47
Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson, Head of Group Funding

Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    4

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

Covered Bond Investor Update

September 2012

AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND

BANKING GROUP LIMITED

John Needham, Head of Structured Funding

Luke Davidson, Head of Group Funding

Page 2: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

2

ANZ Covered Bond Investor Update

Strong Covered Bond Program

AA Rated Issuer

Supportive economic backdrop

• GDP growth 3.7%

• Low unemployment, 5.1%

• Mining boom offsetting weakness in retail / manufacturing / tourism

• Strong terms of trade => high income growth => strong AUD

• Fiscal and monetary policy response available if required

Strength of Collateral

• ANZ rated Aa2/AA-/AA- by Moody’s / S&P / Fitch (all Stable)

• Traditional commercial banking operations in Australia, NZ and Asia

• Strong balance sheet – well capitalised, sustainable funding profile

• Credit quality sound - total provision charge less than 30bp

• Legislative framework, separation of pool protected, 8% limit

• Dual recourse – bond holders have priority over segregated cover pool

• Asset Coverage Test with indexation of property prices

• Supervision – APRA plus independent cover pool monitor

• AAA rating – with downgrade protections

• Australian assets only – predominantly first-ranking residential mortgages

• Australian mortgage market structurally sound -> engenders strong repayment culture among borrowers -> low loss rates

• Cover pool transparency

Page 3: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

ANZ Overview

Page 4: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

4 4

ANZ released Q3 trading update on 17th August

• YTD (9 months to end June) Underlying profit

after tax1 up 5.5% PCP

• YTD total Global Markets income up 2% to

$1.4b3 with market sales well up

• Group margins (ex Global Markets) stable4

• Provision coverage2 at June 12 strong at 1.87%;

collective provision coverage ratio 1.18%

• YTD customer deposits have increased 8.7%

with lending assets up 7.7% (FX adjusted)

• ANZ’s APRA Basel III CET1 ratio at 30 June was

7.8% which equates to 9.8% on a fully

harmonised basis

• FY12 term funding task was completed ahead of

schedule

1. Underlying profit after tax is adjusted to reflect result for the ongoing business activities of the group

2. Total Provision coverage – CP balance plus IP balance as a proportion of Credit RWA’s

3. FX adjusted

4. Comparison to 270 bps end of second quarter FY12

$m Underlying Profit Highlights

7.8%

9.8%

Basel III

APRA

Basel III

Full Alignment

Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio (Jun 2012)

Page 5: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

5 5

ANZ continues to organically pursue our Super Regional Strategy

India (1)

China (6)

Taiwan (18)

Hong Kong (4)

Philippines (1)

Thailand (Rep Office)

Malaysia (Rep Office)

Singapore (5)

Indonesia (28)

Greater Mekong (28)

Japan (3)

S. Korea (1)

() - # branches/rep offices

ANZ Footprint in Asia Rationale behind the Super Regional Strategy

1. Strategy aligned to Asian growth

• Strong domestic franchises and established market position

• Focus of expansion in higher growth Asian markets

2. Leveraging regional customer flows

• Aust/NZ flows to and from Asia – 8 of top 10 Australian export markets in Asia

• Network presence facilitating growing intra-Asia customer trade flows

• Differentiated growth opportunities in Aust / NZ

3. Strengthens balance sheet and earnings diversity

• Diversity of Group funding

• Self funded balance sheet in APEA

• Strong capital and liquidity positions

• Improves diversification of earnings by geography and product

Highly diversified geographical footprint across 16 Asian markets with 97 branches and

6 Partnerships

Page 6: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

6

ANZ’s operations in Asia have an institutional focus with products linked to trade and capital flows

* APEA division revenue mix (ex partnerships)

Asia deposit & lending book

Asia Commercial Loan book

Trade

~60 Days Non Trade ~2.5yrs

48

42

0

10

20

30

40

50

Deposits NLA's

Other Asia

Taiwan

Japan

HK

Singapore

Revenue mix by product

Global Loans

Transaction Banking

Market Trading

Market Sales

12 months rolling to Mar 12

Other

Utilities & Infrastructure

Agri- business

Natural Resources

Group Financial

Institutions Group

Revenue mix by customer segment

USDb

Page 7: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

7 7

Customer deposit growth has exceeded loan growth by $41b since 2008

7

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Sep 08 Sep 09 Sep 10 Sep 11 Mar 12

$b

Australia APEA New Zealand Group LTD Ratio (RHS)

Customer Deposits Net Loans & Advances (incl. Acceptances)

167%

134%

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Sep 08 Sep 09 Sep 10 Sep 11 Mar 12

$b

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

160%

180%

Loan /

Deposit Ratio

12% CAGR*

* Since Mar 08

5% CAGR*

Australia APEA New Zealand Group

Sep 11 v Mar 12 (9) 4 2 (3)

Sep 08 v Mar 12 3 29 9 41

Loan-Deposit Gap

Page 8: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

8 8

ANZ has a well diversified funding profile with an increasing weighting to customer funding

8

6%

4%

3%

1%

3% Offshore Private

Placements

Japan (¥)

UK & Europe (€,£,CHF)

North America

(USD, CAD)

Domestic (AUD, NZD)

Strong Funding Composition

Short Term Wholesale Funding

Term Debt < 1 year Residual Maturity

Term Debt > 1 year Residual Maturity

Customer Funding

Shareholders equity & Hybrid debt

Offshore short-term Commercial

Paper makes up just 3% of total

Group funding

Equity/

Hybrids8%

Well diversified term wholesale

funding portfolio

6%

3%

2%

3%Gross Interbank, Other

APEA CDs

Offshore short-term

Commercial Paper

Domestic CDs

14%

17%

7% 8% 8% 9% 9%

50%55% 58%

61% 60%

14%

15%16% 12% 13%7%

5%6% 6% 4%

22%17%

12% 12% 14%

Sep 08 Sep 09 Sep 10 Sep 11 Mar 12

Page 9: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

9

Lower structural funding gap - a growing competitive advantage

9

Source: APRA (Mar-12) and latest bank published financial statements.

ANZ Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3

Loan – Deposit Ratio (%) 134 160 153 141

Loan – Deposit Gap ($bn) 104 186 164 153

Australian Household Funding Gap ($bn) 111 193 125 179

Short Term US Money Market Funding (US$bn) 18 50 36 34

50

100

150

200

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

ANZ Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3

$bn

• Lower and more stable wholesale funding requirement relative to domestic peers

• Lower reliance on offshore wholesale markets

• Better positioned to take advantage of any uptick in credit growth

• Mitigates Rating Agency pressures and improves capacity to manage through periods of market dislocation

Australian Household Funding Gap ANZ has built a sustainable balance sheet

Page 10: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

10

Relative to domestic peers, ANZ has the lowest and most consistent term wholesale funding requirement

10

Source: Bloomberg; Excludes Hybrids

Aust Major Banks 2yr+ Term Debt Issuance by Calender Year

(estimated percentage of global FIG issuance shown in parentheses)

A$bn

$89bn

(8%)$76bn

(7%)

$93bn

(9%)

$158bn

(10%)

$87bn

(9%)$76bn

(4%)

$97bn

(2%)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 YTD

ANZ CBA NAB WBC

Page 11: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

11

ANZ’s FY12 wholesale debt issuance requirement completed. The forward maturity profile is well within manageable levels.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18+

Senior Debt Government Guarantee Covered Bonds Sub Debt

Indicative annual issuance volumes

Issuance Maturities

ANZ Annual Term Debt Issuance / Maturity Profile

A$b

Page 12: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

12 12

ANZ’s term funding portfolio is well diversified with a declining reliance on offshore funding

28% 28% 27%33% 34%

28% 31% 35%

36% 32%

34% 29% 25%18%

20%

10% 12% 13% 13% 14%

Sep 08 Sep 09 Sep 10 Sep 11 Mar 12

Domestic North America Europe Asia

32%

44%

68%

23%

33%

FY08 1H12

AUD/NZD

Foreign Currency - Senior Unsecured

Foreign Currency - Covered Bonds

Term Debt OutstandingsTerm Debt Issuance

Weighted avg.

tenor : 4 yrs

Weighted avg.

tenor : 5 yrs

Page 13: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

13 13

Continued strengthening of capital levels places ANZ in a strong position for upcoming Basel III implementation

Well placed to meet Basel III CET1 target under APRA’s draft capital standards

Current capital levels are strong(Mar-12)

Capital Conservation

Buffer

8.9%7.8%

9.8%

11.7%

11.3%

9.7%

11.8%

14.3%

12.6%

11.8%

14.0%

15.3%

Basel II Basel IIIAPRA

Basel IIIFull

Alignment

UK FSA

Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio (CET1)

Tier 1 Ratio

Total Capital Ratio

7.3% 7.5% 7.8%

4.5%

2.5%

Mar 11 Sep 11 Mar 12 Column1 Jan 16

Basel III (APRA) Basel III

CET1 Minimum

Page 14: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

14 14

Liquid assets of $99b exceed total offshore wholesale debt of $85b

14

Other Liquids

$27.2b

Other Eligible and Highly Liquid Securities

Prime Liquidity Portfolio

Class 1

$32.5b

Government/Semi Govt./Govt.Guaranteed bank paper, NZ cashwith RBNZ, supranational paper

Class 2

$10.2b

Bank or corporate paper rated AA- or

better

Other Eligible & Highly Liquid Securities Long-term Short-term

Composition of liquid assets ($98.5b)

Class 3

$28.6b

Internal RMBS

Strong liquidity position ($b)

ANZ Total

Offshore

Wholesale Debt

securities

Page 15: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

15 15

Provision Charge and Impaired Assets

-200

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1H10 2H10 1H11 2H11 1H12

$m

Institutional Australia Division

NZ Businesses APEA ex-Institutional

CP charge/credit

Total Provision Charge(IP charge by Division, total CP charge)

1,098

722

660551

565

Gross Impaired Assets by Type

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11 Sep 11 Mar 12

$m

Impaired Loans NPCCD Restructured

6,561 6,5616,221

5,5815,343

Page 16: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

ANZ Covered Bond Overview

Page 17: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

17

Legislative framework

Dual recourse

Structure

Residential mortgage collateral

Indexed for price movements

High level of transparency

Collateral

APRA regulated

Independent Asset Monitor Supervision

AAA rating (Fitch & Moody’s)

Issuer rating downgrade protection

Major issuers have high leeway

Ratings

Australian Covered Bonds have a number of elements of structural support

Illustration of Supporting

Collateral Portfolio

$100 Covered Bonds on Issue

~$120 Australian Residential

Mortgages in Cover Pool

~$185 Underlying Mortgaged Property

Page 18: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

18

ANZ’s Covered Bond Strategy

Diversification of investor base

• Access to AAA investor base - timely to assist in redemption of Government Guaranteed debt maturing from 2012 to 2014

• Reduces requirements for senior unsecured debt in offshore markets

Lengthen funding profile in a cost effective manner

Rationale

Based on ANZ’s balance sheet size and legislative requirements:

• Cover pool limited to 8% of Australian assets

• Provides capacity for ~$20bn of Australian covered bond outstandings

• ANZ’s Australian mortgage portfolio currently ~$180bn

Metrics

ANZ established a US$20bn Australian covered bond programme

• Multi-currency capability, with focus on EUR, USD and AUD

• Additionally have executed in CHF, NOK, HKD

• Allows use of Hard or Soft bullets

Programme

Liquid yield curves to be established in AUD, EUR and USD via regular but not too frequent issuance

• Plan to issue ~$5bn per annum (20-25% of planned term debt issuance)

• 1-2 transactions per year in each of EUR, USD and AUD markets

• Focus on 5-10yr tenors for covered bonds, 2-5yr for senior unsecured

Expected Future

Execution

Page 19: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

19

Australian Covered Bond Legislation

Structure

Cover pool

• Covered bond issuance permitted pursuant to the Banking Act 1959

• ADIs to be covered bond issuer, with full recourse

• Guarantee provided by an SPV, used for segregation of cover pool assets and provides legal certainty of a priority claim over the cover pool

• Australian assets only - includes cash, Aust Government bonds, State-Government bonds, <100 day bank debt (up to 15%), residential or commercial mortgage loans and derivatives

• ANZ pool will limit State-Government Bonds to less than 15% and will not include commercial mortgage loans.

• Minimum level of over-collateralisation of 3% (with contractual OC in addition) where value is only provided up to 80% LVR for residential loans

Priority

Supervision

• Bondholders have priority against a cover pool of financial assets

• Demand loan structure regulates priority and size of cover pool and use of the issuance limit. APRA has limited powers with respect to assets in the cover pool

• APRA has prudential supervision responsibilities

• Defined role of independent cover pool monitor eg audit firm

Timing

• Banking Amendment (Covered Bonds) Bill 2011 introduced in September 2011

• Passed the Senate on 11 Oct 2011, and received Royal Assent on 17 Oct 2011

Issuance Limits

• Issuance not permitted if cover pool assets > 8% of ADI’s Australian assets

• Implies potential covered bond issuance of ~$20bn by ANZ

Page 20: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

20

Programme Structure

Covered

Bonds

Consideration

ANZ Residential Covered Bond

Trust Covered Bond

Guarantor

Demand Loan

and Intercompany

Loan

Covered

Bond

Proceeds

Mortgages and

Related Security

ANZBGL Issuer

Covered Bondholders

ANZBGL Seller

P.T. Limited Security Trustee

ANZBGL Interest Rate Swap

Provider

Guarantee Security Agreement

Secured Creditors

ANZBGL Contingent Covered Bond Swap Provider

ANZBGL Ccy and Interest Rate

Swap Provider

Page 21: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

21

Programme Structural Enhancements

• Monthly Asset Coverage Test (ACT) to ensure cover pool is sufficient to secure the outstanding covered bonds per minimum contractual OC

• Maximum Asset Percentage 95%

• Asset Percentage (as at August 2012) was 82.7%

• OC is the inverse of Asset Percentage (~20.92% OC)

Over Collateral-

isation

• The nominal property values are adjusted to reflect changes in house prices using RP Data-Rismark Home Value Index

• The Asset Coverage Test and Amortisation Test require the use of the Indexed Valuation for each property

• Indexing is applied with 100% of any loss and 85% of any gain applied

• Housing Loans in arrears by more than 90 days receive zero value

Indexation of Collateral

• Provided by ANZBGL to the Guarantor

• Interest Rate Swap

• Contingent currency swap

• Required to post collateral, obtain guarantees and/or be replaced if specified rating triggers occur

Hedging

Page 22: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

22

Programme Structural Enhancements – Ratings Triggers (if below any of the following)

Pre Maturity Test

Moody’s: P-1

Fitch: F1+ / A+

• The Pre-Maturity Ledger must be funded by the A$ Equivalent of the Required Redemption Amount for Hard Bullet Covered Bonds maturing within the next 12 months.

• Failure to remedy a breach of the Pre-Maturity Test within the required timeframe will cause an Issuer Event of Default to occur.

Reserve Fund Moody’s: P-1

Fitch: F1+

• An amount equal to the A$ equivalent of three months’ interest and expenses must be credited to the Reserve Fund.

Swap Collateralisation & Replacement

Fitch: F1/ A (A with Ratings Watch Negative is also below A)

• Swaps must be cash-collateralised (one-way CSA) within 14 calendar days of a ratings trigger event.

• ANZ must replace itself as swap counterparty if ANZ’s Fitch rating falls below F2 / BBB+.

Moody’s: P-1 / A2 • Swaps must be cash-collateralised (one-way CSA) within 30 business days of a ratings trigger event.

• ANZ must replace itself as swap counterparty if ANZ’s Moody’s rating falls below P2 / A3.

Transfer Trust Bank Account

Moody’s: P-1

Fitch: F1 / A

• The Covered Bond Guarantor must transfer it’s bank account from ANZ to a third party.

Servicer Downgrade

Moody’s: P-1

Fitch: F1 / A

• ANZ will be required to transfer all collections to the GIC Account within 2 local business days.

Page 23: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

23

Asset Coverage Test (“ACT”)

• Tested monthly on every Determination Date prior to the service of a Notice to Pay

• The ACT is designed to protect Covered Bondholders by ensuring that the value of housing loans, cash, and other eligible assets is greater than the AUD equivalent of outstanding Covered Bonds. The excess is funded by the senior ranking portion of the demand loan.

• Failure of the ACT on the next Determination Date after the service of an ACT Breach Notice will constitute an Issuer Event of Default and prompt an acceleration of the Covered Bonds against the Issuer

B Unused Term Advances and Demand Loan

Advances + C

Substitution Assets and Authorised Investments

+ D

Housing Loan Principal Receipts in

the GIC Account + E

Sales Proceeds credited to GIC plus

surplus principal receipts credited to

GIC

Weighted average remaining maturity

of all Covered Bonds outstanding (yrs)

A$ equivalent of Principal Amount Outstanding of all Covered Bonds

Negative Carry Factor x x

A Lower of:

Asset Coverage

Test

= +

-

AUD Equivalent

of Covered Bonds

Outstanding

For each Housing Loan that is not a Defaulted Housing Loan, the lesser of:

(i) Outstanding Current Principal Balance of the Housing Loan; and

(ii) 100% of the Indexed Valuation for the Property;

For each Housing Loan that is a Defaulted Housing Loan, zero.

MINUS LOANS IN BREACH OF Representations and Warranties or breach of Servicing Agreement

The result of which is multiplied by the Asset Percentage

For each Housing Loan that is not a Defaulted Housing Loan, the lesser of:

(i) Outstanding Current Principal Balance of the Housing Loan; and

(ii) 80% of the Indexed Valuation for the Property;

For each Housing Loan that is a Defaulted Housing Loan, zero.

MINUS LOANS IN BREACH OF Representations and Warranties or breach of Servicing Agreement

x

Zero if the Interest Rate

Swap is in place or (B+C+D+E)/ (A+B+C+D+E)

Page 24: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

24

Amortisation Test

B Cash in the

GIC Account and Authorised

Investments + C

Substitution Assets

Weighted average remaining maturity

of all Covered Bonds outstanding (yrs)

A$ equivalent of Principal Amount Outstanding of all Covered Bonds

Negative Carry Factor x x

Amortisation Test

= +

-

AUD Equivalent

of Covered Bonds

Outstanding

• Tested monthly on every Determination Date after the service of a Notice to Pay.

• The Amortisation Test is designed to ensure the Covered Bond Guarantor has sufficient assets to meet its obligations under the Covered Bond Guarantee.

• A failure of the Amortisation Test will constitute a Covered Bond Guarantor Event of Default and prompt an acceleration of the Covered Bonds against the Covered Bond Guarantor.

A

For each Housing Loan, the product of:

(i) The lesser of:

(i) The outstanding Current Principal Balance of the Housing Loan; and

(ii) 80% of the Indexed Valuation.

(ii) M, where,

(i) For each Housing Loan that is not a Defaulted Housing Loan, M = 1.0;

(ii) For each Housing Loan that is a Defaulted Housing Loan, M = zero;

Zero if the interest Rate

Swap is in place or

(B+C)/(A+B+C)

x

Page 25: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

25

Issuer Event of Default and Covered Bond Guarantee

Activation of the Covered

Bond Guarantee

• Following an Issuer Acceleration Notice, the Trustee may serve a Notice to Pay on the Covered Bond Guarantor

• Investors receive payment of interest and principal under the Covered Bond Guarantee according to the original payment schedule as if no Issuer Event of Default had occurred

• To the extent the Covered Bond Guarantor has insufficient funds to repay in full Covered Bonds on the Maturity Date, the unpaid amount of Covered Bonds will be deferred and shall be due and payable 12 months later (or earlier if the CB Guarantor has sufficient funds). This provision does not apply to Hard Bullet Covered Bonds.

Following an Issuer

Event of Default

• Service of an Issuer Acceleration Notice to the Issuer will accelerate claims against the Issuer but not the Guarantor. The bonds do not accelerate.

• Bondholders may immediately claim against the Issuer for the full Early Termination Amount and rank pari passu with ANZ’s senior unsecured debt

• Any money obtained under that claim is paid to the Guarantor for payment on bonds as they fall due

Issuer Events of

Default

Include:

• Default in principal or interest for 7 days

• Fail to perform obligations for 30 days

• Winding up, encumbrancer takes possession of all assets

• Bankruptcy proceedings

• An uncured breach of ACT

Page 26: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

Australian Property Market, ANZ Mortgage Portfolio and

Cover Pool

Page 27: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

27

The structure of the Australian mortgage market has resulted in very low losses through various cycles

Variable rate

Limited tax advantages

• Most mortgage lending in variable rate format (ANZ ~85%)

• Direct transmission for monetary policy

• Mortgage debt on owner occupied homes is not tax deductible

• Results in high prepayment levels

• Consequently mortgage debt as proportion of housing stock is low (~30% in Aust vs ~62% in the US)

Low LVRs • Average dynamic LVR is ~48% (or ~63% at origination)

• Loans with LVR > 80% require mortgage insurance

• No sub prime market

Full Recourse

• All mortgage lending is full recourse

• Investment loans are also secured by mortgage over primary residence

Originate to hold model

• Mortgages typically retained on balance sheet

• Last Securitisation by ANZ in 2004

ANZ Individual Provision Loss Rates (%)

1H10 2H10 1H11 2H11 1H12

ANZ Group

0.61 0.42 0.31 0.31 0.36

Australia Region 0.59 0.42 0.31 0.29 0.38

Australia Mortgages 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.03

Page 28: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

28

Australian house prices have fallen, partially retracing earlier gains

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

09 10 11

Lowest 20% Middle 60% Highest 20%

Index (Dec 2008=100)

Higher priced dwellings have weakened more

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

Index Dec 2004=100

Syd.

(-1.6%)

Melb.

(-7.4%)*

Bris.

(-12.2%)

* peak to June 2012

Median house prices

Sources: Residex, ANZ Research

Page 29: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

29 Sources: ABS and ANZ

And the Demand Supply dynamic remains supportive

Although house prices have weakened, fundamentals remain supportive

Vacancy Rates remain low

0

1

2

3

4

5

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11

%

Bris

Syd

.

Mel.

Per

.

Long-term

average

Source: REIA, ANZ Research

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12

population

gain

dwelling

completions

(% deviation from trend)

Page 30: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

30 30

Australian house price growth since the mid 1980s is explained by income growth and the structural decline in interest rates

$547,861

-$100,000

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

$700,000

86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10

Interest rate contribution to simulated house price**

Income growth contribution to simulated house price***

Actual house prices

* Represents the average households purchasing power over the median priced home

** Calculated using trend discounted variable bank mortgage rate

*** Calculated using average household disposable income

Page 31: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

31 31

Dynamic Loan to Valuation Ratio

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

0-60% 61-75% 76-80% 81%-90% 91-95% 95%+

% Portfol io

Sep 10 Mar 11 Sep 11 Mar 12

Portfolio >90% LVR:

• Mar 12 = 4%

• Sep 08 = 7%

Portfolio Statistics

Total Number of Mortgage Accounts 851k

Total Mortgage FUM $178b

% of Total Group Lending 43%

Owner Occupied Loans - % of Portfolio 63%

Average Loan Size at Origination $258k

Average LVR at Origination 64%

Average Dynamic LVR of Portfolio 50%

% of Portfolio Ahead on Repayments1 48%

First Home Owners - % of Portfolio 9%

First Home Owners - % of New Lending 7%

90+ Day Delinquencies 0.51%

Australian Mortgages – robust structure results in low losses through the cycle

1. One month or more ahead of repayments. Excludes funds in offset accounts.

Page 32: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

32 32

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1H08 2H08 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11 2H11 1H12

Australian mortgages 90+ Day delinquencies

Australia Retail 90+ day delinquencies

ANZ Individual Provision Loss Rates (%)

Australia Mortgages

Group

Australia Region

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

Sep-07 Sep-08 Sep-09 Sep-10 Sep-11

Owner Occupied vs. Investment Loans 90+ DPD (%)

Investment Loans

Owner Occupied

Loans

Page 33: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

33

28

710

12

43

33

911

14

3333

911

14

21

10

2

≤ 60% ≤ 65% ≤ 70% ≤ 75% ≤ 80% ≤ 85% ≤ 90%

Original Current Indexed

33

Cover Pool - Composition and qualifying criteria

Portfolio Summary at 22-August-2012

Covered Bond Pool $10,439m

Covered Bonds on issue $6,596m

Average loan size $273,785

Weighted Ave Current LVR 63.37%

Weighted Ave Indexed LVR 63.74%

Weighted Ave Seasoning 16 months

Min Required AP% / OC% 82.7% /20.9%

Owner-Occupied / Investment 77.4% /22.6%

Full-Doc loans 100%

Weighted Average LVR (%)

Geographic Spread (State/Territory)

Amortising vs Interest Only

Qualifying Loan Criteria

Due from a natural person, Australian resident

Fully drawn and repayable in AUD

Term does not exceed 30 years

Current principal balance <= $2,000,000

Secured by a registered 1st mortgage

Residential dwelling, not under construction

The loan is not > 30 days in arrears

Borrower has made at least one interest payment on the loan

Page 34: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

Australian Economy

Page 35: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

35 35

ANZ Economic forecasts

35

Australia New Zealand

2011 2012 2013 2014 2011 2012 2013 2014

GDP 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 1.2 2.2 2.4 2.6

Inflation 3.5 1.6 3.11 2.5 4.62 1.1 2.5 2.7

Unemployment 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.2 6.6 6.7 6.3 6.0

Cash rate 4.75 3.5 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0

AUD/USD 0.97 1.02 1.07 0.98

Credit 3.4 4.3 4.0 4.8 1.7 3.5 2.3 4.3

- Housing 5.8 4.7 4.1 5.6 1.6 2.2 2.4 3.6

- Business3

0.1 4.5 4.1 4.1 2.0 5.3 2.2 5.2

- Other -0.5 -0.1 2.2 0.5 0.7 3.0 1.8 3.7

Source - ANZ economics team estimates as at 19 July 2012. Based on 30 September bank year. Growth rates in through the year terms. 1. Affected by the introduction of the carbon tax from 1 July 2012 and a reduction in the Government’s health insurance rebate from 1 July 2012 2. Affected by an increase in the Goods and Services tax rate from 12.5% to 15% effective 1 October 2010 3. NZ Business includes Rural lending

Page 36: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

36 36

The Australian economy has performed relatively well in aggregate

Page 37: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

37

The Terms of Trade has driven the economy and resulted in strong income growth

Source: ABS, RBA and ANZ

Terms of trade since 1960 Income growth is continuing

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11

Australia

US

New Zealand

000's

(A$,

US$,

NZ$

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

60 70 80 90 00 10

Index

Fore

casts

37

Page 38: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

38 38

Strong investment growth driving the economy

Sources: ABS and ANZ

Business investment vs. consumption

48

50

52

54

56

58

60

62

90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

Household consumption (left) Business investment (right)

% o

f G

DP

Forecasts

% o

f GD

P

Page 39: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

39 Sources: ANZ, ABS, RBA

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

CommunicationsHospitalsWaterSupply & SewerageManufacturingElectricityGas PipelineEnergyAirportsRailPortsRoadsMining

A$bn

Planned investment

Investment is concentrated in the mining, energy and infrastructure sectors

Page 40: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

40

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Under Construction Committed Under Consideration Possible Completed Delays/Cancellations

A$bn

Impact of Port Hedland, Olympic Dam, Pluto 2 and Peak Downs indefinite delays and cancellations

Mining & Energy

Downside risks to the investment pipeline have emerged due to lower prices and rising costs. Risks appear to mainly affect 2014 and beyond.

Page 41: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

41 41

The Australian economy is grappling with the structural change associated with this 2 speed economy

Employment growth by industry, 12 months to Feb 2012

Source: ABS and ANZ

-60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50

Health

Mining

Public Admin.

Personal & Other

Rental & Real Estate

All Industries

Education

Finance & Insurance

Agriculture

IT, media & telecomms

Professional services

Utilities

Construction

Administrative services

Arts & Recreation

Manufacturing

Wholesale Trade

Retail Trade

Transport & post

Hospitality

Net employment change,

12 months to February 2012:

+22k

'000 change

Page 42: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

42 42

Some positive signs regarding household finances, however household balance sheets need to consolidate

Household Savings rate back to more sustainable levels

Debt levels remain elevated but servicing is expected to decline

Page 43: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

43

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11

Others sectors (Net accounts payable, RBA, Derivatives)SecuritisersPrivate Corporate Net debtGovt. Debt (incl NFC)Bank net borrowingNet equity

% of GDP

Current account deficit

Source: ABS

Banks have become net repayers of offshore debt; Equity, government and corporates now fund the CAD

Funding the Current Account Deficit

Page 44: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

44 44

Australia remains in a very strong fiscal position

Fiscal & Debt position

Spain

Canada

NZ

India

Korea

Hong Kong

SingaporeBelgium

Denmark

Greece

Ireland

Italy

Japan

Portugal US

Germany

France UK

Australia

China

Taiwan

Indonesia

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12

Fiscal Deficit % GDP, 2012f

Net D

ebt %

GD

P, 2012f

Page 45: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

45

In addition to fiscal policy, the Australian economy has two other policy adjustments to offset global shocks

45

0

2

4

6

8

10

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

%

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

ANZ Forecast Current Cash Rate Futures RBA Cash Rate Australian dollar (RHS)

1997

Asian Crisis

2001

Sep 11, Twin towers

(AUD record low)

2007-08

GFC, Lehman's fails

2009-12

European sovereign

debt crisis

Australian Dollar vs RBA Cash Rate

Page 46: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

46 46

Disclaimer

• The material in this presentation is general background information about the Bank’s activities current at the date of the presentation. It is information given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. It is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. These should be considered, with or without professional advice when deciding if an investment is appropriate.

• This presentation may contain forward-looking statements including statements regarding our intent, belief or current expectations with respect to ANZ’s business and operations, market conditions, results of operations and financial condition, capital adequacy, specific provisions and risk management practices. When used in this presentation, the words “estimate”, “project”, “intend”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “expect”, “should” and similar expressions, as they relate to ANZ and its management, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof. Such statements constitute “forward-looking statements” for the purposes of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. ANZ does not undertake any obligation to publicly release the result of any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.

Page 47: Covered Bond Investor Update - ANZ...Covered Bond Investor Update September 2012 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED John Needham, Head of Structured Funding Luke Davidson,

47 47

Key Contacts

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Limited

Level 9, 833 Collins Street

Docklands VIC 3008

Australia

Head of Group Funding

Luke Davidson

Phone: +61 (3) 8654 5140

Mobile: +61 (0) 413 019 349

e-mail: [email protected]

Head of Structured Funding

John Needham

Phone: +61 (3) 8654 5373

Mobile: +61 (0) 411 149 158

e-mail: [email protected]

For further information, please visit our website: www.anz.com

Investor Summary Reports can be obtained at:

www.debtinvestors.anz.com

Head of Debt Investor Relations

David Goode

Phone: +61 (3) 8654 5357

Mobile: +61 (0) 410 495 399

e-mail: [email protected]