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Copyright 2018. The NPD Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This presentation is proprietary and confidential and may not be disclosed in any manner, in whole or in part, to any third party without the express written consent of NPD. Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era November 2018

Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era … · The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2 Three pillars of a 4k streaming future 4k UHD TV adoption …exited

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Page 1: Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era … · The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2 Three pillars of a 4k streaming future 4k UHD TV adoption …exited

Copyright 2018. The NPD Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This presentation is proprietary and confidential and may not be disclosed in any manner, in whole or in part, to any third party without the express written consent of NPD.

Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era

November 2018

Page 2: Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era … · The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2 Three pillars of a 4k streaming future 4k UHD TV adoption …exited

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2

Three pillars of a 4k streaming future

4k UHD TV adoption

…exited the early adopter stage and is quickly penetrating the living room

Fast, reliable broadband

…and mesh routers are enabling 4k video streaming and quicker downloading

100s of 4k titles available

…benefit UHD TV owners who are more likely to be digital video users

Page 3: Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era … · The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2 Three pillars of a 4k streaming future 4k UHD TV adoption …exited

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 3

4k UHD TV adoption exited the early adopter stage & is quickly penetrating the living room

Page 4: Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era … · The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2 Three pillars of a 4k streaming future 4k UHD TV adoption …exited

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 4

Over four-in-ten say they are likely to use a 4k UHD TV Consumer interest spikes to well over half of Millennials age 18-34

42% 45% 40%

56%

44%

32%

Total Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+

4k UHD TV “Very/Somewhat Likely to Use” (August ’18)

Source: Connected Intelligence, Device Ownership Trends & Profile Report

Page 5: Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era … · The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2 Three pillars of a 4k streaming future 4k UHD TV adoption …exited

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 5

4k UHD TVs reached an early majority customer base

Source: Connected Intelligence, Device Ownership Trends & Profile Report

13.5%

34%

2.5%

34%

16%

Innovators Early Adopters

Early Majority

Late Majority

Laggards

August ‘18, % of U.S. internet HHs

4k UHD TV

Homes, 20%

Page 6: Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era … · The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2 Three pillars of a 4k streaming future 4k UHD TV adoption …exited

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 6

Over 1 in 10 (13%) living room TVs are 4k UHD

Source: Connected Intelligence: TV Ownership Trends Report

19% 16% 14%

77% 75% 72%

4% 9% 13%

Aug '16 Aug '17 Aug '18

TVs Installed in Living Rooms (August ’18)

4k UHD TV

HD TV

SD TV

Page 7: Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era … · The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2 Three pillars of a 4k streaming future 4k UHD TV adoption …exited

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 7

Migration to 4k UHD Is driving up the size of installed TVs

36

44

54

SD TV HD TV 4k UHD TV

Installed TV Screen Size in Inches (August ’18)

Source: Connected Intelligence, Device Ownership Trends & Profile Report

Page 8: Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era … · The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2 Three pillars of a 4k streaming future 4k UHD TV adoption …exited

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 8

50”, 55” and 65” displays dominate 4k UHD TV sales

4k UHD TV Unit Sales by Size (YTD-September 2018)

40” class, 15%

50” class, 21%

60” class, 3%

55” class, 36%

65” class, 19%

70”+ class, 6%

Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service

Page 9: Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era … · The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2 Three pillars of a 4k streaming future 4k UHD TV adoption …exited

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 9

Fast, reliable broadband and mesh routers are enabling 4k video streaming and quicker downloading

Page 10: Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era … · The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2 Three pillars of a 4k streaming future 4k UHD TV adoption …exited

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 10

63% of 4k UHD TV HHs have enough bandwidth to stream video in 4k

<15Mbps, 23%

15-24Mbps, 14%

25+Mbps, 63%

Observed Broadband Speeds (Among 4k UHD TV HHs)

Source: Connected Intelligence, Device Ownership Trends & Profile Report

Some services support 4k streaming at 15-24Mbps, increasing the HH base

Page 11: Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era … · The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2 Three pillars of a 4k streaming future 4k UHD TV adoption …exited

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 11

4k streaming capable HHs are reaching an early majority

Source: Connected Intelligence, Device Ownership Trends & Profile Report

13.5%

34%

2.5%

34%

16%

Innovators Early Adopters

Early Majority

Late Majority

Laggards

4k Streaming Capable, 13%

August ‘18, % of U.S. internet HHs

4k TV Homes,

20%

Page 12: Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era … · The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2 Three pillars of a 4k streaming future 4k UHD TV adoption …exited

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 12

Mesh is installed in 2m homes & unit sales are up 63% Y/Y in Q3

1% 1% 1%

6% 9%

11%

16%

22% 21% 23%

27%

Q1 '16 Q2 '16 Q3 '16 Q4 '16 Q1 '17 Q2 '17 Q3 '17 Q4 '17 Q1 '18 Q2 '18 Q3 '18

Mesh Router System Unit Sales

Mesh Wi-Fi System Unit Sales Mesh as a % of router unit sales

Source: NPD Retail Tracking Service

Mesh enables better streaming, 4k & faster digital video downloads

Page 13: Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era … · The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2 Three pillars of a 4k streaming future 4k UHD TV adoption …exited

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 13

Major brands entered the retail market & ISPs are now distributing mesh systems

Source: NPD Retail Tracking Service

Q1'16

Q2'16

Q3'16

Q4'16

Q1'17

Q2'17

Q3'17

Q4'17

Q1'18

Q2'18

Q3'18

Mesh Router System Unit Share

Other

eero inc.

Linksys

NETGEAR

Google

Start-up

Big brands

ISPs

May ’18, Comcast xFi

Pods launched nationwide

Page 14: Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era … · The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2 Three pillars of a 4k streaming future 4k UHD TV adoption …exited

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 14

100s of 4k titles available benefit UHD TV owners who are more likely to be digital video users

Page 15: Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era … · The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2 Three pillars of a 4k streaming future 4k UHD TV adoption …exited

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 15

4k UHD TV users are more likely to buy and rent videos

24% 23% 22%

13%

18%

14% 12%

8%

BD purchased/own iVOD EST cVOD

4k UHD TV User’s Video Purchase & Rental Behavior (Incidence of Activity, August ‘18)

4k TV Users U.S. internet Pop

Source: Connected Intelligence, Device Ownership Trends & Profile Report

Page 16: Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era … · The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2 Three pillars of a 4k streaming future 4k UHD TV adoption …exited

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 16

Hundreds of 4k UHD titles are available to buy and rent

available to purchase or pre-buy digitally*

576

4k UHD titles

have been available to rent digitally since inception*

4k UHD titles

418

available to rent on-demand from DirecTV**

4k UHD titles

415

have been available to buy since inception***

4k UHD BD titles

424

* Source: Warner Bros. as of 10/22/18 ** Source: AT&T as of 10/25/18

***Source: NPD Videoscan as of 10/20/18

Page 17: Convergence of 4k UHD TV Adoption & the Streaming Video Era … · The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2 Three pillars of a 4k streaming future 4k UHD TV adoption …exited

The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 17

The future is airing in ultra-high definition

4k UHD streaming video is reaching an early majority audience that is engaged with digital video

20%

13%

50”–65”

100s

of homes have a 4k UHD TV

of homes are 4k UHD streaming capable

is the new living room TV size bringing benefit to 4k UHD content

of 4k UHD titles are available to buy and rent