentary, and news

    reporting. Unless otherwise noted, those who wish to reproduce text and image fles

    rom this publication or such uses may do so without the Feinstein International

    Centers express permission. However, all commercial use o this material and/or

    reproduction that alters its meaning or intent, without the express permission o the

    Feinstein International Center, is prohibited.

    Feinstein International Center

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    Acknowledgements

    This study was unded by Save the Children UK under a contract

    rom UKaid rom the Department or International Development.

    We especially thank Save the Children UK sta, Mercy Corps, and

    Islamic Relie acilitation and organization o the logistics o the trips.

    Andy Catley o Tuts University deserves mention or his support.

    O most importance, we thank all the Ethiopian people, including the

    many government ocials or their patience and openness, who

    answered our questions about themselves and their experiences with

    education and conict in the Somali Region. There are too many to

    list them but you know who you are.

    We the authors o this report are solely responsible or any errors in

    its contents.

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    Executive Summary

    1. The Task 11

    1.1 Introduction 11

    1.2 The BRIDGES Project 11

    2. Methodology 13

    2.1 Locations visited 13

    2.2 Stakeholders consulted 13

    2.3 Literature review 14

    2.4 The challenges o research and analysis 15

    3. The Context 16

    3.1 Key trends in Somali Region 16

    3.1.1 Demographics 16

    3.1.2 Livelihoods 16

    3.1.3 Changes in the governance environment 16

    3.1.4 Changes in other social dynamics 17

    3.2 Forces shaping the history o conict in the Somali Region 17

    3.3 Current patterns and cultures o governance that impact on the conict dynamics 21

    4. The Conicts o the Somali Region 24

    4.1 Assessment fndings and broad conict trends 24

    4.2 A typology o current conicts 25

    4.3 Structural and proximate actors inuencing conict 26

    4.4 Conict eatures and dierentiators 33

    4.5 Analysis and discussion o typology 33

    4.6 Comparison o Adher and Shinile zones 36

    5. Education and Conict 38

    5.1 The eects o conict on education in Somali Region 38

    5.2 The eects o education on conict in Somali Region 41

    Contents

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    6. Recommendations or Education and Conict Transormation

    in Somali Region 44

    6.1 A two-pronged approach 44

    6.2 Application o the typology to education methodologies and delivery mechanisms 44

    6.3 Education and the structural proximate causes 45

    6.4 Education working In Conict 46

    6.5 Education working On Conict 47

    6.5.1 Educational content 47

    6.5.2 Educational methodologies 49

    6.5.3 Education delivery mechanisms 50 6.5.4 Education and state-strengthening 51

    6.6 Education and conict prevention, management and resolution 52

    6.6.1 Conict prevention 52

    6.6.2 Conict mitigation 56

    6.6.3 Conict resolution 58

    6.7 Further research 58

    7. Conclusions 60

    Endnotes

    Bibliography 66

    Appendix 1: Terms o Reerence 73

    Appendix 2: Suggested Checklist or Schools and Conict 75

    Appendix 3: Emerging Issues that may aect conict dynamics in

    the Somali Region in the uture 78

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    ABBREVIATIONS

    ABE Alternative Basic Education

    BRIDGES Building Relationships through Innovative Delivery o Growing Education Services

    CSO Civil Society Organization

    DFID Department or International Development

    EFA Education or All

    EPRDF Ethiopian Peoples Revolutionary Democratic Front

    NGO Non-Governmental Organization

    MDG Millennium Development Goals

    ONLF Ogaden National Liberation Front

    OLF Oromo Liberation FrontPCAE Pastoralist Concern Association Ethiopia

    PCU Program Coordination Unit

    PDP Peace and Development Program

    SMC School Management Committee

    SCUK Save the Children UK

    SCUS Save the Children US

    SSDF Somali Salvation Democratic Front

    SNM Somali National Movement

    TFG Transitional Federal Government

    TVET Technical and Vocational Education Training Center

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    Piloting the Delivery o Quality Education

    Services in the Developing Regional States o

    Ethiopia, also known as Building Relationships

    through Innovative Delivery o Growing

    Education Services (BRIDGES), is being

    implemented by Save the Children UK, Islamic

    Relie, and Mercy Corps in the Somali Region

    o Ethiopia. It is a twelve-month project unded

    by the UK Department or International

    Development (DFID). The purpose o the

    project is to strengthen the capability and

    commitment o state and non-state actors in

    Somali Region to promote peace, security, and

    development through the delivery o quality

    education. An important aspect o the project is

    to generate lessons that might inuence uturestrategies or peace-building and improved

    education in the region.

    Analytical support to BRIDGES is provided by

    the Feinstein International Center, Tuts

    University. This support included conict

    analyses in Somali Region, ocusing on an

    analysis o the causes o conict in Adher and

    Shinile Zones, and the ways in which improved

    education could contribute to conict reduction.

    Key fndings

    1. Education is a development priority

    Educationiscriticaltoaddressingthe

    development needs o Somali Region and is

    a much- needed service at this time.

    Education, especially at the basic and

    primary school level, also has a critical

    long-term role in societal and conict

    transormation.

    Althougheducationisadevelopment

    priority, it is probably not the best

    instrument to transorm conict, address the

    structural and proximate causes o conict,

    or bring about stability in the short term. The

    assumptions that conict arises rom a lack o

    education and development need to be

    examined careully, given the overarching,

    high-level political drivers o conict in theregion.

    Similarly,theassumptionthatfragilityand

    stability can be directly and immediately

    addressed through strengthening the states

    ability to deliver services requires testing and

    the collection o evidence over time.

    Improved service provisionper seis unlikely

    to alter the conict situation signifcantly

    without inputs in a range o other areas

    including, in particular, the need to address

    directly the causes o conict.

    Theimpactofconictoneducation

    provision is not as signifcant as might be

    expected given the prevalence o conict in

    the region, but it still has major consequences

    or amilies and or the uture o the

    education system. Equally, the analysis ound

    that except under special, localizedconditions involving land, education is

    neither a primary cause o conict, nor a

    trigger or violence.

    Thendingsaboveindicateaclearneedto

    continue to support basic education in the

    Somali Region, while also reshaping

    expectations on the conict-related

    outcomes o improved education.

    2. Conict drivers and dynamics

    Thedriversofconictareevolvingand

    changing in the region, but there are three

    basic types o conict that occur in Shinile

    and Adher Zones:

    - Inter-clan/ethnic conicts

    - Those with international regional

    dynamics

    - Those with inter-regional Ethiopian

    dynamics

    - Those within the Somali Region

    - Intra-clan

    - State versus insurgents

    Themainstructuralandproximatecauses

    that drive these conicts all into three main

    groups including:

    - Political and governance concerns

    - Economic and environmental concerns

    - Socio-cultural concerns

    Althoughallthreebasictypesofconictare

    ound in both Shinile and Adher Zones, thesituation is ar more serious in Shinile Zone.

    The levels and intensity o violence that

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

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    occur in Shinile are more severe and relate

    to complex political dynamics, long-

    running territorial issues, and a relatively

    homogenous clan composition.

    Theroleofbasiceducationasameansto

    transorm conict in the short term is

    constrained by the disconnects between

    limited education and the structural andproximate causes o conict in the region,

    and the reality that education programs do

    not work directly with those actively taking

    part in conict (although they should).

    However, education programs still need to

    ensure that they adopt a strong and serious

    conict-sensitive approach to their work.

    Recommendations

    1. Conict-sensitive and long-term

    approaches to education

    The education sector in the Somali Region

    should concentrate primari ly on improving

    delivery, and more specifcally, on improving

    quality. Education should adopt a two-pronged

    approach.

    First,adoptaseriousconict-sensitive

    approach to the sectors work aimed at

    eective education delivery in conictenvironments.

    Second,methodologiesshoulddeliberately

    incorporate a long-term approach and theory

    o change aimed at addressing issues that

    work on conict. More explicit linkages

    with l ivelihoods and the employment

    sector, as well as relevance to ways o lie,

    should be coupled with a scale-up o the

    Mercy Corps work that is specifcally

    targeting those who are involved inconict.

    Conict-sensitive programming

    There is a need to adopt a serious conict-

    sensitive approach to all education and service

    delivery work in the Somali Region aimed at

    eective delivery in conict environments,

    and including the development o indicators

    that ensure a way o measuring impact. In

    particular: Workonbothsidesofaconict

    particularly across regional boundaries (e.g.,

    Aar and Somal i Region as well as

    Oromiya)andensureequitable

    distribution o resources and inputs and

    conduct micro-conict analysis to each

    kebele and school situation to understand

    the extent to which trauma and conict

    need to be addressed.

    Dontbuildeducationfacilitiesoncontestedland.

    Beverycarefularoundregionalstate

    boundaries.

    Reducetheriskofconictimpactingon

    children and schools.

    Forpastoralistcommunitieslivingin

    disputed territory, ensure that schools:

    - Continue to be mobile and exible.

    - Do not ormalize Alternative Basic

    Education (ABE) and create permanent

    physical structures, but rather upgrade

    the school through the provision o

    improved school kits that enhances

    materials, methodologies, and educational

    opportunities instead o structures.

    - Assist the community to undertake a risk

    mapping exercise in terms o conict

    (i.e., are there hotspots that schooling

    should avoid such as water points, salt

    licks, etc., where conict oten occurs),

    coupled with their usual grazing landsand dry and wet season mobility routes.

    Where is it appropriate to site a school?

    Where is it most sae and yet most

    convenient with aci lities or the children

    such as water? Where is the school going

    to move i an incident occurs? When and

    how is it best to relaunch education ater

    bloodshed to take into account addressing

    and healing trauma?

    Foragro-pastoralistcommunitiesinconictwith pastoralists, ensure that schools are

    situated as ar rom any potential conict

    sites as possible, i.e., at the back o the

    settlement.

    Commit to long-term change

    Adopt a long-term approach and theory o

    change aimed at addressing issues that work on

    conict through societal change. There is also

    a role or education to play as an approach toaddressing state-strengthening through

    improving accountability and transparency in

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    the sector and developing the expectations and

    role o community in school governance and

    through debates around education and what

    constitutes a good education in the region.

    This could mean:

    Ensuringthatthereisacloserlinkbetween

    education and the improvement o

    livelihoods and associated skil ls, i.e.,education or lie.

    Developingcurriculumcontentthatis

    aimed at messages o tolerance and respect

    or dierent views and perspectives.

    Supportexperientialmethodsoflearning

    that consider behavior change models with

    respect to conict. This could include the

    use o peace clubs in schools, art, and

    music, as well as opportunities or cross-

    conict stakes in shared l ivelihood

    generation.

    Identifypossibleopportunitiestopilotthe

    use o early childhood education in tackling

    tolerance and the ethnic dimension o

    conict in the Somali Region.

    - Develop a saturation approach to

    education that builds a critical mass o

    understanding and willingness to change

    values and behaviors through components

    o non-ormal education and

    opportunities o working with women,elders, imams, and other key community

    leaders, as well as school children.

    - Scale-up the work o Mercy Corps aimed

    at those who instigate and are directly

    involved in violence.

    2. Education to address the impacts o

    conict

    Education has a key role to play in assistingchildren and adults who have been aected by

    violent conict. For example:

    Exploretheutilizationofacommunity-

    based, psychosocial pedagogy aimed at

    healing trauma and countering the

    normalization o violence.

    Exploretheuseofschoolsassafehavensand

    areas o agreed non-violence by al l parties.

    Explorewaystocontinuetobuild

    intercommunal and interpersonal trust

    between conicting groups to encouragemixing and to break down the trends

    towards segregation and separation.

    3. Future research

    Consider constructing an action research

    program to be embedded in the Peace and

    Development Program (PDP) that explores and

    tests the ollowing:

    Gatheringandanalyzingtheevidencebase

    o the relationship between increased andimproved service delivery and a reduction o

    ragility and conict in the Somali Region.

    Thedevelopmentanduseofsector-specic

    conict-sensitive indicators or the

    implementation o primary and ABE schools

    and education programs.

    Considerationoftheuseofasetofself-

    selected (and support around capacity

    building and training to achieve the

    expected improvements) measurements that

    together orm an index around perormance

    in the delivery o education at the woreda

    level that could be used as the basis or

    periodic sel-assessments. This could involve

    a number o stakeholders including the

    community, students, the School

    Management Committee (SMC), and the

    government ocials at the local level and the

    NGO.

    Ananalysisofthelandownershipandland

    tenure legislation at ederal and regional statelevels, the available dispute mechanisms,

    including both statutory and customary

    mechanisms, and the development o a series

    o recommendations to improve eciencies

    and eectiveness that could be piloted in

    dierent locations depending on the

    particular circumstances. This piece o work

    could include both suggestions to changes in

    legislation, policy, and practice that are best

    suited to the needs o the dierentstakeholders.

    4. Other recommendations

    Other suggestions or adapting education

    programs to work in a conict environment are

    as ollows:

    Conict prevention:

    Considertheuseofconictpreparedness

    plans or those schools that are mostvulnerable to the impact o conict.

    Assessthepotentialforconictearly

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    warning systems to be put in place, ensuring

    that schools are an intr insic part o the

    system as part o the conict preparedness

    plan, possibly involving the SMCs.

    Expandtheuseofpublicdiscourse,media,

    and public debate to urther develop the

    opportunities or good governance to be

    modelled within the education sector andestablish norms or other sectors.

    Strengthentheopportunitiesforwomento

    play a greater role in community aairs and

    peaceul coexistence through targeted adult

    education and awareness raising, ensuring

    there is support or it rom the men.

    Pilotanearlychildhoodeducationthat

    includes emphasis on ethnic tolerance and

    shared histories.

    Conict mitigation and management:

    BuildandextendontheworkthatSavethe

    Children US has pioneered with Pastoralist

    Concern Association Ethiopia in Filtu and

    Dollo Ado regarding use o mapping o

    transhumant routes or the placing o ABEs,

    conict hotspots such as water points, as

    well as consideration o traditional natural

    resource management systems that could

    play a role in a broader conict management

    system around use o natural resources suchas grazing areas.

    Workwithjournalistsandmediaonhowto

    report on conict issues, e.g., draw on

    examples rom Kenya ollowing the last

    round o electoral and ethnic violence.

    Lookatincorporatingagreementsforpeace

    zones around shared resources into

    discussions and negotiations between

    pastoralists and between pastoralists and

    agro-pastoralist conicts.

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    1.1 Introduction

    This analysis aims to raise understanding o the

    specifc types and causes o conict in the Somali

    Region o Ethiopia and, in particular, in the

    areas where the BRIDGES project is currently

    operating, Adher and Shinile Zones. The

    analysis aims to identiy and dierentiate

    between the conicts that are active or latent in

    these areas to consider how the project might try

    to address them, and any specifc education

    programming options that could be implemented

    that wil l assist in the promotion o peace and

    state-building in the Somali Region. The

    analysis seeks to consider similarities and

    dierence between the two areas as well asexplore the regional and international dynamics

    that inuence the conict dynamics that are to

    be ound in them.

    Recommendations are based on a number o

    assumptions:

    Thatpeace-buildingisacceptedbyall

    stakeholders including government, as a

    legitimate activity o NGOs when working

    in conjunction with the appropriateauthorities.

    Thatstakeholdersdowantpeaceandthat,as

    reported by the majority o stakeholders,

    education is part o the long-term solution to

    conict in the region.1

    Akeyassumptionisthatthereisspacefor

    NGOs to operate and implement the

    suggestions that are outlined below.

    The success o Mercy Corps in working with a

    range o stakeholders and specifcally alongside

    the government o Ethiopia suggests that it is

    possible to undertake work o this nature

    provided that there is strong trust and

    relationships with the key stakeholders. Increased

    political space, acilitated by the ederal

    government and supported by donors, would

    increase the ecacy o interventions. It is also

    important to note that, like the majority o

    writing on the topic o conict, it is recognized

    implicitly that conict can be both positive andnegative and when managed can contribute to

    positive progress. Al l conict is not bad, but in

    this report we are talking about violentconict as

    destructive and to be avoided and prevented.

    1.2 The BRIDGES project

    Piloting the Delivery o Quality Education

    Services in the Developing Regional States o

    Ethiopia, also known as Building Relationships

    through Innovative Delivery o Growing

    Education Services (BRIDGES) is being

    implemented in the Somali Region o Ethiopia.

    It is a twelve-month project unded by the UK

    Department or International Development

    (DFID). The project is being implemented in

    nine woredas in fve zones. The purpose o the

    project is to strengthen the capability andcommitment o state and nonstate actors in

    Somali Region to promote peace, security, and

    development through the delivery o quality

    education or all children contributing to

    Education or All (EFA) and the Millennium

    Development Goals (MDG) goals. Specifc

    objectives include:

    1. To improve access to, and the quality and

    relevance o, primary education, especially

    or pastoral peoples, in selected conict-aected areas o Somali Region.

    2. Develop and test strategies or state and

    non-state actors to work in partnership to

    promote peace-building and state-building

    in Somali Region through the provision o

    improved education services.

    3. To strengthen Somali government capacity

    to plan, monitor, fnance, and develop

    pedagogic materia ls that promote peace and

    relevant primary education services.

    4. To learn lessons or the delivery o primary

    education services and other basic services

    in Somali Region which deliver improved

    services and contribute to peace-building.

    5. To investigate proposals to accelerate

    development o education services proposed

    under the Ministry o Federal Aairs

    Special Support Programme in the Four

    Developing Regions.

    The one-year time rame o the BRIDGESproject is a very short period o time to be

    considering the application and impact rom

    1. THE TASK

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    these types o issues and the possibility o being

    able to draw frm conclusions. The practical

    pressures acing start-up, and the very real

    diculties o getting a good run-up and some

    momentum to the project, mean that emphasis is

    oten placed on achieving ambitious progress

    targets and short-term perspectives rather than

    investing in the long term. A mid-term reviewhad also been undertaken during the period o

    this consultancy and will be a useul companion

    document or this analysis (Napier and Bekele,

    2010). Lessons learned and discussion o issues

    encountered rom the pilot is expected to be

    utilized to inorm the design o larger

    interventions that are in the pipeline, such as the

    upcoming multidonor-supported Peace and

    Development Programme (PDP).

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    A team rom Tuts University consisting o an

    international team leader with a national expert

    undertook the analysis, with logistical support

    and technical input rom the consortium

    partners. It is important to note that not all

    conicts encountered were explored in depth, as

    there are many minor conicts that were either

    not signifcant, or were historical and had not

    resuraced or more than ten years or so.

    2.1 Locations visited

    Two feld trips were undertaken to Southern

    Ethiopia to zones where the BRIDGES project is

    being implemented. The frst trip, hosted by

    SCUK, ocused on understanding the dynamicsin Shinile Zone and the second, hosted by Mercy

    Corps and Islamic Relie, in Adher Zone. The

    team was also able to visit Babile and Kebre Baye

    and it was hoped that access to Fiq might be a

    possibility in the second phase, but unortunately

    this was not the case. Sites were selected on the

    basis o the ollowing criteria: project

    implementation areas; accessibility; and relevance

    and proximity to conict issues.

    2.2 Stakeholders consulted

    Given the sensitive context in Ethiopia

    surrounding exploration o issues having a

    bearing on conict, the ocus in terms o the

    discussions with stakeholders centered natural ly

    on the education aspect.

    Meetings were held as a matter o courtesy,

    protocol, and in order to obtain their

    perspective, with government oces at all levelswherever we visited. At each site representatives

    o various stakeholder and interest groups were

    interviewed and, wherever possible, a range o

    actors were consulted (Table 2).

    2. METHODOLOGY

    Table 1: Locations visited

    Shinile Zone Ader Zone Jijiga Zone Other

    Adem Woreda Hargel le Woreda Kebre Baya Woreda Gode Town(Oct. 2010) (Feb. 2011) (Feb. 2011) (Feb. 2011)

    Mieso Woreda Cherete Woreda Babile Woreda Dire Dawa

    (Oct. 2010, Feb. 2011) (Feb. 2011) (Feb. 2011) (Feb. 2011)

    Erer Woreda El Kare Woreda Gursum Woreda

    (Oct. 2010) (Feb. 2011) (Feb. 2011)

    Dembal Woreda Jijiga Town

    (Feb. 2011) (Oct. 2010, Feb. 2011)

    Table 2: Stakeholders consulted

    Government Institutions and Organizations Community Stakeholders

    SomaliRegiongovernmentocialsincluding Communityleaders

    thefollowingBureausandDepartments: Clanelders

    -Education Keyinformants

    -BureauofLivestockCropandRural Teachers

    Development SchoolManagementCommittees/- Sports and Youth Parent Teachers Associations

    (continued on the next page)

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    The primary methodologies employed

    throughout the feld work were:

    Open-endedsemi-structuredquestioning

    within ocus peer-group discussions (e.g.,

    elders, youth, women, etc.). Keyinformantinterviewswiththose

    identifed as having a deep knowledge o the

    issues and history o the situation, to deepen

    understanding and triangulate inormation.

    Meetings and discussions were also held with

    project sta rom SCUK, Mercy Corps, and

    Islamic Relie. Balance in opinion was sought by

    consulting with people on both sides o the

    conicts, as well as those with more independent

    views and not directly involved in the conicts

    as a stakeholder.

    2.3 Literature review

    The ormal published literature was reviewed,

    including academic studies covering natural

    resource management, conict andgovernance, and socioeconomic issues. The

    grey literature on Somali Region was also

    reviewed, covering development and

    humanitarian reports, baseline assessments,

    and project reports produced by Mercy Corps

    and SCUK. Additional documents included

    government statistics, policy and legal

    documents, including regional state

    development policies related to pastoralist

    areas, and poverty reduction strategy papers.

    Government Institutions and Organizations Community Stakeholders

    -BorderAairs Opinionleaders

    -ProgrammeCoordinationUnit Youth

    EthiopianWildlifeConservationAuthority Women

    atBabileElephantSanctuary Cattleherder

    Woredagovernmentocials,including Traders

    -HeadsofAdministration Farmers

    -Education Academics

    - Security

    Ethiopiancommunity-basedorganizations

    UNagenciesincluding:

    - UNDP

    - FAO- UN Department o Saety and Security

    - UNICEF

    Donors:

    - DFID

    - USAID

    - Danida

    - BRIDGES Consortium members:

    - SCUK

    - Mercy Corps

    - Islamic Relie

    Table 2: Stakeholders consulted(continued)

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    2.4 The challenges o research and analysis

    A number o chal lenges were encountered

    during the analyses that are worth noting, aside

    rom the inherent diculties o consulting

    dierent interest groups with dierent outlooks

    operating within the broader political context.

    This context includes the recent introduction othe new CSO legislation that strikes a positive

    note by ormally acknowledging the potential

    contributions o NGOs to peace-building.

    However, the extent to which this recognition is

    mirrored by local government ocials aects the

    boundaries o NGO activities on the ground.

    Challenges have included the ollowing:

    Thetimingofthersttripcoincidedwith

    the appointment o new government at the

    regional and woreda levels. This meant that a

    number o key stakeholders were involved in

    other activities and consultations, either in

    Addis Ababa or in their constituencies, and

    so were not available or meetings. In

    addition, the level o political activity in the

    areas visited on both visits meant that the

    visibility and profle o the team was

    unortunately enhanced. This may have

    aected the degree o candidness and

    comort levels o some interviewees. Intwolocations,theleveloftension

    between protagonists had very recently

    erupted into violence, which meant that

    levels o suspicion, ear, and anxiety were

    high. Thereore, communities and ocials

    did not eel able to discuss issues openly

    while ocial investigations were underway

    (Aar and Oromiya). Fortunately, the team

    was able to address this constraint in the

    second phase. Accesstosomestakeholdersandcertain

    geographic areas aected by conict were

    also dicult and limited, as they were

    outside the project areas. The key point here

    is that the fndings o the analysis cannot be

    extrapolated beyond the areas visited during

    the feld work.

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    3.1 Key trends in Somali Region

    As BRIDGES is a pilot project, the consortium

    and donors have been interested in better

    understanding how the context is changing in

    Somali Region, the nature o the main trends

    that impact on or reect changes in peoples way

    o lie, and how conict dynamics are positioned

    within these changes. The trends described

    below were identifed by stakeholders during

    discussions, and to some extent, this inormation

    is supported by the literature. Many o these

    trends are inter-related and reinorce each other

    as dr ivers or consequences o other changes.

    3.1.1 Demographics

    Population growth was noted as a major actor

    impacting on al l aspects o lie, but perhaps its

    most signifcant aspect is the increasing

    concentration and rapid rural-to-urban

    population shit taking place. The main reasons

    or this movement appear to be improving

    transport, communication, electricity, and other

    inrastructure, as well as the wish to go to

    school, access services, or search or employmentopportunities. People elected as kebele, woreda,

    and regional representatives also move their

    amilies to town, and there were pastoral

    drop-outs and bored youths who also move

    looking or a dierent way o lie. This trend was

    also putting pressure on social support

    mechanisms within the kinship and clan system.

    At the personal level, this impacted tremendously

    on amilies in town, with demands or assistance

    rom rural relatives to look ater children

    wishing to continue their schooling.

    3.1.2 Livelihoods

    Pastoralists noted declining access to rangelands

    and increasing arming and land enclosure.

    Interestingly, both agro-pastoralists and those

    relying only on agriculture previously were

    diversiying and had an increasing number o

    animals to look ater. This placed increased

    pressure on the grazing areas surrounding, orclose to, land being used or agriculture.

    Restrictions on mobility were aecting

    3. THE CONTEXT

    pastoralists as changes in land use, or in some

    cases in security, were impacting on seasonal

    access to water and pasture. More extreme

    climatic variations were consistently reported,

    and attributed to climate change, aecting

    agriculture and quality o grazing. This is a

    complex subject and hard data that documents

    changes and impact o alterations in weather

    patterns at the micro-level is not available.

    Changes in livestock ownership patterns,

    commercialization, and composition are also

    aecting mobility and which types o grazing are

    accessed (Aklilu and Catley, 2010). A good

    example o this encountered in the feld was the

    increased number o trade camels moving to

    Babile market, which has increased the use oBabile Elephant Sanctuary or pasture.

    3.1.3 Changes in the governance environment

    There were contradictory changes reported

    concerning the governance environment and the

    generalizations outlined here are not necessarily

    reectiveofthesituationinallplaceslocal

    situations varied depending on the personnel

    involved. On the positive side, there wasincreasing decentralization o government unds

    down to the woreda level, which allowed or the

    possibility o ar greater accountability and

    transparency in the utilization o unds and other

    resources. Coupled with this trend was the

    increasing capacity o government at lower levels

    as sta became better qualifed and were drawn

    rom a younger generation with dierent

    aspirations, expectations o the world, and

    understandings o their jobs. Technical sta were

    said to be increasingly recruited on the basis o

    their knowledge and qualifcations. Government

    sta also noted that there had been a recent trend

    o increasing party discipline, leading to

    increased government eectiveness. Some

    inormants described this trend in relation to

    spaces or alternative views and pluralism within

    government.

    Possibly as a consequence o the ethnic ederal

    system, the clan-based approach or apportioningrepresentation and political power was said to be

    reinorcing an increasingly politicized ethnicity.

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    Some inormants argued that this was currently

    the only realistic method to ensure political

    power-sharing during the transition to a more

    democratic political system, providing checks

    and balances through this social association.

    Other inormants argued that because clans are a

    social system o organization, distinctions

    between majority and minority viewpoints

    become expressed through geographical

    coverage, strength, and wealth (also see

    Bradbury, 2009).

    While ormal government was becoming

    stronger in these historically peripheral areas,

    there was also a simultaneous, declining

    inuence o traditional customary institutions insome clans, which had implications or the

    capacity o communities to manage conicts as

    well as the cohesion o the community. The

    importance o the traditional institutions varied,

    being less inuential in the urban areas and more

    inuential in the rural environment. This is

    expected given the need or social insurance in

    areas where the state is less strong and capable o

    providing services. Similarly, clan cohesion in

    urban centers was reducing at a aster rate in themelting pot o multiclan populations, and as

    individual agendas and the inuence o

    competition or political power aected internal

    clan dynamics. This was reected in the

    increasing lack o clarity around who was

    authorized to represent a clans perspectives as a

    spokesperson and the variety o messages that

    were expressed as ormal positions.

    3.1.4 Changes in other social dynamics

    Discussion o religious trends was also a sensitive

    issue given the regional inuence emanating

    rom the situation in Somalia, the Yemen, and

    the Middle East. Concerns regarding possible

    linkages between Islam and instability and

    insurgency in Somali Region, coupled with the

    past presence o groups such asAl Itihadwith

    their religious motivations, increased sensitivity.

    This despite the changes that have taken place in

    the region, such as: the changed relationshipbetweenAl Itihadand the Ogaden National

    Liberation Front (ONLF), with the latter

    distancing themselves rom Islamic agendas; as

    well as changes in the name, orm, and way that

    Al Itihadconducts itsel, including its relationship

    with the government o Ethiopia. As a result,

    opinions and perceptions were guarded in

    discussions and provided mixed messages. Most

    people were o the opinion that the avor o

    Islam was changing and moving away rom the

    Sunni schools o Islam (in particular, the Sharaf

    School) mixed with traditional belies, towards

    the more conservative Middle Eastern Salaf or

    Wahabi interpretations.2 They were also o the

    opinion that the social environment was

    becoming increasingly religious, with people

    becoming more devout and the actual practice o

    Islam increasing (e.g., more people prayingregularly together at the work place). Small

    indicators such as the more common use o an

    Islamic rame o reerence and Islamic terms

    within peoples speech were also reported.

    An interesting debate was also the use and

    inuence okhatacross the region. It appears as

    though its use is declining in urban

    environments (also see CHF International, 2006)

    but possibly increasing in rural areas. The urbandeclineifitisindeedhappeningwas

    associated with increasing religious practices in

    young educated people, as some considered use

    okhatto be un-Islamic. In rural areas,

    inuencing actors may be increasing transport

    services expanding to more remote villages.

    3.2 Forces shaping the history o conict in

    the Somali Region

    The Somali Region has been beset by

    competition and conict between dierent

    groups since time immemorial. Contributing

    actors that have inuenced the history o

    conict in the region include the legacies o

    European colonialism and the geo-politics o the

    Cold War, as they were expressed in Arica. The

    Somali areas o the Horn o Arica have always

    been o strategic importance to the countries o

    the region, and the ormation o colonial

    boundaries ensured that Ethiopia, Kenya, andDjibouti all had substantial Somali populations

    living outside o Somalia itsel (including

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    Somaliland, Puntland, and southern Somalia).

    Thereore, the countries have been inextricably

    linked, and this is especially true o the

    relationship between Ethiopia and Somalia.

    During the period o Imperial rule in Ethiopia,

    at least two specifc events shaped the current

    conict dynamics in Somali Region. In 1935,Italy attacked Ethiopia rom Eritrea, and, partly

    in response, members o the Somali Issa clan

    were recruited and armed in Somaliland.

    However, the Issa then attacked the Aar on the

    Allegedhi plain, to gain access to the Awash

    River or their livestock. This area is still under

    contention now. The other event occurred

    during the 1970s and was, reportedly, the

    deliberate poisoning o Issa wells by the

    Ethiopian army resulting in l ivestock and human

    deaths and the Issa and Oromo becoming

    enemies (Catley and Iyasu, 2010). These events

    reect the deep historical roots o inter-tribal

    conicts and clan dynamics, which, over time,

    were exacerbated by trends such as landenclosure, commercial use o land, and the

    changing political environment. Conict has

    continued to the present day with sporadic but

    explosive violence as well as smaller dr ip3

    deaths and incidents such as livestock raiding.

    Some o these incidents have a distinctive pattern

    and are relatively predictable.

    Table 3: Timeline o conict-related events in and around Shinile Zone

    (Source: Catley and Iyasu, 2010)

    Time period Events

    Early 1900s Migration o Oromo Ittu into Mieso rom western Hararghe highlands, to access

    grasslands or livestock production. Ittu were mainly pastoralists at this time.

    Construction o the Djibouti-Addis Ababa railway, with Issa rom Djibouti

    employed as workers and guards who later occupied areas around the railway in

    what is now Shinile Zone.

    Imperial Government allocates around 500 ha o land in Mieso to two private investors orEarly 1930s cultivation and livestock production; large pasture lands are enced. Although

    armed guards used to protect the area, Ittu and Issa collaborated to destroy the

    arms and raided the animals.

    October 1935, Italy attacked Ethiopia rom Eritrea and Italian Somaliland. The

    Issa were recruited by the Italians and received modern arms and training, which

    theyusedagainsttheAfartocontrolpartsoftheAllighediplainakeygrazing

    resource or livestock and with access to the Awash River.

    Imperial Government gives concessions to oreign and domestic investors along the Awash

    1960s River or commercial irrigation, mainly cotton, without consultation orcompensation to the Aar. Some Aar leaders also appropriate land or irrigation.

    Pastoralists lose access to large stretches o the river and dry season pastures, with

    impacts on livestock.

    Imperial Commander o armed orces in eastern Ethiopia encourages Oromo and Aar to

    1970-74 attack the Issa; gains rom livestock raids distributed to raiders.

    Some Issa youth let the country. Both Issa and Aar very badly aected by drought

    and amine, without much assistance rom government. Inant mortal ity o

    615/1000 recorded among Issa during the 1974 amine (Seaman et al., 1978). Issa

    wells were reported to be deliberately poisoned by army, with livestock and human

    deaths; led to Issa and Oromo becoming enemies.

    (continued on the next page)

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    Time period Events

    Socialist 1974 land reorm with all land under state ownership. Landlords were dispossessed

    Mengistu and land instead allocated to Ittu, leading to a growing trend or private enclosure

    1974-1991 o land, i.e., the Ittu became more agropastoral. The Issa resisted the expansion o

    cultivation, e.g., organized attacks during the planting and harvesting seasons totry to secure extensive communal grazing land.

    Siad Barre regime in Somalia trains the Western Somalia Liberation Front (WSLF)

    in preparation or invasion o Ethiopia. Issa who had previously ed Ethiopia were

    organized by Hamud Farah. In 1977 they cooperated with Siad Barre in the war

    launched against Ethiopia and rejoined clan members in Ethiopia to fght against

    the Oromo and Aar, pushing deeper into Aar areas. Although Ethiopia repels the

    invasion in 1978, with Aar support, the Issa occupy settlements along the main

    Djibouti road, Gadamaitu and Adaitu. As well as trade and contraband, the Issa use

    the settlements as entry points or livestock movements urther north into Aar.

    The period is characterized by supply o automatic weapons. The Oromo Ittu were

    supplied by the Ethiopian government; Somalia and Djibouti supply the Issa.

    In 1984 the Ogaden National Liberation Front (ONLF) is established, with leaders

    drawn rom the WSLF.

    EPRDF and Formation o the Somali Regional State, bordered by Oromiya and Aar Regions,

    Regional but with borders in key areas let undefned, e.g., the western edge o Shinile Zone

    Autonomy and Aar Region.

    From 1991

    to 2000 Somali-Oromiya issuesOromiyaandSomaliregionstojointlyadministerMieso woreda, but a dispute emerges over control o Bordede, a customs and tax

    collection point connecting the eastern region to the center o the country.

    Although an administrative dispute between regions, there was continued violence

    between the Issa and Ittu. Somali Region later claims that 21 kebeles, including

    Bordede, should al l within its borders. These events led to a reerendum in

    November 2004, which allocated 20/21 o the contested kebeles to Oromiya. As a

    result the Issa undertook indiscriminate retaliatory attacks on non-Somalis, to

    punish the ethnic groups that avoured Mieso administration under Oromiya.

    Many people were displaced or lost assets (Ahmed Shide, 2005). Up to 2005,

    conict intensifed, with requent incidents o indiscriminate kil lings when ederal

    army not present in the area.

    Increasing Issa attacks to prevent Ittu use o grazing areas. Ittu expansion o

    cultivated land supported by land tenure policy which avored private use o land

    or cultivation; urther supported by agricultural development policies c.

    supportive property rights or communal grazing land.

    Ittu increasingly disarmed, e.g., due to government concerns about their support

    to the Oromo Liberation Front. Issa more dicult to disarm due to their mobility

    and cross-border access, and within a context o weak control o frearms

    prolieration in the wider region. This led to imbalance in terms o physical power,

    and made the Ittu more at risk o large-scale or commercial raiding. Issa able to

    (continued on the next page)

    Table 3: Timeline o conict-related events in and around Shinile Zone(continued)

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    Time period Events

    sell raided stock at local markets or move them across border to Djibouti to avoid

    repossession. Income rom sales partly invested in better weapons.

    As conict reaches the level o territorial expansion by government entities (the

    regions) and dispute between regions or resources, customary institutions less ableto overcome conict.

    Aar-Somali regioncontinuedconictsbetweentheAfarandIssa,essentially

    resourced-based and around control o grazing resources and access to the Awash

    River. The Aar-Shinile Zone border remains unclear and Issa acquire a third

    settlement, Undoo, along the Djibouti main road. The occupation o the three

    settlements becomes a specifc and intractable point o dispute between the two

    regional governments.

    1988-1991Somalia civil war and overthrow o Siad Barre. The sel-declared

    independent Republic o Somaliland is established in the northwest; the onset oprotracted political instability and humanitarian crises in the south.

    1991-1992civil war in Djibouti linked to the representation o the Aar in the

    Issa-dominated Djibouti government.

    1998-2000Ethiopia-Eritrea war over disputed border, ollowed by long-

    running tensions to present day and proxy support rom Eritrea to insurgency

    groups in Ethiopia.

    2001-2005 The 9/11 terrorist attacks in the US in 2001 lead to shits in the oreign anddevelopment assistance policies o major aid donors, towards aid or security.

    Somalia increasingly perceived as harboring Islamic undamentalists.

    The US establishes the Combined Joint Task Force (CJTF) in Djibouti in early

    2003 as part o counterterrorism measures; in Ethiopia, activities are conducted

    around Dire Dawa (adjacent to Shinile Zone), Gode, and other areas.

    Somaliland holds multi-party elections in December 2002 ollowed by presidential

    elections in April 2003. A stable system o government continues to evolve which

    uses traditional orms o social and political organization with Western-style

    institutions o government (Bradbury et al., 2003). Somaliland is not recognized

    internationally.

    2006-2010 The Transitional Federal Government in Somalia increasingly under pressure rom

    the militar ized Islamic Court Union. Ethiopia views the rise o Islamic groups as a

    threat to national sovereignty and Ethiopian army moves into Somalia in 2006 to

    support the TFG.

    In April 2007 the ONLF attacks a Chinese-run oil feld in Abole, Somali Region,

    kil ling approximately 65 Ethiopians and nine Chinese nationals. A large-scale

    counterinsurgency operation is launched by the Ethiopia, with military operationsocusing in Fik, Deghabur, Warder, Korahe, and Gode Zones, and related

    restrictions on humanitarian agencies.

    Table 3: Timeline o conict-related events in and around Shinile Zone(continued)

    (continued on the next page)

    EPRDF and

    Regional

    Autonomy

    From 1991

    to 2000(continued)

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    Time period Events

    In June 2008, military clash between Eritrea and Djibouti; French Foreign Legion

    and CJTF stil l present in Djibouti.

    Ethiopian army ocially starts to withdraw rom Somalia in January 2009.

    Shinile ZonenewconictbetweenIssaandagropastoralHawiyain2009overinformal

    designation o Mulu town as the administrative center o Mieso-Mulu woreda (Mercy

    Corps, 2009b). Mulu is located in the Hawiya area. Access o Issa to Mieso livestock market

    curtailed and was still restricted in March 2010 (also see section b. below).

    Negotiations continue between Aar and Somali regional governments over the

    border demarcation; Aar rejects proposal or the Issa-occupied settlements along

    the Djibouti road to be designated a special woreda under Aar Region.

    Plans announced to improve the road rom Djibouti via Dewale, through ShinileZone. This would create a main highway or Djibouti-Ethiopia trac through

    ocial Issa areas.

    In recent times, since 1992, Ethiopia has

    intervened in Somalia to greater or lesser extents

    trying to inuence power dynamics and, at times,

    ensure that Islamists or those with aspirations to

    control the Ogaden are weakened. Most recently

    the Ethiopian army entered Somalia and had a

    presence in Mogadishu or approximately twoyears (2007-2009), supporting the Transitional

    Federal Government (TFG). During the late

    1970s and early 1980s, the Somali Salvation

    Democratic Front (SSDF) and the Somali

    National Movement (SNM) used Ethiopia as a

    base or insurgencies into Somalia, ollowing

    repression ater the Ogaden war. In turn, Somalia

    has at times made territorial claims on the Ogaden

    region o Ethiopia as well as the Somali-occupied

    Northeastern Province o Kenya, with the aim oorming a Greater Somalia. Somalias claims to

    the Ogaden led to the Ogaden war o 1977-78,

    the legacy o which is stil l very much evident and

    inuences clan dynamics to this day in the Somali

    Region. For example, the Aar complain that

    some o the roots o the current troubles between

    them and the Issa are a direct consequence o

    movements o people at the end o the Ogaden

    war. According to the Aar, the Issa who had

    entered traditional Aar lands during the war

    ailed to return to their own areas, thereby

    creating the disputes over control o land up to the

    Awash River.

    The Somalis in the region are predominantly

    pastoralists, and many observers have noted that

    over the past hundred years or so, pastoralists

    needs have not been reected or well represented

    in national policy, or protected in legislation. In

    the Somali context, there are many

    contradictions between a centralized, or even areasonably decentralized state, and a pastoral

    culture that create the conditions or conict

    (Bradbury, 2009). Regional international

    relations also play a role in shaping orces on the

    ground. At the higher level, Egypt and its Arab

    all ies have seen Somalia as a counterweight to

    Ethiopian regional control and its power over the

    waters o the Nile. The long-running and bitter

    conict between Eritrea and Ethiopia has also

    inuenced dynamics in the peripheral areas oEthiopia, particular in Gambella, Somali

    Region, and the southern areas where the

    Oromo Liberation Front (OLF) were active, with

    Eritrea prosecuting its war through proxies.

    3.3 Current patterns and cultures o

    governance that impact on the conict

    dynamics

    The ethnical ly-based ederal system o

    government in Ethiopia has been a unique

    approach and bold endeavor in Arica,

    attempting to address the ethnic diversity o a

    Table 3: Timeline o conict-related events in and around Shinile Zone(continued)

    2006-2010(continued)

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    large population within a state constitution and

    ramework. Interpretations around its intent are

    varied and depend on perspectives. This

    governance system and the way that it operates

    in practice has, like all systems, its pros and cons.

    On the one hand, it allows or the expression o

    cultures and reects cultural norms and diering

    ways o doing business across the country, to beincorporated under a national umbrella. At its

    best it can be seen as a system that enables the

    large and diverse ethnic groups, encompassed

    within the country o Ethiopia, the optimum

    opportunity to determine directions and govern

    themselves at the regional level, within a broader

    system.

    In Somali Region, the overriding cultural

    imperative that imposes itsel on society and

    dominates power relationships at the regional

    level is the clan structure. In order to ensure that

    marginalization and the creation o a disgruntled

    section o society are limited, ormal systems o

    political representation could enable, directly or

    indirectly, a system o clan-based proportional

    representation. Should such a system evolve, it

    would strengthen the clan hand and encourage

    a culture whereby clans believe that they have

    entitlements and rights to resources and

    opportunities based purely on their clanmembership. Such a system would undermine a

    culture o meritocracy, whereby, or example,

    the best person or a job is appointed and would

    undertake that appointment or the broader good

    o all, no matter what their clan. This system,

    should it exist, may also risk the al location o

    senior government jobs and ministr ies becoming

    a continuous juggling act, aimed at ensuring that

    the balance o power between the clans is

    roughly maintained and no one eels excluded. Itwould require attention to two urther variables,

    the numbers o appointments rom the clans and

    the careul distribution o the dierent ministries

    given their relative importance, budgets, and

    relationships with ederal government.

    Thus in certain situations, state-building and the

    interests o the state and peace-building at local

    levels could be contradictory processes that

    operate against each other. Although the state

    may provide security and law enorcement,within the context o regional power relations it

    may also try to maintain certain ethnic groups

    (within the state) at a disadvantage or o

    balance. These groups may be regarded as a

    threat to central control, based on perceived or

    actual involvement in resistance to the state, and

    because they may also have experienced the state

    as an instrument o oppression.

    Similarly and linked to the above point, in theevent o direct or indirect support to clan-based

    representation, it might not be in the states

    interest to allow individuals to build up a strong

    power base. In turn, this would lead to instability

    because o a high turnover o senior government

    ocials and the short-term perspectives o these

    ocials. These arrangements would hinder the

    development o long-term institutional memory,

    and provide incentives or individuals to

    maximize personal and clan benefts as rapidly as

    possible. There have been approximately twelve

    Regional Presidents appointed in the Somali

    Region since the overthrow o the Derg,

    compared to the three or our Presidents

    appointed in each o the other regions over the

    same time period.

    At the woreda level in Somali Region, a system

    o proportional representation would create a

    situation in which the largest majority clan

    within a woreda would obtain most o the keypositions available. This in turn would encourage

    clans to claim ownership o lands and, where

    possible, ensure dominance in terms o physical

    numbers and so urther increase their political

    power and access to resources. This situation

    would become particularly apparent when

    administrative boundaries were disputed

    between regions due to the mixed ethnicity o

    the population. For example, i an area was

    populated by approximately 50% Oromos and50% Somalis, then both regional governments

    could claim the right to administer the area. One

    way to address these claims would be via a local

    reerendum, organized by a ederal body, and

    ensuring that voting was ree and air. The

    oversight o such a process would also need to

    monitor unusual inuxes o people into one area,

    which would potentially increase the number o

    voters on that side. Any actual or perceived

    unairness in the voting arrangements could have

    long-term implications or peace anddevelopment, with people opting not to live in

    areas governed by an administration that was

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    perceived to hold power ollowing an unair

    process. There might also be knock-on eects in

    other areas, with people becoming reluctant to

    engage in new reerendums.

    Under ethnic ederalism, and perhaps many

    other systems o ormal governance, the overlay

    o administrative boundaries onto a clan/tribalstructure within a broadly pastoralist region can

    work against traditional systems o tolerance and

    mutual sharing o resources. This is because

    control o the land and its resources, and a

    strong physical presence, ensures political

    representation and power which in turn, allows

    or the power over resource allocation. The

    ability to resolve boundary disputes is also

    constitutionally hampered as, although the

    original creation o regional state borders was a

    ederal decision, reshaping o the borders

    depends on agreement between regions and such

    agreement can be dicult to reach (Vaughan and

    Tronvoll, 2003).

    Figure 1. Somali Region o Ethiopia

    A urther element o the clan dynamics in Somali

    Region is the huge importance o the Ogadeni clan

    and how they are governed. The Ogadeni clan is

    the largest in the region and has elements that

    support the ONLF, with their respective woredas

    being the arena where the insurgency is being

    played out. The ederal government has taken great

    care to ensure that important posts at the regionallevel, and increasingly at the ederal level, are

    occupied by Ogadeni people to demonstrate that

    the clan is able to participate ully in the national

    governance structure. This undermines any

    positions that the ONLF may take regarding the

    extent o their political marginalization and also

    allows the government to reach out more positively

    to the diaspora who may be supporting the ONLF,

    be it fnancially or morally. Given the size and

    isolated nature o Ogadeni areas, plus the strict

    access control by the Ethiopian government, it is

    dicult to gauge the extent to which government

    appointees o Ogadeni origin are able to represent

    the needs o their constituents.

    (Source: UNOCHA)

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    4.1 Assessment fndings and broad conict

    trends

    This analysis can be considered as a snapshot o the

    conict situation in specifc areas o Somali Region

    over the past ew months. Undoubtedly there are

    dynamics pertinent to each conict that require

    more time (and trust rom inormants) to uncover.

    Based on both the October 2010 and February

    2011 consultations, the overall situation in Shinile

    Zone in early 2011 was quite tense. Many people

    were weary rom the hostilities o the past ew

    years, and despite relatively low but persistent levels

    o violence, they were somewhat relieved by the

    uncertain reduction in open conict. Morepositively there appears to be progress with the

    peace process between the Hawiye and Issa in the

    Zone, with an agreement reportedly being signed

    between the Ugas (traditional leaders) o the two

    clans and the content o the agreement starting to

    be disseminated at the community level. However,

    in all places visited in the Shinile Zone, an

    underlying nervousness about the uture was

    evident, and the risk o urther conict seemed to

    be high. It is worth noting, however, that the tragicand relatively large-scale battles are easily recalled,

    whereas the persistent drip o killings (one or two

    people at a time), sadly, seems to be an almost

    accepted condition, except at the local level,4 and

    does not attract the same kind o attention. For this

    reason, it was dicult to ascertain whether the

    situation was actually getting better or worse. In

    contrast, the situation in Adher Zone was more

    stable and, in general, people were not so

    concerned about the possibility o conict, except

    in the area o Shakiso where a latent border conict

    exists.

    During the analysis we classifed the range o

    conicts based on their underlying causes (type,

    structural, and proximate causes) to identiy patterns

    o conict and any linkages between them and their

    relationship with education. A number o striking

    observations were deduced, as detailed below.

    The undamental drivers o conict are changing:Conicts arise rom a number o contributing

    actors, oten operating simultaneously. While

    many o the actors in the Somali Region have

    remained constant over time, there have been

    signifcant changes in the way that they are

    perceived, and in their relative importance.

    Stakeholders reported that the primary cause o

    conicts has changed. In the past, protagonists

    explained conict by reerence to the need to access

    resources such as grazing and water. While resource

    access issues are still important proximate actors

    and triggers, an underlying cause o conict has

    now become the ownership o these resources, rather

    than simply their use and access to them. In turn,

    ownership is partly determined by ormal

    institutional arrangements, e.g., government

    policies and legislation. In the most serious recent

    conicts in the areas visited, the drivers o conictwere land ownership and related governance issues.

    Impact on education: The number o schools

    consistently and directly aected by conict in the

    project areas appeared to be low. This was

    unexpected given the overall level o violence that

    was evident in Shinile, and to a lesser extent, in

    Adher. It appeared that conict was not one o the

    defning actors that inuenced accessibility, levels

    o enrolment, or retention o students, as explainedurther below. However, one important caveat is

    the situation in the areas that are subject to the

    ONLF insurgency movement that were not visited.

    Long-term approach: Within the context o the

    education sector and its ability to transorm

    conict, a long-term approach is required in the

    Somali Region that aims at shaping the broader

    social environment positively, given that specifc

    causes o the conicts observed are not within the

    direct realm o education. To this end and in order

    to eect change as rapidly as possible, education

    programs should adopt a saturation approach to

    those aected by conict and address the needs o

    youth, women, and elders, as well as government

    institutions, in peace education.

    The legacy o the Ogaden war: The analysis revealed

    how the Ogaden war caused a prolieration o arms

    and the disruption o lives and the displacement o

    people into new areas outside o their previoustraditional range. This continues to cause tensions

    and violence in some parts o the region.

    4. THE CONFLICTS OF SOMALI REGION

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    Politicization o ethnicity: The majority o recent

    serious conicts have a strong ethnic dimension

    due to the politics o ethnicity. Governance

    systems, and especially the issue o regional state

    boundaries, suraced as a dominant theme when

    considering conict causality and potential

    solutions.

    Conict conduction: The resolution or temporary

    abeyance o hostilities between two antagonists can

    provide an opportunity or one or both to

    concentrate their attentions on a third party or

    other conict instead.5 In Somali Region, the

    picture and data are not comprehensive or accurate

    enough to consider whether this conict

    conduction is an issue. However, it was noted bysome inormants that pressures on one clan

    boundary were impacting on relationships, land

    ownership, and resource access at the interace with

    a dierent clan. For example, the pressure rom the

    Issa moving north and creating tensions along the

    Aar border then spills over, and the Aar at times

    then press on the Oromos (Kariyu tribe) as an

    involuntary coping mechanism to access grazing

    (Catley and Iyasu, 2010). When some conicts are

    very active, this can also have the opposite eect oreducing the intensity o another conict. For

    instance, it was noted that the AarOromo

    conict reduced in intensity as the IssaHawiye

    conict, coupled with its relationship to the

    Oromos, had increased in intensity.

    The urbanrural relationship: An interesting

    alternative orm o conict conduction is the

    interaction between clans and its expression in rural

    and urban environments. One inormant in Jijiga

    called this experience reerred pain and others

    agreed with the general eect when describing

    conict. They observed that tensions between clans

    might be expressed as, a cold war taking place in the

    towns and cities while a hot war takes place outside o the

    towns. They also noted that violence in rural areas

    was aected, and sometimes instigated (although

    specifc examples were not given), by leaders and

    the political dynamics in the urban environment.

    The converse inuence rom rural areas to the

    urban environment was not an issue. This is mostlikely because tolerance and the ability o two

    competing clans to live alongside each other within

    a town, without tensions being expressed violently,

    is inuenced by dynamics such as the presence o

    security orces, a dilution eect o the issue with

    other clans, and people all around to soten and

    buer the interace between antagonistic clans.

    There is also the common interest in ensuring

    continued access to the resources that a amily

    needs, such as health, education, etc. This dynamic

    deserves more attention and observation to

    understand what is occurring and how

    programming in either the towns or outside o

    them can then inuence the conict dynamics and

    prevent the expression o conict through violence.

    Bufer zones: Another notable eature o Shinile

    Zone was that conicting communities outside othe urban environment were hardly interacting at

    all. Instead there were buer zones created, and

    these were either imposed by the ederal military

    along the AarSomali Region borders, or

    alternatively, sel-imposed. These buer zones were

    coping mechanisms, introduced as conict

    reduction methods to prevent violence where

    conicts are too hot and the environment

    consequentially not secure. As short-term

    temporary methods they are important, but need tobe reviewed within the context o longer-term

    solutions and reconciliation eorts. Buer zones

    positively reduce violence and interactions between

    conicting parties. However, they may also reduce

    opportunities or peace-building eorts and the

    potential positive inuence o education programs,

    by reinorcing segregation and distance and

    inhibiting communication between the conicting

    parties. This means that suspicion and ill-inormed

    attitudes about the other side are dicult to

    break down, and the possibility o building a new

    trust and relationship based on experience in school

    (or instance,) impossible. Attitudes will be

    inormed by societal inuences rom outside

    school, with no alternatives presented through the

    school place.

    4.2 A typology o current conicts

    There are various ways to classiy conicts in the

    Somali Region. Some academics and practitionersclassiy conict by way o lie types, e.g., herder-

    herder, agro-herder, etc. (Hagmann, 2003). An

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    alternative approach considers the dierent root

    causes o conicts. However, this option can be

    problematic because most conicts have multiple

    causes, and these usually have a constantly

    changing emphasis and relevance to the conict.

    The way o lie approach (as with most models)

    has the drawback that it can oversimpliy the issues

    at stake.

    For these reasons, our analysis used a broad

    approach to classiy conict that also indicates the

    likely (or potential) scale and severity o the

    conict. It also provides an intuitive implication o

    the degree to which there is a likelihood o

    escalation o conict ollowing an initial trigger

    occurrence.

    There are three broad types o conict that are

    signifcant in the region using a two-layered basis

    or initial typology classifcation. There is an

    inevitable overlap between these and some conicts

    all into more than one classifcation.

    Theprimarylayerofclassicationisthatofthe

    major identity o the actors or protagonists.

    Thesecondarylayeristhatofthegeographical

    reach o the conict.

    Afurtherlayercanbeincludedconsideringthe

    basic ways o lie o the conicting parties.

    Their livelihoods also shape the potentialresponses that can be brought about by

    education.

    Other threads that dierentiate the conicts include

    the current key inuences shaping them, but as

    these are changing (or dierent acets become more

    important at dierent times), they are not used as

    defnitive dierentiators within a classifcation

    system.

    4.3 Structural and proximate actors

    inuencing conict

    The main contributing actors or proximate

    causes o the dierent conicts encountered in

    the two zones can be grouped under three

    main headings:

    Politicalandgovernanceconcerns- Political opportunism and the

    exploitation o ethnic and cultura l

    dierences

    - Competition between and breakdowns

    in the relationships between Regional

    Administrations

    - Unresolved border or land ownership

    disputes between neighboring groups

    - Unclear political wil l to administer

    justice or mediate disputes

    - Limited capacity to manage disputes

    peaceully

    - Biased access to and al location o

    government resources and projects rom

    regional sectoral bureaus on a clan basis

    (perceivedbutnopracticalexamples

    were given)6

    Economicandenvironmental

    concerns

    - Competing land use systems: pastoralistversus cultivation

    - Competition over scarce grazing lands

    or water points (with increased pressures

    caused by drought)

    Socio-culturalconcerns

    - Erosion o customary laws and the

    authority o elders and chies

    - Deliberate margina lization o minority

    ethnic groups

    7

    - Incompatibil ity in the systems ound

    between dierent sets o customary

    laws,8 exacerbated by limited

    communication channels between the

    ethnic groups

    For the purposes o creating Tables 4 and 5,

    these causes have been summar ized under a

    ew major headings to al low ease o navigation

    in the Tables.

    1. Inter-clan Conicts

    I. Those with international regional

    dynamics

    II. Those with inter-regional Ethiopian

    dynamics

    III. Those within the Somali Region

    2. Intra-clan

    3. State versus Insurgents

    Box 1: Fundamental types o conict in

    the Somali Region

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    Table 4: Typology o conicts in Shinile Zone

    (continued on the next page)

    Protagonists Geographic Confict Livelihood Policy and Main Drivers o

    Extent o Confict Institutional the Conficts

    Infuences Environment9

    State Versus International OLFGoE N/A Identity

    Insurgents Political margina

    Inter-clan/ Regional AfarIssa Pastoralist/ - Weak mechanisms for resolving Land ownership ethnic Group International Pastoralist regional state border disputes. Access to resourc

    Dynamics - Weak police and judiciary. (in part icular the

    - Clan system undermining meritocracy. Awash River)

    - Social norms governing the acceptance Administrative bo

    of violence. Identity

    Issa Pastoralist/ - Contradictory legal/policy arrangements Land ownership

    Gedabursi Agro-pastoralist governing land and water ownership. Access to resourc

    - Tendency for land control to be vested

    in those who farm, rather than those

    who graze livestock.

    - Weak police and judiciary.

    - Governance system that supports

    clan-based politics.

    - Social norms governing the acceptance

    of violence.

    Inter-Regional AfarIssa Pastoralist/ - Weak mechanisms for resolving Land ownership

    Ethiopia Pastoralist regional state border disputes. Access to resourc

    Dynamics - Weak police and judiciary. (in part icular the

    - Governance system that supports Awash River)

    clan-based politics. Revenge/payback

    - Social norms governing the acceptance Administrative bo

    of violence.

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    Table 4: Typology o conficts in Shinile Zone (continued)

    (continued on the next page)

    Protagonists Geographic Confict Livelihood Policy and Main Drivers o

    Extent o Confict Institutional the Conficts

    Infuences Environment

    Inter-clan/ Inter-Regional HawiyeIssa Agro-pastoralist/ - Contradictory legal/policy arrangement s Land ownership

    ethnic Group Ethiopia Pastoralist governing land and water ownership. Access to resources

    (continued) Dynamics - Tendency for land control to be vested in Administrative powe

    (continued) those who farm, rather than those who Political involvemengraze livestock. Revenge/payback

    - Weak mechanisms for resolving regional

    state border disputes.

    - Weak police and judiciary.

    - Governance system that supports

    clan-based politics.

    - Social norms governing the acceptance

    of violence.

    AfarOromo Pastoralist/ - Contradictory legal/policy arrangements Land ownership

    (W. Hararghie) Agro-pastoralist governing land and water ownership. Resource use

    - Tendency for land control to be vested in and access

    those who farm, rather than those Livestock theft

    who graze livestock. Administrative bord

    - Weak mechanisms for resolv ing regional Revenge/pay back

    state border disputes.

    - Weak police and judiciary.

    - Governance system that supports

    clan-based politics.

    - Social norms governing the acceptance

    of violence.

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    Table 4: Typology o conicts in Shinile Zone (continued)

    (continued on the next page)

    Protagonists Geographic Confict Livelihood Policy and Main Drivers o

    Extent o Confict Institutional the Conficts

    Infuences Environment

    Inter-clan/ Inter-Regional IssaOromo11 Pastoralist/ - Tendency for land control to be vested in Land ownership

    ethnic Group Ethiopia (W.Hararghie) Agro-pastoralist those who farm, rather than those who Access and use

    (continued) Dynamics graze livestock. of resources

    (continued) - Weak mechanisms for resolving regional Political opportunstate border disputes. and exploitation

    - Weak police and judiciary. of ethnic

    - Social norms governing the acceptance differences

    of violence. Administrative bo

    Hawiye Agro-pastoralist/ - Weak mechanisms for resolving regional Political opportun

    Oromo Agro-pastoralist state border disputes. and exploitation

    - Weak police and judiciary. of ethnic

    - Social norms governing the acceptance differences

    of violence.

    Within the Issa Pastoralist/ - Tendency for land control to be vested Land ownership

    Somali Gedabursi Agro-pastoralist in those who farm, rather than Access to resourc

    Region those who graze livestock. Administrative po

    - Weak police and judiciary.

    - Social norms governing the acceptance

    of violence.

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    Table 4: Typology o conficts in Shinile Zone (continued)

    Protagonists Geographic Confict Livelihood Policy and Main Drivers o

    Extent o Confict Institutional the Conficts

    Infuences Environment

    Inter-clan/ Inter-Regional Hawiye Agro-pastoralist/ - Contradictory legal/policy arrangements Land ownership

    ethnic Group Ethiopia Issa Pastoralist governing land and water ownership. Access to resources

    (continued) Dynamics - Tendency for land control to be vested Administrative powe

    (continued) in those who farm, rather than Political involvementhose who graze livestock. Revenge/payback

    - Weak mechanisms for resolving

    regional state border disputes.

    - Weak police and judiciary.

    - Governance system that supports

    clan-based politics.

    - Social norms governing the acceptance

    of violence.

    Intra -Clan Localized Gedabursi Agro-pastoralist/ - Contradictory legal/policy arrangements Land ownership

    within Somali Gedabursi Agro-pastoralist governing land and water ownership.

    Region - Weak police and judiciary.

    - Social norms governing the acceptance

    of violence.

    IsaaqIsaaq Agro-pastoralist/ - Contradictory legal/policy arrangements Land ownership

    (Jijiga12) Agro-pastoralist governing land and water ownership. Land enclosure

    - Weak police and judiciary.

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    Table 5: Typology o conicts in Adher Zone

    (continued on the next page)

    Protagonists Geographic Confict Livelihood Policy and Drivers o

    Extent o Confict Institutional the Conficts

    Infuences Environment13

    Inter-clan/ Regional Degodia Pastoralist/ Access to resourc

    ethnic Group International Garre Pastoralist Livestock theft

    Dynamics (Kenya is the

    international

    dynamic)

    Inter-Regional Hawiye Agro-pastoralist/ Weak mechanisms for Political opportun

    Ethiopia Oromo Agro-pastoralist resolving regional state the exploitation of

    Dynamics border disputes. differences

    Boundary dispute

    Magarre Agro-pastoralist/ Weak mechanisms for resolving regional Boundary dispute

    Dhaweed/ Agro-pastoralist state border disputes. Identity linked to

    Oromo

    Within the Sheikash Agro-pastoralist/ Governance systems that support Identity

    Somali Region Ogaden Pastoralist clan-based politics. Power representa

    DuubeAfgab Agro-pastoralist/ Tendency for land control to be vested Land

    Pastoralist in those who farm, rather than those

    who graze livestock.

    Afgab Pastoralist/ Contradictory legal/policy arrangements Water points

    Garumarre Pastoralist governing land and water ownership.

    AfgabGerrire Agro-pastoralist/ Contradictory legal/policy arrangements Water Points

    Agro-Pastoralist governing land and water ownership.

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    Table 5: Typology o conficts in Adher Zone (continued)

    Protagonists Geographic Confict Livelihood Policy and Drivers o

    Extent o Confict Institutional the Conficts

    Infuences Environment13

    Inter-clan/ Within the Afgab-Dhaweed Agro-pastoralist/ Contradictory legal/policy arrangements Political power

    ethnic Group Somali Region Agro-Pastoralist governing land and water ownership. Resources

    (continued) (continued) Tendency for land control to be vested Livestock theft

    in those who farm, rather than those whograze livestock.

    Governance system that supports

    clan-based politics.

    Intra -Clan Localized Gulbul Agro-pastoralist/ Tendency for land control to be vested in Revenge

    within Somali Gulet Agro-Pastoralist those who farm, rather than those

    Region (Afgab who graze livestock.

    sub-clans )

    Other Localized within Wildlife Pastoralist/ Contradictory legal/policy arrangements Resources

    National Park Community Pastoralist governing land and water use and

    (Babile) ownership.

    Weak mechanisms for resolving regional

    state border disputes.

    Along Riverine Resett lement Pastoralist/ Tendency for land control to be vested in Land

    Areas Agriculturalist those who farm, rather than those who Water

    graze livestock.

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    4.4 Conict eatures and dierentiators

    There are a number o issues that aect the

    nature o dierent conicts and the potential

    programming responses. This section discusses

    these issues with an education programming

    response in mind. The issues are inter-related

    and sometimes mutually reinorcing, and,thereore, should be considered as a bundle o

    ingredients.

    Seriousness and intensityconict status: How

    hot, active, or serious the conict is can be an

    indicator o whether it is appropriate or not to

    engage in implementing an education program.

    From a conict-reduction perspective, these

    serious types o conict might be a priority, and

    thereore the arena in which they occur should

    be targeted. It may also mean that those living in

    the conict area have their right to education

    constrained. On the other hand, very active

    conicts are likely to have a more signifcant

    negative impact on an education p