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Connecting Michigan for Health June 10, 2016 · How FHIR Can Help •FHIR Enabled Patient Matching – Current matching system have different scoring scales which makes interpretation

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Connecting Michigan for Health Patient Matching on FHIR

June 10, 2016

Adam W. Culbertson, M.S. HHS, Innovator-In-

Residence

Contact: [email protected]

•Background on Patient Matching •Challenges to Matching •Metrics For Algorithm Performance •Previous Algorithm Evaluation Work •Current Work with FHIR and Matching

Overview

Background on Matching

HIMSS © 2016

Patient Matching Definition

Patient matching: Comparing data from multiple sources to identify records that represent the same patient. Typically involves comparing varied demographic fields from different health data stores to create a unified view of a patient.

Identity Matching / Identity Resolution

Identity analysis:

link analysis, data mining

Identity resolution:

Merge/dedupe records

Identity matching Measure record similarity.

Search/retrieval

Attribute matching Compare name, DOB, COB, address, etc.

Identity data repository

Structured and unstructured data sources

Significant Dates in (Patient) Matching

A Framework for Cross-Organizational

Patient Identity Management

2015

Kho, Abel N., et al Design and

Implementation of a Privacy Preserving

Electronic Health Record Linkage Tool

HIMSS Patient Identity

Integrity

Grannis, et al Privacy and Security

Solutions for Interoperable Health Information

Exchange

2009

Joffe et al A Benchmark Comparison

of Deterministic and Probabilistic Methods for Defining Manual Review

Datasets in Duplicate Records Reconciliation

Dusetzina, Stacie B., et al Linking Data for Health

Services Research: A Framework and Instructional Guide

HIMSS hires Innovator In Residence (IIR) focused

on Patient Matching

Audacious Inquiry and ONC

Patient Identification and Matching Final Report

2014

HIMSS Patient Identify Integrity Toolkit,

Patient Key Performance

Indicators

Winkler Matching and

Record Linkage

2011

Newcombe, Kennedy, & Axford

Automatic Linkage of Vital Records

1959

Dunn Record Linkage

1946

Soundex US Patent 1261167

1918

Fellegi & Sunter A Theory of

Record Linkage

1969

Grannis, et al Analysis of Identifier Performance Using a Deterministic Linkage

Algorithm

2002

Campbell, K et al A Comparison of Link Plus, The Link King, and a “Basic”

Deterministic Algorithm

RAND Health Report

Identity Crisis: An Examination of the Costs and Benefits of a Unique Patient Identifier for the US Health Care System

2008

Challenges to Matching

Availability of Data Attributes

% Availability of Attributes Over Region

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Data Quality

HIMSS © 2016

• Data Quality is a Key – Garbage in and Garbage out

• Data entry errors increase data matching complexity – Various algorithmic solutions to address these, not perfect

• Types of errors: – Missing or Incomplete Values – Inaccurate data – Fat finger errors – Information is out of date – Transposed names – Misspelled names

Data Quality

• Transposition errors

• Mary Sue vs Sue Marie

• Smitty, John vs John, Smitty

• Names change over time

• Marriage, Divorce

• More than one way to spell name

• Jon, John

• Data entry

– Fat-finger = typo, transposition, etc.

• Phonetic variation

– Double names may not be given in full

Data Quality

• Lack of transparency in how patient matching algorithms perform

• Varied claims in algorithm performance • Need greater transparency in system performance • Need reporting on match rates in terms of precision and

recall • Good news! There are well established metrics for

algorithm performance

Metrics for Algorithm Performance

Metrics for Algorithm Performance

• Ideal outcome of any matching exercise is correctly answering this one question hundreds or thousands of times, Are these two things the same thing?

– Correctly identifying all the true positives and true negatives while minimizing the number of errors, false positives and false negatives

Patient Matching Goal

• True Positive- The two records represent the same patient

• True Negative- The two records don't represent the same patient

Patient Matching Terminology

• False Negative: The algorithm misses a record that should be matched

• False Positive: The algorithm creates a link to two records that don’t actually match

Patient Matching Terminology

EHR A EHR B Truth (Gold Standard)

Algorithm Match Type

Jonathan Jonathan Match Match True Positive

Jonathan Sally Non-Match Non-Match True Negative

Jonathan Sally Non-Match Match False Positive

Jonathan Jonathan Match Non-Match False Negative

Evaluation

Good

Bad

Data Match Status Result

EHR A EHR B Truth (Gold Standard)

Algorithm Match Type

Jonathan Jonathan Match Match True Positive

Jonathan Sally Non-Match Non-Match True Negative

Jonathan Sally Non-Match Match False Positive

Jonathan Jonathan Match Non-Match False Negative

Evaluation

Bad

EHR A EHR B Truth (Gold Standard)

Algorithm Match Type

Jonathan Jonathan Match Match True Positive

Jonathan Sally Non-Match Non-Match True Negative

Jonathan Sally Non-Match Match False Positive

Jonathan Jonathan Match Non-Match False Negative

Evaluation

Bad

Truth

Algorithm

Positive Negative

Positive True Positive False Positive

Negative False Negative True Negative

Evaluation

Recall

Precision

Precision = True Positives / (True Positives + False Positives)

Recall = True Positives / (True Positives + False Negatives)

• Calculation – Precision = True Positives / (True Positives + False

Positives)

– Recall = True Positives / (True Positives + False Negatives)

• Tradeoffs between Precision and Recall – F-Measure

Evaluation

Evaluation of Algorithms

• Dataset University of Texas

• ~2.6 Million Records

• Randomly Select 20K records for Manual Review

– Records reviewed by two reviewers for match status

• Data split into

– 10,000 Training & 10,000 Test

Evaluation of Algorithms

• Then Run Three Open Source Algorithms

– FEBRL

– FRIL

– CHOICE MAKER

• Run for Baseline and Optimized

Run Algorithms

• Freely Extensible Biomedical Record Linkage system (FEBRL) developed since 2002 between Australian National University in Canberra and New South Whales Department of Health in Sydney, Australia.

• Has Data Cleaning Module • Hybrid Model

– Probabilistic – Fuzzy string matching – Rules

FEBRL

• Fine-Grained Records Integration and Linkage Tool (FRIL) developed between the CDC and EMORY University 2008

• Used to link birth defects monitoring program with data and birth certificate data

• Hybrid – Machine Learning – Probabilistic Matching

FRIL

• Developed by the New York Department of Public Health, used to link records for immunization and lead registries

• Hybrid System

– Machine Learning

– Probabilistic Matching

– Rules

Choice Maker

A B C

Precision 99.3% 98.6% 99.8%

Recall 76.0% 67.9% 88.7%

F-score 0.86 0.80 0.95

Results

Results

HIMSS © 2016

• Only one data set

– Algorithms will perform differently on different data sets

• Short period of time to tune the algorithms

• Used simple models

• Simplest use case for matching

Limitations to Algorithm Evaluation

Limitations to Algorithm Evaluation

• Differences in data input format

• Differences in output formant

• Needed to write code to compare the output

• FEBRL only outputs matches so difficult to calculate false positives

Patient Matching on FHIR

Simplest Model

Client Server

Need a Way to Incorporate Probabilistic Matching

FHIR

• FHIR Necessary But not Sufficient for Interoperability • No Magic Bullet for Matching

– Currently many different matching solutions work well – No standardized solution to allow uniform integration into Health

IT enterprises. • Challenge

– FHIR great solution for connection, structure • Provides more than one way to do things

– Need ability to do complex matching and entity Resolution • Matching Complex Challenge

– Dirty Data – Blocking – Schema Matching – Computational Complexity – Lack of Unique Identifiers or Identifiers

Patient Search Parameters

http://www.hl7.org/implement/standards/fhir/patient.html#search

How FHIR Can Help

• FHIR Enabled Patient Matching – Current matching system have different scoring scales which

makes interpretation of meaning difficult when using different systems.

• 0-1, 0-100%, -4000-40000 – Standardize patient matching score

• -1 – 1, 0-100%, 0-1, (Probable, Possible, Certainly Not), Others • Testing of Patient Matching Systems

– Fit for Use • Algorithms tested on data that is representative of its use case.

– Add validation stamp to returned FHIR profiles • Move towards a specification for patient matchers that allows them to be

interchanged like SMART on FHIR applications

Use Case

• A patient arrives at a provider

• The provider wants to query an eMPI to see if there are existing records for this person

What’s missing to satisfy the use case?

• The user can’t specify min/max matching scores on the returned results

• There is a desire for uniformity on the search score that is returned

– Additionally, information on system validation and training would be helpful in interpreting the results.

Sample Query

• SearchPerson: POST https://pme.mybluemix.net/mdmcloud/pme/search/person

– {

"person": { "legalName": [ { "lastName":"Smith", "givenNameOne":"Tiger" } ], "businessAddress": { "addressLineOne": "12 Main street", "residenceNumber": "22", "city":"Toronto", "provinceState": "Ontario", "zipPostalCode": "M5V 6D8", "country": "Canada“ } } }

https://www.ng.bluemix.net/docs/#services/probabilisticmatch/index.html accessed Feb. 18th 2016

Sample Response

• { "searchPersonResult": [ { "matchType": “CERTAIN", "score": "95", "sourceId": { "primaryKey": "101", "source": "MDMSP" } }, {

• "matchType": "POSSIBLE_MATCH", "score": "94", "sourceId": { "primaryKey": "102", "source": "MDMSP" } },

https://www.ng.bluemix.net/docs/#services/probabilisticmatch/index.ht

ml accessed Feb. 18th 2016

Search Using FHIR

• Advanced Search Abstraction – GET

[base]/Patient?query=name&parameters... • Example

– GET [base]/Patient?given=Robert& \ family=Smith&birthdate=1990-01-01

• This can be leveraged to create a patient matching system interface

Potential Extensions to Search • Single Threshold

• GET [BASE]/Patien?given=Robert&Family=1990-01-01&/score?minscore>=90

• Dual Threshold • GET [BASE]/Patien?given=Robert&Family=1990-01-

01&/score?minscore>=90&maxscore>=95 • Could then cut off matches automatically as non-

match, match, or needs further review

• ONC and MITRE are working on a test harness for patient matching systems

• This test harness specifies a FHIR based interface for patient matching systems

• The interface we specified could be used more broadly than the test harness. It could be a way to provide a FHIR based way to integrate patient matching systems into healthcare enterprises.

A Segway to FHIR Enabled Matching

Test Harness Integration with Record Matching Systems • Desired End State

– FHIR–based interaction between test harness and record matching systems

– Test Harness can facilitate the comparison of match results for the same data set from multiple record matching systems

• Challenge

– Diversity of Record Matching Systems • Variety of mechanisms to ingest data • Variety of mechanisms to select, and sometimes adjust,

matching criteria • Variety of ways to express matching results

Test Harness Integration Scenarios

csv

Record Matcher Adapter 3

Test Harness

FHIR Server

REST API

FHIR Messages

Record Matching System

Message Transform

Record Matcher Adapter 1

Record Matching System

Data Transform

Record Matcher Adapter 2

Record Matching System

csv csv

Data Transform

Record Matching System

FHIR Messages FHIR Messages FHIR Messages FHIR Search FHIR Search FHIR Search FHIR Search

Questions?