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Topics Covered
• Logic– Reasoning and Evidence
• Sampling– Bias, variance and making inferences
• Statistics– Making probability statements for 3 types of data
comparisons
• The nature of science – Hypotheses, refutability, expert opinion
The scientific methodObservation
Design test
Conduct test
Manage & analyze data
Reject or accept hypothesis
Interpret results
Communicate findings
Hypothesis
?
The scientific method
Manage & analyze data
Interpret results
Design test
Conduct test
Reject or accept hypothesis
Communicate findings
Observation
Hypothesis
?
Next steps…
• 1. Critical analysis and exposure to science-related issues
• 2. Formulate a hypothesis and design a study to test it
• 3. Integrate all aspects of the scientific method into your final project
The Systems Approach
• A system is any phenomenon having at least 2 separable components and some interaction between them.– Properties:
• 1) They are modular, i.e. can be separated into components
• 2) They are hierarchical, i.e. each system is part of a hierarchy of other systems
stream 1 ecosystem
bioticabiotic
plantsfisharthropodsexternal factorsH20 quality
stoneflymayfly
individual 1 individual 2 Individual k…..
streams
stream k ecosystemstream 2 ecosystem
wetlands lakes forests
wilderness area
…..
Micro-organisms
caddisfly
temp pH dissolved particulatesmicro- macro-
“Each level finds its explanation in the levels below, and its significance in the levels above” -Bartholomew
beetle
• Once the components are identified, we can then create a model of how the components of interest are related.– A model is any representation (simplified) of a
real system.– Models are used for:
• 1) Understanding• 2) Prediction• 3) Management
ThermalChemical
Water Quality
Particulate
pH Dissolved compounds
Temperature Dissolved gases (*O2)
Turbidity Microbes
Erosion SewageIndustrial discharge
Household discharge
Agriculture Exposure to the sun
Riparian zone management
Pollution
Bio-indicators: “EPT Diversity”
Ephemeroptera
(mayfly)
Plecoptera
(stonefly)
Trichoptera
(caddisfly)
Larval Attachment:
• A resilient, accordian-like “stylostome” is cemented to the host cuticle and serves as a feeding tube.
• 300-600 X volume increase!!!
Photo from Abro (1984)
Other common (and more tolerant) aquatic insects
Coleoptera
(beetles)
Hemiptera
(true bugs)
Diptera
(true flies)
Summary
• 1) Breaking down complex systems into manageable components
• 2) Creating a model consisting of components and relationships between them
• 3) Using aquatic arthropods as biological indicators of water quality
Field trip (Monday / Wednesday)
• Rain or shine!• Bring:
– warm clothes – rain gear– something to write with & something to write on
• Vans leave at 9am sharp(!), between Cramer and Smith Halls (on Broadway).
References
• Hall 1997. Ecosystem modeling in theory and practice: an introduction with case histories. Wiley & Sons, NYC
• Orians 1980. Micro and Macro in ecological theory. BioScience 30: 79
• Walters 1971. Systems ecology: the systems approach and mathematical models in ecology.
• EPA 1997. Volunteer stream monitoring: a methods manual. Available Online, http://www.epa.gov/volunteer/stream/index.html
• Photos: Several websites including Ken Gray Insect Photo Gallery, http://www.ent3.orst.edu/kgphoto/showall.cfm