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Page 1: Copper Mining and Processing Sector · Copper mine production is forecast to continue rising, with a CAGR of 1.62% over 2015-2019, according to BMI Research. Most of this growth will

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Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Produced by:

Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Copper Mining and Processing

SectorChile

July 2015

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Table of Contents

I. Copper Mining and Processing Sector Overview

1. Copper Mining and Processing Sector Highlights

2. Economic Importance

3. Economic Importance (cont’d)

4. Sector Forecast

5. Sector Competitiveness

6. Drivers of Sector Growth

7. Production

8. External Trade

9. Main Trading Partners

10.Foreign Direct Investment

11.Employment and Wages

12.Number of Enterprises

13.Taxes and Contributions

14.Government Policy

II. Copper Mining Sector Overview

1. Copper Mining Sector Highlights

2. Chile in Global Copper Mining Market

3. Copper Mine Production

4. Copper Mine External Trade

5. Copper Mine Resources

6. Copper Mine Reserves

7. Copper Mine Fuel and Electricity Consumption

III.Copper Smelting Sector Overview

1. Copper Smelting Sector Highlights

2. Chile in Global Copper Smelting Market

3. Smelted Copper Production

4. Smelted Copper External Trade

5. Smelted Copper Emissions

6. Smelted Copper Fuel and Electricity Consumption

IV. Copper Refining Sector Overview

1. Copper Refining Sector Highlights

2. Chile in Global Copper Refining Market

3. Refined Copper Production

4. Refined Copper External Trade

5. Refined Copper Sales

6. Refined Copper Fuel and Electricity Consumption

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Table of Contents

V. Main Players

1. Top M&A Deals

2. M&A Activity, 2013-2014

3. Corporación Nacional del Cobre de Chile (Codelco)

4. Corporación Nacional del Cobre de Chile (Codelco) (cont’d)

5. Minera Escondida Ltda.

6. Minera Escondida Ltda. (cont’d)

7. Compañía Minera Doña Inés de Collahuasi SCM

8. Compañía Minera Doña Inés de Collahuasi SCM (cont’d)

9. Anglo American Sur S.A.

10.Anglo American Sur S.A. (cont’d)

11.Minera Los Pelambres S.A.

12.Minera Los Pelambres S.A. (cont’d)

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I. Copper Mining and Processing Sector Overview

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Copper Mining and Processing Sector Highlights

Copper mining and processing is one of the traditional economic sectors of the Chilean economy. Despite the favourable international copperprices and the increase in domestic production over 2009-2014, negative factors such as high costs and reduced productivity limited the real CAGRof the sector to only 0.94%, well below the real CAGR of 4.6% for the overall economy. Nonetheless, as of 2014, the sector still accounts for 10%of the country’s GDP and for over 50% of total export, and its output is expected to continue growing in the near term. Moreover, its huge weight onChile’s trade balance allows a partial reduction of international price shocks, as the exchange rate of the country is directly tied to news in thecopper industry. Similarly, as the country is the largest copper producer in the world, potential reductions in output will be partially offset byincreases in global prices.

Sector Overview

Recent Developments

Forecast

Challenges

The decline in the international copper prices since 2014 has further impaired the growth of the domestic sector. This phenomenon is associatedwith the slowdown of the Chinese economy, the recent reforms in the financial sector of the Asian country and the appreciation of the U.S. dollar. Inrecent past, the direct costs of domestic producers have risen rapidly, but this was offset by the high-copper-price environment over 2010-2013.Under current conditions, the profitability of the sector has dwindled and Chilean copper mining companies are thereby preparing contingencymeasures. These include rationalisation of investment plans, reduction of consultancy and workers’ transportation expenses, contract renegotiationwith service providers and optimisation of equipment utilisation.

According to the most recent estimates by the Chilean Copper Commission (COCHILCO) from July 2015, despite the recent fall in copper prices,copper mine production is expected to reach 5.9mn tonnes in 2015, 2.3 up y/y. Moreover, the new mines entering into operation (i.e. the MinistroHales field operated by Chilean miner Codelco) are more than compensating the lower production from older deposits deriving from decrease ofore grades. Although current prices are low, they do not threaten the closure of active or about-to-open operations, which translates into expectedincrease in copper mine production in the forthcoming years. However, long-term projections are more uncertain. In order to increase or evensustain the current levels of production, large investments are needed, which will only materialise in the appropriate scale if copper prices rebound.

Chilean copper industry faces many structural challenges. The main handicap for the sector are the high energy costs, with electricity and dieselaccounting for about 14% and 6% of total operating costs of the industry in 2013, according to COCHILCO. Chile currently relies on expensive oilimport to cover its energy deficit, while the development of additional electricity generation capacity, even for high development potential sourceslike hydropower, faces some difficulties as a result of growing opposition by environmentalists. In addition, water supply is expensive andchronically insufficient, as most of the water is brought from the sea and has to be desalinated. Finally, due to some deficiencies in the Chileaneducational system, there is a shortage of skilled labour, mostly engineers, but also IT professionals and mobile equipment operators.

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Economic Importance

Main Economic Indicators

National Statistics Institute (INE), Central Bank of Chile, World Bank, OANDA, CEIC

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Total Population (mn) 16.8 17.1 17.3 17.4 17.6 17.8

GDP, current prices (CLP trn) 96.4 111.0 121.3 129.0 137.0 147.2

GDP, constant prices (yoy change, %) -1.0 5.8 5.8 5.4 4.2 1.9

GDP per capita, current prices (USD) 10,142 12,682 14,511 15,245 15,732 13,649

Consumer Price Index (yoy change, %) -1.4 3.0 4.4 1.5 3.0 4.6

Copper Mining Gross Value Added,

current prices (CLP trn)11.6 16.4 16.1 14.6 13.6 14.7

Copper Mining Gross Value Added,

constant prices (% change)-0.4 0.4 -6.2 3.9 6.5 0.6

Copper Mining Gross Value Added,

current prices (% of total)12.1 14.7 13.3 11.3 9.9 10.0

Total Actual FDI Inflow Under Decree

Law 600 (USD mn)5,363.3 2,988.9 4,278.9 9,897.3 7,406.0 11,910.3

Actual FDI Inflow in Mining Sector Under

Decree Law 600 (USD mn)1,014.5 1,190.8 2,616.3 3,083.2 3,936.5 1,823.0

Actual FDI Inflow in Mining Sector Under

Decree Law 600 (% of total)18.9 39.8 61.1 31.2 53.2 15.3

Monetary policy rate (year-end, %) 0.50 3.25 5.25 5.00 4.50 3.00

Exchange rate USD/CLP (year-end) 499.8 462.0 519.2 478.3 525.1 605.8

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Comments

Source:

Economic Importance (cont’d)

Despite being one of the most relevant sectors in Chile, copper mining has been steadily losing pace in the past few years when compared to the

rest of the economy. The gross value added of the sector expanded at a real CAGR of only 0.94% between 2009 and 2014, compared with a much

stronger figure of 4.6% for the overall economy. There are many reasons that explain this sub-par performance. Besides 2011, which was a

particularly bad year due to unusually poor weather and a high number of labour strikes, medium and long-term factors like the gradual fall in

copper grades and rising costs of strategic supplies (i.e. energy and sulphuric acid) have been constraining the development of the sector. On the

other hand, GDP growth lately was led by the robust performance of the telecommunications and financial services sector.

GDP Composition by Industry (%) GDP and Copper Mining Value Added Real Growth Rate (%)

Central Bank of Chile, COCHILCO, CEIC

3.2% 2.9% 2.9% 2.8% 4.6%

10.8% 10.7% 10.9% 10.8% 10.6%

11.9% 11.7% 11.4% 11.2% 11.1%

74.5% 75.3% 75.6% 76.0% 73.7%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1 2015

Services &Government

Non-CopperMining & Industry

Copper Mining

Agriculture,Fishery andForestry

-1.0%

5.8% 5.8% 5.4%

4.2%

1.9%2.4%

-0.4%0.4%

-6.2%

3.9%

6.5%

0.6%

2.8%

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1 2015

GDP Copper Mining Sector

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Source:

Sector Forecast

Copper mine production is forecast to continue rising, with a CAGR of 1.62% over 2015-2019, according to BMI Research. Most of this growth willbe a result of past investments starting to bear fruit, i.e. projects in the Escondida Mine by Anglo-Australian miner BHP Billiton. However, there willbe a gradual slowdown in output over the next five years, given the fact that the current conditions in the copper industry are detrimental toinvestment: copper prices are getting lower; electricity generation capacity is inadequate and is pushing up energy costs, while the use ofdesalinated water as water supply, which is costly and energy consuming, will continue to be the norm due to environmental reasons. Althoughlabour costs are high compared to competing countries like Peru, the elevated unemployment rate (6.8% in Q1 2015) and the expecteddepreciation of the Chilean peso vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar will ensure a somewhat slower growth of real wages.

Copper Mine Production Evolution (thou tonnes) Copper Mine Production Growth Rate (%)

BMI Research, CEIC

5,974.0

6,093.5

6,191.0

6,283.8

6,371.8

2015f 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019f

3.0

2.0

1.6 1.5 1.4

2015f 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019f

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Sector Competitiveness

Investment Attractiveness Index*

Policy Perception Index (PPI)*

Best Practices Mineral Potential Index (BPMPI)*

Comments

Fraser Institute, - * Higher index corresponds to improved competitiveness

The Fraser Institute's Survey of Mining Companies is an annualpublication on the investment attractiveness of the mining sector indifferent countries. It evaluates 122 jurisdictions. The Policy PerceptionIndex (PPI), is a composite index that measures factors such as currentregulations, legal system, taxation regime, infrastructure, communitydevelopment, trade barriers, political stability, security, and labour andskills availability. It is normalized to a maximum score of 100. The BestPractices Mineral Potential Index (BPMPI) rates a region’s attractivenessbased on the perceptions of mining company executives of ajurisdiction’s geology, independent of policy restrictions, and itsmaximum possible score is 1. In 2014, Chile was the most attractivecountry for mining investment in Latin America, ranking 22th in the PPIindex and 6th in the BPMPI index.

83.578.9

71.976.5 77.2

56.950.4

45.3 43.149.3

2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013 2014

Chile Average Latin America

81.375.3

67.7 70.9 72.2

31.5 29.434.7 33.9 36.6

2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013 2014

Chile Average Latin America

0.85

0.81

0.75

0.800.81

2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013 2014

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Drivers of Sector Growth

COMEX* Refined Copper Prices (USD cents/lb.)

Average Copper Mining Grades in Chile (%)

China Industry Value Added Real Growth Rate (%)

Comments

Market Realist, COCHILCO, World Bank, Bloomberg Business - * Commodity Exchange of New York

On the supply side, the copper mining sector in Chile has been graduallylosing competitiveness due to declining copper grades over the last tenyears. Copper grade is the percentage of actual copper metal in aregular copper ore. Although the decline is a global phenomenon, the fallhas been considerable steeper in Chile compared to the world’s average,according to COCHILCO. On the demand side, copper prices have beenfalling since 2012, as a consequence of the slowdown in the growth rateof Chinese industry, the largest consumer of copper worldwide.Moreover, after the fraud investigation in China’s Qingdao port in June2014, banks restrained from operating with commodity financial deals, afinancial instrument used by metal importers to get access to cheap USDloans, which are re-lend to the Chinese real estate sector. This processwas artificially inflating copper demand.

235.4

342.5

400.5361.5

334.1312.0

266.2

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jan-Mar2015

9.9%

12.3%

10.3%

7.9% 7.8%8.4%

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

0.75% 0.75%

0.69%

0.72%

0.70%

0.69%

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Production

Comments

Smelted Copper Production Evolution (thou tonnes)

Copper Mine Production Evolution (thou tonnes)

Refined Copper Production Evolution (thou tonnes)

COCHILCO, Que Pasa Mineria, CSIRO, Market Realist, CODELCO

In recent years, smelted copper production has followed a downward

trend due to increased competition from Chinese and Indian

companies. Furthermore, costs for smelters have soared as a result

of expensive investments made to appease environmentalists, who

pressure the companies to curtail arsenic and sulphur dioxide

emissions. Moreover, refined copper production in Chile has shrunk

in the past few years in spite of strong international demand,

pressured by output decline from existing projects and lack of new

investment to offset it. On the other hand, copper mine production

has been quite robust due to recent increments in production capacity

of major fields like Escondida and Collahuasi.

5,394.4 5,418.9 5,262.8 5,433.95,776.0 5,749.6

2,411.9

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jan-May2015

1,522.3 1,559.8 1,522.3

1,342.4 1,358.3 1,356.2

570.9

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jan-May2015

3,276.6 3,243.93,092.4

2,902.0 2,754.9 2,747.2

1,080.7

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jan-May2015

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External Trade

Chile External Trade in Copper Products* (USD bn)

Import Segmentation By Product, 2014 (%)

Export Segmentation By Product, 2014 (%)

Comments

UN COMTRADE, Observatory of Economic Complexity, - * Exports (FOB), Imports (CIF); HS codes: 2603, 74

Although copper mining accounted for only 10% of the country’s

GDP in 2014, the sector was responsible for 50.7% of total exports

in current USD terms. This implies that the trade balance of the

country is highly sensitive to fluctuations in global copper price and

domestic output. However, this dependence has been gradually

diminishing in recent years (the share of copper in total export was

58.1% in 2010). This development is explained by faster-growing

export sectors like fruit and vegetables, which experienced the

highest nominal CAGR (10.3%) in export among the other

economic sectors for 2010-2014.

71.181.4 78.0 76.7 76.6

41.7 45.0 42.4 40.3 38.9

0.5 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Total Exports Copper Exports Copper Imports

Refined copper and copper alloys, unwrought 46.6%

Copper ores and concentrates

43.2%

Unrefined copper; copper anodes for electrolytic refining

7.7%

Copper Wire1.3%

Others 1.2%

Copper ores and

concentrates78.4%

Copper tubes and pipes 5.8%

Copper tube or pipe fittings (for example, couplings, elbows,

sleeves) 4.1%

Copper bars, rods and profiles 1.9%

Others 9.9%

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Main Trading Partners

Copper Exports* by Destination in Value Terms, 2014 (%)

In 2014, China was the world’s largest consumer of

copper and the second biggest copper producer.

However, the output of the Asian country falls very

short of domestic demand. Chile, being the largest

mine copper supplier globally, partially fills this

structural gap. According to estimates of

COCHILCO, the share of China in the global copper

consumption will rise above 50% by 2025, which in

turn will increase the dependence of the Chilean

copper export on the economic performance of the

Asian country.

The fact that Peru is the world’s third largest copper

producer creates opportunities for a sizable intra-

sectorial trade between the two neighbouring

countries, valued at USD 398.7mn in 2014. On the

one hand, Chile imports from Peru mainly copper

ores and concentrates and tiny amounts of copper

bars, rods, profiles and wire. On the other hand,

Chile exports to Peru copper ores and concentrates,

copper wires and refined copper.

Copper Imports* by Source Country in Value Terms, 2014 (%)

Comments

UN COMTRADE, COCHILCO, CSIRO, - * Exports (FOB), Imports (CIF); HS codes: 2603, 74

China 37.6%

Japan 12.3%

United States6.1%

South Korea 8.5% India 6.3%

Brazil 5.4%

Others 23.9%

Peru 72.3%

Mexico 11.4%

China 5.7%

South Korea 3.6%

Brazil 1.6%

Spain 0.9%

Others 4.3%

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Source:

Foreign Direct Investment

Over the period 2009-2014, the mining sector was the largest recipient of FDI in Chile, under the Decree Law 600, except for 2009, when it rankedsecond after trade, and 2014, when it ranked fourth, behind industry, electricity, water & gas and trade. According to COCHILCO, the copper miningsector will receive total investments of USD 80.4bn over the period 2012-2020, with 46.2% of these being of foreign origin. Marcela Blazquez,spokesman of the Corporation of Technological Development on Capital Goods (CBC), attributes the recent fall in mining investment to theparalysation and postponement of several megaprojects due to energy, environmental and legal issues, besides the drop in copper prices over thelast two years. In that regard, in a special report in July 2014, CBC estimated a total mining investment (both foreign and domestic) of USD 33.5bnfor the 2015-2018 period, for projects only with a defined timetable, less than Peru’s investment portfolio for the same timeframe of USD 59.5bn.

FDI in Mining Sector Under Decree Law 600 (USD mn) FDI in Mining Sector Under Decree Law 600 (% of total)

Central Bank of Chile, COCHILCO, Corporation of Technological Development on Capital Goods (CBC)

18.9%

39.8%

61.1%

31.2%

53.2%

15.3%

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

181

10,9

86

9,66

8

9,49

7

440

12,0

271,042 1,191

2,6163,083

3,937

1,823

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Authorized FDI, Mining Actual FDI, Mining

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Source:

Employment and Wages

Despite its significant share in the country’s GDP, copper mining, being a capital-intensive industry, employs directly just 0.7% of the total workforcein the country. Nevertheless, the number of jobs expanded at a CAGR of 3.9% between 2009 and 2013, at a similar pace to the rest of theeconomy, thus keeping a constant share of total workforce. In turn, nominal wages in the entire mining sector expanded at a CAGR of 6.1% overthe 2009-2014 period, with an average inflation of just 3.3% in the same timeframe. As a result, in 2014, real wages were up 14.5% compared to2009. Most of this gain was derived from a series of labour strikes in 2011 and 2012, when copper prices were relatively high. Although thisincrease is significant, a more appropriate measure for the mining sector, who sells export products, are the nominal wages in U.S. dollar terms.These are only 11.1% up since 2009, mainly due to the depreciation of the Chilean peso.

Number of Employees in Copper Mining Sector Nominal Wage Index of Mining Sector and CPI* (year-end)

National Geology and Mining Service, INE, COCHILCO, Central Bank of Chile, - * Base year 2009=100

48.5

50.952.5

54.556.6

0.70 0.69 0.69 0.71 0.72

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Employed Persons in Copper Mining (thou)Share of Total Employed Persons (%)

102.

8

106.

3

114.

9

124.

6

129.

5

138.

6

99.5

102.

5

107.

0

108.

6

111.

9

117.

1

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Nominal Wage Index (units) Consumer Price Index (units)

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Source:

Number of Enterprises

According to the classification system of the National Geology and Mining Service (SERNAGEOMIN), small mining companies are those with less than 80employees and less than 200,000 worked hours per year, medium mining enterprises employ 80-400 people and have 200,000-1mn worked hours peryear, and large mining companies employ over 400 people and have more than 1mn worked hours per year. As of 2014, the number of large and medium-sized companies is 18 and 22 respectively, invariant since 2011. In the case of large copper mining companies, two are owned by 100% Chilean capitals,ten by 100% foreign capital and six by mixed capital. Most of the medium-sized companies are 100% Chilean. Foreign capital in both cases is of Peruvian,U.S., British, Australian, Canadian, Swiss and Japanese origin. As of May 2015, Chinese investment in Latin American copper mines has been focusedmainly in Peru (Las Bambas, Toromocho, El Galeno and Rio Blanco mines) and Ecuador (Mirador deposit).

Number of Enterprises in the Copper Mining Sector Copper Mine Production Segmentation by Company Size (%)

SERNAGEOMIN, SII, BMI Research

93.9%93.2%

92.4% 92.8% 93.3%

4.5%5.1%

5.8% 5.6% 5.2%

1.6% 1.6% 1.8% 1.6% 1.4%

88%

90%

92%

94%

96%

98%

100%

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Smallcompanies

Mediumcompanies

Largecompanies

2,146 2,1842,038

1,8701,763

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

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Taxes and Contributions

Taxes Paid by GMP-10* Private Companies (USD mn)

Share of Mining Companies in Fiscal Revenues (%)

Contributions of State-Owned Mining Companies (USD mn)

Comments

COCHILCO, CIECHILE, - * GMP 10: ten largest private copper mining companies operating in Chile as of 2001

Every company that operates in Chile is due to pay an incometax of 22.5% as of 2015. Foreign companies also have to payan annual tax rate on profit remittance, currently at 35%, or canchoose to pay a guaranteed fixed rate of 42% for a period often years.

Additionally, mining companies are obliged to pay a specificmining tax (royalty), which has a progressive variable ratebetween 0.5% and 14%. For copper mining companies withtotal annual sales of less than 50,000 tonnes, the rate iscalculated based on the revenues. Otherwise, it is calculatedover the operating income. Companies with exclusivededication to exploration are exempt from the royalty, and ifthey choose the fixed profit remittance tax, they have taxcertainty over a long timespan.

1,508

3,665

4,784

4,170

2,994 2,944

284792 643 442 356 309

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

GMP-10 Total Taxes Paid GMP-10 Gross Specific Mining Tax

2,977.0

6,030.4 5,989.4

4,120.4

2,868.8

2,234.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

13.7%

20.7%18.9%

14.1%

10.1%8.9%

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Government Policy

Mining

Concession

Policy

According to the Chilean Copper Commission (COCHILCO), the current mining concession system guarantees strong protection of propertyrights, but could potentially hinder exploration activities that are key for the sustainable development of the industry. The problem arisesbecause exploration concessions, which are of limited duration (two years), can be easily converted to production concessions, which onceobtained are of indefinite time duration. The latter cannot be terminated even if the beneficiary does not invest or execute mining activities.Statistics by COCHILCO show that areas with production concessions occupy more than 40% of the territory in the Northern regions (part ofit not being operated), with property increasingly being concentrated in few agents. Therefore, the share of small companies in the Chileanmining sector is relatively low, with the five largest players accounting for more than 50% of total exploration expenditure in 2013. Largeminers tend to favour brownfield exploration (i.e. exploration of zones adjacent to operational mines), whereas companies focused exclusivelyon exploration devote more resources to grassroot exploration (i.e. exploration of completely new areas). This reflects in a gradual reductionof the share of grassroot exploration from more than 50% of total exploration expenditure in 2005 to just about 35% in 2013.

Environmental

Regulation

Since 2010, the government has introduced a series of profound reforms in the environmental policy in order to comply with bothdomestic and international demands for reduction of the impact of mining operations on the environment and population’s health. Thegovernment created a whole new ministry, the Ministry of Environment (MMA) and two associated agencies, the EnvironmentalEvaluation Service (SEA) and the Superintendence for the Environment (SMA). The former is in charge of evaluating and approvingbusiness projects that pose environmental risks (i.e. copper mining operations), while the later is tasked to enforce the compliance withenvironmental policies by public and private agents. Since 2011, SMA has raised charges against 13 mining companies, founding sixof them guilty of severe environmental damage, and imposing fines for a total amount of CLP 24.5bn. In June 2015, Chilean minerMinera Esparta Limitada received by SMA the hardest possible sanction under the environmental regulation and was forced todiscontinue its operations.

Energy

Policy

Chile has a high dependence on imported fossil fuels for its energy generation, with around 87% of total energy consumption being suppliedby foreign energy sources. Thus, the price and supply of energy are very volatile, which has a considerable impact on energy-intensiveindustries, including copper mining. Although the country has unexploited conventional hydroelectric potential, several obstacles remain inplace, i.e. lack of dams nearby mining zones and resistance from local communities. Instead, the government has developed an ambitiousplan to promote the development of the non-conventional renewable energy sources (NCRE). The main objective of the plan, approved bythe Parliament in 2010, is to reach a 20% share of total energy production from NCRE sources by 2025. The government also introduced aseries of measures, including tax exemptions for the transport of energy from NCRE origin and a quota system that obliges electricitycompanies with more than 200MW of installed capacity to sell a minimum amount of energy originated from such sources. Moreover, thestate-owned company Production Promotion Corporation (CORFO) created a special credit facility, CORFO NCRE Credit, to promote accessto long-term financing for companies that generate or distribute this type of energy. So far, the development of NCRE seems on track with theplan, as the share of those energy sources in total energy production reached 10.9% in 2014, up from 7.3% in 2013.

CIRSO, Ministry of Environment, Superintendence for the Environment, Environmental Evaluation Service, COCHILCO, CORFO

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II. Copper Mining Sector Overview

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Copper Mining Sector Highlights

Sector

Development

Over the period 2009-2014, the combined production of copper concentrates and SX-EW cathodes expanded by a modest real

CAGR of 1.3%. However, this figure can be misleading, because SX-EW cathodes are both a mine copper product and a

refined copper product in the Chilean classification system. Therefore, the production of copper concentrates is a more

preferable indicator for the performance of the sub-sector. The latter expanded by a stronger real CAGR of 3.5% over 2009-

2014, increasing its share in total mine copper output from 60.7% to 67.6%. This better relative performance of the copper

concentrates segment is explained not only by market factors, but also by technical factors. For example, the Ministro Hales

integrated copper complex of Codelco, which became operational in 2013, still had start-up difficulties with its roaster as of

March 2015 (used to treat copper concentrates in order to make them ready for traditional smelters), which may have pushed

the company to export part of its concentrates.

Growth

Drivers and

Constraints

The main challenge for the copper mining sub-sector is the maturing of deposits, which impacts the cost structure of thecompanies in several ways: reduction in copper ore grades, hardening of the mineral and longer transportation distances. Allthese factors have increased the energy usage per unit of copper content by 14.7% for ore extraction and by 18.6% for theconcentration process over the period 2009-2014. Low copper prices, concerns about energy supply and environmentalists’litigation of mining projects like El Morro are also a handicap. However, Chile still holds the largest reserves in the world as of2014, and remains competitive in copper concentrates production. According to Mark Burton, Metal Bulletin’s copper editor, theMinistro Hales mine’s export of high arsenic copper concentrates to the Nchanga smelter in Zambia, showed that productionand export of such concentrates from Chilean mines remained profitable as of June 2015. The transaction was made despiteelevated treatment and refining charges (TC/RC), estimated at USD 200/20 per metric tonne, arsenic penalties of around USD100 per metric tonne, the shipment from Chile to the Durban port and the 2,500km road distance from Durban to the plant.

Forecast

According to the latest copper market report by COCHILCO from July 2015, mine copper production is expected to reach5.9mn tonnes in 2015, 2.3% up, and 6.1mn tonnes in 2016. These figures have been revised downwards from the previousestimates as a result of severe rainfalls in the North region of the country at the end of March 2015, when at least 13 largemines had to stop operations, due to interruptions in electricity supply, and around 90% of small mining companies in the regionwere affected. As a response to this situation, the Chilean government delivered emergency loans for USD 4.5mn to the smallminers from the region, and as of July 2015, 92% of these companies were operational again. Regarding long term projections,an academic study conducted by the Mining Strategic Research Centre from July 2015, outlined that Chile has the potential toreach 9.5mn tonnes of mine copper production by 2025, which implies a CAGR of 4.7% for the 2014-2025 period. However,Aurora Williams, the Minister of Mining, is less optimistic and expects a figure below 8mn tonnes for the same year, a visionshared by Alvaro Merino from the Chilean Mining Association SONAMI. The official forecast of COCHILCO, as of April 2015,stands at 7.5mn tonnes in 2024.

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Chile in Global Copper Mining Market

In 2014, Chile was the largest copper mine producer in the world by a wide margin, with a 31.1% share of global output. Furthermore, the countryhad six of the ten largest individual copper mines in the globe. Notwithstanding this dominant position in the present, the future of copper mining inChile is at a crossroad. Freeport-McMoRan, a competitor from the United States, has announced that by 2016 it would take over the place ofChilean state-owned Codelco as the world's largest copper producer. The mines of the latter are among the oldest in production and ores are fallingrapidly, a situation that will also be faced by the large private miners in Chile in the near future. However, the scarcity of copper deposits createsgood opportunities for consolidation, especially for Chilean companies, as a way to overcome the current problems and improve their financialstrength in order to sustain production. According to Bloomberg, in March 2015, there were talks between Chilean miner Antofagasta Plc andCanadian peer Teck Resources Ltd for a potential merger.

Top 5 Copper Mine Producers, 2014 (thou tonnes) Top 10 Copper Mines by Capacity, 2014 (thou tonnes)

International Copper Study Group (ICSG), United States Geological Survey (USGS), Euromoney, Bloomberg

400

430

443

450

450

450

490

520

790

1,050

Los Pelambres (Chile)

Taimyr Peninsula (Russia)

El Teniente (Chile)

Morenci (United States)

Antamina (Peru)

Codelco Norte (Chile)

Los Bronces (Chile)

Collahuasi (Chile)

Grasberg (Indonesia)

Escondida (Chile)

963

1,346

1,380

1,632

5,750

Australia

United States

Peru

China

Chile

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Copper Mine Production

Copper mine production has two main sub-products. On the one hand, there are the copper concentrates, an intermediate product in the pyro metallurgicalroute, obtained by flotation and usually containing around 20-40% copper. On the other hand, there are the SX-EW cathodes, the final product of thehydrometallurgical route, with a 99.9% concentration of copper. The latter process involves extracting copper from low grade oxide and sulphide oresthrough leaching and electrowinning. In the period 2009-2014, the share of SX-EW cathodes in total output has decreased from 39.3% to 32.4%. Accordingto Sergio Hernandez, vice-president of COCHILCO, this trend will continue in the future due to the fact that Chile is competitive in concentrate production,but not in smelting or hydrometallurgy, where China holds the advantage. Moreover, most of the mineral that is being extracted lately is not suitable for theSX-EW process. Despite this, Chile copper mine production is expected to reach 7.5mn tonnes by 2024, according to COCHILCO.

Copper Mine Production Evolution by Product (thou tonnes) Top 10 Copper Mines by Production, 2014 (thou tonnes)

COCHILCO, ICSG, Mineria Chilena

176.1

180.7

232.4

327.3

340.4

404.6

436.9

455.5

470.4

1,165.4

Spence

Esperanza

Andina

Radomiro Tomic

Chuquicamata

Los Pelambres

Anglo American Sur

El Teniente

Collahuasi

Escondida

2,117.5 2,088.5 2,024.8 2,028.8 1,932.9 1,861.8

734.0

3,276.9 3,330.4 3,238.0 3,405.1 3,843.1 3,887.8

1,677.9

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jan-May2015SX-EW Cathodes Concentrates

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Copper Mine External Trade

External Trade in Copper Ores and Concentrates* (USD mn)

Import Segmentation by Origin, 2014 (%)

Export Segmentation by Destination, 2014 (%)

Comments

UN COMTRADE, Observatory of Economic Complexity, COCHILCO, Gestion, - * Exports (FOB), Imports (CIF), HS code: 2603

Chilean export of copper ores and concentrates has expanded at a

CAGR of 5.2% in value terms over the 2010-2014 period, due to the

recent trend for export specialisation in low value-added copper

products. However, 2015 data from COCHILCO shows that bulk copper

exports (a classification that includes copper ores and concentrates plus

copper cements) are 23% down y/y in value terms and 5.3% down y/y in

volume for the period Jan-May 2015, with most of the decline being

attributable to the fall in copper prices. Regarding imports, there is a

steady growth in the last few years (CAGR of 10.4% over 2010-2014).

According to Peruvian newspaper Gestion, this boom in copper imports

from Peru is largely explained by the free trade agreement signed

between the two countries back in 2009.

13,753.6 14,533.7 15,952.7

16,883.1 16,816.9

446.1 426.9 376.8 399.4 661.8

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Exports Imports China 32.1%

Japan 27.2%

India 14.0%

Rep. of Korea7.9%

Brazil 5.0%

Spain 4.7%

Bulgaria 2.9%

Germany 2.2%

Others 4.0%

Peru 91.2%

Mexico 7.8%

Others 1.0%

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Source:

Copper Mine Resources

Copper reserves are deposits that have been discovered and whose profitability has been assessed. Resources include reserves,

discovered deposits that are potentially profitable and undiscovered deposits that are estimated by preliminary geological surveys. In 2013,

the United States Geological Survey (USGS) completed an assessment of the world’s copper resources located in two different kind of

deposits (porphyry and sediment-hosted stratabound) that together account for 80% of global supply. Identified copper resources were

estimated at 2.1bn tonnes, while undiscovered deposits amounted to 3.5bn tonnes. According to a study by the International Copper Study

Group (ICSG), 160mn tonnes of copper have been mined over the 2004-2013 period, whereas reserves have grown by 220mn tonnes.

Identified Copper Resources by Region, 2014 (%) Undiscovered Copper Resources by Region, 2014 (%)

International Copper Study Group (ICSG), United States Geological Survey (USGS)

South America39.0%

North America23.0%

North Central Asia 8.0%

Africa and the Middle East

8.0% Southeast Asia Archipelagos

6.0%

Eastern Europe and South Western Asia

6.0%

Western Europe 4.0%

South Central Asia and Indochina 3.0%

Others 3.0%South America

21.0%

South Central Asia and Indochina

15.0%

North Central Asia 14.0%

North America13.0% Southeast Asia

Archipelagos 9.0%

Northeast Asia7.0%

Eastern Europe and

Southwestern Asia 7.0%

Central America and the Caribbean

5.0%

Others 9.0%

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Comments

Copper Mine Reserves

As of 2014, Chile had the largest copper reserves in the world, with a 29.9% global share, followed by Australia, Peru, Mexico and the United States.

According to the 2014 annual report of Codelco, the company alone had 125mn tonnes of mineral resources, a hybrid definition that includes proven and

probable reserves plus geological resources with economic attractiveness and reasonable extraction feasibility. In the period 2010-2013, exploration efforts

made by Codelco allowed the discovery of new deposits. The most relevant is La Huifa Zone in the El Teniente division, with an estimated 200mn tonnes of

mineral and an average copper grade of 1%. Other recent discoveries include Los Sulfatos and San Enrique Monolito, both made by Anglo American Sur.

The former is a very good prospect, with an estimated 1.2bn tonnes of inferred resources and an average copper grade of 1.46%.

Copper Mine Reserves Evolution (mn tonnes)

CEIC, SERNAGEOMIN, Valor Futuro, El Mostrador, Economia y Negocios

88

160 150 140 140 150 150 160 160 150190 190 190 209

340

480 470 470 470 480 490550 540

630690 680 690 700

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Chile Copper Reserves World Copper Reserves

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Copper Mine Fuel and Electricity Consumption

Both fuel and electricity are essential inputs in the copper mining process. Mineral extraction and transportation are very intensive in the use ofdiesel, fuel oil, natural gas and also use small quantities of coal, kerosene, liquefied gas, gasoline and lumber. Electricity is used mainly inconcentrating plants. COCHILCO elaborates measures of fuel and electricity consumption (in mega joules) per unit of fine copper content in theproduct of each sub-sector, called “intensity indicators”. Fuel consumption intensity rose by 90.8% between 2005 and 2014, whereas electricityconsumption intensity in concentrating plants grew by 49.3% for the same period. According to the organisation, this is not due to poor efficiency interms of use of energy. Instead, structural factors closely related to deposit maturing, such as reduction in copper ore grades, hardening of themineral and longer transportation distances, are to blame for the rise in the fuel and electricity consumption intensity.

Fuel Use per Tonne of Copper (MJ/tonne) Electricity Use per Tonne of Copper (MJ/Tonne)

COCHILCO, INE, Ministry of Mining, SONAMI

6,155.9 5,705.9

6,982.2 6,765.0 6,905.1 7,249.5

238.6206.4

222.2 194.3 248.1208.1

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Mine Concentrating Plant

878.1 772.4 840.5 832.5 821.5 817.8

9,055.5 8,945.610,283.5

11,250.3 10,557.2 10,810.4

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Mine Concentrating Plant

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III. Copper Smelting Sector Overview

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Copper Smelting Sector Highlights

Sector

Development

After reaching a peak of 1.6mn tonnes in 2010, the production of smelted copper followed a downward trend through 2014. On theother hand, smelted copper export performed better, expanding by a CAGR of 2.6% over 2009-2014, but remained still below thehistorical record of 0.5mn tonnes in 2007. These figures suggest a stagnation in real terms, as a result of few additions of smeltingcapacity. In 2010, the Environmental Policy and Regulation Division (DPRA) of the Ministry of Environment determined that the sevencopper smelters in Chile had a combined nominal smelting capacity of 6.3mn tonnes of copper concentrates. Thus, the DPRAproposed an environmental adequacy plan for the smelters, which in 2013 became law. The plan required that no additional capacityshould be added until the new requirements are met in 2018. Thus, as of 2014, the actual smelting capacity for copper concentratesstood at 1.7mn tonnes of fine copper (the difference between nominal and actual capacity derives from the fact that copperconcentrates have between 20% and 40% of true copper content), which combined with a production of 1.35mn tonnes of smeltedcopper implied a capacity utilisation rate of 79%. SONAMI estimates that Chilean copper smelters are on the third quartile in terms ofcosts. As a result, only 36% of Chilean production of copper concentrates was made in domestic smelters in 2014.

Growth

Drivers and

Constraints

The closure seminar of the mining expo Expomin, held in May 2014, was devoted to the copper smelting and refining industriesin Chile. Pedro Reyes, general manager of the Chagres smelter, remarked that factors impairing the growth of the sector arehigh levels of required capital and elevated labour and energy costs. Adolfo Lopez from COCHILCO, focused on energy costsas the main disadvantage. Instead, Gustavo Lagos, an academic researcher, pointed that the main issue was the fusiontechnology: five smelters used the Noranda/Teniente system, one used the Flash Outokumpu system (Chagres), and onesmelter had the two of them (Chuquicamata). The Noranda/Teniente technology, of limited use outside Chile, is both moreenergy consuming and more contaminating. As a result, some smelters like Ventanas will inevitably become unprofitable oncethey comply with the new environmental regulation. Others like German Ritcher, general manager of Caletones Foundation, stillbelieved in the potential of the technology, quoting trial tests where a 97% capture rate for sulphur dioxide (SO2) and arsenic(As) was achieved. In case further development of Teniente converters becomes infeasible, the plan B for the industry is to usethe Chinese “Bottom Blown Reactor” system, which Codelco plans to try in Ventanas in the near future.

Forecast

According to German Ritcher, general manager of Caletones Foundation, the future of Chilean smelters hinges on their ability

to process copper concentrates with high level of impurities. Most smelters around the world are demanding increasing

quantities of clean concentrates (with an arsenic limit of 0.3-0.5%), as arsenic penalties are becoming very expensive.

Furthermore, Chilean copper deposits are getting older and the level of arsenic in the concentrates is rising, and even new

mines like Ministro Hales are producing concentrates with arsenic level well above 5%. Hence, a natural opportunity arises for

Chilean smelters to specialise in the processing of such kind of minerals. However, Gustavo Lagos points that even if all

smelters comply with the current environmental regulation by 2018, it is likely that a tougher normative requiring As and SO2

capture rate above 98% to be introduced afterwards, which will hinder the development of new smelting capacity.

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Chile in Global Copper Smelting Market

Copper smelting is an intermediate step necessary to obtain fine copper through pyrometallurgical route. The process uses as inputs copper concentrates,one of the main end products of copper mines. China is the global leader in the sector, due to capital cost and operating cost advantages. However, HarryLiu, vice president of Chinese company Yanggu Xiangguang Copper, says that, as of April 2015, these advantages are dwindling due to environmentalregulations aimed to put Chinese smelting industry on par with their western competitors in terms of pollution control. In 2014, Chile accounted for 9% ofglobal smelted copper production, the lowest share since 1973. A June 2015 report of Chilean consulting company JRI Ingenieria, warned that Chileansmelting facilities were technologically obsolete, had poor economies of scale and like Chinese smelters, did not comply with modern environmentalregulation. SONAMI estimates that a minimum investment of USD 2.5bn is required so that the current operating smelters in Chile comply with the newenvironmental normative that is expected to enter into force in 2018.

Top 5 Smelted Copper Producers, 2014 (thou tonnes) Top 10 Copper Smelters by Capacity, 2014 (thou tonnes)

USGS, ICSG, Portal Minero, Mining Bulletin, SONAMI, COCHILCO, World Bureau of Metal Statistics, JRI Ingenieria

807

850

1,356

1,583

3,601

India

Rusia

Chile

Japan

China

400

400

400

400

450

450

450

450

500

900

Norilsk (Russia)

Xiangguang Copper (China)

Jinchuan (China)

El Teniente (Chile)

Saganoseki/Oita (Japan)

Besshi/Ehime (Japan)

Hamburg (Germany)

Chuquicamata (Chile)

Birla Copper (India)

Guixi (China)

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Smelted Copper Production

The Chilean government through the Ministry of Mining has recently entered into the debate on how to promote the development of copper smelters, giventhe many challenges the industry faces, especially the environmental ones. According to estimates by Ignacio Moreno, Undersecretary of Mining, fromMarch 2015, the copper smelters were not competitive and did not provide sufficient incentives for new investment to their owners. This is a consequenceof large required investments in order to comply with OECD regulations regarding pollution, high direct costs (35-40 cents per pound in Chile against under20 cents per pound in the most efficient countries) and lower metal recovery rate compared with Japanese and Chinese competitors. In that regard, BaldoProkurica, a member of the Energy and Mining Commission in the Chilean Senate, noted in June 2015 that Chilean copper smelters recovered only gold,copper and silver, whereas their Asiatic counterparts recovered up to 14 different metals.

Smelted Copper Production Evolution (thou tonnes) Smelted Copper Production Capacity by Smelter, 2014 (%)

COCHILCO, ICSG, OECD, Que Pasa Mineria, Editec, Senate of the Republic of Chile, Ministry of Mining

Chuquicamata26.4%

El Teniente (Caletones)

23.4%

Altonorte (La Negra)20.5%

Potrerillos10.4%

Chagres 8.2%

Ventanas6.2%

1,522.3 1,559.8 1,522.3

1,342.4 1,358.3 1,356.2

570.9

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jan-May2015

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Smelted Copper External Trade

External Trade in Smelted Copper Products* (USD mn)

Import Segmentation By Sub-Product, 2010-2014 avg. (%)

Export Segmentation By Sub-Product, 2010-2014 avg. (%)

Comments

UN COMTRADE, Observatory of Economic Complexity, COCHILCO, - * Exports (FOB), Imports (CIF), HS codes: 7401, 7402

Chilean smelted copper exports consist mostly of blister copper

and copper anodes ready for electrolytic refining. Copper matte,

the result of fusion of copper sulphide concentrates, usually is

transferred in liquid state to a converting furnace, in order to obtain

copper blisters. However, a small percentage of the copper matte

is solidified and enters the market as an intermediate product to be

sold/exported. In 2014, Chile exported 450,000 tonnes of smelted

copper products, equivalent to 33.2% of the domestic production

for the same year. For the period Jan-May 2015, exports were

0.6% down y/y in volume, but 11.6% down y/y in value, due to the

lower copper prices.

2,521.1

3,137.4

3,668.5 3,695.1

3,046.8

0.1 0.1 1.0 0.4 0.1

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Exports Imports

Copper mattes;

cement copper (precipitated

copper). 3.6%

Unrefined copper; copper

anodes for electrolytic

refining. 96.4%

Copper mattes;

cement copper (precipitated

copper).67.8%

Unrefined copper; copper

anodes for electrolytic

refining. 32.2%

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Smelted Copper Emissions

The copper smelters emissions are a key concern for the Chilean government. The fusion and conversion stages generate large quantities of sulphurdioxide (SO2) and arsenic (As), among other elements. The former is related to respiratory and cardiovascular problems, while the latter is related toseveral types of cancer. In 2014, the government introduced a new regulation imposing limits on the emissions of both SO2 and As for each Chileansmelter. In addition, smelters were required to capture at least 95% of the annual emissions of the two elements, while suggesting and even harder rule of98% recovery for future revisions of the norm. Smelters were granted a grace period of between two and a half and five years to comply with thelegislation, depending on the technology used. The goal is to achieve a 53% reduction in SO2 emissions and a 37% reduction in As, compared to theaverage emissions over the period 2007-2011.

SO2 Emissions in Chilean Copper Smelters (thou tonnes) Arsenic Emissions in Chilean Copper Smelters (tonnes)

COCHILCO, Ministry of Environment, Ministry of Mining, Ley Chile

9285

19

119

23

44

13

50

2415

48

1324

14

2007-2011 Average 2014 Limits

520

600

90

250

12

97

3

476

157

48

130

17

126

35

2011 Emissions 2014 Limits

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Smelted Copper Fuel and Electricity Consumption

The copper smelting process is based on separating the sulphur (S) and iron (Fe) from the copper concentrate (which has around 35% of copper) in orderto obtain what is called “white metal”, with a 70-75% copper concentrate. This is done with an oven, which heats the copper concentrate to temperatureshigh enough to liquefy it, thus expelling sulphur dioxide gas and iron in the process. In the case of the Teniente (Caletones) oven, the heating is done withelectricity at 1,200 Celsius degrees. In the next step, the white metal is converted to copper blister in a Pierce-Smith smelter. A joint study conducted byXstrata and the University of Toronto in 2010, compared the energy consumption and the proportion of fuel and electricity used in four different coppersmelting technologies. The Noranda/Teniente technology, used in all Chilean smelters except Chagres, relies heavily on electricity (a 80% share in totalenergy usage) and has the highest total energy consumption among the processes studied.

Fuel Use per Tonne of Copper (MJ/tonne) Electricity Use per Tonne of Copper (MJ/tonne)

COCHILCO, INE, Ministry of Mining, Southern Pacific Review, Xstrata, University of Toronto

4,531.4 4,679.5 4,794.3 4,511.9 4,415.84,784.3

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

3,531.9 3,741.0 3,920.4 3,918.04,363.6 4,224.8

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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IV. Copper Refining Sector Overview

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Copper Refining Sector Highlights

Sector

Development

After reaching a peak of 3.3mn tonnes in 2009, the production of refined copper in Chile followed a downward trend.

The export of refined copper had a similar behaviour, decreasing by on average 4.8% over 2009-2014 after a

record-high export of 3.2mn tonnes in 2009. Regarding sub-products, the situation mirrored total production, with the

output of SX-EW cathodes and electro-refined cathodes falling by on average 2.5% and 3.7%, respectively. Given

that domestic demand for refined copper, which stood at 94,800 tonnes in 2014, is a mere 3.5% of the 2.7mn tonnes

produced for the same year, the performance of the sub-sector is extremely reliant on the external demand, which

has been relatively weak as a result of the boom in the Chinese copper smelting and refining industry.

Growth

Drivers and

Constraints

One of the major factors behind the steady decline in copper refining in Chile is the swift transformation of the

Chinese copper industry. Although the refined copper imports of the Asian country grew by 12.7% in volume for the

period 2009-2014 (from 3.2mn to 3.6mn tonnes), copper concentrates imports expanded by 93.1% (from 6.1mn to

11.9mn tonnes). Thus, the ratio between the import of refined copper and copper concentrates shrunk from 51.8%

to only 30.2% for the period. Nonetheless, Chile’s share of Chinese refined copper imports declined from 44.8% in

2009 to 34.9% in 2014. Therefore, not only China became more self-sufficient in terms of refined copper production,

it also diversified its import source country (i.e. Indian refined copper exports to China increased fivefold between

2009 and 2014, due to the growing availability of copper concentrates for Indian smelters and refineries).

Forecast

In the period Jan-May 2015, the refined copper production decreased by 3% y/y. Regarding sub-products, SX-EWoutput dropped by 2.8%, whereas the production of electro-refined cathodes was 3.5% down y/y. According toSergio Hernandez, vice president of COCHILCO, the share of copper cathodes (the bulk of refined copperproduction) in total copper exports will fall from 33% in 2014 to just 18% in 2023. In absolute terms, the reduction willbe from 2.1mn tonnes in 2014 to 1.8mn tonnes in 2023. Hernandez remarked that this trend will continue in thefuture, given the fact that Chile is competitive in the production of concentrates, but neither in smelting and electro-refining, nor in the SX-EW process, where China holds the advantage. Moreover, most of the mineral that is beinglately extracted in Chile is not suitable for the SX-EW process, and production for this type of cathodes is expectedto fall just for this reason alone.

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Comments

Source:

Chile in Global Copper Refining Market

Copper refining is the last stage of copper production. It involves treating the two sub-products of copper smelting: blisters are put to the process offire-refinement and copper anodes are put through electro-refining, obtaining fire-refined copper and electro-refined cathodes, respectively.Alternatively, refined copper can also be obtained through solvent extraction and electrowinning (SX/EW), a hydrometallurgical process. In 2014,Chile accounted for 11.9% of global refined copper output, the lowest share since 1994, ranking second behind China. In the same year, the Asiancountry had a 14% increase in refined copper output, as a consequence of new smelting (13% up y/y) and refining capacity (10% up y/y) beingadded. According to Bloomberg, China is expected to add further smelting and refining capacity in 2015, while Chilean refining capacity is projectedto remain stagnant.

Top 5 Refined Copper Producers, 2014 (thou tonnes) Top 10 Copper Refineries by Capacity, 2014 (thou tonnes)

USGS, ICSG, COCHILCO, World Bureau of Metal Statistics, Bloomberg

400

450

450

500

500

500

600

600

650

900

Onsan Refinery I (South Korea)

Amarillo (United States)

Toyo/Niihama (Japan)

Pyshma Refinery (Russia)

Birla (India)

Yunnan Copper (China)

Chuquicamata Refinery (Chile)

Daye/Hubei (China)

Jinchuan (China)

Guixi (China)

874

1,081

1,554

2,729

8,008

Russia

United States

Japan

Chile

China

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Comments

Source:

Refined Copper Production

Data of the International Copper Study Group (ICSG) for 2013 showed that SX-EW cathodes accounted for 18% of total refined cathodes output worldwide.However, in Chile they prevail, with a 67.8% share in 2014. In the period 2009-2014, the output of SX-EW cathodes and electro-refined cathodes declinedon average by 2.5% and 3.7% per year, due to increased competition from Chinese refineries. Meanwhile, fire-refined cathodes, elaborated with anobsolete technology, have been completely phased out since 2012. Chilean state-controlled Codelco is the company with the largest copper refiningcapacity in the world, considering the Chuquicamata and Las Ventanas electro-refineries and the Radomiro Tomic electrowinning plant, with a combinedcapacity of 1.4mn tonnes. In November 2014, Bloomberg reported that the company has an ambitious strategy to stem this decline in cathodes byinvesting USD 24bn over the next five years with the goal to reach a refined copper production of 2.5mn tonnes by 2025. Nelson Pizzaro, CEO of thecompany, warned that without investment, production will be below 1mn tonnes by 2020, due to deposit maturing.

Product-wise Refined Copper Production (thou tonnes) Refined Copper Production Capacity by Refinery, 2014 (%)

USGS, ICSG, COCHILCO, World Bureau of Metal Statistics, Bloomberg

Chuquicamata Refinery 20.0%

Las Ventanas13.3%

Radomiro Tomic (SX-EW) 13.3%

Others 53.3%

2,117.5 2,088.5 2,024.8 2,028.8 1,932.9 1,861.8

734.0

1,071.3 1,054.9 998.6 873.2822.0 885.4

346.7

87.8 100.569.0

0.00.0 0.0

0.0

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jan-May2015

SX-EW Cathodes ER Cathodes Fire-Refined

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Source:

Refined Copper External Trade

External Trade in Refined Copper Products* (USD mn)

Import Segmentation By Sub-Product, 2010-2014 avg. (%)

Export Segmentation By Sub-Product, 2010-2014 avg. (%)

Comments

UN COMTRADE, Observatory of Economic Complexity, COCHILCO, Mineria Chilena, - * Exports (FOB), Imports (CIF), HS codes: 7403.11, 7403.12, 7403.13, 7403.19

Chilean refined copper exports followed a downward trend in thelast few years, decreasing by a cumulative 24.3% over 2009-2014.This phenomenon is closely related to the rise in the export ofcopper concentrate during the same timeframe, since both aremotivated by the lack of competitiveness of Chilean copperrefining industry compared with its Chinese counterparts. Aselectro-refined copper cathodes production in Chile dwindles dueto lack of external demand, less copper anodes and blisters arerequired, so domestic copper concentrates demand also falls.Therefore larger quantities of the latter are available for export. Forthe period Jan-May 2015, exports are 1.8% up y/y in volume, but11.7% down y/y in value, due to the low-copper-price globalenvironment.

23,914.9 26,133.0

21,963.6

18,804.4 18,105.0

0.4 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.5

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Exports Imports

Cathodes & sections of

cathodes, of refined copper,

unwrought98.7% Unwrought

products of refined copper

(excl. of 7403.11-

7403.13) 1.3%

Unwrought products of refined copper (excl. of 7403.11-7403.13) 95.9%

Cathodes & sections of

cathodes, of refined copper,

unwrought3.8%

Billets of refined copper,

unwrought0.3%

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Source:

Comments

Refined Copper Sales

In Chile, companies from the domestic manufacturing industry that are members of COCHILCO have the right to reserve each year a certain amountof refined copper that must be provided by Chilean copper refineries. This amount is called “global copper reserve”, and is determined the yearbefore. In October 2014, 11 Chilean manufacturing companies asked for a guaranteed reserve supply of 122,243 tonnes of copper cathodes in2015, which was granted. Two companies alone, Cobre Cerillos S.A. and Nexans Chile S.A., demanded a total of 100,000 tonnes. The former is acopper wire manufacturer, specialised in bare overhead wire for electrical power distribution for street light. The latter is also a cable provider both tothe domestic economy (including mining, energy and industry sectors) and to other countries in Latin America. These firms are part of the “Semis”segment, the first users of refined copper, a sector which is very small in Chile.

Refined Copper Sales to Domestic Manufacturing Industry (thou tonnes)

COCHILCO, Bloomberg

66.576.4 82.1 85.7

94.0 95.1 94.886.3

96 95.4 95.6 94.9 94.8

15.0

18.318.3 17.0

16.7 10.2 8.4

54.2 0.8

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Cathodes Fire-Refined

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Comments

Source:

Refined Copper Fuel and Electricity Consumption

The copper refining process consumes a lot of electricity, regardless the route utilised to obtain copper cathodes (electrolytic refining or electrowinning –

EW process). COCHILCO measures the total energy consumption of the latter, which includes not only electrowinning, but also the preliminary steps of

leaching (LX) and solvent extraction (SX). According to a survey by the organisation, in 2014 the consolidated LX-SX-EW process had a 24% share of total

energy consumption in mining, while electrolytic refining had a much modest 2% share. Nevertheless, COCHILCO estimates that the entire LX-SX-EW

process would have its share reduced to only 7% by 2025, due to the progressive abandonment of this technology in Chile. Even so, total electricity

consumption will grow as a result of increased production of copper concentrates, which has similar levels of intensity of electricity usage.

Fuel Use per Tonne of Copper (MJ/tonne) Electricity Use per Tonne of Copper (MJ/tonne)

COCHILCO

1,097.3 896.1 1,046.6 1,181.2 1,415.8 1,300.8

3,003.1 3,185.1 2,975.1 2,847.5 2,590.1 2,865.7

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Electrolytic Refining LX/SX/EW

1,254.8 1,311.2 1,337.9 1,341.6 1,354.5 1,278.1

10,295.8 10,633.8 11,067.4 10,892.1 11,613.3 12,085.8

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Electrolytic Refining LX/SX/EW

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V. Main Players

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Source:

Top M&A Deals

Top 10 M&A Deals in the Mining Sector* in Chile (2014)

EMIS DealWatch, - * NAICS code 212

Date Target Company Deal Type BuyerCountry of

Buyer

Deal Value

USD (mn)

Stake

(%)

6-OctCandelaria/Ojos del Salado copper mining operations

in ChileAcquisition Lundin Mining Corp Canada

1,852.0

(Official data)80.0

17-Jun Amancaya project in Chile Acquisition Eduardo Elsztain - private investor Argentina12.0

(Official data)100.0

29-Oct Polar Star Mining Corp Acquisition Iron Creek Capital Corp Canada7.1

(Official data)100.0

23-Oct Filo del Sol copper-gold-silver projectMinority stake

purchaseNGEx Resources Inc Canada

7.0

(Official data)40.0

20-May Southern Legacy Minerals Inc Acquisition Regulus Resources Inc Canada3.9

(Market estimate)100.0

3-Jun Humberto Reyes Arriendo de Maquinarias SpA Acquisition Eduardo Elsztain - private investor Argentina2.7

(Official data)51.0

28-Oct Tuina copper project located in ChileMinority stake

purchaseRMG Ltd Australia

2.3

(DW estimate)25.0

18-Sep Aegean Metals Group Inc Acquisition Mariana Resources Ltd Australia2.2

(Official data)100.0

30-Jan Minera Li Energy SpA Acquisition BBL SpA Chile1.5

(Official data)51.0

16-Jul AQM Copper IncMinority stake

purchaseTeck Resources Ltd Canada

1.4

(Official data)10.5

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Source:

M&A Activity, 2013-2014

Number and Value of Deals in Chile’s Mining Sector*

Number of Deals by Deal Type (%)

Number of Deals by Deal Value, USD (%)

Number of Deals by Region of Investors (%)

EMIS DealWatch, - * NAICS code 212

2 6 0 183

2 19 4

1,86

821 1

6

1

4

2

4

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2013 2014

Total value of deals (USD mn) Number of Deals

Acquisition76.2%

Minority stake purchase

23.8%

Chile 23.8%

North America47.6%

EMEA 4.8%

Asia 14.3%

South America9.5%

0-50mn; 76.2%

Undisclosed; 14.3%

100.1-500mn; 4.8%

> 1000mn; 4.8%

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Highlights

Source:

Corporación Nacional del Cobre de Chile (Codelco)

Income Statement (Consolidated, USD mn)

Balance Sheet (Consolidated, USD mn)

Corporacion Nacional del Cobre de Chile (Codelco) isa state-owned company, created in 1976, as a resultof the nationalisation process of all private miningcompanies initiated in 1971 during Salvador Allende’sgovernment. In 2014, the company was the world’slargest mine copper producer, accounting for 9.1% ofglobal output and for 29.1% of Chilean output,according to the World Bureau of Metal Statistics. Itwas also the world’s second largest molybdenumproducer, with 30,600 tonnes.

The main business operations of Codelco are themanufacture and sale of copper cathodes andmolybdenum. The company is vertically-integratedand self-sufficient in terms of raw materials, operatingseven mining fields in Chile, a copper smelteroperation and a refinery in the Ventanas industrialcomplex. As of 2014, it had mineral resources for125mn tonnes of fine copper, enough for sustainingoperations for the next 70 years. However, proved andprobable reserves amounted to 53.2mn tonnes of finecopper.

The largest division of the company is Codelco Norte,which encompasses the Chuquicamata, MinistroHales and Radomiro Tomic fields, located nearCalama in the Antofagasta region. As of December2014, the division employed 8,241 people.

Company data, World Bureau of Metal Statistics, own calculations

15,8

60

14,9

56

13,8

27

7,91

1

4,12

1

3,71

7

3,87

5

1,11

5

711

49.9%

27.6% 26.9%

2012 2013 2014

Net Revenues EBITDA Net Profit EBITDA margin

31,6

45

33,3

65

35,2

57

12,1

78

12,4

08

11,5

26

8,84

7

11,2

52

12,5

20

1.12

2.73

3.10

2012 2013 2014

Total Assets Shareholders' Equity Net Debt Net Debt/EBITDA

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Highlights

Source:

Corporación Nacional del Cobre de Chile (Codelco)

Total Copper Mine Production Evolution (thou tonnes)

Copper Mine Production by Division, 2014 (%)

The other divisions of Codelco are: Andina, located 3,700mabove see level, 80km far from Santiago de Chile andemploying 1,617 people as of December 2014; GabrielaMistral, located in Sierra Gorda, Antofagasta region, andemploying 565 people; Salvador, located in the Atacamaregion and employing 1,528 people; and El Teniente,located in the Rancagua region, 80km south of Santiago,and employing 5,064 people.

In 2014, the management of the company approved a USD3.3bn expenditure for the construction of the ChuquicamataSubterranea copper mine project, one of the seven ongoingprojects for the 2015-2020 period, which will require a totalinvestment of USD 23bn. Chuquimata Subterranea willreach operational status in 2019, and will expand theproduction capacity of the company by 320,000 tonnes offine copper and 15,000 tonnes of fine molybdenum.

In August 2012, Codelco purchased a 29.5% stake in AngloAmerican Sur, one of it’s main competitors, for USD 2.9bn.Later in the same year, it sold back 4.5% of these shares toJapan’s industrial conglomerates Mitsui & Co Ltd for USD998mn. As of June 2015, Anglo American is in a process ofselling non-strategic assets, and there are rumours thatCodelco is interested in some of them, i.e. Los Bronces (inwhich it has a 50.1% stake), Mantos Verdes and MantosBlancos copper mines.

Company data, COCHILCO, La Tercera, COPESA

1,689.1

1,735.2

1,646.5

1,621.7

1,671.8

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Radomiro Tomic 19.6%

Chuquicamata20.4%

Gabriela Mistral 7.2%

Ministro Hales8.4%

Salvador 3.2%Andina 13.9%

El Teniente27.2%

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Highlights

Source:

Minera Escondida Ltda.

Income Statement (Consolidated, USD mn)

Balance Sheet (Consolidated, USD mn)

Minera Escondida is the largest individual mining operationin the world, ranking second in terms of copper productionin Chile, with a 20.3% share in national output in 2014,according to the World Bureau of Metal Statistics. It wasfounded in 1985, as a result of a joint venture betweenAnglo-Australian miner BHP (57.5% stake), British-Australian peer Rio Tinto (30% stake), Japanese peer JecoCorp (10% stake) and the International FinanceCorporation (2.5% stake). In 2010, IFC sold its minoritystake to Mitsubishi Corporation in a deal estimated at morethan USD 537mn.

Minera Escondida engages in the production of copperconcentrates by flotation of sulphide ore and coppercathodes by the processes of oxide ore leaching andbioleaching of low-grade sulphide. In 2014, it had provedand probable reserves of 33.3mn tonnes of fine copper anda production capacity of 1.1mn tonnes of mine copper.

The mining operation is located in the Antofagasta region inChile, 170km south of Antofagasta city and 3,100m abovesea level. The infrastructure comprises two open pits(Escondida and Escondida Norte), mineral transportsystems, two concentration plants (Laguna Seca and LosColorados), two leaching piles, two plants for solventextraction, two ducts, one electrowinning plant and onefiltering plant. The company has own port installations(Puerto Coloso) and a sea water desalination plant.

Company data, World Bureau of Metal Statistics, own calculations

8,82

4

8,86

5

8,00

4

5,36

9

5,04

3

4,16

8

3,42

2

3,21

3

2,41

3

60.8%

56.9%

52.1%

2012 2013 2014

Net Revenues EBITDA Net Profit EBITDA margin

10,0

17 12,1

77 14,5

15

7,47

8 9,25

0

10,8

26

107 76

9

994

0.02

0.15

0.24

2012 2013 2014Total Assets Shareholders' Equity Net Debt Net Debt/EBITDA

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Highlights

Source:

Minera Escondida Ltda. (cont’d)

Total Copper Mine Production Evolution (thou tonnes)

Revenue Segmentation by Product, 2014 (%)

As of December 2014, the company directly employed4,608 people and subcontracted 8,707 additionalworkers. The company has an investment plan ofmore than USD 8bn for the 2011-2017 period, whichwill be allocated in development of new projects. For2015, the objective is to reach a copper production of1.3mn tonnes, 11.5% up y/y.

One of the new investment projects is called OrganicGrowth Project (OGP1), which aims to replace LosColorados concentration plant with a new treatmentplant and will allow the access to higher grademinerals. The project is valued at USD 3.8bn and isexpected to become operational in the first half of2015.

Among the other investment projects are theEscondida Oxide Leach Area, which consists of a newdynamic leaching pile and a belt mineral transportsystem. The latter became operational in 2014,following an investment of USD 721mn.

In 2013, the company announced the construction ofa second desalination plant by 2017. The purpose ofthis plant is to sustain Escondida operations onceOGP1 is finished. The planned investment is USD3.4bn.

Company data, COCHILCO, Mineria de Chile

Copper Concentrate

68.8%

Copper Cathodes

31.2%

1,086.7

817.7

1,075.91,193.7 1,165.4

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Highlights

Source:

Compañía Minera Doña Inés de Collahuasi SCM

Income Statement (Consolidated, USD mn)

Balance Sheet (Consolidated, USD mn)

Company data, World Bureau of Metal Statistics, own calculations

2,22

7 2,98

7

2,98

0

1,00

9

1,64

5

1,59

5

495

935

682

45.3%

55.1% 53.5%

2012 2013 2014

Net Revenues EBITDA Net Profit EBITDA margin

5,80

6

6,27

2

5,99

4

4,48

7

4,85

6

4,53

4

118

-69

-41

0.12

-0.04-0.03

2012 2013 2014

Total Assets Shareholders' Equity Net Debt Net Debt/EBITDA

Collahuasi was founded in April 1983 as a limitedliability company. In August 1996, it was transformedin a contractual mining society (SCM), a legal entityunder the Chilean law with tax benefits specificallyaimed at the mining sector. Commercial operationsstarted in 1999.

In 2014, the company was the third largest copperminer in Chile, with a 8.2% share of national copperoutput, according to the World Bureau of MetalStatistics. Besides, it holds the sixth largest copperreserves in the world, estimated at 25.9mn tonnes offine copper as of 2012.

Collahuasi is focused on the production and sale ofcopper concentrate, although it also produces coppercathodes and molybdenum concentrates.

The ownership structure of the company as ofDecember 2014 is as follows: 44% for U.K.-basedminer Anglo American Plc., 44% for Anglo-Swissmultinational commodity trading and mining companyGlencore and 12% for a Japanese consortium led byMitsui & Co Ltd.

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Highlights

Source:

Compañía Minera Doña Inés de Collahuasi SCM

Total Copper Mine Production Evolution (thou tonnes)

Revenue Segmentation by Product, 2014 (%)

The Collahuasi mine is located in the first region ofTarapaca, Pica commune, in the northern extreme ofChile, above 4,400m over sea level. It operates threeopen pit fields, Rosario, Ujina and Huinquintipa.

Sulphide minerals from Ujina and Rosario mines, areprocessed in a primary crusher. Rosario’s crusher hasa capacity of 150,000 tonnes per day, while Ujina’scrusher capacity is 100,000 tonnes per day.

The concentration plant, located in the Ujina sector,has a stock pile with a capacity of 220,000 tonnes. A203km-long duct connects the plant with the shippingfacilities of the company, located in Punta Patache,65km south of Iquique.

Also in Ujina, the company operates a molybdenumplant and copper concentrate filtering plant. Collahuasiended 2014 with a total of 2,575 employees.

In 2014, the company allocated USD 240mn inseveral construction projects for optimisation of theproduction capacity, replacement of mining equipmentand optimisation of water consumption. This is aconsiderable reduction from the USD 536mn investedin 2013.

Company data

Copper 93.3%Molybdene

3.3%

Silver 2.7%

Gold 0.7%

504.0453.3

282.1

444.5470.4

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Highlights

Source:

Anglo American Sur S.A.

Income Statement (Consolidated, USD mn)

Balance Sheet (Consolidated, USD mn)

Anglo American was the fourth largest miningcompany in terms of output in 2014, with a 7.6% shareof Chilean copper production, according to the WorldBureau of Metal Statistics. It is controlled by U.K.-based mining group Anglo American Plc, which alsohas operations for molybdenum and silver productionin Chile.

As of December 2014, the ownership structure of thecompany is as follows: 50.1% for Inversiones AngloAmerican Sur SA, 29.5% for Inversiones MinerasBecrux SpA (a joint venture between Codelco andMitsui & Co) and 20.4% for Mitsubishi Corporation.

The company controls three different operations: LosBronces and El Soldado mines, and Chagres smelter.It has fine copper reserves of 11.2mn tonnes. As of2014, the company employed 2,691 people.

El Soldado is located in the fifth region, Nogalescommune, 132km from Santiago, and above 600mover sea level. It has an open pit mine and aunderground mine. Besides, the complex has mineraloxides and sulphides treatment plants.

Company data, World Bureau of Metal Statistics, own calculations

3,18

6

3,29

6

2,79

2

1,73

1

1,58

5

1,09

7

954

878

436

54.3%

48.1%

39.3%

2012 2013 2014

Net Revenues EBITDA Net Profit EBITDA margin

6,51

5

5,96

5

5,70

4

4,39

8

4,12

9

4,43

5

821 95

0

215

0.47

0.60

0.20

2012 2013 2014Total Assets Shareholders' Equity Net Debt Net Debt/EBITDA

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Highlights

Source:

Anglo American Sur S.A. (cont’d)

Total Mine Copper Production Evolution (thou tonnes)

Production Segmentation By Product, 2014 (%)

Los Bronces is a copper and molybdenum mine located65km away of Santiago de Chile, 3,500m above sea level.It has two plants for treatment of sulphur minerals, and twoplants for processing solutions obtained from leaching oflow grade minerals in waste zones. The mineral istransported by duct from the mines to Las Tortolas, wherethe company has a concentration plant.

Chagres is one of the most modern copper smelters inChile, located in the Catemu municipality, 100km awayfrom Santiago. The smelting process is done with a flashoven, which has a design capacity of 184,000 tonnes of finecopper per year.

In 2014, to maintain current operations the companyinvested USD 199.2mn in Los Bronces, USD 21.6mn in ElSoldado and USD 23.6mn in Chagres.

As of June 2015, Anglo American Plc. was in a process ofselling non-essential assets around the world, as part of anew strategy focused on improving profitability andoptimising operations. According to a Deutsche Bankreport, regarding its Chilean assets, the company hasalready decided to sell the Mantos Blancos andMantoverde mines, and is also considering the sale of ElSoldado mine and the Chagres smelter. According toReuters, as of June 2015, British investment firm AudleyCapital, Anglo-Swiss mining company Glencore and Britishprivate mining venture X2 have bid for Mantos Blancos andMantoverde, which are valued at some USD 480mn.

Company data, Reuters, Deutsche Bank

257.7 264.0

416.6467.3

436.9

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Sulphuric Acid45.5%

Copper Concentrate

38.2%

Copper Anodes/blisters

12.3%

Copper Cathodes 3.6%

Molybdene Concentrate0.4%

Page 52: Copper Mining and Processing Sector · Copper mine production is forecast to continue rising, with a CAGR of 1.62% over 2015-2019, according to BMI Research. Most of this growth will

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Highlights

Source:

Minera Los Pelambres S.A.

Income Statement (Consolidated, USD mn)

Balance Sheet (Consolidated, USD mn)

In 2014, Minera los Pelambres was the fifth largest copper

producer in Chile, with a 7.0% of national copper output,

and the second largest molybdenum producer behind

Codelco, according to COCHILCO. The company was born

in 1996, as a result of the spin-off of the old Compania

Contractual Minera Los Pelambres Ltda.

As of December 2014, the ownership structure of the

company is as follows: 60% for Chilean copper miner

Antogafasta Minerals Plc., and 40% for a Japanese

consortium of the industrial conglomerates Nippon,

Marubeni and Mitsubishi.

The core business of Minera Los Pelambres is the

production and sale of copper concentrate, and as a sub-

product molybdenum concentrate. Also, the company

produces foldable concentrates of copper, silver and gold.

The company owns a mining field in the province of

Choapa, region of Coquimbo, 3,600m above sea level and

next to the border with Argentina. As of 2012, it had

reserves of 6mn tonnes of fine copper. The concentration

plant is located 1,600m above sea level and processes

210mn tonnes per day. The concentrated copper is

transported through a 120km-long duct to Los Vilos city,

and then is shipped through the Punta Chung port.

Company data, COCHILCO, own calculations

3,55

4

3,12

9

2,66

4

2,40

4

1,76

4

1,50

51,61

7

1,19

4

882

67.6%

56.4% 56.5%

2012 2013 2014

Net Revenues EBITDA Net Profit EBITDA margin

3,69

9

3,76

0

3,66

1

2,42

1

2,54

8

2,40

2

6

172

185

0.00

0.10

0.12

2012 2013 2014

Total Assets Shareholders' Equity Net Debt Net Debt/EBITDA

Page 53: Copper Mining and Processing Sector · Copper mine production is forecast to continue rising, with a CAGR of 1.62% over 2015-2019, according to BMI Research. Most of this growth will

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Highlights

Source:

Minera Los Pelambres S.A. (cont’d)

Total Copper Mine Production Evolution (thou tonnes)

Revenue Segmentation by Export Destination, 2014 (%)

In 2014, raw material extraction amounted to 129.5mntonnes, with a mineral sterile ratio of 1.3. The plantprocessed 64.3mn tonnes of mineral, with an averagecopper grade of 0.7%, reaching 1.1mn tonnes ofcopper concentrate. The company ended 2014 with atotal of 924 direct employees.

In 2014, fine molybdenum production stood at 7,943tonnes, 11% down y/y, due to a small downgrade inthe average law of the material, from 154ppm to149ppm. This was partially compensated with a slightimprovement of 0.9pp in the molybdenum recoveryrate.

In 2014, Antofagasta Minerals announced a revisedexpansion plan for Minera Los Pelambres, worth USD1.2bn, with the goal of adding 95,000 tonnes ofproduction capacity by 2018. The original planamounted to USD 10bn, and had the more ambitiousgoal of duplicating production capacity in the sametimespan. According to the CEO of the company, theplan was revised as a result of ongoing difficulties insigning a long-term contract with an energy providerwith reasonable costs, which is a prerequisite for alarger expansion plan.

Company data, COCHILCO, Aminera, La Tercera

398.0

426.1

417.7 419.2

404.6

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Japan 52.0%

China 21.0%Asia

(excluding China and

Japan) 15.0%

Europe 9.0%

Others 3.0%

Page 54: Copper Mining and Processing Sector · Copper mine production is forecast to continue rising, with a CAGR of 1.62% over 2015-2019, according to BMI Research. Most of this growth will

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Contact:

Corporate Headquarters

6-8 Bouverie Street

London EC4Y 8DD

UK

Voice: +44 20 7779 8100

Fax: +44 20 7779 8224

Americas Headquarters

225 Park Avenue South

New York, New York 10003

US

Voice: +1 212 610 2900

Fax: +1 212 610 2950

Asia Headquarters

Eucharistic Congress Bldg. No.

III

4th Floor, 5 Convent Street

Mumbai 400 001

India

Voice: +91 22 22881123

Fax: +91 22 22881137

Disclaimer:

The material is based on sources which we believe are reliable, but no warranty, either expressed or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy or completeness

of the information. The views expressed are our best judgment as of the date of issue and are subject to change without notice. EMIS and Euromoney Institutional

Investor PLC take no responsibility for decisions made on the basis of these opinions.

Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited. Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved. A Euromoney Institutional Investor company.

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