25
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Chapter 14

Money in the Open Economy

Page 2: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-2

Chapter 14 Topics

• Exchange rates and purchasing power parity.

• Flexible and fixed exchange rates.

• Monetary small open economy – fixed and flexible exchange rates.

• Capital controls.

Page 3: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-3

Equation 14.1

The purchasing power parity relationship – prices are equalized across countries in terms of the currency of one country.

Page 4: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-4

Table 14.1 Purchasing Power Parity and the Big Mac Index

Page 5: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-5

Figure 14.1 The Real Exchange Rate for Canada vs. the United States

Page 6: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-6

A Monetary SOE – Flexible Exchange Rate

• Model is identical to the small open economy model with production and investment in Chapter 13, with an added money market.

• The nominal exchange rate is essentially determined by nominal money demand and supply.

Page 7: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-7

Figure 14.2 The Goods Market in the Monetary Small Open-Economy Model

Page 8: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-8

Equation 14.2

In the monetary SOE model, we assume that purchasing power parity always holds.

Page 9: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-9

Equation 14.3

Money demand depends on P, Y, and the world real interest rate r*.

Page 10: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-10

Equation 14.4

Substituting in the money demand equation using the purchasing power parity relationship, and equating money demand with money supply gives:

Page 11: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-11

Figure 14.3 The Money Market in the Monetary Small Open-Economy Model with a Flexible Exchange Rate

Page 12: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-12

Figure 14.4 An Increase in the Money Supply in the Monetary Small Open-Economy Model with a Flexible Exchange Rate

Page 13: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-13

Main Results with Flexible Exchange Rate

• Money is neutral – the price level and nominal exchange rate increase in proportion to the money supply increase.

• A flexible exchange rate implies that the domestic price level is insulated from movements in the foreign price level.

• A change in the world real interest rate will affect the domestic price level.

Page 14: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-14

Figure 14.5 An Increase in the Foreign Price Level in the Monetary Small Open-Economy Model with a Flexible Exchange Rate

Page 15: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-15

Figure 14.6 An Increase in the World Real Interest Rate with a Flexible Exchange Rate

Page 16: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-16

Monetary SOE Model – Fixed Exchange Rate

• In this version of the model, the domestic money supply becomes endogenous rather than the exchange rate.

• The money supply changes to equate money supply and money demand at the fixed exchange rate.

Page 17: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-17

Figure 14.7 The Money Market in the Monetary Small Open-Economy Model with a Fixed Exchange Rate

Page 18: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-18

Table 14.2 A Simplified Government Balance Sheet

Page 19: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-19

Main Results with a Fixed Exchange Rate

• The SOE cannot have a monetary policy that is independent of what happens in the rest of the world.

• An increase in the foreign price level causes a proportionate increase in the domestic price level.

• A change in the world real interest rate has no effect on the price level.

Page 20: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-20

Figure 14.8 An Increase in the Foreign Price Level in the Monetary Small Open-Economy Model with a Fixed Exchange Rate

Page 21: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-21

Figure 14.9 An Increase in the World Real Interest Rate with a Fixed Exchange Rate

Page 22: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-22

Capital Controls

• Capital controls can dampen the effects of macroeconomic shocks that come from abroad.

• However, capital controls cause inefficiencies in world credit markets.

Page 23: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-23

Figure 14.10 A Devaluation in Response to a Temporary Total Factor Productivity Shock

Page 24: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-24

Figure 14.11 A Temporary Total Factor Productivity Shock, With and Without Capital Controls

Page 25: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Money in the Open Economy

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-25

Figure 14.12 A Total Factor Productivity Shock Under a Fixed Exchange Rate,With and Without Capital Controls