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Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 Internation al Trade in Goods and Assets

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets

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Page 1: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Chapter 13

International Trade in Goods and Assets

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Chapter 13 Topics

• A two-good model of a small open economy.

• The benefits from trade, and the macroeconomic effects of a change in the terms of trade.

• A two-period small open economy model: the current account.

• Production, investment, and the current account.

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A two-good model of a small open economy

• Production possibilities frontier.

• Indifference curves of the representative consumer.

• Illustrate equilibrium when there is not trade, and when the SOE is a price-taker on world markets.

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Figure 13.1 Production Possibilities Frontier for the SOE

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Figure 13.2 Indifference Curves of the Representative Consumer in the SOE

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Equation 13.1

In equilibrium the consumer maximizes when his or her marginal rate of substitution equals the relative price of the two goods.

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Equation 13.2

Optimal behavior by firms implies that the marginal rate of transformation is equal to the relative price of the two goods in equilibrium.

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Figure 13.3 Equilibrium in the SOE with No Trade

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Equation 13.3

Representative consumer’s budget constraint when there is trade with the rest of the world:

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Figure 13.4 Production and Consumption in the SOE with Trade

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The Effects of Trade

Welfare must increase for the SOE when trade opens up, no matter which good the SOE initially imports.

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Figure 13.5 An Increase in Welfare When Good a Is Imported

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Figure 13.6 An Increase in Welfare When Good b Is Imported

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An Increase in the terms of trade

• Effects depend on which good is initially imported.

• Income and substitution effects are an important element in analyzing the implications of a change in the terms of trade.

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Figure 13.7 An Increase in the Terms of Trade when Good a Is Initially Imported

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Figure 13.8 An Increase in the Terms of Trade when Good b Is Initially Imported

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A Two-Period Small Open Economy Model

• Two periods – current period and future period.

• Representative consumer with exogenous current-period and future-period incomes.

• The SOE is a price-taker on world credit markets – the real interest rate is exogenous.

• The current account surplus here is equal to savings in the SOE, as there is no investment.

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Equation 13.4

The representative consumer’s lifetime budget constraint:

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Equation 13.5

The government’s intertemporal budget constraint:

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Figure 13.9 The Two-Period Small Open-Economy Model

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Figure 13.10 Deviations from Trend in the Current Account Surplus and GDP

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Figure 13.11 Government Spending and Taxes

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Figure 13.12 The Twin Deficits?

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A Small Open Economy Model with Production and Investment

• Works the same as the real intertemporal model, except the real interest rate is determined on world credit markets, and given to the SOE.

• Current account surplus always adjusts so that the aggregate supply and aggregate demand curves intersect at the world real interest rate.

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Figure 13.13 A Small Open-Economy Model with Production and Investment

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Figure 13.14 An Increase in the World Real Interest Rate

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Figure 13.15 A Temporary Increase in Government Spending

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Figure 13.16 A Permanent Increase in Government Spending

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Figure 13.17 An Increase in Current Total Factor Productivity

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Figure 13.18 An Increase in Future Total Factor Productivity

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Figure 13.19 Investment as a Percentage of GDP

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Figure 13.20 An Increase in the Capital Stock